usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Kal ka trading session dekhta hai ke USD/JPY pair ne apna balance 155.36 par qaim rakha, Thursday ke levels se mazbooti se sambhal kar. Thursday se le kar H1 support tak 154.82 tak pohanchne tak ek subah ka jaeza tajwezat ke tajurbaat ko guide karta raha. Baad mein, ek tezi ne pair ko 156.29 tak le gaya phir doosri tor phiray, ek naye darmiyani muddat ka maqsad tay karte hue 159.46 par. Magar, pichle haftay ki tafseelat ka jaiza lena mushkil hai ke barra surge, H1 aur H4 support levels ko dobara banane ko paish karta hai. Clarification Monday ke subah ke analysis se muntazir hai, qeemat ke muqam par mutabiq. Abhi, H1 suppor156.29 tak le gaya phir doosri tor phiray, ek naye darmiyani muddat ka maqsad tay karte hue 159.46 par. Magar, pichle haftay ki tafseelat ka jaiza lena mushkil hai ke barra surge, H1 aur H4 support levels ko dobara banane ko paish karta hai. Clarification Monday ke subah ke analysis se muntazir hai, qeemat ke muqam par mutabiq. Abhi, H1 support 155.49 par hai, H4 support 153.19 par, D1 support 150.15 par aur din ka balance 157.14 par hai. Agar Monday ko din ka balance 157.10 par tor nahi hota to tezi ka safar medium-term maqsood 159.40 ki taraf barqarar rahe ga, shayad 158.64 se pullback ka samna karna parega. levels ko dobara banane ko paish karta hai. Clarification Monday ke subah ke analysis se muntazir hai, qeemat ke muqam par mutabiq. Abhi, H1 support 155.49 par hai, H4 support 153.19 par, D1 support 150.15 par aur din ka balance 157.14 par hai.

Agar Monday ko din ka balance 157.10 par tor nahi hota to tezi ka safar medium-term maqsood 159.40 ki taraf barqarar rahe ga, shayad 158.64 se pullback ka samna karna parega. Bhalay hi, din ka balance 157.14 ko pullback ke doran tor diya jaye to is ka signal palat jaiga, jo H4 support 155.40 ki taraf girne ke lehaz se ek izafa ki taraf ishara kare ga. Tor ke baad, 156.70Agar Monday ko din ka balance 157.10 par tor nahi hota to tezi ka safar medium-term maqsood 159.40 ki taraf barqarar rahe ga, shayad 158.64 se pullback ka samna karna parega. Bhalay hi, din ka balance 157.14 ko pullback ke doran tor diya jaye to is ka signal palat jaiga, jo H4 support 155.40 ki taraf girne ke lehaz se ek izafa ki taraf ishara kare ga. Tor ke baad, 156.70 se naye din ka balance 158.27 ki taraf rollback ho sakta hai, phir H1 support 155.46 ki taraf palat jana. H4 support 155.46 ko torne ke saath ek mutaqqi pullback ek palat jaiga H4 support 153.15 ki taraf.Bhalay hi, din ka balance 157.14 ko pullback ke doran tor diya jaye to is ka signal palat jaiga, jo H4 support 155.40 ki taraf girne ke lehaz se ek izafa ki taraf ishara kare ga. Tor ke baad, 156.70 se naye din ka balance 158.27 ki taraf rollback ho sakta hai, phir H1 support 155.46 ki taraf palat jana. H4 support 155.46 ko torne ke saath ek mutaqqi pullback ek palat jaiga H4 support 153.15 ki taraf.

Breach ke baad, 155.14 se rollback 157.40 ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo H4 resistance ko challenge dene ke lehaz se ek mushkil bana sakta hai 106.25 par. Is rollback ke baad, H4 support 153.14 ki taraf girna mumkin hai, D1 Breach ke baad, 155.14 se rollback 157.40 ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo H4 resistance ko challenge dene ke lehaz se ek mushkil bana sakta hai 106.25 par. Is rollback ke baad, H4 support 153.14 ki taraf girna mumkin hai, D1 support 150.15 ki taraf barqarar hote hue, ek muddat ke saath 159.48 ki taraf aage barhna.

Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair ke yeh pechida harkaat traders ke liye moqaat aur challanges dono pesh karte hain. Kamiyabi tafseelati analysis, fauran faisla karne ki salahiyat aur muzoun risk management mein hai. Key supportmanagement mein hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko monitore karna, sath hi potential reversal signals ko samajhna, yeh dynamic forex market sailab mein navigational ke liye ahem hai.


Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko haalat ke tabadlay par mustaid rehna chahiye, durust risk management techniques ka istemal karna chahiye, aur USD/JPY exchange rate ko asar andaz hone wale geopolitical aur iqtisadiyati harkat par agah rehna chahiye. Ek strategyati approach ke saath, traders moqaat ko pakad sakte hain aur khatraat ko manage kar sakte hain.

USD-JPY Jor Ki Tajziya

Shuru mein peechle mahine, farokht karne wale ne keemat ko darja 150.83 tak neeche dabaane ki koshish ki, lekin zahir hai ke wo is par qaboo nahi pa sake, jis se keemat phir se oopar ki taraf chali gayi. Agar hum is haftay ke harkaat ko ek hawala ke tor par tajziya karein, to mujhe raat ko taqreeban USDJPY currency pair ke liye bullish potential abhi tak khatam nahi hua nazar ata hai. Kharidar fauj ki kamiyabi ke sath jo keemat ko darja 158.55 tak oopar chala saki, agle haftay ke barqarar rehne ka potential ab bhi bohot khula hai. Pichle haftay ke market harkaat ki tareekh par mabni tajziya ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke darmiyan-e-haftay mein kharidar fauj ki himayat mili, jis se keemat ko bullish banaya gaya.

Keemat ki halat, jo Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko zard mein chhod diya hai, ishara deta hai ke market ab bhi bullish hai, jo ke dosre kharidar ko keemat ko phir se bullish banane ke liye encourage kar sakta hai, 158.78 darja ki manzil ki taraf targheeb hai, jo meri raye ke mutabiq umeedwar trend ka jari rehne wala darja hai. Dominant market jo bullish trend ka samna kar rahe hain, un harkaat ke asrat ka tajziya karte hue, main mashwara deta hoon ke trading transactions mein jaldi na karen. Behtar hai ke intezar kiya jaye jab tak ek aur izafa na ho, jo bullish signal ko tasdeeq dena hai. Agar keemat manzil tak pohanch jaati hai, to uske oopar aur unchi manzil tak pohnchnay ka zyada azaadi ho gi.

Is ke ilawa, farokht karne wale ne bhi aik bearish Doji mombatti banane mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, jo deta hai ke USD-JPY jor mein agle haftay mein farokht ka dabao ab bhi kaafi taqatwar hai. Agar farokht karne wale safarshi darja 1.0680–1.0670 ke sahara ilaqe ke neeche ghusne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to keemat mustaqbil mein mazeed kamzor ho gi.

USD/JPY Ke Qeemat Karihai

Aaj, chaliye hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat karihai par guftugu karte hain. Currency pair ne jaldi se 157.58 Fib line ko toorna, aur baghair kisi rukawat ke naye chote qamaron tak barh gaya, jo aik lambay muddat ka uptrend ki taraf ishara dete hain. Jumeraat ko, neechay ki qeemat ki harkat ne ghair zaroori shirakat ko zahir kiya, lambay aur darmiyani muddat ke khareedaron ko hukoomat dene ke sath hawa banayi. Yeh yaqeeni banata hai ke mazeed upar ki raftar hai. Kamiyabi se bhari khareedariyon ko dakhla dene ke liye tajurbat zaroori hain, aur ek sidhaat iltiwaat aage ke rukh ka ishaara karta hai. Minute chart patterns ko nigaah mein rakhte hue, zyadatar paanch ya pandrah minute ke volumes par tawajjo dena behtareen hai, mukammal dakhla ke liye.

Bechaniyon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, sales ko USD/JPY ki uparward raftar ke baad nahi samjha jata hai, aur agle haftay ka nishana Fibonacci line aur daily ascending channel ke upper boundary par 160.00 hai. Qeemat un umeedwar darajat tak nahi barh sakti, lekin yeh kareeb 159.07 tak pohanch sakti hai, jaisa ke sona hil chuke Fibonacci lines ke aspaas ke karkardagi.

Takneeki tajziya rozmarra ke chart par tezi se uparward channel ko zahir karta hai, jo ke apne upper boundary tak 158.53 ke aspaas pohanch gaya, jis mein aik lambay muddat ka neechay ka u-turn hone ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Peer ko aham intervens mumkin hai, jo discounted na hona chahiye. Is ke ilawa, Japani monetary policy pair ke uparward rukh ko mutassir karti hai, aur agar kisi rate kaat ki ishaara ho to neechay ki harkat ka asar ho sakta hai. Agle Fed meeting ko budh ke liye taakheer ki gayi hai, USD/JPY ke liye aane waale trading dinon mein ahem taraqqi mumkin hai. Aane wale haftay mein aik durustive phase ka hone ka barra imkaan hai. Haal hi mein qeemat ke tabadlay ka koi signal nahi hai. Bazaar ke bohot se asbaab aik durustive stage mein jaane ke liye hain.

