جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Ke Maojooda Haalat

Aaj humara focus GBP/USD currency pair ki price movements ke tajziye par hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye ek expanding formation ke hone ke imkanaat the, jo ke paanch wave se taqreeban 101 points neeche tha. Iss ki wajah se, jab yeh formation toot gayi, toh price ne 451 points ka harka kiya, aur is tarah se expect kiye gaye target se 400 se zyada points aagay nikal gaya. Aksar mai chauthi wave ke barabar ek movement ki tawakku karta hoon breakout ke baad, paanch wave ke barabar nahi. Magar is dafa, yeh paanch wave ki buniyad par hisaab lagaya gaya tha, jo mere liye ek aham mauka zaya hone ke barabar tha. Market price ki review mein abhi tak koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. Is area ko closely monitor karna bohat zaroori hoga, taake pair ke future movements ka pata lagaya ja sake, aur kisi bhi nai development se yeh maloom ho sake ke behtar qadam kya ho sakta hai.



GBP/USD ke volumes ko qareeb se dekhna bohat zaroori hoga. Guzishta Jumay ko chart ne mazboot bullish momentum dikhaya tha, jo ke high volume ke sath tha, jo aam tor par price rally ke tamam hone ki nishani hoti hai. Agar yeh assessment theek hai, toh market khulne par pair mazeed upar naheen ja sakta. Agar yeh aakhri price action bilkul upar ki liquidity ko absorb kar chuka hai, toh price ko mazeed upar dhakailne ki koi wajah nahi hogi. Aisi soorat mein ek bearish price signal saamne aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar volume patterns bhi usay confirm karte hain. Agar yeh bearish signal saamne aata hai, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke price kafi neeche chali jaye gi, takreeban 1.3028 level ke aas paas accumulation area ki taraf. Agar market is price direction mein move karta hai, toh yeh agle qadam ke liye zyada wazeh isharaat dega.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3200 ke aas-paas majbooti banaye rakhi hai, jo ke Fed ke Chairman Powell ke dovish guidance ki wajah se hai. Powell ke comments se yeh pata chala ke woh US labor market ke downside risks ko lekar concerned hain.

Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne specific interest-rate cut path ka commitment nahi diya.

Pound Sterling (GBP) Monday ke London session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein lagbhag do saal aur paanch mahine ke high ke paas trade kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair apni saat din ki winning streak ko aage barhane ki koshish mein hai, kyunki US Dollar weak ho raha hai Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke clear announcement ke baad, jisne kaha ke central bank September mein interest rates cut karna shuru karega.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, ek naye saal ke low 100.53 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai.

Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Powell ne kaha: "Policy adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Lekin, unhone preset interest-rate cut path ko commit karne se mana kar diya aur data-dependent rahne ko behtar samjha, kaha "Travel ka direction clear hai, aur rate cuts ka timing aur pace incoming data, evolving outlook aur risk balance par depend karega."

Powell ke comments se yeh indication mili ke central bank ab deteriorating labor market conditions ko lekar zyada worried hai aur woh confident hain ke price pressures 2% ke target par wapas aayengi. Unhone kaha ke inflation ke upside risks kam ho gaye hain aur labor market ke downside risks badh gaye hain. "Hum strong labor market ko support karne ke liye sab kuch karenge jab hum price stability ki taraf aage barhenge," Powell ne add kiya.

Is hafte, US Dollar ke liye major trigger United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data hoga jo Friday ko publish hoga. PCE inflation ka month-over-month grow 0.2% ke steady pace par hone ki umeed hai.

Monday ke session mein, investors US Durable Goods Orders data par focus karenge jo 12:30 GMT ko publish hoga. Durable Goods ke naye orders, jo core consumer inflation ka key measure hai, ka robust pace par 4% se grow karne ki umeed hai June mein significant decline ke baad. Pound Sterling side se koi significant update nahi aayegi kyunki United Kingdom (UK) bank holiday par hai.

Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling ne 1.3200 ke aas-paas naye do saal aur paanch mahine ke high ko post kiya
Pound Sterling thoda sa soft hua hai US Dollar ke muqablay mein lekin 1.3200 ke aas-paas majbooti banaye rakha hai, weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ko break karne ke baad. GBP/USD pair ne ek naye, lagbhag do saal aur paanch mahine ke high ko post kiya hai, aur yeh February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ki taraf apni upward movement ko extend karne ki umeed hai.

20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2766 ke aas-paas hai, strong upside trend ka signal de raha hai.




14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ka indication deta hai. Lekin, yeh overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas pahuncha hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko badhata hai. Niche ki taraf, psychological level 1.3000 Pound Sterling bulls ke liye crucial support hoga.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast

Weekly time frame mein, ek bullish candlestick abhi bhi ban rahi hai jo yeh indicate karti hai ke price upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, lekin chhoti range ke saath. Aakhri kuch hafton se bullish trend ki taraf rally ke sath, candlestick ne August ke shuruat ke maqam se upar ki taraf ucha hai. Isliye, is mahine bhi market wahi buyer control ke saath chalne ki ummeed hai jo pichle mahine ke trading period mein tha. Ab tak, price 1.3209 ke aas-paas hai. Agar aap 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye market developments ko monitor karenge, toh mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein market bullish side ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

Upar diye gaye wazahat se yeh nikalta hai ke shuruati haftay ke market trading ke liye, GBP/USD pair ke paas consolidate hone ya phir apni uptrend journey ko continue karne ka mauka hai. Market abhi bhi upar ki taraf move karne ke chances hain. Halankeh filhal main market conditions ke thanda hone ka intezar kar raha hoon. Agar candlestick 1.3221 ke price zone ko paar kar sakti hai, toh main Buy position kholne ka plan bana raha hoon jo 1.3272 zone tak ho sakti hai.




Trend ke upar jaane ki tendency ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke price bullish conditions mein chalti rahegi. Stochastic indicator ki signal line abhi bhi 80 zone ki taraf uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke market trend ka bullish hone ko dikhata hai. Aise mauqon par, buyers ko rising position par concentrate karna asaan ho sakta hai, technical analysis ke nateejon ke madde nazar. Agar trend bullish side par chalna chahta hai, toh price dheere dheere rising target ki taraf move karegi, jo profit kamane ka mauka dega.

GBP/USD H4 Chart

Mere khayal se, GBP/USD currency pair ke paas apni increase ko continue karne ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Agle haftay ke trading session mein, hum abhi bhi buyers ki zyada action ka intezar kar rahe hain jo price ko upar push karne ki koshish karenge. Agar yeh kamiyab ho jate hain, toh price ek higher level ki taraf confident ho sakti hai, lekin agar yeh fail ho jate hain, toh price 1.3080 level tak girne ki umeed hai. Agar aap current trend dekhen jo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai, toh buyers ke paas price ko phir se upar le jaane ka acha potential hai. Daily aur weekly timeframes ke basis par upward price trend ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price ke phir se upar jaane ke chances abhi bhi bade hain. Humein kuch aur mauqe ka intezar karna padega kyunki price ke 1.3235 level ke upar breakout hone ka mauqa abhi bhi faislay kaafi important hai.

Market mein price conditions ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price abhi bhi 1.3213 level par holiday par hai. Market conditions ke basis par opportunities ka jawab dete hue, current price position abhi bhi agle bullish condition ke potential ko mazid barhati hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line jo level 70 tak uchi hai, yeh trend ke bullish hone ki indication hai. Toh filhal, hum price ke phir se upar move karne ka intezar kar rahe hain taake hum increase ke continuation ko zyada validly dekh saken, kyunki market conditions abhi bhi is hafte ki tarah increase ka zyada potential rakhte hain, jiska possible target 1.3260 level ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.




