𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD pair ne doosre mustaqil din ke liye musbat shetaniyat mein trade ki hai, jis ka aghaz jumma ke early Asian session mein 1.0881 ke qareeb se huwa. Ye upar ka trend May ke liye Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke taqreeban munfarid pehli nazar ka moshaaheda ko support kar raha hai, jo Euro (EUR) ko barhawa deta hai. Lekin, chunancha ECB ke mahiney baad interest rates ko kam karne ki shakhein hain, jo taqreeban 1.0881 tak hai, jo aane wale dino mein pair ke liye mazeed izafaat ko had se zyada had tak rok sakta hai.

ECB Rate Cut Ke Ishtiharat Ke Bawajood Musbat U.S. Ma'ashiyati Peshgunaam:

I United States mein, April mein Durable Goods Orders mein 0.7% mahina se mahina ke barhne ka izafa dekha gaya, jo ke March ki 0.8% ke nichle tajwez ko muntaqil karta hai. Ye -0.8% ke tajwez se ziada tha. Is ke ilawa, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May mein 69.1 tak barh gaya, April ke 67.4 se, jo ke muntaqil hone wale 67.5 se ziada tha. Jabke, UoM paanch saal ke inflation ke tajwez thode se halka gaye, 3% se 3.1% tak.

Ye sab musbat ma'ashi peshgunaamuon ke bawajood, ECB ke interest rates ko Federal Reserve se pehle kamm karne ka tajwez barh raha hai, jo EUR par farokht dabaav dal raha hai. ECB President Christine Lagarde ne yakeeniyaat izhaar ki hai ke Eurozone ki mudai inflation control mein hai aur next month ek mumkinah interest rate cut par ishara kiya hai. Financial markets, LSEG data ke mutabiq, mojooda tor par ek 25 basis point (bps) cut ko June mein qeemat tay kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD Ka Takneeki Tafseeli Jayeza:

Joda 1.0890 ke aas paas tashadud kar raha hai jab traders Eurozone aur U.S. dono se ahem inflation data ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. Aam shanakht ke tor par, pair ne rozana chart par Symmetrical Triangle pattern se nikalne ki qowat ko barqarar rakha hai. Nazdeek tabeer mazboot hai, jab ke pair tamam short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke oopar trade kar raha hai.

Is level ka ikhtetami tod aghaz kar sakta hai jis se asset ko qareebi 1.0951 aur nafsiyati rukawat 1.1000 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day EMA ke neeche ek lehar 1.0800 ki taraf chalne ka sabab ho sakta hai.

4-Hour Chart

Ek arse ke sideways trading aur downward tendency ke baad, price ne weekly pivot level aur ascending price channels ko break karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Trading is hafte ascending price channels ke andar khuli jo ke past do hafton ke price movement ko represent karti thi. Magar, aisa lagta hai ke price is hafte downside direction mein jane ki koshish karegi. Ab price weekly support level 1.0790 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is support se agla direction tay kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par support hasil karti hai aur weekly pivot level par wapas aati hai phir se neeche bounce karti hai, to yeh selling retest pattern ke success ko indicate karta hai aur downward trend ko confirm karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price upar jati hai aur akhri price peak se upar trade karti hai, to yeh upward trend mein wapas jane ka signal hai.



Economic side par, is hafte ki trading ke start se economic calendar mein kisi bhi important aur influential releases ke na hone se EUR/USD price movements kamzor ho gayi hain. 1.0790 ke support ko break karna recently formed ascending channel se EUR/USD ka exit mana jayega, jo ke recent US inflation numbers ki kamzori se badh gaya hai. Is kamzori ne price ko 1.0895 ke resistance level ki taraf dhakel diya tha, jo ke do mahine ka sabse uncha level tha. Kul mila kar, markets ne trading week ko kuch rocky shuru kiya low liquidity trading ke darmiyan. France, Germany, Switzerland aur Canada jaise mulkon ke financial centers public holidays ki wajah se band the. Jab yeh likha ja raha tha, indices badhne lagi thi aur saari major currencies US Dollar ke khilaf +/- 0.3% range ke andar fluctuate kar rahi thi. Aaj kam economic data ke sath, focus prominent central bankers ke comments par shift ho gaya, khaaskar Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson ke. Apne colleagues ke dovish, data-driven outlook ko echo karte hue, Jefferson ne kaha ke abhi yeh kehna "bohat jaldi" hoga ke recent slowdown in disinflation process long-lasting hoga ya nahi, magar April ka lower inflation reading ek positive sign tha. Kul mila kar, wo cautiously optimistic lage ke Fed apni economy ko soft landing achieve karne ke track par tha, jahan inflation Fed ke 2% target par aati hai bina kisi significant economic slowdown ke.

