یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Good morning. Buyers ne kal Euro ko 1.10081 ke maximum tak pohanchaya, jise unhon ne actively break bhi kiya, aur iss waqt lagta hai ke yeh wahan pe consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh consolidation successful hota hai, toh pehla target continued growth ke liye kal ka maximum hoga jo ke 1.10466 par hai. Aur agar yeh level bhi break ho jata hai aur wahan active consolidation hoti hai, toh price 1.11388 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Agar downward movement ka option consider karein, toh sellers ko 1.09853 level ko break karke wahan consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh ho jata hai, toh phir price 1.09128 tak gir sakti hai.
**Pair EUR/USD H4:**

1 - 4-hour chart par Euro ne upper band ke sath active movement ke baad central area ki taraf rollback kiya hai. Iss situation mein, price growth ka naya signal milne ke liye humein wait karna hoga ke quotes upper band ki taraf naya active approach karein, phir dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hote hain ya nahi. Fractals ki situation par baat karein, toh price ne naye, qareeb ke fractals up aur down form kiye hain. Agar nearest fractal upwards break hota hai, toh price ko December 29, 2023 ke fractal ki taraf move karne ka mauka milega jo ke 1.10799 par hai. Agar nearest fractal downwards break hota hai, toh price ko August 13 ke fractal ki taraf move karne ka mauka milega jo ke 1.09128 par hai.

2 - AO indicator ne positive area mein damping form karna shuru kiya hai, lekin price fall ka better signal milne ke liye, humein zero mark ki taraf zyada active movement ka wait karna chahiye. Upward movement ke development ka signal milne ke liye, humein positive area mein nayi increase dekhni hogi

EUR/USD currency pair ko kuch dinon se qareebi tor par dekha ja raha hai. Bears, jo pehle strategically dabaye gaye thay, unhe market correction ke doran break even ya choti nuksan uthani pari. Yeh tactic chote faide haasil karne ke liye nahi thi, balki unke trading funds ko khatam karne ke liye thi. 1st August ko kuch sellers hoshiyar na ho sake aur unhein apne positions exit karna mushkil lag raha tha. Ab, jab ziada sellers upward trend mein hain, to is baat ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke 10th figure ceiling ho sakti hai. Issi maqam se loss ko cut karna aur 11th figure se pehle exit karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur nuksan itna ziada ho sakta hai ke positions close karna bekaar ho jaye. Shayad yeh sellers ko kisi supposedly favorable situation mein le kar jaane wale logon ke liye profit banane ka ek tareeqa hai. Is catalyst ne euro-dollar buyers ko 1.0981 level par ek chota qarza chukane ka moqa diya. Euro-dollar ki critical resistance akhri angle of the descending fan aur 1.0991 level par hai.
Euro-dollar ka pehla high 1.1008 tha, aur uska primary support 1.0959 par hai. Iss level se, EUR/USD price ya to wapas upar ja sakti hai ya apne downward trend ko agle support levels 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. Hamara aim yeh hai ke dominant H4 time frame trend ko pehchana jaye aur sabse precise market entry point ko identify kiya jaye taake zyada se zyada faida hasil ho. Halankeh aaj currency pair mein growth dekhne ko mili, lekin iska technical outlook unchanged hai, aur mustaqbil ka performance kal ke market conditions par mabni hoga. H1 time frame par, yeh mumkin hai ke agar medium-term movement ka sahi andaza lagaya jaye, to munafa hasil ho sakta hai.

Budh ke din, pair ne trading day ko high note par khatam kiya, apne do hafton ke rally ko 1.2812 mark ke ird gird continue rakha. Yeh upward movement tab dekha gaya jab DXY par investors ka pressure barhta ja raha tha, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Halaankeh June ke liye Producer Price Index (PPI) mein heran kun izafa hua, jo ke future Fed inflation metrics par asar dal sakta hai, lekin market sentiment ziada tar rate reduction ke prospects par hi focus kar raha hai.
Mukhtalif Inflation Signals ne Fed Policy ko Challenge Kiya:

US Dollar ne softer-than-expected inflation readings ke wajah se apni qeemat mein kami mehsoos ki, jis ne Fed officials ke confidence ko barhaya ke disinflation ka process abhi bhi chalu hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay major currencies ke against measure karta hai, abhi bhi 104.50 level se neeche hai. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne yeh suggest kiya ke recent cooler inflation figures aur easing labor market conditions ek ya do rate cuts ko justify kar sakti hain iss saal ke aakhir mein.

