Gold

Gold




Jummah ke din sone ke liye, chhote uttar kheenche jane ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur dakshin ki taraf badhne lagi, pichle dainik nichle ke neeche ek puri baearish mombatti ban gayi. Pehle se, mujhe yeh pehchanna tha ke ek sudhaarne wala pullback ho sakta hai, aur uss surat mein main nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon support level par, jo meri nishaniyon ke mutabiq 2146.155 par sthit hai. Iss support level ke qareebi maqamat par maamla tabdeel karne ke do manazir hain. Pehla manzar ghatanayen mombatti ke bannay ka aur barhav ka hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam kare to, main umeed karta hoon ke keemat wapas resistance level par, jo 2222.915 par sthit hai, pohanchegi. Agar keemat is resistance level ke upar se ubhre, toh main umeed karta hoon ke ek aur uttar disha ka harkat hone ka, jo resistance level ke qareeb, jo 2300 par sthit hai, ek trade setup banne ka intezar hoga, jo agle rukh ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Chahe trade ho ya na ho, main yeh pehchanta hoon ke jab keemat kafi zyada uttar maqamat ki taraf badhti hai, toh dakshini pullbacks ban sakte hain, jo main ek global uttar trend ka hissa samajhta hoon, aur taaza barhav ko umeed karunga qareebi support levels se. Main isay istemaal karunga ke bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye. Ek doosra tajurbaa keemat ke support level tak aane par maamla, ek aisa mansooba hai jisme keemat is level ke neeche stabilize hoti hai aur aur dakshin ki taraf aur badhti hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam hota hai, toh main umeed karta hoon ke keemat support level tak badhegi, jo 2088.545 par sthit hai, ya phir support level tak jo 2062.310 par sthit hai. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals dhoondhna jaari rakhoonga, taake keemat ke faayde phir se shuru ho sakein. Chhoti baat mein, agle hafte main umeed karta hoon ke keemat qareebi support level par kaam karegi, aur uske baad, mojooda global uttar trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bullish signals dhoondhne ka irada rakhoonga. Utter barhav mein dobara.

Abhi gold chart par bohot tawajjo hai, khaaskar jab qeemat pichle Jumma ko 2166.50$ ke aaspaas thi. Technical indicators kuch ummed afroz isharaat bhej rahe hain, jo market ko madad kar sakte hain aur shayad urooj ki rah ko dobara shuru karsakte hain. Gold ka daam Monday ke early Asian trading hours mein mid-$2,100s mein qaim hai, jo thori isteqamat ki alamat hai. Aik ahem factor jo market ki feeling par asar daal raha hai, wo hai ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) agle saal darmiyani darjat kam karne ka irada kar rahi hai. Ye tawqat gold ke daam ko support karti hai, kyunke kam interest rates non-interest-bearing assets jaise ke gold ko investors ke liye zyada attract kar dete hain. Traders bhi US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ke intezaar mein hain chouthay quarter (Q4) ke liye, jo mulk ki ma'ashiyat ke haalat aur shayad gold ke daamon par asar daal sakta hai. Ab tak, gold ka daam din ke 0.15% upar hai, $2168 par trade ho raha hai. Ye harkatein market mein mojooda dynamics aur gold ke maqool-e-istiqamat ke hawale se mutasir hain. Mukhalif technical factors ke bais, hume is liye tajaweez hai ke hum intezar karein jab tak ke daam apni agle manzil ko wazeh tor par pehchan lein, 2166.50$ ke darje ke mutabiq is waqt ki haqeeqat ko tasdeeq ki buniyad par. Yaad rakha jana chahiye ke is level ke oopar ikhata hona daam ko iske asli bullish trend ko jari rakhne ki salahiyat ata karega aur agle musbat target 2222.86$ level par chalne ke liye mauqoof hoga; isay tor dene ki tasdeeq daam ko mazeed bearish correction tak pohancha degi, jiske agle target 2131.70$ hai. March ki meeting ke baad, Fed ne pichle haftay paanchwi musalsal meeting ke doran apna nishana dar rate 5.25% se 5.50% par barqarar rakha. 2024 mein, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne isharaat diye ke bank ke zyada tar interest rates teen martaba kam kar sakta hai, jo sone aur chandi jaise qeemati dhaaton ki investors ki talab ko barha sakta hai aur gold ke daam ko buland kar sakta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, investors ne 72% ke imkanat ke saath qadarat kiya ke Fed June ki meeting mein rate ko kam karne ka aghaz karega, jo ke rate faislay se pehle 65% thi.

