eur/usd

Market ki price action ke mutabiq aaj bechnay ki soorat mein ja rahi hai. Agar price 1.0950 ki manshoor level ko upar se toor de? To yeh short-term bearish nazariyat ko mansookh kar dega.
Is bearish move ka nishana qareeb 1.0872 level hai. Magar aap apni trading position ka aadha hissa 1.0894 level par band kar sakte hain, safe trading ke liye.

Daily Outlook:
Kal market 1.0940 level par khula. Kal ke trading session mein, market ne 1.0942 tak buland aur 1.0894 tak pasti ki. Is tarah kal ka trading range 48 pips tha. Market ka jazba Bearish hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke neechay trading ho rahi hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support levels S1 aur S2 ko touch kar sakti hai.

H4 Outlook:
Pair daily time frame ke mutabiq side-way trend mein hai. Magar abhi current mein bearish trend hai. Iska wazahat neeche di gayi hai.
Market ne pehle se weekly resistance level 1.0950 ko touch kiya tha.
RSI 14 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, overbought condition ke baad.
Ek pin bar pattern nazar aaya, jo ek aur bearish candlestick ke sath bearish market ki taqat ko confirm karta hai.
Market MA 30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, jo market ki bearish taqat ko darshata hai.
Bearish divergence bhi market ke neeche jaane ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Hourly Outlook:
Market ki price action ke mutabiq pair neeche ki taraf move karay ga. Iska wajah hai:
Market ne ek mazboot support line ko downside mein toor diya hai.
Market EMA 30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai.
Yeh daily pivot level ke neeche khula hai.

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۔ EUR/USD currency pair forex market ka sabse zyada dekha jaane wala exchange rate hai, jo euro ki value ko US dollar ke against represent karta hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 1.0692 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakhta hai.

Kayi factors EUR/USD pair ke bearish trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, Eurozone ki economic data United States ke muqable mein kam robust rahi hai. Kamzor economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth aur declining industrial production in major Eurozone economies like Germany aur France, ne euro par bojh dala hai. Yeh economic slowdown Eurozone ke economic outlook par concerns raise kar raha hai, jis se investors relative safety of the US dollar ki taraf move kar rahe hain.

Dusra, European Central Bank (ECB) ne Federal Reserve ke muqable mein zyada dovish stance rakha hai. Jabke Fed inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates raise kar raha hai, ECB zyada cautious raha hai, aur economic growth ko support karne ke liye rates lower rakhe hain. Is monetary policy divergence ne US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya hai, kyunki higher interest rates typically higher returns on investments denominated in USD le kar aati hain.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties, jaise ke ongoing conflict in Ukraine aur economic sanctions on Russia, ne euro ke towards investor sentiment ko further dampen kar diya hai. Yeh geopolitical risks euro mein volatility ko badha rahe hain, aur investors stability of the US dollar ki taraf move kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD pair ka bearish trend kuch implications bhi rakhta hai. European exporters ke liye, ek weaker euro beneficial ho sakta hai kyunki yeh unki goods ko cheaper aur international markets mein zyada competitive banata hai. Lekin, consumers aur businesses jo imported goods par rely karte hain, unke liye ek weaker euro higher costs aur inflationary pressures le kar aa sakta hai.


Traders ke liye, yeh bearish trend short-selling euro against the dollar ke opportunities present karta hai. Lekin, yeh economic indicators aur central bank policies ko carefully monitor karne ki bhi zarurat banata hai, kyunki economic conditions ya monetary policy stances mein koi bhi shifts EUR/USD pair ki direction ko impact kar sakti hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair currently weaker economic data from the Eurozone, a dovish ECB compared to the Fed, aur geopolitical uncertainties ki wajah se ek bearish trend experience kar raha hai. Yeh trend traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakhta hai, aur vigilant market analysis aur strategic positioning ki zarurat ko highlight karta hai.

### EUR/USD Jor Ki Tehqeeq: Mojuda Rujhanat Aur Mustaqbil Ki Peshgoiyan
#### Mojuda Surat-e-Haal
Taza bazar data ke mutabiq, EUR/USD jori 1.0890 par trading kar rahi hai. Rujhan musalsal bearish hai, jo ke exchange rate mein neechay ki taraf harkat ko darsha raha hai. EUR/USD jori ka bearish rujhan is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke Euro kamzor ho raha hai Dollar ke muqable mein, jo ke mukhtalif maashi, siyasi, aur bazar ke specific asbaab se mutasir ho raha hai.

