USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Kal ke kamzori ne price ko daily support level 144.68 tak le aya hai, jo is waqt tak bearish price movement ko daily basis par rok raha hai. Is timeframe mein bearish trend ab bhi nazar aa raha hai jahan price EMA 200 daily ke niche move kar rahi hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ab bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain. Jo thoda bahut strengthen hua hai, woh ab bhi iske bearish trend mein ek bullish correction phase ka hissa hai. Daily stochastic yeh dikha raha hai ke seller ki taqat market mein wapas aa rahi hai, jahan kal se price par hone wale pressure ne stochastic line ko neeche ki taraf kar diya hai.

Bearish candle Tuesday ke trading ke doran price movements se bani hai, jahan high aur low prices 147.22 aur 145.16 par hain. Agar seller 144.68 ke support ko todne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to price ke dobara kamzor hone ke chances barh jate hain, jiska target daily support 142.27 hoga aur EMA 633 daily jo ke ab 141.58 par price ke saath cross kar raha hai, usko test karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar support 144.68 todne mein nakam rehta hai, to buyers ko price ko dobara upar push karne ka moka mil sakta hai jahan qareebi target daily resistance 146.34 hoga.

Buyers ke liye price movement ka rukh badalne ke liye abhi kafi lamba safar hai. Agar resistance 146.37 tod diya jata hai, to 147.63 ka area agla target hoga. Daily basis par chalne wale trend ke mutabiq, bearish price ka potential ab bhi open hai, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke reversal ho jaye, agar is haftay price ko drive karne wale factors ki taraf se intervention hoti hai, is liye buyers ko behter price par momentum wapas aane ka intezar karna chahiye.
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Technical analysis of the USDJPY pair

Daily chart par, ek price peak ban gayi thi jo monthly pivot level aur upper channel lines ke saath thi, aur price ne downward trend shuru kar diya. Is mahine price ne ek white-marked triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya, jo ke do channels ke nateeje mein bana hai jo pichle do mahine ke dauran price movement ko represent karte hain—pehle ek downward trend aur phir ek month ke liye sideways trend.

Aane wale dino mein, price ke niche triangle line aur monthly support level 141.63 tak pahunchne ki umeed hai, aur is area mein price behavior agle price direction ko determine karega. Agar price 4 ghante ke liye triangle aur support level ke neeche decline aur stabilize hoti hai, to further decline ki umeed hai jo monthly support level 137.07 tak ho sakti hai.

Upar ke trend ke liye, yeh rely kiya ja sakta hai agar price 141.63 level se support le aur current triangle ke upar 4 ghante tak trade kare.

Economic side par, pair price ne Bank of Japan ke Governor, Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish guidance ki wajah se girawat dekhi. Ueda ne is saal Bank of Japan ko interest rates ko aur barhane ki zaroorat ko dohraaya, aur stress kiya ke central bank economic aur inflationary conditions ke expectations ke mutabiq hone par action lene se nahi hichkichayega. Is comment ne Japanese yen ko boost diya, aur USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. US dollar ki strength ke bawajood, jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke 102.00 tak rise hone se zahir hoti hai, USD/JPY pair abhi bhi pressure mein hai. US dollar ne rise kiya hai jab investors ne upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for August ke liye cautious stance apnaya, jo Friday ko aane wala hai. Yeh economic data crucial hai kyunki Federal Reserve apna focus labor market ke downside risks ko manage karne par shift kar raha hai, aur yeh confidence ke sath ke inflation apne 2% target ki taraf wapas aa rahi hai.

USD/JPY ka current pricing behavior kuch is tarah se hai ke is pair ne kaafi significant decline dekhi hai, lekin abhi sell positions lena itna munasib nahi hai. Pichle hafte, price ne descending channel se breakout kiya, isliye jo current drop hai, wo abhi bhi corrective pattern ke saath align karta hai. 144.39 par ek mazboot support level hai jo aage ke decline ko rok sakta hai, isliye long positions ka ek potential opportunity ban sakti hai. Lekin, pullback ki gehraai ko dekhte hue, ye zaroori hai ke chhote time frames se confirmation signal ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke minor resistance 146.29 ke upar breakout. Target ke liye, Fibonacci grid ke initial impulse par stretch karne par, 161.8% level lagbhag 149.59 par ek potential goal hai, jo recent high se thoda upar hai.