GOLD


Main Musfirah gathering profile mein shippers aur middle people ka khush amdeed kehta hoon. Aaj main is mudda satoon ka tajziya karoonga ke GOLD ke qeemat ki progressi is mudda satoon mein. Is likhai ke doran, GOLD ka satoon 2164.86 par hai, aur aj ke din ke liye USD ka buland record (DXY) 107.40 hai. Harkat dar sarif is mudda satoon ke har 40 EMA Eham moving average ke neeche hai, isliye harkat dar sarif ka satoon ehsas karta hai ke ye satoon menfi hai. Maand midiyaa combination farq MACD oscillator pointer ek manfi nishan deta hai is waqt ke liye kyunki maand ki line, jo ke slow line bhi kahlati hai, zero line ke neeche hai, jo ke madhya line bhi kahlati hai. Pointer ke daaave ke mutabiq, GOLD satoon par manfi nazar aata hai. Pointer ke daaave ke mutabiq, agar aap period par nazar daalain to aap ko yaqeenan dekhai dega ke GOLD mein manfi trend hai. Kyunki moving averages aur MACD oscillator markers dikhate hain ke keemat kam hogi, main ye samajhta hoon ke ye mazeed giray gi is qareeb aane wale Bank of England Speaker Outside BOE MPC Part Catherine Mann ke taqreebon ke dauran. Bank of England (BOE) ki Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) mulk ki mukhya sood ki dar ko set karne ke liye vote karta hai aur unki jumhurriyat tijarat yaani mukhtalif maamlat mein mohtaat sood ki policy ke baray mein ishara deti hai. GOLD ke liye pehla rukawat darja ab 2184.74 hai, khasosi tehqiqat ke natayej ke mutabiq. Agla maqsad 2194.05 hai, aur agla 2207.14 hai jo ke ek mukhtasir tahqiqat ka sawal hai. Dosri taraf, GOLD ke liye bunyadi satah abhi tak jari hai jo tehqiqat ke natayej ke mutabiq hai, 2154.40 hai. Agla maqsad 2134.46 hai, aur teesra satah ehsas 2124.87 hai. Main ne is mudda satoon ke chand satah aur rukawat darjaat ko is satoon mein tasveer mein pesh kiya hai.

Gold Taqneeqi Waqt 1 Ghanta

Agar aap ne yeh soch rakha hai ke aane wale trend mein EUR/USD pair ka resistance level 2180 ka ek mansooba banayein, toh yeh ek tajziya ke liye behtareen faisla hai. Agar yeh mansooba theek tareeqay se implement kiya jaye, toh isse aapko mukhtalif harkaton ke doran aane wale southern movement ko bahaal karne mein madad mil sakti hai. Lekin isse pehle ke aap mansooba banayein, aapko kuch aham factors ko mad e nazar rakhna hoga.

Sab se pehle, aapko support levels par price ka girna ka tajziya karna hoga. Support levels ka girna ek aham signal ho sakta hai ke market mein bearish sentiment barh gaya hai aur future mein downward movement ka imkan hai. Isliye, 2180 ka resistance level set karne se pehle, aapko pichle support levels ki tafteesh karni chahiye aur unke girne ka pattern samajhna hoga.

Doosra, aapko global shumali hisse ka hissa samajhna bhi zaroori hai. Bahut se traders ko ye nahi pata hota ke global events aur macroeconomic factors kaise currencies aur commodities ke prices par asar daal sakte hain. Agar shumali hisse mein koi geopolitical tension ya economic instability hai, toh yeh EUR/USD pair ke price movements par asar daal sakta hai. Isliye, aapko shumali hisse ka hissa samajhna aur uske asar ko tajziya karna zaroori hai jab aap apne mansoobe ko design kar rahe hain.