#### Bearish Rujhan Ko Mutasir Karne Wale Asbaab
1. **Maashi Ashariya**:
- **Eurozone Ka Maashi Data**: Haal ke maashi ashariya Eurozone se milay-julay nateejay dikha rahe hain. Dheema GDP growth, musalsal mehngai, aur kamzor industrial production ne Euro par dabao dala hai.
- **US Ki Maashi Mazbooti**: US maishat ne mazbooti dikhayi hai mazeed rozgari ke data, barhta hua consumer spending, aur mazboot industrial output ke sath. Maashi karkardagi ka yeh farq EUR/USD ke bearish rujhan ka aik key driver hai.

2. **Sood Ke Farq**:
- **European Central Bank (ECB)**: ECB ne soodon par ehtiyaati rawaya ikhtiyar kiya hua hai, aur maashi stability ko aggressive monetary tightening par tarjeeh di hai. Is dovish stance ne Euro ko kamzor kiya hai.
- **Federal Reserve (Fed)**: Is ke bar'aks, Federal Reserve ne hawkish stance ikhtiyar kiya hai, aur mehngai ko control karne ke liye sood barhaye hain. US mein barhtay huye sood un investors ko attract karte hain jo behtar returns dhoondte hain, jo Dollar ko mazboot karta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Asbaab**:
- **Alami Adam Yaqeeni**: Geopolitical tensions, jaise ke jaari conflicts aur trade disputes, investor ke jazbaat ko mutasir karte hain. Eurozone, in uncertainties ka zyada exposed hone ki wajah se, apni currency par zyada manfi asar dekhti hai.

#### Aik Bari Harkat Ki Umeed
Haal ke bearish rujhan ke bawajood, kai asbaab hain jo yeh darsha rahe hain ke EUR/USD jori aney wale dino mein significant movement dekh sakti hai. Yeh potential volatility in factors ke interplay se paida hoti hai:

1. **Anay Wali Maashi Releases**:
- **Mehngai Ka Data**: Eurozone aur US, dono hi mehngai ka key data release karne wale hain. In numbers mein koi surprises EUR/USD jori mein tezi se harkat paida kar sakte hain. Maslan, Eurozone mein ziada mehngai speculation ko janam de sakti hai ECB tightening ke baray mein, jo Euro ko mazboot kar sakti hai.
- **Rozgari Ki Reports**: US non-farm payroll data bhi aik critical release hai jo jori ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Mazboot rozgari ke nateejay Dollar ko mazeed mazboot karenge, jabke kamzor data Euro ke liye temporary respite faraham kar sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Communications**:
- **ECB aur Fed Ki Meetings**: Anay wali ECB aur Fed meetings ke nateejay ko bohat gaur se dekha jayega. Kisi bhi monetary policy shift ke isharaat se volatility barh sakti hai. Agar ECB zyada aggressive stance ko signal kare, to Euro tezi se mazboot ho sakta hai.

3. **Technical Analysis**:
- **Support aur Resistance Levels**: Technically, EUR/USD jori key support levels ke kareeb hai. In levels ke neechay break hone se aik sharp decline trigger ho sakta hai, jabke bounce back rapid recovery la sakta hai. Traders aksar in technical signals par strongly react karte hain, jo bazar ki movements ko amplify karta hai.

4. **Market Sentiment**:
- **Risk Appetite**: Alami risk appetite mein tabdilayen bhi EUR/USD jori ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Maslan, ziada risk aversion se investors safer US Dollar ki taraf ja sakte hain, jabke improved risk sentiment Euro ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

#### Nateeja
Jabke EUR/USD jori filhal 1.0890 par bearish rujhan mein hai, kai asbaab yeh darsha rahe hain ke kareeb mustaqbil mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Maashi data releases, central bank communications, technical factors, aur market sentiment mein tabdilayen, yeh sab is potential volatility mein hissa daalte hain. Traders aur investors ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/USD jori mein kisi bhi significant movement ka faida uthaya ja sake. Hamesha, forex market ki uncertainties ko effectively navigate karne ke liye sound risk management practices ko apnana zaroori hai.

EUR/USD D1 chart

Pichlay kal Euro ke price ne 40 points ka izafa kiya hai, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke buyers ka control hai. Kal ke trading session mein currency ne 1.09149 level ka aim kiya tha. Agar wo is mark ko break kar ke momentum ko agle haftay tak barqarar rakhte hain, to agla target 1.09419 hoga, jo ke 1.09 tak ka move lead kar sakta hai. Filhal sellers ke pass mazboot footing nahi hai ke wo effective sell positions initiate kar sakein. Qarib tareen support level 1.086 hai, aur agar isay break karte hain to price 1.08045 tak gir sakti hai.

