Eurusd forum

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai
.EUR/USD jor ne apni upward trajectory continue ki, jahan 1.0900-1.1000 area ne breakout ke baad ek critical support zone ka kaam kiya. Multiple liquidity zones aur FVG ke hone se market ne is area mein value dekhi, jo sustained buying interest ka sabab bana. Jor ne 1.1100 level ko break kar ke naye saal ki high tak pohnch gaya, lekin 1.1150 ke upper liquidity zone mein foran resistance face kiya. Yeh resistance area important hai, kyunki yeh bulls ke liye ek bada hurdle hai agar uptrend ko continue rakhna hai.

Saff September ke shuru mein, jor ne 1.1150 resistance se thoda retrace kiya hai aur filhal 1.1050 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh pullback ek healthy correction ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, jo jor ko consolidate karne ka mauka deta hai pehle se upar break karne ke liye. Aane wale waqt mein dekhne ke key levels hain 1.1000 ka support, jo agar break hota hai to 1.0900 level tak gehra correction ho sakta hai, aur 1.1150 ka resistance, jahan ek successful breakout se further gains ke liye raste khul sakte hain 1.1200 aur usse aage. EUR/USD jor bullish trend mein hai, aur 1.1000 level pivotal support ka role ada kar raha hai. 1.1150 resistance se recent pullback ya to further consolidation ki taraf le ja sakti hai ya phir agle leg higher ke liye base ban sakti hai.

**EUR/USD Price Studies**
Filhal, EUR/USD currency pair ke ongoing price action ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Technical tor par, EUR/USD pair ne ek purani declining channel se nikal kar apni taqat dikhayi hai. US dollar ke khilaf negative sentiment ke wajah se breakout hua, jiska natija yeh hai ke pair ne lagbhag 50-pip ki izafa kiya. Lekin hourly aur H4 charts par, pair ko 1.1080 ke upar strong resistance ka saamna hai. Sustainable upswing ke liye is barrier level ko todna zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.1080 ke upar break nahi kar paati aur hold nahi karti, to yeh previous channel mein wapas aa sakti hai. Pair ki direction largely US jobs statistics ke release par depend karegi. Agar data unsatisfactory raha, to US Dollar aur zyada gir sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko 1.1080 barrier ko todne ka mauka de sakti hai.

**EUR/USD ne Greenback ke information-driven pullback mein kuch naye legs discover kiye hain, aur 1.1100 ke limits tak wapas aayi hai, jabke yeh assumptions hain ke Fed September mein 50 bps ke rate cut kar sakti hai. Fibber ne close-term technical hindrances mein drop kiya hai, lekin buyers ab bhi unexpectedly offers ko balance mein rakh rahe hain, chahe woh bullish recovery ko nahi nikal paaye. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte 1.1200 ke upar 13-month high ko jump kiya, aur Greenback flows mein short-term pullback dekhne ke bawajood, offers bullish diagram ko cling kar rahe hain. Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0845 ke upar exchange hota hai. Bull country mein deep hone ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko ab bhi steepening negative pullback ka saamna karna pad raha hai, jab shorts 50-day EMA ke just upar targets gather kar rahe hain, jo 1.0956 par hai. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek offer receive kiya, ek recent selloff se bounce karte hue aur 1.1050 se technical support paate hue. Midweek ke outdoors sentiment ke bawajood, pair 1.1100 handle ke neeche stumble kar rahi hai. US jobs data is week ke liye key focus rahega, Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke approach mein. European Retail Sales EU side se is week ka ek hi key data print hai. Thursday subah ko scheduled, EU Retail Sales projections July mein 0.1% YoY ke recovery ke saath, previous -0.3% compression ke muqablay mein expected hai.zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.1080 ke upar break nahi kar paati aur hold nahi karti, to yeh previous channel mein wapas aa sakti hai. Pair ki direction largely US jobs statistics ke release par depend karegi. Agar data unsatisfactory raha, to US Dollar aur zyada gir sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko 1.1080 barrier ko todne ka mauka de sakti hai.


**EUR/USD ne Greenback ke information-driven pullback mein kuch naye legs discover kiye hain, aur 1.1100 ke limits tak wapas aayi hai, jabke yeh assumptions hain ke Fed September mein 50 bps ke rate cut kar sakti hai. Fibber ne close-term

EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Euro/Dollar pair dheere dheere gir raha hai aur ab 1.10 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai; is ke ilawa, aaj ke United States ke statistics ke baad lamba girawat ka bhi mumkin hai, jisme manufacturing sector mein PMI ki significant kami dekhi gayi. Yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke government statistics jo US economy ke growth rate ko show karte hain aur manufacturing sector ki halat mein ek imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ki refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ki khwahish ko kam kar sakta hai . Yeh factor dollar quotes ko positive impact de sakta hai. Bears ab bhi market mein hain aur EUR/USD ko niche trade karte rahenge. Euro/Dollar ab 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai; technical nazariye se, iska probability high hai ke decline aaj Asia mein bhi dekhne ko milegi, jo pichle levels 1.1070 tak wapas aa rahi hai, aur breakdown test kar rahi hai, breakdown ke baad continued growth ke liye.
Four-hour chart par halat zyada tabdeel nahi hui; quotes lagatar bearish direction mein chal rahi hain aur aaj ke US statistics is decline ko roknay mein naakam rahe. Mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke round level 1.1000 tak pohanchna zaroori hai, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke barabar hai jo is period ke dauran stretch kiya gaya hai; agar quotes isse neeche break karte hain, to hum lambi movement expect kar sakte hain jo Fibonacci grid ke average border 1.0938 ke area mein work out ho sakti hai. Daily chart upar tha, aur ab main half-hour time frame ko dekhna chahunga. Ek strong downward price channel pehle dheere dheere develop ho raha tha, jis ke dauran EUR/USD pair kafi lamba trade hota raha. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke bearish price channel break ho gaya tha, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1065 par resistance line ko break kiya, lekin strong US economic data ke release ke baad, EUR/USD pair girawat ko continue kar raha ha

**EUR/USD: Key Patterns and Signals**
Hamari guftagu ka maqsad EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. Market Fed ke interest rates mein tabdilon ke intezar mein hai, aur kal aane wale Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par bhi nazar hai. Is release ke baad significant movement ki ummeed hai. EUR/USD Fed ke faisle tak stagnant nahi rahega. European Central Bank (ECB) ki meeting Thursday ko bhi relevant hai. Maine forecast calendar ka jaiza liya aur dekha ke planned rate reduction 0.6 basis points ka hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast sahi hoti hai, to EUR/USD ki downward movement kam ho sakti hai. Lekin, thodi si reduction, shayad 0.5 ya 0.2 points ki bhi ho sakti hai. Aise mein EUR/USD ko strength mil sakti hai. ECB ka aisa rate cut dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai jabke EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

**Hamari guftagu ka maqsad EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. Main EUR/USD ke sirf growth ki ummeed karta hoon, halanke price filhal pullback mein hai, jo aise prolonged bullish run ke baad normal hai. Buyers ne pehle hi price ko kafi upar push kar diya hai. Target abhi bhi maximum ke nazdeek hai, aur yeh unclear hai ke price kyun kisi level par ruk gayi hai aur upar nahi chadhi. Lekin yeh current market situation ko analyse karne se zyada important nahi hai. Short term mein, EUR/USD lagbhag 19 points gir sakta hai 200-period moving average ko test karne ke liye. Pullback wahan khatam ho sakta hai, aur price phir se upar ja sakti hai. Ideally, EUR/USDaverage ke neeche hai, jo downtrend ke continuation ka signal hai. EUR/USD ne 1.1015 level ke nazdeek support paaya aur phir rebound kiya. Pair 1.1000 psychological level ko break nahi kar paayi, aur kisi bhi upside gains limited ho sakti hain. Technical indicators further upside ka potential dikhate hain, Stochastic oversold zone mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Pair shayad 20-day SMA 1.1085 ko break kare aur 1.1150 ke nazdeek strong resistance ko challenge kare. Lekin, 1.1200 area ek significant resistance level bana hua hai. Downside par, 1.1015 level immediate



support provide kar sakti hai, jabke 50-day SMA aur 1.0950 level bhi break hone ke liye vulnerable ho sakte hain agar price aur girti hai. Traders ko CPI ke fundamentals data ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye aur seedha upar ki taraf jaana chahiye, minimum par downward correction se bacha rehna chahiye. EUR/USD ne apne local bottom tak nahi pohochha hai. Hourly chart par, price Ichimoku cloud aur moving average ke neeche hai, jo downtrend ke continuation ka signal hai. EUR/USD ne 1.1015 level ke nazdeek support paaya aur phir rebound kiya. Pair 1.1000 psychological level ko break nahi kar paayi, aur kisi bhi upside gains limited ho sakti hain. Technical indicators further upside ka potential dikhate hain, Stochastic oversold zone mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Pair shayad 20-day SMA 1.1085 ko break kare aur 1.1150 ke nazdeek strong resistance ko challenge kare. Lekin, 1.1200 area ek significant resistance level bana hua hai. Downside par, 1.1015 level immediate support provide kar sakti hai, jabke 50-day SMA aur 1.0950 level bhi break hone ke liye vulnerable ho sakte hain agar price aur girti hai. Traders ko CPI ke fundamentals data ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye aur 1.1300 ke aas-paas range mein additional risk lene par ghor karna chahiye.

**EUR/USD Pair Analysis**
EUR/USD pair ne Thursday ko achi performance dikhayi, recent lows se recover karte hue 1.1050 level ko reclaim kiya. Yeh upward movement primarily market mein risk-on sentiment ki wajah se thi, jo US producer price index (PPI) data ke release se fuel hui. PPI figures market expectations ke saath align hue, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke upcoming meeting mein rate cut cycle shuru karne ki ummeed ko mazboot karte hain. Jabke EU data Friday ko relatively quiet raha, market ka focus European Central Bank (ECB) aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index par shift ho gaya. ECB ka key benchmark interest rate cut karne ka faisla euro ko aur support provide karta hai. US PPI data ne producer prices ka modest increase dikhaya, monthly aur annually dono. Halanke annual inflation rates for PPI aur core PPI lower than expected the, phir bhi yeh persistent inflationary pressures ko indicate karte hain. Initial jobless claims bhi under control rahe, jo Fed ke dovish stance ko reinforce karta hai. In indicators ke bawajood, market confident hai ke Fed apne rate cut cycle ko September meeting mein 25-basis point reduction ke saath shuru karega. Lekin, ek chhoti si probability hai ke ek zyada aggressive 50-basis point cut bhi ho sakta hai.

**Technical Perspective**

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1015 level par support paaya aur bullish momentum dikhaya hai. Jabke price abhi tak psychological 1.1000 level ko break nahi kar payi, technical indicators further upside ka potential suggest karte hain. Pair 20-day SMA 1.1085 ke upar improve kar sakta hai aur 1.1150 ke aas-paas strong resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Lekin, 1.1200 area, jahan previous uptrend capped hua tha, ek significant hurdle bana hua hai. Downside par, 1.1015 barrier immediate support provide karta hai. Agar pair pull back karti hai, to 1.0965 aur 1.0950 levels, jo 50-day SMA ke corresponding hain, additional support offer kar sakte hain. In levels keprice abhi tak psychological 1.1000 level ko break nahi kar payi, technical indicators further upside ka potential suggest karte hain. Pair 20-day SMA 1.1085 ke upar improve kar sakta hai aur 1.1150 ke aas-paas strong resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Lekin, 1.1200 area, jahan previous uptrend capped hua tha, ek significant hurdle bana hua hai. Downside par, 1.1015 barrier immediate support provide karta hai. Agar pair pull back karti hai, to 1.0965 aur 1.0950 levels, jo 50-day SMA ke corresponding hain, additional support offer kar sakte hain. In levels ke neeche break se deeper correction ho sakti hai, neeche break se deeper correction ho sakti hai, jahan 1.0870 level aur 200-day SMA


potential targets ban sakte hain. Conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair filhal cautiously bullish trend exhibit kar raha hai, jo Fed ke rate cut expectations aur improved market sentiment se supported hai. Lekin, technical resistance aur potential near-term selling pressure further gains ko limit kar sakte hain. Traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur evolving economic landscape aur technical indicators ko carefully monitor karna chahiye jab investment decisions lein.

