𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Forex Chart Type: Forex trading mein invest karna chart aur patterns ka tajziya kar ke bina maqool faislay karne ko shamil karta hai. Forex ki duniya mein, traders mukhtalif chart types ka istemal karte hain taake currency pairs ki nazar rakhen aur future price movements ka andaza lagayen. Ek aam istemal hone wala chart type candlestick chart hai, jo kisi khas timeframe mein price movements ka tasveeri zahir farahmi karta hai.
EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Tahlili: Chaliye H1 timeframe par EUR/USD currency pair ka jaeza laga kar munafa kamane ke liye potential dakhli aur nikaal points ka pata lagate hain. HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color jese technical indicators ka istemal karke, ham bazari jazbat ka ta'aseer mutala kar sakte hain aur maqool faislay kar sakte hain.

Dakhli aur Nikaal Points: Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, ham bazari jazbat mein bearish mood dekhte hain, jo farokht dabav ko darust karti hai. Is liye, ham ekm sale mein dakhli point 1.0682 par tay karte hain, jahan stop loss 1.0723 par rakhi jati hai. Maqool faida len k liye hissa karna 1.0642 aur 1.0602 par plan kiya gaya hai, baqi faida 1.0562 par lock kiya jayega. Apne faida ko mehfooz karne ke liye, her faida len ke baad trailing stop orders lagaye jayenge.

EUR/USD Ke Liye Tajarba: Mojooda bazaar ki surat e haal parateshbal bearish fa'lame milti hai, jo ek neeche ki taraf ko ishara deti hai. Jarri miqdar ke halat ke bawajood, tasawwur neeche ki taraf 1.0547 ko target kar raha hai. Jab ke, aulney wala raasta saaf aur zyada mumkin nazar aata hai, lekin zaroori hai ke mukhtalif mansubaat ke liye mustaid rahe, kyunke price ek waqti tawajjo upri punji ko mehsoos karne ke baad mein apne neeche ki taraf surat e haal ko jari rakhta ho.

Asar Andaazi Wakiyaat: Bazaar mein currency pair ke harkaton par asar andazi wakiyat ke liye anay wale khabron ka tawalud zaroori hai. Aaj key mali indicators jese ke Germany's Consumer Price Index, Eurogroup Meeting, aur US Export Price Index maujood hain, jo market mein izafa shiddat aur tawajjo ka sabab ban sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko maharatmand aur tayyar rehna chahiye is wakt ke asarati jawaabat ke liye.

Khatra Nigrani: Forex trading mein khatra nigrani capital ki hifazat aur munafa barhane mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Stop loss levels set karke, hissai munafa ke maqsood targets tay karke, aur trailing stop orders ka istemal karke traders apna khatra exposed kar sakte hain aur faidah asani se hasil kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, bazaar ki khabron par tabdeel rehne ke saath trading strategies mein tail zarurat hai, jo maddey mein badalte bazaar ke halaton ko kamyabi se samjhti hai.

Ikhtitam: Forex market traders ko price ke uchalne aur munafa kamane ke bohot se moqay faraham karta hai. Thehreqti tahlil karne se, munasib chart types ka istemal karne se, aur khatra nigrani ke tariqon ko lagu karne se, traders apni trading performance ko behtar karke aur mustaqil nataij haasil kar sakte hain. Riasati rehne, maloomati rehne, aur mustaid rehne k Forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye ahem asas hain.

Haal ki trading gatividhiyan market mein dilchaspi ke trends darust kar rahi hain jo volatile market environment mein tajavez dar mufahimat faraham karte hain. Aik ahem tajziya tha aik chhota sale trade jise pehle se laya gaya tha news ke phailne se pehle, magar baad mein band kar diya gaya. Ye kadam yeh darshata hai ke kuch traders news ka negative impact anicipate kar rahe thay, lekin asal asar unke intehai sanjeedagi ke mukhtalif nikla. Ye market ki unpredictable nature ko zahir karta hai aur traders ko apne trading strategies mein adapatable rehne ki zarurat ko saabit karta hai.

United States ki khabron ke baad, market mein ek dynamic shift mehsoos ki gayi, jo traders ke liye ek nazar aane wala mark chhod gayi. Jabke pehle prices mein giravat aayi post-news, market ne pehle se oopar rebound kiya, jo darustan pair ko mazid hasoolat ke liye jari rakhta hai. Agla muqam yeh hai ke umeed ki jati hai ke keemat jald hi 1.0721 level ki taraf lautegi, 1.0827 resistance level ke khilaaf pehli koshishoon ke saath aur darmiyani resistance 1.0813 par. Ye resistance levels samajhdar ki zarurat hai jinhe keemat ko apne neeche unchit karne ke liye barqarar rakhna zaruri hai. In levels ko paar karne ke safaltapurna tod log aik gehra tabdeeli ya trend ultao ke isharaat de sakti hain, jo inn levels ko tawajjo se dekhne ki ahmiyat ko jagah deta hai.

