USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Ke Liye Maamoolat Ki Taja Tareen Soorat-e-Haal** Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.

Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Ka Science

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke live analysis ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab forecast sahi kaam karta hai, to iska matlab hai ke analysis kaafi productive thi aur sabse chhoti vulnerabilities ko reveal kar diya. Kal ke US job vacancies data, jo JOLTS se aya, ke baad September mein 0.50% Fed rate cut ke chances mein tez izafa hua hai. Aur Bank of Japan ke actions ko na bhi dekhte hue, yeh kehna safe hai ke USD/JPY pair aise market expectations ke sath decline karti rahegi, dono dollar aur yen ke liye. Fed ke actions dollar ko kamzor karenge, aur Bank of Japan ke actions yen ko majbooti denge. Yeh basic fundamental scenario hai jis par market focus kar raha hai.

USD/JPY ne kal ke news ke baad breakdown kiya. Unhone 144.5 par triangle ke lower border ko tod diya aur phir se 100 points neeche gir gaye. Ab hum American session ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake trading ke agle direction ko samjha ja sake. Ab market mein sab kuch aane wale American statistics par depend karta hai. Aaj aur kal important data ki umeed hai jo significant movements ko push karega. Agar decline jari rehti hai, to main expect karta hoon ke current minimum 141.68 tak pahuncha jaayega, aur phir round support level 140.00 bhi nazar mein aa sakta hai. Agar growth resume hoti hai, to main phir se 145.00 ke round mark tak movement expect karta hoon. General observation ye hai ke dollar abhi bohot zyada pressure mein hai aur iski purchases pe doubt hai. Halankeh dollar khud bhi pressure mein hai, phir bhi ye important hai ke hum Americans ke sath trading kaisi karte hain kyunki aaj hume bohot saari different statistics milne wali hain aur yeh market ko volatile bana sakti hain.

۔ USDJPY ke liye aaj ka tajwez yeh hai ke aaj ke din ek naya move niche ki taraf honay ke ache chances hain. Aaj ki situation complex hai, lekin mujhe zyada chances niche ke scenario ka lagta hai, jahan tak level 142.11 tak ka raasta saaf nazar aata hai. Lekin, hamesha taiyaar rehna chahiye ke price shayad pehle chhoti si upar ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai aur phir sahi direction mein move kar sakti hai. Aaj kuch aise events hain jo is pair par asar daal sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke humein kin news ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye:

USD ke liye, aaj kuch average level ki news hain, lekin main sirf sabse important news ko highlight karunga:
- **ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Aug)**: Yeh report employment ki growth ko measure karti hai aur iski report se market mein volatility aa sakti hai.
- **Initial Jobless Claims**: Yeh data unemployment ki shiddat ko batata hai aur isse market ki direction par asar pad sakta hai.
- **Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (Aug)**: Yeh PMI report services sector ke health ko measure karti hai aur isse economic conditions ke baare mein andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
- **ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (Aug)**: Yeh index non-manufacturing sector ke performance ko measure karta hai aur market expectations ko influence kar sakta hai.
- **Crude Oil Inventories**: Crude oil ki inventory levels bhi market ke sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain, khas kar jab oil market mein changes aayein.

Japan ke liye, kuch medium-level events hain jo calendar par hain:
- **Total Employee Cash Earnings (July)**: Yeh report wage growth ko measure karti hai aur consumer spending par asar daal sakti hai.
- **Foreign Bond Investment**: Yeh report foreign investments ko track karti hai aur capital flows ko samajhne mein madad karti hai.
- **Japan's 30-year Government Bonds Auction (JGB)**: Long-term government bonds ki auction bhi market ko impact kar sakti hai, khas kar agar demand ya supply mein koi significant change aaye.

Jo news 3 stars aur 2 stars ke sath mark ki gayi hain, wo zaroor market ko volatility provide kar sakti hain. Isliye, kisi bhi situation ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai.

**USD/JPY Ka Maamla Aur BoJ Ki Policy:**

Jumeraat ko Asian trading mein USD/JPY ki jori 143.61 tak rally hui, jo ke 143.00 ke chaar hafton ke low se upar chali gayi. Ye rebound market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ko darshata hai, jo ke recent US manufacturing aur employment data ki wajah se barh gaye risk aversion ka nateeja hai. USD dollar ki kamzori, jo ke USD index se zahir hoti hai, is pair ke barhne ka ek aur sabab hai.

