ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

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Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Thursday tak, pair do din se losing streak ka shikar hai, lekin overall market outlook ab bhi optimistic hai. Ye positive sentiment is wajah se support hota hai ke pair ka performance deep positive territory mein hai, dono Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) par. Daily chart analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke AUD/USD pair ascending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day RSI 50 level ke ooper hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Agar pair apne current level se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh 0.6510 ke aas paas support ko test kar sakta hai. January se near-highs ko choone ke bawajood, pair ka performance last week bullish outlook ko indicate karta hai, halan ke kuch buyers profits lete hue dikhayi de rahe hain. Key bullish targets 0.6600 aur 0.6650 par set hain, jab ke notable support levels jo monitor karne chahiye un mein 0.6670, 0.6655, aur 0.6633 shamil hain.

AUD/USD Prices Ke Sath Jeetne Wale Trades
Chaliye, ham AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing ka tajziya karte hain. Neeche ki taraf ka trend bina kisi pullback ke chal raha hai, jo AUD/USD ke price ka bearish movement dikhata hai. Yeh market manipulation ka nishana ho sakta hai, kyunke girawat kaafi calculated lagti hai jo liquidity ko neeche nikalne ke liye hai. Chart dekhne se yeh clear hai ke yeh movement jaan bujh kar kiya gaya hai. Naye low banne ke baad, ek buy signal ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Agar signal volume ke zariye aata hai, to iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke recent price drop ne neeche liquidity ko clear kar diya hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, AUD/USD bullish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai aur 0.6773 level tak pohnch sakta hai.




Doh support levels 0.66088 aur 0.65756 hain jo dekhne chahiye. In levels ko tab tak barqarar rakhna behtareen rahega jab tak extreme level tak nahi pohnch jaati, kyunke currency pair ki volatility is point se niche kam ho sakti hai. Is waqt profits secure karna aur long positions ke liye entry points dhoondhna behtar hoga. Agar pair 0.66420 level ke upar trade karna shuru karta hai, to yeh resistance ban sakta hai. Choti chart pe dekhne se MA ke niche noticeable consolidation hai, aur downward push mazboot hai bina kisi local growth ke. Yeh situation bearish trend ko darshati hai. Sab kuch bearish scenario ke mutabiq chal raha hai aur MA ke niche rehna bearish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Aaj price ke significant rise hone ki umeed kam hai; mujhe lagta hai ke pair apni downward trend ko continue karega aur shayad 0.665 figure tak pohnch sakta hai.

moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) se supported hai. Yeh indicators suggest karte hain ke buying pressure mazboot hai, jo traders ke liye ek viable entry point offer kar raha hai. Umeed hai, ke aaj AUD/USD market sellers ke favor mein rahega. Woh price ko 0.6665 se neeche push kar sakte hain. Aur, aik comprehensive view ke liye, weekly chart ka bhi jaiza lena prudent hai. Weekly chart ek broader perspective provide karta hai, jo long-term trends aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karta hai. Daily aur weekly charts ke signals ko cross-reference karke, hum market direction ka ek zyada accurate aur reliable understanding hasil kar sakte hain. Weekly chart AUD/USD ke liye is waqt bullish sentiment reinforce karta hai, jo sustained upward momentum aur strong support levels dikhata hai. AUD/USD trade karte waqt ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, khaaskar high volatility periods mein, jaise ke news data releases. In times mein high trading volumes significant price swings aur increased risk ka sabab ban sakte hain. Iss risk ko manage karne ke liye, moderate volumes ke sath trade karna aur robust risk management strategies implement karna advisable hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profit lena unexpected market movements aur capital ko safeguard karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Market ke jaldi 0.6665 zone cross karne ki umeed hai. AUD/USD trade karte waqt caution exercise karna zaroori hai, khaaskar high volatility periods ke doran, jaise ke news data releases. Aise times mein high trading volumes significant price swings aur increased risk lead kar sakte hain. Is risk ko manage karne ke liye, moderate volumes ke sath trade karna aur robust risk management strategies implement karna advisable hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profits lena unexpected market movements ke against protect karne aur capital ko safeguard karne mein madad deta hai. Market ke jaldi 0.6665 zone cross karne ka imkaan hai.
Economic data releases from Australia aur United States, commodity prices (khaaskar Australia's resource-rich economy ke hawale se), aur broader geopolitical developments AUD/USD pair ki price dynamics ko impact kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, positive economic data from Australia ya rising commodity prices bullish scenario ko support kar sakti hain, jab ke negative news bearish pressures ko reinforce kar sakti hain. Conclusion mein, AUD/USD pair ka recent break through 0.6801 aur subsequent price movements traders ke liye mix of challenges aur opportunities present karte hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 0.6689 downside par aur 0.6801 upside par.
AUD/USD pair. Australia aur United States ke economic data releases, commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan (khaaskar Australia ke resource-rich economy ko dekhte hue), aur broader geopolitical developments sab is pair ke price dynamics ko impact kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, Australia se positive economic data ya rising commodity prices ek bullish scenario ko support kar sakte hain, jabke negative news bearish pressures ko reinforce kar sakte hain.
Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka recent break through 0.6801 aur subsequent price movements traders ke liye challenges aur opportunities ka mix present karte hain. Key levels jo watch karne hain woh hain 0.6689 downside par aur 0.6801 upside par. Agar price 0.6801 ki taraf surge kare aur isse beyond jaye toh yeh ek acha mauka hoga long positions enter karne ka, jabke current price 0.67242 buyers ke liye ek strategic entry point offer karta hai jo anticipated upward correction ka faida uthana chahte hain. Technical signals aur external economic factors dono par vigilant aur responsive rehkar, traders effectively current market dynamics ko navigate kar sakte hain.

