یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ka jaiza hai. Asian high 1.1069 ko chhune ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se ground khona shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya lekin pair abhi bhi 1.1021 ke support level ke upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar barqarar rakh sakte hain, to mujhe umeed hai ke price northward move karega local trend line 1.1059 tak, jahan ek potential breakthrough ho sakta hai jo isay mazeed strengthen karte hue bulls ke liye agla resistance level 1.1096 tak le yes. Agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hota hai, to pair ka girna jaari rahega aur yeh 1.0986 tak ja sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level qaim hai, buyers mazboot hain, lekin agar yeh break hota hai to trend shift kar sakta hai. Dono levels aaj ke din ke liye possible the, jisse outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line buying ke haq mein hai. Buyers mazed strength tab hasil karenge jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi unko halka sa faida hai. Hum EUR/USD pair mein bearish correction aur ek local reversal dekh rahe hain. Aaj ke din price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur yeh bears ka is haftay ka aakhri target nahi ho sakta. US stock markets ne kafi losses ka samna kiya hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen aur franc ko mazbooti de raha hai, jo ke risk se dour hone ki nishani hai. Weak US PMI/ISM Index data ne bhi in concerns ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke ek potential recession ka dar paida kar raha hai. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh movement jaari rahegi, jo channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak ja sakti hai. Wapas 11th-floor levels tak pohanchna nonfarm payroll report par mabni hai, jo ke is Friday ko aayegi. Agar yeh surat-e-haal barqarar rehti hai to strong buying opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jisme pehla target 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta ha

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai
EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.
Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi


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EUR/USD ka outlook
Kal, market thoda hairan karne wala tha. ECB ki meeting aur PPI data moderate reaction ka bayas bana. Halankeh, sham ke qarib, ek ucchal aaya jisne aitemad ke sath qimat ko 1.1085 tak pahuncha diya, jahan maine fraokht ki positions kholi. Halankeh, mai ab dekh raha hun keh ham karobari din ke aaghaz me aasani se 1.11 ki hadd me ja sakte hain. Maine wahan farokht ki ek aur hadd muqarra ki.
Mukhtasran, suratehal 1.12 range ki taraf badh sakti hai. Meri maujudah farokht ki positions ka maqsad 1.1050 tak islah hasil karna hai. Mai is hafte trades ko band karne ki koshish karunga aur hafte ke aakhir me unhein khula nahin chorunga.
Stock market me kal zordar tezi dekhi gayi, jo khatre ki bookh me izafa ki tarah lagta hai. Aane wali Fed ki meeting aur mumkena sud ki sherah me katauti market ki is tarah ki suratehal ki ek wajah ho sakti hai. Halankeh, mujhe lagta hai keh traders ne pahle hi in waqeaat ki qimat tai kar li hai.

Is waqt daily chart ko dekhne par ye samajh aata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai, lekin filhal ek corrective phase mein hai. Wave structure upar ki taraf ban raha hai, lekin MACD indicator overbought zone mein tha, aur ab apni signal line ke neeche cross kar raha hai. Guzishta trading week mein bulls ko koi khaas kamiyabi nahi mili; woh toh jaise ek jack par uth rahe the, lekin ab unka waqt temporarily khatam ho gaya hai. Agar Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke neeche lagaya jaye, toh ye dekhne ko milta hai ke 161.8 ka target level pohanch gaya hai, aur 200 level ko chhune ki koshish hui thi. Kyun ke minimum target achieve ho chuka hai, aur is ke ilawa, price ne pichlay saal ke aakhri significant maximum ko cross kar liya, yeh selling zone banane ka aik acha mauqa tha. Sath hi CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se bahar aa gaya. Guzishta hafta, bears ne apna badla liya aur pehle ke uptrend ka aik bara hissa wapas ley liya. Unhone price ko neeche dhakel diya, aur ye kaafi behtareen tha pound dollar ke muqable mein, aur is ka sab se bara reason EUR/GBP cross rate tha, jo kai dinon se neeche ja raha hai. Yeh downtrend cross rate mein pound dollar ki girawat ko roknay mein madad kar raha hai aur euro dollar ki girawat ko barhawa de raha hai.
Agar 1.10763 ka level buyers ko nahi rokh pata, toh upar ki taraf ka movement jari rehne ke chances hain. Bulls phir se channel ke upper part, jo 1.10667 ka level hai, tak pohanch sakte hain, jahan se selling par ghor karna munasib hoga. Is point se selling karna kaafi dilchasp hoga, kyun ke hourly chart par ek pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is ke baad, bears apni activity dikhayenge aur channel ke lower part, jo 1.10074 hai, tak move karenge. Channel ki volatility iss level par determine hogi, aur bears ke selling ka wait karna hoga jab tak bulls apni movement ka kuch hissa khel chuke hon.