Taknik daleelein jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI), envelope indicator, momentum indicator, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), aur stochastic oscillator mazeed market ke rukh ko darust karte hain. RSI indicator ne 1.0735 level par dher se kam kar diya hai, keemat ke liye bearish outlook darust karta hai. Ye overall negative price action ke saath milta hai, neeche ka trend tasdiq karta hai. Momentum indicator, 14 ke doran, ye kehta hai ke momentum abhi keemat ke neeche hawalat karna pasand kar raha hai, jo tezi se giravity ka aik ehtimal dikhata hai. MACD abhi bhi negative zone mein hai, bechne ke mauqaan ke ishaaray deta hai, jabke stochastic oscillator bhi mojooda leval se bechnay ke ehtemal ko dikhata hai. Ye taknik daleelein mil kar aik taqatwar bearish market mahol tasveer banaati hain, traders ke liye paish-e-khayal ko manate hue mahfuz risk management practices ka achi tarah say ehtemam karne ki zarurat ko izhar karte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, haal ki trading activities market ke zamurdar karobar ki dynamic tabdeeliyon ko darshate hain, jahan traders bazar ki mudat ke saman mukhtalif conditions ke jawab mein apni strategies ko mustavi kr rahe hain. Jab kuch traders news ka negative impact anicipate kar rahe thay, asal asar ummeed ke mutabiq kam tha, jo bazar ki anjaanat-mizaji ko underline karta hai. Aglay keemat mein, keemat ko apne upar ke barqarar karne ke liye ye zaroori hai ke kuch zaroori resistance levels ko paar kiye jaye. Taknik daleelein barhrha barsati market outlook ko taayen karte hain, traders ke liye market challenges ko bharakparda guzarne ke liye saholatpaneey bina banki baharti hai. Market dynamics ke sath muntazim rehte hue aur taknik daleelein hushyar taur par istemal karke, traders mukhtalif trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain jo hamesha tabahi barente market manzar ke ander.

haftay badal jata hai - mukhtalif kirdar hotay hain jab dealers ko halat ka jaiza lena hota hai, ya jab reading limits par hoti hai; haalaanki aam tor par isay peecha chhor jaane wala natija samjha jata hai, magar berozgar logon ki tadad economic sehat ka aham pehloo hai kyun ke iste'mal karne walay kharidari berozgari ke economic halaton se nisbat rakhta hai. Berozgari bhi un afrad ke liye aham soch hai jo mulk ki economic policy ka rujhan detail hain; Market abhi mukhtalif signals de raha hai, kuch indicators ko taizziar farahmi ki taraf isha'ara hai jabke doosray downtrend ka isha'ara karte hain. Likhne ke waqt, EUR/USD ke maamlaat mein keemat 1.0874 ke darmiyan hai. USD index aaj upar ki janib ja raha hai, is liye EUR/USD neeche jaega. Abhi tauon ne apni taqat mein rahi hai EUR/USD market mein. Agar hum EUR/USD ko tasweer se dekhen toh abhi EUR/USD negative mombatti bana raha hai. Mojooda taizi nishanay isharaat de raha hai ke negative taqatain qaboo mein hain. Khaaskar, General Strength Scrape RSI points neechay ki taraf ja rahe hain aur barqarar taur par 47 level ke neeche hain. Mere tajziye ke saboot ke tor par, keemat ka aham pattern neeche ki taraf hai, aur yeh bhi 20 moving averages ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Yeh jaanch saktay hain check zones ko. EUR/USD ka mukhtalif aagahi ho sakti hai 1.0880 ke darja mein. 1.1028 ka rokawat darja agla bullish maqsood hoga agar aap pehlay rokawat se bahir nikal sakte hain. 1.1028 ke upar kuch karobari darjat le jaega market ke qeemat ko 1.1280 ke qareeb jo ke mukhtalif rokawat ka aghaaz hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ka bunyadi sahara 1.0840 ke darja mein mil sakta hai. 0.0708 ka rokawat darja agla manfi maqsood hoga agar aap pehlay sahara se bahir nikal sakte hain. 0.0708 ke neeche close karne se market ke qeemat ko 0.0590 ke qareeb le jaega jo ke ek intehai tafteesh ka aghaaz hai. Tijarat mein ehtiyaat se kaam karen aur sahara aur rokawat ilaqon par tawajjo dein jahan se market apna rukh badal sakta