Teesra, aapko future ki growth ki umeed ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai. Economic indicators aur forecasts ke through, aapko pata chal sakta hai ke aane wale dino mein EUR ya USD ki growth kaise ho sakti hai. Agar aapko lagta hai ke ek currency ki value mein tezi se izafa hone ka imkan hai, toh iska asar EUR/USD pair ke price par hoga. Isliye, future ki growth ko samajhna aur uske hisaab se apne mansoobe ko design karna zaroori hai.

Iske ilawa, technical aur fundamental analysis ka bhi istemal kiya jana chahiye. Technical analysis ke zariye aap current price movements ka tajziya kar sakte hain aur trend lines, moving averages, aur oscillators ka istemal kar ke future price movements ka andaza laga sakte hain. Fundamental analysis ke zariye aap economic indicators, central bank policies, aur global events ka tajziya kar sakte hain jo ke currencies ke prices par asar daalte hain.

Ek baar jab aapne in tamaam factors ka tajziya kar liya hai, aapko apna mansooba banane ke liye tayyar hai. Aapko 2180 ke resistance level par entry aur exit points tay karna hoga, stop-loss orders lagana hoga, aur risk management ke tareeqon ko samajhna hoga. Jab aap apne mansoobe ko implement karte hain, toh yaad rakhein ke market mein kabhi bhi uncertainty hoti hai, aur aapko apne strategy ko adjust karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Aakhri alfaz mein, agar aapne tamaam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue apna mansooba banaya hai, toh aapko zyada kamiyabi ka imkan hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke trading mein risk hota hai, aur kisi bhi waqt aapko apne positions ko monitor karte rehna chahiye. Agar aapne sahi tajziya kiya aur theek tareeqay se apna mansooba implement kiya, toh aapko mukhtalif harkaton ke doran bhi kamiyabi ka silsila dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Jumma ko sonay ke liye, chhote shumali dhakel ke baad, keemat mud gayi aur dakshin ki taraf dabaai, pichle daily low ke neeche ek poora bearish mombati banaai. Stabilize ho sakti hai. Pehle, mujhe ye maloom hai ke ek correctiveness dhakel ho sakta hai, aur uss case mein main support level ko monitor karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke meri nishaaniyon ke mutaabiq 2146.155 par mojood hai. Iss support level ke qareeb situation ka vikas karne ke liye do manzirein hain. Pehli manzirah jor ki mombati banaane aur izaafa se jura hua hai. Agar yeh mansuba kaam kare, toh main umeed karta hoon ke keemat wapas resistance level tak pahunche, jo ke 2222.915 par mojood hai. Agar keemat iss resistance level ke oopar se bahal hoti hai, toh main mazeed shumali harkat ka intizaar karta hoon, jo ke 2300 par mojood hai. Iss resistance level ke qareeb, mujhe ek trade setup ka banne ka intizaar hai, jo ke mazeed raah ka tay karna mein madad karega. Chahe trade ho ya na ho, mujhe maloom hai ke jab keemat ek zyada shumali maqsood ki taraf jaati hai, toh shumali dhakel bana sakte hain, jo ke main ek global shumali trend ka hissa samajhta hoon, qareebi support levels se dobaara izaafa ki umeed hai. Main isay bullish signals talash karne ke liye istemal karunga. Ek alternative option ke liye keemat ke action par 2146.155 support level tak, ek mansuba hai jisme keemat iss level ke neeche stable hoti hai aur mazeed dakshin ki taraf chalti hai. Agar yeh mansuba kaam kiya jaata hai, toh main umeed karta hoon ke keemat support level par pahunchegi, jo ke 2088.545 par mojood hai, ya phir support level, jo ke 2062.310 par mojood hai. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals talash karta rahunga, umeed hai ke keemat ke faida jaari rahe. Toh, aane waale hafte mein main yeh maan leta hoon ke keemat qareebi support level par kaam karegi, aur phir, mojooda global shumali trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, main bullish signals talash karunga. Uparward price movement ka dobaara shuru hona.

