جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke ek naya 4-week low tak pohch gayi, jab ke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedain kamzor ho gayi hain, is ke pichay mazboot US labor market data hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions ne risk-off environment ko barhawa diya, jo ke British Pound par aur zyada wazan dal raha hai. Market ab November mein dovish 25 basis point ka rate cut price kar raha hai, jo ke market ke expectations se neeche hai, jab ke Fed ne September mein aggressive 50 basis point ka cut diya tha. Lekin, Fed ki rhetoric yeh suggest karti hai ke agar US economy mein mazeed kharabi aayi, khaaskar US labor market mein, to interest rates mein zyada volatility aasakti hai. Pichlay haftay ke strong nonfarm payrolls data ne November mein do rate cuts ki umeed ko tor diya, aur interest rate traders ab is baat ka ek-in-five chance de rahe hain ke November mein koi rate cut nahi hoga. Jab ke UK se data limited hai, sterling traders ab US CPI inflation data ko closely dekh rahe hain jo ke Fed ki future monetary policy ka raasta tay karne mein madad de sakti hai.GBP/USD pair ne apni 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break kiya hai aur ab 1.3100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mid-September se nahi dekha gaya tha. Sterling mein 2.8% ki weakness aayi hai, halaan ke pichlay month mein multi-year highs dekhe gaye the. Technically, GBP/USD pair se ek corrective bounce ki umeed hai towards 1.3154 aur high volume node area ke neeche daily bullish range ke neeche tak. Lekin mazeed losses ke imkanaat hain, aur potential support levels 1.3032 par hain.Mazboot US dollar ki wajah se GBP/USD ka loss aur zyada severe hogaya hai. Yeh girawat US labor market data ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke less aggressive rate-cut scenario ko barhawa de raha hai. Dollar ne apni safe-haven position qaim rakhi hai, halaan ke Middle East tensions ki wajah se market mein volatility hai, jo pair par pressure barhata hai aur agar 1.3100 ka support break hota hai to further declines ka imkaan hai.
Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga. Agar sellers ka control barh gaya aur price 1.3050 ke neeche chali gayi, to pair 1.3030 ka figure challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support 1.3023 ke qareeb hoga, followed by 1.3000 ka key level. Mazeed girawat mein pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ko test kar sakta hai at 1.2973, jo ke bearish traders ke liye dekhne ka ek critical area hoga
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Intraday trading mein moving averages ko samajhna bohot zaroori hota hai, kyun ke yeh indicators market ka momentum aur potential reversal points ko identify karne mein madad dete hain. Traders in indicators par bharosa karte hain taake market ka trend samajh sakein, khaaskar jab price critical resistance aur support levels ke qareeb hoti hai.Yellow moving average aur red moving average ka istemal bullish aur bearish trends ko assess karne ke liye kiya jata hai, khaaskar kisi currency pair mein. Jab price yellow moving average ke upar move karti hai, to iska matlab hota hai ke market mein bullish momentum aa raha hai. Yeh scenario yeh batata hai ke buyers taqat mein hain aur price ko upar push kar rahe hain. Is halat mein traders aksar zyada trading volume ya dusre bullish indicators se confirmation dhoondte hain. Agar yeh momentum barqaraar rehta hai, to price resistance level 1.3139 ko target kar sakti hai. Yeh level ahem hai kyun ke yeh price ke aage barhne mein rukawat ban sakta hai. Traders ko price action ko ghore se dekhna chahiye jab yeh resistance qareeb ho; agar 1.3139 ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai, jo aur zyada price targets ke liye rasta kholta hai.Is ke bar’aks, agar price apni upward trajectory ko barqaraar nahi rakh pata aur red moving average ke neeche chala jata hai, to bearish scenario ban sakta hai. Yeh indicator aksar yeh batata hai ke sellers control mein hain aur price mein kami aane ka imkaan hai. Is bearish scenario ka pehla target support level 1.2957 ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye critical hai, kyun ke agar price is ke neeche break karta hai, to aur zyada downside potential ka ishara mil sakta hai. Agar price girti rehti hai, to traders aur aggressive bearish stance le sakte hain.Agar price 1.2957 ko breach karta hai, to yeh 1.2828 tak south mein extend kar sakta hai. Yeh aik zyada pronounced bearish trend ho ga, aur traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust karenge. Aise situations mein risk management bohot ahem ho jata hai, kyun ke volatility aur unexpected price movements trading outcomes ko bohot ziada effect kar sakte hain.
Is ke ilawa, moving averages aur price action ke darmiyan jo interplay hota hai, yeh traders ko market sentiment samajhne mein bhi madad deta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar price moving averages ke qareeb tight consolidation kar raha ho, to yeh traders mein indecision ko zahir kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein kisi bhi direction mein decisive breakout ka intezar karna bohot zaroori hota hai. Aur agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya MACD jaise additional technical indicators ko analysis mein shaamil kiya jaye, to traders aur behtar faislay kar sakte hain.

GBPUSD apni sideways consolidation ko 1.3000 level ke qareeb jari rakhta hai, aur naye trading week ke aghaz par limited movement dikha raha hai. Yeh pair ab bhi apne mahana low ke qareeb hai aur lagta hai ke apni recent decline ko jari rakhne ka imkaan hai, jo 1.3535 ke ilaqay se shuru hui thi, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sab se ooncha level tha. GBP ki kamzori ki wajah yeh afwahen hain ke Bank of England (BoE) apni interest rate-cutting cycle ko tez kar sakta hai, jabke US dollar mazid majboot hai kyunke market mein baray interest rate cuts ka imkaan kam ho gaya hai.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to guzishta haftay ka closing price 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neechay tha, jo August 12 ke baad pehli baar hua hai aur yeh traders ke liye aik ahm signal hai. Daily chart ke oscillators ab bhi negative territory mein hain, lekin ab tak oversold zone mein nahi pohanchay, jo bearish outlook ki tasdeeq kartay hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke GBPUSD ko continued resistance ka samna hoga aur mazid girawat ka imkaan zyada hai.
Bajood iske ke kuch recovery ka imkaan hai, GBPUSD ko 1.3200 se ooper sustain karna zaroori hoga kisi meaningful rally ke liye. Hal hi mein Federal Reserve ke unexpected rate hike ne currency pair ko aik naya 2.5 saal ka ooncha level diya tha, lekin yeh 1.3200 se neechay aa gaya jab Fed Chair Powell ne deflation se bachne ka confidence dikhaya, lekin future mein rate loosening ka clear pace nahi dikhaya.
Bank of England ka upcoming interest rate decision aik bara event hoga jo GBPUSD mein volatility la sakta hai. Is waqt yeh pair 1.3265 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo August ke level ke qareeb hai. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper ja raha hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bullish crossover ke qareeb hai. Magar stochastic oscillators deflation ka imkaan dikha rahe hain, jisse mazid upside limited ho sakti hai.Summary mein, jabke GBPUSD ke liye kuch short-term gains ka imkaan hai, bearish pressures ab bhi dominant hain.

GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain. Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain. Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Hafte ke wast tak, 4-ghante ka chart zahir karta hai keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.3030 ki support satah aur 1.3090 ki muzahmati satah ke darmiyan drift kar raha hai.
Filhal, Bartanwi pound 1.3070 ke nishan par trade kar raha hai, jo 14-roza moving average ke qarib hai, lekin abhi bhi 2 EMA Color Alerts trend indicator se niche hai, jo badle me niche mud gaya hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound sterling ke muqable me dollar thoda ooper uthega aur 1.3090 ki satah ka test karega. Halankeh, Shumali America ke session ke dauran, Bartanwi pound 1.3030 ki support satah par wapas aane ka imkan hai. Agar qimat is nishan se niche toot jati hai to, pound/dollar ke jode se 1.3000 ke gol satah tak faida badhane ki tawaqqo hai. Aaj ki khabron ko dekhte hue, September ke liye Bartaniya me consumer prices ke aidad o shumar par tawajjoh dena qabile qadar hai, jo 7 November ko hone wali aaindah meeting me Bank of England ke mumkena eqdamat ke bare me basirat fraham kar sakta hai. Jahan tak Americi aidad o shumar ka talluq hai, aaj ka macroeconomic calendar kisi bhi aham report se khali hai, lehaza takniki tajziyah ki buniyad par market me girawat jane ka imkan hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah dekhte hue keh pound/dollar ki jodi pichle din karobari dino se nayi nichli satah par nahin pahunchi hai, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound 23.6% Fibonacci level ki taraf badhega jo 1.3115 ke nishan ke sath mutabqat rakhta hai. Agar qimat is se ooper toot jati hai to, pound sterling 38.2% Fibonacci level tak faida badha sakta hai, jo 1.3176 ke nishan ke sath mawafiq hai. Sath hi, mandi ka rujhan qalil aur darmiyani muddat dono me barqarar hai. Halankeh, aaj ke intraday trading me qalil muddati tezi ka scenario shamil hone ka imkan hai, jis me qimat me isalah ka samna hai. Pound/dollar ka joda ooper ki taraf palatne se pahle 1.3045 ki support satah ka test kar sakta hai.
Qabile zikar bat yah hai keh Bartanwi pound guzishtah aath dino se sideways me trade kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Majmui taur par, pound/dollar ke sath har chiz mustahkam bani hui hai, kiyunkeh yah ek tawil arse se ek hi range me karobar kar raha hai. Joda is hadd se bahar nahin nikal sakta hai, aur chadhne ki tamam koshish bhi nahin nahin le jati hai, kiyunkeh yah 1.31 pattern se niche bhi nahin rah sakti hai. Dusri taraf, joda niche gira sakta tha, lekin yah niche nahin badh raha hai.
Halankeh, Bartaniya se aane wale inflation ke aidad o shumar is jode ke liye chizon ko thoda hila sakte hain. Fir bhi, bahut kuch is bat par munhasar hoga keh Americi dollar kisi tarah se karobar karega, kiyunkeh abhi tak koi wazeh pahal nahin hui hai. Filhal, mai sideline par hi rahunga. Aisa kahne ke bawajud, mai 1.30 se niche ki girawat ke imkan se inkar nahin karta. Agar us satah par koi false breakout hota hai, tab hi mai kharid ke order par gaur karunga.

GBP/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Majmui taur par, pound/dollar ke sath har chiz mustahkam bani hui hai, kiyunkeh yah ek tawil arse se ek hi range me karobar kar raha hai. Joda is hadd se bahar nahin nikal sakta hai, aur chadhne ki tamam koshish bhi nahin nahin le jati hai, kiyunkeh yah 1.31 pattern se niche bhi nahin rah sakti hai. Dusri taraf, joda niche gira sakta tha, lekin yah niche nahin badh raha hai.
Halankeh, Bartaniya se aane wale inflation ke aidad o shumar is jode ke liye chizon ko thoda hila sakte hain. Fir bhi, bahut kuch is bat par munhasar hoga keh Americi dollar kisi tarah se karobar karega, kiyunkeh abhi tak koi wazeh pahal nahin hui hai. Filhal, mai sideline par hi rahunga. Aisa kahne ke bawajud, mai 1.30 se niche ki girawat ke imkan se inkar nahin karta. Agar us satah par koi false breakout hota hai, tab hi mai kharid ke order par gaur karunga.

GBP/USD pair ne doosray din bhi izafa dekha hai, jo ke ek mumkinah bullish recovery ka ishara de raha hai, lekin abhi tak is ne ahem 1.3060 level ko dobara hasil nahi kiya. Market ka jazba optimistic hai, khas tor par naye job growth mein slowdown ki wajah se, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rate cut ko barhawa diya hai. Iss ke bawajood ke pair upward momentum mein hai, lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai.
Kayi factors hain jo GBP/USD ki movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. In mein Fed ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeed, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay, aur global economic data jese ke ISM Services PMI shamil hain. Jab ke Fed ne ek dovish outlook ka ishara diya hai aur BoE mazeed rate cut kar sakta hai is saal ke akhir se pehle, market participants ghoor se dekh rahe hain ke konsay asarati factors pair ko neeche ya upar le jaa sakte hain.

US Dollar ko Strong Services Data ka Sahara:

US Dollar ne ek chhoti downside move ke baad temporary support hasil kiya, khas tor par US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke taqatwar data ke baad. Index ne izafa dikhaya 51.5 tak, jo ke July ke 51.4 se barh kar hai aur economists ke predictions (51.1) se behtar hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke dollar ke performance ko 6 bari currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 100.15 ke qareeb stable hua, aik tez dip ke baad.

Bank of England Policy aur Market Expectations:

Bank of England (BoE) se yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh is saal ke baqi waqt mein sirf ek dafa aur interest rate cut karega. September mein apni policy ko ek zyada neutral stance par le aane ke baad, BoE se yeh umeed hai ke is mahine interest rates ko 5% par barqarar rakha jaye ga. Financial markets umeed karte hain ke November ya December mein aik aur rate cut ho ga, jab central bank inflation aur economic conditions ko monitor karta rahe ga.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ne New York session ke doran last Thursday ko 1.3019 ka low touch kiya, aur phir achanak rally kartay hue 1.3050 tak pohancha. Pair ne 1.3031 par close kiya aur abhi se kuch halki downward momentum dikhayi de rahi hai. Analysts yeh predict karte hain ke pair aaj kuch arsay ke liye 1.3100 ke neeche ja sakta hai, lekin yeh decline mushkil se 1.3061 level tak extend karega. Resistance abhi bhi 1.3090 par hai, aur agar yeh 1.3110 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke current downward pressure khatam ho gaya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 ke range mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent bullish momentum filhal slow ho raha hai. Magar, jab tak RSI neutral 50 level se uper rehta hai, broader bullish trend intact reh sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke chhoti duration ke pressure ke bawajood, overall uptrend jari reh sakta hai

اکتوبر 16 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پاؤنڈ کی طرف سے 1.3080 پر مزاحمت سے اوپر توڑنے کی کل کی کوشش ناکام رہی، لیکن اس حرکت نے زیادہ واضح طور پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کی اوپر کی طرف اصلاح کو شکل دی۔ یہ تصحیح نئی طاقت کے ساتھ نیچے کی طرف حرکت کو دوبارہ شروع کرنے کے لیے کافی ہونی چاہیے۔



کل کے یورپی مرکزی بینک کے اجلاس کے نتائج اس نئی طاقت فراہم کر سکتے ہیں. اگر میٹنگ کچھ بھی پرامید یا نیا پیش نہیں کرتی ہے، تو پاؤنڈ 1.2916 کے نشان کے ارد گرد، گرین پرائس چینل کی نچلی حد کی طرف جائے گا۔ اگر ای سی بی مارکیٹ کو حیران کر دیتا ہے، تو اصلاح ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچنے کی کوشش کرتے ہوئے 1.3141 یا اس سے بھی زیادہ کے ہدف کی سطح تک جاری رہ سکتی ہے۔

چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر کوئی ابتدائی سگنل نہیں ہیں۔ قیمت اشارے کی بیلنس لائن کے ساتھ ساتھ 1.3080 کی سطح سے نیچے کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیوٹرل زیرو لائن کے اوپر مضبوط ہو رہا ہے۔ ہم کل کی ای سی بی میٹنگ کے نتائج کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Meri bullish buy level 1.30669 par trigger hui hai, jo likely growth ka signal de rahi hai aur H1 chart par bullish priority establish karti hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye lower targets, jo 1.2949 aur 1.2899 ke aas paas hain, ab bhi relevant hain, halan ke aaj ke din mein kuch deviations dekhne ko mili hain. Main ne is level par buy initiate ki hai aur anticipate kar raha hoon ke kam az kam thoda increase ho ga resistance 1.31179 tak. Haalat ke mutabiq, ek pullback hua hai pehle se broken bearish trend line par. Is ke bawajood, bullish outlook ab bhi intact hai, aur umeed hai ke bull is pullback par support find kar ke resistance levels 1.31179, 1.31579, 1.31703, 1.31874, aur 1.32620 ki taraf climb karega. Hum ne dekha ke pair thoda pullback kar ke pehle se broken intraday highs ki taraf gaya, aur ab market ka direction lower targets ki taraf aane wale sessions mein likely hai. Pair ne aaj thoda rise kiya, apne target tak pohanch kar reverse kar gaya. Chart ye indicate karta hai ke 1.3099 par resistance test hua, aur ab pair 1.3066 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. RSI mid-range ke qareeb hai, jo slight upward uncertainty ko show karta hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal de raha hai. Pair ab tak kal ke trading range se upar hai. Signals flat hain, lekin ek chhota increase ka chance hai, jisme price resistance 1.3099 ko test kar sakta hai. Halan ke pound overly pessimistic nahi tha, lekin unemployment rate gir gaya hai aur employment mein izafa hua hai, jo positive sentiment provide karta hai. Lekin unemployment benefits ke liye applications kuch concerns ki nishandahi karti hain. Kal UK inflation data ka release ho ga jo insight de sakta hai aur market entry ka ek acha mauqa provide kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.3104 ya us se thoda zyada tak rise kare, toh ye ek acha selling opportunity ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.3139 se beyond jata hai, toh ye outlook invalidate ho jaye ga, lekin abhi main sirf selling opportunities par focus kar raha hoon.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

GBP/USD pair ne Monday ko neeche ki taraf move kiya, lekin asal mein, hum ek bilkul flat market dekh rahe hain. Haan, price dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai, lekin volatility minimal hai aur movement bohot erratic hai. Is liye, is movement ko intraday trade karna bohot mushkil hai aur shayad ye worthwhile bhi nahi hai. Phir bhi, British pound girta ja raha hai, jabke kal kisi bhi macroeconomic publication ya fundamental event ka ghatna nahi hua.

Agar price conditional trendline ko break bhi kar deti hai, toh ye zyada maayne nahi rakhega. Sab log do hafton se correction ki umeed kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek flat movement mein trendline ka break hona ye nahi hai ke pound 100–200 points tak correct hoga. Medium term mein, hum ab bhi umeed karte hain ke pair girta rahega. Is hafte UK inflation report ko madde nazar rakhein.

5-minute timeframe par, Monday ko kuch trade signals bane, lekin un par amal karne ki koi wajah nahi thi. 5-minute chart par saaf dikhai deta hai ke price poore din sideways move kar rahi thi. Flat market mein levels, trendlines, aur doosre technical signals/indicators kaam nahi karte.

**Tuesday Ko Trading Kaise Karein:**

Hourly timeframe par, GBP/USD pair ne upward trend ko break kiya hai aur girna jaari rakha hai. US dollar ne apni upward trend phir se shuru kar di hai, lekin selling karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki pair ne pichle do hafton mein kisi bhi correction ki koshish nahi ki. Phir bhi, abhi correction ki umeed rakhne ka koi asal sabab nahi hai. Medium term mein, hum expect karte hain ke pair girta rahega, kyunki hum ye sirf ek logical option samajhte hain.

Tuesday ko phir se kuch nahi, sirf flat movement ki umeed hai. Hum beginner traders ko yaad dilate hain ke flat market mein trendlines ya levels ko break karne par bohot kamzor signals milte hain. Aur abhi hum bohot low volatility ka bhi samna kar rahe hain.

