𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD

Hum abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki performance par guftagu kar rahe hain. Euro (EUR) US dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek neeche ki taraf rawana hai, chhe moseedhe sessions mein qeemat mein kami hui hai aur aik tareekhi kamzori ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. Magar, kuch short-term bahal hone ki umeed hai, kyun ke pair ne apni no-day exponential moving average (EMA) par support paya hai. Ye resistance level ko test karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo ke pichle haftay par set kiya gaya tha, 1.0608 par. European Central Bank (ECB) ki interest rate decision Thursday ko aik ahem waqia hai jo ke euro ke mustaqbil par asar dalay ga. March mein inflation mein kami ke saath, ECB afraad ko mojooda rates ko April ki meeting mein qaim rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin future policy direction abhi bhi ghair yaqeeni hai. Is saal ke baad ECB ka interest rate cut cycle ho sakta hai, jis par derivatives data ki tafseelat batati hain ke June tak kaatne ka 90% se zyada imkaan hai. Investors ECB ke comments par tawajju dein ge taake is potential easing cycle ke raftar aur shiddat ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Pair ki fori support ahem 1.0850 level par hai, jise 21-day EMA at 1.0766 tak follow karta hai. In levels ke neeche tareekhparast euro ko zehmat mein dal sakti hai jise psychological 1.0800 level aur pichle haftay ke low par dobara test karne ki mumkinat hai 1.0605. Technical indicators jaise ke (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) euro ke momentum mein kamzori ki alaamat dete hain, jahan pe laat aane wala MACD indicator bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot karta hai. EUR/USD pair ka intraday bias neutral hai, 1.0607 se mulai consolidation jari rahegi, lekin zyada mazboot bahal hone ki mumkinat nahi hai, resistance-turned-support 1.0728 par mehdood hai. Mukhalif, 1.0609 ka tootna euro ki decline ko dobara jala sakta hai 1.0447 ki taraf aur shayad mazeed neeche, 61.8% pullback par mazboot support 1.0195 par ummeed ki jati hai takmeel taqseem hone ke liye.

EUR/USD

Yeh hafta Euro ne US Dollar ke khilaaf ladh rahi hai, 1.0605 aur 1.0690 ke darmiyan aik samtal trading pattern mein phans gayi hai. Ye ek tez girawat ke baad aayi hai jo pichle haftay mein 1.8% ki thi. Jumme ko Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se chand dairay ka faida hone ke bawajood, Euro ke liye overall downtrend muqarar hai. Ye ikhtilaaf European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy ke darmiyan mukhtalif raayeon se hota hai. Mazboot US ma'ashiyati data ne Fed ke hawkish wing ko himmat di hai, jo mehngaai ka mukabla karne ke liye jari bunyadi daron ki izafat ke liye jari daranay ka muzahira karte hain. Jumme ko Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ke tajziye mein izharat jari hue jahan unho ne mehngaai par rukawat ke stall progress ki roshni mein Dollar ko mazboot kiya. Euro ne 1.0600 ke qareeb ek paanch mah ke daraje tak pohanchne ke baad kuch nuqsaan ko wapas kiya. Iss hafte muqarar kuch ahem data releases Euro ka mustaqbil asar dal sakte hain. European Commission ke consumer confidence index April 22nd ko, Eurozone ke PMI April 23rd ko, aur Germany ke Ifo business climate index April 24th ko tehat closely dekhe jayenge. March ke aakhri dinon se, jab Euro ne 1.0880 ke neeche gira, Dollar ke muqablay mein zyada se zyada 2.5% gir gaya hai. Hal qareebi sell-off ne Euro ke short-term outlook ko bearish ilaqon ki taraf le jaane ki taraf rakha hai.

Technical indicators jaise ke RSI 30 ke neeche aur MACD negative territory mein trading ke saath Euro ke liye pareshani ka manzar pesh karte hain. Agar sell-off mazeed shadeed hota hai, to agla potential support level 1.0515 handle hai, jo November 2023 mein neeche gaya tha. Aane waale haftay mein Euro ke liye aik mushkil safaar hai, jahan ahem data aur central bank policy decisions Euro ke rukh ko mutawaqqi karne ki sambhavna hai. Keemat ne chadhne wale trend line ke neeche toot gaya hai, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ke neeche kheenchawa aa sakta hai, jahan 1.0655 agla support level hai. Mazeed bearish lambi muddat ke daur ko steeper declines se badal diya ja sakta hai, jo 1.0515 barrier ka raasta khol sakta hai. Technical oscillators ke mutabiq, MACD rozana chart mein apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche aur zyada negative momentum hasil kar raha hai, jabke RSI 30 level ki taraf mazbooti se ja raha hai.