Main Musfirah ke dosto aur sathiyo ko khush amdeed kehta hoon. Aaj hum GOLD ke qeemat ki progressi par guftagu karenge aur is mudda satoon ka tajziya karenge. GOLD ka satoon aaj 2164.86 par hai, jabke aaj ka USD ka buland record (DXY) 107.40 hai. Harkat dar sarif is mudda satoon ke har 40 EMA Eham moving average ke neeche hai, iska matlab hai ke satoon ki manfi harkat jaari hai.GOLD, jise sadiyon se insan ki qeemat dar asaas samjha gaya hai, ab is mudda satoon mein apne manfi safar par jaari hai. USD ka buland record DXY 107.40 ke qareeb hai, jo ke GOLD ke qeemat par asar daal sakta hai. Ye buland record dollar ki taqat ko darust karta hai, jo GOLD ki qeemat ko nicha girane mein madadgar ho sakta hai.



Harkat dar sarif ke mutabiq, GOLD ka satoon har 40 EMA Eham moving average ke neeche hai, jo ke iski manfi harkat ko darust karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke GOLD ki qeemat gir rahi hai aur is waqt is mein nuqsan ki taraf ka trend hai. Is mudda satoon mein middle people aur shippers ko saavdhan rehna chahiye, kyun ke GOLD ki qeemat gir rahi hai aur is trend ka khatra hai ke ye mazeed niche gir sakta hai. GOLD ki qeemat ki manfi progressi se maand ka aghaz hua hai. Is mudda satoon mein saavdhan aur chaukanna rehna zaroori hai, kyun ke dollar ki taqat aur GOLD ke sath hone wale taaluqat iska asar daal rahe hain. Is douran, sambhal kar raftar par amal karna zaroori hai takay nuqsan se bacha ja sake. Toh, Musfirah ke dosto aur sathiyo, GOLD ke is manfi trend par nazar rakhna ahem hai aur saavdhan rehna zaroori hai. Is mudda satoon mein mehnat aur hosla se kaam karke, hum is challenge ka samna kar sakte hain aur apni maand ko barqarar rakh sakte hain. Bas, saavdhan aur chaukanna rehna hi zaroori hai.

FOMC ka izhar hota hai to traders ke liye behtareen waqt shuru ho jata hai, khaaskar jab aap kisi mukhtalif raqam par tawajjuh dete hain. Main ney bhi umeed ki thi ke gold ke daam 2145 tak neeche jayenge. Lekin, market ne mere pattern ko follow nahi kiya aur upar ki taraf chalne laga. Ab lagta hai ke price 2200 ko touch karne wala hai. Ye fundamental reasons ki wajah se upar ja raha hai. Hum ab technical setup ka intezaar karenge. Pichle trading haftay mein, gold ke daam tezi se girne shuru hue, lekin baad mein active izafa ke baad, daam phir se barhne lage. Aur is haftay ke shuru se, daam kamiyabi se 2183 ke level tak pohanch gaye hain. Ye badalte daam aur market ke mizajat ka asal wajah FOMC ka izhar hai. Jab ye ahem karobaar announce hota hai, to market ki harkatein puri tarah se tabdeel ho jati hain. Is waqt, gold ka daam barh raha hai, jo ke kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai jaise ke dollar ki kamzori, geo-political tensions, ya phir demand aur supply ke changes.



Lekin, humein ab technical analysis par focus karna chahiye. Market ki trend ko samajhne ke liye, humein chart patterns aur technical indicators ka istemal karna chahiye. Is se hume behtar idea milta hai ke market ka agla kadam kya ho sakta hai.Is waqt, gold ke daam mein tezi ka trend nazar araha hai, lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh trend barqarar rahe. Kuch muddat ke liye, ye tezi mein reh sakta hai, lekin baad mein daam neeche bhi aa sakta hai. Isi liye, traders ko savdhaan rehna chahiye aur market ke har pahlu ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue apne positions ko manage karna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono hi zaroori hain, taake aap sahi faislay kar sakein aur nuksan se bach sakein.

