جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Price ab bhi ek complex market environment se guzar rahi hai, aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke thora upar 1.2964 ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai. Iske bawajood, bullish recovery ke chances ab kam lag rahe hain, kyun ke pair ko solid footing milti nazar nahi aa rahi. Pound Sterling (GBP) ne mid-July mein apni 12-mahinon ki peak se lagbhag 3% ka nuksan uthaya, aur is waqt ek naazuk position par hai. Long-term buyers ab closely monitoring kar rahe hain ke koi rebound ka pattern dekhne ko milta hai ya nahi.
GBP/USD Ka Rebound, CPI Report Ke Baad US Dollar Ki Kamzori

North American trading session ke dauran spot price apne intraday lows se rebound hota hua 1.3070 tak pohancha. Yeh uptick US Dollar Index ke kamzor hone ke baad aya, jab United States ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) report release hui. Report ne dikhaya ke July mein inflationary pressures waise hi kam hue jaise anticipate kiya gaya tha, jis wajah se USD ne decline dekha. USD, jo Greenback ki strength ko chhe major currencies ke against measure karta hai, apne weekly low par taqreeban 101.50 tak gir gaya.

CPI report ne inflation ka mixed picture diya. Annual headline inflation aur core inflation (jo food aur energy ko exclude karta hai) dono June ke levels se thori si decelerate ho kar 2.9% aur 3.2% par aa gayi. Month-on-month, headline aur core CPI dono mein 0.2% ka izafa hua, jo forecasts ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke inflation Federal Reserve (Fed) ke 2% target ki taraf ja rahi hai, jis wajah se market mein speculation barh gaya hai ke Fed shayad interest rates cut kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis Aur Market Sentiment

Ek ahm technical level jo dekhne wala hai, wo 1.3110 hai. Agar is level ke upar breach hota hai, toh yeh GBP ki recent strength ko solidify karega. Lekin yeh scenario ab tak materialize nahi hua. Iske bajaye, GBP/USD 1.3001 se 1.3151 ke range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 1.3076 par relatively unchanged close hua. Halaankeh downward momentum mein koi significant izafa nahi hua, prevailing sentiment yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP par bearish bias hai. Agar price psychological support level 1.3000 se neeche girta hai, toh pair 1.2911 ke region ki taraf ja sakta hai

Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; Pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya. Aaj ke din pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hai. 1.2680 ka support key role ada kar sakta hai; agar is support ko todna possible hota hai, to pair downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan se shayad ek rollback shuru hoga aur phir 1.2447 tak downward movement ho sakti hai, lekin is hafte tak yeh possible nahi lagta. Agar 1.2680 ke neeche consolidation nahi hoti, to 1.2750 tak phir se growth ho sakti hai, jahan is resistance ko todna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake. Yeh upward trend 1.3065 tak lead kar sakta hai, lekin is hafte aisa growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2750 ki resistance todna possible hota hai, to shayad 1.2860 tak pahucha ja sakta hai, lekin 1.300 se upar ke levels par expect nahi kiya jana chahiye. Maximum 1.2970 tak pahunchna possible hai, aur yahan tak bhi chances zyada nahi lagte.l

GBP/USD pair ne apni decline ko barqarar rakha, halan ke yeh decline modest tha. Aur jo log yaad nahi rakhte, unke liye yeh kehna zaroori hai ke 2024 mein British currency ki decline ka hona bohot rare hai, special jab US macroeconomic data dollar ko support nahi kar rahe. Humne kabhi nahi dekha ke dollar kamzor data ke bawajood barha ho. Lekin, humne baar baar warning di hai ke market, kam se kam 2024 ke pure saal ke liye (agar usse zyada bhi), Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ki future easing ko consider kar raha hai, aur baaki sab factors ko nazar andaz kar raha Hi. Aakhirat, woh waqt aana hi tha jab market ne future rate cuts ko poori tarah factor in kar liya. Uske baad, dollar ko girne ki koi wajah nahi hogi. Hum yeh nahi keh rahe ke yeh waqt aa gaya hai, lekin iske hone ki probability zaroor hai. Agar aisa hai, toh dollar ab ek lambi muddt ke liye strengthen ho sakta hai.
Wednesday ko British reports, Tuesday ki tarah, pair ke movement par koi khaas asar nahi dal rahi thi. 5-minute time frame par kuch achi signals generate hui. European trading session ke shuru mein, price 1.3102-1.3107 area se bounce hui, phir 1.3043 level tak gir gayi, is level ko break kiya, aur 1.2993 level ko narrowly miss kiya. Is tarah, novice traders ke paas subah short positions open karne ka reason tha, jo ke US session ke dauran kabhi bhi close kiye ja sakte the aur profits hasil kiye ja sakte the.