4-hour chart par dekha jaye to EURUSD pair upper band ke sath trade kar raha hai, aur upper band open hai, jo ke ek bullish signal darsha raha hai. June 4th ka fractal 1.09149 ka level pohoch gaya hai. Ek naya, qareebi fractal downward emerge hua hai, jo ke possible price decline ka target ho sakta hai. Is ka breakout aur consolidation price ko July 9th ke fractal ki taraf gir sakta hai jo ke 1.08045 ke level par hai. AO indicator positive zone mein izafa dikhata hai, aur ek naya maximum form hua hai. Pehla peak kab hoga yeh abhi clear nahi, jo ke price growth ke agay barhne ka ishara de raha hai. Price drop ka reliable signal hasil karne ke liye zero ki taraf active attenuation ka intezar karna zaroori hoga.

Is waqt, EUR/USD pair apni current path par continue karegi jab tak ke US inflation numbers ka reaction nahi aata, jo ke kal Thursday ko announce hone wale hain. Inflation data pair ki direction ko influence karega. Agar inflation figures expectations se zyada high hoti hain, to US Dollar mazboot hoga, jo ke EUR/USD pair ko decline karega kyun ke market potential interest rate hikes anticipate karegi by Federal Reserve. Dusri taraf, agar inflation figures expectations se low hoti hain, to US Dollar weak hoga, jo ke Euro ko support dega aur pair ko higher push karega. Traders aur investors US inflation announcement ko closely monitor karenge, kyun ke yeh future monetary policy direction ke baray mein critical insights provide karega Federal Reserve ka. Yeh data release EUR/USD pair mein significant volatility induce karega, jo ke current neutrality ko break kar ke trend ke liye clear direction set kar sakta hai.

Kal, EUR/USD market ne phir se tezi se gir kar 1.0907 zone tak pohanch gaya. Ye US ki khabron ke natayej mein hua hai jo bechnay walon ke favur mein rahe. Ye dominance bechnay walon ki mazboot position ko highlight karta hai, jo aane wale US trading session mein mazeed barh sakta hai. Short-term opportunities ke liye traders ke liye mashwara hai ke 30 pips ka take profit target set karen, jise 15 pips ke strategically placed stop loss ke saath complement kiya jaye. Aaj, main EUR/USD par buy order prefer karta hoon jis ka short target 1.0945 hai. Is tactical setup ke peeche wajah market ki volatility hai, jahan fluctuations jaldi se established trends ko badal sakte hain, is liye caution ka istemal aur stop-loss measures ka munsifana tareeqa se application zaroori hai. Achi tarah se place ki gayi stop loss ki efektiviti ki ahmiyat ko bar-bar zikr kiya jata hai, jo ane wale ghair mutawaqayat market movements se asal nafaa ya nuqsan ko barha sakta hai. Bechnay walon ke current sentiment ke mausar, sell position execute karne ka focused short-term target plan munasib strategy ke tor par samne aata hai. Bechnay walon ke further momentum ke muntazir hote hue, khas tor par agar woh ane wale trading sessions mein key support levels ko breach kar sakte hain, is se near term mein munafa hasil karne ki ummid hai. Ye strategic outlook is premise par tajziya hai ke bechnay walay apne current momentum ko maintain karenge, mazeed market conditions ka leverage kar ke anticipated support areas ki taraf navigat karenge. Is ke ilawa, technical indicators aur market sentiment ke alignment se samajhne mein aata hai ke emerging trends par well-calibrated trading strategies execute karne ke liye munasib environment hai. Jab ke traders EUR/USD sentiment ke complications se deal karte hain. Overall, EUR/USD market 1.0945 zone ko dubara cross kar sakta hai aane wale waqt mein.