Essentially, jo ab ho raha hai woh yeh hai ke bahami wazarat kar rahe hain ke Japan Bank ko dakhal karay, is liye khas darjat aur aise harkaton par nazar dalna wakai mein koi matlab nahi banata. Unho ne, maslan, Jumma ko isey 200 points ke tabadla kar diya, bekaar faida ko roknay ke liye, phir qeemat ko 161.0 tak wapas utha diya, maslan, aur mutma'in ho gaye.

By the way, Jumma ko itni sari fa'aliyat kyun thi? Japan Bank ne kuch nahi kiya aur Asian session khatam ho gaya tha, is liye qeemat ko uttar ki taraf push karna nisbatan mehfooz tha. Ab Asia mein, hum zyada tar apni jagah par rahenge, jab ke Europe aur America mein, hum phir se uttar ki taraf ja sakte hain, shayad neeche ke impulses ke zariye, shayad seedha, aur yeh chalti rahegi jab tak ke Japani aakhir mein apni himmat nahi har jate.

Screen par 5 mere farokht ke orders hain. Yeh 5, shayad 3, mumkin dakhilay hain jahan har koi dakhalat ka intezar kar raha tha aur is se kya nikla. Shukriya, main yahan bohot kam shamil hoon aur apni standard khitmat tak pahuncha bhi nahi hoon. Samundar ko dekhtay hue, hamara break-even point asal mein 151.0 par hai, shayad thoda sa neeche. Yeh woh tarah ki "munafa" hai jo aap ko extra munafa hasil karne se milta hai...

Mera khyal hai - is hafte unhe kuch karna parega, shayad Monday ko hi. Aur main phir se shuruwat mein zyada karonga.

USD/JPY ke market mein kharidne walon ke faiday ki taraf nazar aa rahi hai. Wo 154.66 zone tak pohanch chuke hain. Ye ek rukawat ka ilaqa hai jahan se kharidar apna safar jari rakh sakte hain. Mazeed, aaj ke market ka manzar dekhte hue, kharidar ka dominion ka zahir trend hai, ek phenomenon jo market ke hissedaron ke liye strategic moqaat pesh karta hai. In paniyon mein safar karne wale kharidar, zinda rehne ka tajurba astute monitoring par mabni hai aane wali khabron ki data, aik aisa amal jo khaaskar news-driven trading strategies mein shamil hain, ke liye. Maqami khabron ka haqeeqi waqt par assimilation ek compass ke tor par kaam aata hai, jo traders ko market ke complexities mein raah dikhata hai. Breaking developments ka faida uthate hue, hum apni taraf se faida utha sakte hain, market sentiment ko apni faislon ki roshni mein inform karne ke liye leverage karte hue. Aam tor par, USD/JPY ke market kharidar ke faiday mein rahega. Woh baad mein 154.87 ke level ko paar kar sakte hain

Magar, market mein mojood volatility ehtiyaat aur risk management ki zaroorat ko farmaan karti hai. Laharain tezi se aur achanak palat sakti hain, halki si acha lagne wale kharidar ke market mein bhi. Isliye, stop-loss mechanisms ka fahm istemal karna intehai mufeed hai. Stop-loss orders ko trading strategies mein shaamil karna aik hifazati dhaal ka kaam karta hai, accounts ko abrupt market reversals aur anjaane dhaarao se bachata hai. USD/JPY ke maamlay mein, ye proactive approach na sirf paisay ki hifazat karti hai balkay trading practices mein bhi nazrana aur pehshano ko mazboot karti hai. Mazeed, technical indicators istemal karne ka aham tareen zariya hai moaasir trader ke arsenal mein. Ye tajziati aalaat traders ko market dynamics ka samajhdaar nizaam faraham karte hain, raw data ko paar karke mool trends aur sentiment ko wazeh karte hain. Indicators ki mafaahim ka istemal karke, traders ko market ke manzar par ziada aitmad aur durusti ke saath safar karna hai. Yaad rakhein ke trend hamara dost hai. Isliye, USD/JPY par trade karte waqt stop-loss ka istemal zaroori hai

Kal, USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat mein aham izafa darust shuda. Ghantay ki chart par dekha gaya ke keemaat 156.79 tak pohanch gayi aur channe ki simat mein izafa hua. Halankeh, rukh par girne ki mumkinat thi, lekin jodi channal se bhi agey barhti rahi. Char ghantay ki chart par bhi, aik mawafiq tajziya samne aya, jis mein keemaat 158.14 tak pohanch gayi. Mojooda market analysis ke mutabiq, aik trend ulta honay ka imkan jald hai. Intezar mein shamil target 155.15 hai, jo ke market ka performance ko kafi mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ke kisi bhi tajurbaat ko nazar andaz na kiya jaye aur behtareen natija hasil karne ke liye invest karnay ke tariqay ko mutabiq kiya jaye, bohot ahem hai. Aik qabil-e-zikar candlestick aik nazdeeki kami ki nishaani de sakta hai, aam mamla hai. Jo ke Monday ko pichlay uchai ko azma sakti hai jo ke 151.94 hai.