Aaj, pair lower boundary 145.79 par dip kiya, lekin decline ko sustain nahi kar paaya aur phir se reversal aur upward move dekhne ko mila. Ab, main anticipate karta hoon ke potential growth channel ke upper boundary 147.93 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Dekhna hoga ke price apni current position se aur girti hai ya nahi, lekin ek cheez clear hai: 151.83 ke nazdeek correction hone tak, main sell position consider nahi karunga. Market abhi indecisive lagti hai, na to bulls aur na hi bears direction firmly establish kar rahe hain. Jab tak price 151.83 ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, main bearish outlook ke taraf lean karta hoon. Is pair pe action lene se pehle clearer signals ka intezaar karna behtar hoga.

US dollar filhal market ke halaat ke bawajood stability dhoond raha hai, aur ¥145 ka level ek ahem balance point ban gaya hai. Yeh dekhna abhi baaqi hai ke kya yeh level support ke taur par kaam karega, lekin agar yahan se bounce hota hai to isse yeh indicate hoga ke bechne ka pressure kam ho raha hai.

Federal Reserve ke taraf se kai rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo is market par kafi asar daalti hai. Lekin Japan ko apni economy ke badi debt ke wajah se masail ka saamna hai, jo uski monetary policy ko tighten karne ki ability ko limit karta hai. Is complex situation mein traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye kyunki market ke halaat tezi se badal sakte hain.

Is scenario ko dekhte hue, traders kisi bhi momentum ka faida utha sakte hain. Jab tak exchange rate ¥142 level ke upar rahe, tab tak ek bottoming process hone ki umeed hai. Lekin agar price is level ke niche chali jati hai, to zyada girawat ka khatra ho sakta hai.

Halanki pair ko hold karna uncertain hai, lekin isme ek din ka interest payment milta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke pehli rate cut ke baad aur bhi attractive ho jata hai. Yeh aspect traders ka dhyan khinch sakta hai, khaaskar agar market ne rate cut ke extent ko zyada anticipate kiya tha. Agar market asal mein overvalued hota hai, to yeh broader financial problems ka signal bhi ho sakta hai, sirf is currency pair ka nahi.

Kull mila kar, jab US dollar apni position dhoond raha hai, to US rate cuts aur Japan ki economic restrictions ke darmiyan delicate balance bana hua hai jise traders ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Bottoming process ka potential hai, lekin risks bhi significant hain, khaaskar agar yeh sirf key support levels ke upar barh jaye.

USD/JPY ki qeematon ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aam tor par, agar bullish trend lagatar barh raha ho to ye ek dilchasp aur complex pattern banata hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, jab trend line tor di gayi thi, to ek technical rejection expect kiya gaya tha, jo ke hone bhi laga. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka challenge local minimum 141.787 ke aas paas expected tha, aur 139 figure ka breakdown ka bhi socha gaya tha. Lekin ye scenario jaise expect kiya gaya tha waisa nahi hua. Iske bajaye, ek buyer ne achanak se bearish momentum ka counter kiya aur bullish correction phase shuru kar diya. Ye movement koi khatarnaak nishani nahi hai, lekin sellers shayad zyada capital chah rahe hon. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega.

Kal ke uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne aaj kursi hi raasta badal diya, magar koi zyada kamzori nahi dikhayi. Jab correction extend hui, to price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin ye level tabhi critical hai jab bears isse aur neeche le jayein. Aaj ke downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko tor diya, aur ab price uske neeche stabilize karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Agar price stabilize ho jati hai to sell entry point tayar ho sakta hai, jo pair ko agle support level 144.73 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls wapas upper hand le lein, to price 145.93 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai aur bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne abhi tak 50% resistance level 149.62 tak advance complete nahi kiya hai, aur bears intervene kar rahe hain, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Chart dikhata hai ke price thoda rebound hui hai 1/8 angle se aur 1/13 angle ke upar hai. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karti hai, to bears price ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, shayad ek full bearish cycle resume karne ke liye.

Abhi hum USD/JPY currency pair ki current price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne noticeable decline experience kiya hai, lekin sell positions lena thoda jaldi ho ga. Guzishta hafta, price ne descending channel se breakout kiya, is liye current drop abhi bhi ek corrective pattern ke mutabiq hai. Aik strong support level 144.39 par maujood hai, jo further declines ke against ek safety net provide karta hai, aur yeh long positions ke liye aik potential opportunity ho sakta hai. Lekin, pullback ki gehrai ke madde nazar, yeh zaroori hai ke hum shorter time frames par ek confirmation signal ka intizar karein, jaise ke 146.29 ke minor resistance se upar ka break. Target wise, agar Fibonacci grid ko initial impulse par stretch kiya jaye, to 161.8% ka level kareeban 149.59 par aata hai, jo recent high se thoda upar hai.
Price abhi aik ascending price channel ke andar exchange ho raha hai. Aaj, yeh pair lower boundary 145.79 tak dip hua lekin yeh decline ko sustain nahi kar saka, jis ke baad reversal aaya aur upward move shuru hui. Ab, mein expect kar raha hoon ke yeh potential growth channel ki upper boundary 147.93 tak ho sakti hai. Abhi yeh dekhna baqi hai ke price apni current position se neeche jati hai ya nahi, lekin ek baat wazeh hai ke agar price 151.83 ke qareeb aati hai to mein sell position consider nahi karunga. Market abhi tak indecisive lag rahi hai, bulls aur bears dono ne apni direction clear nahi ki hai. Jab tak price 151.83 se upar stabilize nahi hoti, mera rujhan bearish outlook ki taraf hai. Mera khayal hai ke is pair par action lena tab tak defer kar dena chahiye jab tak zyada clear signals saamne nahi aate.

USD/JPY pair ne Wednesday ko intraday declines face kiye jab DXY ne Treasury data ki recovery se ground gain kiya. Is ke bawajood, JPY ne early Asian hours mein 148.50 ke qareeb ek notable char-maheenon ka high touch kiya. Is price uptick ka aik hissa Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke recent, unexpected hawkish policy announcements se bhi jura ho sakta hai.
**BoJ ki Hawkish Moves aur Fed Speculation ka Currency Dynamics par Asar**

BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne surprise policy adjustments ki reasoning explain ki. Ueda ne bataya ke yeh zaroori tha ke monetary easing ki degree ko modify kiya jaye taake 2% inflation target ko sustainably aur steadily achieve kiya ja sake. Ueda ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke Bank apne interest rate hikes ko further increase karne ke liye committed hai. Yen ki upward momentum ko barhane mein Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka bhi hissa hai, jo ke 2 September se apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, BoJ ki policy shift ke alignment mein.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar headwinds ka samna kar raha hai jab market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aane wale interest rate decision ka intizar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ke liye scheduled hai. Halanki Fed se yeh umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko unchanged rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ki speculation barh rahi hai. Yeh anticipation USD par pressure dal raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein continuous selling ko barhawa de raha hai.

**USD/JPY Technical Breakdown: Key Levels aur Trend Analysis**

Pair ne 146.00 ke key psychological level se neeche fall kiya, aur March ke baad pehli martaba is mark se neeche close kiya. Pair ne significant volatility face ki, 150-pip range mein fluctuate karta raha aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ke low 144.74 par bhej diya. Jab Asian session Wednesday ko shuru hota hai, major pair 145.07 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke previous close se thoda hi farq dikhata hai.