Australian Dollar Mein Zabradast Girawat - Mein Tajziya
Australian dollar mein Wednesday ke trading session ke aghaz mein tezi se girawat aayi, jaisa ke market ne naya low hit kiya. Is surat-e-haal mein, 0.6450 level ka target pura hone tak kisi bhi action ko delay karna samajhdari lagti hai. Waqt-e-haazir mein market ki panic situation yeh batati hai ke recent yaadon mein iski misaal nahi milti, aur US dollar ko mehfooz currency samjha ja raha hai, jabke Australian dollar commodities par asar انداز ڈال رہا ہے.

Market Ki Panic Aur Support Levels

Is extreme tabdeeli se yeh lagta hai ke hum shayad ab is tezi se girti hui rukh ko continue karne ke bajaye support levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. 0.6450 level kaafi ahemiyat rakhta hai, aur main isay closely dekh raha hoon taake koi blowout ke signs milen. Global market conditions abhi bhi uncertain hain, aur agar sales ki raftaar kam nahi hoti to central banks maidan mein aa kar kisi bade ya khuda na khwasta buri mandi ko rok sakte hain.

Mojooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, main ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon. Bhalay hi Australian dollar kuch moqay provide kar sakta hai, lekin main abhi is mein koodne ke liye tayyar nahi hoon. Main mazeed girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon jiske baad bounces ya phir daily candlestick chart par decisive reversals ke baad position lene par ghoor karunga. Yeh zaroori hai ke abhi kisi bhi market mein badi position ke saath jump karna avoid kiya jaye, aur
AUD/USD pair bhi is mein shamil hai.




Ainday Ke Raaste

Filhal, focus market trends dekhne aur clear signals ka intezar karne par hai. Panic selling ne ek high volatility environment paida kiya hai, is liye sabr aur muskil halat ka intezar zaroori hai. 0.6450 level ka barqarar rehna aglay qadam ka taayun karne mein klidi ho ga. Agar market stable hota dikhai deta hai aur recovery ke signs milte hain, to yeh ek buying ka moqa ho sakta hai. Lekin, mojooda market ki unpredictability ko dekhte hue, har move ko naap tol kar aur ehtiyat se lena hoga.

Natija

Australian dollar ki girawat yeh highlight karti hai ke zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam lete hue strategic management ki jaye. Support levels ko monitor karna aur mazid strong signals ka intezar karna iss mushkil waqt mein nawaigation ke liye nihayat ahem ho ga. Central bank ke action ke liye tayar rehna aur ehtiyaati rawayya ikhtiyar karna risks ko manage karne aur AUD/USD pair mein potential opportunities ko pehchanne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Forecast
Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair, doston!