USD/JPY jodi ne kal qabil-e-ghor thakavat ka muzahira kiya, rozana umeedon ko chaar guna barhaya. Halankeh, ye khabar trend followers ko khushi de sakti hai, lekin ehmiyat hai ke yaad rakha jaye ke stop-related fluctuations Japani currency ke saath mamooli hain. Itna zyada tawajjo ke saath trends par trading karna is tarah ki shadeed halchal ke doran khatarnak hai. Japan Bank ke karwaiyon ke mutalliq ummedain currency ko mazboot karne ke lie sabit nahi hui. Aam tor par, jab rate hikes yen ki kamzori ka sabab banti hain, to rate ko barqarar rakhna tezi se giravat ki taraf le jata hai. Inflation mein kami ke bawajood, tabadul dar asar panap mein nahi aya. Is liye, aham hai ke kisi bhi intervention ke khayal ko chorr kar, sirf keemat ke charts par tawajjo den. Khas tor par, 157.56 ke aas paas farokht karne wale ki ahamiyat hai, jo ke upar ki taraf izafa ka aham pehlu darust karti hai. Is liye, 157.58 se kharidari ka moqa samjha jaye, faida hasil karne ke liye 159.03 tak, jab ke stop loss ko 157.08 par set kia jaye.

Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis par guftagu karenge. Currency pair ne 157.58 Fib line ko jaldi tor diya, aur bina kisi rukawat ke naye urooj tak pohanch gaya, jo ek lamba arsay ka uptrend ki alamat hai. Jumeraat ko, neeche ki price movement ne naqli hissedar ko door kar diya, jisse lamba aur darmiyani muddat ke buyers ka dominion ban gaya. Yeh further upward momentum ko guarantee karta hai. Kamiyabi se bhara kharidari mein soojh boojh ki zarurat hoti hai, aur ek side-ways correction uttarward continuation ko zahir karta hai. Minute chart patterns ka nigaah daalna zaroori hai, zyada tar paanch ya pandrah-minute volumes par focus karte hue, behtareen dakhil hone ke liye. Bechne ki koi soch nahi hai USD/JPY ke urooj ke baad, aur agle haftay ka target Fibonacci line aur daily ascending channel ke upper boundary par 160.00 hai. Daam maqami level par nahi uthega, lekin yeh qareeb 159.07 tak pohanch sakta hai, gold ke haal hilat ke Fibonacci lines ke atraaf jaisa.













Technical analysis daily chart par tezi se upar ki taraf ja rahi ascending channel ko zahir karta hai, jo ke apne upper boundary tak 158.53 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo ke shayad channel ke lower limit ki taraf lamba arsay ka downtrend ki alamat hai. Peer ko significant intervention dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke discounted nahi karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, Japani maaliyat ki policy currency pair ki uttarward manzil par asar daal rahi hai, aur kisi bhi dar ka ishaara neeche ki harkat ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agle Fed meeting jo budhwaar ko scheduled hai, USD/JPY ke liye aane wale trading dinon mein numaya taraqqi ka baais ban sakti hai. Aane wale haftay mein ek correct move hone ke buland ihtimamat hain. Koi haal hilat ki nishani nahi hai. Market ke bohot se sadhay kuch waqt baad correct phase mein ja rahe hain.

Maujooda market scenario mein, USD/JPY jodi lag rahi hai ke 153.34 ke resistance zone ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, jo ke aik potential turning point ko darust karta hai. Haal hi mein giravat ke bawajood, khareedaron mein istiqamat nazar a raha hai, jo ke aane wale trading sessions mein bullish bias ka jari rahne ka ishara hai. Is nazar se, munaqqi tak profit ka maqsood rakhna aqalmandana hoga jo 25 se 35 pips tak ho sakta hai. Lekin, munafaat ko ziada karne wale logon ke liye, achi tarah se mubain news-driven trades mein shamil hone ka sochna faida mand hosakta hai. USD/JPY ka daily chart tajziya karne par, ek bullish pattern ke isharay hain jo jald hi aam hone wala hai, jo khareedaron ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka munasib moqa pesh karta hai. Khareedaron ke resistance levels ko jald hi torne ki umeed ke saath, trading strategies mein tabdiliyan ki jani chahiye. Yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke bechne wali positions ko barkarar rakha jaye jabke khaas taur par mahangai ke darwazon ke saath me significant news events ke dino mein effective risk management practices jaise ke stop-loss orders ka amal kiya jaye.