5-minute timeframe par, aap levels 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3365, 1.3428-1.3440, 1.3488, aur 1.3537 se trade kar sakte hain. Tuesday ko UK wage aur unemployment reports publish honge. Ye kuch interesting reports hain, lekin kamzor downward trend shayad barqarar rahega, saath hi low volatility bhi. Wednesday ko, UK inflation report market ko thoda hila sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, us ne haal hi mein 1.3063 se 1.30937 ki upper resistance level ko test kiya hai, jo ke ek ahem zone hai jo tareekh mein baray price movements ke liye ek mazboot rukawat bana hai. Yeh resistance level har baar jab bhi price is range ke kareeb aata hai, toh bechne wale (sellers) market mein wapas aate hain aur price ko neeche kheench dete hain. Is liye, yeh zone traders ke liye dekhnay ke liye ek ahem area hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo short position lene ka soch rahe hain. Agar price phir se is resistance level par retrace karta hai, toh yeh short sellers ke liye accha entry point ho sakta hai. Is level ki tareekhi ahmiyat ki wajah se, yeh aksar ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai, jahan se buyers se sellers ki taraf momentum shift hota hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh dhyan se dekhein ke price is 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ke kareeb kaise behave karti hai, kyunki yeh area barabar market ka turning point bana hai. Yahan bechne wale aam tor par ghus aate hain, neeche ka dabao daal kar price ko reverse karte hain. Is liye yeh ek prime location hai traders ke liye jo price direction mein potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.
Tareekhi tor par, 1.30788 se 1.30673 range ne buyers aur sellers ke liye ek crucial battleground ka kaam kiya hai. Is area mein sellers aam tor par dominate karte hain, jo price retracements ko daal kar pair ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Agar yeh pattern barqarar raha, toh agar price phir se is resistance par aata hai, toh yeh dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke price 1.3074 se 1.3057 level ki taraf neeche ja raha hai. Bhari nazar rakhne wale traders ko yeh resistance level short entries ke liye ek key zone samajhna chahiye, kyunki yeh baar baar bechne walon ke control mein wapas aata hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum shuru karte hain.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi position mein enter karne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Price action is resistance zone ke aas paas invaluable clues provide karega ke market reverse hone wala hai ya bhi bulls phir se breakout ki koshish karenge. Traders ko rejection signs dekhna chahiye is resistance zone se, jese ke candlestick patterns jo selling pressure ka izhar karte hain ya volume spikes jo sellers ki taraf se increased participation ka signal dete hain.

GBP/USD pair ne doosray din bhi izafa dekha hai, jo ke ek mumkinah bullish recovery ka ishara de raha hai, lekin abhi tak is ne ahem 1.3060 level ko dobara hasil nahi kiya. Market ka jazba optimistic hai, khas tor par naye job growth mein slowdown ki wajah se, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rate cut ko barhawa diya hai. Iss ke bawajood ke pair upward momentum mein hai, lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai.
Kayi factors hain jo GBP/USD ki movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. In mein Fed ke mazeed rate cuts ki umeed, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay, aur global economic data jese ke ISM Services PMI shamil hain. Jab ke Fed ne ek dovish outlook ka ishara diya hai aur BoE mazeed rate cut kar sakta hai is saal ke akhir se pehle, market participants ghoor se dekh rahe hain ke konsay asarati factors pair ko neeche ya upar le jaa sakte hain.

US Dollar ko Strong Services Data ka Sahara:

US Dollar ne ek chhoti downside move ke baad temporary support hasil kiya, khas tor par US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke taqatwar data ke baad. Index ne izafa dikhaya 51.5 tak, jo ke July ke 51.4 se barh kar hai aur economists ke predictions (51.1) se behtar hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke dollar ke performance ko 6 bari currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 100.15 ke qareeb stable hua, aik tez dip ke baad.

Bank of England Policy aur Market Expectations:

Bank of England (BoE) se yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh is saal ke baqi waqt mein sirf ek dafa aur interest rate cut karega. September mein apni policy ko ek zyada neutral stance par le aane ke baad, BoE se yeh umeed hai ke is mahine interest rates ko 5% par barqarar rakha jaye ga. Financial markets umeed karte hain ke November ya December mein aik aur rate cut ho ga, jab central bank inflation aur economic conditions ko monitor karta rahe ga.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ne New York session ke doran last Thursday ko 1.3019 ka low touch kiya, aur phir achanak rally kartay hue 1.3050 tak pohancha. Pair ne 1.3031 par close kiya aur abhi se kuch halki downward momentum dikhayi de rahi hai. Analysts yeh predict karte hain ke pair aaj kuch arsay ke liye 1.3100 ke neeche ja sakta hai, lekin yeh decline mushkil se 1.3061 level tak extend karega. Resistance abhi bhi 1.3090 par hai, aur agar yeh 1.3110 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke current downward pressure khatam ho gaya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 ke range mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent bullish momentum filhal slow ho raha hai. Magar, jab tak RSI neutral 50 level se uper rehta hai, broader bullish trend intact reh sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke chhoti duration ke pressure ke bawajood, overall uptrend jari reh sakta hai