USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

movement ko mazeed barhawa dega Chaliye Price Action analysis (Trader pressure) ka istamal karte hain, Market trend me, lagta hai ke USDJPY ab bhi Bearish / Downtrend condition me hai, magar hamein trend reversal ko anticipate karna chahiye agar price Resistance area ke upar break through kar jaye aur price consolidation bhi ho. Candle history me, hum Sell entry opportunities dekh sakte hain kyun ke long term ab bhi Downtrend effect me hai, magar zyada objective hone ke liye, main buy ya sell entries ke liye analysis pesh karunga 4-hour chart par achi accumulation nazar aa rahi hai. Aur yeh accumulation north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ab tak, MACD par koi strong brake nahi hai aur movement ab bhi potential rakhti hai. Hum shayad pehle maximum se thoda zyada upar ja sakte hain aur phir aur nahi. Filhaal, is currency pair ka forecast karna kaafi mushkil hai, kyun ke movement ab tak planned direction me nahi ja rahi hai, aur priority ko is current vector ko di jani chahiye. Mere khayal me, main resistance level 160.9 hoga, is liye zaroori hai ke 159.61 mark ko overcome karein, 160.29 tak pohanchain, aur phir hi hum upward movement ka end dekhenge. Is vector me, aapko jaldi act karna chahiye, kyun ke weekly cycle ke end tak kam waqt reh gaya hai, aur current trend ko complete karna zaroori hai. Mere khayal me, increase ke liye entry ka price level 158.97 hoga, aur yeh ek optimal moment hoga long position open karne ka. Agar price action weekly pivot point se bounce kar sakta hai aur apne highest component tak pohanch sakta hai to yeh intense hoga. Iske ilawa, aap purchase bhi kar sakte hain agar price weekly support level 161.30 par bullish price action component ke top tak rebound kare jab price lower blue channel line se pohanchti hai. Sale current level par initiate ki ja sakti hai, stop loss level is haftay ke highest trading price se upar adjust kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level weekly pivot point se upar adjust kiya ja sakta

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka muzoo ho ga. Japanese yen kamzor hota ja raha hai jab ke US dollar ki taqat barh rahi hai, jis ki wajah se Treasury yields mein izafa hua hai. Japanese Prime Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi ne currency transactions ke hawale se tamam thekedar amal mein lana ka izhar kiya hai. Fed Chairman Goolsby ne zikr kiya ke US ki maeeshat 2% inflation achieve karne ke raste par nazar aati hai. Kal, USD/JPY pair 159.31 ke aas paas trade hua tha. Daily chart ki tashreeh se nazar ata hai ke bullish trend mein kamzori aa rahi hai jab ke pair ne ascending channel ke lower limit ko toor diya hai. USD/JPY pair ko shayad 159.01 ke psychological level ke qareebi support milay. Is level ke neeche girne se bearish sentiment mazboot ho sakti hai, jis se June ke low 158.56 ke qareeb phir se dekha ja sakta hai

Umdahar, nazdeeki resistance 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 159.83 par hai, phir ascending channel ke lower limit 159.96 par hai. Ascending channel mein wapas lautne se USD/JPY pair ke liye sentiment behtar ho sakta hai, jis se channel ke upper limit 163.21 ke qareeb target kiya ja sakta hai. Yen ke liye manazir abhi bhi naqabil-e-yaqeen hain. Is ke kamzori ne dollar ki taqat ke bawajood kamzor kiya hai. Agar statistics ka asar na hota to USD/JPY 162.1 ya 163.1 tak pahunch chuka hota. Japanese government ko tasalli ho ke inflation data ko manipulate kar ke yen ko mushkilat se bachaya gaya hai. Lekin jab statistics ke asar kam ho jayenge, bears ko tayyar hona chahiye ke woh aaghaazat mein izafa kar sakenge, aur pair 160-161 ki taraf laut sakta hai. Agar dollar taqatwar raha, to hum naye urooj dekh sakte hain

USD/JPY ka exchange rate is waqt kai aham factors say mutasir hai. Federal Reserve ne apne interest rate cycle ka peak pohanch gaya hai aur 2024 mein rates kam karne ka plan bana raha hai. Is kay baraks, Bank of Japan ka dovish stance hai aur unka monetary policy mein kisi bhi badi tabdeeli ka koi plan nahi hai. US ki strong economic performance, khas tor par employment aur GDP growth, USD ko support kar rahi hai, jabkay Japan ki economy kam growth aur inflation ke sath struggle kar rahi hai, jisse yen kamzor ho raha hai.
Geopolitical tensions, jin mein US-China relations aur Russia-Ukraine conflict shamil hain, safe-haven demand ko USD ke liye drive kar rahi hain, jo USD/JPY pair ko further impact kar rahi hain. Global trade dynamics, jaise supply chain disruptions aur trade alliances mein shifts, Japan ki economy ko negatively affect kar rahi hain, jo dollar ke muqable mein yen ko kamzor bana rahi hain. Market sentiment aur investor positioning mixed views dikhati hain USD/JPY par, significant trading activity ke sath cautious outlooks global uncertainties ke darmiyan