Aane wale US trading session ki taraf dekhte hue, hisab kitab ko husharana tareeqay se sambhalna zaroori hai aur mazboot trading plan banaana zaroori hai jo market dynamics aur aane wale news events ko mad e nazar rakhta hai. Khabron ki data ko nazdeek se nigrani karte hue aur mustaqil rehkar, traders apne aap ko tabdeeli pasand market sentiments mein behtari se mauqoof bana sakte hain. Yeh proactive approach bechne walon ke liye mohtasib maqsoodon ke liye, achi munafaat ke moqaat hasil karne ki tawajjo ko darust karta hai.

Maujooda market sentiment ka zyada precise samajhne ke liye, aaj ke US trading session ke kholne ka intezaar karna faida mand hoga. Yeh qeemti insights faraham karega jo market direction ke tajziye mein potential ghaltiyon se bachne mein madad karega. Sabr aur market ke tajziye ki tarraqqi ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, traders aqalmand faisley kar sakte hain jo unke trading performance ko behtar banata hai aur naye moqaat ka faida uthane mein madad faraham karta hai.

Mukhtasar tor par, USD/JPY market bechne walon ke liye faide mand shoratat ko pesh karta hai, ek bullish trend continuation ke isharay ke saath. News-driven trades mein muntazim hissa lena, sath hi effective risk management practices, trading nateejay ko optimise kar sakta hai. Mustaqil aur market dynamics ke jawaabdeh rehkar, traders halaat-e-sod ko samundar mein tairna jaari rakh sakte hain aur foreign exchange landscape mein munafaat ke liye moqaat ko grasb kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY H-4 Timeframe Tahlil:

151.70 ke daire mein ek tehqiq ho rahi hai aur wahan se giravat mazeed jari reh sakti hai. 151.70 ke daire ka ek jhoota bhagna pehle se hi ho chuka hai aur is ke baad, hum dheere dheere ek giravat aur 151.00 ke trading range ka ek bhagna kar rahe hain. Mumkin hai ke 151.00 ke daire ko toorna aur is ke neeche mazid mustaqil hona, phir yeh ek farokht ka ishara ho ga. 152.00 ka ek jhoota bhagna ijaazat diya gaya hai aur aise ek bhagne ke baad, giravat jari rahe gi. Shaid mojooda halat mein, giravat jari rahe, is ke liye zaroori hai ke 151.00 ke daire ko toorna ho. 151.70 ke daire mein ek tehqiq ho rahi hai aur wahan se giravat mazeed jari reh sakti hai. 151.95 ke trading range ka tootne ke baad, mustaqbil mein mazid mazid mazid hosakta hai. Asal mein, 151.58 ke daire mein ek tehqiq hai aur jab hum isay toorna mein kamiyab ho jate hain, giravat mazeed jari rahe gi. Jo baqar jo bazar mein ho rahi hai woh ek tajwezat farokht ki tarah hai. Is ke baad, phir bhi behtar hai ke USD/JPY ko farokht karein. Shaid mojooda halat mein, humain abhi tak bari buland raftar ka koi bara sa daur nahi milay ga, lekin is ke baad, giravat phir bhi jari rahe gi. Choti si upar ki raftar ke baad, misaal ke liye 151.95 ke daire tak, giravat mazeed jari rahe gi. 150.88 ke trading range ka ek bhagna aur is ke neeche mazid hona farokht ka ek ishara hoga. Jab aap 150.50 ke daire ko toorna, jahan tehqiq ki ja rahi hai, phir isay neeche fix hone ke baad, giravat mazeed jari rahe gi. Farokht abhi bhi jari hai.