Aaj kal AUD/USD ki qeemat farokht karne walon ke hath mein hai. Kal yeh qeemat takreeban 0.6545 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Is liye hum AUD/USD par ek buy order open kar sakte hain kyun ke market abhi tak apni correction process mukammal nahi kar saki. Trading mein kamiyabi ke liye ek disciplined approach, emotions ka control, aur musalsal seekhne aur behtari lana zaroori hai. Ek comprehensive trading plan banane, effective risk management strategies implement karne, aur market developments ke baare mein waqif rehne se hum AUD/USD market ko behtareen tareeqay se navigate kar sakte hain aur apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD ek mashhoor currency pair hai jo ke achay munafa ki potential rakhti hai. Yeh currency pair doosray bara markets ke movements ko reflect karti hai, jo ke global economic trends aur investor sentiment ka aik namoona hai. Aaj kal AUD/USD buyers ki stability nazar aa rahi hai, jise technical aur fundamental analyses bhi support karti hain aur ek bullish outlook ke indications de rahi hain. Australia aur America dono ke haal ke data yeh suggest karti hai ke near term mein Australian dollar ki qeemat mein koi bara nuqsan nahi hoga. Is se un logon ke liye aik favorable environment banta hai jo is currency market mein upward movements se faida uthana chahte hain.

Aaj ke market conditions AUD/USD buyers ke liye favorable hain. Bullish sentiment chhaayi hui hai, jo ke positive economic data aur strong technical indicators ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho rahi hai. Yeh market environment ziada se ziada buyers ko attract karegi, jo ke price ko further upward drive karegi. Buyers ko resistance level maintain karna zaroori hai takay market signal stable aur reliable bana rahe. Is level ko hold karna continued buying strength ko indicate karega aur potential reversal ka risk reduce karega.

Waisay, geopolitical developments aur global market trends bhi timely aur informed trading decisions lene mein bohot ahmiyat rakhtay hain. Australian dollar aur commodity prices ke darmiyan correlation ko samajhna bhi potential market movements ke baare mein valuable insights de sakta hai. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD ki qeemat aglay dinon mein barh kar 0.6592 zone ko cross kar legi.

Stay blessed aur hamesha pur sukoon rahiye!

Australian dollar ne Wednesday ke trading session mein tez girawat dekhi, aur yeh market ka naya low ban gaya. Aise mein, behtar hoga ke koi action lene se pehle 0.6450 ke level ka intizaar kiya jaye. Filhal, market ki current situation mein khauf aur bechaini waze hai, aur US dollar ko ab bhi ek mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Australian dollar par commodities market ki demand aur support levels ka asar hai. Itni tez tabdeeli se lagta hai ke hum ek bade girawat ke qareeb hain, na ke is steep girawat ka silsila jaari hai. 0.6450 ka level kaafi ahem hai, aur main isko qareebi tor par dekh raha hoon ke koi recovery ke asaar nazar aate hain ya nahi. Global market conditions kaafi uncertain hain, aur agar trading slowdown nahi hoti, toh central banks ko majbooran madakhlat karni par sakti hai taake kisi badi ya is se bhi buri mandi se bach sakein.
Filhal, mein apna rukh kaafi conservative rakha hua hai. Jab tak Australian dollar mein mazeed girawat ya phir koi strong bounce ya reversal daily candlestick chart par nazar nahi aata, tab tak mein position lenay se gurez kar raha hoon. Yeh is liye bhi zaroori hai taake filhal kisi bhi market mein bada position lene se bach sakein, aur AUD/USD pair is waqt koi wazeh direction nahi dikha raha.



Aage ka rasta:
Abhi ke liye, market trends ko closely observe karna aur clear signals ka intezar karna zaroori hai. Khauf ke baais hone wali selling ne market ko kaafi unpredictable bana diya hai, isliye sabr se kaam lena aur mazeed challenging situations ka intezar karna hi behtar hai. 0.6450 ka level qaim rehna next steps ke liye kaafi ahem hoga. Agar market stabilize hota hai aur recovery ke signs dikhata hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Magar, market ki unpredictability ko dekhte hue har move ko soch samajh kar aur ihtiyat se lena hoga.

Nateeja:
Australian dollar ki girawat ye highlight karti hai ke ab humein apni strategies ko conservative tor par manage karna hoga. Support levels ko monitor karna aur strong signals ka intezar karna is confusing time mein navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Central bank ke action ke liye tayar rehna, aur conservative approach rakhna AUD/USD pair mein risks ko manage karne aur potential opportunities ko identify karne mein madadgar hoga.

