Gold

gold ke price action analysis ko review karte hain. Shuruati marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break hone ka andesha tha, jo ke ab ho chuka hai. Dusre marahil mein, yeh broken level test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin, teesre marahil, jo ke consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka nateeja abhi bhi faisla nahi hua, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy ab bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ko zaroori banata hai.
Humne pehle hourly time frame par discussion ki thi, lekin ab main daily chart dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent decline ka silsila shuru ho gaya, jo gold ko ek strong downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gaya. Channel ke lower limit ka aana mushkil lagta hai, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko darshata hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan mujhe rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed hai.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline indicate hota hai, aur gold market opening se decrease hone ka mumkin hai. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pohnch gayi aur upar adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur red zone ko growth ke dauran support level ke tor par use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karega, red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak badhega, black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

#1357 Collapse ShahidAli599

hai, lagta hai ke bullish trend ko maintain karna chahti hai. Price ne support (S1) 2382 tak correction ki, jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic support bhi banata hai. Lekin, downward correction itni neeche nahi gayi aur price ne bounce kar ke weekend ke close prices ke around pivot point (PP) 2429 tak pahunch gayi. Agar price ka increase rally bullish trend direction ko follow karta hai, to price 2477 ke aas-paas ke nearest high prices ko test kar sakti hai aur resistance (R1) 2490 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai. Lekin, Gold ke price pattern ka structure abhi tak clear nahi hai kyunki 2477 ke high prices aur 2352 ke low prices dono hi pass nahi hue hain. Kehna ye hai ke price movement range narrow ho rahi hai, jo ek triangle pattern banane ki ijaazat deti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai lekin green histogram volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein itna wide nahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo levels 50 aur 80 ke beech cross ho rahe hain, price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain.

Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend direction aur price movements jo do Moving Average lines ke upar hain ko dekhte hue trade karna hai, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ko place karne se pehle ensure karein ke closing prices pivot point (PP) 2429 ke upar ho ya high prices 2436 tak pahunchi ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas-paas cross ho rahe hain, ko initial confirmation ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein hai, uska continue widen hona zaroori hai taake uptrend momentum zyada valid ho. Take profit aur stop loss targets ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:1.5 ke hisaab se set karein, jisse stop loss 100 pips aur take profit 150 pips entry open position se hoga. Is tarah se maine journal update ka zikr kiya. Umeed hai ke trading plan jo humne banaya hai, agle haftay ke trading activities ke liye behtareen nateeje dega. Happy Weekend Sabko

Aaj hum D1 period chart ko dobara dekhte hain, khaaskar XAU/USD trading instrument ke liye. Is hafte ab tak hum wahi jagah par rahe hain; kal thoda upar gaya, aaj thoda neeche. Pichle trading hafte mein mukhtalif direction the aur almost wahi jagah band hui jahan se shuru hui thi. Price abhi bhi historical maximum ke paas atki hui hai. Jaise ke humne ummed ki thi, price ne 2478 ke horizontal support level tak girne ka mauka diya, magar isse aage nahi jane diya aur upar ki taraf rebound mila. Pehle ye chhota tha, magar jab Friday ko USA se important news aayi - Jerome Powell ka speech aur naye housing sales ka data - to price ne tez aur zor se udaan bhar di. Lekin, itni tez nahi ke maximum ko update kar sake. Abhi bhi price ne tezi se barhne se roknay ke liye hold kiya hua hai.



Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai, MACD indicator upar ke purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Ye price ko ek baar phir maximum se bahar le ja sakte hain, magar general trend higher periods par abhi bhi upward hai. Lagta hai ek reversal figure ban raha hai - ek ascending wedge aur price uske top par hai. MACD indicator par abhi bhi bearish divergence hai, jo ke todha nahi gaya, aur dusra indicator CCI upar ke overheating zone se neeche aaya hai. Sab kuch decline ke liye theek lag raha hai, indicators aur wedge bhi, lekin 2478 ka level ruka hua hai. Neeche jane ke liye, is level ko kam se kam H4 par todhna hoga aur niche consolidate karna hoga. Phir behtareen entry point sale ke liye wahi level hoga agar iska test niche se breakout ke baad resistance level ke roop mein kiya jaye. Ye level growth ke edge par mirror image ban jayega. Phir hum shayad is wedge ke niche, ascending line tak jayenge jo ise neeche se banati hai. Filhal, situation clear nahi hai, dono growth aur decline ke liye factors hain. Mere khayal se, buyers aur sellers ke beech abhi tak parity hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold: Elliott Wave Analysis aur Forecast

Gold mazboot hai aur Friday ko nai all-time high ke qareeb apni position ko barqarar rakhe hue hai, jabke aaj ke din US PCE data ke release ka intezar hai taake naye isharaat mil sakein.

Yeh metal mazid support mein hai strong demand ki wajah se (safe haven ke tor par aur central banks ki bari kharidaari ke tor par), geopolitics tension aur Fed ke September mein pehli rate cut ke bare mein mazboot umeedon ke saath.

Yellow metal ne iss saal ke aghaz se taqriban 22% ka faida hasil kiya hai aur mazeed aik maheena gain karne ke liye tayar hai, agle chay mahine ke tezi se badhne ke ilawa.

Nai record high ($2531) ke neechay jo latest triangular consolidation hai, woh bullish alignment mein hai, kyunke dips ko rising 10DMA ne rok rakha hai, aur 10DMA ke sath higher lows ka silsila ab tak strong bids ko darsha raha hai.

US Federal Reserve ka policy faisla near term mein gold ka key driver hoga, jahan market September mein 25 basis points ki rate cut ko puri tarah se price kar rahe hain, lekin central bank ke liye mazeed aggressive action (50 basis points cut) ke liye bets bhi barh rahe hain.

Aaj ka US PCE Index release, Fed ka preferred inflation gauge, key points par roshni dalayega – policy easing ka size aur pace.

Core PCE Index (jo ke volatile components se mehroom ek fine-tuned indicator hai) ki umeed hai ke woh unchanged (0.2%) rehne wala hai month on month, jabke annualized figure July mein 2.7% tak barh sakta hai, jo June mein 2.6% tha.

Forecasts ye darshaate hain ke values required parameters ke andar hain jo ke signal deti hain ke US mein inflation under control hai aur central bank ke widely expected rate cut ka raasta mazeed kholti hai.

Gold mazid barh sakta hai agar PCE data umeedon ke mutabiq aata hai, lekin agar July PCE numbers unexpected tor par garam aaye toh gold ki qeemat nayi pressure mein aa sakti hai.

Bullish scenario mein gold price ko current peak $2531 se barhne aur $2551 aur $2574 ke targets pe focus karte hue dekha ja sakta hai (Fibo projections).

Dusri taraf, agar inflation unexpectedly zyada barhta hai toh metal ki qeemat gir sakti hai aur initial supports $2511/00 (10DMA / psychological) ko kho kar mazeed girne ka risk hai aur pivotal supports $2475/70 (20DMA / Aug 22 trough) aur $2432 (Aug 15 higher low in extension) ko test karne ka bhi khatra hai.

Elliott Waves Analysis

Daily chart pe, lagta hai ke larger degree (5) ka fifth wave develop ho raha hai, jisme wave 3 of (5) ka formation ho raha hai. H4 time frame par, a correction mukammal ho gaya hai as the fourth wave iv of 3, aur ab fifth wave v of 3 form ho raha hai. H1 time frame par, smaller degree ka third wave (iii) of v ka formation abhi bhi ho raha hai, jisme wave v of (iii) develop ho raha hai. Agar yeh presumption theek hai, toh XAUUSD pair levels 2600.00 – 2700.00 tak barhta rahega. Iss scenario mein level 2471.10 critical hai, kyunke agar yeh breakout hota hai toh pair girte hue levels 2292.30 – 2161.56 tak chala jaye ga.

• Main scenario: level 2471.10 ke upar corrections se long positions ko consider karein growth target 2600.00 – 2700.00 ke liye. Buy signal: agar price 2471.10 ke upar reh jata hai. Stop Loss: 2440.00 ke neeche, Take Profit: 2600.00 – 2700.00.
• Alternative scenario: 2471.10 level ke neeche breakout aur consolidation pair ko girte hue levels 2292.30 – 2161.56 tak le jaye ga. Sell signal: jab 2471.10 ka level neeche ki taraf break ho jaye. Stop Loss: 2500.00 ke upar, Take Profit: 2292.30 – 2161.56.

Gold market kaafi interesting rahi hai Wednesday ko, jahan pe gold prices ne decline kiya, aur iski badi wajah US dollar ki mazid taqat thi. Yeh taqat Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad aayi, jisme unhone interest rates mein kami ke ishara diya. Is wajah se XAU/USD, jo ke gold price hai US dollar ke muqable, apne daily highs $2,529 se gir ke $2,504 par aagaya. Halaanki, gold prices $2,500 ke level ke upar hi rahe, jo ke ab bhi bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Magar US Treasury bond yields mein izafa aur dollar ki taqat se gold par kuch downward pressure bhi pada.

Reuters ke mutabiq, China ke recent gold imports, khaaskar North American funds se, ne overall bullish sentiment ko mazid barhawa diya. Iske ilawa, World Gold Council ne bataya ke pichle hafte gold funds mein significant increase hua hai. Powell ke comments, jo ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein diye gaye, ne market mein optimism ko barhaya hai, magar upcoming labor market data kaafi ahem hoga interest rate cuts ke waqt aur scale ko determine karne ke liye.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai. Yeh breakout ke guidance ke mutabiq, gold prices mein $60–$70 ka drop ho sakta hai, aur support around $2440/oz locate kiya gaya hai.

Gold ke prices ne 2150 support level se phir se rebound kiya hai jab strong gains ke baad wo lower correction ki taraf gaye thay, jinse unka naya record high 2195 par pohnchna tha. Agar gold prices mazeed barhne lagte hain, toh wo 20-period moving average par 2171 mein resistance encounter kar sakte hain pehle 2185 level ko challenge karte hue. Uske baad, rally naye record level 2195 par pohnchte hi tham sakti hai. Ummeed hai ke gold prices jo 2150 support aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1984-2195 uptrend at 2145 ko break karte hain, aagey ki taraf pullback ko trigger kar sakein 50-period MA at 2139 tak. Downtrend phir 2123 area aur 38 Fibonacci retracement level tak extend ho sakta hai. Overall, uptrend haal mein bearish moves ke bawajood strong hai char ghantay ki chart par. Agar 200-period moving average ke upar jaaye toh technical outlook zyada neutral ho jayega. Gold price phir se buland hua, jab ke pichle haftay ko market ke harkaat ne dabaya tha. Magar, jo bull run hua woh ab bhi resistance line ya MA 50 line ko tor nahin saka. Subah tak keemat ab bhi MA 50 line ke neeche thi, ek khareedne wale candle ka dhancha tha, lekin halaat kamzor ho rahe thay. Nazar aa raha hai ke mumkin hai ke mumkin hai ke candle chhota hota ja raha hai aur resistance line ya MA 50 line ke qareeb jaane par shadow ka inkar hota hai. Sona ka agla harkat ya aaj ki bhavishyavani, agar mojooda keemat ke halaat dekhein, sona ab bhi bearish mein wapas jaane ki zyada imkaan hai kyun ke jo bullish hua woh abhi tak resistance line ko nahi chhed saka magar khareedne wale kamzor mehsoos kar rahe hain, isliye jo bullishness is waqt hoti hai woh sirf ek keemat ki durusti hai aur phir keemat phir se gir jayegi. Lekin sona phir se buland hone ki mumkinat ka khayal rakhein, kyun ke sona ka trend badal gaya nahi hai (abhi bhi bullish hai) to keemat abhi bhi agle harkat ke liye bullish hone ki mumkinat rakhti hai. Upar di gayi tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj ka sona ka harkat ka andaza phir bhi bearish hone ki mumkinat hai kyun ke keemat abhi tak MA 50 line aur resistance ke neeche hai, isliye aaj sona mein trade karne ke liye bechne ki moqa talash kar sakte hain . Agar keemat phir se barh jaye aur MA 50 line aur 2172.48 ke resistance line ko tor de, to chonke agar keemat resistance line ko tor de to sona ko apni bullish reliance ko dobara shuru karne ki mumkinat hai aur agar highest resistance line 2193.06 ko dobara tor de to phir maloom nahin

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.

Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.

Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, khaaskar labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain

Aaj hum GOLD ki movement ko D1 timeframe par ek haftay ke liye discuss karenge. Pattern dekhne par yeh lag raha hai ke base area ban raha hai, yaani aisi movement jo sideways chali ja rahi hai bina upar ya neeche bade distance ke. Aise pattern mein agar hum market mein enter karne ki koshish karein, to yeh kaafi dangerous ho sakta hai kyunki price sirf support aur resistance ke beech upar neeche hoti rahegi. Agar Stochastic Indicator ko dekhen, to GOLD ke neeche move karne ki potential lag rahi hai kyunki Stochastic Indicator pehle se hi overbought level par hai, lekin price abhi bhi neeche sharply move nahi kar rahi aur lagta hai ke US Fundamental news ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai, kyunki agle haftay Fundamental NFP news release honi hai.



Base banate waqt, humein support aur resistance areas par dhyan dena chahiye, kyunki ye areas GOLD pair ke future movement ka direction determine karne mein key hain. Support level 2470 ke price par hai, aur agar price is area ko penetrate karti hai, to hum SELL opportunity dekhne ki koshish karenge. Resistance level 2531 ke price par hai, aur agar price is resistance area ko penetrate karti hai, to hum BUY opportunity dekhne ki koshish karenge. To humein in supports aur resistances par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Neeche ek picture attach karunga jahan base area dikhai de raha hai, aur yeh mera journal update hai is weekend ke liye, umeed hai yeh aapke liye useful hoga. Agar hum aakhri kuch dino ka jaayza lein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke GOLD ne asal mein sirf upar aur neeche alternate movements ki hain. Agar hum ise bade timeframe, jaise ke daily TF, par dekhen, to yeh movement zyadatar sideways hi lagti hai. Lekin agar hum chhote timeframe, jaise H1, par switch karein, to movement kaafi interesting nazar aati hai. Last Friday ko bhi, yeh resistance level price ko 2500 ke neeche push karne mein kaamyaab raha. Yeh resistance area GOLD ke future movements ko influence kar raha hai aur agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam rahti hai, to humein downward movement ke signals mil sakte hain.

Shuruati perhaps mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break ka anticipation tha, jo ke ho gaya hai. Dusre perhaps mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm bhi ho gaya hai. Magar, teesra perhaps, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi hua. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ke zaroorat hai.

Pehle humne hourly time frame discuss kiya, lekin ab daily chart par nazar dalte hain.

Daily time frame (D1) par, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko robust downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ki ummeed nahi thi, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ka signal hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka indication hai, aur gold market opening se decrease honay ke liye taiyar hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pahunch gayi aur upward adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur growth ke dauran red zone ko support level ke roop mein use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak rise karegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

H4 time frame par, gold bullish tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ne 2385 level par cross kiya, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye strong upward trend ko signal karta hai. Pichle kuch dinon ki market fluctuations ko bhool jaiye; gold kal 2457 level tak pohch gaya, jaisa maine anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, gold 2470 level ko test karne ke liye tayaar hai. Ek strong bullish trend aa raha hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone ke liye prepare kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying op

gold ke price action analysis ko review karte hain. Shuruati marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break hone ka andesha tha, jo ke ab ho chuka hai. Dusre marahil mein, yeh broken level test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin, teesre marahil, jo ke consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka nateeja abhi bhi faisla nahi hua, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy ab bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ko zaroori banata hai.
Humne pehle hourly time frame par discussion ki thi, lekin ab main daily chart dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent decline ka silsila shuru ho gaya, jo gold ko ek strong downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gaya. Channel ke lower limit ka aana mushkil lagta hai, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko darshata hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan mujhe rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed hai.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline indicate hota hai, aur gold market opening se decrease hone ka mumkin hai. 2353.39 par, price minimum TF tak pohnch gayi aur upar adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur red zone ko growth ke dauran support level ke tor par use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karega, red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak badhega, black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai

Friday ko, gold prices mein ek notable izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke doosre lagataar din ke liye positive trend continue kar raha tha. Yeh rise is speculation ki wajah se ho sakta hai ke Federal Reserve apni September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ka soch raha hai. Is ke natije mein, US Treasury bond yields aur US dollar dono ne decline kiya, jo gold ke liye ek boost ban gaya. Trading day ke end par, XAU/USD (gold against the US dollar) pair $2,507 par value tha.
Support from ETFs:

Gold prices ko support mil raha hai sustained inflows ki wajah se gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mein. July ne doosre lagataar mahine ke liye aise inflows record kiye, jo ke zyadatar European aur Asian funds se driven the. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki semi-annual testimony ke baad, investors ab keenly US inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke June ka hoga aur Thursday ko announce kiya jayega. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data gold ke future trajectory ka taayun karne mein crucial role play karenge.

Fed Chair's Remarks:

Apni testimony ke dauran US House of Representatives ke samne, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni pehle ki gayi comments ko Senate committee ke samne dohraya. Unho ne inflation ko manage karne mein ki gayi progress ka izhar kiya, magar caution ke sath kaha ke interest rates kam karna 2% inflation target achieve karne ki guarantee nahi hai.

Risk of Downward Reversal:

Gold prices ke liye ek potential risk hai downward reversal ka agar price pattern ka neckline $2,279 se neeche break kar jata hai. Is scenario mein, ek conservative target $2,541 par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke pattern ke height se extrapolated downward ratio 0.618 par based hai. Filhal, trend short aur medium term mein sideways nazar aata hai, jab ke long-term outlook gold ke liye bullish hai.

Moving Average aur Market Outlook:

Precious metal ke liye ek potential risk hai retracement ka 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak, jo ke abhi $2,431 par positioned hai. Magar, June 27 ko observed downward trendline ke upar breakout ne market outlook ko zyadatar bullish stance mein shift kar diya hai.

Summary mein, jab ke gold prices upward trajectory par hain mukhtalif factors ki wajah se, jin mein Federal Reserve speculation aur ETF inflows shamil hain, lekin caution ko exercise karna zaroori hai kyun ke potential downward reversals aur corrections ab bhi market ko impact kar sakti hain.

Gold market kaafi interesting rahi hai Wednesday ko, jahan pe gold prices ne decline kiya, aur iski badi wajah US dollar ki mazid taqat thi. Yeh taqat Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad aayi, jisme unhone interest rates mein kami ke ishara diya. Is wajah se XAU/USD, jo ke gold price hai US dollar ke muqable, apne daily highs $2,529 se gir ke $2,504 par aagaya. Halaanki, gold prices $2,500 ke level ke upar hi rahe, jo ke ab bhi bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Magar US Treasury bond yields mein izafa aur dollar ki taqat se gold par kuch downward pressure bhi pada.
Reuters ke mutabiq, China ke recent gold imports, khaaskar North American funds se, ne overall bullish sentiment ko mazid barhawa diya. Iske ilawa, World Gold Council ne bataya ke pichle hafte gold funds mein significant increase hua hai. Powell ke comments, jo ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein diye gaye, ne market mein optimism ko barhaya hai, magar upcoming labor market data kaafi ahem hoga interest rate cuts ke waqt aur scale ko determine karne ke liye.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai. Yeh breakout ke guidance ke mutabiq, gold prices mein $60–$70 ka drop ho sakta hai, aur support around $2440/oz locate kiya gaya hai.

Friday ko, gold prices mein ek notable izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke doosre lagataar din ke liye positive trend continue kar raha tha. Yeh rise is speculation ki wajah se ho sakta hai ke Federal Reserve apni September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ka soch raha hai. Is ke natije mein, US Treasury bond yields aur US dollar dono ne decline kiya, jo gold ke liye ek boost ban gaya. Trading day ke end par, XAU/USD (gold against the US dollar) pair $2,507 par value tha. Support from ETFs:

Gold prices ko support mil raha hai sustained inflows ki wajah se gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mein. July ne doosre lagataar mahine ke liye aise inflows record kiye, jo ke zyadatar European aur Asian funds se driven the. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki semi-annual testimony ke baad, investors ab keenly US inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke June ka hoga aur Thursday ko announce kiya jayega. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data gold ke future trajectory ka taayun karne mein crucial role play karenge.

Fed Chair's Remarks:

Apni testimony ke dauran US House of Representatives ke samne, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni pehle ki gayi comments ko Senate committee ke samne dohraya. Unho ne inflation ko manage karne mein ki gayi progress ka izhar kiya, magar caution ke sath kaha ke interest rates kam karna 2% inflation target achieve karne ki guarantee nahi hai.

Risk of Downward Reversal:

Gold prices ke liye ek potential risk hai downward reversal ka agar price pattern ka neckline $2,279 se neeche break kar jata hai. Is scenario mein, ek conservative target $2,541 par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke pattern ke height se extrapolated downward ratio 0.618 par based hai. Filhal, trend short aur medium term mein sideways nazar aata hai, jab ke long-term outlook gold ke liye bullish hai.

Moving Average aur Market Outlook:

Precious metal ke liye ek potential risk hai retracement ka 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak, jo ke abhi $2,431 par positioned hai. Magar, June 27 ko observed downward trendline ke upar breakout ne market outlook ko zyadatar bullish stance mein shift kar diya hai.

Summary mein, jab ke gold prices upward trajectory par hain mukhtalif factors ki wajah se, jin mein Federal Reserve speculation aur ETF inflows shamil hain, lekin caution ko exercise karna zaroori hai kyun ke potential downward reversals aur corrections ab bhi market ko impact kar sakti hain.

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan