ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Monday ko, spot price ne apni recent girawat ko DXY ke muqable mein roknay mein kamiabi hasil ki, jabke investors apni tawajjo ko September ki meeting minutes ke baad potential gains par markooz kar rahay hain. Yeh minutes yeh dikhate hain ke cash rate kafi arsay tak badal nahi hoga, jo RBA ki monetary policy ke faislon mein aik ziada ehtiyaat aur sabr ka izhar karta hai.

Investors ab aane wali economic reports par nazar rakhain ge, jo Australia aur America dono se aayengi. Australia mein, labor market data aur inflation reports market sentiment ko khas tor par asarandaz kar sakti hain, jabke US mein, retail sales aur consumer inflation ki ahmiyat Federal Reserve ke expectations ko steer karay gi. Agar dono sides se data favorable raha, to AUD/USD pair apni upward trajectory barqarar rakh sakta hai.

Positive Consumer Confidence Se AUD Ka Faida:

Australian Dollar ki recovery ko support karte hue, August ka Westpac consumer confidence index 85.0 tak barh gaya, jo ke pichlay revised figure 82.7 se behtar hai. Yeh dosray musalsal mahine ki improvement hai aur consumer sentiment mein February se highest reading hai. Is achi sign ke bawajood, July ka NAB business confidence thoda kamzor tha, jo June ke revised figure 3 ke muqable mein 1 par tha. Halankeh markets ab bhi is saal ke akhir tak rate cut ki prediction karti hain, magar mazid strong economic data easing ko 2025 tak delay kar sakta hai.

US PPI Data Aur Fed Ke Bayan AUD/USD Ke Favour Mein:

Soft Producer Price Index (PPI) data ne US Dollar mein mazid kamzori ko barhawa diya, jo pair ke liye additional support bana. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne borrowing costs ko kam karne mein ehtiyaat ka mashwara diya, aur gradual action ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne ziada der tak restrictive monetary policy barqarar rakhne ke khatrey ke baray mein agah kiya, aur over-tightening ke risks par zor diya.

AUD/USD Ki Technical Analysis:

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta hai.

اکتوبر 7 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، قیمت 0.6827 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے ٹوٹ گئی، اور روزانہ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں مضبوط ہو گیا۔ یہ آنے والے دنوں میں قیمت کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچنے کی اجازت دیتا ہے۔



اگر ایسا نہیں ہوتا ہے اور قیمت واپس 0.6827 کی سطح سے اوپر چڑھ جاتی ہے، تو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن غیر ٹیسٹ شدہ رہ سکتی ہے، اور 0.6933 کا ہدف کھل جائے گا۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 0.6827 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہوئی۔ مارلن بیئرش زون میں ہے لیکن اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہی ہے۔ ترقی کا امکان 35% ہے، لیکن غالب یومیہ رجحان ترقی کے امکان کو 55% تک بڑھا دیتا ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Chart ko dekhte hue, price mein kafi zyada girawat nazar ayi hai, aur aaj subah ka correction shayad sirf profit-taking ki wajah se tha. Aise sellers jo pehle se bohot zyada profits hasil kar chuke the, jab bohot sari open positions ko ek sath band kiya jata hai, to is se mother candles ki tadaad mein bara izafa hota hai. 0.6710 ke level par halki si price mein izafa dekhne ko mila, jo 0.6750 par peak tak pohanchi. Magar is ke baad, price mein kafi gehri girawat dekhi gayi, jo apni sab se kam value 0.6690 tak pohanch gayi, jabke kuch ghanton baad American session band hone se pehle yeh 0.6810 par pohanch gayi.

Kal ke din mein currency pair ne 160 pips se zyada move kiya, jo kafi bara tha, pehle ke din ki range se mukablay mein.

Lambe arsay mein, prices ke higher high tak wapas anay ke imkanaan kaafi zyada hain. Asian session ke open hote hi jo izafa dekha gaya us ne yeh zahir kiya ke buyers ab tak control mein hain. Is liye, open long positions abhi bhi theek choice hain jab European session khule ga. Ek open position ke liye take profit point 0.6765 par rakha jaye ga, jo upper Bollinger band indicator ka akhri point hai, aur stop loss point 0.6755 par rakha jaye ga, jo ek support level bhi hai kyunke price supply kaafi jaldi ho sakta hai.