Aaj ka AUD/USD Analysis Update
Daily Timeframe Review

aj AUD/USD currency pair par daily candle ne ek significant northern correction ka aghaz kar diya hai, aur ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke agle kuch dinon mein hum us resistance zone tak pahunch sakte hain jo ke upper green line se mark kiya gaya hai. Yeh baat nazar mein rakhi ja sakti hai ke itne lambey aur aggressive southern trend ka silsila, US dollar ki strength ke hawale se, ab ziada dair tak jaari nahi reh sakta. Shayed yeh pair oil par kuch ziada depend karta hai, aur oil ke prices gir rahe hain. Lekin agar hum four-hour chart dekhen, to kuch khaas pakarne layak nazar nahi aata, sirf ek tezi se girne wala trend hai.

Filhaal, sari tawajju 0.9077 mark par hai, yeh woh lower trend hai jo ke local minimums ke sath draw ki gayi hai. Iske baad market ya to roll back karega ya phir yeh level tod kar aage barh sakta hai. Aise mein yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye kisi bhi nayi position ke liye kya focus kiya jaye. Abhi tak yeh clear nahi hai ke kis signal par enter kiya jaye.

Agar 0.6570 ka false breakout confirm ho jata hai, to uske baad growth continue ho sakti hai. 0.6512 ke range se humein growth milne ke asar hain, aur us point par khareedari ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Choti si downward correction abhi bhi ho sakti hai, magar growth ke asar mazeed barqarar hain.

Is waqt, buyers market ko control kar rahe hain, aur priority growth ke continuation par hai, market mein agli khareedari ke sath. Agar 0.6550 ka breakout hota hai aur yeh level cross kar jata hai, to yeh ek acha signal hoga buy karne ka. Iss surat mein, rate ke further growth ke asar mazeed mazboot ho jayenge aur buying continue ki ja sakti hai.

Summary

Aaj AUD/USD pair mein northern correction dekhne ko mil rahi hai, lekin overall trend ke bare mein koi clear signal abhi tak nahi hai. 0.6570 ka breakout ek significant signal ho sakta hai, jisse growth ke continuation ki umeed hai. Market ki current situation mein buyers dominate kar rahe hain, aur growth ke chances mazid strong nazar aa rahe hain, khas tor par 0.6550 level cross hone par. Lekin phir bhi, market conditions ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unexpected girawat ya reversal se bach sakein.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Friday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein significant rebound dikhaya, aur 9 dinon ki girawat ka silsila tod diya. Yeh resurgence aksar China ke unexpected faislay se hua, jisme China ne apni key lending rate kam kar di, jisse commodity-linked currencies, jaise ke Australian Dollar, mein investor sentiment barh gaya. Australia, jo ek major exporter hai commodities ka, ko China, jo uska sabse bara trading partner hai, se badhne wali demand ka faida mil sakta hai.
Iske ilawa, Australian Dollar ko Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish stance se bhi support mila. Digar major central banks ke muqable mein, RBA expected hai ke apni monetary policy tight rakhega, jo ke inflationary pressures aur mazboot labor market ki wajah se hai. Yeh monetary policy ka farq Australia aur doosri economies ke darmiyan, AUD ke appeal ko mazid barhata hai. Jab ke US Dollar mein kamzori dekhi gayi, jis se AUD/USD pair ko support mila, lekin is decline ka asar limited ho sakta hai, kyun ke strong US economic data ne Federal Reserve se September mein interest rate cut ki umeedon ko kamzor kar diya hai. Anay wali US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ki report par markets ki nazar hogi, jo key focus hoga.



Technical Analysis

Agar hum technically dekhein, to AUD/USD pair ne recent downtrend se recovery ki hai aur ab ek sideways range mein trade kar raha hai. Lekin technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish pressure abhi tak puri tarah se khatam nahi hua. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke potential downside risks ka ishara dete hain. Agar bearish trend ko dobara resume karna hai, to pair ko is range ke lower end, yaani ke 0.6575 ke qareeb break karna hoga. Agar yeh level sustain nahi ho paata, to mazid girawat ke chances hain, jo 0.6465 support area tak ja sakta hai.

Overall Outlook

Australian Dollar ne resilience dikhayi hai, lekin pair ka outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, jo ke domestic aur global economic factors dono se mutasir ho sakta hai.

