𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD ka technical analysis: EUR/USD pair ne naye levels tak pohancha, 1.0729 ke mark ko paar kar gaya, lekin momentum kamzor hai. Technical signals mix hain. Support 1.0729 par hai.

EUR/USD ne euro sarkari intervention ka khatra taal diya foreign exchange market mein doosre din 1.0789 ke upar band hone ke bawajood aur saalana unchaai 1.0820 tak pahunchne ka nateeja diya. Currency pair ne ashadhankon ke upper limit ko paar kiya lagataar aaraam se upar ki taraf rawana hone ke liye umeed badha di hai. Yeh saath mein mukhtalif technical indicators ke saath mil kar, bazar mein hoshiyari ka ehsaas zahir karta hai. Agar yeh sakht raftar jaari rahegi, to pair 1.0804 aur 1.0939 ilaake ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo 2024 ke unche boundary aur vishal ascending channel ko jodta hai. Kharid daar phir 1.0929 ilaake ko nishana bana sakte hain, jo pichle hafte ek resistance zone tha, phir 1.1048 ilaake jo saal bhar ek aur bara rukawat tha. Yeh raha chart:

Tou agar triangle aur 20-day simple moving average 1.0700 par todta hai, to pair ko 50-day simple moving average 1.0600 par support mil sakta hai. Iske upar ki tory se aage ki raasta saaf ho sakta hai aur aur giravat ki taraf aur 1.0689 ilaake ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar yeh akhri raasta bhi giravat ko rok na sake, to bech mein bech mein channel ke niche ki taraf ja sakta hai 1.0595 tak. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD ne apna 2024 ka rasta jaari rakha aur is hafte naye nadir tak pohancha, lekin kharidari ki dilchaspi rang bhar jaati hai jab tak momentum kamzor hota hai. Lekin, upar ki khatraat ka umeed hai ke wahin bani rahegi jab tak ke daam 1.0783 se neeche na jaaye. Yeh raha chart:

EUR/USD ke prices ka tafteesh kar rahe hain. Kal ke US session mein, EURUSD ne naye low tak pohancha, apni neechay ki taraf rawana trend ka low point darust karte hue. Magar, aik zone jo attractive prices ka hai, aaj shayad ban sakta hai. Lekin, darust hai ke sudhar ko sabz zone mein mehdood rakha jaye kyun ke zone ke andar aik challenge hai, jo 1.0653 ka quote hai. Is quote ko tor dena aik technical breakdown ko trigger kar sakta hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, euro aaj aik bullish candle dikhata hai, jo currency mein izafa ke liye ek mozu' hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke euro ki demand market mein supply se zyada ho sakti hai, jo ke iski qeemat ko barha sakta hai. Magar, doosre factors bhi hain, jaise ke ma'ashi indicators aur siyasi waqe'at, jo currency ke performance par asar daal sakte hain, is liye market ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna zaroori hai. For those H-4 corrective opportunities ke liye jo EUR/USD buyers ko ghoor rahe hain, aham resistance 1.0683 ke qareeb aik challenge ka mozu' ban sakta hai. Agar resistance mumkin hai, to yeh upar ki taraf rawana harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jis se resistance ko 1.0748 aur 1.0771 tak target kiya ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai ke breakthrough 1.0683 par ho, lekin yeh ghalat fehmi bhi ho sakti hai. Intezar karne ke liye izafa aur 1.07 ke upar bechna, ya chotay arse ke faide ke liye ahtiyaat se kharidna, mumkin nazar aata hai. Magar, ghair yaqeeni baqi hai, shayad 1.0609 ke neeche ek giravat ke baad sudhar ho. GBPUSD euro ki momentum ki kami hai, jo tasveeron ko aur bhi andhera banata hai.