Overall, USD/JPY ki future trajectory ka tajziya karte waqt US economic concerns, BoJ ki policy expectations aur technical indicators ka darmiyan ka rishta nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jaise wo forex landscape mein navigate karte hain.

**BoJ Ki Umeedafiza Nazar Aur Samanjit Policy Efforts Ka Yen Par Asar:**

Japanese Yen ki performance par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki evolving policy stance bhi asar daal rahi hai. Rabobank ke analysts ne note kiya hai ke BoJ ka aakhri policy statement Japan ki economic outlook ke bare mein ehtiyaat se umeedafiza nazar deta hai. Statement mein kaha gaya hai ke fixed investment dheere dheere barh raha hai aur corporate profits behtar ho rahe hain. Iske ilawa, wage increases mukhtalif regions, industries, aur firm sizes mein phail rahi hain. Ye positive economic assessment BoJ ke liye rate hikes ki gunjaish chhodti hai, jo ke late 2024 ya early 2025 mein ho sakti hain.

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yoshimasa Hayashi, ne Tuesday ko doharaaya ke BoJ aur government ke darmiyan mazboot coordination hoga. Hayashi ne zor diya ke central bank aur government mil kar aise monetary policies implement karne ke liye committed hain jo inflation target ko achieve kar sakein, isse economic management mein ek unified approach ka izhaar hota hai.

**H4 Chart Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels For USD/JPY:**

Jab USD/JPY pair market ko navigate karta rahega, isay 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas 145.79 ke resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakthrough hota hai to yeh bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakta hai aur shayad 144.50 par "throwback support turned resistance" level ka test karne ka bhi mauka mil sakta hai. Iske baad 20-day EMA par 145.35 ke resistance ka samna ho sakta hai.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ki buniyad par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna ek behtareen waqt hai. System ke musalsal signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, isliye khareedna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se behtar tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko pehchaanay mein madad karti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, asset ke movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt clear view provide karta hai. Momentum oscillator overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai, jo pair ke liye hai. In tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtar banaata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai.
Specified pair ka chart ranging candlesticks ko blue mein show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish sentiment ne bearish outlook ko overtake kar liya hai, jo ek acha mauka hai long position lene ke liye. Price quotes pehle channel ke lower boundary se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse neeche point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound hui. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level se kaafi neeche hai, jo long position ko align karta hai. In observations ko dekhte hue, successful buys ki probability high hai, jo long trade kholne ke liye justify karti hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke nazdeek profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hoga, kyunki market dynamics aksar false movements ke saath expectations ko disrupt kar deti hain.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ki buniyad par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna ek behtareen waqt hai. System ke musalsal signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, isliye khareedna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks se behtar tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko pehchaanay mein madad karti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, asset ke movement boundaries ko kisi bhi waqt clear view provide karta hai. Momentum oscillator overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai, jo pair ke liye hai. In tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtar banaata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai.

Specified pair ka chart ranging candlesticks ko blue mein show kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish sentiment ne bearish outlook ko overtake kar liya hai, jo ek acha mauka hai long position lene ke liye. Price quotes pehle channel ke lower boundary se neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse neeche point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound hui. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level se kaafi neeche hai, jo long position ko align karta hai. In observations ko dekhte hue, successful buys ki probability high hai, jo long trade kholne ke liye justify karti hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke nazdeek profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hoga, kyunki market dynamics aksar false movements ke saath expectations ko disrupt kar deti hain.