Sona

Sona ab ek aur chalaki ka pradarshan kar raha hai, jo asal mein hamare uchcha, saaf aur visual grahan ke liye maine use "Picasso" ki tarah draw kiya hai, shayad main is par sab kuch tafseel se tajziya karne ki koshish karunga, sab se pehle, haqeeqati treder ka "dhoka" "neeche hua, jahan raat ke trading ko khola gaya, ye kaafi ahem hai, isliye main sochta hoon ki kai treder ne is par bikri mein dakhil hone ka faisla kiya hai, lekin tasveer bilkul ulta bann gayi, aur aik aur raqam daar rah gayi, iske baad humne impulse ko mukammal kar diya, aur keemat ko pehle ke oonchi tak le gaye, turant, iske alawa, humne ek bullish do-fractal mombati par emphasis di, jo ke indicator ne bas blue mein dikhaya tha, iske baad humne munfasil ki adhayegi ki, tawajjo dein, main literal taur par dikha raha hoon ke sab kuch kaise hua, aur ab mujhe lagta hai ke waqt aa gaya hai ke mukhya cheez ko amal mein lane ka, Fibonacci grid niyantrit hai, kyunke ab ek sau ko todne ki koshish aur jaari rakhne ki koshish hai, agar aisi ek dhaancha tayyar hai, toh hamari

Iske alawa, humein Keemat ke aghaz ke mouqein ko shanakht karne aur saturation ke darjat tay karne ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par tawajjo deni chahiye. Har mumkin mouqe ke apne khatre ke hudood ka iqraar karne ke bawajood, hum ko qayamati faiz mein mazeed izafa ka muntazir hona qabil-e-bahes hai. Agle hafte ke ibtida mein faiz mein mazeed izafa ke kai mouqein se, kam se kam humare liye kuch ahem manazir hain, kyun ke humein bhi ye dekhna chahiye ke keemat ki haliyat kitni mazboot hogi, jaise hi hum haqeeqati halat dekhte hain, jab hum dhaanchon ko mazeed wazeh hone ki shartein par tawajjo dete hain, kyun ke agar shuru se hum dekhte hain ke maujooda maqam ko hadaf tak pohanchane ke liye istemal kiya jayega to phir wo arz-e-tarqi jo ho rahi hai wakai ausat se ooper hoti hai aur hum is mumkinat ko ab bhi tawajjo de sakte hain ek mazboot ishaara ke zor par ek mombati mombati ke jismani samay pe ya haftawar ke liye taqatwar khareed rukh ke sath taqatwar, ta k hum hamesha

Sona ki Taaza Kaari


Gold ka daam aakhri samay mein tezi
se barh raha hai, aur iski wajah mein kuch fundamental factors shamil hain. Is waqt, market mein gold ki qeemat mein izafa dekha ja raha hai, jo ke kai mukhtalif wajahon se hosakta hai. Pichle trading haftay mein, gold ke daam mein girawat dekhi gayi thi, lekin baad mein active izafa ke baad, daam phir se barhne lage. Aur is haftay ke shuru se, daam kamiyabi se 2180 ke level tak pohanch gaye hain.

Is dauran, gold ke daam mein tabdiliyon ka asal sabab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka izhar hai. FOMC, jo ke amooman Federal Reserve ke meetings mein hota hai, ahem karobar announce karta hai aur iska asar market par gehra hota hai. FOMC ke announcements se market ki harkatein puri tarah se tabdeel ho jati hain aur is baar bhi gold ke daamon par iska asar dekha ja raha hai.

Ek mukhtalif fundamental wajah jo gold ke daamon ko barhne mein madad kar rahi hai, dollar ki kamzori hai. Dollar ki kamzori ka sabab ho sakta hai mukhtalif economic indicators ka naqal, jaise ke GDP, employment data, ya phir interest rates. Jab dollar kamzor hota hai, log gold jaise safe haven assets ki taraf rujoo karte hain, jo unki investments ko mehfooz rakhta hai.

Geo-political tensions bhi gold ke daamon mein izafa ka sabab ban sakte hain. Jab international relations mein kisi bhi qisam ka tension hota hai, log gold ko safe haven asset ke tor par dekhte hain aur is mein apni investments ko surakshit mehsoos karte hain. Isi tarah, agar kisi khas mulk ya region mein geo-political tensions barh jayein, to iska asar gold ke daamon par mehsoos hota hai.

Demand aur supply ke tabdiliyon ka bhi asar gold ke daamon par hota hai. Gold ki qeemat mein izafa dekhne ka ek sabab ho sakta hai zyada se zyada demand aur kam supply. Jab market mein demand zyada hoti hai aur supply kam hoti hai, to qeemat mein izafa hota hai. Isi tarah, supply mein kami ya phir demand mein izafa bhi gold ke daamon ko barhne ki taraf mutasir kar sakta hai.

