𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Guftagu Euro/USD Kay Hawalay Se

Pichle haftay ke natayej ka tajziyah is currency pair ke liye ek nisbatan nichi raftar ka izhar karta hai. Yeh umeed hai ke yeh local minimum ko dobara test karega jo 1.0690 par hai, aur phir is ke baad mazeed nichi raftar ka sabab bane ga taake naye minimum ko banaye. Ye tajziyah euro ke darmiyanun mein darmiyan ke liye ek darmiyan dora bearish nazariya ki pehli nazar hai, jiska naaye minimum banne ke baad ek punarvrti hone ka sambhavna hai. Magar, yeh ahem hai ke yeh tajziyah foran nahi hai aur euro ko poori tarah se samajhne ke liye lagbhag aik ya do maheenay ka waqt lagega. Tab tak, keemat momentan mein do ahem se levels ke darmiyan mojood hai: 1.0710 par support aur 1.1110 ke neeche ek resistance. Yeh range-bound movement bazaar mein khareedaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan chal rahi hai. Haal hi ki keemat action ke mabain se, ye maloom hota hai ke pair asal mein nichi raftar ki taraf ja raha hai, jiska nishaan 1.0710 par support level hai. Yeh level aik ahem nukaat-e-darust hai jahan khareedaron ko keemat ka saath dene ka sambhavna hai ya jahan farokht ki dabaw barh sakta hai, jis se yeh level toot sakta hai.

Aane wale haftay ke doran, ek umeed hai ke ek pullback ka mauqa ho sakta hai jab bazaar oversold halaat se wapas chalay ya chand muddati traders ka munafa nikaalne ka samay aa jaye. Magar, yeh pullback jismani tor par overall downtrend ko toornay ka mumkin nahi hai, aur neechi raftaar ko chalne wale traders bazaar ke jazbat par qaboo rakhenge.

Traders ko saheeh ihtiyati aur chowkidari baratne ke liye ahem hai key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas ke keemat action ko dekhte rahein, aur jo koi bhi punarvrti ishara samne aaye. Durust khatarnaak management techniques ko amal mein laana, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur trading plans par amal karna, sakht market conditions mein khatron ko kam karne mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

Ikhtitaam mein, tajziyah darmiyanun mein euro/USD currency pair ke liye ek bearish nazariya ki peshkash karta hai, jis ka nishaan 1.0710 par support level ko dobara test karna hai. Halankeh chand muddati pullbacks ho sakte hain, lekin overall downtrend ka inteqaal ek naye minimum tak muntazir hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur apne strategies ko is tarah mukarar karna chahiye ke unhein musalsal barhne wale bazaar ki dynamics ko kamyabi se samjhaya ja sake.

Euro ab majboor ho raha hai US Dollar ke khilaf (USD) jab fiscal requests dono taraf Atlantic ki central bank policy opinions par bojh dal rahe hain. EUR/USD jodi negative maidaan mein trading kar rahi hai aas paas 1.0728, jo ek mazboot USD ki tarjeeh se neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ye ECB ne interest rates ko thahra kar rakhne ke baad aaya hai jaise ki ummeed thi, lekin June mein rate cut ki sambhavna ko ishara dete hue. Ulta, yeh bhi charcha mein hai ke US Federal Reserve September mein rate cut ka mokha dekh sakti hai filhal ki mazboot mahangi data ke chalte. Yeh financial policy mein ek mukhya udyata hai Euro ki kamzori ke peeche ka.
ECB ka pacifist approach, jo aane wale easing ke measures ka ishara deta hai, mukable hai tez ho rahe economic markers ke kisi jazba se ke Fed ab zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. US Consumer Price Index ne March mein ummeed se zyada bad gaya, jisse yeh suchit hota hai ke Fed kisi rate cut ko taal sakti hai. Yeh umeed ka palatvar mahatvpurn hai, kyunke is saal shuru mein bazar se Fed ke kai rate cuts ki ummeed thi.

Shuruaat mein, Euro ne 1.05 ke aas paas support paya, lekin halat yeh dikhate hain ke yeh is star ko tode sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair April mein 1.05 ke neeche gir jaye, to ye aur neeche taraf ja sakta hai, shayad 0.95 tak pahunch jaye. Kai factors is kamzori mein yogdan dete hain. USD ko economic markers se taqat milti hai, jabki ECB ka pacifist stance Euro par neeche ki taraf dabao dalta hai. Iske alawa, ek kamzor Euro European exports ko zyada muqabla yukt bana sakta hai, jisse ECB ke future mein rate ko badhane ki koshish kamzor ho sakti hai.

Investors is haftay crucial data releases ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain jo currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Jermany ke economic indicators aur US ke consumer confidence data ko Friday ko intezaar hai, jo dono regions ke economic sehat par aur EUR/USD pair ke demand par asar dal sakte hain. Iske alawa, US-China trade negotiations mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka bhi Euro/Dollar ke exchange rate dynamics par asar pad sakta hai.

Maujooda maahaul ke dastoor par dekhte hue, Euro US Dollar ke khilaf challenges ka samna kar raha hai jahan fiscal policy outlooks alag hain aur US se positive economic signals arahi hain. Agar Euro apni girawat jaari rakhta hai, to yeh April mein 1.05 level ko tode sakta hai. Market ke participants ko chaukanna rehne ki zarurat hai, ahem data releases aur trade developments par kaaraye ke saath rehne ke liye taake EUR/USD pair ke muqaddar ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Nazara gadha hai, kai factors neeche wale dharmon par qaim hai nazdeeki mein.

EURUSD currency pair ke pichle kuch trading sessions mein ek sthayi giravat dekhi gayi hai, jabki European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke mudra neetiyon ke beech ki bhedbhav jari hai, jo euro par bojh banata hai. EURUSD abhi 1.05 ke aaspaas trading ho raha hai, jabki saptah shuruwat mein 1.07 ke upar tha. Is giravat ke dauran ECB ke adhikariyon ne apna dovish drishtikon aur uchch mehngai se nipatne ke liye prakarshar roop se darshaya hai, jabki Fed ne char lagatar 0.75% ki vriddhiyan pradan karne ke baad age chal kar dhima gati se badhane ka sanket diya hai.

Technical drishtikon se, EURUSD ne kal ek mukhya samarthan ko 1.0650 ke aaspaas tod diya hai, jo November ke adhikansh samay ke liye bana raha tha. Is tootne ne aur bhi adhik stop-loss bechne ka dabaav utpann kiya jo manasik 1.06 ke star ke neeche giravat ko tezi se badhaya. Jodi ab agle mahatvapurn samarthan kshetra 1.0450 ke aaspaas najdeek a rahi hai jo October ke neeche tha. RSI aur MACD jaise dinanath gati ke suchak ab oversold kshetra mein hain lekin unka neeche ki disha mein bana hua rehna aage ke kamjori ki or ishara karta hai.

Niche ki or, agar EURUSD tay kar ke 1.0450 ke aaspaas pravesh karta hai, to ye 1.00 ke pass parikshan ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai. Market participants najar rakhte rahenge ki jodi vartaman staron ke aaspaas sthir hoti hai ya bechne ka dabav bana rahta hai. Bearish trend din-pratidin ke chart par mazbooti se bana raha hai neeche ki uchch jyotiyo aur neeche ki neeche. Koi bhi chhote-madhyamik bounce traders ke liye bechne ke avsar ke roop mein dekhe ja sakte hain.

Upar ki or, turant samarthan 1.0640 aur 1.0700 ke aaspaas dekha ja raha hai. Bechne waalon mein thakan ki sanket dena ke liye 1.07 ke upar ek sthayi chal chahiye hogi. Haalaanki, jab tak ECB-Fed neetibodh bhedbhav jaari rahega, vyapak downtrend mazboot bana rahega. Traders ECB ki bhasha, Eurozone ke data aur Fed ki tippani ka dhyan sevya karenge bhavishya ke rate badhane ke aas expectations ke liye. Aakhir mein, EURUSD ke liye najik samay mein downside ki raah sabse kam pratibaddh hai, jab tak mool bhoomika kafi had tak badal na jaaye.

Haal hi mein cryptocurrencies ki qeemat mein girawat se kuch shakhsiyat ke saath ke kai ghati hui ghatakon ki wajah se mukhtalif financial instruments par asar parne ki ummeed hai, khaaskar US dollar aur EUR/USD pair par.

Cryptocurrencies ki qeemat mein girawat ko kuch log US dollar ki majbooti ka pegham samajh rahe hain. Cryptocurrencies aur dollar ke darmiyan yeh rishta ahem hai aur yeh doosre markets par asar andaz hota hai. Ek market jise dollar ki majbooti par asar hone ki ummeed hai woh hai EUR/USD pair, jo ke traders aur investors ke darmiyan aham currency pair hai.

Cryptocurrencies ki qeemat mein hilchall aur dollar ki qowati ki nazar se, EUR/USD pair mein ek gap down ka imkan hai. Yeh gap down pair mein ek neeche ki rukh ki nishani hosakti hai, jise chand hi arsay mein mazeed girawat ka imkan hai. Magar, is gap down ka asar woh asas ko nahi hoga jitna ke yeh doosre assests jaise sonay par hosakta hai.

Maujooda market shorat aur technical indicators ke mutabiq, hosakta hai ke EUR/USD pair aane wale dino mein ek correction dekhe. Yeh correction dollar ki temporary kamin waqt ki wajah se bhi hosakti hai, jise ho sakta hai ke Monday ke retail sales forecast se paida hosakta hai. Agar retail sales data tawanaaton ko pura karti hai, yeh ek moqa ho sakta hai ke dollar kamzor hojaye, jise EUR/USD pair ko uchalti hue dekha ja sake.

Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke kisi bhi retail sales data ke chaunka dene se dollar ko barhna bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh EUR/USD pair ki neeche ki rukh ke jari rukh ko jari rakhne ke liye aam shakha hai, jo ke upar ki correction ki kami ki sambhavna ko rok dega. Isliye, traders ko ankaane ke liye arthik indicators aur market ghatey ko nazarandaaz karne ki zaroorat hai aur achi tarah do tatwarf fasla bandi kar leni chahiye.

Arthik factors ke ilawa, geopoltical tension aur uncertainities bhi market ke jazbat ki surat ko shape karte hain aur EUR/USD jaise currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Masail jaise ke America aur China ke beech qeemat bargaining ke moamle meh, Brexit ke process ke taraqqi aur doshwaar hawaale se yeh pairon ke movement par bada asar dalte hain.

In mukhtalif factors ke natayej me, EUR/USD pair aane waalon dino mein volatile rehne ka imkan hai. Traders aur investors ko pair ke in fluktuations ki taiyaari rakhni chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko adjust karne chahiye. Ahem arthik data releases, geopoltical events aur market ke tehwart se mutaliq rahna market me ghate hel ki bajayi karne mein zaroori hai.

Amm taur par, haal hi mein cryptocurrencies ki qeemat mein girawat ke is khandar rahne ki wajah se US dollar aur EUR/USD pair ke liye kya emanat ho sakti hai, traders ko trading decisions tehzeeb karne ke waqyat ki mandi baare me ghour kane ki zaroorat hai. Maheenaybard digital currency markets mein kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye maamoolat me tabdeeli ke mutabiq rehne ki ahmiyat hai.

#EUR/USD (Euro/American Dollar).

Instrument ka market situation ka analysis H1 timeframe par dikha raha hai ke aaj munafa haasil karne ka zyada imkaan hai agar hum mozu mufeed long position mein dakhil ho jaayein. Sab se zyada ahem cheez yeh hai ke hum aaj ke market sentiment ko ghalat qadr na karne ke liye unchi timeframe H4 par mojood trend ka rukh tay karein. Is ke liye, hum apne instrument ka chart 4 ghante ki timeframe ke saath kholte hain aur mukhya qaidah ko dekhte hain - H1 aur H4 timeframe par trend movements milte julte hone chahiye. Is tarah, pehle qaidah ko pura karke, hum yeh yaqeeni bana lete hain ke aaj market ek long position kholne ka acha mauqa faraham karta hai. Next, analysis mein, hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - ke signals par bharosa karte hain.

Hum umeed karte hain ke Hama aur RSI Trend indicators blue aur green colors mein tabdeel ho jaayein, jo ke yeh saboot hai ke kharid-dar aaj bechnay-daron se behter hain. Jab yeh hota hai, hum aik kharid order kholte hain. Trade se nikalne ka amal magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq hota hai. Aaj signal execution ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqa levels 1.09236 hain. Ab, chart par qeemat ke amal ko nigaah mein rakhna baaqi hai jab woh magnetic level ke qareeb aata hai aur chunaoti bhari faisla karna hai ke kya market mein position ko agle magnetic level tak rakha jaaye ya kamai shuda munafa ko band kiya jaaye. Muntazam munafa ko miss karne se bachne ke liye, aik trailing stop ko faa'el kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ab tight range mein atka hua hai jab ke investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo March ke liye jaari kiya jayega. Ye data inflation ke daromadarat faraham karta hai, jo central banks, jese ke Federal Reserve ke faislon ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Charts par, pair 50, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke ahem levels ke darmiyan idhar udhar ghoom raha hai. Ye moving averages tajarbat karne wale traders ke liye ahem asaas hoti hain jin se woh market ke rukh ko mukhtalif timeframes par dekh sakte hain. Traders CPI data release ke intezar mein hain aur keenly observe kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair in ahem moving average levels ke sath kis tarah se amal karta hai. Ye SMAs ke sath pair ka rawayya market sentiment aur raasta mein tabdeeli ki sambhavnaon ke bare mein hint faraham kar sakte hain.
Jab tak market CPI data aur ECB meeting ka intezar karega, EUR/USD pair mukhtalif levels ke andar muawin taur par trade karta rahega. Magar jab ye waqiyat hotay hain, tab barhne wali volatility aur pair ke rukh mein tabdeeli ki umeed hai. Traders ko hoshmandi se kaam karna hoga aur unke strategies ko is market-moving waqiyat ke jawab mein mutabiq tarmeem karna hoga. Is asset ke liye daily chart ki tajziyaat karna mushkil hai kyun ke confusing candlestick formations maujood hain. Ye candlesticks roz ke trend ko wazeh karne mein mushkil bana deti hain. Mazeed mushkilat is liye paida hoti hain ke ye asset liquidity zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Is liquidity zone ke andar, candles buland qeemat ko rad kar rahe hain (up price rejection) aur ek downtrend line jo ke qeemat par neechay ki taraf dabao dal raha hai. Agar qeemat in dushwaarain se guzarti nahi hai, to ye ek selling opportunity ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Magar agar qeemat in bearish rukawaton ko tor leti hai, to ye investors aur traders ko buy positions kholne ke liye mashhoor kar sakta hai.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:
EUR/USD ke girne ka matlab hai ke calendar par kisi statistics mein ghalti thi. Usi asal source par, chapai ke waqt ke baad, productive inflation mein izafa hua. Aur Bloomberg likhta hai ke keemat mein izafa ho raha hai. Magar, sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke EUR/USD gir raha hai - yeh sab se ahem indicator hai ke market USD ke iste'maal par izafa ki umeed mein hai, jo abhi shuru hua hai. Is waqt, is ka index 105 figures ke aas paas hai, aur humare paas 114 ke upar ka tareeqa hai. Isliye, yeh girawat sirf shuruat hai, aur jo humne dekha hai woh sirf parity ke neeche rukh mein pehla qadam hai. Aur qadam ab himmatwar ho rahe hain, jaise ke woh pehle thay, aur iske baad naye saal ke baad bhi. By the way, maine tawaqo kiya tha ke pehle quarter mein inflation izafa hoga turant jab inflation ne December mein izafa kiya tha January mein. Magar, zahir hai, agencies ko hukum mila ke izafa ko rokna hai aur sirf key meeting ke baad dikhana hai. Yeh wohi cheezein hain jo waqt guzarne ke baad nazar aati hain. Iska matlab hai ke May meeting se pehle agle mahine ke pehle das din mein izafa hoga April ke liye. Aur June ke reference point par woh rate ka wazeh toot denge, jismein koi kami na hogi. Yani, sirf Fed ki monetary policy mein tightness hogi. Yehi wajah hai ke shayad USD ki demand ho. Aur EUR/USD 1.0480 ke nishan tak gir raha hai pehle darje mein, aur phir EUR/USD parity ke neeche chalega, aur agar hum USD index ke izafa ke hisaab se ginate hain, to woh 121 par ruk jayega, jo EUR/USD rate ke 0.74-75 ke mutabiq hoga. Yeh 2024-2025 ke liye manzar hai.

Forex market, jise aksar forex kehte hain, ek dinamik aur hamesha badalte hue peyzar hai jo mukhtalif factors ke asar se chalte rehta hai. Traders is market ke complexities se niptne ke liye technical analysis ka istemal karte hain, apni trading decisions ko samajhne ke liye key resistance levels ka istemal karte hain. Aik aise level, jo ke 1.0650 par ek significant cluster hai, haal hi mein breach kiya gaya hai, jo ek prevailing bearish sentiment ko signify kar raha hai jo prices par neeche ki taraf dabaav dal raha hai.

Key resistance levels ka breach ek strong bearish sentiment ka signal hai jo abhi market ko control kar raha hai. 1.0650 par cluster ka khas tor par breach is baat ka izhar karta hai ke prices ki neeche ki taraf jaane wala rasta hai. Halankeh yeh traders ke liye buy opportunities talash karna mushkil bana sakta hai, is se pehle sales shuroo karne se pehle caution zaroori hai. Market ka aik taut spring ki tarah hona prices mein ek sharp rebound ka potential dikhata hai, jo traders ko alert rehna chahiye.

Hal ki market situation ko aur zyada complex banane ka ek element potential Wolfe Wave pattern ka pehchan hai. Agar yeh pattern confirm ho jaye toh iska matlab hai ke current downtrend mein reversal ane wala hai. Magar iski confirmation kuch khas price movements par munhasir hai, khas tor par 1.0670 ke upar rebound, behtareen tor par 1.0690 ko par karna, key indicators hain. Agar yeh levels breach ho jate hain, toh traders 1.0810 level tak upward trajectory ka samna kar sakte hain, jo ek moka ban sakta hai sales positions enter karne ka.

Is potential upward trajectory ke bawajood caution zaroori hai. Moujooda market dynamics mein flexibility maintain karna zaroori hai. Strategic entry point jo identify kiya gaya hai, bullish momentum ke khilaf aik resistance barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar bulls is level ko breach kar lein, toh yeh market dynamics mein aik significant shift ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo ke 1.0783 level ki taraf ek zyada substantial correction ko le ja sakta hai. Traders ko moujooda market conditions ke mutabiq adaptable rehna padega. Agar aise scenario mein rehte hain, toh prices 1.0540 se 1.0500 ke zone tak niche gir sakti hain, jo ke vigilance aur strategies ko accordingly pivot karne ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai.

Moujooda market dynamics mein navigation ke liye astute analysis, disciplined risk management, aur emerging trends ke liye adaptable rehne ki zaroorat hai. Market signals par nazar rakhna aur trading strategies mein flexibility maintain karke traders financial markets ke instability ko confidence ke saath aur agility ke saath navigate kar sakte hain. Jahalat se bachne ke liye zaroori hai ke traders bade chakkar ko kabhi bhul na jayein aur market ke nuances ke saath rehne ki koshish karein. Risk tolerance aur trading objectives ke sath milti julti faislen lena forex market mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Market ko caution aur adapability ke saath approach karna traders ko forex market mein kamiyabi ke liye tayyar karta hai. Market dynamics ke saath responsively rahne se, traders forex market ke complexities ko confidence aur resilience ke saath navigate kar sakte hain.

EURUSD pair, jo k forex market mein aik widespread currency pair hai, haal hi mein hafte ki chart par dilchasp keemat ka amal dikhaya hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ne keemat ko mutasir karne mein ahem kirdaar ada kia hai, khaaskar jab pair ne % level tak pohancha. Ye level aik mazboot resistance ka kaam karta hai, jis ne keemat ke amal mein ulta kar diya.

% Fibonacci retracement level ka ahemiyat RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ne bhi tasdeeq di, jo ke overbought conditions ki nishani de raha tha. Keemat ke amal aur RSI ke darmiyan is farq ne pair mein mazeed nichayi ki taraf ki movement k signal kiya. Traders aur technical analysts aise indicators ko nazdeek se dekhte hain takay market sentiment aur mukhtalif trends ka anjaam jaan saken.

Aage dekhte hain, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke mustaqil support aur resistance levels ka tawajjo maqam mein rakha jaye takay mustaqbil ki keemat ke amal ko mutawaqqi' kar sakein. EURUSD pair ke liye fori support 23.6% Fibonacci level ke qareebai maqam par hai. Is level ke neeche breakdown hone par, agla ahem support level psychological support hai. Dusri taraf, resistance level % Fibonacci level hai jo oopar zikr kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh resistance ko tor diya jaye, to ye mazeed uncha resistance levels ki mulaqat ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke ilawa, traders ke liye currency movements par asar dalti mukhtalif bunyadi factors ke baray mein maloomat rakhhna bhi ahem hai. Ma'ashiyati data release, central bank decisions, saqafati waqe'at, aur market sentiment tamaam forex trends ko shape karne mein important role ada karte hain. Ye factors monitor karna future price movements ko samajhne mein madad gar sabit ho sakta hai.

Risk management bhi forex market mein kamiyabi ki aham pehlu hai. Sahi risk management strategies ka amal karna, jese ke stop-loss orders lagana aur position sizes manage karna, mukhtalif nuqsanat ko kam karne aur modal ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile market conditions mein. Aik mazboot trading approach ko mantaqan follow karna aur jazbaati faislay se bachna lambay arsay tak trading mein kamiyabi ke liye ahem hai.

Is ke ilawa, aik mohim hai ke traders ko qowwat bakhash trading portfolio banane ke liye diversification ka intezam karna chahiye. Sirf aik currency pair jese EURUSD par dhyan denay ke bajaye, mukhtalif asset classes jese ke commodities, stocks, ya indices mein diversify karna risk ko phelane mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur mojooda faayda ko barhane ka imkan bhi hai. Naye markets mein dakhil hone se pehle wafir tajziya aur analysis karna, sath hi market conditions ke mutabiq positions ko monitor aur adjust karna, kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye eham asool hain.

Akhri taur par, forex market mein kamiyabi hasil karna technical analysis, fundamental analysis, risk management, aur diversification ka aik milaajul hona zaroori hai. Maloomat se barhnay, mazbooti se aur tarmeem se trading portfolio banane, traders ko lambay arsay tak trading mein kamiyabi hasil karne ke imkanat ko barhane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Market ke development ke saath up-to-date rehna, kargar risk management strategies ka istemal karna, aur trading portfolios ko diversify karke forex market ke pechidaai hawalatiyon se musafir ke liye ahem hai.

Core Retail Sales m/m:

Core Retail Sales m/m ek mahine mein retail sales ki percentage ki tabdili ko darust karta hai, jo ke gair moazzam gari, motar gari aur aik lotaari darakht waghera jaise ashyaat ko shamil nahi karta. Yeh ek aham economic indicator hai jo arzi aur ghair-e-arzi maahaul ki tasveer faraham karta hai, jo aksar consumers ke saro peh charhne wale asrat ko darust karta hai. Core Retail Sales m/m ki tajwez shuda percentage ko madde nazar rakhte hue, analysts economic growth aur inflation ke liye andaza lagate hain.

Empire State Manufacturing Index:

Empire State Manufacturing Index New York state ke industrial sector ki halat ko darust karta hai. Yeh ek maqwalaat aur taqreebat dawat ke tehat kiya jata hai, jo ke manufacturers aur industrialists ke baray mein maloomat faraham karta hai. Yeh index manufacturing activity, new orders, shipments, unfilled orders, employment, aur prices paid ke mutaliq maloomat ko shamil karta hai. Empire State Manufacturing Index ki qadri aur giriyan manufacturing sector ki qowati ya kamzori ko darust karta hai, jo ke amomi tor par New York state ke saath saath puri America ke industrial health ka tasawar faraham karta hai.

Retail Sales m/m:

Retail Sales m/m ek mahine mein retail sales ki percentage ki tabdili ko darust karta hai. Yeh indicator consumer spending aur economic activity ke liye ehem hai. Jab retail sales barh jate hain, to ye economic growth aur strong consumer confidence ka nishaan hai. Isi tarah, jab retail sales giren, to ye economic slowdown ya consumer confidence mein kami ka ishara ho sakta hai. Retail Sales m/m ki percentage ki tabdili, analysts ke liye aham hoti hai taake woh future economic trends aur monetary policy ko samajh sakein.





EURUSD MARKET FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OVERVIEW


Euro ki haal hi mein US dollar ke khilaf kamzori ECB aur Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif interest rate outlooks ka natija hai. Market sentiment US dollar ke favo mein tabdeel ho gaya hai kyun ke umeed hai ke Fed June mein darjat kam kar sakta hai, jabke ECB apne mojooda buland darjat ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed hai. Monetary policies mein yeh farq investors ko dollar ke liye pasandidgi dilata hai, jo euro par neechay dabao dalta hai. EUR/USD pair mein raftar ko khaas tor par US ke inflation report ke release ke baad tabdeel hone lagi, jo mazid umeed se mazid mazboot inflation figures ka izhar kiya. Yeh data darust karta hai ke Fed darjat kam karne ko taakhir kar sakta hai, jo US dollar ke liye musbat samjha jata hai. Iske ilawa, US se mazid moazzam manufacturing activity aur naukriyon mein izafa jaise mazid moazzam economic indicators ne dollar mein bharosa mazeed barhaya.

Waqi ECB ke potential rate cut ke baray mein market ki spekulasyon ne euro ki kami mein hissa daala hai. Do central banks ke monetary policy stances ke farq ne EUR/USD pair ke rukh mein asal tabdeeli ko barqarar rakha hai. Is natije mein, euro haal hi ke buland se 1.9% tak gir gaya hai aur paanch mahine ka nizam ho gaya.




Euro mein neeche ka rukh jari rahega jab tak economic data moazzam US maeeshat aur ECB ki dovcish stance ko saath deta rahe. Investors German inflation data aur US consumer confidence numbers jaise ahem indicators ko taake interest rates ki rukh ki mazeed samajh mil sake. EUR/USD pair ki technical analysis 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) ke ird gird khaas tor par mukhtalif rukawat darjati hai sath hi Ichimoku cloud ke neeche ke kinare par bhi. Rebound ki koshishon ke bawajood, pair in rukawaton ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho saka. Agar rebound nakam ho gaya, to pair 1.0800 aur 1.0720 ke support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Mazeed neeche ki movement pair ko 2024 ke kam se kam 1.0690 ke test karne ke liye dekh sakti hai.

Mukhtalif taur par, agar bullish momentum qaim rahe aur pair mukhtalif SMAs ko paar karne mein kamyab ho gaya, to 1.0880 par resistance pehle fawaid ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Is level ko paar karne ka break darwaza khol sakta hai ek silsile ke liye lower highs, jo ke 1.0951, 1.0965, aur 1.0980 par decline trendline ke zariye darust kiye gaye hain. Traders in technical levels ko trading opportunities ke liye closely monitor kar rahe hain. Aam tor par, EUR/USD pair ke liye manzar monetary policy dynamics, economic data releases, aur technical indicators ke zariye influence hota hai, jo ke currency markets mein investor sentiment aur trading patterns ko shape karta hai.

Euro (EUR) ne teesri mubarak din ke doran US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf raftaar barha kar Asian trading mein 1.0850 ke qareeb ek haftay ki bulandi tak pohanch gaya. Ye izafa is haftay mein USD ke mawafiq darust naqshon ki wajah se aaya hai, jo Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke interest rate faislon ke ird gird afraad ki tarf se shak ka sabab bana. USD ki kamzori Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif signals se hai. Jabke haal ki maali dastavezat, jaise ADP report jo mazboot kaarkhane market ki nazar mein dikh rahi hai, ek hawkish stance ki taraf ishara deti hain, Federal Reserve ke afraad jaise Bostic aur Powell ke comments jo foran rate cut ka intezar karne ki soch ko kam kar rahi hain, woh darust nahi hoti. Ye shak se USD ki appeal ko safe-haven asset ke tor par kamzor kar raha hai. Dollar ki musibat mein shaamil hone ke sath, market mein mazid risk sentiment ka mojooda halaat bhi iski safe-haven status ko side kar raha hai. Investors hal hi mein zyada risky assest ko lenay ke liye tayyar hain, jo ke dollar ko neechay daba raha hai. Eurozone ke samne, Wednesday ko jaari kamzor se kamzor inflation data ECB ke June mein ek potential rate cut ki tajwez par afsoos ka baais bana rahi hai. Ye umeed, haalaanki, EUR/USD pair ke mazeed izafay ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Halan ke Eurozone CPI data ne dheeli inflation ko tasdeeq kiya, market ke tajwezon ke mutabiq kamzor hokar, lekin analysts ko yeh lagta hai ke Euro par asar mehsoos nahi hoga.
Takniki manzar ke tahqiqat par nazar dalte hue, EUR/USD pair abhi taqreeban pehlay se side par trading kar raha hai haftay ke shurwat mein Easter holidays ki wajah se. Haalaanki hal haal mein izafay ke bawajood, Euro ne December 2023 mein qaim kiye gaye downtrend line ko bar bar torne mein nakaam reha hai. Yeh takniki rukawat mazeed barh jati hai ke EUR/USD abhi apni ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trading kar raha hai. Ye takniki indicators Euro ke liye potential downside risks ki taraf ishara dete hain. Bears (investors jo keemat mein kami ka intezar kar rahe hain) 2024 ke taza lows ke liye naye jhokte hain. RSI jaise momentum indicators jo 50 ke neeche gira hai aur ADX 25 ke neeche ek trendless market ki taraf ishara dete hain. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator jo oversold territory mein gira hai, ek mumkinah short-term bounce ka ishaara deta hai phir ek mumkinah downtrend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle. Agar bears control ko qaim rakh sakte hain, to wo EUR/USD ko 1.0727-1.0735 zone ke qareeb faisla sey utha sakte hain. Yeh area ek pichlay high aur ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milti hai. Is support ka tod naye 2024 ke lows ke darwazon ko khol sakta hai aur Euro ko 1.0635 ke qareeb aglay support area ka imtehan lena bhi mumkin hai.

EURUSD


Euro ka hilaf haal US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor hona Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke mukhtalif interest rate outlooks ka natija hai. Market sentiment ka ta'alluq ummid hai ke Fed June mein darjat kam kar sakta hai, jabke ECB apne mojooda uchay darajat ko barqarar rakhne ki umeed hai. Monetary policies mein yeh imtiaz rang bharta hua dollar ko pasand karte hain, jo euro par zor daal raha hai. EUR/USD pair ki momentum ne khaas tor par budh ke din release hui US inflation report ke baad tabdeel hone shuru kiya, jo ke muntazir se zyada taqatwar inflation figures ka izhar kar raha tha. Yeh data yeh darshaata hai ke Fed darjat kam karne ki mumkin taaqat ko taakhir kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar ke liye musbat samjha jata hai. Is ke ilawa, America se musbat economic indicators, jese ke mazboot manufacturing activity aur rozgar mein izafa, ne dollar par itminan barha diya.

Waqiati euro ki kamzori ke baare mein market ke andar ECB ke June mein ek darjat kam ka shak ka taluq hai. Dono central banks ke monetary policy ka imtezaaj ke darmiyan izafa euro/USD pair ke harkat ka pehla kharji maqsad hai. Natije ke tor par, euro ne apne haal ki bulandiyon se 1.9% gir kar paanch mahine ka nizam ki aakhri dar tak pohnch gaya hai.

Euro ki kamzori ka asar ma'loom hota rehta hai jab tak economic data US ki mazboot maeeshat aur ECB ke soft stance ko support karta rahe. Investors ne mukhtalif hawalat ke muntazir hai, jese ke German inflation data aur US consumer confidence numbers, takreer ke raaste mein mazeed raushanion ke liye. EUR/USD pair ka technical analysis numaya resistance levels ko numaya karta hai, khaaskar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) ke aas paas aur Ichimoku cloud ke nichle kinaray ke darmiyan. Dairay karne ki koshishon ke bawajood, pair ko in rukawaton ka samna karna para hai. Agar dairay naqam hote hain, to pair support levels ko test kar sakta hai jo 1.0800 aur 1.0720 par hain. Mazeed niche ki harkat pair ko 1.0690 ke 2024 ke darjahon par test kar sakti hai.

Mutasarif toor par, agar bullish momentum qawi rehta hai aur pair mushkil se mushtamil SMAs ko paar kar leta hai, to 1.0880 par mukhtalif resistance mumkin hai. Is darjaat ke paar hona shuru hua, to ek series ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jo ke 1.0951, 1.0965, aur 1.0980 par girne wale trendline ke zariye darjaat darjaat hain. Traders in technical levels ko potential trading opportunities ke liye nazdeek se dekh rahe hain. Aam tor par, EUR/USD pair ke liye daira e nazr monetary policy dynamics, economic data releases, aur technical indicators ke zariye mutasir rahega, jo ke currency markets mein investor sentiment aur trading patterns ko shakl dete hain.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook:

Masharti tafteesh trading karne wale ke liye EUR/USD currency pair ke lambay darustay ka andaaza lagane ka aham zariya hai. Is tarah ki tafteesh mein woh moatadil ma'asharti, maaliyat, aur siyasi aham asbaab ko dekhte hain jo Euro/American dollar ke exchange rate par asar dalte hain. Traders jo aankh rakhne wale ahem maasharti pahluon mein se kuch ye hain:

Maeeshati ishaaray: Eurozone aur United States ki maashiyat ki taaqat ka andaza lagane ke liye, traders GDP izafa, mahangai dar, rozgar ke statistics, aur consumer ki zehniyat jaise data ka istemal karte hain. Agar bure maasharti data aata hai to currency ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jabke musbat maasharti data ise mazboot kar sakte hain.

US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) EUR/USD exchange rate par gehra asar dalte hain. Interest rate ikhtiyaarat, maaliyat policy ke elaanat, aur dusre policy ikhtiyaarat jo currency pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain, traders ke nazdeek tezi se nazar andaaz kiye jate hain.

Euro aur American dollar ko bare currencies samjha jata hai aur ye duniya bhar ke forex market mein wafir tor par trade kiye jate hain. In currencies ke qeemat ko kai asbaab mutasir karte hain, jaise ke maeeshati karwai, siyasi taraqqiyan, sood ki dar, aur market ki zehniyat. Euro aur American dollar ke darmiyan ki exchange rate duniya bhar mein sab se zyada trade ki jane wali currency pair hai aur ye doosre currency pairs aur maali asbaab ke liye ek ahem benchmark hai.

Tamam ahematein wazeh tor par bearish hain, jiski wajah se traders ko sirf EUR/USD par short positions (farokht ke liye) trading karne ki mumkin hai jab tak ke keemat achchi tarah se 1.0708 USD ke neeche rahe. Farokht karne wale ka bearish maqsad 1.0638 USD par set hai. Is support ke bearish tootne par bearish momentum ko dobara zinda kia ja sakta hai. Farokht karne wale phir 1.0564 USD par mojooda support ko maqsood kar sakte hain. Agar ye qadam uthaya gaya to agla maqsad 1.0469 USD par mojooda support ho sakta hai. Magar bearish ziada ke ehtiyaat se, jo aik short-term correction ki taraf le ja sakti hai; lekin ye mumkin correction tradeable nahi hogi. Magar jab ke taqatwar ghair ma'wazafi aur volume din ke traders, banks, aur idarayi investors ko duniya bhar se EUR/USD par la kar mukhtalif faide hasil karte hain, tab bhi bade faide hasil karna asaan kam nahi hota. Ye currency pair darshaata hai ke kitne US dollars (quote currency) ki zaroorat hai aik Euro (base currency) khareedne ke liye. Misal ke tor par, agar pair 1.10 par trading kar raha hai, to ye ye yani ke 1 Euro khareedne ke liye 1.10 US dollars ki zaroorat hai.