Hamari guftagu ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par hoga. Kal ke trading session mein Japanese yen ne buyers ke liye faida diya. Lekin, bade time frames par USD/JPY pair abhi consolidation mein hai, aur iski direction aane wale updates par US labour market indicators ke aadhaar par depend karegi. H4 chart par, dollar-yen buyers ne quotes ko 141.68 ke low se ek ascending fan mein rakha hua hai. Agar price support level 144.91 se neeche girti hai, to momentum sellers ki taraf shift ho sakta hai, jo unhe August ke low ko dobara test karne ka mauka dega. Halankeh pair Monday ko bearish pullback ke sath shuru ho sakta hai, magar yeh pakka nahi hai.
Pair ne upward movement dikhayi aur 146.01 par band hui. Phir bhi, uchi levels ka potential abhi bhi bana hua hai. Dusri taraf, mera primary focus downward trend par hai, jahan deeper decline ke liye jagah hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ne kal acha rally kiya, halankeh negative indices ka bhi andesha tha. Yeh zaroori hai ke opening ke baad kaise perform karta hai, khaaskar Monday ko United States mein holiday hai. Main filhal side-lines par hoon, lekin 148.81 se upar chadhne ka mauka bhi nazar andaz nahi karunga, jahan main sell positions consider karunga. USD/JPY ke liye nearest significant resistance 147.26 ke aas-paas hai, lekin bulls tabhi poori upward impulse ke liye aim kar sakte hain agar pair critical level 149.33 se upar break aur hold kare, jo phir pehle impulse zone ki taraf further growth ko lead kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Price Tendency

USD/JPY currency pair ki current price behavior ka analysis hum discuss kar rahe hain. USD/JPY ne notable decline dekhi hai, lekin abhi sell positions lena jaldi hogi. Pichlay haftay price ne descending channel se breakout kia tha, toh abhi jo drop ho rahi hai wo ek corrective pattern ke mutabiq hai. Ek strong support level 144.39 par mojood hai jo further declines ko rokne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, is wajah se long positions lene ka moqa mil sakta hai. Magar, pullback ki gehrai ko dekhte hue, chhoti time frames par confirmation signal ka intezar karna behtareen hoga, jese ke 146.29 par minor resistance ka break hona. Target ke liye, Fibonacci grid ko initial impulse par stretch kar ke dekha jaye toh 161.8% level, jo ke lagbhag 149.59 par hai, ek potential goal ho sakta hai, jo ke recent high se thora upar hai.

Price ascending price channel ke andar exchange ho rahi hai. Aaj pair ne lower boundary par 145.79 tak dip kia lekin is decline ko sustain nahi kar paya, jis ka natija ek reversal aur upward move mein hua. Ab, mujhe umeed hai ke price channel ke upper boundary tak grow karegi, jo ke 147.93 par hai. Yeh abhi dekhna baqi hai ke price apni current position se girti hai ya nahi, lekin ek baat to clear hai: agar price 151.83 ke qareeb correction karti hai, toh mein sell position consider nahi karunga. Market abhi tak clear nahi hai, kyunke bulls aur bears dono apni direction establish nahi kar paaye hain. Jab tak price 151.83 ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, mein bearish outlook rakhta hoon. Shayad yeh behtar hoga ke iss pair par koi action tab tak na liya jaye jab tak clearer signals nahi milte.

USD/JPY Ka Maamla Aur BoJ Ki Policy:**
Jumeraat ko Asian trading mein USD/JPY ki jori 143.61 tak rally hui, jo ke 143.00 ke chaar hafton ke low se upar chali gayi. Ye rebound market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ko darshata hai, jo ke recent US manufacturing aur employment data ki wajah se barh gaye risk aversion ka nateeja hai. USD dollar ki kamzori, jo ke USD index se zahir hoti hai, is pair ke barhne ka ek aur sabab hai.

Overall, USD/JPY ki future trajectory ka tajziya karte waqt US economic concerns, BoJ ki policy expectations aur technical indicators ka darmiyan ka rishta nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jaise wo forex landscape mein navigate karte hain.

**BoJ Ki Umeedafiza Nazar Aur Samanjit Policy Efforts Ka Yen Par Asar:**

Japanese Yen ki performance par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki evolving policy stance bhi asar daal rahi hai. Rabobank ke analysts ne note kiya hai ke BoJ ka aakhri policy statement Japan ki economic outlook ke bare mein ehtiyaat se umeedafiza nazar deta hai. Statement mein kaha gaya hai ke fixed investment dheere dheere barh raha hai aur corporate profits behtar ho rahe hain. Iske ilawa, wage increases mukhtalif regions, industries, aur firm sizes mein phail rahi hain. Ye positive economic assessment BoJ ke liye rate hikes ki gunjaish chhodti hai, jo ke late 2024 ya early 2025 mein ho sakti hain.