Thursday Trading Strategy:

Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD ko global downtrend resume karne ya kam se kam significant correction dekhne ka achha mauqa hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market dollar ko bechne ki taraf zyada inclined hai, khareedne ki taraf nahi. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikha raha hai. Full-fledged downtrend ke baare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai. Agle hafte anticipated Fed meeting hone wali hai, uske baad medium-term direction of dollar ke baare mein conclusions nikalne ki sambhavnayein hain. Agar Thursday ko pair 1.3043 level ke neeche rehta hai, toh yeh apni decline ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. 5-minute time frame ke key levels hain

Spot price ne Friday ko halka sa pullback experience kiya, jo ke 1.3150 mark se thoda upar aa gaya. Yeh movement Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data mein dono taraf ke girawat ke baad dekhne ko mili. Chaar din ke winning streak ke baad, ab pair ke liye outlook ehtiyat se dekha ja raha hai, jab ke trading week ke aakhri hisse mein UK ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur US Retail Sales data anay wala hai, jo pair ki performance ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Latest update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3132 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Mojooda market halat aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Agar selling ka silsila mazid taqat pakarta hai, to yeh teen hafton se chalti hui downtrend ka naya silsila shuru honay ka ishara ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar GBP/USD ne key support levels ko break kar diya. Dosri taraf, agar pair ne in supports ke upar rehne mein kaamyabi hasil ki, to yeh short-term trading opportunities paida kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Recent developments in the Middle East ne forex market mein complexity ka ek naya pehlu daal diya hai. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq, Iran shayad Israel par direct hamla karne ki tayari kar raha hai, jo Tehran mein Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh ke qatal ka jawab ho sakta hai. Aise geopolitical tensions global markets ko mutasir kar sakti hain, aur is se USD ke sath GBP/USD pair bhi asar le sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se significant interest rate cuts ki umeed barqarar rehti hai, to yeh aggressive USD bullishness ko kam kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye achi hawa ka kaam kar sakti hai.

Economic releases ka waqt qareeb hai, jisme UK GDP growth figures aur US Retail Sales data shamil hain, jo market mein volatility paida kar sakte hain. Yeh reports mazeed clarity dein gi ke economic trends kis taraf hain aur currency movements ko kis tarah se asar dal rahe hain. Traders ko yeh reports ghor se dekhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD dynamics ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price apne descending channel ke lower boundary, jo ke 1.3055 ke qareeb hai, ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to downward pressure mazeed barh sakta hai, jo pair ko August mein dekhe gaye throwback support 1.3001 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Halankeh price action kaafi subdued hai, lekin downward momentum mein halka izafa dekha gaya hai. Magar yeh girawat expect ki jati hai ke 1.3080 support level se upar hi rahe gi. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.3080 aur 1.3200 pe dekhi ja rahi hai.

Asiayi session mein Friday ko GBP/USD ne apni do din ki advance ko pause kiya, aur 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke prevailing bearish bias ka ishara hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align karta hai, kyun ke MACD line signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazid taqat deta hai.

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge.
Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

Technical Analysis GBP/USD H-4

Aapka din acha guzre aur sab ko bohot saari duaayein! Meri trading strategy, jo Hicken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI candlestick indicators ke complex par mabni hai, yeh keh rahi hai ke ab currency pair/instrument kharidne ka waqt hai. System ke consensus indicators yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne apna rukh badal diya hai. Halat ki tehqiqat aur shopping ab sirf ek ahmiyat rakhti hai. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks ke mukable mein, price movements ko achi tarah smooth aur average karti hain, dono reversal moments aur corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts ko spot karne mein madad deti hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein ek achi madad hai, jo moving averages ki madad se chart par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, aur asset ki movement range ko dikhata hai. Final signals filtering aur deal close karne ke liye RSI oscillator use hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Aise trading instruments ka chayan technical analysis ko behtar banata hai aur possible false market entries se bachaata hai.