Euro US Dollar ke muqablay me gir gaya ECB ke mukarrar rate faislay ke darmiyan:
Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay me Monday ko kafi girawat dekhi, US trading session ke doran 1.0920 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat us waqt aayi jab EUR ne kuch din pehle Wednesday ko 1.0950 ke qareeb chaar maheenay ka naya high choo liya tha. Currency pairs me yeh girawat European Central Bank (ECB) ke July policy meeting ke baad ke ilaan ke sath hui. Jaise ke ummed thi, ECB ne interest rates ko bedal nahi kiya. Main refinancing rate 4.25% par qaim raha aur deposit facility rate 3.75% par barqarar raha. Market expectations ke mutabiq, yeh faisla status quo ko barqarar rakhnay ka tha. ECB ke officials ne pehle hi rate cuts ke predetermined course par commit karne se ehtiyat baratne ka izhar kiya tha. Unka asasi fikr services sector me barqarar inflation hai, jo ke overall inflation ko control karne me hasil ki gai taraqqi ko kamzor kar sakta hai. ECB ke stance me yeh tabdeeli aham hai, khaaskar unki June ke pehle rate cut ke baad, jo ke pandemic se mutaliq stimulus measures ke baad inflation se larne ke liye do saal ke daur me restrictive monetary policy ka ikhtitam tha. Central bank ab yeh samajhta hai ke inflation aur economic downturns ke khatray ek dosray ke qareeb ho rahe hain. Isliye, woh expect karte hain ke qeematain mustaqbil me 2% target ke qareeb wapas aayengi. Is outlook ke bawajood, financial markets ab bhi is saal ke dauran ECB ke do aur rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, agla mumkin cut September me ho sakta hai. ECB ke President Christine Lagarde ne ek policy statement me is baat par zor diya ke Governing Council "specific interest rate path par pehle se commit nahi karega." Yeh statement ECB ke evolving economic conditions ke response me flexible approach ko mazid wazeh karti hai. Lagarde ne yeh bhi tasleem kiya ke agle saal overall inflation ke current projections se zyada hone ka imkaan hai. Jab un se future rate cuts ke bare me sawal kiya gaya, to unhone ek "data-driven aur meeting-by-meeting approach" ko dobara izhar kiya taayun karne ke liye ke monetary policy restrictions ka munasib level aur duration kya hoga. Financial news agency Reuters ke report me yeh baat note ki gayi ke jab ke qeematain pichlay teen hafton me oopar gayi hain, lekin unhone upper limit ko breach nahi kiya. Yeh observation EUR/USD pair ke liye potential downside move ko suggest karta hai, bears kehti hain ke yeh 1.0898 ke lower limit ki taraf gir sakta hai. Dosri taraf, positive price pattern focus ko 1.0850 area ki taraf shift kar sakta hai, jahan pehle ek resistance trend line established hui thi. EUR/USD pair ke current dynamics complex factors ka interplay reflect karte hain, jinme ECB ke cautious stance, future rate cuts ke market expectations, aur overarching economic conditions shamil hain jo persistent inflation concerns se mutasir hain. ECB is challenging landscape ko navigate karte hue, financial markets central bank ke policy decisions aur unke currency pair par asrat ko qareebi taur par monitor karte hain. Mukhtasir mein, Euro ki US Dollar ke muqablay me recent girawat ECB ke current interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke faislay ke bawajood ongoing inflation concerns ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Future rate cuts ke market anticipation, ECB ke flexible aur data-driven approach ke sath milkar, EUR/USD pair ki trajectory ke ird gird uncertainty ko barhati hain. ECB ka yeh cautious magar adaptive strategy inflation control aur economic stability ke darmiyan balance banane ki koshish karta hai, jo ke policymakers ke samnay current economic environment me darpesh nuanced challenges ko reflect karta hai.

Euro US Dollar ke muqablay mein giraawat ka shikar: ECB ka maamool ke bawajood faiz ka faisla
Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein Monday ko khaasi giraawat dekhi, US trading session ke doran qareeban 1.0920 tak gir gaya. Yeh giraawat us waqt aayi jab EUR chand din pehle Wednesday ko qareeban 1.0950 tak pohoch gaya tha jo chaar maheenon ki nai bulandi thi. Yeh aham waqt pe giraawat European Central Bank (ECB) ke July policy meeting ke baad hui. Ummed ke mutabiq, ECB ne faiz daron ko baghair kisi tabdeeli ke barqarar rakha. Asal refinancing rate ko 4.25% pe barqarar rakha gaya, aur deposit facility rate 3.75% pe raha. Yeh faisla market ki ummeed ke mutabiq tha. ECB ke afsaraan pehle hi faiz daron mein kami karne ke irade ke baghair ehtiyat barat rahe the. Unka asasi masla services sector mein daimi mehngayi hai jo kul mehngayi pe qabo paane mein rukawat daal sakti hai.

ECB ka yeh naya rukh kaafi ahamiyat rakhta hai, khaaskar June mein pehli faiz mein kami ke baad, jo do saal ke sakht monetary policy ka khatima tha jo pandemic ke doran milne wali iqtisadi imdadi tadabeer se paida hui mehngayi ke khilaf thi. Ab central bank yeh samajhta hai ke mehngayi aur iqtisadi girawat ke khatre takreeban barabar ho rahe hain. Isliye, unhein umeed hai ke keematien qarib aney waley waqt mein apne hadaf 2% tak wapas aajayengi. Is nazariye ke bawajood, mali bazaars is saal ECB se do mazeed faiz daron mein kami ki umeed rakhtay hain, agla imkaan September mein hai.

ECB President Christine Lagarde ne policy statement mein zor diya ke Governing Council "kisi khaas faiz dar raah ka waada nahi karegi." Yeh statement ECB ki flexible approach ko wazeh karti hai jo keerti hui iqtisadi surat-e-haal ka jawaab dene ke liye hai. Lagarde ne ye bhi tasleem kiya ke agle saal mehngayi ka kul andaza taza projections se zyada ho sakta hai. Jab un se mazeed faiz daron mein kami ke imkaan ke bare mein sawal pucha gaya, to unhon ne "data-driven aur meeting-by-meeting approach" ko phir se zahir kiya, jo monetary policy ke sakhtiyon ke munasib satah aur muddat ka taayun karti hai.