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yoshimasa Hayashi, ne Tuesday ko doharaaya ke BoJ aur government ke darmiyan mazboot coordination hoga. Hayashi ne zor diya ke central bank aur government mil kar aise monetary policies implement karne ke liye committed hain jo inflation target ko achieve kar sakein, isse economic management mein ek unified approach ka izhaar hota hai.

**H4 Chart Technical Resistance Aur Support Levels For USD/JPY:**

Jab USD/JPY pair market ko navigate karta rahega, isay 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas 145.79 ke resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakthrough hota hai to yeh bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakta hai aur shayad 144.50 par "throwback support turned resistance" level ka test karne ka bhi mauka mil sakta hai. Iske baad 20-day EMA par 145.35 ke resistance ka samna ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai



USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

Forex Dollar Yen Ka Technical Tajziya
USD/JPY pair mein achanak girawat dekhne ko mili aur yeh 145.00 ke qareeb aa gaya, jiska sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ka hawkish guidance tha. Ueda ne is baat ko dobara se zor diya ke BOJ ko is saal mazeed interest rates barhane ki zarurat hai, aur yeh bhi kaha ke central bank deri nahi karega agar economic aur inflationary halaat uss had tak ponchti hain jo unke expectations ke mutabiq hai. In bayanaat ne Japanese yen ko mazboot kiya, jisse USD/JPY pair par selling ka dabao aaya. Likha janay ke waqt, yeh pair 144.80 ke support level ke qareeb tha.

Is ke bawajood ke US dollar mein taqat dekhne ko mili hai, jese ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke do hafton ke high 102.00 ki taraf barhawa se zahir hai, USD/JPY pair abhi bhi dabao mein hai. US dollar is liye barha ke investors ihtiyati rawayya ikhtiyar kar rahe hain, jese ke jald anay wali US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar hai, jo ke juma ke din aayegi. Yeh economic data buhat ahem hai kyun ke Federal Reserve ab mazeed tawajjo labor market ke nuqsan ka khatra manage karne par de raha hai, is aitmaad ke sath ke inflation apne 2% ke target ki taraf barh raha hai.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq… Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI), fresh food ke ilawa, August mein umeed se zyada barh kar 2.4% tak pohnch gaya, jo Bank of Japan ke hawkish rawayya ko justify karta hai.

Stock trading ke hawalay se…. U.S. ke stock indices mein zyada girawat dekhne ko mili, khaaskar technology stocks mein. Trading ke mutabiq, U.S. stocks ne Tuesday ke din buhat zyada girawat record ki, jo ke August 5 ke baad ka sab se bura din tha. Is girawat ki wajah economic concerns aur technology stocks ka zyada sell-off tha. S&P 500 mein 2.1% ki girawat, tech-heavy Nasdaq mein 3.1% ka loss, aur Dow Jones ne 625 points kho diye.

Aaj ka USD/JPY Forecast:

Daily chart ke hisaab se USD/JPY ki performance abhi bhi taqatwar tareeke se niche ki taraf juki hui hai. Agar yeh 144.00 ke support level tak ponchta hai, toh yeh bears ko aur zyada niche le janay mein madad karega, jahan 141.75 ka support sab se zyada prominent hai. Dosri taraf, jab tak yeh 150.00 ke psychological resistance tak wapas nahi aata, trend ka waqai reversal nahi hoga. Yeh currency pair apne current range mein tab tak chalti rahegi jab tak markets aur investors US jobs numbers ka intezar karte hain jo hafta ke aakhri mein announce honge.

Forex Dollar Yen Ka Technical Tajziya
USD/JPY pair mein achanak girawat dekhne ko mili aur yeh 145.00 ke qareeb aa gaya, jiska sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ka hawkish guidance tha. Ueda ne is baat ko dobara se zor diya ke BOJ ko is saal mazeed interest rates barhane ki zarurat hai, aur yeh bhi kaha ke central bank deri nahi karega agar economic aur inflationary halaat uss had tak ponchti hain jo unke expectations ke mutabiq hai. In bayanaat ne Japanese yen ko mazboot kiya, jisse USD/JPY pair par selling ka dabao aaya. Likha janay ke waqt, yeh pair 144.80 ke support level ke qareeb tha.