Magar, latest PPI data ke mutabiq June mein inflation ki soorat-e-haal pehle se ziada garam dekhne ko mili. Headline aur core PPI dono figures umeed se ziada barhe, jisse annual rates 2.6% aur 3.0% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh heran kun izafa wholesale inflation mein Fed ke inflation control strategies ko mushkil banata hai, halaankeh broader trend softer inflation readings ka hai.

GBP/USD ki Technical Analysis:

Pair ne aik impressive upward trajectory dikhai hai, pichle 12 trading days mein sirf do din ko chhod kar har din green mein band hua. Pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2662 par hai, se achi khasi upar ki taraf movement ki hai. Jaisey jaisey bullish momentum barh raha hai, traders 2023 ke peak 1.3141 par nazar rakhe hue hain, jab ke bearish forces is price ko 50-day EMA ke paas 1.2780 par le jane ki koshish kar sakti hain.

Mangal ke din, pair ne do hafton ka high hasil kiya, apni gains ko dosray musalsal haftay tak extend kiya aur 1.3000 handle ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Currency pair ne July mein kareeb 4% ka izafa dekha hai, jo ke month ke shuru mein 1.2614 ke swing low se upar aaya hai. Yeh mazboot performance shifting economic conditions ke darmiyan pound ki dollar ke against taqat ko wazeh karti hai.

Kal Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek tez aur kaafi mazboot upward movement dekhi. Kal ke macroeconomic data par market ka reaction bilkul usi tarah tha jaise koi textbook chapter kehta hai ke "Market kaise trade karta hai jab wo kisi certain direction mein biased ho." Aam tor par, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne is poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziada kam hua aur monthly basis par bhi forecast se 0.1% kam tha. Market ne is information ko asar yeh samjha ke foran dollar bechna chahiye, kyun ke ek inflation indicator formally slow down ho gaya hai.

Filhal, U.S. inflation ke kisi bhi deceleration se dollar collapse ho sakta hai kyunki market ko Federal Reserve ki rate cut ka intezar hai pichle saat mahinon se. Hum itni strong reaction ki umeed nahi kar rahe the ek routine report par, lekin market ne phir se apni readiness dikha di ke kisi bhi formal wajah ko use kar sakti hai apni expectations ko justify karne ke liye ke Fed rate cut karega September mein. Phir bhi, EUR/USD pair ab bhi horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hai.

Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals banay, aur movement kaafi favorable thi. Pehla sell signal 1.0940 ke level ke aas-paas tha, jo ke false nikla, lekin trade ko break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move ki. Phir, ek buy signal banay 1.0940 ke level par, jis ne profit generate kiya. Us ke baad, price ne 10th level ko touch kiya, jahan manually profit realize kiya ja sakta tha.

Trading tips for Wednesday:

EUR/USD ne short-term downward trend ko hourly time frame mein break kiya, lekin ab tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne apne sab bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. 24-hour time frame mein ab bhi ek flat trend hai 1.06-1.10 range ke andar. Magar, market lagatar yeh dikhati hai ke U.S. inflation mein kisi bhi deceleration se dollar ki panic selling hoti hai. Aaj inflation report release hogi.

Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb hai 1.0600–1.1000. Magar, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein ek nayi drop ko trigger kar sakta hai.

5M time frame par key levels yeh hain:

1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ko, Eurozone GDP ke second quarter aur industrial production par reports release karne wala hai. Magar yeh data U.S. inflation report ke muqablay mein secondary consider kiya ja sakta hai

indicator par standard parameters ke saath ek aur triple bearish divergence tha. Is divergence ne apna asar dikhaya aur price pehle dheere dheere niche gaya, phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko tor diya, aur saath hi saath upar jaane wale channel ko bhi neeche tor diya gaya, jismein price haal hi mein upar gaya tha. Iske baad, ab girawat ke zyada chances hain. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke girawat jari rahegi, kal raat jab market khula toh woh thoda sa badh gaya tha aur almost 1.0907 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kar liya, jo ki ek growth ke kinaare par ek darpan level ban gaya tha. Is muddat par yeh extreme hai, zaroor younger muddaton par growth ke kinaare par ek zyada extreme level hai. Price ne bhi 1.0875 ke support level par girne ko rok diya hai. Ek accumulation zone ban gaya hai, meri raay mein aur bhi zyada girawat hone ki kafi possibility hai. Agar aap daily chart dekhte hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke ek candlestick pattern ban chuka hai - bearish engulfing, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main khareedari ko nahi consider karta, shayad kuchh growth ho sakti hai, lekin woh clear taur par woh nahi hai jis par aap paisa kama sakte hain, shayad pehle woh price accumulation zone ke thoda upar daal de takay buyers ko action mein lana ho. Aap 1.0844 ke level par khareedari ko consider kar sakte hain. Aaj arthik calendar mein sirf aik important news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market ke sales. hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai. Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein Treasu

Sab ko acha din! Monday ko euro aur US dollar ke beech koi bade upheavals nahi aaye. Hum abhi bhi support level 1.09 ke upar trade kar rahe hain, aur aaj price thodi upar ja rahi hai, jo humein ummeed de sakti hai ke activity barh sakti hai aur EUR/USD currency pair apne targets ki taraf upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. General taur par, agar kisi ne long positions kholni thi, to pichle trading week aur is week mein iske liye kaafi opportunities thi, isliye agar ab price upar jaati hai to mujhe hairani nahi hogi. Agar humare saath thodi si lucky raha, to shayad thoda sa pullback bhi dekhne ko mile, jahan buy positions kholna bhi mumkin ho. To ab hum round resistance level 1.10 ki taraf movement ki intezar karenge, aur shayad aur bhi current highs update ho. Selling consider karna tabhi samajh aayega agar currency pair support level 1.09 ke neeche girti hai.
**Current Bullish Trends**

EUR/USD pair abhi strong bullish trends dikha rahi hai, jo ke 1.1000 levels ke upar tezi se chadh rahi hai aur kuch periods ke liye 1.0950 ke upar bhi ja rahi hai. Yeh pair 200-day EMA ko bhi 1.0826 ke upar se paar kar chuki hai, jo ke short-term bullish sentiment ko signal deta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh suggest karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakti hai, aur traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points par nazar rakhenge.

**Influencing Factors**

Summary yeh hai ke Euro ki strength US Dollar ke muqablay mein weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai, market participants aane wale economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhenge, kyunki yeh factors future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants**

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko aur fuel kar sakti hai, jab naye buyers existing upward pressure ko badhate hain.

EURUSD currency pair. Do jumps mein, Friday aur kal Monday ko, price ne pichle aadhe mahine ki tamam decline ko level out kar diya. Sabse ahm baat jo yahan dekhi ja sakti hai, woh yeh ke price ne 2024 ka maximum 1.0978 update kiya hai aur yeh ek potential sales zone hai, kam az kam yahan se ek corrective rollback bohot mumkin hai. Price bhi ascending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai aur ab iski top ko storm kar rahi hai. Wave structure ne apna order upar banana shuru kar diya hai
. Aaj ki trading main price channels ke andar upward trend ka representation hai, jo pichlay do trading dinon ke doran price movement ka direction tha. Hum mazeed upside ki talash main hain. Is waqt price behavior bullish hai, kyun ke lower channel lines aur weekly pivot level se support mil rahi hai. Jab price red channel line ko pohanchi, toh drop hui, lekin lower channel line se support milte hi wapas upar janay lagi. Agar 1-hour candle channels ke neeche close hoti hai aur un channels ko break karti hai, toh sell ka mauqa ho ga agar candle channels ke neeche close hoti hai.
Ab jab ke red channel break ho gaya hai, price expected hai ke weekly resistance level 1.0910 tak rise karegi. EUR/USD prices mumkin hai ke weekly resistance level 1.0935 ki taraf upward wave start karen. Yeh is waqt ascending price channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jo pichlay do trading dinon ke doran price movement ko reflect karta hai. Is ke ilawa, price ne rise karna shuru kiya aur phir weekly pivot level pe sideways ho gayi. Abhi ke waqt price lower channel line se support le rahi hai aur upward move kar rahi hai, jo pehlay candles se zyada liquidity show kar rahi hai. Is wajah se, ek buy signal current level se resistance level 1.0930 tak consider kiya jaa raha hai, jab ke stop loss level 1.0880 ke neeche set kiya gaya hai taake losses minimize ho sakain. Aaj sell karne ke liye, aapko dekhna hoga ke price 1.0900 ke neeche drop ho aur ek ghante ke liye is level ke neeche remain kare.
EUR/USD ne surge kiya aur hourly time frame par downward trend ko tod diya. Hamara manna hai ke euro ne tamam bullish factors ko factor in kar liya hai, isliye ham upward movement ke jari rehne ki umeed nahi karte. Haan, U.S. data ne Friday ko dollar ko phir let down kiya, magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke greenback har din depreciate hoga. 24-hour time frame ab bhi 1.06 aur 1.10 ke flat range mein hai. Iss range ko chhodne ki koi wajah nahi hai. Market ab panic aur chaos ke halat mein hai.

EUR/USD ke price action ka jaiza lete hain aur is par kya analysis ho sakti hai. Producer Price Index (PPI) ke mutabiq kami aayi hai, jo ye darshata hai ke aane wale waqt mein inflation kam ho sakti hai. Yeh natija kuch had tak chonkane wala tha, lekin itna tez movement ki ummeed nahi thi. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price pehle ke high 1.1009 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke significant news ke bagair bhi, pair ka bullish momentum 18:59 par shuru hua, jo speculative interest ka nishan ho sakta hai. 1.1004 level abhi tak resistance banay hua hai, aur 1.099 level se rebound dekha ja raha hai, jahan support 1.0969 par hai. Buy zone 1.0934 aur 1.0914 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair 10th figure mein enter kar jaata hai aur 79-99 points aur gain karta hai, toh bearish momentum khatam ho sakta hai. Alternatively, agar 1.1011 ko break karta hai, toh pullback ho sakta hai.


H1 chart par, euro-dollar buyers ne 1.0880 ke low se shuru hui upward momentum ko barqarar rakha hai, jisne pair ko 1.0993 ke dusre impulse zone ko test karne tak le gaya. Yeh move puri bullish cycle ko complete kar chuki hai. Aaj ke bullish candle ke volume ke izafi hone ke bawajood, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD kal bhi apni rise ko continue kare, lekin final direction largely U.S. inflation data par depend karegi. Nearest critical support euro ke liye 1.0978 ke lower boundary par hai. Is level se, price upward reverse ho sakti hai resistance zone 1.1039-1.1059 ki taraf ya phir pehle impulse zone levels 1.0055 aur 1.0841 tak decline kar sakti hai. Filhal, buyers ka advantage barqarar hai aur pichle haftay ke high ko update karna mumkin lagta hai, lekin underlying fundamentals aakhirat ka faisla karenge.

Hamari guftagu aaj EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par markooz hogi. Pichle paanch din, bears ko strategic taur par nishana nahi banaya gaya, jisse unhe correction ke doran break even karne ka mauka mil gaya ya thodi si loss ke saath position close karne ka. Yeh tactic chhoti si percentage gain dene ke liye nahi thi, balki unke deposits ko khatam karne ke liye thi. Pehle din mein ek bara group sellers ne shayad August 1 ko apni positions se bahar nikalna mushkil paaya. Ab jab yeh bara group upward hai, to aam taur par yeh speculation hai ke 10th figure ceiling hai. Abhi ke levels se losses ko cut karna mushkil ho sakta hai, aur 11th figure tak pohnchne tak losses itne zyada ho sakte hain ke position close karna bekaar ho sakta hai. Shayad wo stop-out ka intezar karein. Phir, jo sellers ko ek acha future dikhane wale hain, woh sales se faida utha sakte hain. Yeh catalyst euro-dollar buyers ko 1.0981 level par chhoti si debt settle karne ka mauka mila.

EUR/USD ka critical resistance pichle descending fan ke angle aur 1.0991 level par hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jata hai, to previous high 1.1008 tak pohnchna sirf waqt ki baat lagti hai. Euro-dollar ka primary support 1.0959 par hai, jahan se EUR/USD price ya to bullish ho sakti hai ya niche ke support levels 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 ki taraf chal sakti hai. Aaj ki growth ke bawajood, euro-dollar ka technical outlook unchanged hai, aur kal ke fundamentals par bohot kuch depend karega. H1 time frame par, currency pair/instrument medium-term movement ka faida dene ka potential rakhta hai. Hamara maqsad H4 time frame ke trend ko accurately identify karna aur market entry ko pinpoint karke maximum gains hasil karna hai.

Subah ka tajwez, maine 1.1017 level par tawajjo di thi aur is par market entry decisions lene ka plan banaya tha. 5-minute chart dekhte hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. 1.1017 level tak rise hui, lekin is level par koi jhooti breakout nahi hui. Technical setup doosre din ke liye bhi wahi hai.

**EUR/USD par Long Position** kholne ke liye:**

Pehle din ke hisse mein movement ki kami, khali economic calendar aur expected U.S. economic statistics se hai, jo Federal Reserve ke plans ko thoda asar karenge. Agar July ke retail sales volume mein kami hoti hai to dollar ko nuksan ho sakta hai aur U.S. inflation aur kam ho sakti hai, is liye euro mein data release ke baad strong bullish surge dekha ja sakta hai. Hum initial jobless claims, industrial production changes aur FOMC member Patrick T. Harker ke speech ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain. Technical setup agar waisa hi rahe, aur agar statistics kamzor hoti hain, to 1.0984 support level ke around decline aur jhooti breakout achi condition hogi long positions kholne ke liye, euro ke growth aur bullish trend ke liye. Agar 1.1017 par breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to pair strengthen hogi aur 1.1047 ki taraf upar ja sakti hai. Ultimate target 1.1076 maximum hoga, jahan mein profit take karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Agar EUR/USD decline hoti hai aur 1.0984 ke around second half of the day mein activity nahi hoti, jo sirf strong U.S. data se ho sakta hai, to sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo pair ko neeche push karne lagenge. Is case mein, main sirf 1.0984 ke agle support par jhooti breakout ke baad enter karunga, jahan moving averages hain aur buyers ko support de rahe hain. Main long positions tab kholunga jab price 1.0949 se rebound karegi, daily upward correction ke liye 30-35 points ka target rakhunga.

**EUR/USD par Short Positions kholne ke liye:**

Sellers ab bhi initiative kho rahe hain. 1.1017 level ki defense lagta hai ke tik gayi hai, lekin koi downward movement follow nahi hui. Data release ke baad 1.1017 par jhooti breakout short positions kholne ke liye ek suitable scenario degi, intermediate support 1.0984 ki taraf decline ka target hoga. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur neeche se retest hota hai, to selling ke liye ek aur point milega aur 1.0949 ki taraf move hoga, jahan mein zyada active buyer presence expect kar raha hoon. Ultimate target 1.0916 area hoga, jahan mein profit take karunga. Is level ka test euro buyers ke upward trend ko undermine karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke bawajood rise hota hai aur 1.1017 aur 1.1047 par bearish activity nahi hoti, to buyers naye upward trend ko continue karenge. Us case mein, main sales ko agle resistance 1.1076 tak postpone kar dunga aur wahan bhi act karunga, magar sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions tab kholunga jab 1.1111 se rebound hoga, downward correction ke liye 30-35 points ka target rakhunga.

Currency pair EURUSD - H4 period chart. Is week mein market relatively quiet raha hai, price action consolidation mein hai. Lekin last week bohot productive raha. Koi major unexpected movements nahin hue, lekin kuch good trading opportunities aaye jo nicely play out hue. Typically, is pair par har week mein do ya teen good opportunities aati hain. Sab kuch key horizontal level 1.0942 ke around ghoomta hai. First opportunity aayi jab level ko upside mein break kiya gaya, phir hourly chart par pullback aaya, clear bounce upside mein diya. Phir market ne level ko downside mein break kiya, aur short mein enter karne ka opportunity diya, jo profitable move downside mein hua. Third opportunity aayi jab price ne 1.0942 level ke neeche stuck ho gaya, phir breakout hua aur resistance level ban gaya uptrend ke edge par, selling zone mein. Jaise expected, market wahan se drop hua. Phir correction upside mein aayi, aur price range mein stuck ho gaya week ke end tak. Observation se pata chalta hai ki 80-90 percent time market ranging mein rehta hai, occasional opportunities short-term trades ke liye small profits 20-30 pips capture karne ke liye. Mere khayal mein jo log big moves ke liye wait karte hain wo masochism mein engage hain; market jo offer karta hai wo lena behtar hai, jo typically har week mein do ya teen trading opportunities hoti hain. Currently, market middle mein stuck hai, dono directions mein move karne ke equal chances hain. Buyers ke upper hand hai ascending wave structure ke wajah se four-hour aur daily charts par. Additionally, MACD indicator do higher timeframes par overbought zone mein hai, buyers ke favor mein. Lekin sellers ke bhi arguments hain. Daily MACD par bearish divergence ki presence significant factor hai sellers ke liye. Today ke liye koi major economic news events

Qeemat ab ek resistance zone mein trading kar rahi hai, jabke qeemat upper triangle line aur weekly pivot level ka samna kar rahi hai. Qeemat ne is haftay trading shuru ki triangle mein, jo 4-hour chart par white mein marked hai, jo price channels ki overlap se bani hai, jinmein se ek bearish red hai, jo previous week mein price movement ki direction ko represent karta hai, aur doosra blue hai, jo upward direction ko represent karta hai, previous two weeks mein price movement ki direction ko. Isliye, qeemat ko triangle mein sideways direction mein move karna hai, phir triangle ko break karke naye direction ko determine karna hai.

Pair par trade karne ke liye, humein current level se achi selling opportunity hai, stop loss level ko price triangle ke upar set karke aur target level ko lower triangle line ke upar set karke. Buying opportunity ke liye, yeh triangle ko upwards break karne ke baad aur price ko triangle ke upar stabilize karne ke baad 4 trading hours ke baad available hoga.

Economic side par, Euro Dollar ki performance narrow range mein rahegi, downside ki neutral tendency ke saath, jab tak financial markets US inflation figures aur US Federal Reserve officials ke statements ka reaction nahi dete. US interest rate policy ke future par, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha ki woh abhi bhi positive inflation risks ko dekh rahi hai aur cautious hai rate cuts ke liye... Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha ki woh abhi bhi positive inflation risks ko dekh rahi hai aur labor market mein continued strength ko dekh rahi hai, jo ki woh rate cut ke liye support nahi kar sakti hai, jab US central bankers September mein milenge. "May aur June mein inflation ko reduce karne ki progress welcome development hai, lekin inflation abhi bhi committee ki 2% goal se upar hai," Bowman ne Saturday ko Kansas Bankers Association ke saamne Colorado Springs mein ek speech mein kaha. "Main apni approach mein cautious rahungi," woh ne kaha

Euro ne hal hi mein US Dollar ke against girawat dekhi, jo 1.1000 ke ahem level se neeche chala gaya, yeh iske bawajood hua ke investor ka confidence barh raha tha. Yeh girawat us waqt hui jab ek mazboot US retail sales report saamne aayi, jo 18 mahine ka high tha aur kisi bhi mandi ke khatrey ko khatam kar rahi thi. Lekin market ka reaction zara mukhtalif tha. Pehle toh positive economic data ne sentiment ko mazboot kiya, lekin saath hi Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate hikes ki umeedon ko bhi thanda kar diya. Ab investors zyada dheere approach ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jismein September mein 25 basis points ka izafa sabse zyada likely lag raha hai. Rate hike expectations mein is shift ne US Dollar ki appeal ko kam kar diya, jisse EUR/USD pair ko thodi resilience mili.

Technical tor par, pair apni recent rally ke baad consolidation dikhata hai. 200-day EMA 1.0826 par ek potential support level hai, lekin overall trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD wapas us downtrend channel mein ja sakta hai jo 2024 mein iske movement ko dominate karta raha hai. Agay chal kar agar pair 1.0940-1.0970 resistance level ko todta hai, toh yeh 1.1000 ke psychological mark ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar pair 1.1045 se upar rehta hai, toh yeh 1.1100 level ko target kar sakta hai, aur agay chal kar 1.1150 area tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair 1.0940-1.0970 ke upar hold nahi karta, toh yeh downtrend mein wapas ja sakta hai, jahan 200-day EMA ek ahem support level banega.

Short-term mein agar 1.0875 ke near 20-day SMA aur October-December upleg ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement selling pressure ko rok sakta hai. Lekin agar bears is level ko todte hain, toh girawat 1.0700 tak tez ho sakti hai.

Overall, jab ke EUR/USD ko temporary setbacks ka samna hai, market sentiment phir bhi cautiously optimistic hai. Pair ka agla rukh ziada tar economic data, interest rate expectations, aur geopolitical factors par depend karega.

ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.

ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.