Toh, provided chart par, is dauraan Hicken Ashi candles ne blue hue hain, is liye bullish mode ab bearish mode se behtar hai, aur achi entry point lambi contract ke liye hai. Prices ne linear channel (red dotted line) ke lower limit ko cross kiya, lekin sabse lowest LOW point tak pohnch kar wahan se bounce hui aur center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf reverse hui. RSI indicator (14) bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level door hai. Is ke madde nazar, main ye conclude karta hoon ke ab action ko khareedna zyada munasib hai, aur isliye extensive trade initiate karna bilkul justified hai. Main upper border of the channel (blue dotted line) par profit ki ummeed rakhta hoon, jo price 1.32550 par located hai. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, toh position ko breakeven ki taraf move karna behtar hai, kyun ke market hamari expectations ko galat moves se disrupt kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Nazariya
Salam aur Sham Bakher to Sab Zaireen! Main wapas aaya hoon aur ummeed hai ke aap meri analysis ka phir se lutf uthaenge.

Market 1.3070 ke ilaqe ke aas-paas flood ho rahi hai aur buyers apni value ko lagatar kho rahe hain. Is liye, main sell-side position ko prefer karta hoon aur mera short target 1.3052 hai. Fundamental analysis mein economic indicators, news events, aur financial statements ko scrutinize kiya jata hai jo currency values ko impact karte hain. GBP/USD ke liye, UK aur US ke key economic indicators jaise GDP growth, employment data, inflation rates, aur central bank announcements par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. In analyses ko mila kar traders market ka holistic view paate hain, jo unhein informed trading decisions lene mein madad deta hai. Umeed hai ke aaj GBP/USD ka market sellers ke haq mein rahega. US news events buyers ko bhi madad de sakti hain.

Is waqt buyers ke liye favourable market environment mein, 20-30 pips ka profit target rakhte hue buy order dena strategic approach hai. Lekin, market dynamics ko influence karne wale news events, khaaskar US news events jo volatility ke liye known hain, par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. In developments ke baare mein informed rehkar traders apni strategies ko jaldi se adapt kar sakte hain aur opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain, risks ko mitigate kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke aane wale news data sellers ko madad dega aur hume technical analysis par amal karna chahiye jo market conditions ke tezi se badalte hone ki wajah se zaroori hai. Charts aur patterns ko regular monitor karna traders ko precise entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad deta hai. Maslan, jab GBP/USD resistance level ke paas pohnchta hai, traders breakout ka intezar kar sakte hain buy order initiate karne se pehle. Aur jab support level ke paas pohnchte hain, toh buy karne ka mauka mil sakta hai, expecting a rebound in prices.

Khuda Hafiz aur Mehfooz Rehye!

GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Nazariya
GBP/USD currency pair dheere dheere gir raha hai, lekin ye girawat gradual hai aur patience ko test kar rahi hai. Market indecisive lagti hai, jahan pair dono directions mein significant movement nahi dikha raha. Aakhri low 1.3049 par tha, uske baad halka rebound upar ki taraf dekha gaya. Aane wale U.S. inflation data se volatility barh sakti hai. Halankeh upward trend abhi bhi chal raha hai, analyst ko ummeed hai ke GBP/USD eventually apne target 1.2781 tak gir jaayega. Pair ne brief pullback ke baad aur girawat dekhi, bears ne isay naye lows tak push kiya. 4-hour chart par Ichimoku cloud ke neeche price action bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jo suggest karta hai ke sell position consider kiya ja sakta hai. Current price 1.3069 ke aas-paas hai, jo bears ke liye pehla support level hai. Typical Pivot support levels bhi current intraday sales targets se match karte hain. Downward movement jaari hai, aur pehle support level ko todne se decline ka naya phase shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko 1.3001 ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar buyers active ho jayein, toh wo resistance level around 1.3212 ko apna target bana sakte hain.