Is baat se inkar nahi kiya ja sakta ke market apni haqiqat mein hai. Agar price 0.6780 se bounce hota hai, to iss surat mein kharidaari ki positions ko cancel karna chaahiye, aur ab sell ka waqt hai. Hum tasdeeq ka intezaar kar rahe hain, aur price support tak pohanchne tak sell positions rakhain gay.

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai. Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke

Wave structure ab tak upward hi hai, magar MACD indicator ne ab lower sales zone mein entry kar li hai aur apne signal line se neeche hai. Maine pehle bhi ishara diya tha ke price decline qareeb hai, jo ke MACD par bearish divergence aur chart par ek reversal pattern se sabit hota hai—specifically, ek ascending wedge jo ab downward break kar gaya hai. Sell signals ne strong consolidation ke zariye 0.6909 ke level ke neeche confirm kiya. Behtareen selling point tab aya jab is level ko neeche se retest kiya gaya aur yeh resistance ka kaam kar raha tha, jaise ke growth peak par ek mirror image bani thi. Yeh scenario smoothly unfold hua, jise US dollar ki strength ne major currencies ke muqable mein mazid support diya pichlay haftay.

Agar mere assumptions durust sabit hote hain, to price 0.6847 par accumulation point tak barh sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, aur AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support maintain karta hai, to hum ek zabardast rebound dekh sakte hain 0.6752 se le kar 0.6928 tak, jahan par khaas buying interest majood hai.

Pehle price mein thoda dip aya tha, magar yeh US employment data release hone tak stable raha, jisme non-agricultural sector mein achi positive changes nazar aayi. Khaas tor par, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate mein kami dekhi gayi. Halanke in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne mazboot reaction diya aur doosri global currencies ke muqable mein strengthen hua. Price ab ascending support line tak pohonch gaya hai jo ke higher daily waves ke bottom par established hai.

Iske sath hi, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar uthne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ko zahir karta hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai for upward correction, jo ke resistance level 0.6838 ya us se bhi upar ko target kar sakta hai. Agar chart ke left side ko dekha jaye, to 0.6786 technical support level ka kaam karta hai, na ke ek volume level. Market movements ko dekhnay se pata chalta hai ke recent statistics ke mutabiq volume levels ko hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai instead of traditional support aur resistance levels.

**AUD/USD: Naye Market Trends aur Analysis**

Aik waqt tha jab AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui.

Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.

Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.

Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.

Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai na ke traditional support aur resistance levels. Is liye, traders ko chahiye ke wo market ki is halat ko samjhein aur apne trading strategies ko accordingly tayyar karein.

GBP CHF pair ka price shuru mein gir gaya lekin baad mein wapas upar gaya. Wednesday ko, price dheere dheere din ki opening level 1.1073 se niche aayi, lekin yeh kamzori zyada der tak nahi rahi. Price jaldi se direction badal gayi aur wapas upar chali gayi, weekly opening level 1.1065 ko cross karte hue EMA 200 H1 level tak pohanch gayi. Lekin, is waqt price ko mazboot selling pressure ka samna karna pada, jiski wajah se yeh EMA 200 H1 se reject ho gayi. Yeh downward movement do bade bearish candlesticks ke zariye H1 chart par dekhi gayi. Price din ki opening level se bhi niche gir gayi. Magar yeh girawat bhi zyada der tak nahi rahi, kyunki price ne phir se reversal kiya aur EMA 200 H1 level ke aas-paas wapas aayi, jahan pe resistance ka samna karna pada aur price ek limited range mein ghoomti rahi. Market ne Wednesday ko 1.1110 par close kiya. Currency pair ne trading session ke dauran bullish trend experience kiya, jahan daily high aur low 1.1021 aur 1.1122 tak pohnch gaye. 1.1062 level, jo ke daily support hai, ne Monday se additional weakening ko rok diya. Daily timeframe par overall trend bearish hai, jo future mein price ke phir se girne ke possibility ko khula chhodta hai. Lekin kal ke trading conditions ne positive price movements ko higher levels tak continue karne ka mauka diya. Agar price previous day's high ko surpass kar ke daily resistance 1.1138 ko break kar leti hai, to estimate kiya jata hai ke price daily dynamic resistance ke aas-paas 1.1249 - 1.1253 tak move karegi. Agar positive price movement 1.1169 level ko nahi cross karti, to 1.1062 area pe sellers ke liye pehla test hoga jo bearish path ko open karega. H1 timeframe par, price abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke trend mein neutral bias ko indicate karta hai. Bullish support EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke cross aur upward pointing se dikhayi gayi hai, lekin price abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 ke niche hai. Thursday morning ko price 1.1109 par shuru hui, jo ke hourly exponential moving average (EMA 200) ke aas-paas hai. Daily opening price ke base par sabse kareeb support aur resistance levels 1.1082 aur 1.1135 hain, aur yeh price range short-term trade recommendations ke liye base banayegi.