EUR/USD




EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein taraqqi se kami nazar aayi hai, jise bade currencies ke khilaf US dollar ke mustaqil mazboot honay ka bara sabab hai. Ye trend maali lafzat mein rukhne ki economic la tajarubaat mein aaman ki talaash karne wale investors ki taraf se dawat deta hai. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabao daala hai, khaaskar eurozone mein, khaas tor par Germany mein bigarte hue economic conditions, jo pair ki giravat ko mazeed barha raha hai. Ibtidaati trading expectations mein EUR/USD pair mein khaas zyada volatility ka intizaar nahi tha. Jabke giravat ka jari rehne ka imkaan tha, wahaan thora saaray kaam hone ka imkaan tha, jahan market analysts ne 1.0835 ke aas paas aik mojooda mukaarar point par ankh rakhi. Planat inhein is manzil ke neeche bechna tha, jahan targets agle levels par set kiye gaye the jaise 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Mukhtasir tor par jo soch thi woh cautious tha EUR/USD pair ke liye, maazi ke market conditions ko dekhte hue sust negative dabaav ka imkaan tha. Chhote arsay ke kharidari mawaid ko rokne ki sochi gayi, jise chalte hue giravat ka trend bana rehta tha. Magar, agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke upar chadh jata to ek umeed hai ke upar ki correction ho sakti hai, magar is se pehle bearish momentum ka imkaan tha. Bechna 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashwara diya gaya, jo daily chart par saathwe figure ke neeche girne ki taraf ishaara karta tha. Magar, giravat ke douran intraday pullbacks se ehtiyaat ki zarurat thi. Mumkin mukhaalifat ke bawajood, peheli prioriti bechne par thi. Market players ke shift hone ke saath, kal ke Asian session mein ziada volatility ka imkaan tha, jise European session mein kami ka imkaan tha.
Darmiyani doran, chaarwein wave number char ke neeche halat ka hal chal raha hai, jahan ahem level ab 1.0800 par hai, jo bechne ka aik factor bhi hai. Upar ke trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara 1.0800 ke breach se hoga. In dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ka mashwara diya gaya taa ke douran market conditions ko hal kiya ja sake. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur macroeconomic data releases ka tasavvur tha ke pair ki harkat ko asar andaz ho sakta tha, trading landscape mein mazeed complexity ka ek aur layer daal deta tha. Isliye, traders ke liye zaroori tha ke wo inform rahen aur unke faisla kun processes mein agile rahen tak ke potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake aur risks ko effectively kam kiya ja sake. Mukhtasar tor par, EUR/USD pair ki short se medium term ke liye nazarya giravat mein raha, temporary upward corrections ka imkaan hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat aur ahem levels aur technical indicators ko qareeb se dekh kar maqool trading decisions lene ki zaroorat thi.

Jab Tak Trading Week Ki Tayari Karte Hain

Jab hum agle trading week ke liye tayari karte hain, toh bahtareen hai ke hamein markets ko ek barabar dimag se approach karna chahiye, jahan ham potential risks aur opportunities ko pehchan saken. Price movements ko nazdeek se monitor karke ek behtar trading strategy ko follow karte hue, hum markets mein confidence aur resilience ke saath ghum sakte hain, khud ko volatility ke darmiyan kamiyabi ke liye position kar sakte hain. Agla trading week ke liye dekhte hain, kehmaqam aur bevkuf khariddaar ko na distracten jo aik potential uptrend ki taraf dekhte hain. Bulish traders mein udaasi bhara mahol hone ke bawajood, COT data release ka intezaar karna behtar hai takay haal hi mein market activity mein roshni dale aur sentiment mein mumkin tabdiliyon ko pehchan sakein. Iske ilawa, setups ka jaeza Monday ke regarding, khaaskar options contacts se, put contacts ko mila ke aik israar ko darust kar raha tha, jo ke market ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Ab price position 1.0808 area par gir gaya hai, candlestick position ab bhi 100 period simple moving average line ke niche hai, jo ke bada time frame mein bearish trend ka jari rakhne ka ishara deta hai. Ane wale haftay ke market scenario ke liye, bus price ke dobara girne ka intezaar karein takay ek bechne ka ishara mile, aisa ho sakta hai ke sellers price ko 100 period simple moving average line ke niche lower area tak le jaana chahte hain. Agar main maujooda price movement jo ke bearish hone ki taraf milti hai, monitor karta hoon, to meri raaye mein yeh kafi zyada mushkil hai ke market phir se sellers ke control mein hoga aur 1.0762 zone ko test karne ke liye dobara girne ka potential rakhta hai kyun ke yeh calculations aur technicalities par based hai. Meri raaye mein, price ka safar Downtrend taraf jari rah sakta hai.

Agar ap EurUsd pair ki 4-hour time frame mein price movement observe karte hain, toh wazeh ho jata hai ke market trend Downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Is hafte ki market movements ke base par, girne ki tendency hai, magar yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara 1.0744 zone tak gir sake taki yeh bearish taraf ki taraf jaeri aur agle haftay ke liye opportunities bhi khole. Trading period ke doran, hum munasib position kholne ke liye area tay karte hue mouqay talash kar sakte hain.

