Eurusd forum

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karne par hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke established bullish trend lines ko consider kiya jaye, jo kisi decline par breach ho sakti hain, aur is se downward price movement ko support karne ke liye additional volume mil sakta hai. Agar yeh zigzag pattern continue hota hai, to 1.0969 ke niche girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh mark agle haftay aur shayad usse bhi aage crucial hoga. Mujhe 1.0969 ka breakdown dekhne ki ummeed hai, uske baad ek significant decline ka tajwez hai jo early 9th figure ki taraf ho sakta hai. Ideal situation yeh hogi ke EUR/USD 1.0779 tak pohnche. Lekin, is level tak pohnchne se pehle kuch support points hain, jaise 1.0889 aur 1.0829. Yeh supports pair ko 1.0779 tak girne se rok sakte hain. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, to yeh ek channel ka formation complete kar sakta hai, jo bearish movement ke liye final target hoga. Uske baad, channel ke liye long-term goals ke sath buying ek strategic move ho sakti hai.

H4 chart par, bullish buy level significant taur par gir gaya aur yeh Thursday (05.09.2024) ko hone ki ummeed thi. Bullish level 1.10984 par break hua, jahan maine buy kiya. Expected minimum growth yeh thi ke price 1.11484 tak gir jaye, aur zyada bada rise resistance levels ke towards 1.11829, 1.13469, aur 1.13858 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Price ne already 1.11484 ko reach kar liya, jis wajah se maine H4 chart par apni position close kar di, lekin bullish momentum abhi bhi dominant lag raha hai. Yeh growth resume karne aur higher price levels ko target karne ka suggestion deta hai.

Lekin, agar bearish sell level 1.10309 par hota hai, to main selling ki taraf switch kar dunga, with minimum expected decline 1.09779 ke support level tak. Is ke ilawa, 1.08909 aur 1.08649 ke support levels tak zyada profound drop hone ka potential bhi hai.

EurUsd market pair ka trading Friday ko zyada tar sellers ke haath mein raha jo ke prices ko control karne mein kaamyab rahe. Unho ne bullish buyers ka pace rok diya resistance area ko 1.1123-1.1120 ke qeemat par maintain karke, jis ki wajah se bullish pressure phir se fail ho gaya. Phir sellers ne is moka ka faida uthaya aur price control ko apne haath mein le kar zyada strong bearish pressure lagaya, jo ke prices ko neeche bearish move karne par majboor kar saka.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istimaal karte huye dekha gaya ke price ya candle abhi bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar hai 1.0953-1.0950 ki qeemat par, kaafi faasla hai, magar sellers ka akhir hafta mein trading dominate karna aur bearish Pin Bar candlestick ka ban'na ye darshaata hai ke sellers ko mazeed dominate karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Agla bearish target MA 50 Red area tak ja sakta hai.

Monday ko Asian market session se lekar European session tak ka trading dekha gaya ke price abhi tak zyada tar sellers ke qabze mein hai. Unho ne buyers ke muqablay mein zyada trades kiye, jis se price neeche bearish move karna shuru kar raha hai, aur agla target buyer support area 1.1081-1.1080 ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh area successfully break ho gaya, to deeper bearish move ka chance barh jata hai, jisme agla target buyer demand support area 1.1047-1.1045 hoga.

Nateejah:

Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hain jab price seller's resistance area ko successfully break kare, jahan pending buy stop order area 1.1092-1.1095 ki qeemat par rakh sakte hain aur TP area 1.1123-1.1125 hoga.

Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hain jab price buyer's support area ko successfully break kare, aur pending sell stop order 1.1082-1.1080 ki qeemat par rakh kar TP area 1.1045-1.1043 tak hoga.

**EUR/USD D1 Chart Analysis**

Dmitry, weekend mubarak! Agar meri samajh sahi hai, to aapka expectation hai ke price 1.1169 se niche jayegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke price itni high tak ja sakti hai ya nahi. Mera maanna hai ke hamari currency pair 1.1120–1.1140 tak upar ja sakti hai, jaisa ke maine pehle predict kiya tha. Maine 1.1120 se pending sale order place kiya tha. Ab, agreement thoda positive hai. Chuki lot choti hai, agar price significantly barh bhi jaye—jaise weekly maximum se upar—mujhe itna concern nahi hoga.