Paisay ke bazaar mein, ek ahem taraqqi ka waqia saamne aaya jab ek naye raste ka darwaza qaim ho gaya, jo ke maqbool range se bahar nikal kar dakshini rukh ki taraf phail gaya. Is markazi waqiya ke saath, jo range ke hadood se rukhsat hone ka nishan tha, kharidar fa'aliyat mein izafa dekha gaya. Mukhtalif tajziyat ke darmiyan yeh zamini intekhabat waziha hui jab volume metrics aur kharidar ke hadood ko par kiya gaya, jo ek naya paradigm shift ki nishani thi. Traditional hadood ko tor kar yeh ishaarey tajwezat mein koi behtari ki talash ko ishara dete thay. Jab ke bazaar ka manzar tabdeel hota gaya, yeh pair established range ke hadood ko chunte hue idhar udhar harkat karte rahe. Range ke ulat hadood ko dobara dekhne par, trading fa'aliyat apni maqbool hadoodon ke andar wapas shuru hui. Khaas tor par, range ke neechay hisson ke qareeb, kharidar ne apni shiraaqat ko barhaya, apni volume ki mojudgi ko buland kiya. Yeh tajwezati harkat kharidar ke yaqeen aur unki asal bazaar ki jazbaat ko zahir karte thi. Is bazaar ka waqiya ek tajwezati harkat aur adapte resilience ka hai. Maqbool tawaqo ka bawajood, kharidar ki dhamakedar harkatein riyawati soch ko nakaara. Unka bazaar mein tajwezati moqam na sirf unki volume ko barhaati thi, balki unki pair ke rukh par unki aetmaad ko bhi zahir karti thi. Bazaar ki dastan jaari rehti hai, dekhnay walay asal dynamics ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain jo in tahleelat ko chalne wale hain. Kharidar ke jazbaat, volume dynamics, aur bazaar ki hadoodon ke darmiyan ke taluqat ke darmiyan ek mukhtalif tasveer samajhne mein madad karti hai, jo ke mali asar mein hoti hai. Har muraad aur mod par, shiraaqeen mukhtalif manzar ko samajhte hue mali manzar mein maujood moqadasiyat ko talash karte hain

Aaj, chalein baat karte hain USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis ki. Currency pair ne 157.58 Fib line ko jaldi tor diya, aur bina kisi rukawat ke naye peaks tak pohanch gaya, jo ek lambay arsay ka uptrend darust kar raha hai. Jumeraat ko, neeche ki price movement ne be-maqsad shirakat daar ko hila diya, sirf lambay aur darmiyan-term ke kharid-dar dominant rahe. Ye further upward momentum ki gaurantee thi. Kamyabi ki kharidari mein tajurba zaroori hai, aur ek side-ways correction uttari raftar ka jari rehna ko zahir karta hai. Chhotay chart patterns ka nigrani karna, khaaskar paanch ya pandra-minute volumes par tawajjo dena, behtareen dakhil hone ke liye zaroori hai. Farokht ko USD/JPY ke utarna ke baad nahi shumar kia jata, aur aglay haftay ka nishana Fibonacci line aur daily ascending channel ke upper boundary par 160.00 hai. Keemat umeed se upar na uthay, magar woh kareeb 159.07 tak pohanch sakta hai, jaisa ke sone ka hal haal hi mein Fibonacci lines ke ird gird kiya. Technical analysis daily chart par ek tezi se ascending channel ko zahir karta hai, jo apni upper boundary tak 158.53 tak pohanch chuka hai, jo shayad ek lambay arsay ke nichle u-turn ki taraf ishara karta hai. Peer ko baraabari ki badi dakhal andazi ka imkaan hai, jo na-mumkin maana nahi ja sakta. Mazeed, Japani monetary policy pair ke uppar ki utarna-urdna raftar ko asar andazi karta hai, aur agar kisi bhi raat ko kat ka ishara mila, to ye neeche ki taraf ka u-turn jan sakta hai. Aglay Fed meeting ka aghaz budh hai, is coming trading days mein USD/JPY ke liye kuch ahem taraqiyan mumkin hain. Aane wale haftay mein ek muaqif ki tareekh hai. Haal hi mein price ka koi tabdeeli ka signal nahi hai. Ek khas miqdaar ke market instruments ko ek muaqif ki stage mein jaane ka imkaan hai.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Guzishtah hafte ke tejarati session ke ikhtetam par US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode ne ghair mutawaqqe taur par mazbut oopri raftar hasil ki. Isi tarah, jodi ne naye tejarti hafte ka aaghaz faide ke sath kiya. Peer ko, dollar/yen ke jode ne 160.00 ki nafsiyati satah ka bhi test kiya.



Ab mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda 157.40 ki support satah par wapas aa jayega. Agar qimat is se niche fix ho jati hai to to, yah reversal ki pahli alamat hogi. Jodi mumkena taur par 156.10 tak aur fir 155.00 ki nafsiyati satah tak fisal jayegi. Iske bad, tawaqqo hai keh qimat 160.00 ke nishan se ooper jane ki ek aur koshish karegi, Bank of Japan mumkena taur par currency ki sherah me mudakhlat karega. Is dauran, dollar/yen ka joda 157.40 ki support satah tak piche hatne aur is se niche tootne ka imkan hai. Iske bad qimat mumkena taur par 157.40 support satah ki taraf badhegi, is se ucchelegi, aur 160.00 ki nafsiyati muzahmati satah par dobara faida uthana shuru kar degi.

usd/jpy price outlook.
Main is tamashay ko Japani authorities se dekhta hoon aur samajhta hoon, ek baar phir, ke mere nazriyat dobara se tasdeeq hote hain ke na to Japani authorities aur na hi unka local bank kuch zyada kar sakte hain bina states ke ijazat ke. Aaj phir subah Minister of Finance ne elaane kiya ke woh tayaar hain action ke liye, lekin is pe background mein, USDJPY pair ki keemat barhti rahi. Aur states bas unhe "action" karne ke liye ijazat nahi dete jab woh bekar ho, kyunke wahan sab forex interventions United States ke swap lines se jude hue hain, is liye, jaise hi unhe faida ho, tab unhone go-ahead dena hai. Toh yeh haqeeqat hai ke woh sellers jo behak rahe hain ke Bank of Japan ab market mein dakhil ho jayega aur "bohot zyada zor se maar dega" jisse dollar/yen pair south ki taraf patthar ki tarah ud jayega, woh log hain jo ko aagayi se nikaal diye ja rahe hain. Jaise hi jama hue, tab humein ek mahalli ulat pher aajayegi, isey ab banaane ke liye, keemat ko 152.60-75 ke neeche wapas laane ki zaroorat hai, aur is level ko toden, toh support 151.60-70 tak wapas aajaye, is haalat mein, haan, aap giraawat ki sambhaavna ko dekh sakte hain.
chart analysis.

Samaajh lo, market ne ab tak is barabar ke growth ko tasdeeq kar diya hai. Hum channel ke saath chalte hain 156th figure tak resistance tak. Main is harkat ka khatam hone ka umeed 156.23 mein karta hoon, lekin agar plans badal jayein, toh growth target 155.28 hoga. Main yeh theek nahi keh sakta ke yeh bilkul wahi hoga, lekin agar humein plan ko adapt aur samjhota karna padta hai, toh pehle wajeh 155.28 level hoga USD/JPY pair mein. Lagta hai ke kharidne walon ko bechne walon se pehle ki movement mein faida hai, toh is point tak ek railli ki umeed hai, lekin uske baad ek ulat pher mumkin hai. Agar upar ki movement ka nakami hota hai, toh hum neeche ke plan pe aage badenge, jahan support level 152.42 hoga. Kyunki yeh sirf ek pullback hoga, toh is keemat pe kharidna justified ho sakta hai. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke aisi strategy kaam kar sakti hai, aur main exactly is silsile mein kaam karne ki peshkash karta hoon.

Fundamental outlook.
Jumeraat ko Japanese Yen (JPY) apni American humraah ke khilaaf taza multi-decade low 156.99 tak gir gaya, jab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne policy settings ko be-naqab karne ka faisla kiya aur US data ne Amerika mein mazeed taizi se inflation ko dikhaya.

Yen ko BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke tajwezat se koi rahat nahi mili post-meeting press conference ke doran. Jaise hi JPY ko bachaane ka koshish lag rahi thi Jumeraat ke subah, woh sirf temporary taur par recover hua aur ek bhari bechnay ki taraf bias qaim rehti hai. BoJ ke uncertain rate outlook, Japan mein inflation ke thandak ke signs, aur ek umooman ma'amool ke mutabiq equity markets ke ird gird ke tone, safe-haven JPY ko tehqeeq karne wale aham factors nikalte hain.

Is ke ilawa, umeed hai ke Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate differential kuch arse tak wide rahay ga, jo JPY ke liye neechay ki taraf ka rasta asaan saabit hota hai. Intehai, US Dollar (USD) ne taza kharidaaron ko apni taraf khench liya aur peechle dinon ka haal zyada weak US GDP print ke baad do hafton ka low dikhate hue slide ko ulta kiya, jaisay hi Federal Reserve (Fed) daraye ka dawa kare ga ke woh lambay arse tak rate ko buland rakhe ga.

