جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Spot price ne Friday ko thodi si girawat dekhi, jo ab 1.3150 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh movement Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ke dip ke baad hui hai, dono taraf se. Chaar din ke jeet ke baad, pair ab ek ehtiyaat se bharay nazar aa raha hai jab yeh trading week ke aakhri hisson ki taraf barh raha hai. Traders aane wale UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures aur US Retail Sales data ko dekhenge, jo pair ke performance ko asar daal sakti hain. Abhi ke latest update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3132 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai.

Mojooda market conditions aur technical indicators ke madde nazar, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Agar bechne ki activity mazid barh jaati hai to yeh teen haftay purani girawat ko wapas le aane ka signal de sakti hai, khas taur par agar GBP/USD key support levels se neeche girti hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair in supports ke upar rukne me kamiyab rehti hai, to yeh short-term trading opportunities de sakti hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Recent developments in the Middle East ne forex market ko thoda complex bana diya hai. Israeli intelligence reports suggest karti hain ke Iran Israel par seedha attack karne ki tayari kar raha hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ki Tehran mein qatal ke jawab mein. Aise geopolitical tensions global markets ko asar daal sakti hain aur, is tarah se, USD ko bhi asar daal sakti hain. Agar Federal Reserve (Fed) se significant interest rate cuts ki umeed barqarar rehti hai, to yeh USD bullishness ko kam kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko madad de sakti hai.

Aane wale economic releases, jaise ke UK GDP growth figures aur US Retail Sales data, ke sath market participants ko potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Yeh reports economic trends par roshni dal sakti hain aur currency movements ko asar daal sakti hain. Traders ko in releases ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye kyunki yeh market sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD dynamics ko influence kar sakti hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price crucial support ko test kar sakti hai jo ke descending channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas hai, jo ke ab 1.3055 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is level ko break kiya gaya to downward pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko August mein noted throwback support 1.3001 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Halankeh price action generally subdued hai, thodi si downward momentum bhi dekhi gayi hai. Lekin kisi bhi decline ka expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 1.3080 support level ke upar hi rahegi. Upar ki taraf, resistance levels 1.3080 aur 1.3200 par dekhe ja rahe hain.

Jab Asian session Friday ko start hua, GBP/USD ne apni do din ki tarakki ko rok diya aur 1.3160 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart se pata chal raha hai ke pair ek descending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ko darshata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment se match karta hai, kyunki MACD line signal line aur centerline dono se neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko aur reinforce karta hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Is trading instrument ki price jaldi hi unpredictable ho sakti hai, kyunke intelligent money mukhtalif directions mein false signals generate kar rahi hai. Is wajah se price aam logon ke khilaf move kar sakti hai, GBP/USD liquidity wale regions ko target karte hue. Agar mere assumptions sahi hain, to mere analysis ke mutabiq yeh scenario unfold ho sakta hai: shuru mein, pair ki price 1.3172 tak barh sakti hai, jahan accumulation hone ki ummeed hai, uske baad phir volume-heavy zone 1.3026 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Agar 1.3026 par bullish signal emerge hota hai aur substantial volumes ke saath hota hai, to price zone ke lower boundary 1.3230 ki taraf surge kar sakti hai for a test. Agar price 1.3230 ko breach nahi kar pati, to yeh retrace ho sakti hai volume level 1.2944 ki taraf.

Non-farm payrolls report ke mutabiq, pichle kuch saalon ke data ke muqablay mein employment growth overall dheema ho gaya hai, unemployment rate expected ke mutabiq gir gayi hai, aur wage growth tez ho gayi hai. Halankeh labor market ke dheema hone ke saboot barh rahe hain, lekin naye data ke madad se US economy recession mein girne se bach sakti hai. Labor market ke strong hone ke assessment ne Federal Reserve ke sharp rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai, jo dollar ko boost kar raha hai.