USD/JPY ne downward trend mein hai, teen mahine ke lowest point tak pohanch gaya hai Bank of Japan ke interest rate hike expectations ki wajah se. Technical indicators jaise moving averages sell trend suggest kar rahi hain, lekin oscillators buy trend dikhate hain, jo mixed signals create kar rahe hain. Four-hour chart par momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo potential pullback ko trendline tak 50% Fibonacci retracement level par dikhata hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh bearish setup ko invalidate kar sakta hai aur buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. Weekly analysis multi-month uptrend support mein break dikhata hai, jo deeper correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Key support levels 142.48 aur 140.05 hain, aur resistance 144.70 aur 147.45 par hai. Volume profile aur VWAP analysis strong support levels ko order flow software ke zariye identify karti hai, jo trade entries aur exits ke liye behtar timing mein madadgar hain. Traders ko upcoming economic events jaise US Non-Farm Payrolls aur ISM reports par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo market movements ko influence kar sakti hain. Market sentiment cautious hai, aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy aur US economic data ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai informed trading decisions ke liye

M30 ANALYSIS CHART Hello. Agar hum USD-JPY ke scenario ko mad e nazar rakhein, jo ke shayad uttar ki taraf ja sakta hai, to yeh bhi mumkin hai, aur aisa scenario is trading instrument par asaani se implement ho sakta hai. Agar market khulne ke baad hum yahan se seedha 158.56 ke accumulation tak barh jate hain, aur wahan se agar price niche jati hai aur 157.91 ka level price ko neeche jane nahi deta, to is surat mein 157.91 ke level se hum tezi se upar urh sakte hain, 160.39 ke mark tak jo ke accumulated volumes of money ka area hai. Agar market khulne ke baad USDJPY pair seedha niche jata hai, aur guzra hua price growth humein 157.91 ke important level tak le aaya hai, jo ke asal mein rebound level ho sakta hai, to is surat mein hum initial key mein 156.45 ke accumulation area tak niche ja sakte hain, is level ko test karne ke maqsad se, aur agar aisa sach mein hota hai, to 156.45 ke area mein humein ye samajh aa jayega ke humein yahan se aage kaise aur kidhar move karna chahiye. Jo sellers ko kuch aur figures ka decline provide karta hai; yeh 155.400 hai, aur lower border ko touch karne se buyers ko react karne ka mauka mila aur long positions open karne ka, upar jane ke maqsad se, broken support tak USD/JPY pair ne dikhaya hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, ek ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko break karte hue. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke qareeb hai, jo upar ki taraf momentum ka nuqsan bata raha hai. Pair ka immediate support psychologically significant 109.00 level ke aas paas hai, jahan se neeche break hone par zyada pronounced downward trend shuru ho sakta hai. Mukhalif taur par, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas 109.82 aur channel ke lower boundary 109.95 ke qareeb hai. Agar pair channel ke andar trading mein laut jaata hai, to bullish sentiment ko dubara bahaal ho sakta hai aur pair ko channel ke upper limit 113.20 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Jummah ko, USD/JPY currency pair mein ek bara girawat dekhi gayi, jahan US dollar 1.6% girkar New York trading mein 157.51 par close hua. Session ke aaghaz mein, yeh 157.30 tak gir gaya tha, jo is din ka sabse kam level tha. Yeh tez girawat us waqt ayi jab market reports yeh suggest kar rahi thi ke Japanese authorities ne forex market mein mudakhlat ki taake USD/JPY pair ke depreciation ko tez kiya ja sake. Yeh mudakhlat ek strategic move lagti thi taake US dollar ke weakness ka faida uthaya ja sake.
Market speculation yeh indicate karti hai ke Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ne USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karne ke liye step in kiya. Aisi mudakhlat aam tor par currency market ko stabilize karne aur specific economic objectives ko achieve karne ke liye ki jati hain. Is instance mein, mudakhlat ka maqsad Japanese yen ke rapid appreciation ko rokna tha jo US dollar ke against ho raha tha. Authorities ne shayad yeh dekha ke US dollar ka weakness ek mauka hai act karne ka, taake yen ke strength Japan ke export-driven economy ko negatively impact na kare