Jaise hi hum agle trading haftay ke liye tayyari karte hain, markets ko barabar dimaag se qareeb se dekha jaana zaroori hai, mohtabile ke khatron aur imkaanon ko pehchaankar. Qeemat ke harkaton ko gehraai se dekh kar aur ek mazboot trading strategy ka ta'alluq karke, hum markets ko bharose aur istiqamat ke saath samajh sakte hain, apne aap ko halaat-e-jiddat mein kamiyabi ke liye muqarrar kar sakte hain. Aane wale trading haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, ehmiyat hai ke hum ehtiyaat se kaam karein aur buyers ko jo ek mumkin uptrend ki taraf dekhte hain, unhein distrub na karein. Bullish traders mein udaasi ka mahaul bhi hone ke bawajood, behtar hai ke hum Commitment of Traders (COT) data ke ikhtiyaar ki roshni mein intezar karein, taake halaat-e-haazira ke maazi ki market activity ko samajh sakein aur jazbat mein taqreebati tabdiliyon ko pehchan sakein. Mazeed, setups ki tajziyah peer ko, khaaskar options contracts ke hawale se, neechay put contracts ki ghulabi harkat zahir ki, jo ke dharak ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Ab qeemat ka moqam 1.0808 ilaqa tak gir gaya hai, candlestick ka moqam ab bhi 100 muddati aam simple moving average line ke neeche hai, jo ke bara waqt darust bearish trend ki jari rahne ki nishaandahi karta hai. Agle haftay ke market ke manzar par, bas qeemat ka dobara girne ka intezar karein taake ek bechne ki alaamat mil sake, shayad bechnay walay qeemat ko 100 muddati aam simple moving average line ke neeche ke ilaqa tak le jaana chahte hain. Agar main haal ki qeemat ki harkat ko jo ke bearish janib ja rahi hai dekhta hoon, toh meray khayal mein, bohot zyada imkaan hai ke market dobara bechnay walon ke qaboo mein aaye aur dobara 1.0762 zone ko test karne ke liye girne ki salahiyat rakhta hai kyunke ye hisaab aur technicalities par hai. Meray khayal mein, qeemat ka safar Downtrend janib jaari reh sakta hai.

Agar aap 4 ghantay ke time frame mein EurUsd jodi ki qeemat ki harkat dekhte hain, toh wazeh hai ke market trend Downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Is haftay ke market harkaton ke buniyaad par, ye girne ki taraf jaane ka rujhaan hai, lekin mumkin hai ke qeemat dobara 1.0744 zone tak gir sake taake ye aur dharak ke janib jaari rehne ki imkaan khole, jaisa ke agle haftay ke liye. Trading muddat ke doran, hum moqaon ke liye talaash kar sakte hain ek munasib moqa kaaiye ke ilaqa muntakhib karke.

EUR/USD teesri martaba 1.0618 ke level ko paar karne mein nakam raha aur aakhir mein guzishta haftay ki kami ke baad ek bullish correction shuru ki. Ye bilkul saqit nahi hai kyunke kal kisi khaas macroeconomic ya bunyadi waqiyaat ke aakhri din mein koi zyada ahem nahi thay. Magar, bas aik din pehle, Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ne ishara diya ke central bank June mein interest rates ko nahi kam karega. Unhone kaha ke America mein inflation ka samna karne mein "mazeed taraqqi ki kami" rahi hai. Isliye, interest rates ko 2% maqsad tak wapas lana ke liye buland rakha jayega. Wahi European Central Bank June mein interest rates ko kam karne ke liye bilkul yaqeeni hai, jis ne America ke currency ko mazeed 2-3 mahinon tak us ke upar ki raftar ko jaari rakhne ka acha mauqadiya. Isliye, bunyadi manzar nama ko ek neeche ki taraf ki raftar ka ishaara hai, aur jo hum ab dekh rahe hain woh sirf aik mamooli correction hai.
5-minute timeframe par aik trading signal tha jo qabil-e-zikar hai. European session ke shuru mein, keemat ne 1.0611-1.0618 ke range se bounce kiya, uske baad is ne 1.0668 ke level tak pohanch kar us se guzar gaya. Isliye, naye traders ne subah mein long positions khol sakte thay, jo unhe kareeb 40 pips ka munafa diya. 1.0668 ke level ke upar rehna naye long positions ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai, lekin mojooda izafah sirf aik correction hai.