Is ke bawajood ke US dollar mein taqat dekhne ko mili hai, jese ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke do hafton ke high 102.00 ki taraf barhawa se zahir hai, USD/JPY pair abhi bhi dabao mein hai. US dollar is liye barha ke investors ihtiyati rawayya ikhtiyar kar rahe hain, jese ke jald anay wali US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar hai, jo ke juma ke din aayegi. Yeh economic data buhat ahem hai kyun ke Federal Reserve ab mazeed tawajjo labor market ke nuqsan ka khatra manage karne par de raha hai, is aitmaad ke sath ke inflation apne 2% ke target ki taraf barh raha hai.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq… Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI), fresh food ke ilawa, August mein umeed se zyada barh kar 2.4% tak pohnch gaya, jo Bank of Japan ke hawkish rawayya ko justify karta hai.

Stock trading ke hawalay se…. U.S. ke stock indices mein zyada girawat dekhne ko mili, khaaskar technology stocks mein. Trading ke mutabiq, U.S. stocks ne Tuesday ke din buhat zyada girawat record ki, jo ke August 5 ke baad ka sab se bura din tha. Is girawat ki wajah economic concerns aur technology stocks ka zyada sell-off tha. S&P 500 mein 2.1% ki girawat, tech-heavy Nasdaq mein 3.1% ka loss, aur Dow Jones ne 625 points kho diye.

Aaj ka USD/JPY Forecast:

Daily chart ke hisaab se USD/JPY ki performance abhi bhi taqatwar tareeke se niche ki taraf juki hui hai. Agar yeh 144.00 ke support level tak ponchta hai, toh yeh bears ko aur zyada niche le janay mein madad karega, jahan 141.75 ka support sab se zyada prominent hai. Dosri taraf, jab tak yeh 150.00 ke psychological resistance tak wapas nahi aata, trend ka waqai reversal nahi hoga. Yeh currency pair apne current range mein tab tak chalti rahegi jab tak markets aur investors US jobs numbers ka intezar karte hain jo hafta ke aakhri mein announce honge.

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair par price pressure ne subjectively symmetrical triangle pattern ke lower line ko penetrate kar diya hai. Agar yeh resistance ke neeche decline ko maintain kar sakta hai, to iska potential hai ke yeh RBS area range tak projection le jaa sakta hai, jo ke 135.951 ke price par hai. Khaaskar agar yeh baseline ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai jo ke 141.712 ke price par bana hai, jo ke latest mother bar ka support bhi hai. Agar yeh is support ko solidly break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to iske paas decline ko continue karne ka mauka hai, mother bar ke niche projection ke taraf, jo ke triangle pattern ke projection ke aas-paas 136.799 ke price par hai.

Agar baseline ke upar reject hota hai, to iske paas potential hai ke yeh lower line ki taraf pull back kare, dynamic resistance of SMA5 ke gap ko close karte hue, jo ke SBR area mein 144.661 ke price par hai. Detail mein, intraday analysis dikhata hai ke H4 time frame mein pullback ho raha hai mother bar ke andar, jo ke 144.066 se 141.712 ke price range mein hai, jab yeh successfully equidistant channel pattern ke lower line ko break kar gaya tha. Isliye, agar yeh dynamic resistance of SMA5 ke neeche pressure mein rahta hai, to iske paas decline ko continue karne ka potential hai mother bar ke support ki taraf. Agar yeh break kar leta hai, to decline continue karne ka potential hai mother bar ke niche projection ki taraf, jo ke 139.348 ke price par hai.

So, USD/JPY ke decline ko continue karne ka potential hai trend channel pattern ke slope ke along, jo ke lower line se 662 pips ke aas-paas calculated hai. Is tarah se, yeh RBS area tak pahunchnay ka potential rakhte hue 137.697 ke price par le jaa sakta hai. Saath hi, agar yeh support ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to next inside bar pattern ke projection tak decline continue karne ke mauke bhi khulte hain.

Agar pressure abhi bhi mother bar ke support ke upar bounce karta hai, to yeh bullish signal continue karne ka potential rakhte hue resistance ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai, jo inside bar pattern se bullish signal ko open karega.

Trading Options

Is description ke base par, USD/JPY ke liye trading options kuch is tarah hain:

Sell Option: Yeh option tab prepare kiya jaye agar decline ka correction ab bhi dynamic resistance of SMA5 ke neeche H4 time frame mein reject hota hai, flip area ke neeche 143.250 ke price par. Target ko mother bar ke support ke aas-paas 141.712 ke price par rakha jaye. Agar yeh support ko solidly break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to reentry sell option prepare kiya jaye, target ko mother bar ke niche projection ke aas-paas 139.358 ke price par rakha jaye.

