جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge. Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

Is haftay ke trading session mein GBP/USD market bearish correction movement mein dikhai de rahi hai, lekin buyers ab bhi apni taqat dikhate hue market ko control kar rahe hain aur prices ko upar push kar rahe hain. Meri samajh ke mutabiq, kuch areas mein ab bhi bullish trading ka environment hai, jahan buyers prices ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le ja sakte hain. Halaanke week ke aghaz mein candlestick ka position current level se ooper tha, lekin ab bhi lagta hai ke trend ka silsila upar jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jab hum last few days ke field circumstances ko dekhte hain. Mahine ke aghaz se buyers lagataar price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur aaj tak price 1.3329 ko choo chuki hai. Subah ki adjustment ke baad thoda decline nazar aaya hai, lekin mera khayal hai ke bullish conditions ka barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai agle trend ke liye. 1.3376 zone ab tak break nahi hua, aur buyers isko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, taake yeh bullish direction ke liye ek additional barrier ban sake. Bade trend ke market conditions ab bhi bullish hain, aur agar yeh target zone cross ho gaya, toh buyers ke paas market ko dobara control karne ka acha moka hoga. Is liye, GbpUsd pair par Buy option ko ek behtareen option mana ja sakta hai agar aaj raat koi increase ka signal milta hai. Kal ka bearish correction jo ke market ke gain ka ishara tha, wo ab tak sustain nahi kar paya hai, aur stochastic indicator line 20 range mein hai. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye guide ka kaam kare jab koi position open ki jaye. Filhaal, bina kisi crossover confirmation ke GBPUSD par sell karna thoda risky lagta hai. Main wait kar raha hoon ke ema8 ema21 ko pierce kare aur crossover bane, tab main dobara sell karunga. Medium-term mein, sell ka ideal target monthly pivot area par 1.300 tak wapas pohanchne ka hoga. Lekin yeh itna asaan nahi lagta jab tak USDX khud direct strengthen nahi karta.

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.

Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai

Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya. Aaj ke din pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hai. 1.2680 ka support key role ada kar sakta hai; agar is support ko todna possible hota hai, to pair downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan se shayad ek rollback shuru hoga aur phir 1.2447 tak downward movement ho sakti hai, lekin is hafte tak yeh possible nahi lagta. Agar 1.2680 ke neeche consolidation nahi hoti, to 1.2750 tak phir se growth ho sakti hai, jahan is resistance ko todna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake. Yeh upward trend 1.3065 tak lead kar sakta hai, lekin is hafte aisa growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2750 ki resistance todna possible hota hai, to shayad 1.2860 tak pahucha ja sakta hai, lekin 1.300 se upar ke levels par expect nahi kiya jana chahiye. Maximum 1.2970 tak pahunchna possible hai, aur yahan tak bhi chances zyada nahi lagte

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Market suratehal kafi ghair yaqini hai. Lehaza maine chart par do options ko nishan zad kiya hai. Pahla scenario yah hai keh pound/dollar ka joda wapas lautne aur apni bulandiyon aur 1.34270 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf jane se pahle trendline par fisal jayega. Dusra scenario yah batata hai keh Bartanwi pound 1.32349 ki support satah ki taraf badhte hue trend line ko tod dega aur nuqsanat ko badhayega. Iske bad, qimat me tezi ke islah ke taur par ooper ki taraf ucchal aane ka imkan hai, jo trend line se niche fix ho jayega aur isme kami jari rahegi.

Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge. Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, but overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein

### GBP/USD Pair ki Price Movement

GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko Asian trading session mein nayi positive momentum dikhai, jo 1.3430 level ke nazdeek sharp overnight corrections se rebound kar raha hai. Yeh level March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha hai. Halankeh kayi Fed officials ne market ki umeedon ko counter karne ki koshish ki hai ke unhe mazeed monetary easing mil sakti hai, lekin investors ab bhi November mein significant rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Yeh, saath hi global financial markets mein overall bullish sentiment, safe-haven US dollar ko uski recent rebound se poori tarah faida uthane se rok raha hai, jo year-to-date lows ke nazdeek tha. Is halat ne GBP/USD pair ko support diya hai.

Iske ilawa, yeh umeed ke Bank of England (BoE) ka rate-cutting cycle United States (US) ke muqablay mein dheere hoga, British pound (GBP) ko mazeed support diya hai, jisse GBP/USD exchange rate upar gaya hai. Magar, bullish traders shayad Fed ke rate-cutting path ke bare mein mazeed concrete evidence ka intezar karein ge, pehle se mazeed upward moves ke liye commit karne se pehle. Focus ab bhi FOMC ke influential members, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, ke speeches par hai, jo dollar ko upar push kar sakte hain aur fresh momentum faraham kar sakte hain. Traders Thursday ko US economic data, jisme final Q2 GDP figures, weekly jobless claims, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, ko bhi nazar rakhenge, taake North American session ki shuruaat par short-term trading opportunities ka pata chal sake.