US ke saalana mahangayi data ke jariye jo tezi se izafa hua, uske baad bhi EURUSD pair ka daam phir bhi 1.0800 ke oopar chalkar nahi gaya. Daam mai niche ki jhatak dekhne ko mili, jab tak usne 1.0700 ke star tak giravat anubhav ki. Jab dekha gaya, to lagta hai ki daam 1.0727 ke support ke aas paas sthir kar raha hai, aur daam mai koi vayurikata nahi dekhi gayi. Bearish trend ka disha ab bhi bahut majbut hai, vishesh roop se jab EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ke niche se guzra, ek death cross signal dete hue. Bahut hi tezi se giraavat ke states se maloom hota hai ki vendor dominance ne aaj tak EURUSD pair ke trading ke course ko niyantrit kiya hai.

Halanki, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram volume ko dekhte hue jo ghat rahe hain aur 0 star ki or nazdeek ja rahe hain, yeh darshata hai ki giraavat ki momentum kam hoti ja rahi hai. Yeh sambhavna hai ki buyers daam ko upar dabaane ki koshish karenge high prices 1.0756 ya EMA 50 ke aas paas. Haalaki, Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone ke neeche ghoomne ka suchan de raha hai, jo dikhata hai ki neeche ki rally dobara shuru ho sakti hai.

Position entry setup:
Option traders ek counter trend strategy apnane ka prayaas kar sakte hain, ek BUY position rakhkar bhi agar woh ab bhi bearish sthiti mein hain. Yahan tak ki imbalance area jo kaafi wide hai, woh daam ko barhne ka mauka pradan karte hain aur yeh bearish trend ki kamzori ko dikhate hain jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dikhata hai. Position entry point 1.0713 ke aas paas hai, jismein Stochastic indicator ke parameters ka confirmation oversold zone mein ghoomne se milta hai. Sabse nazdeek take profit kshetra EMA 50 hai aur door tak 1.0802 ya pavitrast hai, jabki stop loss 10 rakha gaya hai





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Main yakin rakhta hoon ke bears ko giravat ke alawa aur kuch overcome karne ki zarurat nahi hai. Unhone pichle do dinon mein bahut kuch kiya hai EUR/USD mein apni dabdabaai ko mazboot karne ke liye. Keemat ne trend line ko tor diya hai, yeh ek atyant mahatvapurn bindu hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke koi vridhi nahi hogi. Mera iraada hai ek hafta ke timeframe par ek neeche ki correction ko viksit karna 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke nishkarsh darje tak. Yeh ab aisa lagta nahi ke asambhav hai, bechne wale ko ise neeche le jaane ka avsar hai, unhe bas is pal ka intezaar karna hai. EUR/USD ne kafi samay pehle haftawarik chart ke do-sauwein moving average se muraad kar liya tha, ek correction mein gaya aur ek andaruni pattern banaya. 9% retracement ke darje mein maksimum ko torne ka khatra tha, lekin bears ne pair ko pakda aur ab yeh bilkul mukt giravat mein hai. Main aas paas mein ek pullback ka ummeedwaar hoon.





Market mein dakshin ki dabdabaai ki taraf rukh jaari hai, isliye mere liye ek chhota sthiti mahatvapurna raha hai, vishesh roop se 1.0490 ke neeche ke support ko vapas aane ke mauke ke saath. Jab EUR/USD is level tak pahunchega, toh ek taraf ki movement viksit ho sakti hai, jo hame ek chunav degi. Halaanki, yeh saaf ho raha hai ke is par kharidar ka trend adhiktar mein nahi hoga. Agar bullish trend mein palatne ka ulatva hota hai, toh hume uttar ki oor ek joshila gati ka intezaar karna chahiye 1.0670 ke darje tak, aur agar yeh ek correction hai, toh hume neeche ki taraf movement ke jaari rehne ka intezaar karna chahiye. Main samajhta hoon ke EUR/USD ko macroeconomic khabron se prabhavit kiya jaega, aur arthik calendar ka niyantran karna mahatvapurna hai, lekin agle hafta aise koi khabar nahi hogi. Agar keemat badhti hai, toh main yakin rakhta hoon ke bazaar asli uttar ki or mein nahi jaega, kyunki main ek sakriy roop se US mudra ke mazboot ho jaane ka aakalan karta hoon. Is sthiti mein, main badhti keemat ke baad bechne ki salaah doonga.

EUR/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke samajhna ke market ke trends aur factors kis tarah se influence kar rahe hain. EUR/USD pair ki value ke girne aur badhne mein kai wajahat ho sakti hain, jaise ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central banks ke monetary policies. Pichle kuch waqt se, EUR/USD pair kaafi fluctuations ka shikaar raha hai. Haal hi mein iski value ne neeche jaana shuru kiya hai, jaise aapne bhi zikar kiya hai. Iske piche kuch mukhya reasons ho sakte hain. Ek wajah ho sakti hai eurozone ki economic performance mein kamzori ya phir dollar ki mazbooti. Agar eurozone ke economic indicators mein koi kamiyaabi naazar nahi aati ya phir US ke economic indicators behtar hote hain, to yeh pair neeche ja sakta hai.

Ek aur important factor hai geopolitical tension. Agar kisi bhi region mein political instability ho ya phir koi tension ho, to investors apna paisa safe haven currencies mein invest karte hain, jismein dollar bhi shamil hai. Is wajah se EUR/USD pair ki value neeche ja sakti hai. Central banks ki monetary policies bhi currencies ke values ko influence karte hain. Agar Federal Reserve ya ECB apni monetary policy mein koi changes karte hain, jaise ke interest rates ko badhane ya ghatane ka faisla karte hain, to isse currencies ki values mein farq aata hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni policy ko tight karta hai aur ECB ne kuch easing measures announce kiye hain, to EUR/USD pair neeche ja sakta hai.



Lekin abhi aapne mention kiya hai ke market thora sa wapis ka raasta dikhata hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke market mein kuch positive news ya phir kisi event ke expectations se yeh movement aaya ho. Is waqt, technical analysis bhi madadgar ho sakti hai. Agar kisi specific level par support ya resistance hai, to wahaan se price ka reversal hone ka chance hota hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ka tajziya karne ke liye zaroori hai ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central banks ki actions ko monitor kiya jaye. Phir bhi, market ki harkat unpredictable hoti hai aur koi bhi trading decision lene se pehle thorough analysis ki zaroorat hoti hai.

Bilkul, EUR/USD ka movement traders ke liye hamesha ek challenging aspect raha hai. Market ka fluctuation kai factors par depend karta hai jaise ki economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Agar aapne pehle hi andaza laga diya hai aur market ka movement sahi tarah se predict kiya hai, toh aapka experience aur understanding kaafi behtar hai. EUR/USD pair ka movement kaafi volatile hota hai aur ismein short-term aur long-term trends dono dekhe ja sakte hain. Aapne sahi kaha hai, market abhi 1.06456 par hai aur wapas upar ki taraf move karne ka potential hai. Yeh dekhte huye ke market thora sa wapas ka rasta dikhata hai, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ki har ek movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Market analysis mein ek important aspect hota hai technical analysis, jismein traders charts aur past price movements ko study karte hain taki future predictions banai ja sakein. Agar aap technical indicators ka istemal kar rahe hain, toh aapko market ka movement samajhne mein madad milegi. Is waqt, global economic conditions aur monetary policy decisions bhi EUR/USD pair par asar daal rahe hain. European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policies, interest rates, aur economic stimulus measures bhi is pair par impact dalte hain. Aapki prediction ke liye, aapko market ka movement closely monitor karte rehna chahiye aur market mein hone wale kisi bhi significant event ya news ko bhi dhyan mein rakhna chahiye, kyun ki yeh market sentiment ko influence kar sakta hai.



Aakhir mein, trading mein risk management kaafi zaroori hai. Agar aapne kisi bhi trade kiya hai, toh stop-loss orders ka istemal karke apne positions ko protect karna na bhulein. Umeed hai ke hamari prediction sahi sabit ho aur hamin trading mein safalta mile. Zaroori hai ke aap apne decisions ko achhe se analyze karein aur market ke har ek aspect ko dhyan mein rakhein.

Market ki umeedein inflationary pressure ke liye 2024 mein aik nawaab tadeel par guzri hain, jahan investors ne 93 basis points ki kami ke daa'im qeemat lagayi hai. Ye tajziya German regional Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke ikhtitami numaindon ki saamne aaya hai, jo ke March mein mulk bhar mein inflationary pressures mein ahem kami ki alaamat di. Isi doraan, France ne apni sarfeen inflation ko do saalon se zyada arse ke liye sab se kam darje mein girane ka samna kiya. Jabke, Italy aur Spain mein rates ka aik zara sa izafa dekha gaya. Ye tajziyat mil kar Eurozone ke andar inflationary dynamics ki mufassil tabdeeli ko tasdeeq karte hain. Samundar ke doosri taraf, traders ne United States ke doran baqi saal ke liye interest rate cuts ke maamle mein apni tawaqoat ko dobara dekha. Ye dobara tashkeel US manufacturing sector se aaye ghair mutawaqqa musbat data ke asar par hua. March ke data ne aik ghair mutawaqqa izafa ko darust kiya, jo ke sector ke 18 mahinon mein pehla phelahua. Is surprise izafa ne manufacturing activity mein market participants ko Federal Reserve ke qareebi rate cuts ke liye unki tawaqoat ko kamzor karne par majboor kiya hai.

Market ki umeedein ke tadeel economic data releases, monetary policy decisions, aur global economic trends ka tezad se murawaja hota hai. Jab investors naye maloomat ko hazam karte hain aur iske future market shraet par asraat ka tajziya karte hain, to unhain mutabiq apni strategies ko dobara tayyar karna parta hai. Is moqay par, Europe mein mehfooz inflationary pressures aur US manufacturing sector mein ghair mutawaqqaunhain mutabiq apni strategies ko dobara tayyar karna parta hai. Is moqay par, Europe mein mehfooz inflationary pressures aur US manufacturing sector mein ghair mutawaqqa izafa ke aik milawat ne market sentiment aur pricing dynamics mein tabdiliyan lai hai. Aage dekhte hue, investors economic indicators, central bank statements, aur geopolitical developments ko mazeed nazar andaz karain ge taake future mein inflation aur interest rates ki manzil ke baray mein mazeed maloomat hasil ki ja sake. Kisi tajziya se deviate hone par tafawat market pricing aur trading strategies mein mazeed tabdiliyon ko dorra sakti hai.market ki umeedein inflation aur interest rates ke liye tadeel kar di hain. Germany aur France mein samajh se kam inflation ke muqablay mein US manufacturing activity mein ghair mutawaqqa izafa ne investors ke jazbat aur pricing dynamics mein tabdiliyan lai hain. Jab markets naye maloomat ko hazam karte hain, to investors future market shraet par asraat dalne wale mazeed tajziyoon ke liye nehayat mutawajjeh rehtay hain

Kal, US dollar ke liye girawat ka tajwez diya gaya tha, jaise hi maamla pound ke sath tha. Magar keemat mutwaqid se tezi se gir gayi, sirf ek din mein mahiye ke theen din ke bajay neeche pahunch gaya. Girawat ko aik support level se shuru kiya gaya tha jo 1.2708 par tha, jo ek horizontal resistance level ko darust karti hai jo rozana chart par dikhai deti hai jab aakhri keemat istemal hoti hai. Iske saath hi, MACD aur CCI indicators ne bearish divergence dikhaya, ek mazboot sell signal de rahe the, khas taur par support level par. Iske alawa, keemat ne ek saaf bearish pattern banaya tha - ek tez chadha hua wedge. Magar, yeh girne ko razi nahi tha jab tak 15:30 Moscow waqt par aik ahem khabar ka izhaar nahi hua jo US Consumer Price Index (saalana aur mahana) aur US Core Consumer Price Index ke baray mein tha. Ye figures umeed se behtar rahe, jo US dollar ke liye achi baat hai. Seedhe is khabar ke baad, keemat ne patthar ki tarah gira. Doosre pairs bhi iske peechay nahi reh gaye, US dollar wahan bhi mazboot tha. Keemat ne 1.0729 ke support level aur tez trend line tak pohanch gayi.

Aaj, maamla kal se kam wazeh hai. Shayed aaj ek sahara din hoga kal ke girne ke baad, lekin main phir bhi wohi neeche ka test aur uske neeche se guzar jana umeed kar raha hoon. Ya shayed pehle hum uska test karte hain, phir hum correction dekhte hain. Behtar hota ke pehle thodi chadhai ho taake hum behtar samay par selling kar sakein jab kisi formation mein lagaye. Halankeh aaj market mein dakhil hona behtar nahi hai, kal hum technical analysis par nichaye ki taraf tayyar the, lekin aaj maamla wazeh nahi hai, hum mazeed neeche ja sakte hain, ya humein ek bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Agr mumkin ho, aaj market mein dakhil na karen, kal hum ne technical analysis par niche ki taraf position ki thi, lekin aaj maamla wazeh nahi hai, hum mazeed neeche ja sakte hain, ya humein ek bounce nazar a sakta hai.

Poori tarah par waqt se pehle upar neeche chalna wale kuch baray khabarnamas hain: 1. 13:00 Moscow waqt par - Eurogroup Meeting. 2. 15:15 - Eurozone Deposit Facility Rate, Eurozone Marginal Lending Facility Rate, European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement, ECB Interest Rate Decision. 3. 15:30 - US Producer Price Index (PPI), US Initial Jobless Claims. 4. 15:45 - ECB Press Conference.

Agar mumkin ho, aaj market mein kam trade nahi karna behter hai, kal hum ne technical analysis par niche ki taraf tayyar the, lekin aaj maamla wazeh nahi hai, aur hum mazeed neeche ja sakte hain, ya humein ek bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

USD (Euro/US Dollar). H1 time frame per aik shandar trading plan tayar kiya ja sakta hai, kyun ke market mein ab mojood aik achi mauqa hai munafa bakhsh trade mein dakhil hone ka, jiska kamyabi ke imkanat bohot zyada hain. Hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - par aitmaad karte hain. Behtareen entry point ka intikhab karnay ka tareeqa mukhtalif marahil par mushtamil hai. Sab se pehlay, ziada time frame H4 par, ham ab mojooda trend ka tajziya kartay hain. Is mein 21-period moving average (Hama) ki madad li jati hai. Halankay, qoutations moving average ke nichay hain, jo ke ek downtrend ko darust karta hai, aur hum sirf short positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain.

Agle marhale mein, 1 ghanta ke chart par, hum Hama aur RSI indicators ke laal rang mein tabdeel hone ka intezar karte hain. Jab ye do shara'it muttafiq ho jate hain, to hum aik short position khol lete hain. Ham position ko magnetic levels par chhorte hain. Aaj, forecast ko anjam dene ke liye sab se zyada mumkin levels hain - 1.06286. Agar qoutations maqsood ke magnetic level ke qareeb aate hain, to ham maaloom karte hain ke instrument ka rawayya kaisa hai - agar keemat sahi rukh mein aage barhti hai, to hum trailing stop ko fa'el karte hain aur munafa barhne ka intezar karte hain. Agar woh rukh kar jata hai aur mud jata hai, to bila takhir, hum magnetic level par se bahar nikal jate hain.
Agar market forecast ke mutabiq nahi ja raha ho aur quotations magnetic level ke qareeb na aayein, to ham thanday dimagh se aur sabar se kaam lenge. Kabhi kabhi, wait karke acha hota hai, kyunke market ki harkat mein unexpected changes bhi ho sakti hain. Is tarah se, hum apne strategies ko flexible rakhte hain aur market ke conditions ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. Isi tarah, hamari trading approach dynamic aur responsive rehti hai.

EUR/USD pair ECB ke doves aur hawks ke darmiyan ek mukabla mein mubtala hai. U.S. dollar ek taraf se kam federal funds rate cuts ki umeedon, mazboot U.S. economy aur Donald Trump ke White House mein lautne ke khatron se taqwiyat hasil kar raha hai. Mukable mein, euro global economic recovery aur investors mein izafa ho rahe risk appetite se madad hasil kar raha hai.

Doves aur hawks ke darmiyan jari larai ne EUR/USD pair ko 1.05-1.10 ke range mein mehdood rakha hai. Yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke pair kya qareeb mustaqbil mein is range se bahar nikal sakega jab tak dono taraf se bazaar par apni asar jari rahay. March mein mazboot U.S. employment data ke baad, EUR/USD bulls pehle wapas hatne ke liye muntazir the. Futures market ne rate cuts ke liye apne tajwezat ko adjust kiya hai, jahan June mein cut ke chances 50% se kam ho gaye hain. Derivatives falastin mein 60 basis points se kum monetary expansion ke liye isharat dete hain ke FOMC ke do meetings mein 2024 mein rukne wale noskhe ke mutabiq qarzay ke costs mein izafah hona chahiye.

ECB ke doves proactive measures jaise ke deposit rate kami karne ki tijarat karte hain, eurozone ki nazuk economy ko madad dene ke liye. Unho ne darayaft kiya hai ke kisi amal ko der se shuru karne se iss ilaqay ko nuqsaan pohanch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, hawks chaldi fazool faislon se inkar karte hain aur kisi policy change se pehle tafakkur se pehle ki zarurat ko wazeh karte hain. Aanay wale Governing Council meeting jo April 11 ko hone wali hai, ECB ki monetary policy par qarar dene mein ek pivotal role ada karegi.

Technical lehaz se, EUR/USD pair abhi ek tang range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan bulls 1.0845 ke resistance ke upar breakout karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar kamyab rahay to pair 1.0875 aur us se agay ke levels ko nishanah bana sakti hai. On the other hand, resistance ko paar karne mein nakami poshida gairdawari ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai. Key support levels, 1.0848 aur 1.0819, S1 (1.0833) ke doran correction phase mein mumkinah support faraham kar saktay hain.

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko qareeb aane wale waqeaton jaise ke March ki U.S. inflation data aur ECB ke Governing Council meeting ko tawajjo se dekhna chahiye taake EUR/USD pair ke rukh ke bare mein mazeed maloomat hasil ki ja sake. Darmiyan ke key levels aur indicators ko dhyaan se dekhna chahiye taake ECB ke doves aur hawks ke darmiyan jari mukabla ke doraan mutghir faislon par sahi trading faisalon ka intikhab kiya jaa sake.

jora Jumma ko 1.0785–1.0801 ki support zone tak gir gaya, is se oopar utha, aur phir se 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0866 ki taraf barhne laga. Is level se ek naya oopar ka girao phir se Ameriki dollar ko faida pohanchayega, jaise hi 1.0785–1.0801 zone mein wapas jayega. Agar jora ka rate is zone ke neeche jam ho jata hai, to aur girao ki sambhavna 0.0% Fibonacci level par 1.0696 ki taraf barh jayegi. Meri raaye mein, girao ke saath wala option sab se mustaqil hai.
Lehar halat ab bhi kafi wazeh hai. Pichli mukammal neeche ki taraf ki lehar ne pichli lehar (19 March se) ki kamzori ko tor diya, aur naya oopar ki taraf lehar ab tak pichli bulandi (21 March se) tak nahi pohanchi hai. Is tarah, ham waqtanah "behravi" trend ke sath deal kar rahe hain, aur is waqt uska khatam hone ka koi ishara nahi hai. Aise ishara ke liye, mojooda oopar ki taraf ki lehar ko mojoodi sab se akhri bulandi (21 March se) ko tor dena hoga. Agar nayi neeche ki taraf ki lehar 2 April se ki kamzori ko tor deti hai, to ye bhi "behravi" trend ka khatam hone ka ishara hoga.

Jumma ko khabron ka pehla report Europe Union mein retail trade par thi. Volumes m/m mein 0.5% aur y/y mein 0.7% kam hue. Is tarah, subah se hi bears ko muqabla karne ke liye wajah mili. Agla, America mein, mazdoori, be-rozgar, aur ujrat ke teen reports jaari ki gayi, jo ke bears ko bhi madad ki, lekin 1.0785–1.0801 zone ne unke liye ek laazim rukawat sabit ki. Is haftay ECB ka teesra meeting hai is saal. Main umeed karta hoon ke interest rates mein tabdili nahi hogi, lekin Christine Lagarde ki statements dikhayengi ke regulator agle meeting mein darjat kam karne ke liye tayyar hoga. Ye mushkil hai ke ECB ke "dovish" jazbaat ki mazbooti bears ki madad karegi, kyunke bazaar ko lambay arsay se samajh aa chuka hai ke pehla monetary policy ka asani se June mein ho jayega. Lekin phir se, khabron ka manzar bechnon ke haath mein hoga.

Naye saiyasi tanazaat ke ubharne ke saath, khaaskar Iran aur US ke beech, jiski satellites hain, US dollar ka waqtanwi mazboot hona ab bhi dastak mein hai. 1.0616 ka neeche ka mumkinah nishana abhi bhi neeche ki taraf mutaharik hai, aur darmiyani muddat mein isse chhuna mumkin hai. Aur abhi tak, sab kuch uttar ki taraf ek punaravrtan hai. Aaj ke trading mein, 1.0791 ka star dilchasp tha, jahan dinbhar ki dakshin ko tod diya ja sakta tha ek mumkinah uttaravrti gati ka vikas karke, lekin yeh nahi hua, aur subah, 1.0737 ka dinbhar ka nichla kinara bhi parikshan kiya gaya. Is tarah, uttar ki taraf abhi tak sab kuch aasan nahi hai. Duri se sambhav pehle drishtikonon se intraday trading tak aate hue, maine kal ke liye staro ko pehchan liya hai: upar 1.0778 aur neeche 1.0725. Vartaman mein, uttar se dakshini punarvrtan sambhav hai, aur aage ki uttaravrti vikas ke liye 1.0740 ke neeche na jaana ichchit hai. Us se neeche, bailon ko dabao mahsoos hone lagega, jismein 1.0725 ke neeche poora giravat ka khatra hai. Aur jo ichchhaen maine bayan ki hain, vah bahut hi saanjha hongi. Chaliye dekhte hain ki Asians ise kitna neeche le jaate hain, ek achhi baat mein. Main phir se aapko saiyasi tanazaat ke baare mein yaad dilana chahunga, Iran ne apne safare par golibaari ka sakht jawab dene ki dhamki di hai. Raat abhi shuru hui hai.

Yeh hai vartaman tasveer. Subah mein aur bhi tafseelat. Tehqiqi khabron ke liye, ahem hai ke kal 15:15 Moscow waqt par, pehli nai-kisan adyatmik jama'oorey aur 16:45 par, karobar ki faa'liyat ka indeks jaari kiya jayega. Woh log jo tail par trade karte hain, unke liye, 17:30 par, uski amvaat jaari ki jaayengi. Sab ko munafa bakhshi trading ki dua.

EUR USD

Euro ke bohot bura haal hai, jo teeno din mein lagbhag 2% gir gaya hai aur ek saal se zyada waqt ka sabse bura hafta guzar raha hai. ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan takraav ki wajah se ye giravat aayi hai. ECB ne interest rates ko 4% par rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jabki andaruni support ke bawajood unhe kam karne ka faisla lena chahiye tha. Iske saath hi, unki ihtiyaat se bhari monetary policy statements ne investors ko yeh samjha diya hai ke jald hi ek rate cut aane wala hai, shayad June mein. Ye ek itihaasik kadam hoga, jo ECB ko Fed se aage le jaayega. Muktibah, Fed apna kamar kas rahi hai. Mazboot US maeeshat ki data, jismein mehngaai mein izafa shamil hai, unhe apne peechle monetary easing measures ka faida uthane par majboor kar rahi hai. Fed ki is hawkish stance ne Euro ko aur kamzor kar diya hai. EUR/USD pair is haftay ki peak se 1.9% gir gaya hai, aur paanch mahine ka low hit kiya hai.

Euro ki giravat ko driving factor ECB aur Fed ke policies mein farq hai. US mehngaai ki report ne dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jo ke mahino se apne long-term average se door tha. Mukhtalif forces major currency pairs par dabao daal rahi hain. Is maheene ke shuru se, US ne ek saamaan ki surge, majboot rozgaar ki growth, aur muntakhib hone wale izafa ke saath surkhiyan banaayi hain. Ye data Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ko aur peeche dhakel raha hai, jo ke Euro ke khilaaf dollar ko aur mazboot bana raha hai. Kal ke 0.8% nuksan ke baad, EURUSD 1.0700 ke gol number se neeche gir gaya aur 1.0675 par ek paanch mahine ka naya low banaaya. Agla support level 1.0655 se aayega, aur price ne rising trend line se neeche gir kar ek mumkin negative retracement ka ishaara diya hai. Ziyada bearish longer-term timeframe ko steeper declines se badal diya ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0515 bottleneck ka raasta saaf kar sakta hai.

EURUSD ka gol number ko neeche girne ka matlab hai ki euro ki kimat USD ke muqablay mein ghat gayi hai. Jab yeh hota hai, kai factors is par asar daal sakte hain. Ek wajah ho sakti hai ki euro zone mein economic instability ho rahi hai, jaise ki political uncertainty ya phir economic indicators ka kamzor hona. Ek aur factor ho sakta hai global economic conditions ka asar. Agar United States ki economy strong hai aur euro zone ki economy weak hai, toh USD ki value euro ke muqablay mein barh jati hai, jiski wajah se EURUSD ka gol number neeche gir jata hai. Is tarah ke ghatanayen traders aur investors ke liye mahatvapurn hoti hain, kyun ki yeh unhe market trends ka indication deti hain. Unko yeh bata deti hai ki kis direction mein market move kar raha hai aur kaise wo is par trading kar sakte hain. Kuch traders is opportunity ko aprove karke forex market mein trading karte hain. Jab gol number neeche gir jata hai, kuch traders short positions lete hain, yani unhe lagta hai ki euro ki kimat aur girne wali hai. Is tarah se wo profit earn kar sakte hain jab euro ki kimat aur neeche jaati hai. Lekin, is tarah ki trading mein risk bhi hota hai. Market volatile hoti hai aur unexpected events bhi ho sakte hain jo currency pairs ke prices ko influence karte hain. Isliye, traders ko proper risk management ke saath trading karna chahiye. Central banks bhi is tarah ke ghatnayon ka asar dekh kar monetary policy mein changes kar sakte hain. Agar euro ki value bahut kam ho rahi hai, toh European Central Bank (ECB) interest rates ko kam karke ya aur monetary measures se economy ko stimulate karne ka soch sakti hai. Overall, EURUSD ka gol number neeche girna ek important event hai jo market participants ke liye indications provide karta hai aur trading opportunities create karta hai, lekin ismein risk bhi hota hai jise samajhna zaroori hai.