Overall, gold ke daamon mein izafa ka sabab ek muddat se aane wale FOMC ka izhar hai, sath hi dollar ki kamzori, geo-political tensions, aur demand aur supply ke tabdiliyon ka bhi asar ho sakta hai. Is waqt, gold investors ko market ke mizajat par nazar rakhna zaroori hai aur unhein apni trading strategies ko adjust karne ki zaroorat hai taake wo market ki tabdiliyon ka faida utha sakein.

Gold ka H1 timeframe ka analysis:

Agar rate 2177 range tak barh jaye to ye significant hoga, aur humein wahan ek strong position mil sakta hai. Growth thodi kam ho jayegi lekin fir bhi hoga. 2176 range se breakout aur uske upar merge hona ek achha reason hoga buying ke liye. Aise situations mein, jab bhi strong corrective pullback hota hai, tab favourable prices par buy karna best hota hai. US session ke doran chhote nuksan hone ke bawajood, US economy 2162 ke upar grow karna chahiye. Local 2155 low ka breach aur consolidation hone par rates aur bhi nichayenge. Local top range 2158 mein break out hoga, aur humein uske upar ek strong position milegi, jo buying ke liye ek achha reason hai. Agar 2152 levels par local maximum breakdown milta hai to ye ek achha reason hoga buy karne ka. Agar 2158 range mein false breakout hua to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. US session ke doran gold mein southward correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai, phir sustained gains aane ke chances hai. Local top range 2163 mein break out hoga to aur bhi buying hoga. Ye background abhi ke liye hai, lekin hum 2142 range se breakout aur uske neeche merge ho sakte hain.







Gold ka H-4 timeframe ka analysis:

H4 timeframe mein bearish inside bar pattern bana hai, jo all-time high aur last teen swing highs ke beech mein hai. Iska matlab hai ki resistance zone around 2177 structural condition se break ho chuka hai. Iske current price ke neeche do naye demand zones hain, ek weekly support 2180 ke thoda upar aur ek fresh order block zone monthly support 2165 ke upar bani hai. Current price ke upar ek fresh order block zone hai jo structure break hone se pehle bani hai 2160.00 range mein. Abhi mujhe realize hua hai ki price ne fir se is timeframe mein ek inside bar pattern banaya hai (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak), isliye mein pehle wait karunga, inside bar pattern se bahar aane ka wait karunga, phir setup search karunga buy ya sell karne ke liye jab price atleast mother bar candle ke length tak move up ya down ho jaye.

Gold



Aaj sonay ke liye, market bina kisi rukawat ke khula; daam asian session mein northward adjust hua, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke southward movement jari reh sakta hai aur daam qareebi madad ki satah par kaam karega, jo ke meri nishano ke mutabiq 2146.155 par hai. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kai baar kaha hai, is madad ki satah ke qareebi halat ko barqarar karne ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar ek bullish candlestick banane aur daam ki izafat ko dobara shuru karne se jura hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main daam ko resistance level par wapas ane ki umeed rakhta hoon, jo ke 2222.915 par hai. Agar daam is resistance level ke upar se phir se ubharti hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke aur upar ka rukh hoga, jo ke 2300 par hai. TRADE KI TARAF Se to, daam ko zaroor upar ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai, lekin yahan par aap ko halat par nazar rakhni hogi aur sab kuch khabron par depend karega jab daam upar jayega. Kaisa background add hoga aur daam ka kis tarah se react hoga? Designated Far North Targets. 2146.155 madad ki satah tak pohanchne par daam ke action ke liye ek alternative plan yeh ho sakta hai ke daam is satah ke neeche stabalize ho jaye aur aur southward move kare. Agar yeh plan barqarar hota hai, to main daam ko support level par todne ka wait karta hoon, jo ke 2088.545 par hai, ya phir support level par, jo ke 2062.310 par hai. Main is madad ki satah ke qareeb bullish signals ko dhoondhta rahunga, daam ka upar ki taraf rukh dobara shuru hone ka intezar karte hue. Sum it up karne ke liye, aaj ke daam mein correction ka hissa ke tor par southward move jari reh sakta hai, lekin qareebi madad ki satah ke qareeb, naye ubhar ki umeed rakhein. Bullish signals ko dhoondhte rahenge. Global North Trend.