Positive outlook ke bawajood, market cautious hai, jo technical oscillators se zahir hota hai. Stochastic overbought territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke RSI 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward point kar raha hai. Iske alawa, 20-day SMA apni positive momentum ko khota nazar aa raha hai, jo potential downward pressure ka ishara hai. Agar market pullback karta hai, toh pair direct move ke liye 1.3265 support level ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur phir 20-day moving average 1.3170 tak. Agar girawat mazeed aage barhti hai, toh yeh 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ka test kar sakta hai jo uptrend se 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak hai, jo 1.3113 par hai, aur shayad 1.3000 tak gir sakta hai, jo 50-day moving average ke saath coincide karta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar upward pressure phir se shuru hota hai, toh price 1.3400 area ki taraf move kar sakti hai, pehle 1.3640 par, jo February 2022 mein establish kiya gaya tha.

/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

Is haftay ke trading session mein GBP/USD market bearish correction movement mein dikhai de rahi hai, lekin buyers ab bhi apni taqat dikhate hue market ko control kar rahe hain aur prices ko upar push kar rahe hain. Meri samajh ke mutabiq, kuch areas mein ab bhi bullish trading ka environment hai, jahan buyers prices ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le ja sakte hain. Halaanke week ke aghaz mein candlestick ka position current level se ooper tha, lekin ab bhi lagta hai ke trend ka silsila upar jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jab hum last few days ke field circumstances ko dekhte hain. Mahine ke aghaz se buyers lagataar price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur aaj tak price 1.3329 ko choo chuki hai. Subah ki adjustment ke baad thoda decline nazar aaya hai, lekin mera khayal hai ke bullish conditions ka barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai agle trend ke liye. 1.3376 zone ab tak break nahi hua, aur buyers isko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, taake yeh bullish direction ke liye ek additional barrier ban sake. Bade trend ke market conditions ab bhi bullish hain, aur agar yeh target zone cross ho gaya, toh buyers ke paas market ko dobara control karne ka acha moka hoga. Is liye, GbpUsd pair par Buy option ko ek behtareen option mana ja sakta hai agar aaj raat koi increase ka signal milta hai. Kal ka bearish correction jo ke market ke gain ka ishara tha, wo ab tak sustain nahi kar paya hai, aur stochastic indicator line 20 range mein hai. Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye guide ka kaam kare jab koi position open ki jaye. Filhaal, bina kisi crossover confirmation ke GBPUSD par sell karna thoda risky lagta hai. Main wait kar raha hoon ke ema8 ema21 ko pierce kare aur crossover bane, tab main dobara sell karunga. Medium-term mein, sell ka ideal target monthly pivot area par 1.300 tak wapas pohanchne ka hoga. Lekin yeh itna asaan nahi lagta jab tak USDX khud direct strengthen nahi karta.

Hello doston, umeed hai sab khairiyat se hain. GBP/USD abhi European session mein 1.3400 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jab ke yeh 30 mahine ke high 1.3430 se reverse ho chuka hai. Traders ne pound sterling longs par apne profits le liye hain, halan ke US dollar mein mazid softening dekhne ko mil rahi hai aur market mein risk ko hold kiya ja raha hai, jaise ke FedSpec ne observe kiya.

GBP/USD pair ne pichle do hafton ke dauran jo gains kiye they, unhe abhi tak qaim rakha hai aur Asian session mein yeh March 2022 ke baad apne buland tareen level 1.3430 tak pohonch gaya. Iss dauran, fundamental analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke price ka path upside ki taraf hai, magar daily chart ke hisaab se price slightly overbought hai, isliye bullish traders ko thodi ehtiyat baratni chahiye.

England mein rate cuts US ke muqable mein slow rehne ke imkaanaat hain. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka rukh downward hoga, lekin yeh progress dheemi hogi aur rates dobara ultra-low levels par nahi lautenge jab tak koi bara economic shock na ho. Doosri taraf, markets Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive policy easing ki umeed kar rahe hain, jis ki wajah se US Dollar year-to-date lower raha hai, aur yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye ek positive factor hai.

Markets abhi ke liye 75 percent se zyada chance price kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve November mein 50 basis points ka aur rate cut karega, jaise ke CME Group ke FedWatch tool se pata chalta hai. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ke weak US macro data aur risk-on environment ke bawajood safe havens ko undermine kiya gaya hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye positive near-term outlook ko validate karta hai.

Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark ke upar chala gaya hai, jo ke ek minor pullback ka indication hai. Isliye, yeh hosakta hai ke near-term consolidation ya mazeed favorable moves ke liye price position kare.