USD/JPY continues rising after US core PCE data

USD/JPY ki oonchi raftaar ko mazid barhawa mila March core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) ke isha'at ke baad, jo ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki pasandidah inflasi ka dohra shahkar hai.US Core PCE mein se 2.8% YoY ke inkaar se zyada reading aayi, jab ke analysts ne 2.6% ka tawaqqul rakha tha 2.8% ke pehle, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ke mutabiq. Mahine mein, core PCE 0.3% mein barh gaya, umeedon ke mutabiq aur pehle jaise.Ye data sirf Federal Reserve ke ek interest-rate cut ki ihtimam mein thori tabdeeli laya, jo ke 59% se 60% tak pohanch gaya Jumeraat ke subah ki ghatna se pehle.PCE report ke doosre data mein dikhaya gaya ke headline Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index 2.7% tak barh gaya, 2.6% ke tajawuz aur pehle ke 2.5% ke mukable. Mahine mein, PCE 0.3% barha, jaisa ke tawaqqul tha aur pehle waise.Personal Income 0.5% barha, tawaqqul ke mutabiq aur Personal Spending 0.8% barhi, 0.6% ke tawaqqulon ko peechay chor kar aur pehle waise 0.8%.

Pichle april ke shuru mein, aik tahafuz ka lamha tha jo biknay walon ki taraf se ek koshish nazar aaya jo mombatti ki position ko neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe the taake wo neeche jaaye, yeh koshish sirf 146.53 ke neeche ya SMA 100 indicator ke neeche ke position tak le aayi. Lekin April ke shuru se ab tak mombatti phir se buland ho gayi hai kyun ke ab tak market ke qeemat 154.22 ke qareeb hai. Magar bull trend barabar chalne ka imkaan nahi deta kyun ke aaj subah se ek neeche ki tajwez hui hai.
Agar monday ko market ke khulne wale position se ab tak ke qeemat ka muqabla kiya jaye jo ke bohot wide range mein bullish side ki taraf ja rahi hai, is haftay ke price travel ke maamlay se yeh nateeja nikala ja sakta hai ke price ek temporary correction ka saamna kar rahi hai ek bullish safar ke darmiyan. Mumkin hai ke aaj market phir se bullish side par aa jaye aur agle kuch dino tak jaari rahe. Mawazna ke taur par, mojooda mombatti ki position pehle haftay ke sab se kam position se door ja sakti hai. Qeemat ke chalne mein abhi bhi bullish side ki ek moqa hai jab tak ke aaj market ke haalaat ko upar jaane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai

Magar jaise hamesha Asian market session jo ke abhi bhi khaamosh hai, yeh tehqiq hai ke ab bhi qeemat ke tahafuz ka lamha hoga jab tak ke Amrici session ka ibtida ho ke transaction volume ka izafa dekha ja sake. Aglay UsdJpy jodi ke trend ka tajwez ab bhi kharidar ke kontrol mein hai jiski maqsad qeemat ko barhane ki taraf ja kar ek ziada qeemat wale ilaqe ko test karna hai. Ek Buy position kholne ke liye, aap ko qeemat ko phir se 154.51 ke position tak barhne ka intezaar karna chahiye kyun ke subah se shaam tak ek neeche ki tajwez ka imkaan hota hai. Position kholne mein jaldi na karen kyun ke market correction aur consolidation harkaton ka shikaar hai

Japanese yen dollar pair ke chaar ghantay ka chart tajziya karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke yeh 155 yen per dollar ke dar tak pohonchne se pehle durust karna tay karsakti hai. Lekin, main is par bohot shak karta hoon aur yeh kehta hoon ke yeh ek dhoka hosakta hai American session mein. Kal hum saalana ziada ke qeemat ko 154,800 pe update karne ki koshish karenge, isse tor karke aur Japanese yen ke daam 155,000 tak pohochne ki koshish karenge. Lekin agar bearish scenario hoti hai, toh sabse pehle humein 152.500 ke darja par wapas ana hoga, jo ke karna zaroori hai, phir agay barhna hoga taqatwar darje tak jahan current izafa shuru hua - 151.700. Wahan pe asal waqiat pesh aayenge, yaani ke 23.6 Fibonacci par 151.400 ke daam par neeche jana. Yeh bearish rukh ke liye aik aisa manzar hai

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke surkhi rang ke muqablay ke lal resistance line ko cross kiya, lekin 154.721 tak barh gayi, jahan pe usne apne izafe ko rok diya aur mustaqil tor par girna shuru kiya. Ab aalaat mojooda waqt mein 154.206 ke daam par trade kar rahi hai. Sab kuch yeh dekhte hue, mujhe tawaqquf aur market ke daam farahmi ka intezar hai aur nichay channel line 2nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche jamay honay ka intezar hai aur agay LR linear channel ke golden average line 147.731 tak ja kar, FIBO level 23.6% ke sath mil jaye. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators overbought area mein hain aur short sell trade kholne ka acha mauka dikhate hain