جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBPUSD ne apna bearish momentum barqarar rakhne mein kami dekhaayi, aur 15 August ko 1.2798 ki low touch karne ke baad, prices London trading session mein US dollar ke muqable mein barh gayi hain.
Daily time frame mein channel resistance toot gaya hai.

Weekly time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal ka signal de raha hai.

15-minute time frame mein MACD indicator wapis zero par aa gaya hai, jo ek bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

1-hour time frame mein GBPUSD prices horizontal support ke qareeb hain.

Hum ek bullish trend reversal dekh rahe hain: Harmonic Moving Average 20, 1-hour time frame mein.

Price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point par wapas aa gayi hai.

GBPUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving average se ooper trade kar raha hai.

• Pound bullish reversal 1.2798 mark se ooper dekha gaya hai.

• Short-term range bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

• GBPUSD 1.3000 level ke ooper barqarar hai.

• Average True Range ATR market ki low volatility dikha raha hai.

GBPUSD ab apne pivot level 1.3016 se ooper trade kar raha hai aur ek strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai.

GBPUSD ki price classic support level 1.3008 se ooper hai aur ab apne aglay target 1.3052 ki taraf jaa rahi hai, jo ke 1-mahina ka high hai.

Hum 1.3066 level ki breach ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pivot point ka 1st resistance point hai.

Average True Range ATR market ki low volatility dikha raha hai.

Disclaimer: Yeh analysis sirf meri raye hai. brand ke tehet kaam karne wali companies ko isay raye, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke taur par nahi lena chahiye.

GBPUSD ne apna bearish momentum barqarar rakhne mein kami dekhaayi, aur 15 August ko 1.2798 ki low touch karne ke baad, prices London trading session mein US dollar ke muqable mein barh gayi hain.

Daily time frame mein channel resistance toot gaya hai.

Weekly time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal ka signal de raha hai.

15-minute time frame mein MACD indicator wapis zero par aa gaya hai, jo ek bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

1-hour time frame mein GBPUSD prices horizontal support ke qareeb hain.

Hum ek bullish trend reversal dekh rahe hain: Harmonic Moving Average 20, 1-hour time frame mein.

Price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point par wapas aa gayi hai.

GBPUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving average se ooper trade kar raha hai.

• Pound bullish reversal 1.2798 mark se ooper dekha gaya hai.

• Short-term range bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

• GBPUSD 1.3000 level ke ooper barqarar hai.

• Average True Range ATR market ki low volatility dikha raha hai.

GBPUSD ab apne pivot level 1.3016 se ooper trade kar raha hai aur ek strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai.

GBPUSD ki price classic support level 1.3008 se ooper hai aur ab apne aglay target 1.3052 ki taraf jaa rahi hai, jo ke 1-mahina ka high hai.

Hum 1.3066 level ki breach ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pivot point ka 1st resistance point hai.

Average True Range ATR market ki low volatility dikha raha hai.

Disclaimer: Yeh analysis sirf meri raye hai. brand ke tehet kaam karne wali companies ko isay raye, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke taur par nahi lena chahiye.

Pound Sterling abhi bhi 1.3200 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai US Dollar ke muqable mein, aur sarmaaya kaar US core PCE inflation data ke upar tawajjoh de rahe hain jo ke July ka hai. Fed ki Mary Daly ne agar US labor market girta hai, toh aggressive policy easing ke liye darwaze khulay rakhay hain.
British shop price inflation August mein kaafi tej se slow hua.

Pound Sterling (GBP) apni gains ko barqarar rakhta hai 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein Tuesday ki London session mein. GBP/USD pair pichle hafte ke tezi se izafay ke baad ab kuch aaraam kar raha hai, aur sarmaaya kaar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ke bare mein nayi soorat-e-haal ka intezar kar rahe hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data yeh dikhati hai ke September mein 50-basis-points (bps) interest-rate reduction ka imkaan 28.5% hai, jabke baaki sab chhoti cut 25 bps ki taraf mael hain. Yeh tool wazeh tor par dikha raha hai ke Fed ka policy normalization ki taraf wapas aana traders ne poori tarah se price mein shamil kar liya hai, jo ke ek hafta se zyada arsay tak US Dollar ko kamzor rakh raha hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhey bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ki immediate resistance se neeche mazbooti dikha raha hai.

Monday ko, San Francisco Fed Bank ke President Mary Daly ne September mein interest rates cut ki zaroorat par zor diya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ki himayat ki lekin yeh bhi kaha ke agar labor market girta hai, toh ek badi cut ke liye bhi darwaze khulay hain, yeh baat unhon ne Bloomberg par ek interview mein kahi.

Sarmaaya kaaron ka itmaad barh gaya ke Fed September se interest rates kam karna shuru karega, jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni speech mein Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium par Friday ko kaha ke policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Jerome Powell ne labor market ki girti hui soorat-e-haal par bhi fikr zahi ki aur usay support karne ka azm kiya.

Is hafte, sarmaaya kaar United States (US) ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ke upar tawajjoh denge, jo ke Friday ko shaay hoga. Annual core PCE ke 2.7% tak barhane ki umeed hai, jo ke pichli release ke 2.6% se zyada hai, aur mahana numbers 0.2% se barhte hue dekhe gaye hain. Is se pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko June ke S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices aur August ke liye The Conference Board ke Consumer Confidence gauge ke release karega.

Pound Sterling apne bari peers ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha hai, siwai Asia-Pacific currencies ke, Tuesday ko. British currency upbeat market sentiment aur United Kingdom (UK) mein behtar hoti hui economic outlook ka faida utha rahi hai. Economic prospects us waqt behtar hue jab flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI ne yeh dikhaaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors ki activity August mein intehaayi unexpected pace se barhi.

September mein Bank of England (BoE) ke taraf se mazeed interest-rate cut ke khilaaf girti hue bet ne bhi Pound Sterling ki appeal ko behtar banaya hai. Is soorat-e-haal ke imkaanaat kam hain kyun ke BoE officials umeed karte hain ke inflation wapas barhegi, halaanke price pressures pipeline mein kam hotay nazar aa rahe hain.

British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli martaba ghatay hain, jaise ke British Retail Consortium (BRC) ne Tuesday ko report kiya. Non-food goods ki prices 1.5% kam hui hain, jo ke summer clothes ke slow sales ki wajah se hai, jo ke teen saal ki sabse badi girawat hai. Khoraak ki prices dheemi raftaar se 2.0% barhi hain, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse chhoti izafa hai, July ke 2.3% se kam.

Pound Sterling ne do saal ke naya high 1.3200 ko post karne ke baad sideways ho gayi hai US Dollar ke muqable mein. GBP/USD pair ne weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout deliver karne ke baad apni taqat dikhaayi. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hota hai, toh Cable ki umeed hai ke February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf apna upside extend karega.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2766 ke qareeb hai, ek strong upside trend ko zahir karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ko zahir karta hai. Magar, yeh 70.00 ke aas paas overbought levels par pohanch gaya hai, jo corrective pullback ke imkaanat ko barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

GBP/USD ki pricing behavior ka tajziya karte hue, H1 level 1.3169-49 ab bhi ek rukawat bana hua hai, lekin ye resistance sirf ek din ke liye rahega. Agar dabao barqarar raha, to kal ek breakthrough ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaa sakta hai. Subah ke waqt jo intraday levels system ne highlight kiye, unse ye nazar aata hai ke upward trend barqarar hai, provided ke corrective move hai. Magar ye correction kaafi kamzor sabit hui hai. Intraday levels of interest, jo red aur green mein mark kiye gaye hain, 1.3106 aur 1.3228 hain. Inme se koi bhi level ab tak nahi chhuna gaya hai aur ye surat-e-haal kal tak barqarar rahegi. Aam tor par, narrowing pattern ek zyada erratic market ki taraf le ja sakta hai, lekin kisi range expansion ki ummeed kam hai. Ab tak, koi majboot bearish move ke indicators nazar nahi aa rahe hain.

GBP/USD D1 chart par aaj ka market activity UK mein holiday ki wajah se hai, is liye pair kaafi stagnant raha. Pichle trading week ne bearish success ke liye zyada mauka nahi diya; choti intraday corrections bhi mushkil se hui. Pair ne jack ki tarah uchaayi dikhayi, aur ab downturn ki taraf lag raha hai. Thursday ka candle, jo inverted hammer ki tarah tha, ne decline ka signal diya. Market din bhar flat raha, shayad sellers ka group accumulate ho raha tha jo high levels se downward correction ko dekh raha tha. Lekin ye ummeed chand lamho ke liye thi, kyunke Friday ko US se significant news aayi. Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman ka address aur new home sales ke announcement ne price ko sharply surge karwa diya, jo shayad kai stop losses ko trigger kar gaya aur kai accounts ko impact kiya. Ye movement pound ke liye nahi thi; US dollar market mein kaafi kamzor ho gaya.

Pound Sterling abhi bhi 1.3200 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai US Dollar ke muqable mein, aur sarmaaya kaar US core PCE inflation data ke upar tawajjoh de rahe hain jo ke July ka hai. Fed ki Mary Daly ne agar US labor market girta hai, toh aggressive policy easing ke liye darwaze khulay rakhay hain.
British shop price inflation August mein kaafi tej se slow hua.

Pound Sterling (GBP) apni gains ko barqarar rakhta hai 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein Tuesday ki London session mein. GBP/USD pair pichle hafte ke tezi se izafay ke baad ab kuch aaraam kar raha hai, aur sarmaaya kaar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cut ke bare mein nayi soorat-e-haal ka intezar kar rahe hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data yeh dikhati hai ke September mein 50-basis-points (bps) interest-rate reduction ka imkaan 28.5% hai, jabke baaki sab chhoti cut 25 bps ki taraf mael hain. Yeh tool wazeh tor par dikha raha hai ke Fed ka policy normalization ki taraf wapas aana traders ne poori tarah se price mein shamil kar liya hai, jo ke ek hafta se zyada arsay tak US Dollar ko kamzor rakh raha hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhey bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ki immediate resistance se neeche mazbooti dikha raha hai.

Monday ko, San Francisco Fed Bank ke President Mary Daly ne September mein interest rates cut ki zaroorat par zor diya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ki himayat ki lekin yeh bhi kaha ke agar labor market girta hai, toh ek badi cut ke liye bhi darwaze khulay hain, yeh baat unhon ne Bloomberg par ek interview mein kahi.

Sarmaaya kaaron ka itmaad barh gaya ke Fed September se interest rates kam karna shuru karega, jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni speech mein Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium par Friday ko kaha ke policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Jerome Powell ne labor market ki girti hui soorat-e-haal par bhi fikr zahi ki aur usay support karne ka azm kiya.

Is hafte, sarmaaya kaar United States (US) ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ke upar tawajjoh denge, jo ke Friday ko shaay hoga. Annual core PCE ke 2.7% tak barhane ki umeed hai, jo ke pichli release ke 2.6% se zyada hai, aur mahana numbers 0.2% se barhte hue dekhe gaye hain. Is se pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko June ke S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices aur August ke liye The Conference Board ke Consumer Confidence gauge ke release karega.

Pound Sterling apne bari peers ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha hai, siwai Asia-Pacific currencies ke, Tuesday ko. British currency upbeat market sentiment aur United Kingdom (UK) mein behtar hoti hui economic outlook ka faida utha rahi hai. Economic prospects us waqt behtar hue jab flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI ne yeh dikhaaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors ki activity August mein intehaayi unexpected pace se barhi.

September mein Bank of England (BoE) ke taraf se mazeed interest-rate cut ke khilaaf girti hue bet ne bhi Pound Sterling ki appeal ko behtar banaya hai. Is soorat-e-haal ke imkaanaat kam hain kyun ke BoE officials umeed karte hain ke inflation wapas barhegi, halaanke price pressures pipeline mein kam hotay nazar aa rahe hain.

British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli martaba ghatay hain, jaise ke British Retail Consortium (BRC) ne Tuesday ko report kiya. Non-food goods ki prices 1.5% kam hui hain, jo ke summer clothes ke slow sales ki wajah se hai, jo ke teen saal ki sabse badi girawat hai. Khoraak ki prices dheemi raftaar se 2.0% barhi hain, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse chhoti izafa hai, July ke 2.3% se kam.

Pound Sterling ne do saal ke naya high 1.3200 ko post karne ke baad sideways ho gayi hai US Dollar ke muqable mein. GBP/USD pair ne weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout deliver karne ke baad apni taqat dikhaayi. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hota hai, toh Cable ki umeed hai ke February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf apna upside extend karega.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2766 ke qareeb hai, ek strong upside trend ko zahir karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ko zahir karta hai. Magar, yeh 70.00 ke aas paas overbought levels par pohanch gaya hai, jo corrective pullback ke imkaanat ko barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai.
Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen.

GBP/USD: Price Action Ka Kirdar

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzu hoga. Aaj market ke bears ne phir se apni maujoodgi darshaayi hai, jisse quotes recent peak se gir kar lagbhag 1.3263 par aa gayi hain. Yeh girawat quotes ko blue moving average ke neeche le aayi hai, jo ke downward trend ke jari rehne ka ishara hai, jo support level 1.3119 ki taraf raasta bana rahi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke movement aur bhi niche ja sakti hai, 1.3079 ke aas-paas. Lekin, pair ki upward momentum abhi bhi barqarar hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke growth wapas shuru ho jaaye jab speculators quotes ko niche le jaayenge. Personal consumption expenditure ke figures sabse zyada asar dal sakte hain, kyunki yeh seedha inflation se judi hain aur Federal Reserve ke refinancing rates ke faisle ko September meeting mein prabhavit kar sakti hain.


Jaisa ke leading pair, GBP/USD pair bhi crucial resistance levels ke breach se guzar raha hai. Pair ek halki gain ke sath trade kar raha hai, aur main trend line resistance zone ki taraf wapas aane ke mumkinat ko rad nahi karta. Fibonacci levels ko daily aur weekly charts par dekhte hue, trend reversal ke baare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai—ye abhi bhi ek local correction lag raha hai. Lekin, yeh baat sahi hai ke pair ne solid support levels ko decisively break kiya hai. Main samajhta hoon ke behtar price par bechne ke liye pair ke rebound ka intezaar karna behtar hoga. Jabke main filhal sellers ke side par hoon, mujhe nahi lagta ke trend mein jaldi koi shift aayega, even after this extended rise. Pair ki aage ki movement largely is haftay ke U.S. labor market data par depend karegi, jiska statistic kal expected hai aur personal consumption expenditure data Friday ko scheduled hai.

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai.
Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen.

Price Action Analysis: GBP/USD
Aaj humara maudhue behas GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya hai. Market ki soorat-e-haal mein kaafi tabdeeli aayi hai, aur pound-dollar currency pair upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Iska sabse bara sabab US dollar ki kamzori hai jo ke duniya ki bari currencies, jismein British pound bhi shamil hai, ke muqable mein aayi hai. Iske baraks, Britain ka labor market ab bhi mazboot hai, jahan par mazduriyon mein izafa zordar raftaar se jari hai. Jumma ke din, GBP/USD pair 1.3219 par close hua, aur jab tak pound 1.3134-1.3139 ke range ke upar hai, bulls ka qabza barqarar rahega, aur agla target mumkin hai ke 1.3299 ho. Hourly chart par bharosa karna mushkil hai, lekin four-hour chart zyada yakeeni provide karta hai. Agar yeh formation khelta hai, toh yeh takriban 149 points ka faida day sakta hai. Lekin is waqt mein bechne par gaur nahi karunga.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD bulls ne bears ko mukammal tor par peeche chor diya. Jumma ke din, Powell ke remarks ne market ko mazeed hila diya, lekin main is par zyada baat nahi karunga kyunke yeh pehle hi mazeed tawajjo ka mohtaaj nahi hai, aur maine isko us se zyada tawajjo di hai jitni ke zaroorat thi. Yeh kuch aisay hi hai jaise puranay log koshish kar rahe hain ke sab kuch theek rahe, jo bhi zaroorat ho woh kar rahe hain. Kaam khatam ho jaye, aur woh chalay jayen, lekin mujhe yeh sochne par majboor karta hai ke Powell chhorrne ka soch raha hai ya nahi. Uska focus lagta hai dono, Democrats aur Trump, ko raazi rakhne par hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke weekend tak markets dubara gaur karenge aur Monday se bearish retrace karenge, ideally 1.2999 ki taraf. Pre-market mein zyada movement nahi hai (halaanke pehle maine dekha tha ke euro-dollar ki price 1.1107 par thi, jo pichle hafte ke close se kariban 99 points neeche thi, lekin iska zyada matlab nahi, kyunke prices tab se stabilize ho chuki hain jumma ke close ke aas paas). Main us expanding formation ko highlight karna chahta hoon jisko maine abhi tak mukammal taur par analyze nahi kiya. Formation ke andar 59 points hain, lekin 89 points uske bahar move kar chuke hain.

Price Action Analysis: GBP/USD
Aaj humara maudhue behas GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya hai. Market ki soorat-e-haal mein kaafi tabdeeli aayi hai, aur pound-dollar currency pair upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Iska sabse bara sabab US dollar ki kamzori hai jo ke duniya ki bari currencies, jismein British pound bhi shamil hai, ke muqable mein aayi hai. Iske baraks, Britain ka labor market ab bhi mazboot hai, jahan par mazduriyon mein izafa zordar raftaar se jari hai. Jumma ke din, GBP/USD pair 1.3219 par close hua, aur jab tak pound 1.3134-1.3139 ke range ke upar hai, bulls ka qabza barqarar rahega, aur agla target mumkin hai ke 1.3299 ho. Hourly chart par bharosa karna mushkil hai, lekin four-hour chart zyada yakeeni provide karta hai. Agar yeh formation khelta hai, toh yeh takriban 149 points ka faida day sakta hai. Lekin is waqt mein bechne par gaur nahi karunga.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD bulls ne bears ko mukammal tor par peeche chor diya. Jumma ke din, Powell ke remarks ne market ko mazeed hila diya, lekin main is par zyada baat nahi karunga kyunke yeh pehle hi mazeed tawajjo ka mohtaaj nahi hai, aur maine isko us se zyada tawajjo di hai jitni ke zaroorat thi. Yeh kuch aisay hi hai jaise puranay log koshish kar rahe hain ke sab kuch theek rahe, jo bhi zaroorat ho woh kar rahe hain. Kaam khatam ho jaye, aur woh chalay jayen, lekin mujhe yeh sochne par majboor karta hai ke Powell chhorrne ka soch raha hai ya nahi. Uska focus lagta hai dono, Democrats aur Trump, ko raazi rakhne par hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke weekend tak markets dubara gaur karenge aur Monday se bearish retrace karenge, ideally 1.2999 ki taraf. Pre-market mein zyada movement nahi hai (halaanke pehle maine dekha tha ke euro-dollar ki price 1.1107 par thi, jo pichle hafte ke close se kariban 99 points neeche thi, lekin iska zyada matlab nahi, kyunke prices tab se stabilize ho chuki hain jumma ke close ke aas paas). Main us expanding formation ko highlight karna chahta hoon jisko maine abhi tak mukammal taur par analyze nahi kiya. Formation ke andar 59 points hain, lekin 89 points uske bahar move kar chuke hain.

Jor dosray musalsal session ke liye ooper ki taraf rujhan par hai, aur somwaar ko Asian trading hours ke dauran yeh takreeban 1.3192 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Char ghantay ke chart ke tajziye se maloom hota hai ke yeh jor ek upar chaltay hue channel mein majmua hai, jo iske price movements ke liye bullish nazar aata hai.

Markazi Bank Ke Faislay Aur Mazboot US Ki Tarraqi Ne GBP/USD Ke Tajaweez Ko Shakal Di:

Agla hafta markazi bankon ke liye aham hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) dono apne rate ke faislay sunayenge. Tawwaqo ki ja rahi hai ke Fed apna mawjooda rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, jab ke BoE ke liye ek chothai point rate cut ki umeed hai. Money markets ki tawaqo hai ke BoE ka benchmark rate 5.25% se kam hokar 5.0% ho jayega. Is imkaan ke chalte ke faizan rate ka faraq kam hoga, Pound Sterling par neeche ka dabao paida ho raha hai.

Amreeki maeeshat ke tajaweez karne walay data se maeeshat ki mazboot tarraqi saamne aayi hai, jaisa ke US Department of Commerce ne report kiya. Q2 GDP ke advance estimate mein saal dar saal 2.8% ki tarraqi dikhayi gayi hai, jo Q1 ke 1.4% se zyada hai aur 2% ke pehle se mawjud tahmeel se bhi zyada hai. Yeh tawwaqo se zyada mazboot economic performance mustaqbil mein Fed ki policies ko mutasir kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke trading par asar انداز ڈال سکتی ہے۔

GBP/USD Ki Technical Analysis:

Filhaal, spot prices August ke swing low se hal recent rally ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se zara ooper trade ho rahi hain, jo 1.2663 ke ilaqay ke paas hai. Agar yeh level tod diya gaya, toh mazeed bechne ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jiss se jor 1.3111 ke ilaqay tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 50% Fibonacci level ke saath hum-ahang hai. Agla aham support level 1.3147 ke qareeb hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci level ke samne 1.3077 ke paas hai. In levels ke nichay ek wazeh break mazeed nuksaan ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Buland technical nazar ke bawajood, jor ab tak zyadah tara stagnant raha hai, aur chaar din se lagataar 1.3200 ke aas paas hi ghoom raha hai. UK ke PMI data ke tawwaqo se zyada mazboot hone ke bawajood, isne mutawaqqa izafa nahi diya, aur jabke farokht karne walon ne kai dafa jor ko 1.3200 se ooper dhakilne mein kamiyaabi haasil ki, lekin rozana close is key le

Hamari guftagu filhaal GBP/USD price action assessment ke mojooda jaiza par markooz hai. Monday ko GBPUSD currency pair ne 1.3218 ke resistance ko break karne ke baad price ko 1.3261 tak upar kiya. Lekin Tuesday ko GBPUSD ne kafi gehri girawat dekhi, aur agar hum 80 pips ki harkat ko dekhain to. H1 timeframe ko dekhen to candle ne 1.3181 ke support ko break kar diya hai. Ab candle us resistance ke upar nahi hai, toh lagta hai GBPUSD ke liye upar jana mushkil hoga. H1 timeframe ka analysis ye batata hai ke GBPUSD ne 1.3255 ke supply area ko penetrate nahi kiya, jo ke uske girne ka ek sabab hai. Jab tak ye area nahi toota, GBPUSD ko upar jana mushkil hi lagega. 1.3181 ka support break karna ye indicate karta hai ke girawat aur barh sakti hai. Aam tor par support break ke baad rate pehle thoda upar jaata hai correction ke liye. Mera aaj ka scenario ye hai ke GBPUSD pehle 1.3245 tak upar jayega aur phir phir se neeche aayega. Ichimoku indicator ka technical analysis yeh batata hai ke abhi ki candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh decline ke shuru hone ke baad se ho raha hai. Is recent intersection se, GBPUSD ka trend bullish se bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak candle in lines ke upar nahi aati, mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD ke girne ke chances zyada hain.



Stochastic indicator bhi ye batata hai ke GBPUSD oversold condition mein hai, jo kal ke decline ki wajah se hai. Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, support break karne ke baad GBPUSD pehle thoda upar jaa sakta hai correction ke liye 1.3245 tak. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh increase apni sabse nazdeek resistance ko penetrate nahi kar paayega. Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBPUSD abhi bhi girne ka mauka rakhta hai, halankeh ab thoda strong lag raha hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke candle 1.3255 ke supply area ko nahi tod rahi aur Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko dikhata hai.

GBP/USD pair is waqt aik aham mor par hai, jiss ne apni haal hi ki bulandi se girawat dekhi hai aur qeemat taqriban 1.3263 ki satah par qaim hai. Yeh girawat ne blue moving average se neechay girne ka ishaara kiya hai, jo ke downward trend kay barqarar rehne ka ehtemal zahir karti hai. Aham support level 1.3119 par hai, aur agar yeh tootta hai to peer mazeed girkar mojudah trading range ki neechli had 1.3079 kay qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Is girawat kay bawajood, uptrend abhi bhi mazboot hai, aur ehtemal hai ke quotes speculators kay haath mein aanay ke baad wapis barahe.

Upcoming personal consumption expenditure kay numbers bhi khasa asar dal saktay hain kyunke yeh mahngai se seedha talluq rakhte hain aur Federal Reserve ki refinancing rates par September kay meeting mein faislay ka moqa hasil karsakte hain. Ahm support levels kay tootne kay bawajood, GBP/USD peer abhi bhi halkay se gain kay sath trade kar raha hai, aur trend line resistance zone tak wapsi ko nazar andaz nahi kiya jaa sakta.

GBP/USD peer ki haal ki correction lagti hai ke aik moqaati hogi, lekin iska solid support levels ka tootna bhi ahm hai. Zaheen reezaan kay liye intezaar karna behtar hoga ke yeh wapis aa jaye phir munasib qeemat par bechne ka socha jaye. Halanki abhi mai sellers ki taraf hoon, lekin yeh umeed nahi hai ke itne lambi arsay tak chalanay ke baad trend jaldi badal jayega. Peer ki aindah tehreek ka ziyada asar is haftay ke U.S. labor market kay data per hoga, jo kay aane walay kal aur PCE data kay liye Friday ko expected hai.

Technically, GBP/USD is waqt neechey ke dabbao ka samna kar raha hai, kyunke buying interest 1.3200 ke neechay kamzor ho gaya hai. Halanki downside momentum limited hai, lekin girawat ka khatra barqarar hai, khas tor par agar yeh 1.3180 support level se neechey gira. 1.3025-1.3085 ke ilaqay mein downward correction ka target ban sakta hai. Agar August kay lows se uptrend line aur 1.3000 ki psychological had bhi toot jaye, to 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages jo ke 1.2890-1.2900 kay darmiyan hain, tak mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Majmoi taur par, GBP/USD peer is waqt market ke rujhan, maeeshat ke asaraat, aur technical factors se mutasir hai. Aane wali U.S. PCE inflation report peer ki aindah simt ka tayyun karnay mein khasa ahm hoga. Sarmaya kaar ko in intishaarat par gehrayee se nazar rakhni chahiye, taake trading ke faislay mazeed soch samajh kar kiye ja saken.

Monday ko, GBP/USD currency pair ne apni sat din ki winning streak ko khatam kiya, jo ke ek mohtaat market ke mizaj ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pullback uske baad aaya jab yeh pair 1.3000 mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha lekin apna bullish momentum barqarar nahi rakh saka. GBP/USD ki is retreat ki wajah chand factors hain, jin mein extended UK bank holiday weekend ke dauraan patlay trading volumes aur iss haftay ke baad aham economic data releases se pehle sarmaayakaron ki hichkichaahat shamil hai.
Sarmaayakaar bechain hain kyunke woh aham data points ka intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein US Retail Sales aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures shamil hain, jinka market ki direction par asar parne ki umeed hai. Market ki tawajjoh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay par bhi hai, jahan bohat se log September mein rate cut ke imkaanat ke bare mein soch rahe hain. Iss soch-bichaar ne trading mein ek mohtaat approach ko janam diya hai, kyunke sarmaayakaar in aanay walay events ke mumkin asarat ko tol rahe hain.

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell aur San Francisco Fed ke President Mary Daly ki taraf se wazeh ainday ki rehnumayi ke kami ne bhi mohtaat jazbaat ko mazid taqviat di. Dono officials ne yeh wazeh kiya ke ainday rate ke faislay meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, jis ne market ko ek wazeh direction ke baghair chorr diya hai.

Taqneeki tor par, GBP/USD ki haaliya price action uske ooper ki taraf rujhan mein ek waqfa ko zahir karti hai, jahan yeh pair 1.3000 ke aham level ko breach karne mein nakam raha. Currency pair ne mukhtasir tor par ek naya 12-mahina high hasil kiya tha lekin phir wapas pull back kiya, jo is mark ke aas paas ek mumkin resistance level ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is wajah se, ab tajir is baat ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain ke kya koi naya bullish momentum ka sign milta hai ya aane wale dino mein mazeed downside movement hoti hai.

GBP/USD ka Monday ko pullback mohtaat market sentiment ka natija tha, jo ke patlay trading volumes aur aham economic data releases se pehle ki ghair yakeeni ki wajah se tha. Extended UK bank holiday weekend aur aanay wale Fed aur Bank of England ke faislay ke imkaanat bhi market ko ek intizaar ki soorat mein rakhne ke imkaan hain, jahan tajir har naye data point ka ghaur se tajzia karte hain pehle ke woh koi bara qadam uthayen

GBPUSD ne apni bearish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakha aur 15 August ko 1.2798 ke low ko touch karne ke baad, London trading session mein US dollar ke against price upar gai.

Daily time frame mein channel resistance toot gaya hai.

Weekly time frame mein Parabolic SAR indicator bullish reversal signal de raha hai.

15-minute time frame mein MACD indicator zero ke paas aa gaya hai, jo bullish trend ka indication hai.

GBPUSD prices 1-hour time frame mein horizontal support ke qareeb hain.

1-hour time frame mein Harmonic Moving Average 20 se bullish trend reversal nazar aa raha hai.

Price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point pe wapas aa gaya hai.

GBPUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA simple moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai.

• 1.2798 ke mark ke upar pound bullish reversal dekha gaya hai.

• Short-term range bullish nazar aa rahi hai.

• GBPUSD 1.3000 ke level ke upar hai.

• Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

GBPUSD ab apne pivot level 1.3016 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur strong bullish channel mein move kar raha hai.

GBPUSD price classic support level 1.3008 ke upar hai aur ab apni agle target 1.3052, jo 1-month high hai, ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Hum 1.3066 level, jo pivot point 1st resistance point hai, ke breach ki bhi ummeed kar rahe hain.

Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

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