GBP/USD exchange rate ne Wednesday ko notable recovery dekhi, daily aur weekly lows se bounce karke 1.3105 mark ko cross kiya. Ye increase Bank of England ke ek official ke statement ke baad improved market sentiment ki wajah se aaya. BoE ki ye assurance ke wo market instability ke bawajood interest rates nahi badhaye ga, risk appetite ko boost kiya, jo GBP/USD rate ki temporary rise ka sabab bana. Lekin, pair ab bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha hai, jab ke pehle 1.2998 ka low dekha. Current market sentiment aur technical indicators suggest karte hain ke pair limited corrective declines dekh sakta hai, jahan koi bhi dips buying opportunities ke taur par dekhi ja sakti hain. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts pair ke movements ko influence karte rahenge. Traders ko aane wale economic data aur central bank statements par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke ye GBP/USD exchange rate ke future direction ko determine karenge. Recent UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai, unemployment rate ke unexpected drop ko dikhaya, jab ke July mein unemployment-related benefits claim karne wale individuals ki number mein rise ko overshadow kar diya.

UK ka unemployment rate June ke aakhri teen mahine mein 5.7% se 4.5% tak gir gaya, halankeh overall picture mixed hai. Ye decline unemployment ka British pound ke liye positive factor raha. Dusri taraf, US dollar ko Federal Reserve ke zyada substantial interest rate cuts ke expectations se pressure ka samna hai, jo weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index report se reinforce hua hai. General market sentiment bhi US dollar bulls ko defensive position mein rakhta hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in conditions se support mila hai, aur iski value mein aane wali declines ko investors buying opportunities ke taur par dekh sakte hain.

GBP/USD H1 Analysis
Salam dosto, is dopahar mein main GBP/USD currency pair ko H1 time frame par analyze karne ki koshish karunga. Pichle kuch dino se GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame par strong movement ke pressure mein raha hai aur aaj market close hote waqt, GBP/USD currency pair ab bhi higher ya lower trade ho raha hai. Iske baraks, jab market close hoti hai to bade movements aati hain. Hum technical analysis method se GBP/USD currency pair par entry lene ki koshish karenge. Main H1 time frame par moving average indicator period 21 aur moving average indicator period 34 ka use karunga trend direction ko read karne ke liye. Current price apne moving average indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye GBP/USD currency pair bullish trend mein hai aur agle resistance level ke liye 1.3264 ki price level tak push kar sakti hai.




Kal, main sell direction par trading focus karne ka mashwara dunga, given the current market trend. Selling pressure barhne ke chances hain, khaaskar jab is hafte kuch important USD news events release hone wale hain. Ye events market ko significant impact de sakte hain aur price ko neeche le jaa sakte hain. Isliye, traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye. Mere khayal se, GBP/USD market sellers ke haq mein move karta rahega, aur price 1.3082 level ke neeche gir sakti hai. Ye key support level sellers ke liye agla target ban sakta hai agar bearish momentum continue rahta hai. Hamesha risk manage karna aur major market-moving events ke baare mein informed rehna zaroori hai jo current outlook ko badal sakte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD market agle trading week mein bullish trend follow karega. Upar aur neeche movement ke liye, channels ladder ko follow karte hain; matlab, bade player upar ya neeche move nahi karte. Is publishing ne investors ke beech kuch confusion paida kiya hai, lekin isne euro aur pound ke maximum value update karne ka mauka bhi diya hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke unemployment rate 4.2% tak gir gaya, jaise ke predict kiya gaya tha, lekin wages ne zyada increase dekha aur change 0.4% tha, jab ke predicted 0.3% tha. Employment bhi significant increase hui hai aur pichle aur ADP ke figures ko surpass kiya hai. Analysts ko thoda zyada rate expect kiya gaya tha, isliye pound ne 1.3230 tak briefly surge kiya aur phir 1.3140 ke neeche consolidate karne ki koshish ki. Revenue barhane ke liye, ye zaroori hai ke maximum value tak pohnchna.

GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Pichle kaam ke hafte mein, pound ne uptrend resume karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh hold nahi kar saka aur local highs establish karne ke baad girne laga. Pehle, price 1.3170 ke level se upar gayi lekin ek clear obstacle ka samna kiya, jisse saari positions kho gayi aur price phir se 1.3082 ke aas-paas ke initial levels par wapas aa gayi. Nateeja yeh raha ke expected growth achieve nahi hui, lekin target territory ab bhi workable hai. Saath hi, price chart supertrend red zone mein move karna shuru kar raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers apni efforts ko rok rahe hain.