Asset ko reduce karna main idea hai. Main 1.0822 pe daily channel ka lower border par trade ko hold karunga. Maan leta hoon ke agar price channel ke lower edge tak girti hai, to yeh thodi movement dekhne ko milegi aur aur bhi choti ho sakti hai. Filhal, daily chart ka moving average green hai, jo buyers ko sellers se upar indicate karta hai. Lekin, moving average eventually sellers ki superiority ko highlight karne lagayegi.

Agar ek single sale breakeven stop par end hoti hai to theek hai. Lekin, maine kal EUR/USD ko 1.1108 se ek baar phir becha, aur is baar bhi zyada shorts breakeven par end hue. CME ne Friday, September 6 ke liye Volatility Range extend kiya hai aur dono non-farm payrolls aur unemployment ki preparation mein hai.

Technical indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain ke pair ek substantial move ke qareeb ho sakti hai. 4-hour chart fluctuation ko major support aur resistance levels ke beech dikhata hai, jahan pair mukhtalif liquidity zones aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se guzarti hai. Key levels jaise 1.1050 ke around multiple FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh suggest karti hai ke market abhi recent developments ke sath adjust ho rahi hai aur ek pronounced directional move ke liye tayaar ho sakti hai.

Technical factors ke sath-sath fundamental aspects bhi EUR/USD ke trajectory ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone aur U.S. mein recent developments ne market sentiment ko influence kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious stance rakha hai jab ke Federal Reserve ne zyada dovish stance adopt kiya hai. Monetary policy expectations ke is divergence ne current market dynamics ko contribute kiya hai, jahan euro ne zyada strength gain kiya hai amid a more accommodating Fed outlook.

Aage chal kar, EUR/USD pair ka behavior upcoming economic data aur geopolitical developments se influence hoga. Significant movement ka potential in factors ke interplay par depend karega. Agar pair key resistance 1.1100 ko break kar sakti hai aur is level ke upar sustain kar sakti hai, to yeh further upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo 1.1200 ya usse upar test kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar support levels, khaaskar 1.1000, ke upar hold nahi karte, to deeper retracement ka indication mil sakta hai, aur lower levels jaise 1.0900 tak revisit hone ka possibility hai.

EUR/USD pair ne ek bearish phase dekha, jahan price 1.1100 se gir kar 1.0700 ke qareeb aa gayi. Is decline ke dauran kai FVGs form hui jo baad mein market ke balance hone ke saath fill ho gayi. May mein price action ne clear bearish sentiment dikhaya, jahan price 1.1000 ke key resistance ko break karne mein struggle kar rahi thi, jo daily liquidity (DLiq) zones ke presence se capped thi. June mein pair support aur resistance levels ke beech oscillate karta raha, jahan 1.0800 area critical support level ke taur par kaam kar raha tha. Is dauran, price ne 1.0900 level ko multiple times test kiya, lekin DLiq zones ke qareeb aate hi selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. June ka consolidation phase market ki liquidity absorb karne ki preparation ke roop mein tha.
July ne momentum mein shift ka signal diya, jab EUR/USD pair ne apni previous lows se recovery shuru ki. Price steadily 1.1100 ki taraf badhi, aur is raaste mein kai FVGs aur DLiq zones ko break kiya. Yeh rally short-covering aur fresh buying interest ki combination se fuel hui, kyunke market participants ne key resistance level ke upar breakout ki anticipation ki. August mein, pair ne 1.1100 level ke upar break kiya aur 1.1270 ke qareeb high reach kiya. Lekin, yeh move short-lived raha, kyunke price ne 1.1250 ke around ek naye DLiq zone ke form mein resistance ka saamna kiya. 1.1200 ke upar gains ko sustain na karne ki wajah se price 1.1000 level ki taraf retrace hui, jahan pair ne ek pehle established DLiq zone par support paaya.

Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.1085 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo recent volatility ke baad consolidation ke signs dikhata hai. 1.1050 ke aas-paas FVGs ki presence se pata chalta hai ke market abhi bhi recent move ko digest kar rahi hai aur agle step ke liye prepare kar rahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq, 1.1100 level abhi bhi key resistance hai, jabke 1.1000 crucial support act karta hai. Summary mein, EUR/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko reflect karta hai jo liquidity zones aur FVGs ke interactions se driven hai, aur pair abhi key levels ke beech mein phansa hua hai. Agar 1.1100 ke upar sustained move hota hai to further gains ki raah khul sakti hai towards 1.1200 aur beyond, jabke 1.1000 ke neeche break hone par deeper retracement towards 1.0900 ka signal mil sakta ha

Chaliye EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Murray levels ke mutabiq, 1.1077 ka support aik average strength rakhta hai aur H1 maximum ke sath align karta hai, jo kai martaba Friday ko test hua. H4 chart par yeh level ab mojood nahi hai, aur qareebi supports 1.1046 aur 1.1107 par hain, jo price ko in dono marks ke beech trap karte hain. H4 chart par price descending channel mein hai, aur 1.1107 level ke thoda upar H4 aur daily channels ke upper boundaries intersect karte hain, jo mazid resistance ka sabab banta hai. Aik chhoti si upward jump ke 1.1107 resistance ke qareeb rukne ka imkaan hai, jiske baad hum dubara se ek decline expect karte hain. Monday ko EUR/USD ke liye primary target 1.1046 ka support hai; agar yeh level break na bhi ho to uska test hona favorable hoga, aur agar price zyada neeche girti hai to yeh aur bhi behtar hoga. Jis tarah naya trading week shuru ho raha hai, hum 1.1016 aur 1.0985 ke supports ki taraf decline ka intezar kar rahe hain.
Agar hum yeh probability dekhen ke Friday ke data ke madad se sellers ne EUR/USD ko downward momentum mein 1.1199 ke high se neeche rakha, to yeh move tabhi poora ho sakta hai jab price 1.1024 ke bearish start line ke neeche breakdown kar le. Lekin Friday ke decline ke doran, H4 chart par bears ne volume mein thoda zyada overshoot dekha, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke mazid girne se pehle, EUR/USD ek aur bullish pullback 1.1116 resistance ki taraf kar sakta hai, halan ke yeh level pura likely hoga ya nahi, yeh uncertain hai. Agar 1.1024 ka support potential pullback ke baad ya seedha current support se breach hota hai, to price apni decline ko initial impulse zone levels 1.0917 aur 1.0849 tak extend karegi, jahan ek possible pause 1.0991 support par aasakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis karte hain. Murray levels ke mutabiq, 1.1077 support ki taqat average hai aur yeh H1 maximum se align karta hai, aur yeh level Friday ko baar baar likely raha hai. H4 chart par yeh level ab mojood nahi hai, jahan kareebi supports ab 1.1046 aur 1.1107 par hain, aur yeh price ko inn do nishano ke beech me phansaye hue hain. Price H4 chart ke descending channel ke andar hai, aur 1.1107 level se thoda upar, H4 aur daily channels ki upper boundaries intersect ho rahi hain, jo mazeed resistance ka izafa kar rahi hain. Ek choti si upward jump ki aamad 1.1107 resistance ke qareeb rukne ki umeed hai, jiske baad hum ek nayi decline ki tawaqqu karte hain. Monday ke liye EUR/USD ka primary target 1.1046 support hai; is level ko breakdown ke baghair test karna bhi faydemand hoga, aur mazeed gehri dip aur bhi behter hogi. Nai trading week ke shuru hone par, hum supports ki taraf declines ko dekh rahe hain, jo ke 1.1016 aur 1.0985 par hain.


Agar hum yeh probability consider karein ke sellers, Friday ke foundation ki madad se, EUR/USD ko 1.1199 high se downward momentum me rakhne mein kamyaab rahe, toh woh is movement ko poori tarah realize tabhi kar sakte hain jab ek aur breakdown ke baad price ko 1.1024 bearish start line ke neeche secure kar liya jaye. Lekin, Friday ke decline ke dauran, H4 chart par bears ne thori si volume mein overshoot dekhi, jis se yeh lagta hai ke mazeed gehri decline se pehle, EUR/USD ek aur bullish pullback ki shuruwat kar sakta hai jo ke 1.1116 resistance ki taraf ho, halaanke yeh yaqini nahi ke yeh level poori tarah likely hoga. Agar 1.1024 support potential pullback ke baad ya seedha current support se breach ho jaye, toh price apni decline ko agay badha kar initial impulse zone levels ki taraf karne ke imkaanat hain, jo ke 1.0917 aur 1.0849 hain, aur ek mumkin pause 1.0991 support par ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya aik aham guftagu ka mawzu hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ke mutabiq, aik potential upward movement 1.1140 ke resistance level ki taraf dikhai deti hai. Bulls kaafi strong lag rahe hain ke wo upward push karte rahain, jo is scenario ko plausible banata hai. Yeh forecast aik clear upward trajectory ko indicate karta hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke upar apni position secure kar lete hain, to humein aik sustained upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo instrument ko buy karne ka forecast solidify karegi. Magar agar bulls yeh upward momentum qaim rakhne mein nakam hote hain, to sellers control hasil kar sakte hain. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum false breakout ka imkaan nazar mein rakhein, jo aise scenarios mein aam hai. Jabke primary outlook ek successful upward move ki taraf hai, ek alternative scenario bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Agar buyers ka momentum khatam ho jata hai, to sellers price ko ek aham support level tak drive kar sakte hain, aur phir upside ki taraf reverse ho sakta hai.
Agar hum H4 time frame ka tajziya karain, to do zones ahmiyat rakhte hain: resistance 1.1209 par aur support 1.1030 par, jahan abhi price in dono levels ke beech position mein hai. EUR/USD pair overbought territory mein hai, kyunke price kafi arsay se upward move kar rahi hai. Yeh instrument 1.1030 ke support zone ko dubara test karega, jiske baad ek chhota upward correction hoga aur phir medium term mein price downward 1.0946 ki taraf move karegi. Asset ne significantly ascending northern channel ke lower boundary se deviation dikhaya hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke aik bearish correction ki zaroorat hai, jo ke moving average Bollinger line ke sath weekly hourly chart par align kar sakta hai. Magar yeh bhi zaroor yaad rakhna chahiye ke ek local upward trend abhi bhi mojood hai, jo kai mahino se currency pair ko higher drive kar raha hai.

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Main mid-to-long term mein U.S. dollar ke khasa kamzor hone ki umeed karta hoon; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh girne se pehle aik aakhri surge kar sakta hai. Kya aapne yeh socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 pe release ki jaye, toh aik unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hissa mein, ECB meeting ke waja se euro par pressure aane ke imkaan hain, khaaskar jab ke interest rate cut abhi tak expect ki ja rahi hai, magar price ne abhi response nahi diya. Bohat kuch U.S. inflation data par bhi munhasir hoga. Shayad aap fundamentals par tawajjo na dete ho, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 haftay mein, September 17 se shuru, bohat ahm hoga. Hamesha soch samajh kar trade karein, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi barabar zaroori hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke is pair ki price gir kar kam az kam mere target 1.0859 tak pohanchay gi.

Mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue abhi khareedna sirf us surat mein moazoon lagta hai, jab potential 8th figure ke aas paas ho. Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends se hum aahang hain, toh sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 thoda raahnuma sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh range shayad itni oonchi na ho, lekin news ke baad isko zaroor madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Is range ke ooper buying theek hai; neechay selling behtar rahegi. EUR/USD pair ke liye mujhe bhi lagta hai ke selling zaida moazoon hai, kyun ke technical indicators H1 aur H4 charts par bearish hain, aur Friday se baqi rehne wali movement ko bhi zahir kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi hai jo price ko achanak upar karay, toh technical analysis dominate kar sakti hai. Opening par, main 1.0165 ke aas paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur short-term target 1.1024 feasible lag raha hai, jo k jaldi poora ho sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat mein mumkin hai ke hum technically level 10 ke qareeb pohanch jaayein.

EUR/USD ne apni upward movement ko 1.1100 ke upar extend kiya hai, jabke US labor demand mein slow down ke asaar ne US Dollar par dabao dala hai. Sarmaiya kaar August ke US NFP ka intezaar kar rahe hain, ye jaan'ne ke liye ke kya July ka report sirf ek temporary rukawat thi ya ek bara masla shuru ho gaya hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo is saal do dafa aur interest rates mein kami karega.
EUR/USD ne apni winning streak ko teesray consecutive trading session tak barqarar rakha hai, aur Friday ko 1.1120 ke qareebi aik naye weekly high par trade kar raha hai. Is currency pair ki mazbooti US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko 6 bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke important support level ke neeche gir gaya hai.