Hourly chart par pair ka analysis reveal karta hai ke pair descending wedge pattern se neeche break kar chuka hai. Yeh technical signal yeh suggest karta hai ke bearish trend likely continue karega rather than reverse. Iske ilawa, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bhi 30 se neeche position hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke currency asset potentially oversold hai aur short-term rebound experience kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast
Yeh currency pair abhi downward trend ke mutabiq move kar raha hai agar hum current event ko dekhen. Pehli movement ko madde nazar rakhein to main yeh andaza laga sakta hoon ke price lower limit ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur agar yeh breakout hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke price mazeed neeche jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Jab test ho raha hoga, main rebound pe northern direction mein entry ka mauqa dhoondunga, aur agar kisi chhoti frame mein buying ka pattern nazar aaya to usay identify karunga.

Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke regulator ne is haftay intervene kiya jab price bina kisi wazeh wajah ke decline karna shuru hui, us waqt jab buyers ne heavy EMA 120 ke upar apni position secure karli thi. Is hafte main ghaur se dekhunga ke price narrowing formation mein kaise behave karti hai aur haftay ke aakhir mein movement ke natayej ke mutabiq kya priorities samne aati hain. Ab tak, direction dono sides ki taraf ho sakti hai, lekin preference ab bhi southern side ko hi hai.

Main weekly chart par dollar yen pair ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ascending trend line ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab buyer ne apna profit fix karna shuru kiya, to pair ne decline karna shuru kar diya. Yeh kafi actively gir rahi thi, aur phir yeh 141.508 tak gir gayi. Chhoti timeframes, jaise ke daily chart par, main yeh samjha ke yeh buyers ke stops ko hit kar rahi thi.

Weekly chart par bhi yeh sab kuch future growth ke continuation jaisa lag raha tha. Phir bhi, mujhe koi wazeh wajah nazar nahi aayi thi ke pair kyun decline kar rahi thi. Ueda ne kaha ke Bank of Japan ki policy, jo wo pursue kar rahe hain, ka maqsad yen ko mazid strong karna nahi hai, balki sirf yen ke strong devaluation ko rokna hai. Mazid devaluation supply aur demand ke imbalance ko nahi rokta.

Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab yen zyada cheap hota hai to supply aur demand ka imbalance hota hai, aur jab yeh moderately cheap hota hai to yeh mulk ke liye bura nahi hai. Is liye main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke yeh pair mazeed growth karega aur apni pehli maximums ki taraf jayega.

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast
Yeh currency pair abhi downward trend ke mutabiq move kar raha hai agar hum current event ko dekhen. Pehli movement ko madde nazar rakhein to main yeh andaza laga sakta hoon ke price lower limit ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur agar yeh breakout hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke price mazeed neeche jane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Jab test ho raha hoga, main rebound pe northern direction mein entry ka mauqa dhoondunga, aur agar kisi chhoti frame mein buying ka pattern nazar aaya to usay identify karunga.

Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke regulator ne is haftay intervene kiya jab price bina kisi wazeh wajah ke decline karna shuru hui, us waqt jab buyers ne heavy EMA 120 ke upar apni position secure karli thi. Is hafte main ghaur se dekhunga ke price narrowing formation mein kaise behave karti hai aur haftay ke aakhir mein movement ke natayej ke mutabiq kya priorities samne aati hain. Ab tak, direction dono sides ki taraf ho sakti hai, lekin preference ab bhi southern side ko hi hai.

Main weekly chart par dollar yen pair ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ascending trend line ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab buyer ne apna profit fix karna shuru kiya, to pair ne decline karna shuru kar diya. Yeh kafi actively gir rahi thi, aur phir yeh 141.508 tak gir gayi. Chhoti timeframes, jaise ke daily chart par, main yeh samjha ke yeh buyers ke stops ko hit kar rahi thi.

Weekly chart par bhi yeh sab kuch future growth ke continuation jaisa lag raha tha. Phir bhi, mujhe koi wazeh wajah nazar nahi aayi thi ke pair kyun decline kar rahi thi. Ueda ne kaha ke Bank of Japan ki policy, jo wo pursue kar rahe hain, ka maqsad yen ko mazid strong karna nahi hai, balki sirf yen ke strong devaluation ko rokna hai. Mazid devaluation supply aur demand ke imbalance ko nahi rokta.

Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab yen zyada cheap hota hai to supply aur demand ka imbalance hota hai, aur jab yeh moderately cheap hota hai to yeh mulk ke liye bura nahi hai. Is liye main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke yeh pair mazeed growth karega aur apni pehli maximums ki taraf jayega.

Upward impulse already ban chuka hai, aur is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. 145.50 ke level par resistance hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari hai. Current position se girawat 144.80 ke neeche tak jaari reh sakti hai. Ek chhota upward impulse bhi ban sakta hai jab 145.60 ka false breakout ho, aur is ke baad girawat phir se shuru hogi. 145.60 tak ek correction ho sakta hai, lekin phir is ke baad girawat ka silsila jaari rahega. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke mazid strength ke baad girawat wapas se shuru ho. 145.90 tak ek upward correction bhi ban sakta hai, lekin is ke baad phir girawat jaari rahegi.
Agar chart ko dekha jaye, to chauthi wave (halaan ke triangle mein entry dekhte hue, yeh paanchvi lagti hai) triangle structure mein ban chuki hai, aur paanchvi (ya chhathi) wave growth ki rebound par shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh America mein us waqt ho sakti hai jab US labor market ki statistics release hongi, ya phir 144.30 ke support level tak aur ek girawat ho sakti hai, jo is formation ko break karne ki koshish karte hue girawat ko mazid strong karegi.

Is liye hum signal ka intezar kar rahe hain market mein entry ke liye. Purchases ke liye, 144.50 se rebound aur 145.70 ke upar trading wapas aana zaroori hai, lekin conservative trading ke liye behtar hoga ke figure se proper exit ka intezar kiya jaye aur is exit ki confirmation ho. Aur sales us waqt karenge jab pair 144.30 ke neeche trading karega, jahan hum pair ko 141.80 ya shayad 140.30 ke area mein pakar sakte hain.

Upward impulse already ban chuka hai, aur is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. 145.50 ke level par resistance hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari hai. Current position se girawat 144.80 ke neeche tak jaari reh sakti hai. Ek chhota upward impulse bhi ban sakta hai jab 145.60 ka false breakout ho, aur is ke baad girawat phir se shuru hogi. 145.60 tak ek correction ho sakta hai, lekin phir is ke baad girawat ka silsila jaari rahega. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke mazid strength ke baad girawat wapas se shuru ho. 145.90 tak ek upward correction bhi ban sakta hai, lekin is ke baad phir girawat jaari rahegi.
Agar chart ko dekha jaye, to chauthi wave (halaan ke triangle mein entry dekhte hue, yeh paanchvi lagti hai) triangle structure mein ban chuki hai, aur paanchvi (ya chhathi) wave growth ki rebound par shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh America mein us waqt ho sakti hai jab US labor market ki statistics release hongi, ya phir 144.30 ke support level tak aur ek girawat ho sakti hai, jo is formation ko break karne ki koshish karte hue girawat ko mazid strong karegi.

Is liye hum signal ka intezar kar rahe hain market mein entry ke liye. Purchases ke liye, 144.50 se rebound aur 145.70 ke upar trading wapas aana zaroori hai, lekin conservative trading ke liye behtar hoga ke figure se proper exit ka intezar kiya jaye aur is exit ki confirmation ho. Aur sales us waqt karenge jab pair 144.30 ke neeche trading karega, jahan hum pair ko 141.80 ya shayad 140.30 ke area mein pakar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Price Move
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior par baat kar rahe hain. Aaj USD/JPY pair ne decline kiya aur apne target ko pohanch gaya, support level 145.44 ko test kiya aur ab 145.81 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur upwards trend dikhata hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) oversold condition ko signal kar raha hai. Pair abhi bhi pehle din ke trading range ke neeche hai, jo ke possible reversal ka ishara hai. Ab price resistance level 146.94 ko test karega. Filhaal, main USD/JPY pair ko 4-hour time frame mein dekh raha hoon, jahan sellers ne price ko kafi neeche push kiya hai, lekin unki momentum ab kam ho rahi hai. Mujhe buying ka ek mauqa 144.063 par nazar aa raha hai, jahan profit ka target upper resistance level 146.778 par hai. Yeh setup favorable risk-to-reward ratio offer karta hai, jo ke agar market conditions achi rahin to achi profit de sakta hai.

Pair ne daily chart par kayi din se upward move kiya hai, lekin aaj bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai. Abhi yeh clear nahi ke downtrend jaari rahega ya humein kisi aur scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aaj ki news ke mutabiq, U.S. se positive data aya hai, lekin mazeed significant news ki umeed nahi. Japan se bhi koi bari update nahi aayi hai, jab 10-year Japanese bond auction khatam hui. Zyada clarity ke liye, chaliye technical analysis par nazar dalte hain. Moving averages selling ka ishara kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi sell recommendation ke sath align karte hain, jo ke aur bearish movement ka ishara hai. Lekin ek decisive move ki zarurat abhi bhi hai.

Current conditions ke mutabiq, main aaj ke din sideways movement dekh raha hoon, jahan sales ka imkaan 145.49 ke support level tak ho sakta hai aur buys 146.29 ke resistance level tak. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair near future mein sideways trade karega.

USD/JPY Price Move
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior par baat kar rahe hain. Aaj USD/JPY pair ne decline kiya aur apne target ko pohanch gaya, support level 145.44 ko test kiya aur ab 145.81 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur upwards trend dikhata hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) oversold condition ko signal kar raha hai. Pair abhi bhi pehle din ke trading range ke neeche hai, jo ke possible reversal ka ishara hai. Ab price resistance level 146.94 ko test karega. Filhaal, main USD/JPY pair ko 4-hour time frame mein dekh raha hoon, jahan sellers ne price ko kafi neeche push kiya hai, lekin unki momentum ab kam ho rahi hai. Mujhe buying ka ek mauqa 144.063 par nazar aa raha hai, jahan profit ka target upper resistance level 146.778 par hai. Yeh setup favorable risk-to-reward ratio offer karta hai, jo ke agar market conditions achi rahin to achi profit de sakta hai.

Pair ne daily chart par kayi din se upward move kiya hai, lekin aaj bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai. Abhi yeh clear nahi ke downtrend jaari rahega ya humein kisi aur scenario ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aaj ki news ke mutabiq, U.S. se positive data aya hai, lekin mazeed significant news ki umeed nahi. Japan se bhi koi bari update nahi aayi hai, jab 10-year Japanese bond auction khatam hui. Zyada clarity ke liye, chaliye technical analysis par nazar dalte hain. Moving averages selling ka ishara kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi sell recommendation ke sath align karte hain, jo ke aur bearish movement ka ishara hai. Lekin ek decisive move ki zarurat abhi bhi hai.

Current conditions ke mutabiq, main aaj ke din sideways movement dekh raha hoon, jahan sales ka imkaan 145.49 ke support level tak ho sakta hai aur buys 146.29 ke resistance level tak. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair near future mein sideways trade karega.

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke liye Tips
146.15 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar tha, jo ke pair ke upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Isi wajah se maine dollar nahi khareeda, aur mera andaza sahi sabit hua. Asian session ke baad se jo downward trend dekha gaya, uske hawalay se selling ke entry points dhundhna zyada logical tha. Isi tarah, 146.15 ka doosra test jab MACD overbought area mein tha, yeh wazeh ho gaya ke dollar girna jaari rakhega. Is sab ka natija 90 pips se zyada girawat ki surat mein samne aya. Sellers ne weak U.S. manufacturing data ka ache tareeke se jawab diya, jo ke pair ke significant drop ka sabab bana.

Aaj ke din ke services sector ke business activity index aur Japan ke composite PMI ki report ne dollar par pressure aur yen ki demand ko barqarar rakha, is liye behtar yeh hoga ke downward trend ke continuation par trade kiya jaye. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenario No. 1 aur Scenario No. 2 par focus karunga.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab yeh 145.58 ke aas paas pohanche, jo ke chart par green line se mark kiya gaya hai, aur meri goal hogi ke price 146.68 tak uthe, jo ke chart par thicker green line se mark ki gayi hai. 146.68 ke area mein, main apni long positions exit karunga aur short positions open karunga, umeed hai ke level se 30-35 pips ka reverse movement ho. Pair mein aaj ke din rise ki umeed sirf ek upward correction ke andar ho sakti hai. Important: Buying se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur us se rise karna shuru kare.

Scenario No. 2: Agar 144.98 ka do dafa consecutive test ho jata hai jab MACD oversold area mein ho, to main USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banaunga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upturn par le ayega. Growth ki umeed 145.58 aur 146.68 ke opposite levels tak ho sakti hai.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY ko aaj ke din sirf tab sell karunga jab 144.98 ka test hoga, jo chart par red line se mark kiya gaya hai. Is se pair mein rapid decline ka imkaan hoga. Sellers ke liye key target 144.31 ka level hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur turant long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, umeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke liye bearish market ab tak khatam nahi hui. **Important:** Selling se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline shuru ho chuka ho.

Scenario No. 2: Agar 145.58 ka do dafa consecutive test ho jata hai jab MACD overbought area mein ho, to main USD/JPY ko sell karunga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downturn par le ayega. Decline ki umeed 144.98 aur 144.31 ke opposite levels tak ho sakti hai.

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke liye Tips
146.15 ka price test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar tha, jo ke pair ke upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Isi wajah se maine dollar nahi khareeda, aur mera andaza sahi sabit hua. Asian session ke baad se jo downward trend dekha gaya, uske hawalay se selling ke entry points dhundhna zyada logical tha. Isi tarah, 146.15 ka doosra test jab MACD overbought area mein tha, yeh wazeh ho gaya ke dollar girna jaari rakhega. Is sab ka natija 90 pips se zyada girawat ki surat mein samne aya. Sellers ne weak U.S. manufacturing data ka ache tareeke se jawab diya, jo ke pair ke significant drop ka sabab bana.

Aaj ke din ke services sector ke business activity index aur Japan ke composite PMI ki report ne dollar par pressure aur yen ki demand ko barqarar rakha, is liye behtar yeh hoga ke downward trend ke continuation par trade kiya jaye. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenario No. 1 aur Scenario No. 2 par focus karunga.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banata hoon jab yeh 145.58 ke aas paas pohanche, jo ke chart par green line se mark kiya gaya hai, aur meri goal hogi ke price 146.68 tak uthe, jo ke chart par thicker green line se mark ki gayi hai. 146.68 ke area mein, main apni long positions exit karunga aur short positions open karunga, umeed hai ke level se 30-35 pips ka reverse movement ho. Pair mein aaj ke din rise ki umeed sirf ek upward correction ke andar ho sakti hai. Important: Buying se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur us se rise karna shuru kare.

Scenario No. 2: Agar 144.98 ka do dafa consecutive test ho jata hai jab MACD oversold area mein ho, to main USD/JPY khareedne ka plan banaunga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upturn par le ayega. Growth ki umeed 145.58 aur 146.68 ke opposite levels tak ho sakti hai.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY ko aaj ke din sirf tab sell karunga jab 144.98 ka test hoga, jo chart par red line se mark kiya gaya hai. Is se pair mein rapid decline ka imkaan hoga. Sellers ke liye key target 144.31 ka level hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur turant long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, umeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke liye bearish market ab tak khatam nahi hui. **Important:** Selling se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline shuru ho chuka ho.

Scenario No. 2: Agar 145.58 ka do dafa consecutive test ho jata hai jab MACD overbought area mein ho, to main USD/JPY ko sell karunga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downturn par le ayega. Decline ki umeed 144.98 aur 144.31 ke opposite levels tak ho sakti hai.