Technical front par aaj, 4-hour chart ko gaur se dekhne par simple moving averages par negative pressure nazar aata hai jo daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai, aur chart par bearish technical structure dikhata hai. Isliye, yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke trading session mein downtrend phir se shuru ho, aur 1.3050 agla official level ban sakta hai, jiska target baad mein 1.3000 tak bhi pohnch sakta hai. Overall, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke neeche stable rahegi, hum overall bearish trend par bullish rahenge. Is level ke neeche break karne se bearish scenario roka jayega aur pair 1.3170 ki taraf le jaya jayega. Yeh retest trigger karega, aur 1.3200 tak rise ka potential bhi ho sakta hai. Chart niche dekhein:




Abhi, pair mixed trade kar raha hai aur har hafte thoda bahut change ho raha hai. Key support areas test kiye ja rahe hain aur hold kiye ja rahe hain, jo suggest karta hai ke upside vector ab bhi important hai. Price ko near term mein continue karne ke liye, 1.3082 ke level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo main support area banega. Is area ka retest aur uske baad upar ki taraf rebound sustainable advance ke liye opportunity provide karega, jo target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Current scenario tab cancel ho jayega agar support break ho jaye aur price pivot level 1.2994 ke neeche gir jaye.

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3083 ke level par focus kiya aur uske base par trading decisions lene ki planning ki. Ab 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. Us level par girawat aur ek false breakout ke baad pound ke liye buying opportunity mili, jisse sirf 15 points ka upward move dekha gaya. Technical outlook ko din ke dusre half ke liye revise kiya gaya.
GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:
UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon.

GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne market control karne ki koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak poora control nahi mila. American statistics aur 1.3108 ke nearest resistance ka defense isme madad kar sakta hai. Is level par ek false breakout, jaisa ke pehle mentioned scenario mein, naye short positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega, trend ko continue karte hue support 1.3073 tak target karega, jahan moving averages abhi bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest neeche se upar hota hai, toh buyers ke positions hit honge, stop orders hata diye jayenge aur 1.3049 tak raasta khulega, jahan major players se zyada active action ki ummeed hai. Final target 1.3012 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. Agar GBP/USD ki upar ki taraf movement hoti hai aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3108 par significant activity nahi hoti, toh buyers pair ko sideways channel mein consolidate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bears ko phir resistance area 1.3140 ki taraf pull back karna padega. Main wahan sirf false breakout par bechunga. Agar wahan se downward movement nahi hoti, toh main 1.3168 ke aas-paas rebound par short positions dhoondunga, 30-35 points ki downward correction ki ummeed ke saath.

kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein ayaan wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein. Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair us waqt barh gaya jab US Dollar (USD) Wednesday ko strong bounce ke baad thoda gir gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chay major currencies ke muqabley track karta hai, immediate resistance 101.20 ke upar recovery extend karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
Greenback ko apni recent rebound ko maintain karna mushkil hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke almost sure hone ke bawajood ke September meeting se interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kar diya jayega. Jabke traders divided hain ke Fed policy-easing spell ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se start karega, rate reduction already priced in hai.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary ne jo last week Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein diya tha, Fed ke September se interest rates cut karne ke speculation ko mazbooti di hai. Powell ne kaha ke “policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai,” jo ke yeh highlight karta hai ke US central bank ab labor market ke downside risks ko lekar zyada concerned hai jab

GBP/USD H-4
Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ke sath TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ko dekhte hue, yeh note kiya ja sakta hai ke current market situation bullish hai. Structure me Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke market ke current balance of strength ko show karta hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko asaan banata hai, is se trading decisions lene me accuracy bhi barh jaati hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines ko two-bar smooth moving average ke basis par banata hai aur market ke movement ke baad instrument ke current range of movement ko indicate karta hai. RSI Basement Indicator as an auxiliary oscillator use hone me mufeed hota hai.
me humne kal jitna zinda-dil din nahi dekha, lekin phir bhi kuch hua. Ek flat movement thi, jisme koi khaas direction nahi thi. Lekin hume thoda north jaane ka moka mila jo Bulls ke liye yahan kisi khaas umeed ka maamla nahi hai. Ab long trades ko hold karna ek risky move hai, khas taur par agar hum weekend ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, toh trades ko band karna hamesha behtar hota hai jab tak ke trades medium term ke na hon. Yahan bhi wahi recommendation hai, aur technique yeh
Aaj GBPUSD me humne kal jitna zinda-dil din nahi dekha, lekin phir bhi kuch hua. Ek flat movement thi, jisme koi khaas direction nahi thi. Lekin hume thoda north jaane ka moka mila jo Bulls ke liye yahan kisi khaas umeed ka maamla nahi hai. Ab long trades ko hold karna ek risky move hai, khas taur par agar hum weekend ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, toh trades ko band karna hamesha behtar hota hai jab tak ke trades medium term ke na hon. Yahan bhi wahi recommendation hai, aur technique yeh indicate karti hai ke foran downside ka rebound hoga.