Gold (XAU/USD) ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Gold ke daamon ne pichle trading haftay mein girna band kar diya, jab woh 2216 tak pahunch gaye, aur phir girna band kiya aur uthne lage. Recovery ke shuru hone se ek lagataar uptrend shuru hua, jo ant mein ek target area ke qareeb 2170 level tak pahunch gaya, pichle haftay ke nuqsano ko zyada se zyada mita dete hue. Is doran, price chart supertrend red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke bechne walon ka control qaim hai. Sona ka price abhi bhi darmiyanay range mein hai. Agar price 2185 level ke upar break hoti hai aur is level se paanch candles se zyada band hoti hai, toh hamara agla target 2245 par hoga. Agar price is level ke neeche rahti hai, toh agle mahine tak iske broken resistance level pips ko poora karne ke liye gir jayegi. Uske baad, hum sonay ka price 2090 aur 2080 ke aas paas dekhein ge. Magar, hum ek ache setup ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Pichle haftay, isne ek bullishness dikhayi thi, phir uske chances upside down jaane ke hain.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Prices abhi haftay ke highs ke kafi oopar hain. Mool support areas 2200 levels ke neeche jaate hue dabaav mein aaye aur zameen hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin ant mein ek uptrend mein barkarar rahe. Is tarah, hum keh sakte hain ke peechla correction mukammal ho gaya hai, aur price phir se mool trend ke andar viksit hone laga hai. Iska tasdeeq 2190 level ke area mein local corrections se ho sakti hai, jahan mool support zone ki sima hai. Is level se bounce ke baad ek retest ek aur oonchaai ki taraf ka mauka dega, jiska target 2210 aur 2216 ke areas hain.

Mausool ko current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal 2145 ke support ke upar aur reversal level ke neeche break hone par milay ga. Chart neeche dekhein:

H-4 Timeframe Analysis

• Sonay ki keemat 2200 se neeche gir gayi ek naye mahine ke liye.
• Sonay ki giravat ka koi rukh dikhaai nahi de raha, jabki Bollinger Bands ke phailav se zyada ghair muqarrar pan ka ishaara hai.
• Momentum indicator oversold zone mein gehra ja raha hai, jisse ek bullish rebound ki sambhavna hai.

4-hour chart par, sonay ki keemat mein taqatwar downtrend hai, 50 aur 200 maheene ke moving averages ke upar chadhti hui aur mansoobi 2170 ke nishaan ke neeche gir rahi hai. Magar, chhote muddati oscillators abhi batate hain ki pullback ka anjaam nazdeek ho sakta hai. Isliye, ek upward rebound ki sambhavna ko nakaaraatmak nahi kiya ja sakta.

Agar bechnay walay keemat ko kam karna chahain, toh pehla level support 2133 lows mein mil sakta hai. Is level ko qaim na karne ki surat mein, 2110 support ki taraf ja sakta hai. Mazeed giravat 2100 lows par khatam ho sakti hai. Warna, agle rally ka pehle rukh September 2087 support level par thahar sakta hai, jo mustaqbil mein ek resistance level ban sakta hai. Is ilaake ke bahar, keemat ko 2110 resistance se pehle 2133 resistance tak ka saamna kar sakta hai. Aam taur par, sonay ke saamne aage ke bechne wale dabaav ka saamna hai, jo keemat ke mazeed rukh ke liye zimmedaar hai.



^{Daily Timeframe Analysis}

Daily ke time frame ke mutabiq, sonay ki keemat ke trend ka aam tor par bullish hai, aur pehla trend toot tab hogi jab support levels $2,100 aur $2,050 per ounce ki taraf jaayegi. Sonay ke liye resistance lagbhag $2,200 aur uske upar hai, jo keemat ke sabhi technical indicators mein mazboot kharidari ki saturation levels ka natija hai. Isliye, in pahadon par sonay ki kharidari ka sochne par ihtiyaat aur acchi nigrani ka istemal kiya jaana chahiye. Main ummeed karta hoon ki sonay ki keemat is haftay tight range mein trade karegi jab tak market aur dollar ki qeemat Fed ki pasandeeda miqdaar ehsaas karne par na react karein.