Aaj ke din koi ahem economic data UK se aane ka intezar hai jo market ko move kar sakta hai. Saath hi, BoE MPC ki member Megan Green ka speech bhi pound par asar dal sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko kuch impetus de sakta hai. North American session mein US ke new home sales data bhi short-term trading opportunities create kar sakte hain. Lekin traders shayad FOMC ke ahem members ke speeches, jisme Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Thursday ka speech bhi shamil hai, aur Friday ko aane wala US PCE price index ka data, ke agay aggressive bets se bachein.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ke jode ne kal chadhte hue channel ki nichli hadd ko tod diya. Halankeh, qimat abhi tak is se niche fix nahin hui hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound mandi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par nuqsanat me tausie karega, lekin mujhe shak hai keh yah maujudah satah se kam hone ke qabil hai kiyunkeh pound/dollar ka joda is waqt kal ki girawat se ubar rahi hai.
Selling zone 1.3360 ke nishan ke ird-gird hai, jahan 1.3264 support satah girawat ki ummid me short positions kholna danishmandi hogi, jo 61.8% Fibonacci level (1.3000-1.3428 ki tezi ki lahar ki buniyad par) ke sath mawafiq hai.



Yaumiyah chart par, pound/dollar ka joda 138.2% Fibonacci level (1.3393) se ooper bane rahne me nakam raha, jahan din ke ikhtetam par bearish engulfing bana. Yah ek islahi kami ka ishara karta hai, jiska aaghaz ham ne kal dekha tha.
MACD aur Stochastic indicators bhi mumkena mandi ki taraf ishara karte hain. 1.3264 ki support satah ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar qimat is nishan se niche girti hai to, Bartanwi pound 1.3100 ilaqe ki taraf badhne ka imkan hai.
Mukhtalif tejarati charts par pound sterling me mazid kamzori ke ishare ke pesh nazar, mai shayad aaj long positions kholne se gurez karunga.

Naye hafta ke liye conditions waisi hi hain jaise Friday subah ko thi. Din ka balance ab bhi 1.3260 par hai, H1 support 1.3180 par hai, aur H4 support 1.3060 par hai. Yeh pair 1.3380 tak barh sakti hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, toh 1.3420 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Agar Monday ko GBP/USD rollback ke dauran din ka balance 1.3260 par break karne mein nakam rahta hai, toh rollback hone ka imkaan hai jahan se phir se growth ke liye reversal ho sakta hai.
Lekin agar balance of the day 1.3260 par break ho jata hai, toh yeh pair reversal le kar south ki taraf decline karegi aur H1 support 1.2180 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke ek correction ke tor par samjhi jaa sakti hai. Yahan se H1 se dobara growth ke liye reversal ho sakta hai jahan targets 1.3420 aur 1.3510 ho sakte hain, bas yeh hai ke H1 support break na ho. Agar H1 support break ho gaya, toh correction gehra ho jaye ga aur GBP/USD pair H4 support 1.3060 tak rollback karegi. Is level se main ab bhi growth ki tawaqo karta hoon, lekin agar H4 support break ho gaya, toh growth cancel ho jaye gi aur hum south ki taraf chalein ge. Jab tak H4 support break nahi hoti, growth ke liye main target 1.3670 relevant rahega.

Is haftay GBP/USD pair ne apni growth jari rakhi aur 1.3318 par close hui. H4 timeframe par structure ne 1.3264 ke maximum ko break karne ke baad dobara upward trend apnaya. March 2022 ka historical maximum 1.3297 break hone ke baad, upar ke sabse dilchasp levels 1.3641 aur 1.3747 hain, jo market mein aage chal kar faislay karne ke liye key points ban sakte hain. Is haftay GBP/USD pair ki growth ne current uptrend ko confirm kiya, aur 1.3318 par close hone ka matlab yeh hai ke positive dynamics jari hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko mila ke 1.3264 ke maximum ka breakout bullish impulse ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur trend ki stability aur aage barhne ke imkaanat ko mazid barhata hai.

GBP/USD

Bank of England ka hawkish stance ne GBP/USD ko 1.33 se upar push kiya hai. Traders ko upcoming GDP data ka ghor se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke is ka asar BOE ke faislay par ho sakta hai. Jab bulls ka target 1.41 hai, to momentum is pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

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Yeh faisla, ek bohot hi hawkish tone ke saath aya, jis ne British pound ko mazid mazbooti di aur GBP/USD ko naye highs par push kiya. Jab inflation data disinflationary process mein slowdown dekha raha hai, toh bank ihtiyaat kar raha hai, aur is baat ka signal diya hai ke future mein aur rate cuts ke imkanaat kam hain.

Iska natija yeh hua ke GBP/USD confidently 1.33 ke upar break kar gaya. Traders ko aglay kuch dino mein potential upside momentum ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

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Lekin rates ko unchanged chornay ka near-unanimous decision ne policymakers mein hawkish stance ko mazid mazboot kar diya hai. Key GDP figures aglay Monday ko release hongay, aur agar yeh expectations se kam aaye, toh BOE apna stance reconsider kar sakta hai.

UK core inflation ek chinta ka sabab hai. Pichlay haftay ka inflation data Bank of England ki nazar mein aya, jiska sabse bara focus sustainable inflation target achieve karna hai.