Price action analysis technique ko use karte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke price ek candlestick pattern bana rahi hai jo resistance area mein rejection ko indicate karta hai. Agar is area mein pin bars ya doji jaise candlestick formations dekhen, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buyers ki energy khatam ho rahi hai aur sellers price ko neeche push kar sakte hain. Is trading strategy ke liye, mujhe do possibilities nazar aati hain. Pehli, agar price resistance area 1.3200-1.3300 ko todti hai aur uske upar rukti hai, toh yeh buy position enter karne ka strong signal ho sakta hai jiska target 1.3500 level ya usse upar ho sakta hai, momentum ke hisaab se. Lekin, hamesha false breakout ke signs dekhte rahna zaroori hai, jaise breakout ke baad quick pullback. Dusri taraf, agar price is resistance area ko todne mein fail hoti hai aur candlestick pattern ya technical indicator par bearish signal ka confirmation milta hai, toh yeh sell position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Decline ke liye target pehle ke support area ke around 1.2700 level ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Mujhse jari chart, jo Heikin Ashi candles ka use karke dikhaya gaya hai, wazeh taur par ek bullish trend ki formation ka signal de raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke khareedari ke mauqe par dhyan dena behtar hoga.

Heikin Ashi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ka combination price movement ke liye ek strong northern direction ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jo asset quotes ke continued growth ki high probability ko indicate karta hai.

Heikin Ashi candles is analysis mein khaas tor par madadgar hain kyunki yeh price movements ko smooth aur average karti hain, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein market trends ko zyada clear dikhati hain. Yeh smoothing effect traders ko price reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive moves ko zyada asani se identify karne mein madad karta hai, jisse potential market changes ka andaza lagana aasan ho jata hai.

TMA, yaani Triangular Moving Average, is setup ka ek aur important tool hai. Yeh chart par current support aur resistance lines plot karta hai jo Moving Averages par based hoti hain, jinhe kuch trading circles mein "Mashkas" bhi kaha jata hai. TMA indicator asset ke movement ke boundaries ko visualize karne ke liye qeemati hai, jo traders ko entry aur exit points par informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) ke saath milkar, jo price movements ke momentum ko gauge karta hai aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karta hai, yeh indicators market ka ek comprehensive view provide karte hain. RSI bullish trend ki notion ko support karta hai, aur yeh idea aur bhi majboot hota hai ke market upward movement ke liye tayyar hai.




Summary yeh hai ke current chart setup, jo Heikin Ashi candles, TMA, aur RSI indicators se driven hai, strongly suggest karta hai ke long positions par focus karna chahiye. Heikin Ashi candles ke smooth aur averaged view, combined with TMA ke clear support aur resistance levels, traders ko potential price increases ko predict aur capitalize karne ke liye ek solid foundation provide karte hain.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke current price ek strong resistance zone ke aas-paas hai, jo ke 1.3200 se 1.3300 level tak ke blue zone se marked hai. Yeh area pehle ek badi price reversal point tha jahan price ne early 2022 mein is level ko reach karne ke baad sharp girawat dekhi thi. Ab dekhne ko milta hai ke price phir se is level tak aa gayi hai aur yeh strong possibility hai ke yeh level future price movement ko determine karne wale area mein resistance kar sakta hai.

Agar hum dhyan se dekhen, toh price 50 MA (red line) aur 200 MA (blue line) ke kareeb hai, jo ek bade move ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Jab price in dono MA lines ke kareeb hoti hai, toh aksar yeh ek sign hota hai ke trend continue hoga ya reverse hoga. Is case mein, price already dono moving averages ke upar hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai. Lekin, aage strong resistance hone ke bawajood, humein vigil rakhna hoga.

Price action analysis technique se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ek candlestick pattern bana rahi hai jo resistance zone mein rejection ko indicate karta hai. Agar is area mein pin bars ya doji jaise candlestick formations dekhen, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buyers ki energy khatam ho gayi hai aur sellers price ko neeche push kar sakte hain.

Is trading strategy ke liye, mujhe do possibilities nazar aati hain. Pehli, agar price resistance zone 1.3200-1.3300 ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur uske upar rukti hai, toh yeh ek strong signal ho sakta hai buy position enter karne ke liye jiska target 1.3500 level ya usse upar ho sakta hai, jo dynamics par depend karega. Lekin, hamesha false breakout ke signs dekhen, jaise breakout ke baad quick pullback. Dusri taraf, agar price is resistance zone ko todne mein fail hoti hai aur candlestick pattern ya technical indicator par bearish signal ka confirmation milta hai, toh yeh sell position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Negative target pehle ke support area ke around 1.2700 level ki taraf ho sakta hai.




Saath hi, United Kingdom aur United States se aane wali important economic news jaise inflation data, interest rates, aur central bank ke officials ki speeches ko bhi dekhte rahna zaroori hai kyunki yeh GBP/USD ke movement ko affect kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis

GBP/USD daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke current price ek strong resistance area ke aas-paas hai, jo ke 1.3200 se 1.3300 level ke blue area se marked hai. Yeh area pehle ek significant price reversal point tha, jahan price early 2022 mein is level ko touch karne ke baad sharp girawat dekh rahi thi. Ab price phir se is level ko test kar rahi hai aur yeh high possibility hai ke yeh resistance level agle price movement ko determine karne wale area ho sakta hai.

Agar hum dhyan se dekhen, toh price Moving Average (MA) 50 (red line) aur MA 200 (blue line) ke kareeb hai, jo ek bade movement ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Jab price in dono MA lines ke kareeb hoti hai, toh aksar yeh ek sign hota hai ke trend continue hoga ya reverse hoga. Is case mein, price already dono MAs ke upar hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai. Lekin, strong resistance aage hai, isliye humein vigilant rehna zaroori hai.

Price action analysis technique se yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ek candlestick pattern bana rahi hai jo resistance area mein rejection ko indicate karta hai. Agar is area mein pin bars ya doji jaise candlestick formations dekhen, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke buyers ki energy khatam ho gayi hai aur sellers price ko neeche push kar sakte hain.

Is trading strategy ke liye, mujhe do possibilities nazar aati hain. Pehli, agar price resistance area 1.3200-1.3300 ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur uske upar rukti hai, toh yeh buy position enter karne ka strong signal ho sakta hai jiska target 1.3500 level ya usse upar ho sakta hai, momentum ke hisaab se. Lekin, hamesha false breakout ke signs dekhen, jaise breakout ke baad quick pullback. Dusri taraf, agar price is resistance area ko todne mein fail hoti hai aur candlestick pattern ya technical indicator par bearish signal ka confirmation milta hai, toh yeh sell position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Decline ke liye target pehle ke support area ke around 1.2700 level ki taraf ho sakta hai.




Saath hi, UK aur US se aane wali important economic news jaise inflation data, interest rates, aur central bank officials ki speeches ko bhi nazar mein rakhen, kyunki yeh GBP/USD ke movement ko affect kar sakti hain.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast, Reviews
August 26, 2024

Meri raaye mein, GBP/USD currency pair ke paas abhi bhi apne increase ko continue karne ki potential hai. Agle haftay ki trading session mein, hum abhi bhi buyers ki taraf se mazeed action ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke mumkin hai ke price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish karein. Agar woh kamyab ho jaate hain, toh price zyada confidence ke saath ek higher level ki taraf badhegi, lekin agar yeh koshish fail ho jaati hai, toh price ke 1.3080 level par wapas girne ki umeed hai.

Agar aap current trend ko dekhen jo ke abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai, toh buyers se umeed hai ke woh price ko dobara upar le jaane ki badi potential rakhte hain. Daily aur weekly timeframes ke hisaab se upward price trend par bharosa karte hue, aisa lagta hai ke price ke phir se upar jaane ka abhi bhi ek bada chance hai. Humein bhi sabr se intezaar karna hoga ke kai opportunities ka intezaar karein kyunki price ke 1.3235 level ke upar breakout karne ka mauka abhi bhi trade ke faisle ko tay karne mein kaafi aham hai.




Market mein price ki haalat ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke yeh abhi bhi 1.3213 ke price level par "holiday" par hai. Market conditions par base karte hue, mauka milte hi current price position abhi bhi agle bullish condition ke potential ko mazboot karti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki lime line jo ke level 70 tak barh gayi hai, yeh is trend ki indication hai jo abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. Toh is waqt hum price movement ke upar jaane ka intezaar kar rahe hain, taake hum increase ke continuation ko zyada valid tareeqe se dekh sakein, kyunki market conditions mein is haftay ki tarah increase ka zyada potential hai, aur mumkin target level 1.3260 ke range mein hai.