Jab ek treder raat ke trading ko khole, wo aksar tajziya karta hai ke kis raaste par jaana hai. Lekin, kuch raat aise hoti hain jab har cheez ulta ho jaati hai. Ye wahi raat thi jab Sona ka asli dhoka hua. Main is pradarshan ko ek aise Picasso ki tasveer ki tarah sochta hoon, jahan har kona, har roshni, aur har rang kuch keh raha hai. Trederon ke liye, raat ke trading ke khole jaane ki ghadi kaafi ahem hoti hai. Is waqt, unka faisla le sakta hai ke kis disha mein jaana hai. Lekin is raat, sab kuch ulta ho gaya. Tasveer jo shayad uchcha aur saaf honi chahiye thi, wohi ulta ho gayi. Aur jo trederon ne socha tha ke unka faida hoga, wohi nuqsan ban gaya.
Impulse ka istemal ek aham hissa hai trederon ke liye. Ye unhein unki disha mein madad karta hai, lekin is raat, yeh impulse unko galat raaste par le gaya. Sona ne is impulse ko mukammal kar diya, lekin uska asar ulta ho gaya. Uski keemat gir gayi jab ke humein umeed thi ke wo oonchi jaayegi.



Is ulte paristhiti mein, ek bullish do-fractal mombati nazar aati hai. Ye mombati wahi raasta dikha rahi hai jo trederon ko umeed tha ke wo paayenge. Lekin asal mein, ye bhi sirf ek illusion hai. Indicator ne unhein galat disha mein le jaaya, aur unka vishwas tod diya. Ye raat trederon ke liye ek sabaq bharri misaal thi. Kabhi-kabhi, jo dikhayi deta hai wahi sach nahi hota. Sona ne ek tasveer banayi jismein sab kuch ulta tha, aur is raat ne un sab ko yeh sabaq sikhaya ke kabhi-kabhi, visual grahan bhi dhoka de sakta hai. Is raat ka tajziya karte hue, yeh sabak sabhi trederon ke liye ahem hai. Visual grahan aur indicators ke peeche chhupi haqeeqat ko samajhna zaroori hai, taake galat raaste par na chalein. Is raat ki Picasso ki tasveer ne sab ko yeh yaad dilaaya ke har raat alag hoti hai, aur har raat ek nayi sikh seekhne ka mauka deti hai.

Abhi gold ka chart bohot tawajjo pa raha hai, khaaskar jab pichle Jumma ko qeemat 2166.50$ ke aaspaas thi. Technical indicators kuch ummed afroz isharaat bhej rahe hain, jo market ko madad kar sakte hain aur shayad urooj ki rah ko dobara shuru karsakte hain. Gold ka daam Monday ke early Asian trading hours mein mid-$2,100s mein qaim hai, jo thori isteqamat ki alamat hai. Aik ahem factor jo market ki feeling par asar daal raha hai, wo hai ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) agle saal darmiyani darjat kam karne ka irada kar rahi hai. Ye tawqat gold ke daam ko support karti hai, kyunke kam interest rates non-interest-bearing assets jaise ke gold ko investors ke liye zyada attract kar dete hain. Traders bhi US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ke intezaar mein hain. Gold ke recent fluctuations ne traders ko tawajjo dilai hai kyunke iska daam ab mid-$2,100s mein hai, indicating stability. Ye stability investors ko aik sense of security deti hai, especially considering the potential decrease in interest rates by the Fed in the coming year.



Market analysts ka kehna hai ke gold ke daam par asar daalne wale factors mein se ek US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Agar interest rates kam hote hain, toh gold jaise assets ki demand barh jaati hai, kyunke investors ko alternate income sources ki talaash hoti hai. Traders ab US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ka intezar kar rahe hain taake unhein market ki direction ka pata chal sake. Agar GDP figures achi aaye aur economic growth ka indication ho, toh gold ke daam mein girawat dekhne ki ummeed hai. Lekin, agar figures kam hote hain, toh gold aur doosre safe haven assets ki demand barh sakti hai.
Overall, gold ke daam aur market sentiment ke darmiyan mazboot taalluqat hain aur traders ki tawajjo US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur economic indicators par hai. Ye sab factors mil kar gold market ke future ke liye crucial hain aur traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye.