eur/usd

EUR/USD ne apni upward movement ko 1.1100 ke upar extend kiya hai, jabke US labor demand mein slow down ke asaar ne US Dollar par dabao dala hai. Sarmaiya kaar August ke US NFP ka intezaar kar rahe hain, ye jaan'ne ke liye ke kya July ka report sirf ek temporary rukawat thi ya ek bara masla shuru ho gaya hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo is saal do dafa aur interest rates mein kami karega.
EUR/USD ne apni winning streak ko teesray consecutive trading session tak barqarar rakha hai, aur Friday ko 1.1120 ke qareebi aik naye weekly high par trade kar raha hai. Is currency pair ki mazbooti US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko 6 bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke important support level ke neeche gir gaya hai.

US Dollar ki demand mein kami aane ki wajah July ke liye US JOLTS Job Openings data aur August ke liye ADP Employment data hai, jo is hafte ke aghaz mein release hue thay. In data ne labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka khauf aur gehra kar diya hai. Naye job vacancies 7.67 million aur private sector mein payrolls ka izafa sirf 99K raha, jo pichlay teen aur aadha saal ka sab se kam tha.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data August ke liye behtar aaya, magar is se US Dollar ko koi khaas support nahi mila.

Labor demand ke slow hone ke asaar ne market expectations ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad interest rates ko tezi se kam karna shuru kare. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke interest rates mein 50 basis points (bps) ki kami ka chance 34% se barh kar 41% ho gaya hai.

Interest rate path ke hawale se zyada maloomat ke liye, sarmaiya kaar August ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Expectation hai ke US employers 160K logon ko hire karenge, jo ke July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi 4.3% se gir kar 4.2% hone ka andaza lagaya gaya hai.

Sarmaiya kaar US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi tawajju denge, jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem mayar hai aur consumer spending ko mutasir karta hai. Umeed hai ke earnings July ke 3.6% se barh kar 3.7% ho gayi hain, aur monthly wage growth bhi 0.2% se barh kar 0.3% hone ka andaza hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ne 1.1100 ke upar apne gains ko qaim rakha

EUR/USD ne apne aap ko 1.1100 ke qareebi round-level figure ke upar mazbooti se barqarar rakha hai. Short-term mein currency pair ka outlook mazboot hai, jabke ye 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, 1.1055 par strong footing bana raha hai.

Lambi muddat ka outlook bhi bullish hai, jabke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke qareeb hain, aur dono lines upward slope par hain. Shared currency pair daily time frame mein Rising Channel breakout ko qaim rakhta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jabke 75.00 ke qareeb overbought tha.

Upside mein, recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ka agla target ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, downside ko psychological support 1.1000 ke aas paas cushion milne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD ne apni upward movement ko 1.1100 ke upar extend kiya hai, jabke US labor demand mein slow down ke asaar ne US Dollar par dabao dala hai. Sarmaiya kaar August ke US NFP ka intezaar kar rahe hain, ye jaan'ne ke liye ke kya July ka report sirf ek temporary rukawat thi ya ek bara masla shuru ho gaya hai. ECB se umeed hai ke wo is saal do dafa aur interest rates mein kami karega.
EUR/USD ne apni winning streak ko teesray consecutive trading session tak barqarar rakha hai, aur Friday ko 1.1120 ke qareebi aik naye weekly high par trade kar raha hai. Is currency pair ki mazbooti US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko 6 bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke important support level ke neeche gir gaya hai.

US Dollar ki demand mein kami aane ki wajah July ke liye US JOLTS Job Openings data aur August ke liye ADP Employment data hai, jo is hafte ke aghaz mein release hue thay. In data ne labor market ki deteriorating conditions ka khauf aur gehra kar diya hai. Naye job vacancies 7.67 million aur private sector mein payrolls ka izafa sirf 99K raha, jo pichlay teen aur aadha saal ka sab se kam tha.

US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data August ke liye behtar aaya, magar is se US Dollar ko koi khaas support nahi mila.

Labor demand ke slow hone ke asaar ne market expectations ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad interest rates ko tezi se kam karna shuru kare. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke interest rates mein 50 basis points (bps) ki kami ka chance 34% se barh kar 41% ho gaya hai.

Interest rate path ke hawale se zyada maloomat ke liye, sarmaiya kaar August ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par publish hoga. Expectation hai ke US employers 160K logon ko hire karenge, jo ke July ke 114K se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi 4.3% se gir kar 4.2% hone ka andaza lagaya gaya hai.