Buy Option: Yeh option tab prepare kiya jaye agar pressure mother bar ke support ke upar H4 time frame mein reject hota hai, is se position SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ke upar bounce kar jati hai. Target ko trend channel pattern ke lower line ke SBR area range mein 144.476 ke price par rakha jaye. Agar yeh resistance ko solidly penetrate karte hue trend channel mein wapas bounce karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to reentry buy option prepare kiya jaye, target ko daily time frame mein dynamic resistance ke aas-paas 145.091 ke price range par rakha jaye.

USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW

Buyers Tuesday ke trading mein apni dominance barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe, jab price daily open 146.90 ke upar chali gayi, toh sirf 147.22 tak hi paunch paayi. Us area se price ne direction reverse kiya aur lambay waqt tak kamzori ka samna kiya. Yeh seller pressure EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko downward cross banaane par majboor kar diya, jo negative price flow direction ko darshata hai. Kal ke strong sellers ne price ko na sirf EMA 200 H1 tak pohochaya balki usse penetrate bhi kiya. Magar 145.16 se ek pullback hua jisne price ko upar ki taraf le gaya, lekin zyada aage nahi badh paya. EMA 12 H1 ne buyer's push ko roka aur price phir se gir gayi. USD-JPY market aakhirkar 145.47 par close hui.

Wednesday ko trading jari rakhte hue, USD-JPY market 145.47 par open hui. EMA 200 H1 thoda upar cross ho gayi, jo 145.66 par hai. Asian session ke doran price almost consolidate hoti rahi, aur yeh apne daily open ke neeche thi. European session ke nazdeek price ne neeche ki taraf move kiya aur yeh movement apni nazdeeki support 144.82 par ruk gayi. Yeh area penetrate nahi hua hai, lekin H1 ke trend mein filhal downtrend hai jahan price EMA 200 H1 ke neeche move kar rahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi isi tarah se downwards stretch dikhate hain. Filhal price daily open aur apne nazdeeki support ke beech mein hai.

USDJPY Trading Plan H1

H1 time frame ko dekhte hue, USDJPY pair ke liye trading plan yeh hai:

1. Sell Trade:
   • Condition: Agar price support 144.81 ko todti hai.
   • Indicators: EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf extend ho rahe hain.
   • Take Profit Levels: 143.76 – 142.29.
2. Sell on Pullback:
   • Condition: Agar price EMA 633 H1 se ya 147.63 area se reject hoti hai.
   • Objective: Price ko 146.42 - 146.15 tak kamzor karna.
3. Buy Trade:
   • Condition: Agar price resistance 146.12 ko todti hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upward cross banati hain. Price EMA 200 H1 ke upar move karti hai.
   • Take Profit Levels: 147.17 – 147.63.
4. Buy on Pullback:
   • Condition: Agar price 143.46 area se reject hoti hai, toh potential increase 144.68 tak.
   • Alternative: Agar price 141.58 area se reject hoti hai, toh target 141.71 - 144.06 tak ka strengthening.
5. Optional Stop Loss:
   • Level: Order area se 15 pips ke aas-paas consider kiya jaa sakta hai.

Pair par aik notable selling pressure nazar aa raha hai, aur yeh 145.00 ke key psychological level ke neeche gir gaya hai, jab ke Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko price neeche chali gayi. Abhi pair kareeb 144.20 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke din ka 0.87% decline reflect kar raha hai. Is downward movement ka sabab Federal Reserve (Fed) ka dovish stance aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke unexpected rate hike ko mana ja raha hai. Din ke agle hisse mein traders US Manufacturing PMI data aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims ka intezar kar rahe hain taake market ka agla rukh samjha ja sake.

Japan ka Yen Depreciation: Hukoomat ke concerns aur market par asrat

Bloomberg ke aik recent interview mein Japan ke naye Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs aur leading foreign exchange official, Atsushi Mimura ne Yen ke recent depreciation ke asrat par baat ki. Mimura ne tasleem kiya ke kamzor Yen ke kuch faiday hain, magar negative asrat zyada zahir ho rahe hain. Unhone yeh bhi ishara diya ke zarurat par intervention ki ja sakti hai, taake speculation ko roka ja sake jo Yen ki value ko affect kar rahi hai.