par upward pressure aa raha hai jabkay investors closely Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish monetary policy stance ko dekh rahe hain. Dosray quarter mein strong wage growth ke bawajood, RBA ke Governor Michele Bullock ne aglay chhay maheenon mein rate cuts ke imkaan ko rad kar diya hai. Bullock ne yeh wazeh kiya ke Australian central bank inflation ke khatrey par hamesha nazar rakhta hai aur agar zarurat hui to rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayar hai. Iss waqt AUD/USD pair 0.6939 ke area ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ka Australian Dollar par confidence reflect karta hai. Australia ke Treasurer Jim Chalmers ne RBA ke iss analysis par ehtiraz kiya ke mulk ki economy bohat zyada mazboot hai. RBA ka ye yaqeen hai ke government ke baray budgets inflation ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhnay mein hissa daal rahe hain, lekin Chalmers ka kehna hai ke economy central bank ke khayalat se zyada balanced hai. Iss ikhtilaf ne investors ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar di hai jo mulk ke economy ke mustaqbil aur Australian Dollar ki value ke baray mein andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar ko masail ka samna hai jab ke Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hone ke baad July ki US inflation rate mein miyana darja ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Iss ne investors mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aglay qadam ke baray mein speculation ko janam diya. Traders ka ziada tawaqo hai ke September mein ek halka 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jiska imkaan 60% hai, lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka bhi 36% imkaan hai. Aanay walay US Initial Jobless Claims aur Retail Sales data ko bhi anticipate kiya ja raha hai jo market sentiment ko mazeed asar daal sakta hai.

Speculation mein mazeed izafa karte huay, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid ne kaha ke agar inflation subdued rahi to monetary policy ko reduce karna "munasib" ho sakta hai. Schmid ne point out kiya ke abhi Fed ki policy itni restrictive nahi hai aur halan ke Fed apne 2% inflation target ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak apna maqsood pura nahi kiya. Iss outlook ne US monetary policy ke mustaqbil par mukhtalif rai paida ki hai, khas tor par jab ke global economy abhi bhi uncertainties ka samna kar rahi hai

AUD/USD Price Movement:

Hamari guftagu live AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ko samajhne par markooz hai. Wave structure abhi bhi upward hai, lekin MACD indicator lower sales zone mein chala gaya hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Maine pehle hi note kiya tha ke price mein girawat qareeb hai, jo ke MACD par bearish divergence aur chart par reversal pattern, yani ascending wedge, ki wajah se hai, jo ab neeche ki taraf toot chuka hai. Sell signals us waqt aaye jab 0.6909 level ke neeche mazboot consolidation dekhne ko mili. Behtareen selling point tab aaya jab is level ko neeche se retest kiya gaya aur ye resistance ke tor par kaam karne laga, growth peak par ek mirror image ban gaya. Ye scenario smoothly unfold hua, US dollar ki major currencies ke khilaf taqat ki wajah se pichle hafte.

Agar mere assumptions sahi sabit hote hain, to price 0.6847 par accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario samne aata hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka 0.6752 level support ban raha, to hum 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekh sakte hain, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.

Price Movement Analysis:

Price ne shuru mein girawat dekhi lekin US employment data ke release tak stabilize raha, jismein non-agricultural sector mein khaas positive tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaas taur par, average hourly wage barh gayi aur unemployment rate giri. Halankeh in figures par skepticism samajhne ki baat hai, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya, aur baqi global currencies ke muqable mein taqat hasil ki. Price ab ascending support line tak pohanch gayi hai jo higher daily waves ke neeche tay ki gayi thi. Saath hi, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar uthne ki tayyari mein hai, jo ke slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai.

Ye scenario upward correction ke liye mazboot signal ka darshan karta hai, jo ke resistance level 0.6838 ya shayad us se bhi upar target kar sakta hai. Chart ke baayen taraf dekhne par 0.6786 technical support level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, na ke volume level ke tor par. Potential market movements puppeteer ke strategies ko darshate hain, kyun ke haal ki statistics yeh dikhate hain ke volume levels ko hit karne ki taraf rujhan hai, na ke traditional support aur resistance levels ki taraf.

### Price Action Patterns: AUD/USD

Main filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing ka real-time analysis kar raha hoon. Aaj, mein daily chart par focus karna chahta hoon, jahan maine pehle bataya tha ke technical factors bears ko control mein aane ka mauqa de sakte hain, aur ye asal mein hua hai. Price 1/8 angle aur 50% resistance level 0.6918 se rebound hua hai, aur ye akhri support levels ke qareeb pahuncha hai. Ye levels bears ko neeche ki taraf rujhan jaari rakhne se rokenge.

Isliye, kuch der ki consolidation ke baad, mujhe thoda upar ki taraf rujhan ki umeed hai, halanke bullish trend ka puri tarah se wapas aana mumkin nahi hai. Australian dollar achha performance dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai. Ek turn aaya, lekin iske baad ki girawat halka thi, jo 0.6941 se 0.6801 tak takreeban 140 points thi. Jabke highs thode se zyada the, pair ne thoda recovery bhi kiya. Hum is reaction ki umeed 0.6801 se 0.6811 tak rakh sakte hain.

### AUD/USD Analysis

Pair ki taqat ko dekhte hue, jo dollar par kam hi react kar rahi hai, aisa lagta hai ke hum ek pullback ke qareeb hain jo is hafte develop ho sakta hai. Filhal price ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Is hafte, pair channel ke lower boundary par 0.6797 tak gir gaya. Is low par pahunchnay ke baad, girawat ruk gayi hai, aur Monday ko ek reversal shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Agar pair upar ki taraf badhna shuru karta hai, to ye upper boundary tak 0.7183 ke aas-paas pahuncha sakta hai. Filhal, AUD/USD instrument trend line ke neeche hai, jo sellers aksar resistance point ke tor par istemal karte hain. Is line ke nazdeek ek aur approach par, hume bearish trading ke liye ek acha mauqa milta hai, jahan hum sales ko zyada faida mand prices par enter kar sakte hain, trend se potential rebound ka faida uthate hue.

### AUD/USD Market Forecast

Sab ko Salam aur Good Morning!

AUD/USD ka market Friday ko 0.6800 zone ke aas-paas pahuncha. Aaj, price apna safar jaari rakh sakti hai aur jaldi ya baad mein 0.6845 ka agla zone cross kar sakti hai. Is hafte, US Core PPI, CPI, aur Unemployment rate traders ko agle market updates ka andaza lagane mein madad de sakte hain, jo inflation trends aur employment health ke bare mein ahm insights faraham karte hain, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai aur decisive moves ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Crude Oil inventories is hafte market sentiment ko badal sakti hain, kyunki oil supply mein fluctuations seedha broader economic conditions aur investor sentiment ko asar dal sakti hain. FOMC meeting minutes bhi humein is hafte ke market direction ko samajhne mein madad de sakte hain, jo Federal Reserve ke haal ke faislon ke liye context faraham karte hain aur potential future monetary policy adjustments ko ishaara dete hain.

Mujhe umeed hai ke ye hafte technical traders ke liye faida mand rahega, kyunki weekly calendar mein kuch khaas news events nahi hain, sirf critical reports ke ilawa, jo ye darshata hai ke price movements established technical patterns ke saath closely adhere kar sakti hain.

Is wajah se, market technical factors ko follow kar sakta hai, jo savvy traders ko indicators, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical tools ka istemal karne ki ijaazat dega taake wo apni strategies bana saken. Mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka market aaj ya kal 0.6847 zone cross kar lega. Aur humein in technical insights ko istemal karte hue apne trading mein stop losses implement karne chahiye, taake hum is relatively quiet period mein risk ko effectively manage kar saken, jab tak week ke zyada volatile end ki taraf nahi pahunchtay.

Umeed hai ke is hafte hum technical analysis ki madad se trade kar payenge, jo clearer signals ko capitalize karne ka mauqa dega jab hum news releases ki taraf barhte hain, sab kuch market sentiment aur evolving landscape ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, jab hum AUD/USD ke data ka jaiza lete hain.

Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye!

Aaj subah koi upward movement nahi hui. Ek sell signal ka izhar hua, jisse price 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak aaya. Aage mazeed movement ke imkanaat hain. Hum agle step mein dollar ki taqat barhne ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaaskar Non-Farm Payrolls report ke pehle, kyunke job growth ka imkaan hai, jo dollar ko mazeed mazboot karega. Main ab bhi price mein girawat ka hi andaza laga raha hoon, kyunke yeh wazeh hai ke hum downward trend mein hain. Mera tajzia yeh hai ke hum 0.6777 level tak pohanch sakte hain, halaanke yeh abhi door hai. Agar hum 0.6849 tak girte hain, toh agla significant support 0.6820 par ho sakta hai. Jab ke downside zyada clear hai, upward movement ko kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi rise ki surat mein yeh ek corrective wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui.
Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.
Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.
Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta hai.

Monday ke trading session mein spot price thoda sa mazboot hua, jo ke takreeban 0.6920 par pohoncha. Halanki pichle mahine unemployment rate barh gaya, magar labor market ki overall taqat ne currency ko barqarar rakha. Sath hi, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish monetary policy ne Australian Dollar ko stabilize karne mein madad di, jiski wajah se yeh ab tak resilient raha hai.
**Economic Indicators ka Asar Australian Dollar par**

Australia ka Westpac Consumer Confidence August mein 2.8% barh gaya, jo ke July ke 1.1% decline se recover kar gaya. Sath hi, Wage Price Index steady raha aur doosray quarter mein 0.8% ka izafa dekhne ko mila, halanki yeh market ke 0.9% ke expectation se thoda kum tha. In economic indicators ka mila-jula asar yeh zahir karta hai ke mulk ki economy ab bhi mazboot hai, halan ke labor market aur wages ke hawale se kuch uncertainties mojood hain.

**RBA Forecast Mein Tabdeeli**

Evolving economic conditions ko dekhte hue, Westpac ne apna forecast update kiya hai. Ab wo pehli interest rate cut ki umeed February 2025 mein kar rahe hain, jo pehle November 2024 ka andaza tha. Iske ilawa, Westpac ne apna terminal rate forecast barhake 3.35% kar diya hai, jo pehle 3.10% tha. RBA ka yeh zyada ehtiyaati rukh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke wo pehli rate cuts karne se pehle zyada mazboot economic growth ka saboot chahta hai, jo market mein future monetary policy ke hawale se speculation ko barhawa de raha hai.

**US Inflation Data ke Intizar Mein**

Dunya bhar ke investors ab US inflation data par nazar rakhe hue hain, jo ke market mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ko badi asarandaaz karne wala hai. Ab tak CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September ke meeting mein 50 basis points (bp) rate cut ka 54.5% imkaan hai. Is speculation ne AUD/USD pair ke liye milay-julay signals diye hain, aur traders ab tak clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain ke US monetary policy kis simt jaegi.

**AUD/USD Pair ke Key Technical Levels**

Yeh pair foran support face kar raha hai ascending channel ke lower boundary par, jo ke 0.6870 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh pair is support level se neechey break karta hai, tou yeh nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko test karega jo ke 0.6929 par hai, aur phir throwback level 0.6900 tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh levels ke neechey barqaraar rehta hai, tou yeh ek bearish outlook ki nishandahi karega, jo ke agla key level 0.6950 par le ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain
Mujhe umeed hai ke ye hafte technical traders ke liye faida mand rahega, kyunki weekly calendar mein kuch khaas news events nahi hain, sirf critical reports ke ilawa, jo ye darshata hai ke price movements established technical patterns ke saath closely adhere kar sakti hain.
Is wajah se, market technical factors ko follow kar sakta hai, jo savvy traders ko indicators, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical tools ka istemal karne ki ijaazat dega taake wo apni strategies bana saken. Mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka market aaj ya kal 0.6847 zone cross kar lega. Aur humein in technical insights ko istemal karte hue apne trading mein stop losses implement karne chahiye, taake hum is relatively quiet period mein risk ko effectively manage kar saken, jab tak week ke zyada volatile end ki taraf nahi pahunchtay.
Umeed hai ke is hafte hum technical analysis ki madad se trade kar payenge, jo clearer signals ko capitalize karne ka mauqa dega jab hum news releases ki taraf barhte hain, sab kuch market sentiment aur evolving landscape ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, jab hum AUD/USD ke data ka jaiza lete hain.