GBP-USD Pair Review

GBP/USD currency pair ka weekly timeframe par ek acha signal hai, aur ab yeh analysis karne ka waqt hai. GBP/USD ki price mein izafa resistance se zyada hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke buyers ne market par kabza kar liya hai. Abhi ki sabse kam price 1.26636 pehle ki sabse kam price 1.26117 se upar hai. Is tarah ki movement is baat ko darshati hai ke GBP/USD price ek uptrend ka saamna kar rahi hai, toh yeh sahi waqt hai ke buying opportunities dekhi jayein.

Filhaal, GBP/USD price upper Bollinger Bands ke aas-paas move kar rahi hai, toh ab yeh middle Bollinger Bands tak neeche jaane ka waqt hai. GBP/USD price ki significant aur consistent mazbooti isse overbought banati hai, jo ke stochastic oscillator ke level 80 ko touch karne se zahir hoti hai, isliye ab yeh level 20 tak neeche jaane ka waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ko istemal karte hue, yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD price correction ke liye neeche jaayegi.

GBP/USD price analysis ke natayij trend ke saath move up karenge. Yeh zaroori nahi hai ke aap turant buy transaction karein, chahe aapko yaqeen ho ke GBP/USD price mazboot hogi. Sabar karein aur GBP/USD price ko neeche jaane ka intezar karein taake sahi price par entry mil sake. Khareedari tab ki jaa sakti hai jab ek bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle ka confirmation ho, jiska candle body base demand ke upar ho aur price loss limit 1.26635 base demand se neeche ho, aur take profit 1.34851 base supply se neeche ho. Agar GBP/USD price base demand se neeche gir jaati hai, toh khareedari ka signal expire ho jata hai kyunki trend reversal aa gaya hai.




Agar GBP/USD price base demand ko touch ya enter karne se pehle hi move up kar jaati hai, toh khareedari ki transaction karne par majboor na ho, kyunki isne abhi tak technical requirements ko pura nahi kiya. Aap ek pending sell limit order price 1.34851 par base supply se neeche kar sakte hain, kyunki GBP/USD price overbought ho chuki hai, price loss limit 1.36422 base supply se upar rakh kar aur take profit price 1.28156 base demand se upar par rakh sakte hain.

Jumay ki subha ke awal waqt, British pound (GBP) ne apna ooper ki taraf ka rujhan jaari rakha US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein, aur sat din ki bulandi tak pohanch gaya, jo ke 1.3105 ke qareeb hai. Yeh bullish jazba asal mein sarmaya karon ki is umeed par mabni hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apne September ke meeting se pehle ek muthaadily narm mauqaf ikhtiyar karega. Aane wala Jackson Hole symposium, jahan Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey aur Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell ki takreerein hongi, intehai ahem hoga mahsoosiyat ko muqarrar karne ke liye ki suodon ki sharahen kis rukh jaayengi. July ke FOMC meeting ke minutes ne yeh zahir kiya ke zyada tareen policymakers soodon ki sharah ko kam karne ke haqq mein thay kyunke mehengai ko kaabu karne mein taraqqi hui hai. Boston Fed ki President Susan Collins ne bhi is raye ka izhar kiya ke soodon ki sharah mein kami mumkin hai, musbat mehengai data aur 2% ke hadaf ko hasil karne mein yakeen ke madde nazar. Jahaan Fed ka nazriya GBP ke haqq mein raha hai, BoE ki maali policy ka raasta UK ki behtar Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke jari hone ke baad kam yaqini ho gaya hai. Manufacturing aur services ke shobon mein soch se behtar PMI numbers ne market ke umeedon ko September mein significant soodon ki sharah mein kami ke liye thoda sa kam kar diya hai.




Currency pair ne 2024 ki bulandi tab hasil ki jab is ne pehle resistance level 1.3044 ko tor diya. Yeh ooper ki taraf momentum ko qaim rakhne ke liye aur mumkin taur par 1.3200 ka nishana hasil karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke GBP/USD apni position ko ek khas demand zone ke andar qaim rakhe. Yeh zone Asian Point of Concentration (POC) 1.3102 par aur guzasta din ke opening price 1.3089 aur maujooda price ke darmiyan volume concentration area ko shaamil karta hai. Agar GBP/USD pair kamyabi se resistance level 1.3129 ke upar break kare aur 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extension levels se upar gains ko barqarar rakhe, toh 1.3076 level mazid ooper ki taraf harakat ke liye ek ahem midpoint ka kirdar ada karega. Lekin agar price is resistance ko todne mein nakam rahti hai aur demand zone ki taraf wapas retreat karti hai, toh ek silsila ware retracements 1.3056, 1.3044, aur mumkin hai ke 1.3026 ke unsatisfactory POC tak bhi hosakta hai. Khulasa yeh hai ke GBP ki haali mein taqat asal mein ek narm Fed ke umeedon se chal rahi hai. Jahaan BoE ki maali policy ka raasta kam yaqini ho gaya hai, wahin UK PMI ke positive data ne GBP ke ooper ki taraf rujhan ko khas tor par kamzor nahi kiya. Yeh ooper ki taraf trend ko qaim rakhne ke liye aur mazeed bulandi tak pohanchne ke liye, GBP/USD pair ko apni position ko specified demand zone ke andar qaim rakhna hoga aur ahem resistance levels ko kamyabi se todna hoga.

GBP/USD Ki Price Ka Jaiza

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karein ge. London ke suburbs mein tensions barh rahi hain, jahan lagta hai ke aik civil war jaise haalaat paida ho rahe hain. Police reportedly unresponsive hai, aur jab wo calls par respond karti bhi hai to gaadiyon se kam hi nikalti hai. Vandalism aam hai, gaadiyan torri ja rahi hain aur logon ko chotain lag rahi hain. Yeh koi nai baat nahi hai, lekin maine aik aise shaks se baat ki jiski maa wahan rehti hain, aur unhone iss soorat-e-haal ki shiddat ki tasdeeq ki hai. US mein soorat-e-haal zyada stable nazar aati hai. Fed ki anticipated rate cut ke siwa koi khaas manfi asar nazar nahi aaya. Service sector mein business activity mein izafa ho raha hai, jo ke GDP growth par achay asraat dal sakta hai. Secondary housing market mein bhi sales barh gayi hain, aur pichle teen hafton se initial unemployment claims mein koi izafa nahi hua. Guzishta hafta market growth Powell ke speech ki anticipation ki wajah se thi, jiss ne positive US data ko nazarandaz kiya. Lekin ab jo sab kuch samne aaya hai, speculative movement jaari nazar aati hai.




Powell ki speech ne speculation ko hawa di hai, aur kai investors mutma'in hain ke September mein rate cut yaqeeni hai. Ab behas iss baat par hai ke yeh cut kitna hoga. Lekin mera maanna hai ke market ne pehle hi tamaam manfi US data ko price mein shamil kar liya hai, aur ek correction ki zarurat hai jiss se support level 1.3129 par wapas aa sakte hain. Market ek kamzor US dollar ko pasand kar rahi hai aur US stock indices ke ooper jaane se, jo ke apni highs par wapas aa gayi hain. Mazeed, kal raat Israel aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan rocket attacks ka tabadla hua, jiss se trading khulne par bearish price gap ho sakta hai. Dollar ki kamzori ka taluq aney wale US elections se ho sakta hai, aur natijay ke baad mazid taqat milne ki ummeed hai. Yeh harakat speculative nazar aati hai, aur koi bara investor apni positions close karke course change kar sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Pair Review**

H4 Chart
Chalain H4 chart ko dobara dekhtay hain - GBPUSD currency pair par. Iss four-hour chart par, upward trend ka silsila jaari hai, wave structure apna pattern upar ki taraf bana raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, magar is par bearish divergence bhi maujood hai, aur doosray istemal honay walay indicator CCI par bhi yehi haal hai. Jaisa ke aap jaante hain, aaj price ne phir se pehlay maximum ko update kiya, magar meri raaye mein price apni manzil ke qareeb hai, kitna upar jaa sakti hai bina kisi correction ke? Ye correction ke liye ek talab si lagti hai. Aur ye signal achay chances rakhta hai ke ye work out karega, pehle divergences ne zyada achi tarah kaam nahi kiya, zyada tar price sideways chali gayi thori si kami ke saath. Ab price bohot zyada overheated hai, isne senior periods par tamam possible targets ko pura kar liya hai aur ab ye neeche jaane ka waqt hai, jab ke horizontal level 1.3177 ne price ko support di hai. Aakhir tak geese ko upar nahi kheecha ja sakta, correction anyway shuru hogi. Mera andaza hai ke price is hafte ke minimum tak gir sakti hai, yaani level 1.3175 tak. Doosra target 1.3122 hai.

**Daily Chart**
Agar aap zyada bara D1 period dekhein aur pehli wave par Fibonacci grid ko lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke 161.8 level work out ho chuka hai. Price ne pichlay saal 2023 ke maximum ko bhi cross kar liya hai, aur ye ek potential sales zone hai. Ye wazeh hai ke price maximum ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai, agar ye neeche jaye to buyers ko positions gain karni chahiye jo yaqeen kar lein ke upward trend jaari rahega. CCI indicator ab upper overheating zone se neeche aana chahta hai, aur yehhi manzar bara weekly chart par bhi hai. Iske ilawa, chaar ghantay se kam period par bhi, maximum update ke baad bearish divergence hai - jo ke sell signal hai. In factors ka combination yeh batata hai ke girawat qareeb hai, aur iska target level 1.3007 hai. Itne powerful growth ke baad bina kisi rollback ke, wahan tak rollback hona bilkul normal lagta hai.

Intraday Ki Tafseel
Intraday ki tafseel se pata chalta hai ke yeh H4 time frame mein inside bar pattern ke paanchve projection ko test kar raha hai, jiska price 1.32332 par hai. Agar yeh solidly resistance ko todne mein kamyab hota hai, toh SMA5 ke dynamic support ki madad se iske barhne ka mauqa milta hai, aur yeh agle projection tak jaa sakta hai jiska price 1.33058 par hai. Agar yeh isse bhi aage nikal jata hai, toh yeh agle projection tak pohanchne ka mauqa kholta hai. Lekin, agar yeh upar diye gaye do qareebi projections se reject hota hai, toh isme pehle wale projection tak retrace hone ki salahiyat hai. Is tarah se, iske bearish hone ki imkaaniat hain, aur yeh head and shoulders pattern bhi bana sakta hai, khaas tor par agar yeh neckline ko todne mein kamyab hota hai jo ke RBS area ke aas paas hai, jiska price 1.31788 par hai.

Trading Options

Is wazahat ki buniyad par, GBPUSD ke liye tayar ki ja sakne wali trading options yeh hain:

Buy Option: Agar yeh solidly H4 time frame mein inside bar pattern ke paanchve projection ko todne mein kamyab hota hai jiska price 1.32332 par hai, toh buy option tayar hai. Target agle projection ke aas paas rakha jata hai jiska price 1.33058 par hai. Reentry buy option tayar hai agar yeh resistance ko todne mein kamyab hota hai, lekin correction SMA5 ke dynamic support se upar hi rehti hai, jo ke flip area ke aas paas hai jiska price 1.32713 par hai. Target agle projection ke aas paas rakha jata hai jiska price 1.33784 par hai.

Sell Option: Agar increase dobara H4 time frame mein upar diye gaye price par inside bar pattern ke paanchve projection se neeche daba diya jata hai, toh sell option tayar hai. Iske liye confirmation tab ki jaye gi jab SMA5 aur SMA10 ki curves neeche ki taraf cross karte hain. Target dynamic support of SMA50 ke aas paas rakha jata hai jo ke RBS area mein hai, jiska price 1.30476 par hai. Dusra sell option tab tayar hai jab increase ko neeche reject kar diya jata hai, inside bar pattern ke chhathe projection par jiska price 1.33058 par hai. Target RBS area ke aas paas rakha jata hai jo ke 1.31788 par hai.

**Price Action Analysis: GBP/USD**

Hamari guftagu ka mawzu hai GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis. Market dynamics mein kaafi tabdeeli aayi hai, jahan pound-dollar currency pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh mainly US dollar ke major global currencies, including British pound ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ki wajah se hai. US ke muqablay mein, Britain ki labor market ab bhi mazboot hai, aur wage growth bhi tez hai. Friday ko GBP/USD pair 1.3219 par close hua, aur jab tak pound 1.3134-1.3139 ke range ke upar rehta hai, tab tak bulls control mein rahenge, aur agla target shayad 1.3299 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart shayad unreliable ho, lekin four-hour chart zyada certainty provide karta hai. Agar yeh formation sahi hoti hai, to 149 points ka faida ho sakta hai. Is waqt selling consider nahi karunga.

*
Pichle hafte, GBP/USD ke bulls ne bears ko clearly outpaced kar diya. Friday ko Powell ke remarks ne market ko aur bhi stir kar diya, lekin main is par zyada focus nahi karunga kyunke yeh pehle se hi unsettling hai aur maine is par zyada attention de diya hai. Yeh purane log hain jo order maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo bhi zaroori ho karte hain. Kaam hai, aur woh chhod bhi sakte hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai kya Powell resign hone ka soch rahe hain? Unka focus lagta hai ke Democrats aur Trump dono ko appease karna hai. Main ummeed karta hoon ke markets weekend ke dauran reconsider karenge aur Monday se bearish retrace hote hue 1.2999 ki taraf jaayenge. Lekin pre-market mein movement kam hai (halan ke pehle maine euro-dollar price ko 1.1107 dekha, jo last week's close se 99 points neeche tha, lekin prices ab Friday's close ke aas-paas stabilize ho gayi hain). Main unexpanding formation ko highlight karna chahta hoon jo maine abhi tak thoroughly analyze nahi kiya. Pattern ke andar 59 points hain, lekin 89 points already is se bahar move kar chuke hain.

GBP/USD Ki Price Activity
Humari guftagu ka mawzu GBP/USD currency pair ki mojudah price behaviour ka tajziya hai. H1 level par 1.3169-49 abhi bhi ek rukawat hai, lekin yeh resistance sirf ek din ke liye progress mein taakhir kar sakta hai. Agar pressure barqarar raha, toh kal ek breakthrough ho sakta hai, jo price ko neeche laa sakta hai. Agar hum system ke zariye subah ke waqt highlight kiye gaye intraday levels ka tajziya karein, toh yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke upward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, provided ke corrective move hai. Lekin yeh correction khaas kamzor sabit hui hai. Dilchaspi ke intraday levels jo red aur green mein mark kiye gaye hain, woh 1.3106 aur 1.3228 hain. Inmein se kisi bhi level ko chua nahi gaya, aur yeh soorat-e-haal kal tak qaim rahegi jab tak aur tang nahi hoti. Aam tor par, narrowing pattern ek zyada erratic market ki taraf le jaa sakta hai, lekin kisi bhi range expansion ke imkaan kam hain. Ab tak, mujhe kisi bhi qati bearish move ke mazboot asar nahi nazar aate.

GBP/USD ke D1 chart par, aaj ki market activity UK mein chhutti ki wajah se moattal hai, aur pair mein koi khaas movement nahi hai. Guzishta trading haftay mein bearish kamyabi ke liye bohat kam mauqa tha; yehan tak ke minor intraday corrections bhi bohat mushkil se hue. Pair ek dum upar chadh gaya, jaise ke woh neeche girne ke liye tayyar tha. Jumerat ke din ki candle, jo ek inverted hammer ki tarah thi, ne girawat ka imkaan zahir kiya. Market poore din flat rahi, mumkin hai ke upar wale levels se correction hone par sellers ki ek group jama ho raha tha. Lekin yeh tawaqqua zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyun ke jumme ke din se United States se ahem khabrein aayi. Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve ke Chairman, ke address aur US mein naye gharon ki sales ke elan ne price ko achanak ooper le gaye, jis se aksar stop losses trigger hue aur kayi accounts par asar pada. Yeh movement pound ki khilaaf nahi thi; US dollar market bhar mein kaafi kamzor ho gaya.