EURJPY kuch arsay ke liye 160-164 ke beech range mein reh sakta hai. Pound is waqt hamari mentioned resistance 1.3250 ke neeche acha hold kar raha hai, aur jab tak is par ek strong break nahi aata, yeh 1.31 ya usse neeche gir sakta hai. Aussie crucial level 0.68 ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai, jisse agar break hota hai toh yeh 0.6850 tak ja sakta hai. Abhi ke levels par price action ko gaur se dekhen. USDCNY ko 7.12 ke upar sustain karna hoga taake yeh 7.18 tak wapas rise kar sake. EURINR agle kuch sessions mein 93-92 tak wapas gir sakta hai jab tak yeh 94 se neeche hai. USDINR nazdeek muddat ke liye 84.00-83.75 ke region mein trade karta reh sakta hai. US Treasury yields bounce par hold kar rahe hain. Halan ke resistances upside ko cap kar sakte hain agar yeh aur barhte hain. Broader trend neeche hai, aur yields dubara se lower reverse ho sakte hain. German yields ek corrective rise par hain. Aage move karne ki jagah hai jab tak ke overall downtrend resume hoti hai aur yields phir se gir jati hain. 10Yr GoI rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ahem resistances aage hain jo rise ko restrict karenge aur yields ko dubara neeche le ja sakte hain.
Dow Jones aur Nifty ke paas 41800-42000 aur 25500 tak rise karne ka scope hai jab tak support 40800 aur 24500 par hai. DAX resistance ke upar breach karne ke signs de raha hai aur mazeed upside target kar raha hai. Nikkei ek narrow range mein stuck hai lekin iske paas scope hai ke eventually upper end of the range ko break kar sake. Shanghai 2840 ke upar hover kar raha hai lekin outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 2800 tak girne ka chance hai.

Crude prices Tuesday ko sharply gir gayi jab Goldman Sachs ne apni 2025 Brent crude forecast $82 per barrel se kam karke $77 per barrel kar di lekin immediate supports hain jo hold kar sakte hain aur bounce back produce kar sakte hain. Gold, Silver aur Copper mein follow through rise ki kami hai lekin ab bhi 2600, 31-31.50 aur 4.4 tak rise karne ka scope hai. Natural gas gir raha hai lekin downside 2.0-1.9 tak limited ho sakta hai

EUR/USD ka girna ab ruk sakta hai aaj ke US CPI inflation data aur Thursday ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate faislay se pehle, chahe is ne haal hi mein mushkilat ka samna kiya ho aur Eurozone ke itnay achay data nahi aaye. US dollar CPI report se pehle thora kamzor ho gaya jab polls ne dikhaya ke Harris ne pehle presidential debate mein Trump ko outperform kiya. EUR/USD ne wapis bounce back kiya jabke usne hafte ka aghaz kamzor surat mein kiya, jab Friday ka dip dekha gaya, lekin US jobs ke kamzor news bhi US dollar ko aur zyada girane ke liye kaafi nahi the.

Haal hi mein EUR/USD kyun mushkilat ka shikar raha?

Is hafte ke economic calendar ke shuruat mein aram ne dollar ko takreeban tamam badi currencies ke khilaf kuch support dila diya, siwaye yen ke, jisne EUR/USD par niche ka dabao dala. Ye Friday ke girawat ke baad hua jab latest US employment data ne Fed ke employment mein kamzori ke khauf ko tasdeeq kiya.

Fed ke chairman ne pehle hi August mein yeh confirm kar diya tha ke September se interest rates mein kami aayegi, is liye jobs report itni kamzor nahi thi ke investors ko 50 basis point cut ka andaza ho. Is wajah se dollar mein halki recovery hui. Friday ki soft jobs report ne rate markets mein pehle to halchal machai, lekin phir sentiment aur ehtiyat par shift ho gaya, aur aglay FOMC meeting ke liye 25 basis point cut ki umeed barh gayi.

Lekin ab umeedain barh rahi hain ke is saal ke baad aur aglay saal ke shuruat mein aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, khaaskar ek Fed official ne “frontloading” ko kam karne ka mashwara diya hai. Lekin US ke kamzor data, girti hui oil prices, aur dovish Fed turn ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka forecast abhi bhi thora bullish hai jab tak ke is hafte ke aane wale macro events mein koi bara surprise na ho. Hum baat kar rahe hain aaj ke latest US inflation report aur kal ke ECB ke rate faislay ki. Pichlay hafte ke jobs data ke baad, mein abhi bhi CPI release se pehle dollar ke bare mein bearish hun. Market rate cut ki size par tafreeq mein hai, aur koi clear consensus nahi hai. Fed, jo aglay hafte apni meeting mein dollar ko ziada hilne se rokna chahta hai, umeed kar raha hoga ke is hafte ka inflation data market uncertainty ko settle karne mein madadgar hoga.

Jabke US CPI Fed ke target ke qareeb aa raha hai, Powell pehle hi is baat ka ishara de chuke hain ke September 18 FOMC meeting mein rate cuts ka tasdeeq karenge. Ye CPI report is meeting se pehle aakhri bara data point hoga jo policymakers ko guide karega ke 50 basis point cut karna hai ya aam 25 basis point ke sath rehna hai.

Is liye, yeh report kafi tawajju hasil kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar numbers expectations se kaafi alag niklay. Inflation chaar mahine tak silsilewar slow hui hai, aur July mein 2.9% year-on-year tak pohanch gayi, jo March 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai. Umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein yeh mazeed kam hoke 2.6% ho jayegi, jabke core CPI ko 3.2% par stable rehne ki umeed hai year-on-year comparison mein.

ECB ka rate faisla kafi bara hoga. Ab tak, analysts is baat par mutafiq lag rahe hain ke ECB eurozone ki kamzor economy ke jawab mein rate cuts mein taizi nahi karega. June mein 25 basis points cut ke baad, umeed hai ke ECB Thursday ko ek aur aisi cut announce karega.

ستمبر 13 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، یورو زون میں کلیدی شرح سود 0.25% سے کم کر کے 3.50% کر دی گئی۔ معمولی قرضے کی شرح کو 0.60% سے 3.90% تک کم کر دیا گیا، اور مین ری فنانسنگ آپریشنز پر شرح 0.60% سے کم کر کے 3.65% کر دی گئی۔ یورپی مرکزی بینک نے رواں سال کے لیے اپنی اقتصادی ترقی کی پیشن گوئی کو 0.9% سے کم کر کے 0.8% کر دیا ہے جبکہ افراط زر کی پیش گوئی کو 2.5% پر برقرار رکھا ہے۔ اکتوبر کے اجلاس کے حوالے سے کوئی اشارہ نہیں دیا گیا، لیکن سال کے آخر تک مہنگائی میں اضافے کا مضمرات تھا۔ بہر حال، ہم اکتوبر کی میٹنگ میں شرح میں مزید کمی کی توقع کرتے ہیں، جیسا کہ کل بتایا گیا ہے، 0.50% کی نہیں، بلکہ 0.25% تک۔

شرحوں کے ساتھ اس تمام "الجھن اور ہنگامہ" کے پیچھے خیال یہ ہے کہ ای سی بی کے نرخ ہمیشہ فیڈرل ریزرو سے کم ہوں گے۔ تاہم، مارکیٹیں "اندھیرے میں" رہتی ہیں اور ڈالر نے ابھی تک مضبوطی کا رجحان شروع کرنا ہے۔ متعلقہ بازاروں میں کل بھی اضافہ ہوا: S&P 500 میں 0.75% اضافہ ہوا، تیل (WTI) میں 2.96% اضافہ ہوا، اور سونا 1.75% بڑھ گیا۔



لہذا، یورو یو ایس ایمپلائمنٹ ڈیٹا یا ای سی بی کی شرح میں کمی کے بعد واپس نہیں آیا۔ 18 ستمبر کو ہونے والی ایف. او. ایم. سی. میٹنگ میں ایک دوویش ریلیز کے ساتھ، آخری ایونٹ باقی ہے Fed کی شرح میں 0.25% کی کٹوتی۔ دوہری شرح میں کمی کی توقع 42 فیصد پر برقرار ہے۔ اگر اگلے ہفتے کے وسط تک یہ توقع نمایاں طور پر کم نہیں ہوتی ہے، تو امکان ہے کہ یورو درمیانی مدت کی کمی میں بدل جائے گا۔

اور اگر نہیں؟ بدقسمتی سے، ترقی ایک متبادل منظر نامے کی پیروی کرے گی: پہلے، 1.1186 کے ہدف تک (قیمت چینل کی اوپری حد)، اور پھر 1.1230 یا اس سے زیادہ تک۔ تاہم، قیمت کو 1.1085 کی پہلے سے حاصل شدہ سطح سے اوپر مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کو مثبت علاقے میں جانے کی ضرورت ہے۔



آج، یوروزون جولائی کے لیے صنعتی پیداوار کے اعداد و شمار جاری کرے گا، جس میں 0.6% کی کمی متوقع ہے۔ امریکی ڈیٹا ثانوی اہمیت کا حامل ہے— برآمدات اور درآمدی قیمتوں میں کمی متوقع ہے۔ ابھی کے لیے، ہم مرکزی منظر نامے پر قائم ہیں۔

چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت کے اتار چڑھاو کو ہلکے نیلے رنگ کے اترتے ہوئے چینل کے اندر دکھایا جا سکتا ہے، جس کی اوپری باؤنڈری 1.1124 کے نشان کے آس پاس ہے۔ اگر قیمت موجودہ سطح سے نیچے آتی ہے اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.1048) کی حمایت پر قابو پا لیتی ہے، تو یہ نیچے کی طرف دوبارہ شروع ہونے کی پہلی علامت ہوگی۔ لیکن ہر چیز کا فیصلہ 18 ستمبر کو ہو گا۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EURUSD
Budh ke din EurUsd market pair ka trading zyadatar sellers ke qabze mein raha, jo ke price ko apne control mein rakhne mein kamyab rahe aur price ko seller resistance area 1.1050-1.1048 ke neeche rakha. Yeh waja bani ke pehle jo buyers ki bullish tehqiqat thi, wo fail ho gayi aur phir sellers ne zyada bearish pressure apply karte hue price ko neeche gira diya.

Daily time frame mein Moving Average indicator ke zariye dekha gaya, ke price ya candle ne MA 50 Red area ke kareeb 1.0965-1.0967 par move karna shuru kiya hai, jise ab tak buyers ne roka hua hai. Kal ke trading mein sellers ne ek bearish candlestick banate hue EurUsd market ko dominate kiya, jis ke natijay mein price ke mazeed neeche girne ke imkanaat hain. Agla target MA 50 Red area ke neeche ka hoga. Agar yeh kamiyabi se ho gaya, toh price mazeed kamzor ho kar MA 100 Blue area 1.0874-1.0876 tak ja sakti hai.

Aaj, Thursday ke din ke trading ke doran, buyers ne phir se trading ko dominate kiya, aur seller ke bearish pressure ko buyer support area 1.1005-1.1007 par rok liya. Yeh waja bani ke bearish sellers ka raasta roka gaya aur buyers ne prices ko mazeed upar bullish movement mein la kar agle target seller resistance area 1.1044-1.1055 tak pohanchaya. Agar buyers is area ko torne mein kamiyab ho gaye, toh EurUsd pair ki price mazeed barh kar agle strong seller supply resistance area 1.1094-1.1096 tak ja sakti hai.

Nateejah:

Agar price seller resistance area ko break kar leti hai, toh buy trading ka option ikhtiyar kiya ja sakta hai. Is ke liye pending buy stop order 1.1044-1.1045 par lagaya ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.1093-1.1095 ho sakta hai.

Agar price buyer support area ko break kar leti hai, toh sell trading ka option ikhtiyar kiya ja sakta hai. Pending sell stop order 1.0993-1.0990 par lagaya ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.1040-1.1038 ho sakta hai

Certainly! Here is the EUR/USD analysis translated into Roman Urdu:


EUR/USD Analysis

Daily Timeframe
Chaliye EUR/USD trading instrument ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Is haftay hum dheere dheere gir rahe hain aur price ne pichle haftay ka minimum update kiya hai. Is senior period par wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai. MACD indicator, halanke yeh upper purchase zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ek correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, girawat khatam nahi hui hai, price ab bhi mushkil se gir rahi hai; pehle ki growth bahut asaan thi, yeh upar baar baar chal gayi thi. Qareeb aur main target horizontal support level 1.0950 hai jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Mera kehna hai ke hum aakhir mein is tak pohnch jayenge; yeh na sirf daily level hai, balke weekly bhi hai. Pichle haftay price ne girawat se upar ki taraf correction banayi aur mirror level 1.1150 tak pohnch gayi, jo ek bohot powerful sales zone hai. Friday ko USA se aayi news par price tezi se upar gayi thi, lekin utni hi tezhi se neeche bhi gir gayi thi. Mera maan na hai ke pichle mahine ke itne zyada growth ke baad, ek downward correction model kam az kam teen waves tak hoga. Agar hum pehli downward wave ke size ko superimpose karain, to price movement kaafi hai 1.0955 level tak pohnchne ke liye jo candle ke closing prices par bana hai. Price aksar aise cycle mein chalti hai jahan pehli wave aur teesri wave ka size qareeb hota hai, aur yeh mukhtalif periods par hota hai, lekin yeh ek pattern hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh girawat yahin se jaari rahegi. Yahan Fibonacci target grid bhi pehli wave par superimpose kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin asal mein, yeh zaroori nahi hai, target ab bhi 1.0950 level hai. Aaj raat se hum 1.1013 support level se rebound kar rahe hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh temporary phenomenon hai aur jald hum phir se neeche jaayenge specified target tak. Aaj ki news jo note ki jaani chahiye: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA ka Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) mahine aur saal ke hisaab se. Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi USA ka mahine aur saal ke hisaab se.

Time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain! Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake. Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziyata active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

Afternoon analysis update - 13 September, 2024

Aaj dopahar ko maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ka istemal karte hue ek analysis banaya, jo kal raat ke market trend ke mutabiq kafi dilchasp lag raha tha. Mujhe yeh dekh kar lagta hai ke ek dafa phir se increase ka mauqa mil raha hai. Ek reversal signal dekha ja sakta hai jahan aakhri chand dino mein price movement ka zyada control sellers ke haath mein tha, jo market ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar rahe the, lekin chart par yeh nazar aata hai ke bearish koshish abhi tak 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar payi, jo ke iss hafte support ka kaam kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar seller is support area ko na todh paye, toh trend upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Is liye, main ek tahqiqi trading plan banane ka irada rakhta hoon taake andaza laga sakoon ke kab price upar ki taraf move karna shuru karegi aur agla destination kaha ho sakta hai, H4 time frame ke situation ke mutabiq. Is ke ilawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator ka bhi istemal kar raha hoon aur support resistance boundary line ki madad se bhi analysis kar raha hoon. H4 time frame chart par EURUSD ke price movement mein pichle bearish correction candlestick ke shape se ek reversal signal dekha ja sakta hai. Jaise hum daily time frame mein dekh sakte hain, ke pichlay hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue karne mein nakam rahe, kyun ke sellers ke pressure ne market ko neeche le ja kar correction mode mein daal diya tha.

Is hafte ki bearish koshish abhi tak jari hai, lekin pichlay Thursday ko accha buying interest dekhne ko mila jisne candlestick ka position upar karne mein madad di aur market ko bullish rally ka raasta dikhaya, jo pichlay August ke aakhri dino mein trend ka hissa thi. Phir, stochastics ke analysis se pata chalta hai ke signal line 80 zone tak uth chuki hai, jo market ke phir se upar ki taraf move karne ka ishara hai. Buyers ko aaj bhi EURUSD price mein izafa karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai.

Abhi tak market ka movement 1.1078 ke aas-paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar ke baad ke liye signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon, kyun ke ab tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, ek stable increase nazar aati hai jo corrections ke saath hoti hai. Halaanke market zyada bullish direction mein chal rahi hai, main intezaar karunga ke buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko todh paye, taake buy signal valid ho jaye. Aaj ke market movement kaafi middle range mein lag raha hai, kyun ke Friday ko USD ke liye koi high-impact news nahi aayi.

Aaj dopahar main ne EURUSD market ka jaiza liya aur H4 time frame chart pe analysis ki koshish ki, jo ke kal raat ke market trend ki wajah se kaafi dilchasp lag raha tha. Main ne dekha ke ek achi upar janay ki opportunity phir se ubharti hui nazar aayi. Aik reversal signal bhi dikhayi diya, jahan pichlay chand dinon mein price movement zyada tar sellers ke qabze mein tha jo ke neeche lay janay ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart pe yeh dekhne ko mila ke bearish attempt abhi tak 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar saka jo is hafte ke liye ek support ka kaam kar raha hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke agar sellers is support area ko na tor sakay, to trend upar ki taraf move karna shuru kar sakta hai.
Is liye, main aik strong trading plan bana raha hoon taake andaza laga sako ke price kab upar janay shuru hogi aur agla target kahan ho sakta hai, H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Saath hi main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundaries ka bhi istemal kar raha hoon. EURUSD ka price movement H4 time frame chart pe reversal signal dikha raha hai, jo ke pichlay bearish correction candlestick ke shape se pehlay tha. Daily time frame main hum yeh dekh saktay hain ke pichlay hafte ke trading session main buyers apna bullish trend qaim rakhne mein nakam rahe kyun ke sellers ka pressure zyada ho gaya aur market correction ki taraf chal diya.

Is hafte bhi bearish attempt jari hai, lekin pichlay Thursday ko accha buying interest dekhne ko mila, jis ne candlestick position ko improve kar diya aur market ko bullish rally ka rasta diya jaise ke August ke end mein dekhne ko mila tha. Stochastics ka additional analysis bhi dekha, jahan signal line 80 zone tak pohanch chuki hai, jo market ke mazeed barhnay ka ishara deti hai. Aaj bhi buyers ko momentum mil sakta hai ke woh EURUSD price ko aagay barhane mein kaamiyab hoon.

Filhaal market movement 1.1078 ke aas paas hai aur main aglay izafay ka signal intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke aaj dopahar tak market transactions mein koi khaas volatility nahi dekhne ko mili. Pichlay mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, ek stable izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai jo ke bich bich mein downward corrections ke sath tha. Market zyada bullish move kar raha hai, lekin main tab tak wait karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko break nahi kar lete, taake buy signal valid ho sake. Aaj ke market movement ke dauran middle position hai kyun ke is Friday koi high impact news USD pe nahi hai.