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhen, to agar hum current daily timeframe pattern ko dekhen, price ne waqai upwards correct kiya hai aur EMA 55 daily aur EMA 7 daily ko test karne ki potential rakhta hai. Yeh increase abhi bhi ek correction movement ke tor par dekhi ja rahi hai jo ke profit taking ke baad strong support 155.43 par pohanch gayi thi. Filhal, price EMA 55 daily resistance area mein consolidate karte hue dekhi ja rahi hai jahan agar sell option reject ho, to dobara liya ja sakta hai. Kai indicators, dono stochastic aur RSI, yeh dikhate hain ke woh abhi bhi upward correction pattern show kar rahe hain halaanke woh filhal strong sell area mein hain, jahan stochastic 80 area ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai jabke RSI 70 area ke qareeb hai. Kaafi patterns dekhne ke baad, sell setup ko dekhna future mein USDJPY pair par trade karne ka ek zyada attractive option lagta hai

### Bunyadi Tajziya
#### Japan ki Maashi Soorat-e-Haal

Agle hafte, Japan mein kuch ahem maashi events hain jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Sab se zyada ahem Bank of Japan ka faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai. BOJ ne hamesha ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai taake low inflation aur maashi growth ko barhawa diya ja sake. Agar is stance mein koi tabdeeli aati hai toh yen par bara asar par sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, nayi gharon ki construction ka data bhi release hoga, jo ke domestic housing market aur broader economic conditions ki health ke baray mein insights faraham karega.

#### America ki Maashi Indicators

America mein bhi kuch ahem maashi events scheduled hain. In mein shamil hain:
- **Consumer Confidence Index**: Yeh index is baat ko measure karta hai ke consumers economy aur apni personal financial situation ke baray mein kitne optimistic hain. Agar yeh index bara hota hai, toh yeh US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai kyun ke yeh economic growth ka indication hota hai.
- **Job Vacancies**: Job openings ka data labor market ki strength ko indicate kar sakta hai. Mazboot labor market dollar ke liye aam tor par positive hota hai.
- **Non-Agricultural Employment Change**: Isay Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) bhi kehte hain, yeh report maashi sehat ka bara indicator hoti hai. Mazboot job growth sehatmand economy ka ishaara hai aur dollar ki qeemat ko barha sakti hai.
- **Oil Reserves**: Oil reserves mein utar charhao dollar ko mutasir kar sakta hai, khas tor par is liye ke America bara oil producer hai.
- **Federal Reserve ke Faislay**: Fed ke monetary policy announcements, khas tor par faiz ki sharah mein koi tabdeeli, ahem hoti hai. Zyada faiz ki sharah foreign investment ko attract kar sakti hai, jo dollar ko mazboot banati hai.
- **Mukhtalif Maashi Indices**: Doosri indices aur reports bhi US economy ki performance ka snapshot provide karengi, jo USD/JPY movements ko mutasir karengi.

### Technical Tajziya

#### Key Levels

- **Mojooda Qeemat**: 153.745
- **Support Level**: 150.75
- **Resistance Level**: 155.60

H1 chart dekhta hai ke USD/JPY abhi steady phase mein hai, kuch bullish sentiment ke sath based on current market positioning of buyers. Magar, short-term downward movement indicated by the Instaforex tool suggest karta hai ke traders ko kuch volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

#### Expected Movements

Fundamental aur technical factors ke combination ko dekhte hue, yeh anticipated hai ke USD/JPY pair pehle ek dip experience karega. Yeh drop pair ko support level 150.75 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh movement negative economic data from the US ya unexpectedly positive data from Japan ki wajah se ho sakti hai.

Is support level ko test karne ke baad, ek rebound expected hai. Yeh upward correction pair ko resistance level 155.60 ki taraf push kar sakti hai. Positive economic indicators from the US ya BOJ ka dovish stance is recovery ko fuel kar sakte hain.

### Conclusion

Traders ko Japan aur US ke aanewale economic events ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye. BOJ ka faiz ki sharah ka faisla aur mukhtalif US economic reports shayad USD/JPY movements ka tone set karein. Short term mein, pehle ek potential dip 150.75 tak expect karein, followed by ek rebound 155.60 tak. Careful analysis aur strategic positioning is expected fluctuations ko navigate karne ke liye key hongi.

Happy trading, sab ko.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis and Forecast
USD/JPY joray ne haal he mein neechey ki janib rujhan dikhaya hai, khas taur par 154.80 ka level jo aik ahem support zone hai. Yeh hai tafseelat recent price action aur aindah ke movements ke barey mein.