Reuters financial news agency ki report ke mutabiq, jab keematon ne pichle teen hafton mein upar ki janib rujhan dikhaya hai, unhone upper limit ko cross nahi kiya. Yeh observation EUR/USD pair ke liye potential downside move ka ishara karti hai, jahan bears 1.0898 ke channel ke lower limit ki taraf girawat dekh rahe hain. Baraks, agar positive price pattern aati hai to focus 1.0850 area ki taraf shift ho sakta hai, jahan pehle ek resistance trend line tha.

EUR/USD pair ke current dynamics ek complex interplay ko reflect karte hain, jo ECB ke ehtiyaati rukh, future rate cuts ke market expectations, aur persistent inflation concerns se mutasir overall economic conditions ko shamil karti hain. Jaisa ke ECB is challenging landscape ko navigate kar raha hai, financial markets central bank ke policy decisions aur unke currency pair par implications ko bariki se dekh rahe hain.

Summary mein, Euro ki recent decline US Dollar ke muqablay mein ECB ke faiz daron ko barqarar rakhne ke faisle ke bawajood ongoing inflation concerns ki wajah se hai. Market ke future rate cuts ki umeed aur ECB ki flexible aur data-driven approach EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ke hawale se uncertainty mein izafa karti hain. ECB ki yeh ehtiyaati magar adaptive strategy inflation control aur economic stability ko balance karne ki koshish karti hai, jo ke current economic environment mein policymakers ke nuqushaan ka aks hai.

Iss trading week mein Euro ki keemat US dollar ke muqablay mein EUR/USD bullish rahi, aur 1.0948 resistance level tak gain kiya, jo ke currency pair ke liye chaar mahine ka sabse uncha resistance level hai. Is analysis ke waqt, ye 1.0935 level ke qareeb settle hua hai, European Central Bank ke announcement ka intezar karte hue. Forex trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK inflation release ke baad US dollar ke girne se Euro ki keemat mein izafa hua.

Aam tor par, US dollar ko widespread pressure ka samna hai jabke foreign exchange markets mid-week session mein fluctuate kar rahi hain. Iska sabab British pound/US dollar exchange rate mein izafa aur Bank of Japan ke possible intervention hai, jo Euro ki keemat ko mazboot kar raha hai. Dollar ki bechne ka amal UK mein strong services inflation figure ke baad hua, jisne Bank of England ke August 1 ko interest rate cut ke chances ko kam kar diya.

Economic calendar data front pe, Eurozone ke inflation rate ki confirmation hui. Official announcement ke mutabiq, June 2024 mein Euro area ka annual inflation rate 2.5% confirm hua, jo ke May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal 5.5% tha. Energy prices 0.2% se kam hui jo ke pehle 0.3% thi, jabke food, alcohol, aur tobacco prices 2.4% se kam hui jo pehle 2.6% thi. Doosri taraf, services (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods (0.7%) mein inflation stable rahi. Pichle mahine ke muqable mein, CPI 0.2% se barh gaya, jo ke May aur preliminary estimates ke mutabiq same level par hai.

Isi waqt, core consumer prices, jo energy, food, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karti hain, year-on-year 2.9% barhi, jo ke May ka same level hai. Bloc ke sabse bade economies mein, inflation Germany (2.5% vs. 2.8%), France (2.5% vs. 2.6%), aur Spain (3.6% vs. 3.8%) mein slow hui, lekin Italy (0.9% vs. 0.8) mein barhi. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, Euro ke price mein US dollar ke muqable mein upward shift hai, bulls control mein hain aur trend 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko cross karke mazboot ho raha hai. Is resistance ko break karne se technical indicators overbought levels tak pohnch jayenge. Doosri taraf, agar Euro/Dollar ka price 1.0790 support ki taraf retrace karta hai, to ye current upward rebound ke liye khatra maana jayega. Euro ke price ko European Central Bank ki announcement aur Governor Lagarde ke statements seedha affect karenge. Additionally, American unemployment claims numbers ka announcement bhi impact dalega.

Aaj humare paas trading ke liye ahem news hai. Ye high-impact news various currencies ko involve karti hai. Humare paas kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hai. Is area mein bohot zyada volatility hogi aur kisi bhi pair se jo in currencies se related hai. Traders ko is note ko dhiyan mein rakhna chahiye aur aaj trading karte waqt acchi money management skills ka istemal karna chahiye. Savdhaan rahne mein trading bohot zaroori hai. Neeche di gayi tasveer mein aur mazeed jaankari ke liye aap dekh sakte hain.

EURUSD ANALYSIS

Jumme ko, EURUSD pair 1.0880 ke aas paas lower areas mein trade kiya. Aaj, yeh upper direction mein 1.0905 price level ki taraf move kar chuka hai. Neeche di gayi hourly chart ko dekhte hue, samajh mein aata hai ki EURUSD MA (200) H1 par 1.0885 pe moving average line ki takat ko test kar raha hai. Chaar ghante ki chart par bhi humein yeh similar situation dikhai deti hai ki EURUSD abhi bhi moving average line MA (200) H4 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Is note par dhyan dete hue, upar di gayi facts ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad ek acchi buy entry point dhoondhne ki salah di jaati hai. Yeh analysis ke liye picture aur chart neeche di gayi hai. Ise dekhne ki request hai.

Resistance levels hain 1.0915, 1.0935, aur 1.0960.

Support levels hain 1.0875, 1.0860, aur 1.0845.

Kya ummeed hai: humein EURUSD ke price mein aage ke liye 1.0915 ke next resistance level ki taraf ter ki continuous increase dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Ya toh hum mein moving average line MA (200) H1 ke neeche towards 1.0805 ki taraf giravat dekhne ko bhi mil sakti hai.

Yeh sab kuch ab tak ke liye. Kya aap is analysis ke baare mein kya sochte hain? Kripya apne vichar aur yogdaan mujhe neeche comments section mein chodkar bataiye. Aapko ek shandar din ho.

EUR/USD: Market Movements

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ki analysis ab tak open discussion ke liye available hai. Agar hum EUR/USD ke limits aur significant movements ko consider karein toh lagta hai ke currency pair ke current position se decline ke liye jagah hai. Haal hi mein yeh downward trend mein tha, 0.0959 target ke qareeb pohnchne wala tha. Ek favorable buying zone 0.0749 aur 0.0699 ke darmiyan hai, das figure ko paar karne ke liye. Stop-loss is range mein relatively minimal hai, agar pair 0.0749-0.0699 ki taraf move kare. Jab ke main yeh manta hoon ke aur decline ke liye potential hai, mujhe bhi growth ki taraf jane ka ek promising raasta nazar aa raha hai, shayad 0.0939 tak pohnch sakta hai. Hafta shuru hone mein dilchaspi honay wali hai, possible stops 0.0849 par hain ya to seedha ya phir Monday pullback ke baad. Market ke opening aur Asia ki trading ahem hogi. Jaise mere mentor ne suggest kiya tha, chart subah dekhna—jab Europe ka trading shuru hota hai—EUR/USD ke agle direction ke liye insights provide karta hai.

Agar current low Asian trading ke doran hold hota hai, to pair Europe ya early US session mein 0.0899 aur 0.0919 tak pohnch sakta hai, baad mein 0.0849 tak girne ka chance hai. Mere paas ek target hai 0.0829 ka, halan ke week ke end tak highs ki taraf bhi umeed hai. Pair range trading mein shift ho gaya hai. Chart reveal karta hai ke support level 1.0869 thoda miss hua hai aur ab 1.0882 par trading ho rahi hai. RSI mid-range hai, jo ek upward movement ki possibility ko indicate karta hai, aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) buy ki signals de raha hai. Price previous day ke range ke neeche hai, thoda growth ka chance hai. Do levels, 1.0899 aur 1.0914, pair ko attract kar sakte hain. Strong growth ke signals hone ke baawajood, main confidently predict karta hoon ke pair 1.0899 resistance level ko break karega aur 1.0914 ki taraf advance karega.

EUR/USD ke trends ka tajziya aur mustaqbil kay harkaat ke tajwez

EUR/USD pair, jo Euro aur US Dollar ke darmiyan tabadla dar ka rate darj karta hai, ab tak karib 1.0887 ke qareeb trading ho raha hai. Ye currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada trade hone wala hai, aur is ke harkaat ko traders aur analysts poore dunia mein tawajju se dekhte hain. Abhi ke doran, EUR/USD bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo yani ke Euro US Dollar ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai.
Fardish Bearish Trend


Bearish trend ye darustata hai ke qeemat musalsal gir rahi hai, aur haal hi mein EUR/USD ke sath isi kaam ka moamla horaha hai. Kuch factors is bearish sentiment mein hissa daal sakte hain:

1. Maiyari Dariayen: Eurozone se maiyari dariayen, jese ke GDP growth, infalasion dar aur berozgari ke figures, khaas tor par mazboot nahi rahe hain. Is darust dariayon mein kamzori se investors ka Bharat Euro par kamzor kar sakti hai.
2. Maali Siasat: European Central Bank (ECB) ne ek doveish stand rakh liya hai, yani ke ye zyada tar policies implement kar sakte hain jo ke interest rates ko kam rakhne ke liye economic growth ko support karen. Mutasaran, US Federal Reserve zyada hawkish rah chuki hai, jisse ke inflation ke khilaf karwai ke liye potential rate hikes kehte hue. Maali siyasat mein ye farq US Dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur Euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
3. Naqad Par Gharonayi Falon: Eurozone ke andar siyasi beinaami ya ghair yakeeni mahsoos hona bhi Euro ki kamzori mein qaim rakh sakta hai. Jese ke Brexit ke asar, member states mein siyasi tensions, ya maali sanctions Euro par bura asar daal sakte hain.

Technical Analysis


Technical analysis ke jumlay se, EUR/USD chart rozana aur haftawar ke timeframes par ek series of lower highs aur lower lows dikhata hai, jo ke bearish trend ka classic nishan hai. Ehmiat ke technical indicators jese ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish momentum ka ishara kar sakte hain.
Baray Harekati Ihtimaam


Maujooda bearish trend ke bawajood, kai wajahat hain ke EUR/USD ke aane wale dino mein ahem harekatein ho sakti hain:

1. Economic Data Releases: Eurozone aur United States se agle dino mein hone wale maali daryafti ikhtisasaat volatility ko trigger kar sakte hain. Moharik reports Eurozone ke GDP growth rate, infalasion data aur US Non-Farm Payrolls report shamil hain. Eurozone se musbat data ya US se musbat data ke naram syepa se is bearish trend ko ulta kar sakte hain.
2. Markazi Banki Elaanat: ECB ya Fed se koi ghair mutawaqqa elaan ya polici changes ahem market movements ko le kar a sakte hain. Foran, agar ECB monetary policy ko tight karne ki isharat de ya agar Fed apne mutawaqqa rate hikes ko taalo, to ye Euro ko Dollar ke khilaf barha sakti hai.
3. Naqadian Ajza: Bari naqadian ajza, jese ke trade negotiations, aantardeshiy tanazaat, ya teamsilati siyasi tabadlay, currency markets mein foran tabdeeliyan la sakti hain. Traders ko global news ke baray mein inform rehna chahiye jo Euro ya US Dollar par asar dal sakti hain.
4. Technical Breakouts: Technical nazar se, agar EUR/USD kisi ahem support ya resistance levels ke zariye toorna, to ye tezi se qaemat ke harkat mein izafah kar sakti hai. Traders aksar in toornon ka izharane asar karne wale karwaiyon ke signals ke tor par dekhte hain.

Market Sentiment


Market sentiment bhi currency pair ki harkaat ko chalane mein ek ahem kirdar ada karsakta hai. Sentiment aksar news, maali reports aur market speculation se asar andaaz hota hai. Agar traders jama ho kar manen ke Euro kam keemat hai ya Dollar ziadah keemat hai, to ye moamla ke moarafiat mein tabdeeli la sakte hain.
Ikhtitam


Ikhtitam mein, jabke EUR/USD abhi bearish trend mein hai, kai wajahat hain ke aane wale dino mein aham harkatein hosakti hain. Traders ko maali daryafti ikhtisasaat, markazi banki elaanat, teamsilati waqiat aur technical indicators par nazar rakhtay hue potenshil mouqaat nazar ana chahiye. Maloomat hasil karke aur muntazim reh kar forex market mein tor phor mein behtar taur par savera kar sakte hain. Ye factors dekh kar, traders EUR/USD pair mein aane wali baray harkaton ka behtar andaza laga sakte hain.

Hamare guftagu mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke tabdeeliyon ko tajziya karenge. EUR/USD currency pair ek oonchi raftar par hai. 1.0896 ke darja ko mumkin samjha gaya tha aur ab qeemat is nishan ke oopar qaim hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Takneeki tajziya isharay deti hai ke char ghante ke chart par qeemat Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke oopar trading kar rahi hai, badal ke oopar hai, Chikou-span line qeemat chart ke oopar hai. "Golden cross" ka amal qaim hai. Bollinger Bands bullish isharaat de rahe hain, relative strength index 50 ke oopar hai, MACD oscillator volumes barh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator green hai, jo bullish jazbaat ki alamat hai. Tariqay se khareedne ka tawajjo hai, agla maqsad 1.0956 ke level ko hai.

H4 par, khareedne walay April ke kam se kam 1.0601 se numainda tahrik se faida utha rahe hain, aur mukhtasar EUR/USD resistance ab pehli tahrik zone ke upper border par 1.0905 par hai. Market is level ke jawab mein aane wale reaction ke zariye single currency ki mustaqbil ki tasaweer mukarar kar sakta hai. Agar 1.0905 ke resistance phir se toot jata hai lekin ye ek jhoota breakout sabit hota hai aur bear qoutes ko 1.0905 ke neeche daba dete hain, to age bearish pullback pehli zone ke lower border tak 1.0847 tak ho sakta hai, jahan se naye barhne ki koshishen ho sakti hain. Ulta agar 1.0905 ke resistance asal hai aur bulls is par mazbooti se qaim hotay hain, to EUR/USD quotes agle impulse zone tak 1.0999 tak barh sakte hain. Lekin is scenario ko badi pullback ke saath haasil karna mumkin hai. Jumeraat ke trading band hone ke baad, khareedne walay halat mein the aur peer ko uparward movement ke jariye shuru hone ki sambhavna hai 1.0921/1.0951 resistance zone tak. Iske baad price 1.0941 ke neeche laut sakti hai, lekin zyada khabron par bohot kuch depend karega.
Yeh tajziya EUR/USD currency pair ki trading ke haalat ko samajhne mein madadgar hai.

EUR/USD Ka Price Movement:

EUR/USD pair ne upward rally ke baad abhi tak koi significant low correction phase experience nahi kiya. Haqiqat yeh hai ke price 1.0817 ke high prices ko cross kar gayi aur upward rally ko continue kar rahi hai. Trend direction bullish condition mein hone ke saath, price movement ka projection bhi increase ki taraf hai. Agar price 1.0778 ke low prices tak decline karti hai, toh yeh 1.0771 ke RBS area tak nahi pahunch payegi. Iske ilawa, price pattern structure bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke downward correction phase sirf secondary reaction hogi.

Technical Indicators:

• RSI Indicator: (14) ke parameters, jo 80-70 level par overbought zone mein hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke upward rally ne buying ka saturation point reach kar liya hai.

Current EUR/USD price ko agar upward rally ko continue karna hai aur 1.0900 level tak pahunchna hai, toh pehle ek downward correction experience karni chahiye. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke New York session mein aaj raat US employment data report aayegi jo ke US Dollar currency ka outlook affect kar sakti hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar ko support karte hain, toh upward rally ko rukawat face karni par sakti hai aur price movement 1.0800 level ke neeche ho sakti hai.

Trading Plan:

Buy moment ka wait karna better ho sakta hai kyunki current trending market direction ke against jana risky hai. 1.0771 ke RBS area ko entry point ke tor par use kiya ja sakta hai agar downward correction kaafi impulsive ho. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameter ka rejection dekhna zaroori hai jab yeh around level 50 tak pahunchti hai. Take profit aur stop loss ke liye Risk: Reward ratio of 1:2 use karna chahiye, taake capital ki strength ke mutabiq adjust ho sake.





4o

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Meri nazar me, euro/dollar ko maujudah satahon se apni tezi jari rakhne se koi rok nahin sakta, lekin iske ooper jane ka imkan mahdud lagta hai.
Maine ek tejarati range ko nishanzad kiya hai, jiski buniyad par aaj trade karne par gaur karna qabile qadar hai. Agar qimat badh jati hai to, mai 1.0915 ki satah par short positions kholne ki koshiah karunga. 1.0865 - 1.0859 ka raqbah support ke taur par kam karta hai. Takniki indicator ek mazbut zone ki maujudgi ki tasdiq karta hai, lehaza mujhe is ilaqe ke breakout ke liye trading karne ka koi matlab nahin dikhta.



USD/CAD
Jumah ko, maine socha keh US dollar/Canadian dollar jodi par short positions kholna danishmandi hogi. Hafte ke aakhir me, maine currency jode ki neeli trendline ko todne ke bad ek tabdili ki tajwiz pesh ki.
Dusritaraf, trendline ab bhi atoot hai. 1.3790 ka nishan ifqi muzahmati satah ke taur par kam karta hai, jiske qarib rebound par trade kholna mumkin hoga. 1.3756 ki satahbhi qabile zikar hai. Is satah par market me dakhil hona bhi ek accha tejarati option hai.

جولائی 22 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، یورو 1.0905 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہوا، جس سے مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ انحراف کی تصدیق ہوئی۔ 1.0788 پر ہدف کی حمایت کا راستہ اب کھلا ہے۔ اگر قیمت اس سطح سے نیچے آ سکتی ہے، تو یورو درمیانی مدت میں کمی کے راستے پر ہو گا۔



فی الحال، کمی 26 جون (61.8%) سے ترقی کے آخری مرحلے میں گہری اصلاح معلوم ہوتی ہے۔ جمعہ کی کم (1.0876) سے نیچے کی کمی 38.2% اصلاح کے علاقے میں مقامی تحریک کو 1.0840 تک بڑھا دے گی۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، مارلن نیچے کی طرف رجحان والے علاقے میں آباد ہے۔ 1.0905 پر مزاحمت مضبوط دکھائی دیتی ہے، اس کے نیچے قیمت مستحکم ہوتی ہے، 12-16 جولائی کی طرح، لیکن اب نیچے کی طرف ٹوٹنا ہے۔

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