Agar 1.3100 ke niche break hota hai, to ye further selling ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo April-July uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.3040 aur 20-day SMA 1.3000 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar downside ko pakra gaya, to bearish cycle 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 aur 50-day SMA tak extend ho sakti hai. Further declines se 2022 se uptrend line ka continuation confirm ho sakta hai, jo 50% Fibonacci level aur 1.2775 level ke aas paas ho sakta hai. RSI aur Stochastic ke lower hone aur MACD ke red signal line ke neeche cross karne se, selling interest abhi ke liye unchanged reh sakta hai. Lekin, moving averages ke upward slope ka matlab hai ke ongoing bearish wave shayad ek larger uptrend ka hissa ho.

GBP/USD ka tajziya

Currency pair apni recent rally mein rukawat ka shikar hai aur Thursday ki Asian session mein taqreeban 1.3090 par trade kar raha hai. Do din ke winning streak ke baad ab yeh pair 1.3087 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Daily chart ko dekh kar maloom hota hai ke GBP/USD ascending channel pattern ke andar upwards trend kar raha hai, jo ke general bullish outlook ko show karta hai. Is pattern se yeh baat samajh aati hai ke halaan ke recent slowdown hua hai, lekin pair mein upward momentum barqarar reh sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Chicago Fed ke President Austan Goolsbee ke recent comments ne market expectations ko stir kiya hai. Goolsbee ne kaha ke U.S. economy mein overheating ke koi asar nazar nahi aa rahe, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke agar zarurat pari toh Federal Reserve apni restrictive policy ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakh sakta hai. Is wajah se CME FedWatch Tool ab 77% probability dikha raha hai ke September ke Fed meeting mein 25 basis points ka rate cut ho sakta hai. Investors ab Fed officials Raphael Bostic aur Michael Barr ke speeches ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo Tuesday ko honge aur jo USD ki strength aur GBP/USD ke movements par asar daal sakte hain.

USD ke complex environment mein aur izafa karte hue, Minneapolis Fed ke President Neel Kashkari ne September mein rate cut ke hawale se apni openness ka izhar kiya hai, kyun ke unhein labor market ke kamzor hone ka khauf hai. Is dovish stance se USD ki upside potential limit ho sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye ek mixed environment paida kar raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke spot price apni ascending channel ki lower boundary ko 1.2950 ke level par test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support ke neeche girta hai, toh agla significant target nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.2924 hoga. Agar yeh EMA breach hota hai, toh price mazeed gir kar 1.2911 ke throwback support tak ja sakti hai, jo ke June mein ek ahm level tha.




MACD indicator is waqt bullish momentum ko reflect kar raha hai, MACD line centerline ke upar hai aur signal line se diverge kar rahi hai. Yeh technical signal yeh baat support karta hai ke upward movement barqarar reh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se thora neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke short-term correction ka ishara de raha hai.

GBP/USD Tajziya

Sab ko salam aur Good Morning!

Aaj ke din US unemployment rate mein kami hui, jo 230K se ghat kar 227K par aayi, lekin iska GBP/USD market par zyada asar nahi hua. Employment data mein positive tabdeeli ke bawajood, currency pair mein volatility utni nahi dekhi gayi. Lagta hai ke market kisi barey economic developments ka intezaar kar raha hai jisme strong reaction dekhne ko mil sake.

Mujhe umeed hai ke ane wali news data buyers ya sellers ko GBP/USD market mein domination hasil karne ka moka de sakti hai. Ahm economic indicators, jaise ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Core PPI, mein 0.1% se 0.2% ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Yeh choti si rise US economy mein inflationary pressure ka ishara karti hai, jo ke US dollar ki value ko further asar daal sakti hai. Agar dollar kamzor hota hai toh GBP/USD buyers ke liye yeh faida mand sabit ho sakta hai aur upward momentum barqarar reh sakta hai.