EUR/USD currency pair ne 2024 ke dauran kafi zyada ooncha chalne ka trend dekha hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ke expectations mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Saal ke shuru mein, yeh pair 1.0600-1.0700 ke support area ke aas-paas consolidate ho raha tha, jo ke ek bullish breakout ke liye zameen tayar kar raha tha jo March mein 1.0800 ke upar gaya. Yeh move ek sustained rally ka aaghaz bana, jahan pair ne 1.1000 ke aas-paas resistance paya aur phir recover karke 1.0900-1.1000 ke zone ko critical support bana diya. Euro ki taqat ko Fed rate cut ki speculations ne bhi barhawa diya, jahan market consensus September meeting mein 25 basis point ke reduction ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Halankeh US Dollar ko July ke PCE data se thoda support mila, overall sentiment ab bhi rate cut ke haq mein hai. Iske sath ECB ke potential policy changes, jo Eurozone ki economic concerns ko address karne ke liye rate cut ki discussions ko shamil karte hain, ne bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko influence kiya hai, jo pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko complex banata hai. Ab EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lete hain. EUR/USD currency pair ne ek distinct downward correction phase mein enter kar gaya hai. Friday ka close khaas tha, kyunki price 1.1047 ke support level par settle hui. Jab market Monday raat ko khulega, to ek tug-of-war hai unke beech jo is horizontal line ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unke beech jo technical bounce upward trigger karna chahte hain. Monday ke shuruat mein market se door raho aur dekho kya 1.1047 ke support ka clear breakdown hota hai ya nahi. Agar breakdown hota hai, to pair aur neeche jaa sakti hai aur 1.0989 ke critical support level tak pahunch sakti hai, jahan buy positions ko strategically consider kiya ja sakta hai. Maine 1.1099 se 1.1054 tak sell karne ka tajwez diya tha, jo recent local low tha. But, 1.1099 se 1.0999-1.1019 range tak zyada girawat ka tajwez nahi bana, jahan pair bearish channel ke lower edge ke kareeb hota

Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada , kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziyata activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany Ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga

apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.
Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath. EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho

EUR/USD ka neutral bias hai lekin ab tak 1.1000 level se upar hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) downside ki taraf turn ho chuka hai, jo potential weakness ka ishara karta hai. Agar EUR/USD mein recovery hoti hai September 11 peak se, toh yeh 1.1100 level tak ja sakti hai. Magar agar pair 1.1000 se neeche break karta hai, toh 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.0967 par aur July 17 swing high 1.0948 par support provide kar sakte hain. Current situation next breakout ke liye positive outlook deti hai around 1.1490 physiology mark ke aas paas.EUR/USD pair mein aik halka sa decline dekhne ko mila Wednesday ko, jisme 0.04% ka nuksan hua US inflation report ke release ke baad. August mein core consumer price index (CPI) mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate hike cycle mein ek potential pause aa sakta hai. EUR/USD pair narrow range mein trade kar rahi thi, jisme daily high 1.1055 aur daily low 1.1001 tha. European Central Bank (ECB) ki aanewali monetary policy decision ne pair ki movement ko influence kiya, jisme market participants ne apni expectations adjust ki for the extent of the Fed's rate cut. Money market futures traders ne apni 50 basis point rate cut ke bets ko reduce kiya, aur 25 basis point cut ki taraf zyada probability shift hui. Eurozone economic calendar mein ECB decision aur German inflation data ka intezar hai, jo expected hai ke year-on-year 1.9% ka rise dikhaye ga. Magar PMI data ye batata hai ke economy slow ho rahi hai, jo ECB ke 25 basis points ka interest rate cut karne ke decision ko support karta hai. Iske bawajood, ECB ke kuch hawks expect kiye ja rahe hain ke woh is cut ko resist karein, kyunki kuch inflationary factors ab tak persistent hain. Reuters ki reports yeh suggest karti hain ke September ke baad ECB ki monetary policy decisions aur bhi complex ho sakti hain

Buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai. Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai

Eur/usd جوڑی فی الوقت 1.0950 کی سطح کے ارد گرد تجارت کر رہی ہے، اور موجودہ رجحان مندی کی طرف ہے۔ اس کا مطلب ہے کہ مارکیٹ آہستہ حرکت کر رہی ہے اور ممکنہ طور پر استحکام یا معمولی کمی کا سامنا کر رہی ہے۔ حالانکہ موجودہ مندی کا رجحان ہے، لیکن قریب مستقبل میں eur/usd جوڑی میں بڑی حرکت کی صلاحیت ہے۔
یہاں صورتحال پر ایک نظر ڈالیں:: مارکیٹ کے جذبات کئی عوامل سے متاثر ہیں، بشمول فیڈرل ریزرو اور یورپی سینٹرل بینک کے مستقبل کے سود کی شرح میں تبدیلی کی توقعات۔ اگر فیڈرل ریزرو زیادہ جارحانہ شرح کٹ کی طرف اشارہ کرے یا اقتصادی ڈیٹا کی رہائی اقتصادی حالات میں تبدیلی کا اشارہ دے، تو یہ eur/usd جوڑی پر نمایاں اثر ڈال سکتا ہے۔

قریب مدت میں، آنے والے اقتصادی ڈیٹا اور مرکزی بینک کی خبروں پر نظر رکھیں، کیونکہ ی

**موجودہ مارکیٹ کی سیاق و سباق:**
eur/usd نے حال ہی میں نیچے کی طرف دباؤ کا سامنا کیا ہے، اور قیمت 1.0950 کی سطح کے ارد گرد ہے۔ یہ سطح ایک اہم حمایت کے طور پر کام کر رہی ہے، لیکن مندی کا رجحان بتاتا ہے کہ مارکیٹ کو چیلنجز کا سامنا جاری رہ سکتا ہے۔ موجودہ قیمت کی حرکت محتاط مارکیٹ کے جذبات کو ظاہر کرتی ہے، اور اگر مندی کا رجحان برقرار رہتا ہے تو مزید کمی ممکن ہے۔

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**تکنیکی اشارے اور تجزیہ:**
تکنیکی سطح پر، eur/usd جوڑی نے کمزوری کے آثار دکھائے ہیں۔ جوڑی حال ہی میں اہم حمایت کی سطحوں کے اوپر برقرار رکھنے میں ناکام رہی ہے اور اوپر جانے میں رکاوٹوں کا سامنا کر رہی ہے۔ مندی کا رجحان قیمت کی حرکت اور تکنیکی اشارے سے واضح ہے، جو بتاتے ہیں کہ مارکیٹ قلیل مدت میں مزید کمی کا سامنا کر سکتی ہے۔

اہم تکنیکی سطحیں:
- **حمایت کی سطحیں:** فوری حمایت کی سطح 1.0950 اہم ہے۔ اگر اس سطح سے نیچے خرابی ہوتی ہے تو مزید کمی ممکن ہے، اور ممکنہ اہداف 1.0870 اور 200-دن کی سادہ متحرک اوسط (sma) کی سطح کے ارد گرد ہو سکتے ہیں۔ یہ سطحیں اہم حمایت کے علاقے کو ظاہر کرتی ہیں جہاں قیمت خریداری کی دلچسپی حاصل کر سکتی ہے۔
- **مزاحمت کی سطحیں:** اوپر کی طرف، قیمت 1.1000 کی نفسیاتی سطح اور 20-دن کی sma پر 1.1085 کے ارد گرد مزاحمت کا سامنا کرتی ہے۔ اگر ان سطحوں کے اوپر مستقل طور پر بریک آؤٹ ہوتا ہے تو یہ موجودہ مندی کے رجحان میں تبدیلی کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے۔

**مارکیٹ کے جذبات اور ممکنہ ترقیات:**
مارکیٹ کے جذبات کئی عوامل سے متاثر ہیں، بشمول فیڈرل ریزرو اور یورپی سینٹرل بینک کے مستقبل کے سود کی شرح میں تبدیلی کی توقعات۔ اگر فیڈرل ریزرو زیادہ جارحانہ شرح کٹ کی طرف اشارہ کرے یا اقتصادی ڈیٹا کی رہائی اقتصادی حالات میں تبدیلی کا اشارہ دے، تو یہ eur/usd جوڑی پر نمایاں اثر ڈال سکتا ہے۔

قریب مدت میں، آنے والے اقتصادی ڈیٹا اور مرکزی بینک کی خبروں پر نظر رکھیں، کیونکہ یہ اتار چڑھاؤ پیدا کر سکتی ہیں اور eur/usd جوڑی کی سمت کو متاثر کر سکتی ہیں۔ تاجروں کو کسی بھی ممکنہ رجحان کی تبدیلی یا استحکام کے نمونوں پر توجہ دینی چاہئے جو رجحان میں تبدیلی کا اشارہ دے سکتے ہیں۔

**نتیجہ:**
جبکہ eur/usd کا موجودہ رجحان مندی کی طرف ہے اور مارکیٹ آہستہ حرکت کر رہی ہے، لیکن آنے والے دنوں میں بڑی حرکت کا امکان موجود ہے۔ تکنیکی تجزیہ اہم حمایت اور مزاحمت کی سطحوں کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے جو جوڑی کی سمت کا تعین کرنے میں اہم ہوں گی۔ تاجروں کو ان سطحوں پر قریب سے نظر رکھنی چاہئے اور متعلقہ اقتصادی ترقیات کے بارے میں باخبر رہنا چاہئے تاکہ سمجھداری سے تجارتی فیصلے کیے جا سکیں۔

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte

EUR/USD pair ne Tuesday ko sirf bohot kamzor volatility dikhayi, aur kuch khaas nahi hua. Ye itna surprising nahi hai kyun ke Eurozone ya U.S. mein koi macroeconomic ya fundamental factors nahi the kal. Sirf Germany ka August ke liye Consumer Price Index ka doosra estimate publish hua. Jis tarah expected tha, doosra estimate pehle waale se mukhtalif nahi tha.
Aaj ka sab se important U.S. inflation report release hoga, aur kal European Central Bank ki meeting hai. Ye samajhna aasan hai ke market trading decisions lene mein jaldi nahi kar raha. Downward trend barkarar hai lekin bohot unstable hai, jaise ke hum pehle bhi mention kar chuke hain. Agar U.S. inflation forecast se kam value dikhata hai, to dollar asani se aur jaldi se gir sakta hai. Hum believe karte hain ke euro ko significant tor pe lambi muddat tak girna chahiye, lekin abhi tak hum puri tarah sure nahi hain ke market ne Federal Reserve ke agli do saal ke liye planned rate cuts ko fully price-in kiya hai ya nahi.

Tuesday ko sirf ek trading signal generate hua 5-minute time frame mein. European trading session ke start mein, price ne 1.1048 level se rebound kiya, us ke baad price ne 15-20 pips ka downward move kiya. Volatility bohot kamzor thi. Phir bhi, novice traders ne is trade se thoda profit bana liya hoga, aur 35-pip total volatility ke sath 15-pip ka profit banana ek bohot acha result hai.

**Wednesday ko trade kaise karein:**

Hourly time frame mein, EUR/USD pair ne ascending trend line ke neeche consolidation dikhayi, aur lambi arse baad pehli dafa downward trend banane ka chance hai jo logical aur tamam factors aur analysis ke mutabiq hoga. Afsos, illogical dollar sales phir se jaldi shuru ho sakti hain kyun ke koi nahi jaanta ke market kab tak Fed ke monetary policy easing ko price-in karta rahega, jo abhi tak start nahi hui. Market ab tak almost saare future rate cuts ko dollar ki price mein price-in kar raha hai, aur U.S. ke macroeconomic data aksar disappoint karte hain.

Wednesday ko, novice traders ek naye decline ki umeed kar sakte hain pair mein, lekin sab kuch U.S. inflation report par depend karega jo din ke doosre hisson mein aayegi.

5M time frame par key levels jo consider karne chahiye wo hain: 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1191, aur 1.1275-1.1292. Wednesday ko Eurozone mein koi significant events planned nahi hain, lekin U.S. mein CPI for August, jo ke "event of the week" consider kiya jaata hai, release hoga.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, euro/dollar ka joda 1.10 ki satah se niche jane me nakam raha, jisne mazbut support ke taur par kam kiya. Iske bajaye, market ke jazbat mandi se tezi ki taraf muntaqil ho gaye, jisme European currency ne numaya faida uthaya. Americi dollar manfi Americi economic data se dawab me aaya, jis ne euro ko dobara mazbut hone ka mauqa diya. Aaj, jodi ooper ki taraf karobar jari rakhe hue hai. Halankeh, yah wazeh rahe keh aaj Jumah hai, jo tejarati hafte ka ikhtetam hai, jiska matlab hai keh traders apni positions par munafa lock kar sakte hain. Iske bawajud, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda apni tezi jari rakhegi. Mabut oopri raftar hasil karne ke liye, qimat ko piche hatne ki zarurat hai. Agar yah 1.1025 ilaqe tak girta hai to, mai wahan long positions kholne ki koshish karunga.