#### Recent Price Action:

1. **Downward Movement:**
- USD/JPY joray ne neechey ki janib rujhan dikhaya hai, jo ke recent low 156.00 ke qareeb hai. Is trend ka barqarar rehna bearish momentum ke mazboot hone ka ishara hai.
- Mojuoda price action yeh dikhata hai ke yeh recent low se aage barh kar, ahem support level 154.80 ko target kar sakta hai.

2. **Support aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Immediate Resistance:** Pehla resistance level 156.00 ke qareeb hai, jo ke recent low hai jise jora upar jane mein kaamiyaab nahi ho saka.
- **Key Support:** 154.80 ka level bohat ahem hai, kyun ke yeh aik significant support zone hai. Tareekhi tor par, is level par khareedari ka interest dekha gaya hai aur yeh bearish momentum ke khatam hone ka point ho sakta hai.

3. **Moving Averages:**
- Jora apne 50-day moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazboot kar raha hai. Yeh moving average ab dynamic resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
- 200-day moving average mojuoda price se upar hai, jo ke long-term trend ke bearish hone ki taraf ishara karta hai.

4. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- RSI neechey ki janib ja raha hai lekin abhi oversold territory mein nahi aaya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke aur bhi downside ki gunjaish hai pehle ke koi potential reversal consider kiya jaye.

5. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):**
- MACD histogram ziada bearish momentum dikhata hai, MACD line signal line se kafi neeche hai. Yeh bearish sentiment aur aur girawat ka ehtemaal mazboot kar raha hai.

#### Fundamental Analysis:

1. **US Economic Data:**
- US se mixed economic data, jaise ke fluctuating GDP growth aur employment figures, ne US Dollar ki strength ke barey mein uncertainty paida ki hai. Yeh downward pressure ka aik sabab hai USD/JPY pair par.

2. **Central Bank Policies:**
- Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy jo ke bohot loose hai, Federal Reserve ki tightening stance se mukhalif hai. Lekin, agar BoJ policy mein koi tabdeeli hoti hai ya intervention ka ishara milta hai, toh yeh pair par significant impact dal sakta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Factors:**
- Jari geopolitcal tensions aur economic uncertainties, khas tor par global trade aur investment flows se mutaliq, bhi pair ki movements ko influence kar sakti hain.

#### Conclusion:

USD/JPY joray ka bearish trajectory barqarar rehne ka ehtemaal hai, key support level 154.80 aik ahem area hai jise closely dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level break hota hai toh aur girawat ka signal ho sakta hai, jise ziada selling pressure trigger ho sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh support hold karta hai, toh hum consolidation ya minor rebound dekh sakte hain pehle ke koi significant directional movement ho. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur latest updates par nazar rakhni chahiye.

USD/JPY ke prices ka gehra jaiza
USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis discuss karte hain. Thursday ko ek sell signal ka ehtimal tha, jo support 151.64 ko target kar raha tha. Yeh signal effective sabit hua aur us din baad mein price ne 154.63 resistance level tak rebound kiya. Friday ko, price 154.63 resistance se retreat kar ke 152.97 support tak pohoncha, aur din ko in levels ke beech close kiya. Monday ko, price mein thoda sa increase hua resistance ki taraf, lekin phir support tak pullback kiya, aur price 154.63 resistance aur 152.97 support range ke beech hi raha. Agar price 154.63 resistance ko tod ke is level se upar stay kare, to buy target 156.09 resistance hoga. Ulta, agar yeh 152.78 se neeche gire, to ehtimal hai ke yeh 151.64 support tak jaye.

Initially, maine continued decline anticipate ki thi, oversell nahi karne ka irada tha lekin existing downward momentum ko maintain rakhna tha jab tak koi nayi developments change ko justify na karein. Yeh expectation misleading sabit hui aur meri outlook ko affect kiya is currency pair ke liye. Lekin ab kuch signs hain jo potential continuation of the upward movement ko suggest kar rahe hain.

Halaanki H1 chart par yeh sirf ek correction hai, yeh meri strategy ko influence kar raha hai aur mujhe sell position consider karne mein zyada comfortable banata hai agar maine action lene ka faisla kiya. Mera expectation hai ke price 154.93 area tak barh sakta hai, jahan intraday resistance likely hai. Market mein pehle enter karna advantageous nahi hai. D1 chart par overall upward trend ke relative ek correction hai. Ab range ke andar trading appealing lag rahi hai, lower limit 151.89 aur upper boundary 154.56 ke upar sustain karna mushkil hai. Yeh false breakout ko suggest nahi kar raha, lekin further movement development ki kami ko indicate kar raha hai. Is analysis se critical support aur resistance levels aur anticipated price movements highlight hoti hain. Market ke current state ke mutabiq adapt hona aur emerging trends ko vigilant rahna effective trading ke liye essential hai.



**USD/JPY H-1 TIME FRAME CHART.**

Is post ko likhne ke waqt, USDJPY currency pair H1 chart par southern correction dikhata hai aur shayad 152.653 par hai. InstaForex indicator is platform par pehli hissa mein buyers ka thoda faida dikhata hai, jo 53.04% hai. Doosre hissa mein indicator southern trend dikhata hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya pasand aayega? Japan se important aur interesting news mein, maine Bank of Japan ka interest rate ka faisla aur consumer confidence index ko highlight kiya. Aur USA se: non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki tadaad mein tabdeeliyan, crude oil reserves, FOMC statement, Fed ka interest rate par faisla aur FOMC press conference. Toh hum fundamental aur technical analysis ke saath kaam kar rahe hain. Mukhtasir, aaj yeh pair humein kya pasand aayega? Mera yaqeen hai ke pair 153.10 ke level tak northern correction karega, aur phir shayad 150.40 tak south turn hoga. Sab ko good luck.

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**USD/JPY M-15 TIME FRAME CHART.**

USDJPY. Hello. Asal mein, agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh lagta hai seller ne pehle buyer ke wave ke aadhe mein entry ki, jo ek key area hai. Yahan, aisa lagta hai professional player apne range ko protect karega. Mein dekh raha hoon ke left side mein pehle buyer volume ke saath hai, toh aaj kuch hoga ya kam az kam northern direction mein jane ki koshish hogi. Abhi tak buyer ki renewal nahi hui hai, toh yeh mere thoughts hain. Buyer's zone 152.63-151.96 ka range hai. Jaldi Asia open hona chahiye, toh mein bulls se kuch reaction ka intezar kar raha hoon.

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(Note: The original message content was kept as close to the original context as possible.)

USD/JPY ki qeemat ka tajziya
Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki karkardagi ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Zawal ke ilawa mukhtalif scenarios ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Filhaal, ek upward movement sab se zyada mumkin nazar aata hai, jo kafi barhoti ke moqay faraham kar raha hai. Is imkaniat ke sath, hum 155.35 ka level hasil kar sakte hain, halan ke yeh abhi door hai. Jab 154.03 mark ko paar kar lenge, to hum agle level 154.67 ko target kar sakte hain. Jab ke izafa wazeh nazar aata hai, zawaal ka scenario zyada specific hona chahiye. Bearish side ki taraf ek correction 152.74 ke level tak la sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke liye ek behtareen buying opportunity pesh kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, 153.42 se ek bullish position enter karna bhi mad e nazar rakha ja sakta hai, kyun ke ek slight pullback ho sakta hai. Main aam tor par USD/JPY growth ko support karta hoon, magar ummed hai ke hum 156.55 tak pohonch sakte hain. Envelopes ke mutabiq, hourly scale par current growth cycle ka target resistance 155.29 hai. Agar USD/JPY pair current 154.65 level se is resistance tak barhta hai, to main selling ko rokne ka irada rakhta hoon aur support 152.21 ki taraf qeemat girne ka intezar karunga.

Main umeed karta hoon ke hafta bhar mein trading 152.22 aur 155.29 ke darmiyan rahegi. 152.15 support level se rebound karne par, growth ke liye aik khas candlestick formation nazar aayi hai, jisme hammer ya pin bar shamil hain. CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar jane ke liye tayar dikh raha hai, aur ek bullish divergence nazar aati hai. Closing prices ke mutabiq, main samajhta hoon ke qeemat horizontal resistance level 156.04 tak barh jaegi. Is higher level ke kareeb, lower periods of M15-M30 mein selling ke formations dekhe ja sakte hain, jahan support resistance mein badal sakti hai. Is point se rebound hone par, support level 152.15 ko paar karte hue ek poora zawaal mumkin hai. Aaj ki noteworthy news mein shamil hain: 16:00 Moscow time par Composite Housing Price Index in the USA, US Consumer Confidence Index from CB, aur USA mein labour market (JOLTS) mein khuli hui vacancies ki tadad.
nazariya share karna chahta hoon. Technical analysis shuru karne ke liye, mein chart pe ek indicator lagata hoon jo Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ka dynamics dikhata hai. Iska sabse bada faida ye hai ke ye market noise ko smooth kar deta hai. Heikin Ashi ka price bars banane ka ek khaas tareeqa hai jo price chart ke delay ko kaafi kam kar deta hai. Channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average) working chart pe support aur resistance lines draw karta hai aur current channel boundaries dikhata hai jiske andar instrument is waqt move kar raha hai. Aakhri oscillator jo transactions ko filt

USD/JPY Price Action Ko Samajhna

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke fluctuations ka tajziya karne par markaz rahegi. Hum ek technical study conduct karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke liye market entry ki strategy banayi ja sake. Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, main 153.01 support level se buying ka rukh karta hoon. Ye trade previous high 154.31 tak update hone tak likely ho sakta hai. Agar structure break hota hai aur ek reversal signal trigger hota hai, toh losses 152.71 par honi chahiye. Aage dekhte hue, broken 153.01 level se selling consider ki ja sakti hai.