ECB aur Fed Policy Divergence: EUR/USD par Asraat

Euro US Dollar ke muqable relative strength ko maintain kiye hue hai bawajood iske ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki future monetary policy moves ke bare mein uncertainty hai. Jabke ECB policymakers June meeting se rate-cut cycle shuru karne mein araamda hain, lekin wo isse aage ke liye kisi definitive rate path par commit karne se hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain, aur data-dependent rehna pasand kar rahe hain.

US side par, Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke June meeting mein interest rates ko steady rakhegi. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders September mein Fed ke 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ki 76% chance price kar rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak do cuts ki umeed hai.



Technical Indicators se EUR/USD ke Liye Potential Bullish Momentum ka Ishara.

Pair 1.0840 ke aas paas tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jabke investors agle significant move ke liye naye catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Euro ki stability Symmetrical Triangle breakout pattern ko daily chart par maintain karke mazid reinforce hui hai, jo ke potentially bullish outlook ko suggest karta hai.

20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ka bullish crossover 1.0790 ke aas paas Euro/USD pair ke near-term prospects ko mazid bolster kar raha hai. Yeh technical development Euro ke muqable US Dollar ke liye strengthening momentum ka ishara karta hai.

ECB aur Fed Policy Divergence: EUR/USD par Asraat

Euro US Dollar ke muqable relative strength ko maintain kiye hue hai bawajood iske ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki future monetary policy moves ke bare mein uncertainty hai. Jabke ECB policymakers June meeting se rate-cut cycle shuru karne mein araamda hain, lekin wo isse aage ke liye kisi definitive rate path par commit karne se hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain, aur data-dependent rehna pasand kar rahe hain.

US side par, Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke June meeting mein interest rates ko steady rakhegi. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders September mein Fed ke 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ki 76% chance price kar rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak do cuts ki umeed hai.

Technical Indicators se EUR/USD ke Liye Potential Bullish Momentum ka Ishara.

Pair 1.0840 ke aas paas tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jabke investors agle significant move ke liye naye catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Euro ki stability Symmetrical Triangle breakout pattern ko daily chart par maintain karke mazid reinforce hui hai, jo ke potentially bullish outlook ko suggest karta hai.

20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ka bullish crossover 1.0790 ke aas paas Euro/USD pair ke near-term prospects ko mazid bolster kar raha hai. Yeh technical development Euro ke muqable US Dollar ke liye strengthening momentum ka ishara karta hai.


EUR/USD Ka Takneeki Tafseeli Jayeza:

Joda 1.0890 ke aas paas tashadud kar raha hai jab traders Eurozone aur U.S. dono se ahem inflation data ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. Aam shanakht ke tor par, pair ne rozana chart par Symmetrical Triangle pattern se nikalne ki qowat ko barqarar rakha hai. Nazdeek tabeer mazboot hai, jab ke pair tamam short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke oopar trade kar raha hai.

Is level ka ikhtetami tod aghaz kar sakta hai jis se asset ko qareebi 1.0951 aur nafsiyati rukawat 1.1000 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day EMA ke neeche ek lehar 1.0800 ki taraf chalne ka sabab ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD US session mein 1.0850 ke upar musbat mehsoos hoti hai.

U.S. dollar ki taqat ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil hoti hai April ke PCE inflation data ke baad aur ye pair hafta ke akhri din mein zameen par rehne mein madad karta hai. EUR/USD 1.0830 ke qareeb trade karta hai, umeedon ke retracement channel ke nichle had mein Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ke sath aakhri downtrend ka.

Ye position 4 ghante ke chart par 20-period aur 50-period simple moving averages (SMA) se bhi mazboot hota hai. Agar pair is level se oopar utha aur support ke tor par istemal hone lagta hai, to rukawat 1.0900 (uzr ki darmiyani had) aur 1.0950 (uzr ke had se oopar) par dekhi ja sakti hai.

Neeche, mukhya support zone 1.0770 par milti hai (100-day SMA, 4 ghante ke chart par 200-period SMA) aur 1.0800-1.0790 par (psychological level, mustaqil level, Fibonacci 50% retrace, 200-day SMA) pehle se pehle 1.0750 par (Fibonacci 38. 2% retracement). Budh ko tezi se girne ke baad, EUR/USD ne wapas tezi se uthaya aur Budh ko musbat tor par band kiya.

Pair 1.0800 ke upar hilta rehta hai jabke investors European session ke ahem infliation figures ke samne aage barhne se pehle idhar udhar ja rahe hain. 10 saal ke U.S. muaqqi treasury bond yield Thursday ko gir gaya, jis mein US dollar (USD) ke khilaaf 1% se zyada nuqsan hua. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne pehle se mutawatar pehle maah ka gross domestic product (GDP) growth ko 1.3% se kam kar diya hai. Eurostat Jumma ko May ke liye pehla Harmonized Index of Consumer Price Index (HICP) data jaari karega. Investors umeed rakhte hain ke core HICP saalana 2.8% tak barhega. Market ki tawaqqaat ke mutabiq agar reading kam aaye to euro par fori tareen asar ho sakta hai.

Baad azmaish karte hue local support level 1.08122 ko top se bottom tak, price reverse hui aur hesitantly upar push ki, jiska nateeja ek uncertainty candle banne ki soorat mein nikla jo forming accumulation ke andar close hui. Overall, yeh saaf hai ke is instrument mein positions accumulate ho rahi hain, aur main fully admit karta hoon ke next week ek impulsive price breakout ho sakta hai forming accumulation se. Filhal, main resistance level 1.08850 pe nazar rakhoonga. Is resistance level ke paas, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur apni northern movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price 1.09425 ya 1.09812 resistance levels ki taraf move kare. Jab price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate kar legi, to main further upward movement anticipate karunga, jo shayad 1.11393 resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.Of course, main yeh acknowledge karta hoon ke price movement ke dauraan designated higher northern target ki taraf, southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jinhe main use karunga nearby support levels se bullish signals search karne ke liye, in anticipation of a resumption of the uptrend within the bullish trend formation.Dusra scenario yeh hai ke 1.08850 resistance level ka retest karte waqt ek reversal candle bane aur price downward move resume kare. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price 1.07882 ya 1.07239 support levels tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals ka intezar karunga, expecting a continuation of the upward movement.Baaki door ke targets ke possibilities hain, magar main unhe filhal consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki main nahi dekhta ke unka quick realization ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, agle hafte main locally yeh possibility consider karta hoon ke price northern direction mein push hoti rahegi, aur nearest resistance level test kiya jayega, uske baad main market situation ko