Khaaskar London trading hours ke dauran, yeh traders ke liye ek ahem moka ho sakta hai ke closely market ko observe karen. US dollar ke kamzor hone ke baad, GBP/USD market mein bullish push dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair 1.3100 ke zone ko cross kar le, jo ek psychological level hai aur aksar market movements mein support aur resistance dono ka kaam karta hai. Traders ko is level ke aas paas price action ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh market sentiment ke shift ka ishara de sakta hai.




Aakhir mein, jabke US unemployment rate mein kami se koi significant volatility nahi dekhi gayi, agle din ki news data market direction ko tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada kar sakti hai. US PPI aur Core PPI mein izafa US dollar ko kamzor bana raha hai, jis se GBP/USD 1.3100 level ke upar ja sakta hai London trading session ke dauran. Buyers aur sellers dono yeh developments closely monitor karenge taake apni agle steps ka faisla kar sakein.

GBP/USD Tajziya

Price ab bhi ek complex market environment se guzar rahi hai, aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke thora upar 1.2964 ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai. Iske bawajood, bullish recovery ke chances ab kam lag rahe hain, kyun ke pair ko solid footing milti nazar nahi aa rahi. Pound Sterling (GBP) ne mid-July mein apni 12-mahinon ki peak se lagbhag 3% ka nuksan uthaya, aur is waqt ek naazuk position par hai. Long-term buyers ab closely monitoring kar rahe hain ke koi rebound ka pattern dekhne ko milta hai ya nahi.

GBP/USD Ka Rebound, CPI Report Ke Baad US Dollar Ki Kamzori

North American trading session ke dauran spot price apne intraday lows se rebound hota hua 1.3070 tak pohancha. Yeh uptick US Dollar Index ke kamzor hone ke baad aya, jab United States ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) report release hui. Report ne dikhaya ke July mein inflationary pressures waise hi kam hue jaise anticipate kiya gaya tha, jis wajah se USD ne decline dekha. USD, jo Greenback ki strength ko chhe major currencies ke against measure karta hai, apne weekly low par taqreeban 101.50 tak gir gaya.

CPI report ne inflation ka mixed picture diya. Annual headline inflation aur core inflation (jo food aur energy ko exclude karta hai) dono June ke levels se thori si decelerate ho kar 2.9% aur 3.2% par aa gayi. Month-on-month, headline aur core CPI dono mein 0.2% ka izafa hua, jo forecasts ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke inflation Federal Reserve (Fed) ke 2% target ki taraf ja rahi hai, jis wajah se market mein speculation barh gaya hai ke Fed shayad interest rates cut kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis Aur Market Sentiment

Ek ahm technical level jo dekhne wala hai, wo 1.3110 hai. Agar is level ke upar breach hota hai, toh yeh GBP ki recent strength ko solidify karega. Lekin yeh scenario ab tak materialize nahi hua. Iske bajaye, GBP/USD 1.3001 se 1.3151 ke range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 1.3076 par relatively unchanged close hua. Halaankeh downward momentum mein koi significant izafa nahi hua, prevailing sentiment yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP par bearish bias hai. Agar price psychological support level 1.3000 se neeche girta hai, toh pair 1.2911 ke region ki taraf ja sakta hai.




Is haftay ke lows se bounce karne ke bawajood, GBP/USD abhi bhi mushkilat se bahar nahi nikla. Market momentum filhal sellers ke haq mein hai, halaankeh short term mein buyers bhi kuch control dikha rahe hain. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) abhi neutral 50 line se neeche hai, lekin upwards trend kar raha hai, jo ke market dynamics mein shift ka ishara de raha hai.