W1-USD/JPY currency pair chart ka tajziya karte hain. Last trading week, maine kai technical factors ki waja se sellers ko favor kiya:

• MACD indicator pe ek significant bearish divergence zahir ho rahi thi.
• CCI indicator pe bhi ek chhoti bearish divergence dekhi gayi thi.
• Ek ascending wedge reversal pattern ka downward break bearish movement ko confirm karta hai.

Iske nateejay mein, price takreeban 591 points gir gayi week ke liye. Ye 152.17 ke main horizontal support level tak pohanchi, jahan selling positions close ki gayi aur buying positions open hui, jis se thodi price increase hui. Main anticipate karta hoon ke kuch growth ke baad decline hoga, jo ke last week ke low ko tod sakta hai aur wave bottom pe ek ascending line tak pohanch sakta hai, jahan se price rebound upward ho sakti hai. Main pehle half of the week mein initial increase aur phir decline aur uske baad fluctuations expect karta hoon.
USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bearish turn intazar mein hai kyunke price current local maximum ke qareeb hai, jahan four-hour stochastic overbought zone mein enter kar chuka hai. Given ke previous bearish attempt ne "Zigzag" indicator pe ek naya low mark nahi kiya, bulls current high ko mazeed push kar sakte hain, lekin H4 scale pe trend change abhi door hai. Is liye, USD/JPY price dubara 154 figure se girne ka imkaan hai, jo ke current minimum 152.21 ko retest karne aur mazeed downward move hone ka aim rakhta hai.

Aaj maine USD/JPY ka trade kiya. Kya tumne bhi join kiya? Maine ek short position li aur 154.04 par close kiya. Sab theek hai, main khush hoon kyunki is instrument ko trade karna kaafi satisfying hai. Chalo dekhte hain ke Ichimoku indicator USD/JPY ke liye kya dikhata hai: Daily chart par, lagta hai ke bears market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. March mein ek golden cross tha, jo ek buy signal tha jab Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen cross hue the. Lekin abhi recently July mein ek dead cross bana. Yeh interesting baat hai ke yeh cross ek zone mein hua jo typical nahi hai - Ichimoku Cloud ke upar, jo ek bullish market indicate karta hai. Lekin ab bears ne kuch ground gain kar liya hai, ek downward trend aa raha hai, halan ke yeh abhi tak intense nahi hai. Local Ichimoku Cloud ko break karne se moving average clear bearish trend mein shift ho gaya hai cloud ke neeche. Saath hi, Kijun-Sen local Cloud ke andar hai. Cloud abhi bullish aur inflated lagta hai, magar forecast bearish territory ki taraf shift indicate kar raha hai. Chikou-Span bhi indecisive lag raha hai, neeche shift kar gaya hai lekin abhi tak local Ichimoku Cloud ke andar hai, apne influence ko divide kar raha hai. Mera focus sirf Tenkan-Sen ke bottom ko test karne par nahi hai, balki is moving average ke upar consolidate karne par hai taake further growth anticipate ki ja sake.
Forecasts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ke restore hone ke acche imkaan hain. To ab northern direction mein trade karna profitable hai. Pair already 153.65 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, ek growth pattern form kar chuka hai. Is liye, humein expect karna chahiye ke quotes grow karein with a breakout of the 154.35 level, jo bullish sentiment ko strengthen karega aur pair ko aur upar le jaayega. Recommendations: pair ke growth ke trading options consider karein. Ek hi nuance hai ke selling mein enter karna abhi bohot unprofitable aur dangerous hai, kyunki price support zone of 153.49-152.00 se door nahi hai. Yahan bear ko break aur consolidate karna zaroori hai is support zone ke neeche, ya ek acchi correction milni zaroori hai kam az kam resistance level of 157.77 tak aur wahan se selling mein enter karna target ke sath in the area of the support zone of 146.45-144.91. Main ab bhi expect karta hoon ke ek correction milegi, magar yeh hoga ya nahi yeh hum baad mein hi dekh sakte hain, abhi kehna mushkil hai. Choti upward correction ke baad, misal ke taur par range of 154.70 tak, girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Shayad humein aaj ek upward impulse mile, range of 155.17 tak, uske baad girawat phir se jaari rahegi. Jab ek choti upward impulse range of 154.65 tak banaye, tab wahan se girawat phir se jaari rahegi. Current se corrective growth abhi bhi allowed hai, magar uske baad girawat phir bhi jaari rahegi. Ek choti impulse 154.80 se already bana chuki hai aur uske

USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Forecast

USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein ek potential continued downward trajectory ka izhaar kiya hai, jahan 154.80 level ek critical support zone hai. Yeh detailed analysis hai recent price action aur future movements ke implications ke baare mein.

Recent Price Action:

1. Downward Movement:

• USD/JPY pair downward trend mein hai aur recent low 156.00 ke aas paas pahunch gaya hai. Is trend ka continuation bearish momentum ko strong indicate karta hai.
• Current price action yeh suggest karta hai ke price is recent low ko break kar sakti hai, aur significant support level 154.80 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

1. Support aur Resistance Levels:

• Immediate Resistance: Pehla resistance level 156.00 ke aas paas hai, jo recent low hai jahan pair ne upward direction mein decisive break karne mein struggle kiya hai.
• Key Support: 154.80 level crucial hai kyunki yeh ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai. Historically, is level par considerable buying interest dekhne ko mili hai, aur yeh major point of liquidity ban sakta hai jahan bearish momentum exhaust ho sakta hai.

1. Moving Averages:

• Pair apne 50-day moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh moving average ab dynamic resistance ban gaya hai.
• 200-day moving average current price ke upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke long-term trend bhi bearish shift ho raha hai.

1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):

• RSI lower trend kar raha hai lekin abhi tak oversold territory mein nahi gaya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke downside ke liye abhi bhi room hai, jab tak potential reversal consider na kiya jaye.

1. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

• MACD histogram increasing bearish momentum dikhata hai, MACD line signal line ke neeche hai. Yeh bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai aur further declines ke likelihood ko indicate karta hai.

Fundamental Analysis:

1. US Economic Data:

• US se recent mixed economic data, including fluctuating GDP growth aur employment figures, ne US Dollar ke strength ko lekar uncertainty create ki hai. Isne USD/JPY pair pe downward pressure contribute kiya hai.

1. Central Bank Policies:

• Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki ultra-loose monetary policy Federal Reserve ke tightening stance ke contrast mein hai. Lekin, BoJ policy mein koi changes ya intervention signals USD/JPY pair pe significant impact daal sakte hain.

1. Geopolitical Factors:

• Ongoing geopolitical tensions aur economic uncertainties, khaaskar global trade aur investment flows se related, bhi pair ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Conclusion:


USD/JPY pair ka bearish trajectory continue hota hua dikh raha hai, jahan key support level 154.80 ek crucial area hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to further declines aur selling pressure trigger ho sakti hai. Agar support hold karta hai, to consolidation ya minor rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai pehle kisi significant directional movement ke. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur economic indicators aur central bank communications se updated rehna chahiye future direction ke cues ke liye.

Hello everyone, USDJPY currency pair ki technical analysis. Maujooda surat-e-haal:
- Qeemat: 154.87
- MA50: Qeemat 50-period moving average (MA50) ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jo short-term bearish pressure ka ishara hai.
- MA200: Qeemat 200-period moving average (MA200) ke neeche hai, jo long-term bearish trend ko confirm karti hai.

Support aur resistance levels:
- Qareebi support: 154.00 level ke aas paas, jahan pehle ke local lows dekhe gaye the.
- Qareebi resistance: 155.50 level ke aas paas, jahan pehle ke local highs dekhe gaye the.

Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator oversold zone mein hai (30 se neeche), jo ek potential upward correction ka ishara karta hai.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD histogram negative zone mein hai, MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai.

Maujooda surat-e-haal ka overall naqsha:
Haalat strong bearish pressure ko show karti hai short-term aur long-term dono mein. Qeemat dono key moving averages ke neeche hai, jo buyers ke liye negative outlook ko signal karti hai.

Possible scenarios:
1. Bullish scenario:
- Agar qeemat 155.50 level ke oopar sustain kar sakti hai, to yeh ek upward correction ka aghaz ho sakta hai.
- Is surat mein, agle targets 156.00 level aur phir 156.50 ho sakte hain.

2. Bearish scenario:
- Agar qeemat 154.00 support level ke neeche break hoti hai aur uske neeche hold karti hai, to bearish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.
- Is surat mein, agle targets 153.50 level aur phir 153.00 ho sakte hain.

Tajwez:
Haalat mein naye positions kholte waqt ehtiyaat se kaam lein. Key support aur resistance levels, 154.00 aur 155.50 ke ird gird price developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Indicators par confirming signals ka intizaar karein aur news background ko qareebi taur pe follow karein taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Ameriki dollar puri hafte ke liye tezi se gir gaya, lekin 155 yen darja saath ke saath saath asar ka bhelai lagta hai. Ye darja na sirf ek buland number hai, balki dimaagi tour par bhi ahem nuqta hai jise kai traders tawajjo se dekhte hain. Is natijay mein bazaar ko hammer khelne ka zahir ho raha hai. Agar keemat is mombatti ke chhat ke upar uth sakti hai, to ye raasta ban sakta hai 160 yen ki taraf, shayad 162 yen tak bhi.

Agar ye darje paar ho jayein, to agla qadam USD/JPY jori mein hoga. Wazeh hai ke Japan Bank waqtan-fa-waqtan bazaar mein dakhal deta hai, lekin is ke asar mein hadiyaat ki bunyadi wajah ke sabab maqsood hai. Zyada asool dar wuzraat Japan ki maeeshat ko mazbooti se mutasir kar sakte hain, jis se Japan ke paas kam options reh jate hain.

Waqfe ke doraan maeeshat mein mehengai aik jaari masla hai, jo daryaft hai ke dar-e-saib aaghaaz mein barqarar rahay gi. Agar dar kami ho jaye, to ye mamooli rahe ga—yani ke saal ke ikhtitaam tak 25 basis points tak. Aisi choti tabdeeliyan ye dono currencies ke bunyadi motivations mein koi tabdeeli laane ke mumkin nahi lagti.

Mukhtasir sawal ye hai ke kya USD/JPY jori silsila se pehle saath mein qataar banay gi, ya phir seedha apni silsila jaari rakhay gi. Dono halat mein, jori ki nazar mein mushkil se muktalif rehti hai aur is bazaar ko short karne mein koi dilchaspi nahi hai. 155 yen darja faisla karta hai ke ye asar ka mustaqbil kiya hai, aur jitna lamba ye pimaan qaim rahe ga utna kam asar saath anay ke liye rahe ga.

Mukhtasar mein, USD/JPY jori aik ahem signal par hai. 155 yen par support zaroori hai, aur mojooda lafz ke chhat ke paar ki break oopar ki taraf raasta dikh sakti hai. Japan ki maali tabahi ke baazdari ke asar mein Bank of Japan ka dakhal asar andaz nahi hai, jabke Amerika mein mehengai Ameriki dollar ko mazbooti deta hai. Is natijay mein, jori bullish taur par rehti hai, jahan traders 160 aur 162 yen tak pohonchne ki mumkin hareefat par tawajjo dete hain

USD/JPY Exchange Rate: Global Uncertainties Ke Darmiyan Ek Hoshiar Nazariya

Haal ka USD/JPY exchange rate mukhtalif asraat ka aik pechida sangam hai, jo buniyadi aur tekniki dono pehluon ko shamil karta hai. Buniyadi lehaz se dekha jaye, tou Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki mukhtalif monetary policies iske aik key driver hain. Jabke Fed se 2024 mein rate cut ki umeed hai, BOJ apni dovish stance barqarar rakhe hue hai, jo yen par dollar ke muqable mein downward pressure dal raha hai.

Iske ilawa, US economy ki strong performance, khaaskar employment aur GDP growth, greenback ko support de rahi hai. Dosri taraf, Japan ki economy kam growth aur inflation ke saath jaddo jehad kar rahi hai, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar rahi hai. Geopolitical tensions, jese ke US-China relations aur Russia-Ukraine conflict, bhi USD ki safe-haven demand ko barhawa de rahe hain, jo USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ki taraf dekhte hue, USD/JPY ne downward trend par hai aur teen mah se ziyada arse mein apni sab se kam point par pohonch gaya hai. Moving averages sell trend ko suggest karte hain, magar oscillators buy trend dikhate hain, jo mixed signals paida karte hain. Four-hour chart kamzor hoti momentum ko zahir karte hain, jo potential pullback ko 50% Fibonacci retracement level par hint karte hain. Agar yeh level toot gaya, tou bearish setup invalid ho sakta hai aur buyers ko attract kar sakta hai.

Weekly analysis se multi-month uptrend support ka break zahir hota hai, jo ek gehray correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Key support levels 142.48 aur 140.05 par hain, jabke resistance 144.70 aur 147.45 par hai. Volume profile aur VWAP analysis using order flow software ne strong support levels ko identify karne mein madad di hai, jo trade entries aur exits ko behtar timing ke liye madadgar sabit hote hain.

Traders ko aanay wale economic events par ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, jese ke US Non-Farm Payrolls aur ISM reports, kyun ke yeh market movements par bara asar daal sakte hain. Overall, market sentiment hoshiar hai, aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy aur US economic data ko ghoor se dekhna zaroori hai, taake USD/JPY pair mein informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.