USD/JPY Analysis
Currency pair abhi kaafi zyada girawat ka samna kar raha hai, recently 1.13% se zyada gir chuka hai aur is hafte mein 2% se bhi zyada gir gaya hai. Filhal 144.21 par trade kar raha hai, aur yeh pair key support levels ke neeche struggle kar raha hai, jo aage aur zyada nuqsan ka raasta khol raha hai. Yeh downward trend market expectations aur uncertainty ko zyada izhaar karta hai.
Monetary Policy Divergence aur Political Developments ka USD/JPY par Asar
USD/JPY movement ke liye ek aham factor hai U.S. aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ki mukhtalif raayein. Bank of Japan (BoJ) kaafi ummeed hai ke apne bond-buying program ko kam karegi aur shayad interest rates bhi barha de. Doosri taraf, U.S. Federal Reserve ka September mein policy-easing cycle shuru karna expect kiya ja raha hai, aur markets ke mutabiq saal ke end tak teen rate cuts ki ummeed hai. Yeh divergence recent U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ke release se barh gayi hai, jo improving inflationary environment ko highlight karta hai aur U.S. Dollar (USD) bulls ko defensive position par le aata hai.
Political backdrop bhi important hai, media reports ke mutabiq Vice President Kamala Harris ne 1,976 Democratic delegates secure kiye hain, jo unhein November ki Presidential Election ke liye presumptive nominee banaata hai. Financial realm mein, JP Morgan ko July ya 2024 ke dauran BoJ se koi rate hikes ki umeed nahi hai. Unka outlook yeh kehta hai ke current economic indicators ke madde nazar Yen ke liye bullish stance premature hai.
USD/JPY ke Technical Support aur Resistance Levels
USD/JPY pair ke lower boundary of descending channel ko test karne ke imkaan hai, jo 143.50 ke qareeb hai, aur shayad 141.86 level tak aur girawat ho. Support psychological mark 141.00 par mil sakta hai. Resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 145.56 par hai, aur descending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 146.60 par dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke bearish sentiment ko Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke decisive breach se aur amplify kiya gaya hai, jo prices ke girne ka sabab bana. Yeh technical indicator ek strong bearish trend ka signal de raha hai, aur sellers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bhi is bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai, filhal oversold levels ke qareeb hai.
Currency pair abhi kaafi zyada girawat ka samna kar raha hai, recently 1.13% se zyada gir chuka hai aur is hafte mein 2% se bhi zyada gir gaya hai. Filhal 144.21 par trade kar raha hai, aur yeh pair key support levels ke neeche struggle kar raha hai, jo aage aur zyada nuqsan ka raasta khol raha hai. Yeh downward trend market expectations aur uncertainty ko zyada izhaar karta hai.
Monetary Policy Divergence aur Political Developments ka USD/JPY par Asar
USD/JPY movement ke liye ek aham factor hai U.S. aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ki mukhtalif raayein. Bank of Japan (BoJ) kaafi ummeed hai ke apne bond-buying program ko kam karegi aur shayad interest rates bhi barha de. Doosri taraf, U.S. Federal Reserve ka September mein policy-easing cycle shuru karna expect kiya ja raha hai, aur markets ke mutabiq saal ke end tak teen rate cuts ki ummeed hai. Yeh divergence recent U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ke release se barh gayi hai, jo improving inflationary environment ko highlight karta hai aur U.S. Dollar (USD) bulls ko defensive position par le aata hai.
Political backdrop bhi important hai, media reports ke mutabiq Vice President Kamala Harris ne 1,976 Democratic delegates secure kiye hain, jo unhein November ki Presidential Election ke liye presumptive nominee banaata hai. Financial realm mein, JP Morgan ko July ya 2024 ke dauran BoJ se koi rate hikes ki umeed nahi hai. Unka outlook yeh kehta hai ke current economic indicators ke madde nazar Yen ke liye bullish stance premature hai.
USD/JPY ke Technical Support aur Resistance Levels
USD/JPY pair ke lower boundary of descending channel ko test karne ke imkaan hai, jo 143.50 ke qareeb hai, aur shayad 141.86 level tak aur girawat ho. Support psychological mark 141.00 par mil sakta hai. Resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 145.56 par hai, aur descending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 146.60 par dekha ja sakta hai.
Pair ke bearish sentiment ko Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke decisive breach se aur amplify kiya gaya hai, jo prices ke girne ka sabab bana. Yeh technical indicator ek strong bearish trend ka signal de raha hai, aur sellers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bhi is bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai, filhal oversold levels ke qareeb hai.
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