Candle ka position Blue EMA50 line ko tor chuki hai, aur Bollinger Bands ka shape bhi expand ho raha hai, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke H4 timeframe par buy momentum ka signal dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kyunke seller ka response dheema hai, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke peechlay 20 ghantay ka downward trend sirf aik correction tha. Ab kyunke price gir chuki hai aur blue support zone mein hai jo 1.3100 aur 1.3071 ke darmiyan hai, traders ke liye yeh aik safe position hai ke wo buy ka order lagayein. Is point se price expected hai ke pehli resistance area mein dakhil ho, jo 1.3208 aur 1.3235 ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh resistance area break nahi hota, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift kar sakta hai, jaise ke peechlay downward movement mein 1.3264 se 1.3000 tak ke level par dekha gaya tha. Price ka structure ab bhi consistent hai lower lows bananay mein, is liye bullish bias mein wapis anay ke liye buyers ko yeh resistance area break karna zaruri hai.


Aakhri paanch haftay se buyers ne clearly market ko dominate kiya hai, aur weekly chart par dekhne ko milta hai ke present price structure bullish pattern develop kar raha hai. Yeh movement do double marubozu candles se propel ho raha hai, jo ke upper Bollinger Bands line ko effectively break kar chuki hain. Seller ka reaction sirf teen correction candles banane mein kamyab hua hai. Yeh bhi dekhne wali baat hai ke price Red EMA200 ke upar hai, aur Blue EMA50 ka position Purple EMA100 ko tor kar upar ja raha hai. Weekly candle ka closing position demand line area ya weekly MA5/MA10 Low W1 ke lowest average price par bhi kaafi buying activity ko trigger kar sakta hai jo ke price ko 1.3260 resistance level se upar push karay ga. H4 timeframe par jo movement hai us se purchase momentum ka signal mil raha hai jo is buying activity ko show kare ga.

GBP/USD Tajziya: Asian Session Mein Recovery

Thursday ke Asian session ke dauran, GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki losing streak ke baad recovery ki aur ab takreeban 1.3046 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is upward movement ka zyada taluq USD ki weakness se hai, kyunke market mein expectations barh rahi hain ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut ke liye zyada aggressive approach ikhtiyar kar sakti hai.

Wage Growth ka Inflation par Asar:

Abhi ka focus services inflation par hai, jo ke June mein year-over-year (YoY) 5.7% par stable raha, pichle do mahine ke higher-than-expected izafon ke baad. Yeh stable services inflation figure ek achi nishani ke tor par dekhi ja rahi hai aur is baat ka ishara deti hai ke Bank of England (BoE) November mein rate cut kar sakta hai. Lekin agar inflation figures mein izafa hota hai, toh yeh zaroori nahi ke foran se rate hike kiya jaye, kyunke policymakers ko ab bhi economic uncertainty ka samna hai. Filhal, rate cut ka possibility qareebi waqt mein kam lagta hai, jab tak inflation ka risk 2% ke target par wapas aane tak door nahi hota.

Service sector mein price pressures kaafi hattak wage growth se mutasir hain, jo ke June mein khatam hone wale teen mahine ke doran apni do saal ki lowest level par aa gaya hai. Employment report ke mutabiq, Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses ka izafa dheema ho kar 5.4% par aa gaya, jo pehle quarter mein 5.7% tha. Wage growth mein yeh slowdown BoE ke policymakers ke liye tasalli ka baais ban sakta hai, jo ke wage pressures ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Technical Analysis aur GBP/USD ke Support Levels:

GBP ne kal 1.3000 ke psychological mark ke aas paas sharp decline dekha, aur humari analysis ke mutabiq yeh renewed momentum downside risk ko zahir karta hai. June ke low ke saath aligned 1.3000 ka level solid support provide kar raha hai. Hum is bearish outlook ko tab tak barqarar rakhenge jab tak GBP/USD 1.3109 ke strong resistance level ko break nahi karta. Jab tak price 1.3120 se neeche hai, further declines ki possibility hai, lekin 1.3145 se neeche girne ka imkaan kam lagta hai.



Pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche resilience dikhayi hai jo ke 1.3078 par hai, aur isne kuch dip-buyers ko attract kiya jo ke is haftay ke over-one-month low par buying kar rahe thay. Magar, iske bawajood spot prices recent uptick ko zyada build nahi kar pa rahe, aur abhi bhi 1.3100 ke aas paas modest intraday gains ke sath trade kar rahe hain.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

#8803 Collapse

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

Budh ke din, GBP/USD currency pair ne upper limits ko test kiya lekin aakhir kar 1.3055 ke qareeb settle ho gaya, jo ke din ki shuruaat ka mark tha. Iss waqt market ek significant downside shock se guzar raha hai jo ke pichlay hafte ke aakhri dinon mein disappointing US economic data ke baad aya. Iss data ne US mein aik badi mandi (recession) ke khauf ko dobara se barhawa diya hai.

Market Sentiment aur Aindah Ki Soorat-e-Haal:

Haal ka market sentiment ehtiyaat ke sath optimism ka izhar kar raha hai, lekin recent economic uncertainties ke asar bhi hain. Traders aur analysts donon US aur UK ki economic indicators ko ghoor se dekh rahe hain taake GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ka andaaza lagaya ja sake. Agar economic data expected figures se zyada different hua, toh yeh market expectations ko affect kar sakta hai aur currency pair ke raasta ko badal sakta hai.

#Maujooda Economic Soorat-e-Haal:

Taaza economic figures wohi hain jo ke US central bank ne apni latest meeting mein project kiye thay. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne yeh projection di thi ke CPI inflation iss saal ke aakhri hisson mein lagbhag 2.75% tak barh jaayegi. Yeh izafa guzishta saal ke energy price declines ke base effect ki wajah se hai, jo ab zyada clearly domestic inflationary pressures ko highlight karte hain. Is ke ilawa, private sector mein regular average weekly earnings ka growth 5.6% tak kam ho gaya hai, jab ke services consumer price inflation June mein 5.7% tak gir gaya.

UK Economy Ke Liye Asraat:

Aindah ke liye, UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ko shak ke sath dekha jaa raha hai. Annual inflation figures mein izafa ho sakta hai lekin yeh foran kisi policy shift ka sabab nahi banega. Agar yeh data expectations se zyada barh gaya, toh yeh Bank of England (BoE) ke liye aik aggressive stance ka shuba peda kar sakta hai, aur aglay interest rate cut ka waqt 2025 tak delay ho sakta hai. Aise surat mein, Pound Sterling apne mukhalif currency pairs ke muqable mein mazid strong ho sakta hai.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis (GBP/USD):

London ke trading hours ke dauran, GBP/USD pair mein kafi volatility dekhi gayi. Yeh pair pehle 1.3060 level ke upar gaya, lekin phir 1.2998 tak gir gaya. Yeh movement suggest karti hai ke downside ka risk abhi bhi majood hai. Zaroori support levels 1.3045 aur 1.3010 hain, jisme 1.3010 kaafi strong support ka kaam de raha hai. Jab tak 1.3088 level mazboot hai, downside risk qayam rahega. Do martaba 1.3050 mark ko test karne ke baad bhi pair ne rebound kiya, lekin downward momentum ab dheem ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka izhar karta hai ke 1.3000 se neeche sustained girawat ka imkaan ab kam hai.




Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.3100 ke upar barqarar rehta hai aur 50-day moving average (DMA) ki taraf badhta hai, toh yeh 1.3110 ka level test kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke GBP 1.3150 ko cross kar le, kyun ke guzishta hafte trading ke dauran high 1.3234 tak gaya tha. Aise potential upside movement ka matlab hai ke agar key resistance levels breach huye, toh bullish momentum aage barh sakta hai.