Euro ke liye, kal, woh apni position barha rahe thay. 1.1535 ka zyada se zyada darjaat khatam kiya gaya, lekin barhav jaari nahi raha. Balke, ek muddat ke andar ek ulta muddat hua aur daam din ke aakhir tak khinch gaya. Lagbhag 100 point ka ghair-maazid tehqeeq andar se bade darjaat ke izafa tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh izafa mukhtalif rehnumai ki jariyat ke zariye kiya jayega. Kal, ooper ke border ko 50 point kam kiya gaya tha, aur neeche ke border ko 50 point barha diya gaya tha, is tarah, daira 100 point se tang ho gaya. Agar hum in darjaat ko chart par dikhayein, toh yeh zahir hota hai ke woh lagbhag poora kaam kar chuke hain.




Forex ke daamo par support level 1.1450 hai. Khatra ka anjam lete hue, ahem level 1.1438 par nikalta hai. Main apne tajurbe se kah sakta hoon ke aaj yeh strike se aane wali rahat bahut zyada hogi, aur yeh humein low ke izafa hone par qabool-had tak rahat mein rakhne degi. Daam ko 1.1550 ke andar se aagey barhne se roka jayega. Yeh bhi kal ke maxima ko bina kisi masla ke update karne dega. Iske baad, main mazeed barhav ki umeed karta hoon.

Options ke mutabiq khuli interest mein tabdeeliyaan. Haal hi mein khuli interest mein hone wali tabdeeliyaan wazeh tor par yeh dikhate hain ke 1.1450 (futures ke daamo par) strike par bohot zyada dilchaspi shamil hui hai. Aise izafa se bade traders ki taraf se ta'aluq sirf aik taraf nahi kiya jayega, balkay har surat mein woh iski taraf daam ko janib barha karne ki koshish karenge. Asal mein, aise dilchaspi kal note ki gayi thi. Agar hum call darjaat ke tabdeel hone ki dynamics ko ghoortay hain, to wazeh hota hai ke sab se zyada call orders 1.1550 par barhaay gaye thay. Forex ke daamo par, yeh 1.1500 ke daira hai. Kal, daam is se shuru hua tha, jo ke yeh matla hai ke 1.1450 ki taraf kami ka intezar hai, aur hum uttar ki taraf chal sakte hain. Option ke darjaat ke mutabiq, barhav ke liye buland iraade hain, lekin khareedari ki amal mein pareshani hoti hai. Agar 1.1600 ke level tak pohnch gaya, toh kami ke liye aik mu'arif lagbhag 100 point hoga.




Trading ka mansooba. Daam aahista aahista 1.1500 tak ke neeche ke daira mein paas pahunch raha hai. Main chukaye hue kharid-daroon ko is daira se shuru kar chuka hoon. Dakhil daam 1.1454 par hai. Stop loss order 1.1354 aur take profit order 1.1554 par hai. Kharid-daroon ki hudood 1.1500 ke daira mein hongi. Dakhil daam chhota margin ke sath, lagbhag 1.1495 hoga. Stop aur profit orders 100 points hain. Har tehqeeq mein khatra jama raashi ka 3% hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein taraqqi se kami nazar aayi hai, jise bade currencies ke khilaf US dollar ke mustaqil mazboot honay ka bara sabab hai. Ye trend maali lafzat mein rukhne ki economic la tajarubaat mein aaman ki talaash karne wale investors ki taraf se dawat deta hai. Mukhtalif factors ne euro par dabao daala hai, khaaskar eurozone mein, khaas tor par Germany mein bigarte hue economic conditions, jo pair ki giravat ko mazeed barha raha hai. Ibtidaati trading expectations mein EUR/USD pair mein khaas zyada volatility ka intizaar nahi tha. Jabke giravat ka jari rehne ka imkaan tha, wahaan thora saaray kaam hone ka imkaan tha, jahan market analysts ne 1.0835 ke aas paas aik mojooda mukaarar point par ankh rakhi. Planat inhein is manzil ke neeche bechna tha, jahan targets agle levels par set kiye gaye the jaise 1.0735 aur 1.0685. Mukhtasir tor par jo soch thi woh cautious tha EUR/USD pair ke liye, maazi ke market conditions ko dekhte hue sust negative dabaav ka imkaan tha. Chhote arsay ke kharidari mawaid ko rokne ki sochi gayi, jise chalte hue giravat ka trend bana rehta tha. Magar, agar H1 chart 1.0823 ke upar chadh jata to ek umeed hai ke upar ki correction ho sakti hai, magar is se pehle bearish momentum ka imkaan tha. Bechna 1.0742-1.0764 range ke andar mashwara diya gaya, jo daily chart par saathwe figure ke neeche girne ki taraf ishaara karta tha. Magar, giravat ke douran intraday pullbacks se ehtiyaat ki zarurat thi. Mumkin mukhaalifat ke bawajood, peheli prioriti bechne par thi. Market players ke shift hone ke saath, kal ke Asian session mein ziada volatility ka imkaan tha, jise European session mein kami ka imkaan tha. Darmiyani doran, chaarwein wave number char ke neeche halat ka hal chal raha hai, jahan ahem level ab 1.0800 par hai, jo bechne ka aik factor bhi hai. Upar ke trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara 1.0800 ke breach se hoga. In dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko hoshiyar rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ka mashwara diya gaya taa ke douran market conditions ko hal kiya ja sake. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical events aur macroeconomic data releases ka tasavvur tha ke pair ki harkat ko asar andaz ho sakta tha, trading landscape mein mazeed complexity ka ek aur layer daal deta tha. Isliye, traders ke liye zaroori tha ke wo inform rahen aur unke faisla kun processes mein agile rahen tak ke potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake aur risks ko effectively kam kiya ja sake. Mukhtasar tor par, EUR/USD pair ki short se medium term ke liye nazarya giravat mein raha, temporary upward corrections ka imkaan hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat aur ahem levels aur technical indicators ko qareeb se dekh kar maqool trading decisions lene ki zaroorat thi.

EURUSD

Pichlay Jummay ko, EURUSD ne rozana waqt ka chart dekhnay par ziada taqatwar support level 1.0692 ko tor diya. Ye is baat ki wajah thi ke EURUSD ne jis din qeemat girne wala aik bara bearish engulfing candle banaya tha. Mainay is breakout ke baad seedha rukh tezi se qeemat girne ka mutawaqa tha, lekin EURUSD oversold level par pohanchte hi range mein chalna shuru kar diya. Pichlay kuch trading dino se, qeemat 1.0692 ke aas paas fluctuate kar rahi hai; lekin trend bearish hai aur overall bears main command mein hain, is liye qeemat phir se girne ki sambhavna hai wazeh bear momentum ki wajah se. Aap ise bech sakte hain jab EURUSD range zone ke support level ko tor deta hai.


Haftay ka waqt ka chart outlook:

EURUSD ka haftay ka waqt ka chart dikhata hai ke paanch haftay pehle, qeemat trend line ko test karke girne lagi thi jo mainay diya gaya tha diagram mein jo attach kiya gaya hai. Magar us waqt, trend bullish tha kyun ke qeemat 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke upar thi. EURUSD ne peechlay haftay mazboot bearish engulfing candle banaya aur moving average lines ko bearish rukh mein cross kiya, jo currency ka trend rukh ko badal diya. Mainay dekha ke qeemat ne shiddat se bearish momentum ke saath girna shuru kiya tha. EURUSD ne is haftay chhota sa bullish Doji candle banaya hai overall neutral trading environment ki wajah se. RSI indicator, jo ke 40 ka ek value rakhta hai, ishaara deta hai ke qeemat mazeed giraygi, aur EURUSD ko agle hafto mein aglay support level 1.0481 ke qareeb le jayegi.

Euro ke liye, kal, woh apni position barha rahe thay. 1.1535 ka zyada se zyada darjaat khatam kiya gaya, lekin barhav jaari nahi raha. Balke, ek muddat ke andar ek ulta muddat hua aur daam din ke aakhir tak khinch gaya. Lagbhag 100 point ka ghair-maazid tehqeeq andar se bade darjaat ke izafa tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh izafa mukhtalif rehnumai ki jariyat ke zariye kiya jayega. Kal, ooper ke border ko 50 point kam kiya gaya tha, aur neeche ke border ko 50 point barha diya gaya tha, is tarah, daira 100 point se tang ho gaya. Agar hum in darjaat ko chart par dikhayein, toh yeh zahir hota hai ke woh lagbhag poora kaam kar chuke hain.

Forex ke daamo par support level 1.1450 hai. Khatra ka anjam lete hue, ahem level 1.1438 par nikalta hai. Main apne tajurbe se kah sakta hoon ke aaj yeh strike se aane wali rahat bahut zyada hogi, aur yeh humein low ke izafa hone par qabool-had tak rahat mein rakhne degi. Daam ko 1.1550 ke andar se aagey barhne se roka jayega. Yeh bhi kal ke maxima ko bina kisi masla ke update karne dega. Iske baad, main mazeed barhav ki umeed karta hoon.



Options ke mutabiq khuli interest mein tabdeeliyaan. Haal hi mein khuli interest mein hone wali tabdeeliyaan wazeh tor par yeh dikhate hain ke 1.1450 (futures ke daamo par) strike par bohot zyada dilchaspi shamil hui hai. Aise izafa se bade traders ki taraf se ta'aluq sirf aik taraf nahi kiya jayega, balkay har surat mein woh iski taraf daam ko janib barha karne ki koshish karenge. Asal mein, aise dilchaspi kal note ki gayi thi. Agar hum call darjaat ke tabdeel hone ki dynamics ko ghoortay hain, to wazeh hota hai ke sab se zyada call orders 1.1550 par barhaay gaye thay. Forex ke daamo par, yeh 1.1500 ke daira hai. Kal, daam is se shuru hua tha, jo ke yeh matla hai ke 1.1450 ki taraf kami ka intezar hai, aur hum uttar ki taraf chal sakte hain. Option ke darjaat ke mutabiq, barhav ke liye buland iraade hain, lekin khareedari ki amal mein pareshani hoti hai. Agar 1.1600 ke level tak pohnch gaya, toh kami ke liye aik mu'arif lagbhag 100 point hoga.



Trading ka mansooba. Daam aahista aahista 1.1500 tak ke neeche ke daira mein paas pahunch raha hai. Main chukaye hue kharid-daroon ko is daira se shuru kar chuka hoon. Dakhil daam 1.1454 par hai. Stop loss order 1.1354 aur take profit order 1.1554 par hai. Kharid-daroon ki hudood 1.1500 ke daira mein hongi. Dakhil daam chhota margin ke sath, lagbhag 1.1495 hoga. Stop aur profit orders 100 points hain. Har tehqeeq mein khatra jama raashi ka 3% hai.

Chart par bearish range ke andar mukhtalif target levels ko daryaft karna waqai aik aqalmand strategy hai. Agar keemat apni neechay ki manzil par qaim rahe, to Trailing Stop ko faa'il honay mein fayda ho sakta hai jis se munafa hasil karna asaan ho aur mazeed kamiyon ka faida uthaya ja sake. Ye tareeqa traders ko unke stop-loss levels ko bazaar ke momentum ke sath sath dinamically adjust karne ki ijaazat deta hai, munafa ko mehfooz rakhte hue aur mazeed munafa kamane ki sambhavna ko mukammal karke. Doosra tareeqa ye hai ke traders apni forokht ki positions ko pehle mukarar munafa targets tak hisse mein band karen, jabke baaqi positions ko barabar kar den. Apne trades ke ek hisse par munafa band karke aur baqi par khatra kam karke, traders apne capital ko mehfooz rakhte hain aur munafa ka potensial zyada kar sakte hain.

Dusra mor ye hai ke agar bazaar ki harkat mein rukawat ya thahrav ke alaamat nazar aa rahe hain, sath hi halki harkat aur volatility mein kami ho rahi hai, to zyada sadaqatmand rawaya apnaana munasib hai. Is tarah ke manazir mein, munafa hasil karte hue trade ko fazoolay se band karna aik aqalmand kar hai. Munafa band karke aur positions ko nazam se nikaal kar, traders apne aap ko mukhalif ruqawat ya musbat bazaar ki shuruaati halat se mehfooz rakhte hain, apne munafa ko mehfooz rakhte hain. Is ke baad, traders sabar se kaam lenge, naye trades ke liye mojooda bazaar ki bhalai ki alaamat ka intezar karte hain. Ye naye trades ke liye behtareen moqaat dhoondhne ke liye kuch khaas technical indicators jaise ke trend lines, moving averages, ya chart patterns ko nazar andaz karte hain. Sabar aur nazam aham hain, jo traders ko market ke taza mawaznaat ka faida uthane mein madad karte hain jab ke emotions ya market ke shor o ghul se mukhtalif faislay se bachne mein madad karte hain.

Ikhtisaar mein, kamyabi hasil karne ke liye mojooda trade management aik dinamik aur mawafiq tareeqa talash karta hai jo tabdeel hone wale bazaar ke halat aur khat-e-ijar ko shamil karta hai. Trailing stops ko faa'il karne, hisse bhar ke munafa hasil karne aur waqt par nikalne jaise proactive intezam ki amal se joondne ke sath, traders bazaar ki maloomat ko khudbewaqt taur par samajhte hue volatil markets ko pur-ittifaq navigat kar sakte hain. Mazeed is par, aik nazam mand dimaagh aur achi tarah tayyar trading plan ka shara hone kamyabi ke liye ahem unsar hain, jo traders ko lambay arsay tak apne maali maqasid tak pahunchne mein madad karta hai.

New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar Currency Pair ka Market Situation Analysis, 4 Ghantay ka Time-Frame

Darmiyani lamha mein is currency pair/instrument ko aagey ke movement ke liye dekhte hain. Tafseelat ke liye, ek khaas channel indicator of linear and nonlinear regression, Extended Regression StopAndReverse, ka istemal kiya jayega, jismein entry point ke chuninda signals ko RSI (14) aur standard settings ke MACD indicators se tasdeeq kiya jata hai. Tehqiqat ke mutabiq, transaction se nikalne ke liye sab se behtareen exit ka tajziya karenge, jismein Fibonacci grid ko kal ya aaj ke trading day ke extreme marks ke mutabiq stretch kiya jayega aur take profit ke liye sab se munafa bhara intikhab chuna jayega.

Is instrument ka chart chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par hamain wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke pehli darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo haqeeqat ke trend ka rukh aur haalat dikhata hai, dakshin ki taraf jhuki hui hai, jo zyadatar neeche ki taraf ke movement ka dor darust karti hai. Usi waqt, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo qareebi mustaqbil ko peshgoi karne ke liye istemal hoti hai, ne golden channel line ko upar se neeche kiya hai aur ek neeche ki taraf ka rukh dikhata hai.

Price ne linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelSupLine ka neela support line cross kiya lekin quotes ki minimum qeemat (LOW) 0.58686 tak pohanch gayi, uske baad is ne apni girawat ko rok kar dheere dheere barhna shuru kiya. Halankeh, mojooda waqt mein, instrument 0.58875 ke qeemat darja par trading kar raha hai. Uper di gayi sab tafseelat ke mabain, mein umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelSupLine (0.60512) channel line aur 50% FIBO level ke upar laut kar jam hojayengi aur mazeed upar ki taraf barhegi, golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.60819 tak, jo ke 61.8% Fibo level ke mutabiq hai. Note karein ke madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur bhi instrument ki keemat mein izafa ki buland mumkin hai.

Is haftay ke doran, EURUSD ke qeemat ke harkaat mutahammal tor par kareeb 75 pips ke darje mein rahi hain. Mumkin hai ke keemat level 1.0600 ki support ko paar karne mein kai dafa nakam rahi hai, is liye keemat level 1.0625 ya SMA 200 par imtehaan karay. Agar keemat mustaqil tor par 50 EMA ke ooper rahe, to taiz tarar ke imkanat hain keh 1.0720 ke darja ko guzar kar ke agey chali jaye. Magar, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ek golden cross signal ka ubhar hone ka koi tasdeeq nahi hai, halankeh ye nazdeek nazar aata hai.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Agar parameter jo ke 50 ke darja ko nakam karta hai woh kamyaab hojata hai, to ye dikhata hai ke upar ki taraf taiz tarar ke liye jaga mojood hai. Mukhtalif, agar parameter 50 ke darja ko nakam nahi karta aur oversold zone ki taraf ek crossing hoti hai, to keemat 1.0600 ke qareeb girne ki taraf rahegi. Magar, trend shurarat halat mein abhi tak bearish hain, is liye keemat mein izafa hony ke imkanat girnay ke imkanat se zyada hain. Magar agar Europe Union ki ma'ashiyati data report agle hafte US ke ma'ashiyati data se zyada umeedwar hai, to kharidari karne walon ke liye market par domination ka imkan hai.



Jumeraat ko, EURUSD aksar sideway ya do raahon mein chalti hai bina kisi numaya quwwat ke. Halankeh trend shurarat halat mein abhi tak bearish hain, is liye bearish trend ko follow karne ke dakhli lamhaat talash karna ab bhi dilchasp hai. MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 ki H1 time frame par tafseeli bayaniyat se, correction ka hissa ke tor par bullish harkaat ne MA 200 tak pohnchnay mein qamiabi haasil nahi ki, jo ke bearish raaste par wapas jane ki mumkinat ka ishara hai. Agar agle hafte ke ibtedai dino mein koi ahem bearish harkaat hoti hai aur ye MA 50 ko guzar jata hai, to ye tasdeeq kar sakta hai ke EURUSD bearish trend mein wapas ja raha hai, jo ke ek dilchasp sell dakhli lamha ban sakta hai.

Ek short-term trading option ke tor par, bearish trend ko follow karte hue aur ek price pattern ko jo ab bhi lower low dikhata hai ke saath, SELL position kholne ki tavsiyat hai. Dakhli lamha ka nokar fawaid hasil karne ka mauqa SMA 200 aur resistance 1.0670 ke darmiyan le liya ja sakta hai, Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke overbought zone mein guzar jana ka tasdeeq ke saath. Stop loss SBR 1.0710 ilaqe mein rakh sakte hain, jabke take profit 1.0600 ke support level se lekar 1.0580 ke darje tak hosakta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Chart Analysis Review:

Euro aur U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) aik ahem currency pair hai jo aksar duniya ka sab se zyada trade hone wala market hota hai. Dono taqatwar aur influential economies ko daryaft karta hai, jis se traders ko bohot sari trading opportunities milte hain. Har roz is par trillions ka trade hota hai. Is wajah se EUR/USD aik sab se liquid currency pair hai aur aksar volatile bhi hota hai. Is pair ke bade trading volumes wajah se, almost kisi aur financial market ki nisbat zyada liquidity (aur kabhi kabhi zyada volatility) milti hai. Ye bohot sari opportunities ke sath aik popular choice hai forex traders ke liye. Mukhtalif factors EUR/USD exchange rate ke movements ko drive karte hain aur inhe samajhna potential directions ko future trading sessions mein provide kar sakta hai. EUR/USD trade karna bohot rewards dene ka potential rakhta hai - lekin bara nuqsan bhi de sakta hai - is liye is pair ke baray mein kaam karne ka ilm bohot zaroori hai.

EUR/USD currency pair duniya mein sab se zyada actively traded forex market hai aur aksar global risk sentiment ka ek measure ke tor par istemal hota hai. Is liye, zaroori hai ke aap ko maloom ho ke EUR/USD exchange rate ke key drivers ko kaise pehchana jaye. Fundamental analysis - yaani economic indicators ka mutalia karke potential trading opportunities ko pehchanna - is currency pair ko short aur long term mein kis tarah se move karne wala hai, is ke liye qeemti insight faraham kar sakta hai. America ke nonfarm payrolls ya latest ECB ya Fed meeting ke qareeb hone se pehle, EUR/USD pair mein izafa hu sakta hai aur sath hi sath zyada liquidity aur volatility bhi. Mazeed influential ho sakta hai sudden, unexpected sources se extreme news ka asar - jaise ke ek terrorist attack ya aik tabahi jan natural disaster ya United States ya Europe mein. Is liye, fundamental analysis enthusiasts ke liye zaroori hai ke woh economic calendars ko up-to-date rakhein, jahan par sab se bara announcements ke waqt, jaise ke Fed aur ECB meetings aur nonfarm payrolls, ka ilan hota hai.



EUR/USD 1.0601 temporary low ke oopar consolidations ke liye neutral hai. Zaida recovery ka chance hai lekin upside ko 1.0723 support turned resistance se roka jayega. Neche, 1.0601 ka break 1.1138 se decline ko 1.0536 tak le jayega. 1.1274 se price actions ko 0.9534 (2022 ki kamzor low) se utarna dekha jata hai. 1.1138 se jo girawat ho rahi hai woh teesra leg hai. Mazeed girawat 1.0447 tak aur shayad zyada bhi dekhi jayegi. 0.9534 se 1.1274 tak ka 61.8% retracement par mazboot support 1.0199 par hone ki ummeed hai takay correction pura ho sake. Sab cheezein clearly bearish hain, is liye traders sirf EUR/USD par short positions (for sale) kar sakte hain jab tak ke price achhe se 1.0638 USD ke neeche rahe. Agla bearish maqsood 1.0564 USD par hai. Is support ka bearish break bearish momentum ko dobara jaag sakta hai. Sellers phir 1.0469 USD par mojooda support ko target kar sakte hain. Agar koi crossing hoti hai, to agla maqsood 1.0129 USD par hoga. Savdhan rahein, short term ab asal trend ke muqablay mein kamzor nazar aa raha hai. Lambi muddat ke time units ko analyze karna chahiye taake possible oversold items ka pata chale jo short-term correction ka sign ho sakta hai. Pehle support 1.0564 USD ko cross karna ek mazeed price plummet ka nishaan hoga. Phir sellers 1.0469 USD par mojooda support ko objective banayenge. Agar yeh bhi cross ho jaye, to sellers ko 1.0129 USD ko target karne ki ijaazat milegi. Ahtiyaat, 1.0638 USD par resistance ke wapas aana short-term basic trend ka consolidation phase ka sign ho sakta hai. Ek aam technical analysis tool price chart hai. Price charts mein mukhtalif time frame par historical prices dikhaye jate hain jo traders ko trends ya patterns ko dekhne mein madad karte hain jo trade ke liye mauqay ko dikhate hain. Risk management har successful trader ke liye zaroori hai jab EUR/USD currency pair trade kiya jata hai. Is mein apna risk exposure control karna shamil hai aur apne mogheye nuksan ko had tak rokne ke liye koshish karna bhi, sath hi apne mogheye munafe ko bhi bachane ke liye.

Euro/USD trading pair ke mutaliq taza market harekat se yeh zahir hota hai ke khareedne walay ko taqatwar fayeda hasil ho raha hai. Khas tor par, jab support bar bar aham support line 1.0600 ke buhat oopar trade ki ja rahi hai, to yeh be shak market ke jazbat mein tabdili ko zahir karta hai. Ziada se ziada traders yeh khyal rakhte hain ke European currency American dollar ke muqablay mein behtar invest karne ki soch rahe hain. Mojooda doran, sellers ke liye pehla khatra 1.0708 ke qareeb qeemat ka izafa hai, jo ke peechle waqt mein bohot mazboot rukawat ka sabit hua hai. Is level ka kisi bhi tor par tor phor buyers ke liye rasta khole ga jo 1.08 level ki taraf mazeed izafa ko saabit kar sakta hai, jo ke trend mein tabdili ko darust kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD ke liye bohot zyada bullish ho sakta hai. Khareedne walay sirf 1.0706 ke paar jaane ke liye betaab hain, euro ko zameen mein daalne ke liye, jaante hain ke is bade, nafsiyati aur ahem rukawat ka halka bhi phatne se kuch bhi hosakta hai aur yeh currency pair uth sakta hai.
Pichle kai mahinon se, euro aur zyadatar doosri currencies ne mukhtalif market fluctuations aur kamiyabi ke dhamakon ka samna kiya hai. Mojooda candlestick patterns ishaara dete hain ke euro ke liye tajziya ke liye naye market ka dilchaspi hai. Iss tabdili ka ehsaas tab hota hai jab aaj ke trends ko un trends ke saath mukabla kiya jata hai jo Asian trading session ke shuru mein dekhe gaye, jahan buyers khaaskar tanayi se aagey badh rahe the. Yeh mehsoos sirf is wajah se hai ke mojooda market trends Asian trading session ke waqt hue woh ke saath mukabla kiya ja raha hai. Asia ke traders ne is pe note le liya hai aur kuch log euro par aagay ki umeed ke liye apni jagah bana rahe hain. Tareekhi support levels ke mutabiq, euro ke liye mumkin hai ke wo local highs ko dobara test kare 1.0690 ke aas paas, ya phir mazeed buland levels jaise ke 1.0718 ya 1.0723 tak. Yeh ahem technical maqamat hain jo ke euro mein mazeed bullish momentum ko barha sakte hain, agar bunyadiyat aabadi ko behtar hone ka saath deti rahein.

Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aik ahem resistance level 1.0708 ke aas paas aur bunyadi levels 1.0708 ke aas paas ke jazbat aur mumkin breakout ke bare mein ehsaas aur andaza lene ke liye. Iss level ke oopar firm close hona yeh ishara dega ke EUR/USD pair ne upar ki taraf asani ke raste ko apnaya hai. Traders ab tareekhi patterns aur mojooda market dynamics par apna trading base kar sakte hain, jo ke EUR/USD trading pair mein mazeed upar ki taraf ke price actions se faida uthane ka imkan dete hain. Kisi bhi choti se oopar ki taraf ki harqat ko ziada tara buyers 1.0700 level par mazboot resistance ke sath milti hai; isliye, yeh potenial trade position sizing aur risk control ke sath sahi tareeqe se manage kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR /USD H4


mutabiq ek upri rebound karna chahiye, jab hum 1.0836 ko torain, to EURUSD ka potential khulta hai, 9th figure ke oopar jaye, sab se ahem cheez yeh hai ke koi jamaa'at se yeh plan toot jaye. America ke data ke mutabiq, udaane ki koshish thi, lekin bechne wale ne jaldi isay dabaya aur data dollar ke liye zyada saabit hua. Aam tor par, din ke doraanon ke mudday abhi tak upar ki taraf tabdeel nahi karne diye gaye hain, lekin abhi yeh haal nahi hai, yeh option umeedwar ke liye sirf ek option hai abhi. Wahaan, is doraan ke liye, main ek triangle leta hoon aur EURUSD ab triangle ke neeche ki line par hai, is liye main aap ke option ke saath ittefaaq karta hoon, yeh zyada mantariki nazar aata hai, haalaanki, dekhein agar woh aaj neeche ki support zone ko 1.0780 ke nichle point ke saath hold karte hain, to phir agle haftay mein upar chalkana kaafi mumkin hai. Kal ke liye main ek baat kahunga, kyun ke aaj chhutti ke silsile mein.





Ek test triangle ke neeche ki seema ab dekhi ja rahi hai; agar yeh ek impulse breakdown nahi hota, to zyada tar upri dabao is par apna kaam karega. Warna, hum vartamaan kamzori se utharne ka tajurba kar sakte hain, aaj maine 1.0780 se kharida, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke bechne wale phir se badhne ki taraf laut sakte hain, yani ke main ek wazeh signal tak dekhta rahunga. Phir se 1.08 ke neeche ek tod phir se aisa ban jayega, agar woh din ko vartaman kamzori ke neeche band karte hain, toh tohra sa bhi sawal nahi hoga direction ke mutalik, haalaanki yahaan 1.0700-20 aur wahaan se phir se todhi gayi triangle ki sima tak lautna dikhana chahiye. Taake yeh na ho ke hum is breakout mein kuch bechne wale ko bula lein, aur phir jhootay breakout se 1.10 tak taez izafa ho. Main 1.08 ke neeche giravat ke baad phir se izaaf ki do mumkin marks hasil karta hoon, pehla 1.0775 par, aur doosra 1.0755 par. Phir dekhtay hain.

EUR/USD H1
Zyada. Hafte band hua ek chhote bullish candle ke saath. Keemat ab 1.0659 par hai aur haftawar average moving line ke neeche hai, jo 1.0802 par hai. Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai aur growth mein dilchaspi nahi dikhata. Lekin itna oversold hone par bechna bhi dilchasp hai. Kharidne ke targets ab ghante ke chart par bane hue hain. Fibonacci grid par pehla target level 161.8 ke mutabiq 1.0737 ke qeemat par hai. Dusra target level Fibonacci grid par 261.8 ke mutabiq 1.0817 ke qeemat par hai. Teesra target Fibonacci grid par level 423.6 hai. Ye pehle se hi 1.0996 par hai. Agar keemat doosre target par pohanch jaye, to yeh haftawar ke chart ki moving average line ke upar ho jayegi. Iske upar ek fix signal hoga ke asasaadat ka is taraqqi mein hai.

Euro/dollar jodi ghante ke chart par. Jab takleef US se nikli, jodi 1.08639 se gira hua hai. Yeh kaafi achi tarah se gir gaya, zaroor, maine aise giravat ka intezar nahi kiya tha, aur jab jodi 1.06060 ke aaspaas move karne lagi, to main pehle se samajh gaya tha ke yeh palat jayegi aur wapas us range mein aayegi jahan pehle se trade hoti thi, yeh 1.07449 ke upar hai. Is liye ke wala ke inflation ne barhne ke bawajood, jodi ko aur girne ki soorat mein barqarar rakhne ke liye itna zyada barhne ka sabab nahi bana, aur mukhtalif taur par, meri rai mein, is range ko toorna aur is range se itni door trade karna bhi itna zyada nahi hai. Agar yeh 3.7% hota, jaise ke 1.05382 par trade karte waqt tha, to main aise girne ki soorat mein bhi aise darwazon tak girne ka mouqa deta. Abhi tak to nahi, toh main umeed kar raha hoon ke qad 1.07615 tak barhna hai.

Aaj hum D1 time frame chart ka tajziya karenge. Ek aur trading hafta khatam ho gaya hai, aur puri pichhli saptah ke doran, is currency pair ki keemat consolidate ho rahi thi. Lehar structure ek neeche ki pattern bana rahi hai, MACD indicator oversold zone mein kam hota ja raha hai. Is ke ilawa, ek descending triangle pattern bana hai. Wave analysis third wave ke andar third wave ko suggest kar rahi hai. Pehli wave par Fibonacci extension tool lagakar, 161.8% level par ek possible downside target pehchana ja sakta hai. Is target ke thoda oopar, 1.0453 ek aam technical level hai, jo ke target hoga agar keemat aur neeche jaati hai. Lekin, CCI indicator abhi oversold zone se nikla hai aur upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jisse ke ek mumkin correction ka izhar hota hai. Upar ki taraf, keemat ki barhav ko 1.0695 par horizontal resistance level rok raha hai. Seedhe is level se giravat bohot seedhi lagti hai. Zyadatar, keemat pehle kuchh zyada ooncha level test karegi kareeb 1.0734 ke aaspaas. Wahan, kam timeframes par selling formation ke liye dekha ja sakta hai, ek aaina level jahan se support ko resistance mein badal diya jata hai. Agar keemat aur barhti hai, toh agle area ko dekhna hoga kam timeframes par selling formation ke liye, jo purane saal ke aakhri hisse se draw ki gayi descending trendline par hoga. Pichhla hafta ikhatta hone wala hafta tha, aur kyunki sab kuchh clearly neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, zyadatar sell positions ikhatti ho sakti hain buy positions ke mukable, is liye unko hissa-bhag offload karne ki zarurat hai. Is ke ilawa, ek araai nishaan yeh hai ke hum shuru mein barhne ki koshish kar sakte hain, ke haftawar ka candle ek khas reversal wick ke saath band hua tha. Seedhe is level ke paas kharidna risky hai, lekin meri rai mein, is waqt yahan bechna zaroori nahi hai.

Maujooda trading session mein EURUSD market 1.08212 par hai, jo ke H1 channel ke upper boundary ke neeche hai. Yeh khaas taqreeban ek dhalao ko darust karne ka amal hai. Dono channels ko bechne ki bajaye kharidne ki taraf raghib karne ka ishara hai, kharidari karne ke amal mein khatraat ho sakti hain. Agar bull log 1.08458 ke ooper darust darust karne mein kaamyabi hasil karte hain, to yeh moka pesh karta hai ke kharidari ke positions ko ghor se socha jaaye ya mukammal kiya jaaye, khaaskar H1 channel ke upper hisse se 1.09307 par. Is trading session ke outlook mein, doosra bearish target 1.08174 par paaya jata hai. Market dynamics ka andaza lagane mein, mojooda position aur bade channel configurations ke darmiyan ka khailafazi ko qubool karna ahem hai. H1 channel ke upper boundary ke qareebi panah ko ek potential resistance zone ka ishaara deti hai, jo bearish jazbat ko mazboot karti hai. Muttasil taur par, 1.08458 ke ooper breach ek momentum mein tabdeeli ko ishaara kar sakti hai, jiska matlab hai ke trading strategies ki dobara jaiza lene ki zaroorat hai.

Is manzar ko samajhne wale traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur taraqqi pasandi ke naam par nazar rakhte hue market ke ahem conditions par hoshiyar rehna chahiye. Khatraat ke nizam ko ehmiyat deni chahiye, jahan darust dakhil aur nikaal ke points ko khaas tor par ghor se socha jaye. Ahem darajat jaise ke 1.08458 aur 1.09307 ke ird gird qeemat ki karwai ka nazr rakhte hue, market ka rukh kehne ke liye aham insights faraham kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, EURUSD pair ko mutasir karne wale beroon-e-mulk factors ke baray mein maloomat rakhte hue, jaise ke ma'ashiyati data releases, siyasi aur riyasati hawaale, aur central bank ke elaanat, sahi trading decisions banane mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Yeh factors gardish ko shiddat de sakte hain aur mojooda market ki raay mein tabdeeli ko le aayein, jo trading strategies mein badalao ke liye zaroori hai. Magar traders ko market ke dynamics ke tabdeel hote rehne par jawabdeh rahna chahiye, jab ke nuqsaanat ko kam karne ke liye khatraat nigrani ko pehle rakhte hue, aur mojooda qeemat ke amal se faraiz ko mustaqil karne ke liye mouke par cash karna chahiye.