Sarmaiya kaar US Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi tawajju denge, jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem mayar hai aur consumer spending ko mutasir karta hai. Umeed hai ke earnings July ke 3.6% se barh kar 3.7% ho gayi hain, aur monthly wage growth bhi 0.2% se barh kar 0.3% hone ka andaza hai.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ne 1.1100 ke upar apne gains ko qaim rakha

EUR/USD ne apne aap ko 1.1100 ke qareebi round-level figure ke upar mazbooti se barqarar rakha hai. Short-term mein currency pair ka outlook mazboot hai, jabke ye 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, 1.1055 par strong footing bana raha hai.

Lambi muddat ka outlook bhi bullish hai, jabke 50-day aur 200-day EMAs 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke qareeb hain, aur dono lines upward slope par hain. Shared currency pair daily time frame mein Rising Channel breakout ko qaim rakhta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jabke 75.00 ke qareeb overbought tha.

Upside mein, recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 Euro bulls ka agla target ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, downside ko psychological support 1.1000 ke aas paas cushion milne ki umeed hai.

Pichlay do hafton ke dauran, pehle ek upward wave bani, phir ek downward wave, aur is tarah iss hafte ke aghaz mein qeemat ne 4-hour chart par dikhaye gaye price channels mein trading shuru ki. Is hafte ke aghaz mein qeemat ko neeche wali blue channel line se support mila, aur red channel ko todte hue qeemat weekly pivot level tak chali gayi, jahan ab wo stable hai. Yeh stability ek se zyada upward trend ke signals day rahi hai.
Is liye, jab qeemat dobara weekly pivot level ke qareeb aaye gi, to umeed hai ke qeemat ko wahan se support milay ga aur wo dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is hafte ke closing positive hone ki umeed hai jo aglay haftay mein mazeed izafa ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Iqtisadi tor par, euro ki qeemat ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se support milta rahe ga, jo ke lagatar interest rate cuts se bachne ki tayari kar raha hai. ECB ke policymakers ke mutabiq, October mein interest rate cut ke chances kam hain. Yeh baat aane walay hafton mein euro ke interest rates ke liye mazeed support ka zariya ban sakti hai. ECB ke latest communications ke analysis ke mutabiq, European Central Bank September mein interest rates cut kare ga lekin October mein lagatar cut ko chhor de ga.

Humne pichlay do hafton mein ECB Governing Council ke kai members se suna hai, jo September ke move par market bets ko dobara tasdeeq karte hain lekin October ke move par ehtiyaat barat rahe hain. HSBC ke currency analysts ke note ke mutabiq, "ECB ka akhri rhetoric yeh dikhata hai ke September mein easing ke baad October mein agli cut ke liye aik bara rukawat ho sakta hai."

Pichlay do hafton ke dauran, pehle ek upward wave bani, phir ek downward wave, aur is tarah iss hafte ke aghaz mein qeemat ne 4-hour chart par dikhaye gaye price channels mein trading shuru ki. Is hafte ke aghaz mein qeemat ko neeche wali blue channel line se support mila, aur red channel ko todte hue qeemat weekly pivot level tak chali gayi, jahan ab wo stable hai. Yeh stability ek se zyada upward trend ke signals day rahi hai.
Is liye, jab qeemat dobara weekly pivot level ke qareeb aaye gi, to umeed hai ke qeemat ko wahan se support milay ga aur wo dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Is hafte ke closing positive hone ki umeed hai jo aglay haftay mein mazeed izafa ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Iqtisadi tor par, euro ki qeemat ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se support milta rahe ga, jo ke lagatar interest rate cuts se bachne ki tayari kar raha hai. ECB ke policymakers ke mutabiq, October mein interest rate cut ke chances kam hain. Yeh baat aane walay hafton mein euro ke interest rates ke liye mazeed support ka zariya ban sakti hai. ECB ke latest communications ke analysis ke mutabiq, European Central Bank September mein interest rates cut kare ga lekin October mein lagatar cut ko chhor de ga.

Humne pichlay do hafton mein ECB Governing Council ke kai members se suna hai, jo September ke move par market bets ko dobara tasdeeq karte hain lekin October ke move par ehtiyaat barat rahe hain. HSBC ke currency analysts ke note ke mutabiq, "ECB ka akhri rhetoric yeh dikhata hai ke September mein easing ke baad October mein agli cut ke liye aik bara rukawat ho sakta hai."

EUR/USD Pair Analysis
Agar hum upar diye gaye chart ka jaiza lein, to Buyer ka dabao (green candle ki lambai) dheere dheere qeemat ko barhata hai, jise Seller ka dabao (red candle ki lambai) rok nahi pa raha aur is tarah se ek Higher Low ka formation hota hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai ke Buyers ab bhi kuch khaas qeemat ki satah ko dominate kar rahe hain. Magar, is EUR/USD pair mein sell ke mauqe ab bhi maujood hain.

Is image mein, maine Resistance Area ko qeemat ke upar do lines ke zariye darust kiya hai (1.1146 - 1.1130), aur Support Area ko qeemat ke neeche do lines ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai (1.1088 - 1.1073).

Meri entry options:

Agar 1-hour candle close price Upper Resistance Area Limit (1.1146) ko todta hai, to best entry buy position ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Agar 1-hour candle close price Lower Support Area Limit (1.1073) ko todta hai, to best entry sell position ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Cut Loss: Agar 1-hour Candle Close price Lower Resistance Area Limit (<1.1130) ke neeche hota hai for entry buy, aur Upper Support Area Limit (>1.1088) ke ooper hota hai for entry sell. Aur minimum risk ratio 1:1 rakhein.

Sell Option ke liye:

Agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein ho, aap Sell position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss kar sakte hain agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke upper limit (>1.1146) ke ooper hota hai. Apne trading method ke mutabiq 1:1 ka minimum risk ratio istemal karein.

Buy Option ke liye:

Support area ko istemal karte hue, agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein ho, aap Buy position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss kar sakte hain agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke lower limit (<1.1073) ke neeche hota hai. Apne trading method ke mutabiq 1:1 ka minimum risk ratio istemal karein.

EUR/USD Pair Analysis
Agar hum upar diye gaye chart ka jaiza lein, to Buyer ka dabao (green candle ki lambai) dheere dheere qeemat ko barhata hai, jise Seller ka dabao (red candle ki lambai) rok nahi pa raha aur is tarah se ek Higher Low ka formation hota hai. Is se yeh zahir hota hai ke Buyers ab bhi kuch khaas qeemat ki satah ko dominate kar rahe hain. Magar, is EUR/USD pair mein sell ke mauqe ab bhi maujood hain.

Is image mein, maine Resistance Area ko qeemat ke upar do lines ke zariye darust kiya hai (1.1146 - 1.1130), aur Support Area ko qeemat ke neeche do lines ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai (1.1088 - 1.1073).

Meri entry options:

Agar 1-hour candle close price Upper Resistance Area Limit (1.1146) ko todta hai, to best entry buy position ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Agar 1-hour candle close price Lower Support Area Limit (1.1073) ko todta hai, to best entry sell position ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Cut Loss: Agar 1-hour Candle Close price Lower Resistance Area Limit (<1.1130) ke neeche hota hai for entry buy, aur Upper Support Area Limit (>1.1088) ke ooper hota hai for entry sell. Aur minimum risk ratio 1:1 rakhein.

Sell Option ke liye:

Agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein ho, aap Sell position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss kar sakte hain agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke upper limit (>1.1146) ke ooper hota hai. Apne trading method ke mutabiq 1:1 ka minimum risk ratio istemal karein.

Buy Option ke liye:

Support area ko istemal karte hue, agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area mein ho, aap Buy position le sakte hain aur Cut Loss kar sakte hain agar 1-hour Candle Close price pullback area ke lower limit (<1.1073) ke neeche hota hai. Apne trading method ke mutabiq 1:1 ka minimum risk ratio istemal karein.

EURJPY kuch arsay ke liye 160-164 ke beech range mein reh sakta hai. Pound is waqt hamari mentioned resistance 1.3250 ke neeche acha hold kar raha hai, aur jab tak is par ek strong break nahi aata, yeh 1.31 ya usse neeche gir sakta hai. Aussie crucial level 0.68 ke ird gird oscillate kar raha hai, jisse agar break hota hai toh yeh 0.6850 tak ja sakta hai. Abhi ke levels par price action ko gaur se dekhen. USDCNY ko 7.12 ke upar sustain karna hoga taake yeh 7.18 tak wapas rise kar sake. EURINR agle kuch sessions mein 93-92 tak wapas gir sakta hai jab tak yeh 94 se neeche hai. USDINR nazdeek muddat ke liye 84.00-83.75 ke region mein trade karta reh sakta hai.

US Treasury yields bounce par hold kar rahe hain. Halan ke resistances upside ko cap kar sakte hain agar yeh aur barhte hain. Broader trend neeche hai, aur yields dubara se lower reverse ho sakte hain. German yields ek corrective rise par hain. Aage move karne ki jagah hai jab tak ke overall downtrend resume hoti hai aur yields phir se gir jati hain. 10Yr GoI rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ahem resistances aage hain jo rise ko restrict karenge aur yields ko dubara neeche le ja sakte hain.

Dow Jones aur Nifty ke paas 41800-42000 aur 25500 tak rise karne ka scope hai jab tak support 40800 aur 24500 par hai. DAX resistance ke upar breach karne ke signs de raha hai aur mazeed upside target kar raha hai. Nikkei ek narrow range mein stuck hai lekin iske paas scope hai ke eventually upper end of the range ko break kar sake. Shanghai 2840 ke upar hover kar raha hai lekin outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur 2800 tak girne ka chance hai.

Crude prices Tuesday ko sharply gir gayi jab Goldman Sachs ne apni 2025 Brent crude forecast $82 per barrel se kam karke $77 per barrel kar di lekin immediate supports hain jo hold kar sakte hain aur bounce back produce kar sakte hain. Gold, Silver aur Copper mein follow through rise ki kami hai lekin ab bhi 2600, 31-31.50 aur 4.4 tak rise karne ka scope hai. Natural gas gir raha hai lekin downside 2.0-1.9 tak limited ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy

Currency pair ne 1.1150 tak kuch waqt ke liye bulandiyon ka saamna kiya, lekin phir se apne aam range 1.1204 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya, aur 2024 ka naya high set karne ka mauka chhod diya. Market ki ummeedein bharak gayi thi, investors ko lag raha tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts jaldi implement kar sakta hai. Sab se zyada speculation is baat ke aas-paas hai ke shayad September mein double rate cut ho sakta hai, jo currency fluctuations ko heavily influence kar raha hai. Eurozone ki Economic Data ne Aage ke Rate Cuts ki Umeedein Kam Kar Di: Eurozone ke economic indicators ne is saal additional interest rate cuts ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Inflation data expected se zyada aaya hai, jahan Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) July mein 2.6% saal-on-saal badh gaya, jabke consensus estimate 2.4% tha. Core HICP, jo food aur energy jese volatile items ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% tak barh gaya, jabke expected 2.8% tha. Ye figures Eurozone ke mazboot economic conditions ko highlight karti hain aur further rate reductions ki ummeedon ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor karti hain.
EUR/USD ki Correction Limited Hai Jabke Mazboot German Data Euro ko Support De Raha Hai:

EUR/USD mein recent correction itni substantial ya tez nahi dikhayi gayi. German economic data, khaaskar June ke Factory Orders, ne Euro ko support diya hai. Jabke June mein 0.8% month-over-month increase ki expectations thi, jo May mein 1.6% ki kami ke baad thi, actual data ne forecasts ko piche chhod diya aur 3.9% ka izafa dikhaya. Ye strong performance Eurozone economy ki resilience ko dikhata hai aur Euro ki position ko support karta hai.

D1 Chart ke Key Technical Levels aur Resistance Points ko Dekhein:

1.1203 ka mark ek significant resistance point raha hai jahan buyers ne pehle step in kiya hai. Agar is level se upar successful rally hoti hai, to December ki peak 1.1139 par dhyan jaa sakta hai. Agar Fed koi achanak emergency rate cut implement karta hai, to market conditions volatile ho sakti hain aur 1.1277 tak ka move bhi mumkin ho sakta hai.

Lekin, pair ne kuch resistance ka saamna kiya hai, khaaskar Monday ko 1.10 ke upar thodi der ke liye spike ke baad. Is level ne strong selling pressure dekha, jo ek critical descending trend line ke neeche retreat kar gaya. Pair ko agle bullish leg ke liye strength build karni hai, ise solid support milna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek pullback zaroori ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential rally ke momentum gain karne se pehle

Kal ke trading ke doran, price gir gayi aur red channel ke neeche close hui jab ke price channels ki middle lines bilkul theek thi. Pichle do hafton ke price movement ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke red channel price ke liye mazboot resistance ka darja rakhta hai. Is mahine, price ne monthly pivot level ke upar trading shuru ki aur rising red channel ke andar thi, lekin yeh gir gayi aur dono toot gaye. Blue channel line se support milne ke baad, price phir se upar aayi aur pivot monthly level ke upar settle hui. Jab price girne ki koshish karti hai, tab red channel line se resistance milta hai aur monthly pivot level se support milta hai. Agle haftay mein, price red channel ke andar trading ke baad upar ki taraf chal sakti hai. Ek aur mumkinat yeh hai ke price monthly pivot level tak girti hai aur phir se upar aati hai. Hum agle haftay mein pair ko trade karne ke liye kai levels par focus kar sakte hain. Fed rate cuts ke liye September mein traders ne pura price in kiya hai, lekin bets ab bhi split hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ya zyada 50 bps ka cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data yeh dikhata hai ke September mein 50-bps interest rate reduction ki likelihood 34.5% hai, jabke baaki log 25 bps ka cut prefer karte hain. Naye cues ke liye, investors United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko publish hoga. PCE Price Index report ke mutabiq annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh sakti hai, jo June ke 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steadily 0.2% tak barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed girawat dekhne ko mili, to Fed ki aggressive policy-easing ki ummeed barh sakti hai. Baraks, agar figures sticky rahe, to yeh jumbo rate-cut scenario ko dampen kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke fresh highs se girawat dekhi jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hua. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform kar raha hai kyunki investors ko lagta hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein dobara interest rates cut karega. ECB ne June mein interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kiya jabke policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2% target tak wapas aayenge 2025 tak. Lekin, July mein key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakha gaya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing se inflationary pressures dobara barh sakte hain. EUR/USD ne 1.1200 pe fresh swing high banane ke baad 1.1150 ke qareeb gir gayi. Major currency pair ka broader outlook ab bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame pe Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold kar rahi hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, aage ke upside ko support karta hai.

/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai. Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna

H4 timeframe ke market mapping ke nateeje ki buniyad par, yeh dekha gaya hai ke buyer's troops ne 1.1040 ke defense level ko successfully penetrate kar liya hai. Agar market ko dekha jaye, to kam az kam EURUSD currency pair ke upar chalne ki ummeed hai. Is hafte market ab bhi bullish trend mein hai jo ek downward correction ka samna kar rahi hai aur iska range bhi kaafi wide hai. Poore hafte ke liye market ka movement lagta hai ke bullish hi rahega, halanke raat ko seller's troops ka pressure dekhne ko mila jo price ko 1.1066 tak gira diya. Ab hume sirf upward movement ka intezar karna hai taake yeh 1.1125 ke level tak phir se pohnch sake. Agar price movement is level ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to trend ka aage bhi barhne ka potential hai.

MACD Indicator ka histogram bar jo zero level se upar gaya hai, yeh market ke ab bhi buyer's troops ke control mein hone ka nishan hai. Pichle kuch hafton ke trading sessions mein dekha gaya hai ke price movement upar ki taraf hi chal rahi hai. Meri raaye mein, naye market trend ke mutabiq, ab bhi bullish potential dekha ja sakta hai. Graph se yeh bhi nazar aata hai ke candlestick position abhi bhi 1.1050 ke price level ke upar hai, jo mere khayal se trend ke phir se increase hone ki nishani ho sakti hai. Haalanki seller's troops ka pressure dekhne ko mila, lekin yeh sirf ek corrective movement thi, jiske baad trend ka reversal hua aur bullish movement ke saath ek significant range dekhne ko mili. Agle hafte ke liye, yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke bullish trend ka silsila jari rahega.

EUR/USD Analysis aur Forecast

Kal, jumay ko EurUsd market pair ka trading session initially buyers ne dominate kiya, jo ke price ko bullish le gaye, lekin buyers abhi tak seller ke resistance area ko tor nahi paye, jo ke 1.1123-1.1120 ke price par tha. Ye area sellers ne mazbooti se qaboo mein rakha aur aakhir mein price ko wapas niche bearish le aaye.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ka istimaal karte hue dekha gaya ke price ya candle abhi tak MA 50 Red area ke upar hai jo ke 1.0943-1.0945 ka price hai, aur price is se kaafi door hai. Lekin sellers ne trading ko dominate karte hue ek strong bearish candlestick bana kar surprise kiya, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke agle hafte, khaaskar Monday ko, trading ko sellers dominate karenge jo price ko mazid bearish le jayeinge.

Monday ke trading session mein, umeed hai ke sellers apne bearish momentum ko qaim rakhein ge, aur prices ko bearish karte hue buyer support area ki taraf le jaayeinge jo ke 1.1067-1.1065 ke price par hai. Agar yeh area bhi tor diya gaya, to EurUsd pair ka price mazid kamzor hoga, aur agla target buyer demand support area hoga jo 1.1028-1.1025 ke price par hai.

**Natija:**

Buy trading options tab ki jaa sakti hain agar price successfully seller ke resistance area ko tor deta hai, jahan buy stop order ko 1.1127-1.1130 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai, aur TP (take profit) area 1.1173-1.1175 ke price par ho sakta hai.

Sell trading options tab ki jaa sakti hain agar price successfully buyer ke support area ko tor deta hai, jahan sell stop order ko 1.1070-1.1067 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai, aur TP area 1.1030-1.1027 ke price par ho sakta hai.