The previous week saw EUR/USD showing significant movement on Wednesday driven by inflation data, overshadowing the rest of the week's trading. Market dynamics revolve around reacting to key economic indicators, with other days characterized by subdued activity. The current outlook for the pair appears uncertain regarding future prospects. Potential growth initiated on Friday may lead towards resistance at 1.0907, where I'm inclined to consider selling. Further upward movement could prompt selling from 1.0925. I'm not considering buying at the current levels. However, a correction towards strong support around 1.0820 would entice me to buy, anticipating continued growth towards 1.1000, a key attraction level.EUR/USD jodi ne doosre maqil din ke liye musbat raftar ikhtiyar ki hai, jo jumma ke early Asian session mein 1.0881 ke qareeb se shuru hui. Ye upar ka trend Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke taqreeban munfarid pehli nazar ka moshaaheda ko support kar raha hai, jo Euro ko barhawa deta hai May mein. Lekin, ECB ke interest rates ko kam karne ke ishtiharat ke bawajood, jo taqreeban 1.0881 tak hai, ye pair ke liye mazeed izafaat ko rok sakta hai.Musbat US Ma'ashiyati Peshgunaam ECB Rate Cut Ke Bawajood:United States mein, April mein Durable Goods Orders mein 0.7% mahina se mahina ke barhne ka izafa dekha gaya, jo ke March ki 0.8% ke nichle tajwez ko muntaqil karta hai, ye -0.8% ke tajwez se ziyada tha. Is ke ilawa, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index May mein 69.1 tak barh gaya, April ke 67.4 se, jo ke muntaqil hone wale 67.5 se ziyada tha. UoM paanch saal ke inflation ke tajwez thode se halka gaye, 3% se 3.1% tak.Ye sab musbat ma'ashi peshgunaamuon ke bawajood, ECB ke interest rates ko Federal Reserve se pehle kam karne ka tajwez barh raha hai, jo EUR par farokht dabaav dal raha hai. ECB President Christine Lagarde ne yakeeniyaat izhaar ki hai ke Eurozone ki mudai inflation control mein hai aur next month ek mumkinah interest rate cut par ishara kiya hai. Financial markets, LSEG data ke mutabiq, mojooda tor par ek 25 basis point (bps) cut ko June mein qeemat tay kar rahe hain.EUR/USD Takneeki Tafseeli Jayeza:Joda 1.0890 ke aas paas tashadud kar raha hai jab traders Eurozone aur US dono se ahem inflation data ka besabri se intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ne rozana chart par Symmetrical triangle pattern se nikalne ki qowat ko barqarar rakha hai. Nazdeek tabeer mazboot hai, jab ke pair tamam short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke oopar trade kar raha hai. Is level ka ikhtetami tod aghaz kar sakta hai jis se asset ko qareebi 1.0951 aur nafsiyati rukawat 1.1000 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Lekin, 200-day EMA ke neeche ek lehar 1.0800 ki taraf chalne ka sabab ho sakta hai. Regarding the EUR/USD H1 timeframe, I prefer a scenario where the pair initially declines before pursuing northern targets. Analyzing the situation, after breaching the 1.0812 level, conditions for a northward zig-zag pattern were set, with a Fibonacci expansion target at 1.0914. Given the pair's characteristic steadiness, there's a possibility of starting the week with continued growth, testing 1.09, or specifically 1.0914, before any decline. However, prevailing market sentiment against the US dollar suggests technical justifications may be overridden.

After testing the waters, the local support at 1.08122 witnessed a reversal from top to bottom, followed by a hesitant upward push, resulting in an uncertainty candle forming within the accumulation zone. Clearly, positions are being accumulated in this instrument, and I fully acknowledge that an impulsive price breakout could occur from this accumulation next week. For now, my focus will be on the resistance level at 1.08850. Two scenarios may unfold near this resistance level. The first scenario is that the price consolidates above this level and Hi continues its northern movement. If this plan plays out, I would expect the price to move towards the 1.09425 or 1.09812 resistance levels. Upon consolidating above these resistance levels, I anticipate further upward movement, possibly reaching the 1.11393 resistance level. Near this resistance level, I will await a trading setup to help determine the next trading direction. I acknowledge that during the price movement towards designated higher northern targets, there could be southern pullbacks, which I will use nearby support levels to search for bullish signals, anticipating a resumption of the uptrend within the bullish trend formation. The second scenario is that a reversal candle forms during the retest of the 1.08850 resistance level, and the price resumes its downward move. If this unfolds, I would expect the price to retreat towards the 1.07882 or 1.07239 support levels. Near these support levels, I will wait for bullish signals, expecting a continuation of the upward movement. While there are possibilities for further targets in the distance, I am not considering them at the moment because I do not see their quick realization. In summary, for the upcoming week, I consider the possibility of the price continuing to push in the northern direction locally and testing the nearest resistance level, after which I will evaluate the market situation further.

The EUR/USD currency pair has shown significant stability near the 1.0847 mark. Despite repeated attempts by sellers, this level has remained resilient, indicating a strong support zone. Buyer behavior suggests varying sentiments at this price level, with resistance to further decline. Analyzing market conditions, we anticipate a potential rebound from the 1.0868 zone, crucial for traders. If buying momentum strengthens from this area, a push towards 1.08735 could occur. This level recently acted as a significant barrier, and retesting it could reaffirm buyer strength. Further advancement beyond 1.08735 could target key levels near 1.08698 and 1.08792, pivotal for sustaining a bullish trend. Success at these levels would confirm buyer control and pave the way for further upside potential. Conversely, failure to hold above 1.0847 and a drop below 1.0840 could signal a shift in sentiment, potentially leading towards the 1.08725 area. This would break current support and hint at a bearish trend continuation. In summary, the EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, testing important support and resistance levels. As long as 1.0847 support holds, bullish possibilities remain strong, with attempts to surpass 1.0868 and 1.08735 indicating buyer optimism. However, a breach below 1.0840 would signal a change, favoring sellers. The pair's future movements will depend on how it navigates these significant levels, requiring traders to assess the value of surrounding actions to gauge potential paths, whether bullish or bearish.kiya. Yeh upper zone ki taraf badhne laga aur channel ke lower boundary ke transition zone 1.0897 ko target kiya, aur din ka range 1.0879 tak gaya. Maine likha tha ke yeh range kaafi nahi hai ke upper channel border 1.0897 tak pohonche, isliye shayad woh wahan tak na pohonchein, aur aisa hi hua. Lekin din ka range bilkul pharmacy ki tarah kaam kiya aur rollback hua din ke opening ke baad, north mein day range work out hone ke baad. Opening se thoda miss hua, Monday se dono taraf ka chance hai ke reverse ho jaye aur upper channel 1.0897 tak lower border se pohonch jaye. Daily ranges trading ke start mein madad nahi karenge, bas yeh decide karna hoga ke din ka range kahan khatam hoga taake channels ko navigate kar sakein, mainly jab tak hum kal subah ka daily reversal nahi milta. Agar hum closing price pe open karte hain, aur aaj gap ka koi indication nahi hai, isliye mein din ka opening 1.0847 par expect kar raha hoon, phir 51 points ka daily range north mein 1.0898 par khatam hota hai, jo bilkul lower border of transition zone ke upper channel 1.0897 tak pohonchta hai. Downward daily range 1.0796 par khatam hota hai, phir pair lower channel mein fly karta hai aur kaafi deep hota hai, isliye woh south mein kuch dino tak drag kar sakte hain. Agar pair niche continue karta hai aur nearest low ko tor deta hai, to humein south ka confirmation milta hai, lekin jab south ka daily range move hota hai to humein channel ko niche upper border

Assalam-o-Alaikum, kaise hain aap? EUR/USD jo Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke May 1st ke meeting minutes ke release ka intezar kar raha hai, Wednesday ko steady raha. Asian trading session ke doran yeh pair 1.0850 ke aas paas hover karta raha. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to daily chart mein EUR/USD pair apni moving averages se kaafi comfortable nazar aa raha hai, jahan 20 simple moving average firmly 200 SMA ke flat line ke neeche se approach kar raha hai. Technical indicators bhi weekly peaks se retreat kar rahe hain magar ab bhi positive grounds par hold kar rahe hain aur increased selling interest ko suggest karne se door hain. 4-hour chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair technically neutral hai lekin bearish bias ke sath. Yeh pair apne 20 SMA ke neeche develop ho raha hai, jo ke apni directional strength kho chuka hai magar ab tak upar hi hai. Momentum indicator directionlessly apne 100 level ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jabke Relative Strength Index indicator modestly 49 ke aas paas hai, bina kisi leg down ki expectation ko confirm kiye.
Tuesday ko, US dollar sour market mood ke beech rally kar gaya. Magar yeh pair apne comfort zone ko chhorne se inkar kar gaya, kyunke data aur policymakers ke words speculative interest ko convince karne ke liye kaafi nahi the. Europe se aane wali news generally encouraging thi, kyunke Germany ne apna April producer price index release kiya jo YoY 3.3% shrink hua against expectations for a 3.2% slide. Monthly basis par, PPI 0.2 percent rise hua, jo expectations aur March data ke sath in line tha. Iske ilawa, EU ne March ka current account unveil kiya jo ke expected se zyada seasonally adjusted surplus €35.8 billion ka tha, jabke trade balance bhi €17.3 billion tak increase hua for the same month. United States ke macroeconomic calendar mein sirf ek aur batch of Federal Reserve speakers thi, jo well-known messages ko repeat kar rahe the. Agar kuch bhi hai, market participants ne stocks se cues liye, jahan Asian aur European markets ne red mein close kiya magar US indices ne modest gains banaye.

Pair bohot taqatwar dikh raha hai, aur Jumma ke New York session mein 1.0860 ke ahem darjat ke upar support mil raha hai. Ye mazboot performance zyadatar Eurozone ke May ke pehlay Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke release hone ki wajah se hai, jo market ke nazriye ko euro ke liye behtar banata hai.
EUR/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Eurozone ka Maashiyati Manzar aur ECB ka Dilemma: Eurozone ke maashiyati manzar ko taqatwar Composite PMI data ke release se eham farq pad raha hai, jo maashiyati sharaait mein behtar hone ka ishaara hai. Is musbat taraqqi ke bawajood, market ke shiraaqeen ECB ke interest rates ke hawaale se ab bhi baychain hain. ECB ke possible faisla ke short term mein interest rates ko kam karne ka taawun traders ke liye markazi tawajjuh ka markaz ban gaya hai, aur June ka waqt darust lag raha hai. Ye ghumrahi ke ECB ka July ke imtehaan mein mazeed darje kam karega ya nahi, market ke dynamics ko mushkil bana rahi hai, jo euro ki mazboot position mein hissa hai. Char ghante ka time frame Technical Tafseer: Technical Tafseer aur Market Ka Nazriya: Technical nuktae nazar se dekha jaye to EUR/USD nazdeeki Symmetrical Triangle ke breakout ilaaqay ke qareeb taqatwar khareedari ka dilchaspi ka nishan dikhata hai jo 4-hour time frame par banaya gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ka milna-julna qareebi dekhe jane wale waqt ke manzar ko aur bhi mazboot kar raha hai. Market ke muta`aleqeen umeed karte hain ke mumkinah do mahinay tak 1.0900 ke qareeb ek bar phir test hone ka imkaan hai, aur agar yeh darja bila jhijhak toot gaya to pair ko mazeed resistance levels 1.0950 aur 1.1000 ke nafsiyati bariyon tak munazzam kar sakta hai. Lekin neechay ki khatraat bhi hain, agar 200-day EMA ke 1.0800 ke neeche gir gaya to yeh mazeed tarteeb ki giraft ka sabab ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD: Federal Reserve Ki Tafseeli Raye Ke Asraat
Salam, EUR/USD ne Peer ko 1.0880 se phir se rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments ne behtar market flows par asar dala. Aam market Fed ki taraf se rate cut ke ishaaron ka be sabri se intezar kar raha hai, lekin central planners naye inflation ke sakht manzar ke saath umeedon ko kam kar rahe hain jo Fed ke rate moves par rukawat daalti hai. Technically, EUR/USD pair bullish hai. Daily chart pair ko sabhi moving averages ke oopar aage badhte hue dikhata hai, 20 simple moving average tezi se peeche aata hai jisse ek aur upar ki daur ke liye support milta hai, khaaskar agar pair 1.0900 range ko todati hai. Ek saath, technical indicators overbought levels ke qareeb hain, halan ke bina mukhtalif taqat ke saath. Relative Strength Index halka sa nichla ho raha hai, jisse kharidari dabao kam hone ka ishaara hota hai. 4-hour chart ek neutral technical stance pesh karta hai. EUR/USD abhi apne 20 SMA ke aaspaas ghoom raha hai, jo bullish taqat ko khota ja raha hai lekin abhi bhi shumali taraf ja raha hai. Lambay moving averages upar ja rahe hain, halan ke lagbhag 100 pips neeche, ahmiyat ko khota ja rahe hain. Aakhir mein, technical indicators apne midlines ke aaspaas phans gaye hain, jo Wall Street ke band hone se pehle tijarati dilchaspi mein kami ka aks dikhate hain. EUR/USD ne Peer ko kisi khaas action nahi dekha, din ke zyadatar hisse mein 1.0860 mark ke aaspaas ghooma. Europe mein chutti thi aur U.S. macroeconomic calendar mein kisi naye data ki kami thi jo shor machaane wale trading din mein aur bhi sunsaan bana diya. Investors Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments mein clues talash kar rahe the, jin ke paas U.S. ke haal ki inflation ke aakhri tabdeelion par mukhtalif raye thi.