GBP/USD: Market Movements ka Tajziya

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Yeh yaad rakna zaroori hai ke pehle jo GBP/USD pair ka growth tha, woh kaafi illogical tha aur ab lagta hai ke yeh complete ho gaya hai. Is liye ab hum technical aur fundamental analysis par asra kar sakte hain trading ke dauran. Dono analysis yeh dikhate hain ke pair mein ek strong girawat ka imkaan hai. Is liye, humein umeed karni chahiye ke downward movement barh sakta hai. Saath hi, humein yeh bhi yaad rakhna hoga ke Bank of England ke expected rate cut se pehle humein ECB aur Fed ke rate cuts ka samna karna padega. Pound par pressure kaafi zaahir hai.

H4 Chart Analysis:

Four-hour chart par, jahaan bears ko mazid taqat milni chahiye thi, wahaan bilkul ulta hua hai aur bulls ki taqat nazar aa rahi hai. MACD indicators jo different configurations mein hain, woh selling waves mein hain, lekin signal bands histogram se bahar chale gaye hain, jo ke buying signals ka aghaaz hai.

Meri raye yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ka growth abhi tak mukammal nahi hua, aur humein tayar rehna chahiye ke price mein ek aur jump aa sakta hai. Agar hum aaj chhote timeframe par dekhein, toh price reversal ke pehle aasar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair 1.3036 ke price level ke upar hai aur mazid aagay barhne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyun ke bearish trend ki taqat khatam hoti nazar aa rahi hai aur bulls ne ab market ko sambhal liya hai.




Sabse pehle, humein upar ja kar 1.3116 ka level test karna hoga. Agar sab theek raha, toh hum aur zyada upward movement ki umeed kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.3060-1.3070 ke range mein barhti hai, toh hum short-term sales ki transactions ko consider kar sakte hain, jahan 1.2965 ka support level hoga. Iske baad, is support area ke aas paas confirming signals ko dekh kar, hum 1.3270-1.3280 ke range mein medium-term buying opportunities ko consider kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD

Daily chart ke mutabiq, agar hum indicator technology ka use karein, toh yeh baat samajh aati hai ke market abhi tak bullish mood mein hai. Jo decline ab nazar aa raha hai, usay sirf ek pullback samjha jana chahiye. Yeh girawat tab tak rahegi jab tak pehla strong support nahi milta, jahan se dobara se price north (upar) ki taraf ja sakti hai. Trend ke khilaaf trading karna khatarnaak ho sakta hai kyun ke hum final target tak nahi pohanch paate aur beech mein hi wapas palat kar market upar ja sakta hai. Abhi ke local indicators kya dikhate hain:

MA100 pichlay do mah se lagataar ek monotonic rise show kar raha hai, aur abhi tak woh upward pull kar raha hai ek trend angle par jo lagbhag 5 degrees ka hai. Poore hafta ka mood kaafi bullish raha hai.

Tamaam teen Bollinger bands bhi ab north ki taraf ek mazid rise dikhane ke liye tayar hain. Unke end parts literally vertical (seedhi) line mein upward pull kar rahe hain ek trend angle par jo 45 degrees ka hai. Iss waqt yeh indicator MA100 ke upar wale space mein enter ho gaya hai, jo market ke bullish charge ko emphasize karta hai.




Is waqt market Semafor ke global sell signal ke under kaam kar raha hai. Yeh signal ek technical zone mein set kiya gaya hai: price ne upper Bollinger band ke beyond candle ko le jaane mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo is baat ka indication hai ke bulls apne certain goals achieve kar chuke hain aur ab market se nikalne ke liye tayar hain, battlefield ko bears ke hawalay karte hue. Hum ab ek sloping channel mein decline kar rahe hain.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, umeed hai ke price resistance level 1.3105 (upper channel band) tak barh jaayegi, aur phir wahan se niche ki taraf jaane ka imkaan hai.

GBP/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum. Mai ek thodi zyada strong correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon aur EMA20 par 1.3070 ke level ka test karne ka. Aap yahaan rebound par sales ko pakarne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.3105 ke upar chalti hai, toh sales ko cancel kar dena chahiye. Jab EMA200 ke neeche 1.3015 par consolidation hoti hai, toh sales ko barhaaya jaa sakta hai. Is waqt trading range 1.3070 aur 1.3015 ke darmiyan hai, aur main yeh chahta hoon ke ideal signal miley takay sale kar sako. Jis tarah ab bulls ki taraf se ek attack ki koshish ho rahi hai, yeh movement milne ke kafi chances hain.

Kal ke inflation data ne maheena dar maheena izafa dikhaya hai, jo yeh indication deta hai ke inflation ka yeh growth agle quarter tak transfer ho sakta hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke liye rate ke bare mein sochne ka ek sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke non-farm payroll data ne labor market mein izafa dikhaya. Agar rate kam hota hai, toh sirf ek choti amount tak hoga. Har surat mein, yeh dollar ko mazid strong hone ka moqa faraham karta hai. America mein ECB ke rate ke ilawa, hum unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ke data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, saath hi producer price index ka bhi, jo ke consumer prices ke aglay indicator ke liye ek achi option dega.




Four-Hour Chart Analysis

Half-hour timeframe ko upar discuss kiya gaya tha, lekin ab four-hour chart par nazar dalte hain. Pehle jab pair 1.3265 ke high se rebound hua, toh pound/dollar pair ne south (niche) ki taraf turn kiya aur phir ek downward price channel bana, jisme British pound 1.3048 par trade kar raha hai. Technically, kal lower border se rebound hua (ek false breakout ke sath), jiske baad British pound ne corrective growth dikhayi, aur is waqt jab yeh post likha ja raha hai, toh pair corrective growth ki taraf move kar raha hai. Buyers ka target resistance line hai, jo lagbhag 1.3150 par intersect karegi.

Is waqt mujhe koi clear signal nahi mil raha deal mein enter karne ka, kyun ke half-hour chart already 1.3060 ke level se sell signal de raha hai, jab ke four-hour chart 1.3150 tak buy signal dikha raha hai.

GBP/USD: Forex Dynamics Price Action ke Zariye

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka tajziya karenge, jo humari analysis ka markaz hai. Agar aap GBP/USD charts ko dekhein, toh aap dekhein ge ke kal is significant currency pair ka local low 1.3067 tha. Magar aaj value mein kaafi girawat aayi hai. Chaand modest targets jo buy opportunities ke liye set kiye gaye thay, un tak pound nahi pohanch saka. Isne 1.3042 ke qareeb ka najdeeki target bhi test nahi kiya, jo buy zone ka upper limit tha. Kuch log is level par buy trades mein enter karne ko uncertain samajhte hain. Is waqt pound-dollar pair 1.3071 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jo is figure se thoda upar hai. Pair 1.30 ki price range mein nahi, balke upper range mein, yani 1.3051 aur 1.3101 ke darmiyan consolidate kar raha hai.

Pair Ki Next Move Ki Paishgoi

Is range se pair ki aglay move ka andaza lagana mushkil hai, aur uncertain aur volatile conditions ki wajah se reliable trades karna takreeban naamumkin hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke downward trend nikal sakta hai, lekin clear signals ki kami ki wajah se mujhe GBP/USD ke mustaqbil ka trajectory samajh nahi aa raha. Ho sakta hai ke priority ab 1.301 tak ke girne par shift ho jaaye, lekin situation itni unpredictable hai ke bulls trend ko reverse kar ke market ko GBP/USD ke wave par upar le ja sakte hain.




Aam tor par pair downward scenario follow karta hai, jahan overall target 1.2896 par rest karta hai. Magar agar yeh wave pattern disrupt ho gaya—khaaskar daily time frame par—GBP/USD jaldi reverse ho sakta hai aur apni girawat ko 1.2957 par rokh sakta hai. Is scenario mein growth phase ka aghaaz 1.2957 se ho sakta hai agar yeh conditions meet ho jaayein.