Hum AUD/USD ka time frame discuss kar rahe hain. Kal, ek choti si southern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur north ki taraf ek strong bullish impulse ke sath gayi, jisse ek puri northern candle bani jo easily resistance level 0.65591 ke upar break kar gayi aur wahan strong consolidation hua. Is waqt, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke aaj ka upward movement jari rahega aur buyers kareebi resistance levels ko target karein ge. General taur par, mera plan ye hai ke mai resistance level 0.66347 aur resistance level 0.66677 par nazar rakhoon. In resistance levels par do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur phir north ki taraf mazeed move kare. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to mai price ke movement ko resistance level 0.67289 ki taraf dekhunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb mai ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo future trading direction ka taayun karne mein madad karega. Is ke ilawa, mujhe lagta hai ke price aur north ki taraf resistance level 0.68711 tak push ho sakti hai. Lekin agar ye plan implement hota hai, to mai southern pullbacks ki poori ijazat doonga jab price far northern target ki taraf move karegi, aur in pullbacks ka faida uthate hue kareebi support levels par bullish signals talash karunga taa ke renewed growth ka intezar ho sake.
Dusri option ye hai ke jab price resistance level 0.66347 ya resistance level 0.66677 ke qareeb aaye, to ek turning candle form ho aur price movement neechay ki taraf dobara shuru ho jaye. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to mai price ka support level 0.65591 ki taraf wapis aane ka intezar karunga jab AUD/USD currency pair ne neeche ki taraf pullback kiya ho. Market ke is movement par mukhtalif factors asar daal rahe hain.

Sabse pehle, traders apne recent favorable rallies par profit-taking kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ke price mein natural correction ka sabab ban raha hai. Profit-taking financial markets mein ek aam amal hai, jahan investors apni appreciated assets ko bechte hain taa ke apne gains secure kar saken. Ye action jab intensify hota hai to currency par downward pressure paida karta hai.

Dusra, US dollar doosri currencies ke muqablay mein strength dikha raha hai, sirf AUD ke saath nahi. USD ki ye strength mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai, jaise ke positive economic signals aur US ka stable economic outlook. Jab USD strong hota hai, to typically doosri currencies jaise ke AUD ki value girti hai kyun ke exchange rates mein inverse relationship hota hai.

Teesra, aaj Australia mein release hone wale mukhtalif economic data AUD par downward pressure daal rahe hain. Economic data mein mukhtalif indicators shamil hote hain jo Australia ke economy ke halat ke bare mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab ye data mixed hota hai ya market expectations par poora nahi utarta, to investors aur traders mein uncertainty paida hoti hai jo currency ko weaken karti hai.

Jab market participation shift ho rahi hai, to ab tawajjo aane wale significant economic data par hai jo US mein release hone wale hain.

AUD/USD pair is abhi $0.6655 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, aur foreign exchange market mein neutral trend dikhata hai. Yeh value kafi stable lag rahi hai, jaisa ke daily charts se pata chalta hai jahan currency pair mein consolidation pattern dikh raha hai, jo ke koi clear directional movement nahi dikhata. Daily charts mein yeh AUD/USD pair rectangular pattern mein dikhai de raha hai, jo ke market consolidation ka classic indicator hai. Yeh pattern tab samne aata hai jab kisi asset ki price parallel support aur resistance levels ke beech mein oscillate karti hai, jo ke buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan ek equilibrium ko suggest karti hai. Aise phases mein traders aksar currency pair ko sideways move karta dekhte hain, jahan momentum ki kami hoti hai jo ke isay decisively upward ya downward breakout de sake.
Kayi factors hain jo Australian dollar ke is consolidation period mein contribute kar rahe hain. Global front par, economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein shifts—especially Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore aur coal—currency ke performance par significant asar daal sakti hain. Domestic level par, Reserve Bank of Australia ke monetary policy decisions, inflation rates, aur economic growth ke indicators bhi currency ke direction ke liye crucial hote hain.

Iske ilawa, market participants shayad cautious stance adopt kar rahe hain due to uncertainty surrounding global economic conditions. Aise factors jaise ke potential interest rate changes by major central banks, trade tensions, aur post-pandemic economic recovery prospects trader sentiment ko influence kar rahe hain. Yeh cautious approach aksar consolidation patterns mein sideways movement mein reflect hota hai, jahan market players clear signals ka wait karte hain before significant positions lein.