Thursday ko trading tips:
Hourly chart par, downtrend qaim hai. Hum maante hain ke euro ko mazeed neeche girna chahiye, kyunke wo ab bhi zyada ooncha hai, aur aam tor par, trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Haal hi mein macro data ne America ke dollar ko poori support di hai. Aalmi bunyadi manzar nama ishara deta hai ke European Central Bank agle meeting par rates ko kam karne ka aghaz karega, jab ke Fed apni rate cut cycle ko aage dhakela hai.
Thursday ko, euro mojooda halat ke mukhtalif hai, kyunke wo 1.0668 ke level ko paar kar chuki hai. Aap chhote se khareedari ko mad e nazar rakhein. Ussi waqt, sell signals zyada dilchasp honge kyunke pair ne ek downtrend ka peecha kiya hai.
5M chart par aham levels 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981 hain. European Union mein aaj koi ahem waqiyaat na hoinge, jab ke America sirf jobless claims aur new home sales ke secondary reports jaari karega. Zahir hai, hum aaj phir low volatility aur kamzor raftar ki tawaqo kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein darust giravat dekhi gayi hai, jis ka bara hissa dusri major currencies ke khilaaf mazboot honay ki wajah se hai. Ye trend investors ko ek maqbool raqam dhoondnay mein mashhoor hua hai, jahan economic uncertainties ke darmiyan ek safe haven ki talash thi. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabaav daala hai, khaas taur par eurozone mein behtar nahi hone wali economic surat-e-haal, khaas tor par Germany mein, jo pair ki neeche ki taraf raftar ko barha raha hai. Ibtidayi trading expectations ne EUR/USD pair mein kisi numaya ghair mutaghayyar ho ne ki umeed nahi rakhi. Jabke giravat ka jari rehne ka intezar tha, wahan ek mamooli upar ki sudhar ki sambhavna bhi thi, jahan market analysts ne 1.0835 level ke aas paas ek maqam par mojood ek potenshul turning point par nazar rakhni thi. Plans banaye gaye they is mijazi se neeche bechne ke liye is raah daari ke neeche, targets set kiye gaye they agle levels par jaise ke 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Overall sentiment EUR/USD pair ki taraf ehtiyaat se jhuka hua tha, mukhtalif market conditions ki maujooda mojoodgi ke maamool mein sust raftar ki muntazir thi. Short-term buying opportunities ko maujooda bearish trend ke bana rehne ki wajah se mehdood samjha gaya tha. Magar agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke upar chale gaya, to ek upar ki sudhar ho sakti thi, magar is tak bearish momentum tab tak barkarar rahne ki umeed thi. Sales 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashwara di gaya tha, rozaana chart par seventh figure ke neeche girne ki umeed ke saath. Magar downtrend ke andar intraday pullbacks par ehtiyaat mandi ka mashwara diya gaya. Mumkin hurdles ke bawajood, priority sales par rehti thi. Market players ke badalte hone ke sath, zyada volatility kal ke Asian session mein mutawaqqa thi, phir European session ke doran ek kam hoti thi. Darmiyani mor par, chouthi wave ab number char ke neeche kaam kar rahi hai, aham level ab 1.0800 par hai, jo ke ek bechnay ka factor bhi hai. Ek upar ki trend ki tabdeeli ko 1.0800 ko paar karne se ishaara milaega. In dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshyaar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhne ka mashwara diya gaya taake hararat-e-market ke mutaghayyar hote hue halat mein sahi faislay kar saken. Mazeed, jangliyat events aur macroeconomic data releases pair ki harkat ko mutasir karne ka intezar tha, jo trading landscape mein ek mazeed tabqa ka fitoor bhi tha. Is liye traders ke liye wazeh rehna aur unke faislayat ko taqatwar banane ke liye zaroori hai ke wo inform rahein aur apne faislay ko tehqeeq se le kar risks ko effectively kam kar sakein. Overall, EUR/USD pair ki nazar short to medium term mein bearish rahi, temporary upward corrections ki sambhavna ke saath. Magar traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena aur ahem levels aur technical indicators ko nazar andaaz karna mashwara diya gaya tha taake inform kiya gaya trading decisions le sakein.

EUR/USD

Kaafi mushkil hojata hai trading karna kabhi kabhi jab hum ek disha mein systematic pressure dekhte hain. Kal, EUR/USD ko apne aap ko theek karne ki koshish dikhayi, aur mere paas iske liye thode zyada iraade the, lekin mujh mein taqat nahi thi ki aur aage ja sakoon. Din ke ant tak, local low ka ek update record karne ki gunjaish thi aur yeh ek naya southern zigzag ka nirman tha. Ek aur baat, mujhe samajh mein aata hai ke jab aise chhote "unloading" chal raha hota hai, toh bechne ka interest nahi hota. Isi tarah, main lambi positions ko consider karna toh majboori hai, lekin zigzag ke maujoodgi ke karan, main transaction ko dheyan se dekhunga. Maine 1.0595 ko support ke roop mein nirdharit kiya hai aur yahan se main koshish karunga ki kharid loon. Kal ke uchaiyon ke upar yojana banana bekaar hai, isliye agar humein 1.0595 se 1.0655 tak pratikriya milti hai, toh yeh ek achha daur hoga. Abhi tak 1.0558 ke ilaake ko kuch ihtiyaat se dekh raha hoon. Mere paas din ka chart dekh kar 1.0530 ka shreni hai, jo aapne bataya hua hai, lekin shayad yahan tak aane ki umeed zyada hai ki hum kisi pullback ke zariye yahan aayenge, jo main apne fayde mein istemal kar sakta hoon. Is dauraan, din ke uchaiyon se samajh aata hai ki saare raaste FE 100 - 138.2 ke ilaake tak jaate hain, aur yeh 1.0530 hai. Hum yahan toh har haal mein aayenge, lekin jo hamen uljha raha hai woh yeh hai ki yahaan data aur barhte hue geo-political tensions hain. Sakht US retail sales figures ne dollar ki mang ko badha diya. Eurozone, wahi par, ek uljhan bhara hua halat ka samna kar rahi hai: inflation ka halka padna lekin ek stagnate economy. Isne ECB ka potential interest rate cut June mein signal kiya hai, euro ko dollar ke mukable mein aur kamzor karke. Aag ko aur bhadkaate hue, Middle East conflict

Jab hum aglay trading haftay ke liye tayar hotay hain, toh ahem hai ke hum bazaar ko ek barabar dimagh se qareeb se dekhen, mumkin risks aur mauqein pehchan kar. Qeemat ke harkat ko gehri nazar se dekhte hue aur aik achi tarah tay kardi gayi trading strategy ko follow kar ke, hum bazaar mein pur bharosa aur mazbooti ke saath safar kar sakte hain, jisse ke hum apne aapko tabdeel hone wale halaat mein kamiyabi ke liye tayar kar sakte hain. Aglay trading haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, ehtiyat baratna ahem hai aur kharidari karne wale ko kisi bhi surat mein ghair tabdeel karna nahi chahiye jo ek mumkin uptrend ki taraf dekhte hain. Bulish traders ke darmiyan udaasi bhari mahaul ke bawajood, behtar hai ke hum Commitment of Traders (COT) data ke ikhtitami release ka intezar karen taake hum haaliye ke bazaar ki gatividhi ko samajh sakein aur jazbat mein mumkin tabdeelion ko pehchan sakein. Mazeed, Monday ke setups ka jaaeza lena, khaaskar options contracts ke lehaz se, neeche put contracts ka melting ka izhar karta hai, jisse ke aik girawat bazaar ko asar kar sakta hai. Ab qeemat 1.0808 ilaqa tak gir gayi hai, candlestick ka maqam ab bhi 100 doraah aasan moving average ki line ke neechay hai, jo ke bara time frame mein bearish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara deta hai. Agle haftay ke bazaar ke manzaray ko dekhte hue, sirf intezar karen ke qeemat dobara girne ke liye takay ek farokht ka signal mil sake, yeh ho sakta hai ke farokht karne wale qeemat ko 100 doraah aasan moving average ki line ke neeche ka ilaqa lay karana chahte hain. Agar main mojooda qeemat ki harkat ko dekhta hoon jo bearish hone ki taraf hai, toh meray khayal mein bazaar phir se farokht karne walon ke control mein aa sakta hai aur dobara girne ka potential hai takay 1.0762 ilaqa ko dobara test kar sake kyun ke yeh hisaab aur technicalities par mabni hai. Meray khayal mein, qeemat ka safar Downtrend taraf jaari reh sakta hai.
Agar aap 4 ghantay ka time frame dekhen toh EurUsd jodi ki qeemat ki harkat mein wazeh hai ke bazaar ka trend Downtrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Is haftay ke bazaar ki harkat ke mutabiq, yeh girne ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat phir se 1.0744 ilaqa tak gir sake taake yeh mauqe ko dobara bearish taraf jaari rakh sake, aglay haftay ke liye bhi. Trading muddat ke doran, hum moqa dhoond sakte hain ke aik munasib position kholne ke ilaqe tay karen.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:
Humari guftagu ke pehlu mein, is takraar aur is ka dollar par asar, main itminan se kehna chahunga ke mumalik ko kisi tarah ka balance qaim rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hain, jahan woh yeh dikhane ki koshish kar rahe hain ke woh Israel ko madad faraham karke apni shaan na khatam karain aur ek sath har mumkin tareeqay se zahir kar rahe hain ke unko is takraar se koi parwaah nahi hai jisko unki farmabardariyon ki calls ke sath chalna zaroori hai takay is takraar ko agay barhne na diya jaaye. Is liye dollar ka mutabaqati rawiya, aur yeh nahi giraa aur is se zyada nahi barha, jo ke yeh yeh is waqt mujhe lagta hai ke yeh mawzu abhi tak shelf par rakh diya ja sakta hai aur dollar ke tajziati exchange rate ko mamonai arqaam se jari rakha ja sakta hai, lekin yahan mujhe lagta hai ke bazaar abhi se intezaar kar raha hai Ke ab koi statements nahi hain, lekin haqeeqati darusti ka tasdeeq, lekin abhi tak kuch nahi hai. Is parcham ke samne, mein EUR/USD jodi ke nishanay shakheem ki taraf hamaysha ke tajziati hadafon ki taraf jaari girawat ka istimrar intezar karta hoon.

Main ittefaq karta hoon, lekin 1.07 aur shayad 1.0710 ke resistance level ko test karne ke baad. In darajat ke baad, aap dakshin ki taraf mud jayein, aur wahan kafi gehra dakshin hoga, aur main intezar karunga ke hararat mein koi par niyat na ho. Mazeed, Lagarde ne ab doosre din se kahaniyan suna rahe hain aur, wazahat ke mutabiq, bazaar ko tayar kar rahe hain ke agle ECB meeting mein ECB rate ko phir se kam karega. Is liye main intezaar kar raha hoon ke jhanda 1.07-0710 tak barhne ke baad kaam kare aur phir main EUR/USD ki farokht ko pakarunga. Is doraan, kharidariyan TP ke sath chal rahi hain bas wahan nishanay shakheem ke indicate ki gayi resistance levels par. Magar kal din Europe mein taqreeban khali hai, aur America mein kuch hai ke EUR/USD ko harkat karne ki koshish kare. Is liye main isharon se ittefaq karta hoon, lekin thori dair ki deri ke sath, aur kyun na Jumma ko girawat ko kam karain. Magar hum dekhein ge. Is doraan, EUR/USD 61.8% fibo par trade ho raha hai, jharokha buland hone ki koshish karte hue, jo EMA50 ko khole ga, jo 1.07 par gir chuka hai.

Euro/dollar pair ki chaar ghanton ki chart ka jaiza lene se zahir hota hai ke ek wazeh neeche ki taraf jaane wala price channel hai. Ye channel 1.0890 ki muqami unchai se bounce ke baad bana. Is neeche ki taraf jaane wale channel mein do ahem movements waqai hui: ek girawat ki wave aur ek theek karne wale izafa ki wave.

Theek karne ke baad, pair ne apna neeche ki taraf jaane wala raasta dubara ikhtiar kiya, 1.0685 par rukawat ka samna kar ke, phir waqat ke samundar 1.0636 tak vapas gaya. Inn levalon se, pair mazeed junubi harkat ke liye tayyar nazar aata hai, jismani tor par 1.0600 ki ahmiyatmand nafsiyati leval ko target karne ke liye. Ye manzar dikhata hai ke euro/dollar pair ke muqami market mein ek mukhtalif feham hai. Har rukawat se phir se jaari ho rahi neeche ki taraf junoo, jese ke 1.0685 se wapas hatne ka saboot hai. Ye pattern yeh darust karta hai ke farokht dabao baqi hai, pair ke liye musalsal neeche ki taraf jaane wale rukh ko madad dene ke liye, jo 1.0600 se neeche girne par paida hone wale momentum ka faida uthata hai. Iske alawa, mazeed bazaar ke factors jese ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies bhi euro/dollar pair ke liye feham ko kuchh aise hi farakh dene ke liye zimmedar ho sakte hain. ECB ek rehnuma stance banaye rakhte hue jabke Federal Reserve zyada hawkish tone apnata hai, is wajah se investors euro ke bajaye dollar ko pasand kar sakte hain, pair par neeche ki taraf dabao ko mazeed bharte hue. Sadr-e-mumkinat ke mutalik char ghanton ki chart ki tafseelat ka mawazna bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Dominant neeche ki taraf jaane wale price channel, jise 1.0600 ki ahmiyatmand nafsiyati leval ke phir se test karne ka imkan hai, pair ke liye bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Faraokht dabao ke barqarar rahne ka tasawar yeh deta hai ke euro/dollar exchange rate ke liye mazeed junubi harkat ko samarthan pradan kiya jata hai.

Achha, itwaar, saathiyo.

March ek bohot dilchaspi ka mahina tha, central banks ne June mein daromadar ke liye daromadar rakh diya tha. Magar European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ek hi safah par nahi hain. Aakhri do saalon mein maali siyasat ko sakht band hone ne kai maamlaat ko door kiya hai.

Is saal, EUR/USD pair ne ek rukavat se bhara rasta tay kiya, sab se zyada trade hone wala currency pair saal ka aghaz aik cheh mahine ke uchayi se shuru kiya, phir mid-February mein ek zyada hafton ka naya kamiyat tak gir gaya. Uske baad, jodi uchaal ke channel mein barh gayi, phir girne lagi. Jab hum saal ke doosre hisse ke qareeb pahunchte hain, EUR/USD pair aik takneeki ahem area mein trade ho raha hai, jo is waqt jodi mein giravat ka nashan ban sakta hai.

1.0787 ke neeche ek naya raasta kholta hai aur mazeed nuqsaan ka rasta 1.06945 ke darmiyan Febriwari ke darmiyan ka naya kamyaab ho jaata hai. Is ke neeche, agla maqsood October 2022 ke low 1.0450 ban jata hai. Kisi bhi izaafa ko EUR/USD pair mein US dollar aur anay wali daromadar cut cycle ki aashaoon ke tabadla se jor diya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi izaafa ko EUR/USD ke ird-gird pehla rukawat 1.0980 ke aas paas milega. Agar ba-zor tor par tor diya gaya, to 1.1095 se 1.1138 ke darmiyan pichle rukawat daro ko torne mein mushkil ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD pair teesre haftay tak laal zone mein band hua, March ko sirf 1.0767 ke oopar khatam kiya, ek maheenay ka kamyaab mahina. US dollar haftay ko naram tone ke saath shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko uthne laga, ant mein choudhahai raat ko Federal Reserve ke afwahon par zor daar tabsara se raftar pakadti rahi. Jodi US PCE mehngai ke data ka kuch asar nahi hua, dollar kuch point ghat gaya. Main EUR/USD ko agle maqsood 1.07286 ki taraf bechne ka tasawwur kar raha hoon. 1.08065-1.0835 tak taaj aur bechne ka pattern ke banne ke saath sudhaar.

April ka aghaz ek mausam ke calendar ke saath hoga. US March ISM Manufacturing PMI ko peer ko jaari karega, saath hi non-farm payroll report ke qabal ek silsile ke rozgaar ke indicators bhi. Week ke darmiyan, mulk ko bhi usi mahine ke liye ISM Business Activity Index jaari karna hoga.

Euro/Dollar Currency Pair: 1.0650 Par Kam Hone Ke Baad, Agle Hafte Taqwiyat Ka Imkan
EUR/USD, yaani Euro/Dollar currency pair, is haftay 1.0650 ke qareeb girne ke baad khatam hua. 4H chart par moving averages hone ka saboot dete hain ke is mein aala rutba ka imkan hai. Keemat signal lines ke upar chali gayi hain, iska matlab hai ke khareedne wale Euro ki taraf ja rahe hain, aur agle hafte se yeh keemat mazeed upar gaya sakti hai. Isi tarah, shayad jald hi pair ki keemat mein giravat dekhi ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.0565 ke qareeb support ko test karegi, phir wapas upar chali jayegi aur poora hafte ke dauraan intehai upar chali jati rahegi. Barhavas ke liye nishana 1.0965 ke upar ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ka barhne ka ek ishara ho sakta hai agar relative strength indicator (RSI) par support line ko test kiya jaye. Pehle bhi kuch baar is line se bounce dekha gaya hai. Ek aur ishara yeh ho sakta hai agar yeh bullish Wolfe Wave pattern ke nichle edge se wapas bounce kare. Agar Euro/Dollar pair ki keemat gir jati hai aur 1.0405 ke nichle hoti hai agle haftay (April 22 — 26, 2024), to yeh yeh keh sakta hai ke bullish channel toot raha hai, aur yeh pair shayad 1.0165 ke qareeb girne wala rahe. Magar agar 1.0745 ke qareeb resistance ko todati hai aur wahan qaim rehti hai, to yeh confirm kar sakta hai ke pair ki keemat upar jayegi.

Is barhne ki ummeed hai ke keemat 1.0650 ke upar badh sakti hai. Isi ke sath, guzishta do hafte mein is mein aala rutba dekha gaya hai, aur is doran keemat signal lines se guzri hai, jis se yeh saabit hota hai ke khareedne wale Euro ko apni taraf le ja rahe hain. Iske ilawa, iski keemat support level 1.0565 ke qareeb hone ka imkan hai, jiske baad keemat wapas upar chali jayegi aur Forex market mein barhti rahegi, shayad 1.0965 ke upar chali jati.

Keemat 1.0650 ke kareeb girne ke baad, agle hafte taqwiyat ki umeed hai. 4H chart par moving averages ke mutabiq, yeh positive trend ka ishara dete hain. Prices signal lines ke paar chali gayi hain, jo ke yeh darshate hain ke khareedne wale Euro ki taraf ja rahe hain, aur agle hafte se yeh keemat mazeed upar jayegi. Yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke pair ke girne ka imkan hai, aur 1.0565 ke qareeb support ko test karegi, phir wapas bounce back upar aur barhti jati rahegi.

Isi tarah, umeed hai ke Euro/Dollar currency pair ki keemat upar chali jayegi. Agr keemat support line par relative strength indicator (RSI) ke faqr se test karti hai, to iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke keemat upar jayegi. Magar agar keemat gir jati hai aur 1.0405 ke neeche jaati hai, to yeh shayad keemat girne ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur pair shayad 1.0165 ke qareeb pohoch jaye.

Overall, Euro/Dollar currency pair ke liye agle hafte mein mazeed barhne ka potential hai, lekin girne ka imkan bhi hai jo ke trend kayam rakhne ka nishan ho sakta hai. Traders ko hosh mandi aur taqat se kaam lena chahiye, aur market ke signals ko mazbooti se dekh kar apne faislon ko aur behtar banani chahiye.

Euro iss haftay US Dollar ke khilaf takraar mein phansa hua hai, jo ke 1.0605 aur 1.0690 ke darmiyan ek side mein trading pattern mein giriftaar hai. Ye uske ek 1.8% ke zyada giravat ke baad aata hai pichle haftay. Jumeraat ko Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se chand lambi gain ke bawajood, Euro ke liye overall downtrend asal halat mein bana rehta hai. Ye ikhtilaaf European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan monetary policy par mukhtalif rujhanon se hai. Mazboot US maali daleel ne Fed ke hawkish wing ko hosla afzai ki hai, jo ke inflashn ka muqabla karne ke liye mustaqil interest rate ke izafi izafa ke liye dawa karte hain. Jumeraat ko Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ke comments, jo ke inflashn par rukawat ka zikar karte hain, ne is nazar ki tasdeeq ki aur Dollar ko chand lambi muddat ke liye mazboot kiya. Euro ne 1.0600 ke qareeb ek paanch mahine ka kamzor level tak pohanchne ke baad kuch nuqsan wapis hasil kiya. Is haftay ahem data releases Euro ke muqaddar par mazeed asar dal sakte hain. European Commission ka consumer confidence index April 22 ko, Eurozone ka PMI April 23 ko, aur Germany ka Ifo business climate index April 24 ko nazar andaaz kiye jayenge. March ke akhir se jab Euro 1.0880 ke neeche gir gaya tha, to isne Dollar ke khilaf zyada se zyada 2.5% giravat ka samna kiya hai. Halqi dhaar mein Euro ke short-term outlook ko bearish territory ki taraf le gaya hai.



Technical indicators jese ke RSI 30 ke neeche aur MACD negative territory mein trading karte hue Euro ke liye pareshani ka tasveer pesh karte hain. Agar sell-off mazeed barhta hai, to agla potential support level 1.0515 handle hai, jo ke November 2023 mein low point tha. Euro ko ane wale haftay mein up-hill muqabla ka samna hai, jahan ahem data aur central bank policy decisions uski raah tay karne ki sambhavna hai. Keemat ne upar uthne wale trend line ke neeche gir gaya, is se yeh ishaara hota hai ke neeche pullback ho sakta hai, jahan 1.0655 agla support level ban sakta hai. Ziyada bearish lambi muddat ke daur ko tezi se giravat se tabdeel kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0515 rukawat ka rasta bana sakta hai. Technical oscillators ke mutabiq, MACD apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche zyada negative momentum hasil kar raha hai daily chart mein, jabke RSI 30 ke qareeb mazboot tor par liye ja raha hai.

Trading Opportunities with EUR/USD
Hum abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke rawaiye par guftagu aur tajziya kar rahe hain. Shuru mein, hum sirf 0690 ko nishana banaya tha, jo ke ahem nahi tha aur sath hi saat figure range mein dakhil hone bhi nahi diya. Kal ka rollback wazehi ki zaroorat thi, aur ye tay nahi hai ke ye sub-wave B ke andar ABC structure ke zariye kis tarah se hone wala hai. Hum abhi bhi saath figure range ki taraf harkat dekh sakte hain, jo ke mukhtalif ghaflatoon ke baad aati hai. Subah ko ghante ke timeframe par ek jhanda bana, lekin nishane qareeb hain - kareeb 0678 aur shayad zyada. Humen agle action ko tay karne ke liye market ke rad-e-amal ka nazar rakhna hoga. Hamare weekend ke iradon mein tamam muamlaat ko ikhtitam diya jayega aur hairat angaiz waqiyat se bacha jayega. Sab se ahem hai ke asal currency pair ke liye ubharte hue trend ko nazar andaz kiya jaye aur darmiyani trends ko samajhne ke liye androoni trends ka jaeza liya jaye. EUR/USD ke liye niche ki taraf rukh jaari hai, mukhtalif androoni trends zahir ho rahe hain.



Abhi, EUR/USD ke daam resistance ke oopar pohanch rahe hain. Agar imtehan naqamiyat ka dauraan se had ko toorna nakaam raha, to EUR/USD ki niche ki taraf taqseem jaari rahegi. Magar, agar is resistance mein kisi tor par break ho, to ye ek naye trend ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Khareedari ka aghaz karne ki khuwahish ke bawajood, chal rahi kami abhi tak mukammal honi chahiye, aur ek niche ki rukh jaari hai. Halankeh maamooli durustiyan 10-20 points ke naqshay mein mashriqi rukh ho sakti hain, lekin 1.0714-28 ke aas paas farokht karna munasib lagta hai, jaise ke haftay ke hisaab se tawakkul tha. Is haftay, market ruki hui thi, Asia session ke tawaqo'at par mabni thi, jo ke maazrat ke saath asar andaz na hui. Aaj ke rukh ki jari rahaien naqabil-e-yaqeen hain, khaaskar agar hum 1.0738 tak pohanchte hain, kyunke ahem currencies mukhtalif rukh par hain. Magar, agar 1.0738 mumkin hai, to ye ek munasib farokht ka point pesh karta hai