Humne yeh already shuru kar diya hai. Haqeeqat mein, humne thoda upper band se bounce kiya aur takreeban trend line tak pohonch gaye. North yahan ruk gaya hai aur ab yeh zigzag hote hue south ki taraf chalega. Khaas grand ambitions ke baghair, lekin 1.30 ke thoda upar pohonchna meri soch mein mumkin hai, aur agle hafte ka kaam real lagta hai.

Jaisa ke hum dekhte hain, profit theek-thaak hoga. Aap itna bara slice le sakte hain, agar of course yeh scenario meaningful hota hai. Toh ab tak sab kuch is baat ko indicate kar raha hai. Dekhte hain Monday aur opening par kya hota hai. Abhi bhagne ka koi faida nahi.

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3083 ke level par focus kiya aur uske base par trading decisions lene ki planning ki. Ab 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. Us level par girawat aur ek false breakout ke baad pound ke liye buying opportunity mili, jisse sirf 15 points ka upward move dekha gaya. Technical outlook ko din ke dusre half ke liye revise kiya gaya. GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:
UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon.

GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne market control karne ki koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak poora control nahi mila. American statistics aur 1.3108 ke nearest resistance ka defense isme madad kar sakta hai. Is level par ek false breakout, jaisa ke pehle mentioned scenario mein, naye short positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega, trend ko continue karte hue support 1.3073 tak target karega, jahan moving averages abhi bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest neeche se upar hota hai, toh buyers ke positions hit honge, stop orders hata diye jayenge aur 1.3049 tak raasta khulega, jahan major players se zyada active action ki ummeed hai. Final target 1.3012 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. Agar GBP/USD ki upar ki taraf movement hoti hai aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3108 par significant activity nahi hoti, toh buyers pair ko sideways channel mein consolidate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bears ko phir resistance area 1.3140 ki taraf pull back karna padega. Main wahan sirf false breakout par bechunga. Agar wahan se downward movement nahi hoti, toh main 1.3168 ke aas-paas rebound par short positions dhoondunga, 30-35 points ki downward correction ki ummeed ke saath.

Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, rozana aur hafta ke neeche level se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ke mark ko paar kar liya. Yeh upar ki taraf ka harakat behtar market jazbaat ki wajah se hui, jo Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad dekhne ko mili. BoE ne yeh tasalli di ke market instability ke bawajood wo interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisne risk appetite ko barhaya, aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko temporary boost diya. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low par pahunch gaya tha. Halaat aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein corrective slides limited ho sakti hain, aur har dip ko kharidne ka ek moka samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts shayad aane wale dinon mein pair ke movements ko mutasir karte rahenge. Traders ko aanewale economic data aur central bank statements par close nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ka taayun karenge.

### GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi ke UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected unemployment rate mein kami ka izhaar kiya, jo doosre kamzor indicators ko overshade kar gaya. Khaaskar, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi. Iske ilawa, wage growth mein aham kami hui, jo 5.7% year-over-year rate se ghat kar teen mahine tak June tak 4.5% tak chali gayi. Jab ke yeh numbers ek mixed picture present karte hain, overall unemployment ki kami ne GBP ke liye ek positive factor banaya hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke liye market expectations ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai. Yeh jazbaat Tuesday ko aayi softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report ne aur mazid barhaya. Yeh aur market mein overall positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive mode mein rakha hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in halaat se support mila hai, aur agar value mein koi dip aaye, toh investors isay buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain.