𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EURUSD

​​​​​Aaj main EURUSD currency pair ke movement ka tajziya fundamental aur technical analysis ke zariye karne ki koshish karunga.

BUNYADI TAJZIYA

Aaj, EURUSD currency pair ka movement 10-15 pips ki kami ka saamna kiya, yeh kami Euro currency exchange rate ki kamzori ki wajah se hui thi Europe market session mein pehle hi Italian industrial news ke jariye, jisme production 0.5% kam hui. ECB ke dwara faisla kiya gaya interest rate bhi 4.5% ke roop mein sthir raha, jo eurusd movement ko 1.0730 ke price tak girne ka karan bana. Haalanki, aaj raat ko EURUSD movement ne 1.0730 se 1.0750 ke price tak 20 pips ki barhavat ka samna kiya. Eurusd ki barhti hui movement ka karan US dollar exchange rate ki kamzori thi, jisme America mein berozgaari dar 211 hazaar logon tak barh gayi aur PPI ke natije bhi 0.2% kam hue, jisse eurusd ke movement ne jhatpat 1.0760 ke price tak badhne ka nateeja hua. EURUSD currency pair ke movement ke liye bunyadi tajziya ke natije abhi bhi EURUSD ko 1.0770 ke price tak kharidne ka trend hai.

TECHNICAL TAJZIYA

Mere technical tajziya ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair ka maujooda movement abhi bhi 1.0770 ke price tak seedha hone ki sambhavna hai. Iska karan yeh hai ki H1 time frame par EURUSD currency pair ka movement ek bullish engulfing candle ban chuka hai jo EURUSD ko 1.0770 ke price tak badhne ke liye kaafi mazboot signal hai. Iske alawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ki tasveer mein, eurusd ke price 1.07260 par already oversold ya bahut zyada oversold hai, isliye bahut zyada sambhav hai ki aaj raat eurusd currency pair ka movement phir se 1.0760 ke price tak badhega. Buy eurusd signal ko Fibonacci aur SNR methods ke istemal se bhi support milta hai kyun ki jab eurusd ke price 1.0730s mein tha, to woh RBS area mein tha, isliye yeh ek bada possibility hai ki BUY EURUSD signal aaj raat kaafi bada hoga jo shayad 1.0770s ke price tak badh sakta hai. Aaj ke mere technical tajziya ke natije ke mutabiq EURUSD ke movement ke liye main ab bhi EURUSD ko 1.0770 ke price tak kharidne ka trend dekh raha hoon.

Aj main EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ka tajziyah koshish karunga, jisme fundamental analysis aur technical analysis ka istemal kiya gaya hai. BUNYADI TAJZIYAH
Aaj, EURUSD currency pair ki harkat mein 10-15 pips ki kami dekhi gayi, ye kami European market session ke pehle euro currency exchange rate ke kamzor hone ke natije mein hui jab Italy ki industrial khabron ka izhar hua, production 0.5% kam hua aur ECB ne interest rate ka level 4.5% rakh diya, jiski wajah se eurusd ki harkat 1.0730 ke daam par gir gayi. Magar, aaj raat ko EURUSD ki harkat mein 20 pips ki izafat hui 1.0730 ke daam se 1.0750 tak. Eurusd ki izafat ko dollar exchange rate ke kamzor hone ki wajah se trigger kiya gaya tha, jab America mein berozgari dar 211 hazar logon tak barh gaya aur PPI ke natije bhi 0.2% kam hui, jiski wajah se eurusd ki harkat achanak 1.0760 ke daam par barh gayi. EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ke liye bunyadi tajziyeh ke natije abhi bhi BUY EURUSD ke taraf jhukte hain takreeban 1.0770 ke daamon tak.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair ki maujooda harkat ab bhi 1.0770 ke daamon tak darust hone ki sambhavna hai. Isliye ke H1 time frame par EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ne ek bullish engulfing candle banaya hai jo EURUSD ko 1.0770 ke daamon tak barhne ke liye kaafi mazboot signal hai. Iske alawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ki visualization mein pata chalta hai ke eurusd ke daam 1.07260 pe abhi oversold ya zyada oversold hai, isliye bahut zyada sambhavna hai ke aaj raat eurusd currency pair ki harkat phir se 1.0760 ke daamon tak barh jaye. BUY EURUSD signal ko Fibonacci aur SNR methods ke istemal se bhi support milta hai kyun ke jab eurusd ke daam 1.0730 ke qareeb the, to ye RBS area mein tha isliye aik bara imkaan hai ke BUY EURUSD signal aaj raat kaafi zyada ho, jo shayad 1.0770 ke daamon tak barh sakta hai. Meri aaj ki technical analysis ke natije EURUSD ki harkat ke liye ab bhi BUY EURUSD ke taraf jhukte hain takreeban 1.0770 ke daamon tak

Aj main EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ka tajziyah koshish karunga, jisme fundamental analysis aur technical analysis ka istemal kiya gaya hai. BUNYADI TAJZIYAH

Aaj, EURUSD currency pair ki harkat mein 10-15 pips ki kami dekhi gayi, ye kami European market session ke pehle euro currency exchange rate ke kamzor hone ke natije mein hui jab Italy ki industrial khabron ka izhar hua, production 0.5% kam hua aur ECB ne interest rate ka level 4.5% rakh diya, jiski wajah se eurusd ki harkat 1.0730 ke daam par gir gayi. Magar, aaj raat ko EURUSD ki harkat mein 20 pips ki izafat hui 1.0730 ke daam se 1.0750 tak. Eurusd ki izafat ko dollar exchange rate ke kamzor hone ki wajah se trigger kiya gaya tha, jab America mein berozgari dar 211 hazar logon tak barh gaya aur PPI ke natije bhi 0.2% kam hui, jiski wajah se eurusd ki harkat achanak 1.0760 ke daam par barh gayi. EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ke liye bunyadi tajziyeh ke natije abhi bhi BUY EURUSD ke taraf jhukte hain takreeban 1.0770 ke daamon tak.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair ki maujooda harkat ab bhi 1.0770 ke daamon tak darust hone ki sambhavna hai. Isliye ke H1 time frame par EURUSD currency pair ki harkat ne ek bullish engulfing candle banaya hai jo EURUSD ko 1.0770 ke daamon tak barhne ke liye kaafi mazboot signal hai. Iske alawa, relative strength index 14 indicator ki visualization mein pata chalta hai ke eurusd ke daam 1.07260 pe abhi oversold ya zyada oversold hai, isliye bahut zyada sambhavna hai ke aaj raat eurusd currency pair ki harkat phir se 1.0760 ke daamon tak barh jaye. BUY EURUSD signal ko Fibonacci aur SNR methods ke istemal se bhi support milta hai kyun ke jab eurusd ke daam 1.0730 ke qareeb the, to ye RBS area mein tha isliye aik bara imkaan hai ke BUY EURUSD signal aaj raat kaafi zyada ho, jo shayad 1.0770 ke daamon tak barh sakta hai. Meri aaj ki technical analysis ke natije EURUSD ki harkat ke liye ab bhi BUY EURUSD ke taraf jhukte hain takreeban 1.0770 ke daamon tak

Forex trading ke duniya mein, traders ke paas currency exchange rates ki fluctuations se fayda uthane ke liye use karne wale kayi strategies aur approaches hoti hain. Ek aise strategy ka naam hai intraday trading, jahan traders din mein hi currencies ko khareedte hain aur bechte hain taaki chhoti-moti keemat ke chalane ka fayda utha sakein. Ek trader, jiska tajurba tha EUR/USD currency pair intraday trading karne ka, ne apne anubhav ko share kiya.

Likhai ke waqt, yeh trader EUR/USD pair ko khareedne ka vichar kar rahe the, lekin unhe quotes ke khilaf chal rahe the. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, pair mein aur giravat hone ka kam zyada tha, lekin mixed American economic statistics un par asar daal rahe the jo US dollar ki taqat ko prabhavit kar rahe the. Jab ECB ne refinancing rate ko badalne se mana kiya, to yeh Euro ke liye accha tha, lekin ayadoshi US economic data trading environment ko mushkil bana raha tha.

EUR/USD pair ka chaar ghante ka chart dekhte hue, yeh trader ne note kiya ke reversal ke saare nishan gayab ho gaye the, aur quotes girte hue the. Yeh local minimum level 1.0694 ki taraf ka ek mukhya chalne ka ishara tha. Haalaanki, trader ne yeh bhi socha ke quotes wapas highest level 1.0755 tak ja sakte hain, jahan 1.0800 ki resistance level tak pahunch sakte hain. In do mukhya parinaamon ke saath, trader ne bazaar ko dhyan se monitor karne aur uske mutabiq apni trading strategy ko adjust karne ki ahmiyat par zor diya.

Forex market mein trading karna bohot zyada mehnat aur adaptability demand karta hai. Traders ko arthik vikasnao ki latest jankari rakhni hoti hai, price movements ko dhyan se dekhna hota hai, aur bazaar ke badlne vaale conditions ka tezi se jawab dena hota hai. Khas taur par intraday trading mein, tezi se faisalta lena hota hai aur keemat mein sudden shifts ka jawab dena hota hai. Yeh trading form tezi se aur dharavahik mishra hai jo na sirf faydemand balki challenging bhi ho sakti hai.

Kamyab forex traders hamesha apni unique trading strategies develop karte hain jo technical analysis, fundamental analysis, aur market sentiment ke mishran par adharit hoti hain. Woh aik variety ke indicators, chart patterns, aur tools ka istemal karte hain taaki woh price movements ko pesh-e-nazar kar sakein aur informed trading decisions le sakein. Risk management bhi forex trading mein mahatvapurna hai, kyunki traders ko apni positions ko dhyan se manage karna hota hai aur apne capital ko bachane ke liye stop-loss orders set karna hota hai.

Jab yeh trader EUR/USD pair ke intraday trading mein chadhav aur utar se guzar rahe hain, to woh chaukanna aur adaptable bane rahte hain. Unhe yeh samajh mein aata hai ke forex market aniyamit hai aur lagatar vikasit hota rehta hai, aur trading mein safalta darust karne ke liye discipline, sabr, aur jeet aur haar se sikho wale hone ki zaroorat hoti hai. Informative rahne, market data ka analysis karna, aur apni approach mein flexible reh kar, yeh trader forex trading ke challenging duniya mein nishchit labh prapt karne ki umeed rakhte hain.

Forex market Friday ke doran Asian trading hours mein Euro (EUR) ki qeemat mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kami ka samna kar raha hai. Is kami ka zimmedar hone ka sabab yeh hai ke aane wale September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke afraad se bhar gaya hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne, doosri taraf, apni meeting mein apne interest rates ko record high par qaim rakhne ka faisla liya, lekin June mein ek possible rate cut ki isharaat di. Market participants Friday ko Germany se inflation data aur US state of Michigan se consumer confidence readings ki release ka intezar kar rahe hain. Magar, ye reports market par minimal asar daalne ka tawaqo kiye ja rahe hain. Halankeh CME FedWatch Tool ki data ke mutabiq, investors sirf is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ka intezar kar rahe hain, jinme se pehla cut September mein hone ka imkaan hai. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting se release hui minutes ne reveal kiya ke members inflation mein izafa ke baare mein ghaafil thay, aur latest data ne unki inflation ko 2% target level par wapas aane par unki confidence ko bhi nahi barhaya. Intehai Atlantic ke us paar, ECB ne apne key interest rate ko 4.0% par qaim rakha, jo ke rates ko barqarar rakhne wale paanchwi musalsal meeting hai. Federal Reserve ke agle kadam ke ird gird shak ki bawajood, ECB ne bhi ek qareebi rate cut ki isharaat di. Market ki tawaqoat ke mutabiq ECB ki June mein 25 basis point ki cutting ka imkaan hai.



EUR/USD ne ek rebound ki koshish ki, magar isne 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke sath sath EUR/USD pair ke liye ahem technical indicators ko shaamil karne wale aik guchha mein mazboot rukawat ka saamna kiya, sath hi 50-day SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud bhi. Agar tezi se nahin ubhar sakti, to pair 1.0795 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai, jo February aur March mein aik buffer ka kaam karta hai. Is level ke neeche giravat, qeemat ko haal hi ke 1.0722 ke lows ki taraf kheench sakti hai, jo December aur February mein bhi support ka kaam karta tha. Agar qeemat aur kamzor hoti hai, to 1.0693 ka 2024 ka low qeemat ko neeche se thora bacha sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar bull maweshiyan moving average convergence par attack shuru karte hain, to qareebi resistance 1.0875 par pehle tufani uthan mein rukawat ka kaam kar sakti hai. Is area ke breakout se aage ke safar ko asaan kiya ja sakta hai, jis se lower highs ki ek silsila tayar kiya ja sakta hai, jise 1.0941, 1.0963, aur 1.0980 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, jo mil kar downtrend line ko banate hain.

EUR/USD haal mein pichle maheenon ki aham shakal mein wapas a gaya hai. Do din pehle lagbhag 150 pips girne ke bawajood aur kal European Central Bank ki meeting ke baad, Thursday ko volatility sirf 60 pips se kam thi. Ek taraf, ECB ne koi ahem faisla nahi kiya, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde press conference mein kaafi ghair wazeh thi. Khas tor par, market ne un se agle meeting jo June mein hone wali hai par sambandhit kisi monetary easing ke mumkin tafsilat nahi mili. Lagarde ne kaha ke agle policy meeting par (shayad rate ka faisla karne ke liye) buhat zyada data hoga. Doosri taraf, yeh ECB ki meeting thi, aur aise waqiyat par aam tor par kisi reaction hota hai.

Magar, super-volatile Wednesday ke baad, market Thursday ko apni maamooli, saada harkaton mein wapas laut gaya. Euro girne ka silsila jari raha, lekin yeh bohot kamzor tha, haalaankay poori tarah se qabil-e-paishgoy tha. Hum yeh maante hain ke euro girna chahiye jab ke dollar barhna chahiye, kyunke aam asooli pehlu dollar ko support karte hain. June mein Federal Reserve ke dar ko kam karne ka shuru karna itna mumkin nahi hai, jabke ECB ke monetry policy ko is maheenay mein asani se darust karna almost yaqeeni hai.

Kal sirf aik trading signal banaya gaya tha. Jab US session shuru hua, to pair ne level 1.0757 se bounce kiya, uske baad 40 pips gir gaya. Koi aur signals nahi bane, aur qeemat qareebi target level tak nahi pohanchi. Is liye, short position ko shaam mein haath se band karna chahiye tha. Is se lagbhag 20-30 pips kamaya ja sakta tha. 1-hour chart par, EUR/USD ne apna neechay ka trend dobara shuru kiya, lekin agli din harkat purani ho gayi. 2024 mein Fed rate cuts ki tawaqoat ko kafi kam kar diya gaya hai, is liye US dollar barh sakta hai aur barhna chahiye. Khas tor par jab ECB ko apni monetary policy jald he asani se darust karna hai. Am tor par, tamam factors abhi US dollar ki izafa ki taraf ishara karte hain.


12 April ko, trading ke liye hum ne niche diye gaye levels par tawajjo di: 1.0530, 1.0581, 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0836, 1.0886, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, saath hi Senkou Span B (1.0801) aur Kijun-sen (1.0793) lines. Ichimoku indicator ki lines din ke doran move ho sakti hain, is liye jab trading signals ko pehchanne ka kaam kiya jaaye toh is baat ka khayal rakha jana chahiye. Yeh mat bhoolen ke agar qeemat 15 pips ke maqsood rukh mein chali gayi hai toh Stop Loss ko breakeven par set kar den. Is se aap ko khatra hoga agar signal jhoota nikla.

Aaj, March ke liye German inflation figures euro area economic calendar par hafte ko mukammal kar denge. Ye report market sentiment ko asar daalne ki bohot kam chances rakhti hai. US docket mein University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index shamil hoga, jo sirf actual value ka significant deviation hone ki surat mein market reaction provoke kar sakta hai. Lagta hai ke market US inflation data ke baad sukoon mein a gaya hai, aur ab hum rozana dobara kam volatility dekhenge.

𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 ka Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ka technical analysis karne ke liye traders market ke price charts, indicators, aur patterns ka istemal karte hain. Yahan kuch common technical analysis tools aur techniques hain jo EUR/USD ke liye use kiye ja sakte hain:

1. Candlestick Patterns: Traders candlestick patterns ka istemal karte hain price action ko analyze karne ke liye. Bullish aur bearish candlestick patterns jaise ki Doji, Hammer, Shooting Star, aur Engulfing patterns, short-term aur long-term price movements ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.
2. Support aur Resistance Levels: Support aur resistance levels ko identify karke traders price ka potential movement determine karte hain. Support levels price ke neeche ki taraf define kiye jate hain jabki resistance levels price ke upar ki taraf define kiye jate hain. Yeh levels price reversals aur trend changes ko spot karne mein help karte hain.
3. Moving Averages: Traders moving averages ka istemal karte hain trend ko confirm karne aur entry/exit points tay karne ke liye. Short-term aur long-term moving averages ka combination traders ko trend direction aur strength ka idea deta hai.
4. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI indicator traders ko overbought aur oversold conditions ko identify karne mein help karta hai. Jab RSI 70 ke upar hota hai, toh market overbought ho sakti hai aur downward movement ka possibility hota hai. Jab RSI 30 ke neeche hota hai, toh market oversold ho sakti hai aur upward movement ka possibility hota hai.
5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD indicator traders ko trend changes aur momentum ko identify karne mein madad deta hai. Jab MACD line signal line ko cross karta hai, toh ye buy/sell signals generate karta hai.
6. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels ko use karke traders price ka potential retracement aur reversal points identify karte hain. Fibonacci levels price ka support aur resistance provide karte hain.

In technical analysis tools ka istemal karke traders EUR/USD ka price action analyze karte hain aur trading decisions lete hain. Yeh tools market trends aur movements ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain lekin traders ko proper risk management bhi dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃 ka SWOT Analysis

EUR/USD ka SWOT analysis karke hum is currency pair ke strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, aur threats ko samajh sakte hain:

Strengths:

1. High Liquidity: EUR/USD ek major currency pair hai aur iska liquidity level high hota hai. Isse traders ko easy access milta hai market mein transactions karne ke liye.
2. Global Economic Impact: Eurozone aur United States ki strong economic presence ke karan, EUR/USD ka price movement global economic conditions ko reflect karta hai.
3. Technical Analysis Reliability: Is pair par technical analysis tools aur indicators ka istemal karna relatively reliable hota hai due to its high trading volume and market activity.

Weaknesses:

1. Volatility: Although high liquidity is a strength, it also contributes to volatility in the EUR/USD pair, which can lead to rapid price fluctuations and increased risk for traders.
2. Sensitivity to Economic Events: EUR/USD is sensitive to economic events and news releases from the Eurozone and the United States, which can lead to sudden and sharp movements in price.

Opportunities:

1. Global Economic Trends: Traders can capitalize on global economic trends and events by analyzing the impact on EUR/USD and taking advantage of potential trading opportunities.
2. Technical Analysis Strategies: Using technical analysis strategies like trend following, support and resistance levels, and candlestick patterns can help traders identify profitable entry and exit points.

Threats:

1. Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, or political instability in the Eurozone or the United States can create uncertainty and volatility in the EUR/USD pair.
2. Interest Rate Changes: Monetary policy decisions and interest rate changes by central banks, especially the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), can significantly influence the EUR/USD exchange rate.

Overall, EUR/USD ka SWOT analysis traders ko market dynamics samajhne aur trading strategies tay karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, lekin risk management ka bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai.




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EUR/USD apne haal ki maheenon ki maamooli pattern par wapas aaya. Do din pehle tak lagbhag 150 pips girne ke bawajood aur kal European Central Bank ki meeting ke bawajood, Jumeraat ko volatility 60 pips se kam thi. Aik taraf, ECB ne koi ahem faislay nahi kiye, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde press conference ke doran kafi mubham thin. Khaaskar, market ko agle meeting jo June mein hone wali hai par mumkin monetary easing ke baray mein unki taraf se koi khaas tafseelat nahi mili. Lagarde ne kaha ke agle policy meeting par (rate par faisla karne ke liye) kafi zyada data mojood hoga. Doosri taraf, yeh ECB meeting thi, aur aam tor par aise waqiyat par kuch na kuch reaction hota hai.

Magar, super-volatile Wednesday ke baad, market ne apni maamooli, bayzaar harkat par wapas aaya tha. Euro girte raha, lekin yeh bohot kamzor tha, halankeh puri tarah se qabil-e-paishgoi thi. Hum mante hain ke euro girna chahiye jabke dollar uthna chahiye, kyunke aam asli background dollar ko support karta hai. Yeh namumkin hai ke Federal Reserve June mein inflation report ke baad rate ko kam karne ka aghaz kare, jabke ECB mojooda mahine mein monetary policy ko halka karne ki guarantee hai.


Kal sirf aik trading signal bana tha. US session ke shuru mein, joda 1.0757 ke level se chadha, jiska baad yeh 40 pips se gir gaya. Koi aur signals tayar nahi kiye gaye the, aur qeemat qareeb tar gayi thi. Isliye, short position ko shaam mein haath se band karna chahiye tha. Is se 20-30 pips kamaya ja sakta tha. 1-hour chart par, EUR/USD apne neeche ki rukh ki taraf wapas gaya, lekin agli roz harkat shant ho gayi. 2024 mein Fed rate cut ki umeedain kaafi kam ho chuki hain, to US dollar uth sakta hai aur uthna chahiye. Khaaskar ke ECB ko apni monetary policy ko jald he halka karne ki umeed hai. Amumtora par, tamaam factors abhi US dollar ki barhne ki taraf ishaarat kar rahe hain.

April 12 ko, hum trading ke liye in levels par tawajjo diye jate hain: 1.0530, 1.0581, 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0836, 1.0886, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, ke saath Senkou Span B (1.0801) aur Kijun-sen (1.0793) lines. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran move kar sakti hain, isliye jab trading signals ko pehchana jaye, isko le kar ghaalib ana chahiye. Bhoolna nahi ke agar qeemat muntakhib rukh mein 15 pips tak chali gayi hai to Stop Loss ko breakeven par set karna chahiye. Yeh aapko hosakta hai ke signal jhooti nikle to nuqsan se bachayega.

Aaj, March ke German inflation figures euro area economic calendar par saptah khatam karte hain. Ye report market sentiment ko kisi bhi had tak asar dalne ki kam mumkinat rakhti hai. US docket mein University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index shamil hai, jo sirf mojooda qeemat ki badi imkan par market reaction dila sakta hai. Lagta hai ke market US inflation data ke baad shant ho gaya hai, aur ab hum har roz low volatility dekhenge.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D


Hello sab dost, aaj aap sab kaise hain? Aaj main EUR/USD market ke mojooda qeemat ke hawale se aik article likhunga. Taareekh likhne ke waqt EUR/USD 1.0684 par trading ho raha hai. Is waqt ke chart par EUR/USD ka tasavvur mutajjis hai kyun ke momentum indicators abhi bearish power dikhate hain jo kamzor ho rahi hai magar abhi bhi control mein hai. Agar hum technical indicators, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is timeframe par dekhen, to dono indicators oversold levels ke atraaf trading kar rahe hain, lekin unka sar neeche hai, jo ke ishara hai ke qeemat 0.9987 level ki taraf gir sakti hai. Kyunke qeemat is timeframe ke chart par moving average line ke neeche trading kar rahi hai aur indicator bearish trend ko support kar raha hai, is liye qeemat ke negative activity ko ignore karna na mumkin hai. EUR/USD 1.0756 level ko test karne ke liye uchhal sakti hai jo ke pehla resistance level hai. Neeche diye gaye chart mein main ne qeemat ke mumkinah harkaat banai hain agar supply 1.0819 par toot jaye to ye yaqeeni hai ke qeemat naye supply ki taraf mazboot ho jayegi jo ke doosra resistance level hai.




Is ke baad, main samajhta hoon ke EUR/USD ki qeemat barh kar 1.0885 ka resistance test karegi, jo maine wazahat ke liye wazeefa mein darust kiya hai. Doosri taraf, EUR/USD ki qeemat girne ki tawaqqo ki jati hai, jo $0.9987 support level ki taraf qareeb hai jo ke 1st level of support hai. Yaad rakhna zaroori hai, magar, ke EUR/USD ki qeemat ka aur girna $0.9987 ke neeche mumkin hai jo ke 2nd level of support hai, mahine ki kam qeemat $0.8843 ko agla target banayega jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Isliye, is chart ke neeche nichle support par khareedna aur oopar resistance par farokht karna acha rahega. Aam tor par, hum umeed karte hain ke qeemat range ke andar harkat karegi.

Foreign exchange market Jumeraat ke doran Asia ki trading hours mein Euro (EUR) ki qeemat mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf kami dekh raha hai. Ye kami ek mazboot hotay hue Amreeki dollar ki barhne ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jo ke aane wale September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke tajwezon se mazboot ho raha hai. Dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni interest rates ko record bulandayi par qaim rakhne ka intikhab kiya tha in ke jalse ke doran Jumeraat ko, lekin Jun mein potential rate cut ka ishara diya. Market ke hissedar tasalsul se Germany se inflation data aur Michigan ke US state se consumer confidence readings ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Jumeraat ko muntakhib hue hain. Magar, ye reports market par kisi had tak asar daalne ka tawaqqo kiya jata hai. Halankeh, CME FedWatch Tool ke data ke mutabiq, investors sirf is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ka intezar kar rahe hain, pehla cut September mein mumkin hai. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting se released minutes ne yeh zahir kiya ke members inflatio mein izafa ke baray mein ghair yaqeeni hain, aur taaza data ne unka yeh aitmaad barhane mein madad nahi ki ke inflatio 2% ki had tak wapas aa jayegi. Intihaai, doosri taraf, Atlantic ke par, ECB ne apni key interest rate ko 4.0% par qaim rakha, jo ke rates ko be-ghair tabdeel hone wale pehli 5 meetings ko darust karta hai. Federal Reserve ke agle kadam ke ird gird shakook ke bawajood, ECB ne bhi aik qareebi rate cut ka ishara diya hai. Market ki tawaqqaat ke mutabiq, ECB ki Jun mein 25 basis point ki kami ka intezar hai.
EUR/USD ne aik dubara hawalat ki koshish ki, lekin us ne 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) aur 50-day SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud ke jaise ahem technical indicators ka jazbati ilaqa ke darmiyan mazboot rukawat ka samna karna pada. Agar harkat ki tezi dar na ho, to pair shayad 1.0795 support level ko test karega, jo February aur March mein ek buffer ka kaam karta tha. Is level ke neeche ek tor phor is qeemat ko 1.0722 ki halqiyat tak le ja sakta hai, jo December aur February mein bhi support ka kaam kiya tha. Agar qeemat mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to 2024 ka low point 1.0693 mazid kami se bachao faraham kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar bullion moving average convergence par hamla shuru karte hain, to qareebi waqt ke resistance 1.0875 pehli rally ke liye rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ilaqa ke ooper nikalne se raasta saaf ho jata hai aik series ke liye nichle highs tak, jo 1.0941, 1.0963, aur 1.0980 tak pohanch sakte hain, jo ke downtrend line ko milte julte hain.

EURUSD Technical Chart Analysis Review



Euro aur U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) major currency pair, har waqt, aksar puri duniya mein sab se zyada trade ki jane wali market hoti hai. Humare do sab se taqatwar aur asar andaz ma'aashiyat ko daryaft karne ke liye, ye traders ko bohot se trading opportunities faraham karta hai. Har roz is par trillions ka business hota hai. Isi wajah se EUR/USD ek bohot hi liquid currency pair hai aur aksar volatile hota hai. Pair ke bade trading volumes wajah se, ye kisi bhi doosre maali markets ke muqablay mein zyada liquidity (aur kabhi kabhi zyada volatility) faraham karta hai. Ye maali ma'ashrat ka dher sara mawad, forex traders ke liye aik mashhoor intikhab banata hai.
EUR/USD ek major currency pair hai jab se common currency 1999 mein dakhil hui. Tab se, kai events ne is ke exchange rate par bohot asar dala hai. Muktalif factors EUR/USD ke exchange rate movements ko chalate hain, aur unko samajhna pair ke future trading sessions mein potential directions ke liye qeemti idrak faraham kar sakta hai. EUR/USD ka trading bohot faida dila sakta hai - magar bara nuqsaan bhi de sakta hai - is liye is pair ke baray mein ilm hona zaroori hai.







Kuch macroeconomic events hain jo EUR/USD ke exchange rate ko chalate hain, jaise ke interest rates mein tabdiliyan, ma'ashi istehsal, rozgar data, mahangai, balance of payments, aur siyasi risk. EUR/USD currency pair duniya ka sab se active forex market hai aur aksar global risk sentiment ka ek paimana ke tor par istemal kiya jata hai. Is liye, ye zaroori hai ke humain pata ho ke EUR/USD exchange rate ke key drivers ko kaise pehchana jaye. Asasati tajziya - yaani ma'ashi indicators ka mutala kar ke potential trading opportunities ko pehchanna - is currency pair ko qareebi aur daira muddat mein kya harkat karega, is ke liye qeemti idrak faraham kar sakta hai. Amooman, bade maashi events ke pehle, jaise ke America ke nonfarm payrolls ya phir ECB ya Fed ki latest meeting, EUR/USD pair par ziada interest paida ho sakta hai, aur sath hi sath, ziada liquidity aur volatility bhi. Mazeed asar daalti ho sakti hai sudden, unexpected sources se aane wali khabrein - jaise ke ek terrorist attack ya phir Europe ya America mein kisi natural disaster ka waqiya. Is liye, asasati tajziya ke shauqeenon ke liye bohot zaroori hai ke wo taaza economic calendars ki maqsad ke mutabiq rahen, jis mein sab se bari announcements jaise ke Fed aur ECB meetings aur nonfarm payrolls ke timings shamil hain.



EURUSD W1 TECHNICAL ANAYLYSIS



EUR/USD abhi tak support ka sahara le chuka hai jahan usne December mein aik low banaya tha, jo ke 1.0723 par tha. Magar mumkin hai ke yeh level muddat ke dauran torr jaye. Tehqiqat ke doran, EUR/USD 1.0780 se 1.0845 tak ki shuruwaat mein potential resistance ke khilaf wapas aya tha. Is range ke nichle hisse mein, Thursday ka low shamil hai, jo ke ek strong US nonfarm payrolls report ke baad agle din ko nikal gaya tha. Is range ke oopri hisse mein 200-day moving average ka role ata hai.







Mujhe hairat nahi hogi agar EUR/USD yahan se apni agle leg ko neeche lekar jaye, aur is martaba December ka low zyada behter tareeqe se torr le. Jabke yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD ne aik double bottom banaya ho, lekin hali mein aane wale maazi ke data surprises aur hawkish Fed commentary ke roshni mein dollar ke neeche ki taraf trend shuru karne ke liye koi asli sabab nahi hai. Is liye, halat ke mutabiq, agar humein ek wazeh bullish reversal pattern emerge karte dekha jaye, ya phir humein 1.09 handle ke just neeche sab se halqi high ko torrte dekha jaye taake yeh bearish EUR/USD trend ko mansookh kar sakein, tab mein sirf bullish trades ko tafreeh karonga.

EUR/USD


Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thori madad hasil ki Eurozone ke maufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, jo ke 45.7 ke mutabiq thori si zyada thi. Magar, yeh ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo ke farq ko zahir karta hai. Yeh muqabil mein hai US PMI ka jo haal hi mein do saalon ke darmiyan pehli dafa 50 se ooper chala gaya hai. Easter chhuttiyon ke baad EUR/USD US ke mazboot data aur zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ne dollar ko taqwiyat di thi jis se June mein interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ko kam kar diya gaya tha. Zyada interest rates aksar foreign capital ko attract karte hain, jis se dollar zyada attractive ho jata hai. Dusra taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein slow growth aur kam inflation ki wajah se zyada dovish stance ki taraf mael ho rahi hai. Is hafte release hone wale data ne dikhaya ke German inflation March mein 2.2% tak ghata, jo ke expectations se kam tha aur June mein ECB ke interest rate kaatne ke chances ko aur bhi barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi traction hasil nahi hua.

EUR/USD abhi tak chote arse ke downtrend mein mubtala hai jo ke march ke shuruaat se shuru hua hai. Currency pair ab 1.0694 ke kareeb ek ahem support level ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke saal ki shuruaat se sab se kam keemat hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, ek technical indicator jo momentum ke liye hota hai, Euro abhi oversold hai. Yeh ishaara deta hai ke sellers mohtaj ho sakte hain aur apni short positions par wapis aa sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke ooper) se bahar nikalta hai, to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shaed long positions khulne ka signal hoga. Yeh temporary downtrend mein ek arse ka pullback leke aaye ga, magar overall trend phir bhi bearish hone ke imkaanat hain. February ki kam aur saal ki shuruaat ki kam keemat 1.0694 mein significant support faraham karne ke imkaanat hain, aur pehli koshish par is level ko torne par ek bounce mutawaqqi hai. Magar, agar is level ke neeche faisla karne wala break hua to yeh doosri selling ki lehar ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisme agla target 1.0650 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Faisla karne wala break aam tor par ek bara red candle ke zariye is level ko poori tarah engulf karte hue aur uske neeche band hone ke sath kia jata hai. Ya phir yeh teen mufeed surkh candles ke zariye bhi zahir ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair financial dunya ke doves aur hawks ke darmiyan aik shadeed jang mein hai. Doves maamooli iqdamaat ko support karne ke liye proactive measures ka tajwez dete hain, jabke hawks eurozone ki economy mein behtar hone ke signs dikh rahe hain aur excessive monetary stimulus se ihtiyaat karne ke liye kehte hain.

EUR/USD pair ke raaste ko mutassir karne wale ahem factors mein se aik hai U.S. federal funds rate ki expected rate cuts. Haal hi mein, investors aur futures market ke darmiyan rate cuts ke hone ki 2024 mein maamooli farq hai. Futures market ne June mein rate cut hone ke chances ko 60% se kam kar diya hai, jabke derivatives borrowing costs per 70 basis point ki kami ka andaza lagate hain over two meetings. Yeh farq U.S. economic outlook ke ird gird peshe khayalat aur Donald Trump ke White House mein wapas aane ke potential risks ko darust karta hai.

Dusri taraf, euro ko global economic recovery ki umeed aur investors mein high risk appetite ka saath mil raha hai. Inflation aur financial imbalances ke ird gird shubein hote hue bhi, ECB ke andar ke doves economy ko support karne ke liye zyada proactive measures ka tajwez dete hain. Unka kehna hai ke abhi preemptive action lena behtar hai balkay ek downfall ka intezaar karne se behtar hai.

Masalan, hawks eurozone se nikalti behtar economic indicators ko nazara andaz karte hain aur excessive monetary stimulus se ihtiyaat ki ghanti bajate hain. Unka kehna hai ke aise measures inflationary pressures ko barha sakti hain aur financial system mein imbalances paida kar sakti hain. Doves aur hawks ke darmiyan debate EUR/USD pair ke range 1.06–1.10 mein ho rahi hai, jahan tajwez hai ke konsi taraf akhir mein fatah hasil hogi.

Haal hi mein March mein strong U.S. employment statistics ke baad pehle to EUR/USD bears ka hosla buland hone ki umeed thi. Lekin futures market ka nazariya future rate cuts aur U.S. economy ke overall strength par rakhne se bulls ki umeedain zinda rahi hain. 2024 mein multiple rate cuts hone ki possibility aur ECB ke andar chal rahi debate ke sath, currency pair ka rukh ghair yaqeeni hai.

Traders aur analysts economic data releases aur central bank announcements ko nazar andaz kar rahe hain EUR/USD pair ke future rukh par isharaat ke liye. Economic indicators, market sentiment, aur central bank policies ke balance ne akhir mein tajwez hai ke doves ya hawks currency pair par dominance hasil kar sakenge. Is waqt, EUR/USD apne current range ke andar daba hua hai, jabke ek breakout hone ki mumkinat nazron mein hai




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EURUSD D1 time frame chart par, EURUSD pair ka qeemat ab tak dobara 1.0800 darja tak barhne mein kamyabi nahi mili hai. Qeemat ne mazeed kami ka samna kia aur 1.0700 darja tak pohanch gayi. Halankeh, lag raha hai ke qeemat 1.0727 ke saath jamawar ho rahi hai aur qeemat mein koi ghair mutasir hone ki koi nishani nahi hai. Bearish trend ka rukh EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko kamyabi se guzarna hai, jo ke ek death cross signal ko janam diya. Bohat taizi se kami ka izhar hai ke farokht karne wale ka qaboo ab tak EURUSD pair ke trading ke safar par hai. Magar, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki histogram volume ko dekhte hue, jo kam hoti ja rahi hai aur 0 darja ke qareeb aa rahi hai, yeh darust lag raha hai ke downtrend ki hamil kamzori ho rahi hai. Ek mumkinat hai ke kharid darja qeemat 1.0756 ya EMA 50 ke qareeb qeemat ko barhane ki koshish karenge. Magar, Stochastic indicator ka parameter jisme overbought zone ke neeche guzar gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke neeche ka trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai.
EURUSD H4 time frame chart par, linear regression channel ek wazeh nazar andaz trend ko zahir karta hai, jo market mein farokht karne ki dabao ki pehli raay hai. Yeh darust lagta hai ke traders ke liye faida mandi ho sakti hai jo neeche ke harkat par faida uthana chahte hain, jahan qeemat ka rukh channel ke nichle hudood ki taraf is waqt 1.0704 darja mein hai. Is tajziye ke mutabiq, main soch raha hoon ke 1.0731 darja ke qareeb ek farokht darja shuru karoon. Yeh strateegic dakhlaan nokar bullish momentum ke khilaf ek rukawat ka kaam karega. Magar, agar bullion ko is darja ko torne mein kamyabi milti hai, toh yeh ek sinyal ho sakti hai ke market dynamics mein ek mumkin tabdeeli aa sakti hai, jis se mazeed correction 1.0783 darja ki taraf ho sakti hai. Mojudah trend aur ahem support aur resistance darjat ko samajhna forex market mein munafa aur risk ko kam karne ke liye mahatvapurn hai. Linear regression channel ke andar qeemat ki harkat ko tawajjo se dekhte hue, traders mazeed munafa aur khatre ko kam karne ke liye behtareen dakhlaan aur nikalne ke point ka pehchan kar sakte hain.

D1 chart period ke mutabiq, US dollar kal market mein kamzor hua kyunki abhi haal hi mein aham khabrein US se aayi thin. Indicators ka natija umeed se bura nikla, aur is parcham ke khilaaf, US dollar tezi se gir gaya. Takneeki tasveer zyada girawat ki taraf muntazir thi - ek uncertainty pattern ka niche ka breakout, ek narrow triangle, aur 1.0783 par horizontal resistance level, sab kuch girne ke liye tayyar tha jo ke February se March tak ke uthan wave ke low ki taraf girne ke liye lag raha tha. Magar yeh alag nikla, woh jaldi se rebound ho gaye, phir bhi, aaj kam se kam din ke pehle hisse mein thoda sa giraavat ka intezar hai, kal ki aur raat ke izafa se. Keemat ka samarthan ek resistance level ke roop mein 1.0852 mein hai, aur yeh zahiran neeche ki taraf phisal jaayega. Nazdeek ane wale kal kuch Euro se mutaliq kuch maamooli ahemiyat ke khabrein hain, lekin inhe nazar andaz kiya ja sakta hai. Magar, aaj ke liye ek khaas khabar hai - 15:30 Moscow waqt par - initial jobless claims ka shumaar US mein. Yeh qeemat ko pehle se hi kaafi hila sakta hai.

Din ke andar dekhte hain, khaaskar chart period M30 par, yahaan aap MACD aur CCI indicators par bearish divergence dekh sakte hain, jo ek kaafi mazboot signal hai. Khaaskar ye soch kar ke keemat daily chart par mark ki gayi resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke aaj ek neeche ki correction 1.0800 ke support level tak hoga, main abhi ke liye ise aur niche nahi jaane ki umeed nahi karta, lekin yeh zahir movement bohot ummedwar lag rahi hai. Iske alawa, chaar ghante ke chart par overall trend nahi badla hai, yeh nichli taraf rehta hai is izafa ke bawajood, isliye girne ki imkaanat bohot achhi hain.