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GBP/USD H1 Market Analysis
Hello forum ke tamam members ko salaam! Aaj dopahar mein main GBP/USD currency pair par analysis dene ki koshish karunga. Aaj ke liye, main H1 time frame par bante hue pattern ko dekhoon ga aur niche ki taraf kisi movement ke imkaanaat ko jaanchunga. Kya price mazeed barhti rahegi ya wapas ayegi? Is cheez ka andaza lagane ke liye, main GBP/USD currency pair par ek technical approach lene wala hoon. Main moving average indicator ka tool istimaal karunga. H1 time frame par period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ko dekh kar trend ka rukh maloom karunga. Kyun ke ab price moving average indicator ke upar hai, aur yahan ek resistance level bhi hai jahan entry di ja sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame par bullish trend mein hai, aur agle resistance area ko target karegi.
uptrend ko dobara resume karne ki koshish ki, lekin wo apni position ko barqarar nahi rakh saka aur local highs ko chhoone ke baad gir gaya. Shuru mein, price 1.3170 ke level ke upar chali gayi, lekin ek clear rukawat ka saamna karna para, jiski wajah se price ne apni saari position kho di aur wapas initial level ke qareeb, 1.3082 ke aas paas aa gayi. Natija yeh raha ke expected growth hasil nahi hui, lekin target territory ab bhi workable hai. Saath hi, price chart supertrend red zone mein dakhil hoti nazar aayi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko barqarar rakhe hue hain.

Aaj ke technical front par, agar hum 4-hour chart ko ghor se dekhein, to simple moving averages ke upar negative pressure nazar aata hai jo daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Isse yeh zahir hota hai ke chart par ek bearish technical structure maujood hai. Is liye, aaj ke trading session ke dauran downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3050 next official level ho sakta hai, jahan se price 1.3000 k
Pichlay working week mein, pound ne uptrend ko dobara resume karne ki koshish ki, lekin wo apni position ko barqarar nahi rakh saka aur local highs ko chhoone ke baad gir gaya. Shuru mein, price 1.3170 ke level ke upar chali gayi, lekin ek clear rukawat ka saamna karna para, jiski wajah se price ne apni saari position kho di aur wapas initial level ke qareeb, 1.3082 ke aas paas aa gayi. Natija yeh raha ke expected growth hasil nahi hui, lekin target territory ab bhi workable hai. Saath hi, price chart supertrend red zone mein dakhil hoti nazar aayi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko barqarar rakhe hue hain.

Aaj ke technical front par, agar hum 4-hour chart ko ghor se dekhein, to simple moving averages ke upar negative pressure nazar aata hai jo daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Isse yeh zahir hota hai ke chart par ek bearish technical structure maujood hai. Is liye, aaj ke trading session ke dauran downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ka imkaan hai, aur 1.3050 next official level ho sakta hai, jahan se price 1.3000 ki taraf barhne ka imkaan hai.

Overall, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke neeche stable rehti hai, hum overall bearish trend par bullish rahenge. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish scenario rukh lega aur pair 1.3170 ki taraf jaane lagega. Is se ek retest trigger hoga, aur price ko 1.3200 tak pahunchne ka potential milega. Chart ko neeche dekhein:

GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko ek consolidation ka daura guzara, jo ke recent recovery ke baad aaya. Jab ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) data market expectations ke sath align ho gaya, yeh pair ke liye clear direction nahi de paya. Agle din, UK inflation forecasts aur Michigan Sentiment Index ki release se economic landscape ke baray mein mazeed maloomat milegi. PPI data ne producer prices mein halka izafa zahir kiya, dono monthly aur annually.Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3045-1.3085 ke area se supported hai. RSI abhi neutral level 50 ke aas paas hai, jo clear momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Agar RSI 50 ke neeche chala jata hai aur oversold territory mein rehta hai, to market mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Potential support levels mein 1.2940 SMA aur 1.2900 level shamil hain, jo recent uptrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement hai. In levels ke neeche break hone se, ek gehra correction ho sakta hai, aur 1.2780 level, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement ko darshata hai, ek significant area ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/USD pair abhi uncertainty ka samna kar raha hai, mixed economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ke monetary polic Halankeh annual inflation rates, PPI aur core PPI ke liye umeed se kam thi, phir bhi yeh ab bhi persistent inflationary pressures ko darshati hai. Labor market bhi resilience ka izhar kar raha hai, initial jobless claims ab bhi relatively low hain. In indicators ke bawajood, market Federal Reserve ke rate cut cycle shuru karne ke plans par bharosa rakhti hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September meeting mein 25-basis point rate cut ki high probability hai. Lekin, ek zyada aggressive 50-basis point reduction ka bhi chhota chance hai.
Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3045-1.3085 ke area se supported hai. RSI abhi neutral level 50 ke aas paas hai, jo clear momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Agar RSI 50 ke neeche chala jata hai aur oversold territory mein rehta hai, to market mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Potential support levels mein 1.2940 SMA aur 1.2900 level shamil hain, jo recent uptrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement hai. In levels ke neeche break hone se, ek gehra correction ho sakta hai, aur 1.2780 level, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement ko darshata hai, ek significant area ban sakta hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/USD pair abhi uncertainty ka samna kar raha hai, mixed economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke diverging expectations ke sath. Traders ko ihtiyaat baratni chahiye aur UK inflation forecasts aur Michigan Sentiment Index ke aane wale releases ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye.

Sham bakhair. Sabko munafa dilaai trades aur achi sehat ki dua. GBP/USD par ek mukhtasir tajziya:
Global tor par, price bullish trend mein hai, lekin filhal, bullish movement ke peak tak pohnchne ke baad, yeh bearish correction mein chali gayi hai. Price ne kai lower highs banaye hain aur daily level 1.3139 ko break karne ke baad, yeh trading range mein enter karti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ek bullish impulse banne ka ishara de raha hai. Doosri taraf, agar bulls mein kamzori dekhi gayi, to price, 1.3139 ke daily level tak pohnchne ke baad, zyada force ke sath short continuation kar sakti hai.

Hourly timeframe. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price ne recent resistance par support paya hai jab price historical chart par lambi bullish thi. Filhal, hourly chart par price ne range resistance level tak nahi pohncha hai. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke agar price is trading range ke upar band hoti hai, to bhi long term mein price ka upar move karna mushkil hoga, kyunki 1.3139 ka daily level wahan hai. Usk ilawa, chart par price bullish weakness dikha rahi hai, jo lower highs mein zahir hoti hai. Isliye, main ye maan raha hoon ke yeh particular bullish sentiment kisi bearish pin bar ke sath khatam hogi aur short side ki taraf move karegi. Lekin filhal, price indecision dikha rahi hai, kyunki long continuation ke liye price ko yeh dikhana hoga ke yeh trading range ke upar thoda settle hui haiTechnical perspective se, GBP/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3045-1.3085 ke area se supported hai. RSI abhi neutral level 50 ke aas paas hai, jo clear momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Agar RSI 50 ke neeche chala jata hai aur oversold territory mein rehta hai, to market mein mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Potential support levels mein 1.2940 SMA aur 1.2900 level shamil hain, jo recent uptrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement hai. In levels ke neeche break hone se, ek gehra correction ho sakta hai, aur 1.2780 level, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement ko darshata

Mangal ko, maine dekha ke GBP/USD ka trading itna busy nahi tha kyun ke range sirf 40 pips ke aas paas thi. Jab Asia session open hui, GBP/USD mein pehle izafa dekha gaya. Us waqt GBP/USD 1.3100 ke aas paas tak barh gaya. Magar jab candle 1.3106 ke price par SBR area ko cross nahi kar payi, to GBP/USD ki movement wapis neeche gir gayi. Is girawat ke baad, is ka qareebi support zone break hua aur GBP/USD 1.3060 ke price tak gir gaya. Agar h1 timeframe se analysis karein, to support area mein ek doji candle banti nazar aayi. Mere khayal mein, yeh ek tasdeeq hai ke market ab ulta chalne wali hai. Saboot ye hai ke jab price us point par pohanchi, GBP/USD ki movement phir se barhna shuru hui. Abhi tak GBP/USD 1.3081 par trade ho raha hai. H1 support jo 1.3060 par hai, ab test hoga ke kitna mazboot hai. Agar yeh support break ho gaya, to pair neeche gir sakta hai, warna agar break nahi hota, to movement upar ja sakti hai. Agar support break hua, to yeh GBP/USD ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai.
Agar ichimoku indicator se analysis karein, to h1 timeframe mein candle position ne blue kijun sen line ko cross kar liya hai. Yeh cross tab hua jab GBP/USD strong hone laga. Halankeh candle ne kijun sen line ko cross kar diya hai, lekin abhi tak dono lines ne aik dosray ko cross nahi kiya. Main yeh prefer karta hoon ke dono lines ka cross hona ka intizaar kiya jaye taa ke upward signal ka confirmation mil jaye. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke candle jo demand area mein stuck hai, jaldi hi intersection dekhne ko milega. Stochastic indicator se agar analysis karein, to stochastic line level 60 ke darmiyan hai. Uski direction upar ki taraf hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward signal abhi bhi wahan hai. Lekin jab yeh line level 80 ko touch kar ke wapis neeche ki taraf chaley, to ehtiyaat karna zaroori hai kyun ke yeh GBP/USD ke girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ke barhne ke chances ab bhi hain. Wajah yeh hai ke support area mein doji candle appear hui hai aur demand area jo 1.3051 ke price par hai, abhi tak break nahi hui. Isliye meri tajwez yeh hai ke jo log iss pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karein. Take profit target 1.3204

GBP-USD ki price position ab bhi girawat ka shikar hai aur 423% ke aakhri projection ki taraf ja rahi hai Fibonacci retracement mein. Magar iska yeh matlab nahi ke price iss projection level par aane ke baad mazeed nahi gir sakti. Agar haali halat dekhein toh yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein, jo EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Kyon ke price aakhri 16 ghanton (ya 4 candlesticks) se bilkul EMA200 ke neeche hai, is liye buyers ke liye iss bearish trend ko badalna aasaan nahi hoga. Is surat mein sell trading option ek behtareen choice ho sakti hai.
Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.2950 ke fresh demand area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar hum teen bearish candles ko dekhein jo is girawat ki wajah hain, toh abhi bhi price ke paas 1.2950 tak girne ka pura chance hai, bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims data aaj raat ko expected 227,000 claims se bohat zyada nahi hota. Yeh unemployment ke izafay ko dikhayega, aur agar PPI data estimate se bohat neeche hota hai, toh producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata chalega, jisse GBP-USD ek tezi se correction kar sakti hai.

Is liye, apni bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche le kar jaana hoga aur 1.30000 ke support ko torhna hoga jo kal ke daily trading arena ka lower support tha. Magar lagta hai ke aaj US dollar yaani USD ke kamzor hone ka moqa hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP-USD ko apni bullish raah par wapas laane ka ek moqa milega, aur price EMA200 TF H1 orange line ko test karegi jo ke 1.31000 ke price level par hai.

pada, jis ki wajah se price sari positions kho kar wapis 1.3082 ke qareebi level par aa gayi. Is liye, jo expected growth thi woh hasil nahi ho saki, magar target ka area ab bhi workable hai. Is ke sath sath, price chart supertrend red zone mein move karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko barqarar rakhe hue hain.
Aaj ke technical front par, agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar dalain, toh negative pressure simple moving averages par dikhai de raha hai, jo ke daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Yeh chart par ek bearish technical structure ka izhar karta hai. Iss liye, aaj ke trading session ke dauran downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jahan 1.3050 agla ahem level hoga, aur target mazeed gir ke 1.3000 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Aam tor par, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke neeche stable rehti hai, hum overall bearish trend ke hawale se optimistic rahain ge. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh bearish scenario khatam ho jaye ga, aur pair 1.3170 ki taraf move karega. Yeh dobara retest ko trigger karega, aur mazeed izafa kar ke 1.3200 ke level tak jaane ka imkaan hai.

Is waqt, pair mixed trading kar raha hai aur har hafte mein thori si tabdeeli dekh raha hai. Ahem support areas test ho rahe hain aur stable hain, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke upside vector ab bhi important hai. Agar price ko near-term mein barqarar rakhna hai, toh zaroori hai ke yeh 1.3082 ke level ke upar consolidate kare, jo ke ek major support area hoga. Agar is area ka retest hota hai aur wahan se price rebound karti hai, toh yeh sustainable advance ka ek acha moqa ho ga, aur target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke beech mein ho ga

/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai. Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai

kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein ayaan wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein. Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.



GBP/USD pair us waqt barh gaya jab US Dollar (USD) Wednesday ko strong bounce ke baad thoda gir gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chay major currencies ke muqabley track karta hai, immediate resistance 101.20 ke upar recovery extend karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
Greenback ko apni recent rebound ko maintain karna mushkil hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke almost sure hone ke bawajood ke September meeting se interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kar diya jayega. Jabke traders divided hain ke Fed policy-easing spell ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se start karega, rate reduction already priced in hai.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary ne jo last week Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein diya tha, Fed ke September se interest rates cut karne ke speculation ko mazbooti di hai. Powell ne kaha ke “policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai,” jo ke yeh highlight karta hai ke US central bank ab labor market ke downside risks ko lekar zyada concerned hai jab

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke Dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

British Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya.

British Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya. Aaj ke din pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hai. 1.2680 ka support key role ada kar sakta hai; agar is support ko todna possible hota hai, to pair downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan se shayad ek rollback shuru hoga aur phir 1.2447 tak downward movement ho sakti hai, lekin is hafte tak yeh possible nahi lagta. Agar 1.2680 ke neeche consolidation nahi hoti, to 1.2750 tak phir se growth ho sakti hai, jahan is resistance ko todna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake. Yeh upward trend 1.3065 tak lead kar sakta hai, lekin is hafte aisa growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2750 ki resistance todna possible hota hai, to shayad 1.2860 tak pahucha ja sakta hai, lekin 1.300 se upar ke levels par expect nahi kiya jana chahiye. Maximum 1.2970 tak pahunchna possible hai, aur yahan tak bhi chances zyada nahi lagte.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai.
Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

ستمبر 13 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ہماری توقعات کے برعکس، یورپی مرکزی بینک کی شرح میں کمی کے بعد گزشتہ روز برطانوی پاؤنڈ میں اضافہ ہوا۔ آج صبح، قیمت 1.3141 (جولائی 2023 کی چوٹی) کے ہدف تک پہنچ گئی، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت زون میں مستحکم ہوگیا۔ 1.3220 پر ہدف اب کھلا ہے۔



یہ ممکن ہے کہ قیمت 1.3246 پر پرائس چینل کی بالائی باؤنڈری پر کام کرنے کا ارادہ رکھتی ہے اور اگر ممکن ہو تو 1.3300 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ جائے (23 مارچ 2022 کی چوٹی)۔ یہ یقیناً ہے، اگر اگلے ہفتے فیڈرل ریزرو کی طرف سے کوئی عجیب و غریب بیان اس منصوبے میں مداخلت نہیں کرتا ہے۔ ترقی کی تصدیق کرنے کے لیے، قیمت کو 1.3141 سے اوپر مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچ گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسکیلیٹر نے نیچے کی طرف الٹ جانے کا خاکہ پیش کیا، لیکن قیمت کے 1.3141 سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کا امکان پہنچی ہوئی مزاحمتوں سے الٹ جانے کے امکان سے زیادہ ہے، کیونکہ قیمت توازن اشارے کی لکیر سے اوپر جاتی ہے۔ قیمت فیڈرل ریزرو میٹنگ سے پہلے کچھ اوپری ہدف حاصل کرنے کی کوشش کر سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD ke 4-hour chart mein abhi price 1.31468 par hai, jo short-term dip ke baad recovery ko show kar raha hai. Overall trend bullish lag raha hai kyun ke price ne late July se higher lows aur higher highs banaye hain, aur demand zone jo 1.27000 ke aas paas tha, wahan se recovery hui hai. Market ne kai liquidity zones ko cross kiya hai, jahan buy-side aur sell-side dono zones mein fair value gaps (FVG) price action ko attract karte hain. Early August mein ek notable FVG zone 1.28000 se neeche tha, jahan price ko support mila aur uske baad strong rally hui jo 1.30000 ke level ke upar pohanch gayi. Recent liquidity grabs around 1.30500 ne bhi is upward movement ko fuel kiya hai.

Immediate resistance area 1.32000 ke aas paas hai, jahan sell orders ki distribution aur liquidity gap mojood hai. Yeh level price ke liye ek strong catalyst ke baghair cross karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamyab ho jati hai, toh agla target upper liquidity zone hoga jo 1.32500 ke upar hai, aur ek additional FVG bhi 1.33000 ke qareeb dekhi ja sakti hai, jo traders ke liye key level hai.

Downside par, sabse significant support area 1.30000 ke aas paas hai, jahan pehle ek FVG aur liquidity grab hui thi. Yeh level psychological support ke saath align karta hai, aur is ke neeche break hone se price 1.29000 aur 1.28000 areas ko retest kar sakti hai, jo dono critical buy-side liquidity hold karte hain. Market ne in lower levels ko pichle mahino mein test kiya hai lekin strong recovery bhi hui hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bulls abhi bhi market par control rakhte hain. Near term mein, GBP/USD 1.30000 aur 1.32000 ke darmiyan consolidate kar sakta hai jab traders recent price action ko digest kar rahe hain aur fundamental drivers ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Agar price 1.32000 ke upar break karti hai toh bullish trend ka continuation confirm hoga, jab ke 1.30000 ke neeche break deeper correction ki taraf ishara karega towards lower liquidity zones. Traders ko liquidity imbalances ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khaas kar 1.30500 aur 1.31500 ke aas paas, kyun ke yeh levels pair ke aglay major move ko dictate kar sakte hain.