Is ke ilawa, Japan ke top advisory council ne hukoomat aur BoJ ko is baat par zor diya ke wo policy banate waqt kamzor Yen ke asrat ka khayal rakhein. Council ne yeh bhi highlight kiya ke depreciated Yen aur barhte hue prices ka asar domestic consumption par nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Daryaft kiye gaye Bank of America ke analysis ke mutabiq, US mein mazboot economic growth ki waja se Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kisi bhi policy change mein deri kar sakti hai. Bank ne anticipate kiya hai ke Fed December mein rate cuts shuru karega, given ke economy ka performance kaafi mazboot hai.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Pair ke liye agla critical support level jo dekhna hoga woh 144.00 ka hai, jo aaj US trading session ke doran note kiya gaya tha. Agar pair rebound karta hai aur 145.00 ka level break karta hai, to immediate resistance 146.00 par hoga. Agar yeh resistance cross kar liya jata hai, to 200-day Moving Average (DMA) jo ke 151.19 par hai, woh agla bara hurdle hoga, iske baad 152.00 ka mark hoga.

Dusri taraf, bearish trend ko continue karne ke liye sellers ko pair ko 144.00 ke support level ke neeche push karna hoga. Agar support breach ho jata hai, to agla target 141.94 ke low par hoga, aur phir 141.00 ka level kareebi hoga. Agar pair upward trajectory ko maintain karta hai, to yeh "throwback support level turned resistance" ko test kar sakta hai, jo kareeb 154.50 par hai.





Pair par aik notable selling pressure nazar aa raha hai, aur yeh 145.00 ke key psychological level ke neeche gir gaya hai, jab ke Asian trading session mein Wednesday ko price neeche chali gayi. Abhi pair kareeb 144.20 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke din ka 0.87% decline reflect kar raha hai. Is downward movement ka sabab Federal Reserve (Fed) ka dovish stance aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke unexpected rate hike ko mana ja raha hai. Din ke agle hisse mein traders US Manufacturing PMI data aur weekly Initial Jobless Claims ka intezar kar rahe hain taake market ka agla rukh samjha ja sake.
Japan ka Yen Depreciation: Hukoomat ke concerns aur market par asrat

Bloomberg ke aik recent interview mein Japan ke naye Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs aur leading foreign exchange official, Atsushi Mimura ne Yen ke recent depreciation ke asrat par baat ki. Mimura ne tasleem kiya ke kamzor Yen ke kuch faiday hain, magar negative asrat zyada zahir ho rahe hain. Unhone yeh bhi ishara diya ke zarurat par intervention ki ja sakti hai, taake speculation ko roka ja sake jo Yen ki value ko affect kar rahi hai.

Is ke ilawa, Japan ke top advisory council ne hukoomat aur BoJ ko is baat par zor diya ke wo policy banate waqt kamzor Yen ke asrat ka khayal rakhein. Council ne yeh bhi highlight kiya ke depreciated Yen aur barhte hue prices ka asar domestic consumption par nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Daryaft kiye gaye Bank of America ke analysis ke mutabiq, US mein mazboot economic growth ki waja se Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kisi bhi policy change mein deri kar sakti hai. Bank ne anticipate kiya hai ke Fed December mein rate cuts shuru karega, given ke economy ka performance kaafi mazboot hai.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

Pair ke liye agla critical support level jo dekhna hoga woh 144.00 ka hai, jo aaj US trading session ke doran note kiya gaya tha. Agar pair rebound karta hai aur 145.00 ka level break karta hai, to immediate resistance 146.00 par hoga. Agar yeh resistance cross kar liya jata hai, to 200-day Moving Average (DMA) jo ke 151.19 par hai, woh agla bara hurdle hoga, iske baad 152.00 ka mark hoga.

Dusri taraf, bearish trend ko continue karne ke liye sellers ko pair ko 144.00 ke support level ke neeche push karna hoga. Agar support breach ho jata hai, to agla target 141.94 ke low par hoga, aur phir 141.00 ka level kareebi hoga. Agar pair upward trajectory ko maintain karta hai, to yeh "throwback support level turned resistance" ko test kar sakta hai, jo kareeb 154.50 par hai.