Mukammal Tafseeli Raye Ke Asraat

Amooman, Fed ke afraad future actions ke mutalliq ehtiyaat barqarar rakhte rahe, kyun ke unhe abhi bhi lagta hai ke inflation control se door hai. Europe Mangal ko kuch minor figures ke saath lautega. Germany April producer price index ko shaaya karayega, jise -3.2% YoY ki umeed hai, pehle -2.9% se. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone March current account ko jaari karega, jo mowafiq surat mein €30.2 billion ka surplus dikhata hai. EU March ke trade balance ko bhi shaaya karega, jab ke U.S. session mein ek aur batch of Fed speakers honge. Ek saath, Asian shares hafta ki shuruaat mein barh gaye, jo U.S. indices mein ek mazid mojooda shuruaat ka nateeja diya. Halan ke, darmiyan-e-sayaa Dopehar mein Dow Jones Industrial Average tezi se neeche gaya, jabke S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite ne mukhtalif hisson par qabzaa kiya. Aakhir mein, wazeh hai ke U.S. dollar ne halki tone maintain ki, halan ke sarkari bond yields mein ek mamooli izafa hua.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi 1.0892 ke aspass ahem rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Yah rukawat technical aur fundamental dono karanon se utpann ho rahi hai. Pehla karan yeh hai ki yeh level pehle bhi support aur resistance ke roop mein kaam kar chuka hai, jo ise ek strong psychological level banata hai. Jab bhi koi currency pair aise level par pahunchta hai, traders ka behavior zyadatar cautionary hota hai, aur price action mein significant changes dekhne ko milte hain.bDoosra karan yeh hai ki recent economic indicators aur macroeconomic data ne bhi market sentiment ko prabhavit kiya hai. Eurozone aur US ke economic data ko dekha jaye, to dono regions mein contrasting trends dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Eurozone ka inflation data abhi bhi elevated hai, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ko interest rates ko high rakhne par majboor kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, US Federal Reserve ne apni aggressive rate hike cycle ko slow down karne ke sanket diye hain, jo US dollar par pressure daal raha hai.

EUR/USD pair ka yeh current resistance level aur bhi significant ho jata hai jab hum iske technical chart patterns ko dekhte hain. Daily charts par, EUR/USD ne ek upward channel form kiya hai jisme 1.0892 ka level ek major resistance zone hai. Moving averages jaise 50-day aur 200-day EMA bhi is zone ke aas-paas converge ho rahe hain, jo additional technical resistance create kar raha hai. Fibonacci retracement levels bhi 1.0892 par ek strong resistance indicate karte hain. Previous high se recent low tak ka retracement 1.0892 par aata hai, jo is level ko aur bhi significant banata hai. Yadi yeh level break hota hai, to next resistance 1.1000 par ho sakta hai, jo ek aur psychological level hai. Lekin agar yeh level sustain nahin karta, to pair phir se 1.0800 aur 1.0750 ke levels tak slide kar sakta hai. Sentiment analysis bhi indicate karta hai ki traders aur investors abhi cautious hain. US aur Eurozone ke geopolitics, inflationary pressures aur central bank policies ke beech ka tug-of-war market sentiments ko prabhavit kar raha hai. US debt ceiling crisis aur global supply chain issues bhi in sentiments ko aur volatile bana rahe hain. Overall, 1.0892 ka level EUR/USD ke liye ek crucial juncture hai. Yadi is level ko convincingly breach kiya jata hai, to yeh ek bullish breakout signal ho sakta hai, lekin failure to break is level can lead to a bearish retracement. Isliye, yeh dekhna interesting hoga ki aane wale dinon mein yeh pair is resistance ko kaise tackle karta hai aur kaunse factors iske future price movements ko influence karte hain. Market participants ko in sabhi aspects ko dhyan mein rakhte hue apni trading strategies plan karni chahiye. Technical indicators, economic data releases aur geopolitical events ko close watch karna zaroori hoga. Is analysis se samajh aata hai ki EUR/USD pair ke future trends kaunse major factors se influenced honge.

EUR-USD H4 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Aaj subah dusri baar ke discussion ka silsila EUR/USD pair par jari hai, jo GBP/USD ke saath lagbhag same hai. Is pair mein bhi ye clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke kal ek bada bullish movement dekhne ko mila, haan aur agar hum gaur karein to is waqt EUR/USD position Monday ke highest position se kaafi door hai. Agar yeh case hai, to mumkin hai ke EUR/USD aur bhi upar move kare, jahan is buy ka sabse kareebi target last week's resistance area ko tor kar ho sakta hai. Yeh area 1.086 par hai, to agar yeh area tor diya jaye to EUR/USD pair mein large scale buy ka mauka kaafi wide open ho sakta hai.

Lekin buyers ko oscillator par H4 timeframe par bhi achi tarah se gaur karna hoga, jahan is waqt dekha ja sakta hai ke price phir se overbought position mein aa gayi hai. Is liye, current position se ab bhi ek aur decline ka possibility hai. Agar yeh hota bhi hai, to yeh thoda risky lagta hai agar hum sirf force karne ki koshish karein.



Shaayad EUR/USD ko sell karne ke liye, mein apne irade se bhi haath uthaoonga aur existing developments ko monitor karunga. Yeh ziada behtar hoga agar, misal ke tor par, dekhne ki koshish ki jaye ke EUR/USD 1.086 ke resistance ko tor sakta hai ya nahi, aur phir agar yeh isse torne mein fail hot

Daily time window par Moving Average technique ka observation karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers EurUsd market pair mein trading ko dominate kar rahe hain by successfully bringing the price to start breaking above the Yellow 200 MA area. Plus, buyer ki success in forming a strong bullish candlestick, jo price ko aur bhi upar move karne ke chances ko barhati hai, targeting the price to go to the seller resistance area which is in the Blue 100 MA area. Abhi bhi ek bearish correction ho sakti hai aur buyers isse use kar sakte hain to look for buy entry areas.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD pair ne daily timeframe par ek distinct behavioral pattern exhibit kiya hai jo traders ko samajhna zaroori hai taake informed decisions le sakein. Is waqt, pivotal support level 1.0810 par serve kar raha hai jo pair ke liye ek critical threshold hai. Agar yeh support aur minimum extremum 1.0810 ke neeche break hota hai toh yeh further downward movement ke liye rasta banayega towards next significant low 1.0787. Lekin, jab tak yeh breakthrough nahi hota, bullish scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye valid hai. EUR/USD pair ek bullish surge ke liye poised hai, potential hai ke 1.0895 level tak pohanch jaye. European trading session is upward trend ka driving force hoga, jab ke Asian session mein ek minor retreat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo buyers ke liye attractive entry opportunities create karega. Market news aur indicators ko closely monitor karke, traders price dynamics ko skillfully navigate kar sakte hain.



Naye trading week ke start hone par, ek minor pullback anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jisme price potentially 1.0820-1.0830 range mein retreat kar sakti hai. Yeh slight retracement buyers ko ek favorable opportunity de sakti hai market mein lower price par enter karne ki. Is minor correction ke baad, bullish momentum likely resume hoga, aiming for a full-fledged upward movement. Is upward movement ka target maximum level 1.0895 ka breakthrough hai. Price action anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke ek strong upward trajectory display karega, specially during European trading session, jab liquidity aur trading volume zyada hoti hai.

Trading session ke dauran, jab volatility typically European session ke comparison mein lower hoti hai, prices mein slight decline observe kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh temporary dip buyers ko ek opportunity de sakta hai positions secure karne ki more favorable rates par before anticipated upward trend. Different trading periods aur unka price movements par influence samajhna traders ke liye crucial hai. Unhein in fluctuations ke liye prepared rehna chahiye aur strategically apne entry aur exit points plan karne chahiye taake expected price movements ka faida utha sakein. European session ke dauran potential upward trend ko various factors attribute kiya ja sakta hai, jaise increased market participation, higher trading volumes, aur significant economic news releases from the Eurozone. Yeh factors aksar heightened market activity contribute karte hain aur prices ko higher drive kar sakte hain. Traders ko economic indicators aur news releases closely monitor karni chahiye jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain, jaise European Central Bank announcements, data on inflation, employment, aur GDP growth. Daily timeframe par EUR/USD pair ek bullish scenario present karta hai, jab tak support level 1.0810 intact rehta hai. Ek breach is level ke neeche potential downward movement signal karega towards 1.0787. Lekin, jab tak aisa breakout nahi hota, traders ek minor pullback expect kar sakte hain 1.0820-1.0830 range mein.