US Dollar ki demand mein kami aane ki wajah July ke liye US JOLTS Job Openings data aur August ke liye ADP Employment data hai, jo is hafte ke aghaz mein release hue thay. In data ne labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka khauf aur gehra kar diya hai. Naye job vacancies 7.67 million aur private sector mein payrolls ka izafa sirf 99K raha, jo pichlay teen aur aadha saal ka sab se kam tha.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data August ke liye behtar aaya, magar is se US Dollar ko koi khaas support nahi mila.

Labor demand ke slow hone ke asaar ne market expectations ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad interest rates ko tezi se kam karna shuru kare. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke interest rates mein 50 basis points (bps) ki kami ka chance 34% se barh kar 41% ho gaya hai.

Interest rate path ke hawale se zyada maloomat ke liye, sarmaiya kaar August ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Expectation hai ke US employers 160K logon ko hire karenge, jo ke July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi 4.3% se gir kar 4.2% hone ka andaza lagaya gaya hai.

Sarmaiya kaar US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi tawajju denge, jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem mayar hai aur consumer spending ko mutasir karta hai. Umeed hai ke earnings July ke 3.6% se barh kar 3.7% ho gayi hain, aur monthly wage growth bhi 0.2% se barh kar 0.3% hone ka andaza hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ne 1.1100 ke upar apne gains ko qaim rakha

EUR/USD ne apne aap ko 1.1100 ke qareebi round-level figure ke upar mazbooti se barqarar rakha hai. Short-term mein currency pair ka outlook mazboot hai, jabke ye 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, 1.1055 par strong footing bana raha hai.

Lambi muddat ka outlook bhi bullish hai, jabke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke qareeb hain, aur dono lines upward slope par hain. Shared currency pair daily time frame mein Rising Channel breakout ko qaim rakhta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jabke 75.00 ke qareeb overbought tha.

Upside mein, recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ka agla target ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, downside ko psychologica l support 1.1000 ke aas paas cushion

EUR/USD ne apni upward movement ko 1.1100 ke upar extend kiya hai, jabke US labor demand mein slow down ke asaar ne US Dollar par dabao dala hai. Sarmaiya kaar August ke US NFP ka intezaar kar rahe hain, ye jaan'ne ke liye ke kya July ka report sirf ek temporary rukawat thi ya ek bara masla shuru ho gaya hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo is saal do dafa aur interest rates mein kami karega.
EUR/USD ne apni winning streak ko teesray consecutive trading session tak barqarar rakha hai, aur Friday ko 1.1120 ke qareebi aik naye weekly high par trade kar raha hai. Is currency pair ki mazbooti US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko 6 bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke important support level ke neeche gir gaya hai.

US Dollar ki demand mein kami aane ki wajah July ke liye US JOLTS Job Openings data aur August ke liye ADP Employment data hai, jo is hafte ke aghaz mein release hue thay. In data ne labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka khauf aur gehra kar diya hai. Naye job vacancies 7.67 million aur private sector mein payrolls ka izafa sirf 99K raha, jo pichlay teen aur aadha saal ka sab se kam tha.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data August ke liye behtar aaya, magar is se US Dollar ko koi khaas support nahi mila.

Labor demand ke slow hone ke asaar ne market expectations ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad interest rates ko tezi se kam karna shuru kare. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke interest rates mein 50 basis points (bps) ki kami ka chance 34% se barh kar 41% ho gaya hai.

Interest rate path ke hawale se zyada maloomat ke liye, sarmaiya kaar August ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Expectation hai ke US employers 160K logon ko hire karenge, jo ke July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi 4.3% se gir kar 4.2% hone ka andaza lagaya gaya hai.

Sarmaiya kaar US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi tawajju denge, jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem mayar hai aur consumer spending ko mutasir karta hai. Umeed hai ke earnings July ke 3.6% se barh kar 3.7% ho gayi hain, aur monthly wage growth bhi 0.2% se barh kar 0.3% hone ka andaza hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ne 1.1100 ke upar apne gains ko qaim rakha

EUR/USD ne apne aap ko 1.1100 ke qareebi round-level figure ke upar mazbooti se barqarar rakha hai. Short-term mein currency pair ka outlook mazboot hai, jabke ye 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, 1.1055 par strong footing bana raha hai.

Lambi muddat ka outlook bhi bullish hai, jabke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke qareeb hain, aur dono lines upward slope par hain. Shared currency pair daily time frame mein Rising Channel breakout ko qaim rakhta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jabke 75.00 ke qareeb overbought tha.

Upside mein, recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ka agla target ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, downside ko psychological support 1.1000 ke aas paas cushion

hourly wages pichlay maheenay ki 0.2% se barh kar 0.4% ho gayi hain, jis ne market mein 0.5% interest rate cut ke hawalay se speculation ko khatam kar diya. Pehla reaction USD ke against selling ka tha, lekin 15 minute baad market ne bohat bara buying action dikhaya jab tak market close nahi hui. Iska asar EURUSD par hua, jo consistently pressure mein raha jab tak US market close nahi hui. Sawal ye hai ke kya yeh condition 19 September ko FOMC meeting tak barqarar rahegi? Agar price ki position dekhi jaye, tou pichlay ek maheenay se price Red EMA200 ke oopar barqarar hai, jo pichlay maheenay ke market reaction se mukhtalif hai, jab price ek se teen haftay ke andar hi bearish ho gaya tha. Aisi hi situation angle trading mein bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyunki agar pehlay banay gaye bearish candle ko left side ke bullish candle ke saath combine kiya jaye, tou yeh fakeout candles ka combination banay ga. Is haftay ka closing candle jo ke long upper wick dikhata hai, yeh bhi iss baat ka ishara hai ke 1.1200 ke oopar bullish move ka mauqa bohat limited hai. US interest rate cut se pehlay ke aglay do haftay mein, EURUSD market sideways phase mein daakhil hoga jisme bearish tendency hogi, aur target dynamic support Red EMA200 1.0950 tak girnay ka hai. Yeh area ab RBS (Support Become Resistance) ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar increase hota bhi hai, tou woh 1.1152 ke pehlay highest area tak limited hoga, jab tak H4 timeframe aur oopar solid buy momentum candlestick nahi banta. Teen moving averages ke beech ka faasla pehlay se zyada hai, isliye yeh increase apna mean reversion tak pohanch gaya hai aur direction reverse honay ka potential hai. Candlestick ki position upper Bollinger Bands se door hoti ja rahi hai aur ab yeh middle Bollinger Bands ke neeche close hui hai, jo bearish signal hai. MA5/MA10 High Daily tak correction ke baad, price ke lower Bollinger Bands tak girnay ka bohat zyada chance hai, aur yeh abhi EURUSD market mein ho raha hai

USD Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!
Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further

EURUSD currency pair ke upar chalne ki ummeed hai. Is hafte market ab bhi bullish trend mein hai jo ek downward correction ka samna kar rahi hai aur iska range bhi kaafi wide hai. Poore hafte ke liye market ka movement lagta hai ke bullish hi rahega, halanke raat ko seller's troops ka pressure dekhne ko mila jo price ko 1.1066 tak gira diya. Ab hume sirf upward movement ka intezar karna hai taake yeh 1.1125 ke level tak phir se pohnch sake. Agar price movement is level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to trend ka aage bhi barhne ka potential hai.
MACD Indicator ka histogram bar jo zero level se upar gaya hai, yeh market ke ab bhi buyer's troops ke control mein hone ka nishan hai. Pichle kuch hafton ke trading sessions mein dekha gaya hai ke price movement upar ki taraf hi chal rahi hai. Meri raaye mein, naye market trend ke mutabiq, ab bhi bullish potential dekha ja sakta hai. Graph se yeh bhi nazar aata hai ke candlestick position abhi bhi 1.1050 ke price level ke upar hai, jo mere khayal se trend ke phir se increase hone ki nishani ho sakti hai. Haalanki seller's troops ka pressure dekhne ko mila,
EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke fresh highs se girawat dekhi jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hua. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform kar raha hai kyunki investors ko lagta hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein dobara interest rates cut karega. ECB ne June mein interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kiya jabke policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2% target tak wapas aayenge 2025 tak. Lekin, July mein key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakha gaya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. EUR/USD ne 1.1200 pe fresh swing high banane ke baad 1.1150 ke qareeb gir gayi. Major currency pair ka broader outlook ab bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame pe Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold kar rahi hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, aage ke upside ko support karta hai.

Subha bakhair! Kal ke trading session mein US dollar ki qeemat mazeed barhti rahi, halaanke aglay haftay honay wali meeting mein 50 basis points ki rate cut ki umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai. EUR/USD pair neeche ki taraf gir gayi aur trading range ki lower boundary ke kareeb aa gayi, jo ke sab se qareebi support level 1.1023 ke thoda upar hai, jab ke four-hour chart mein current trading range ki middle boundary ko tod diya.
Maujooda data se lagta hai ke southern correction ab khatam honay ke qareeb hai. Sab se mumkina scenario yeh hai ke red moving average se rebound hoga, jiss ke baad bulls quotes ko 1.1091 level tak push karne ki koshish karen ge. Lekin, agar quotes neeche ki taraf move karte hain aur 1.1023 support level se neeche gir jate hain, to aik alternative scenario ban sakta hai jahan bears 1.0968 level ko target karen ge. Agar quotes 1.10 se neeche girte hain to yeh bears ke liye faida mand hoga kyun ke is se pair par kafi pressure barh sakta hai.

Aaj ke din mein, mujhe market mein kisi badi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai, Germany ke data release ke bawajood. Traders mumkin hai ke apni positions ko barqarar rakhein aur kal aane wale US consumer price data ka intezar karen, jo ke iss haftay ki sab se bari market activity ko janam de sakta hai.

Pichlay Jumma ko achanak girawat ne market par dabao dala, lekin north ki taraf primary direction abhi bhi maujood hai, aur mazeed growth ki aik aur wave ki umeed hai. Monday ke liye buy zone 1.1170 1.1295 hai aur sell zone 1.1050 1.1160 hai. Abhi EUR/USD qeemat 1.1084 par trade kar rahi hai. Asian session mein subha zyada kuch nahi hua kyun ke aksar Asian traders humari market ko ignore kar dete hain, lekin Europe abhi zinda ho rahi hai. Halaat koi bhi mod le sakte hain, isliye Asian market ko nazar andaaz karna sahi nahi hoga.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko 0.44% ki girawat dekhai, jo ke 1.1100 support level ke neeche break hone ke baad us ki losses mein mazeed izafa hua. European Central Bank (ECB) ki meeting jo ke 12 September ko hai, us se umeed hai ke interest rates cut ho sakte hain, jis ki wajah se pair par negative asar para hai, aur pair abhi Tuesday ki early Asian trading mein 1.1036 par trade kar raha hai. BBH ke analysts kehtay hain ke ECB apni dovish guidance ko barqarar rakhe ga, yani monetary policy ko zaroorat ke mutabiq tight rakha jayega aur data par dependent rahe ga. ECB apni economic forecasts bhi release karega, jo growth aur inflation mein downwards revisions dikha sakti hain. Money market traders is saal ke end tak 50-75 basis point rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain.

Data ki baat karein to Eurozone economic calendar mein Tuesday ko German inflation data aayega aur us ke baad Friday ko EU industrial production data release hoga. US ki taraf se, New York Fed ka consumer inflation forecast 3% par barqarar raha. Iss haftay se pehle, umeed thi ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein Fed ke 2% target tak gir sakta hai. Agar CPI thoda girta hai, to Fed ke 50bps rate cut ki possibility barh jaye gi. Warna, gradual monetary policy adjustments market mein pehlay hi price in hain.

Technical point of view se, EUR/USD abhi neutral se upside ki taraf hai. Lekin agar pair September 3 ke low 1.1026 se neeche chala jata hai, to mazeed downside ka rasta khul sakta hai. Key support levels jese ke 1.1000 aur 50-day moving average (DMA) jo 1.0958 par hai, expose ho jayenge. Agar 50-DMA break hota hai, to pair 100-aur 200-day SMAs ki confluence jo 1.0867/58 ke aas paas hai, ko test kare ga, us se pehle ke August 1 ke low 1.0777 par jaye. Uptrend ko resume karne ke liye, buyers ko pair ko September 9 ke high 1.1091 ke upar le jana hoga.