Technical analysis mein, rectangular pattern ko aksar ek preparatory phase ke tor par dekha jata hai. Traders aur analysts aise formations ko closely monitor karte hain kyunki yeh substantial price movements se pehle aa sakti hain. Iss pattern se eventual breakout—chahe upward ho ya downward—aksar increased trading volume aur heightened volatility ke saath hota hai, jo ke ek strong directional trend ko indicate karta hai.

Is waqt, AUD/USD pair ek holding pattern mein hai. Traders aur investors key events ya data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke breakout ke liye zaroori impetus provide kar sakte hain. Jab tak aise developments nahi hote, Australian dollar shayad $0.6655 mark ke aas-paas hover karta rahega, apna neutral trend foreign exchange market mein maintain karte hue.

News #AUD/USD
Forume Time™

Umeed hai sab ka mood acha hoga! Aao dekhte hain market ki situation ko. 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ka slope upward hai, jo buyer activity ka acha indicator hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market 0.65396 level se upar hold kar raha hai, jo growth potential dikhata hai. Technical analysis ko dekhte hue, hamaray paas ek interesting situation hai. Channel ke lower edge se, buying ke liye entry point milne ka chance hai, aur is ka target channel ke upper part 0.65701 par ho sakta hai. Lekin, target tak pohanchne ke baad bulls ki activity kam ho sakti hai, aur market movement mein slowdown iska saboot hoga. Yeh is liye hota hai kyunki H4 chart par volatility stable hai, aur pullback ka chance hai. Agar aap selling operations mein entry karna chahte hain, to yeh tabhi karna chahiye jab aap ko strong confidence ho, aur stop loss lagana zaroori hai. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke current uptrend ke against selling operations mein entry lena risky ho sakta hai. Lekin, sab se behtar option yeh ho sakta hai ke channel ke lower edge tak correction ka intezar kiya jaye, phir selling operations ke baray mein socha jaye. Correction ke baad, buying ke entry points ke baray mein sochna zaroori hai. Buy positions ka success potential sell positions se zyada ho sakta hai, agar chart par trend ko dekha jaye.




Dynamic four-hour chart par, linear regression ke andar situation kaafi complicated lag rahi hai. Channel ka direction bearish sentiment ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo decline dikhata hai. Lekin yahaan yeh note karna zaroori hai ke buyers apni persistence aur strength dikhate hain. Yeh is baat ka sign hai ke market 0.65530 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo is channel ki upper border hai. Dono channels ke readings ke base par yeh natural conclusion hai ke bulls ne initiative le liya hai. H4 chart par hum upward trend ko develop hota dekh sakte hain 0.66897 level tak. Yeh level bulls ke liye mushkilat paida kar sakta hai, aur yeh market ke liye ek aisa point ho sakta hai jahan slowdown ho aur correction shuru ho jaye. Shayad yeh worth considering ho ke H4 channel ki upper border aur 0.66897 level tak pohanchne par profit taking ki jaye. 0.66897 ka break hona growth ke liye catalyst ban sakta hai aur H1 chart par trend direction ko badal sakta hai, jisse buying activity priority le sakti hai. Lekin, agar market 0.65530 ke neeche wapas aata hai, to sellers ka influence barh jayega aur unki advantage confirm ho jaye gi.

Main dekhta hoon ke Australian dollar bear pair pe, 3 daily candles ne support level 0.6490 ko test kiya hai, lekin un mein se koi bhi further south nahi gaya. Main ne pehle hi faisla kar liya tha ke main is currency pair ko directly 0.6490-0.6458 zone se nahi khareedunga. Behtar hai ke kuch der watch karoon aur agar bear ne is zone ka false breakout kiya aur us ke baad pair upar uth gaya, to main buying mein jump karunga. Lekin agar mera plan sach nahi hota, is surat mein main market mein enter karne se gurez karunga aur dekhunga jab tak koi naya acha signal nazar nahi aata. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke jab hum 0.6510 ka range tod denge aur us ke neeche consolidate ho jayenge, to yeh sell ka signal hoga. H1 pe lagta hai ke hum already overbought range pe pahunch gaye hain aur yahan se fall continue hoga. 0.6500 ka false breakout formation confirm hua hai aur us ke upar consolidate nahi hua, to aise formation ke baad growth continue hogi. Agar 0.6485 ke range se growth milti hai, to wahan se hum buying kar sakte hain. Ek chhoti downward correction ke baad bhi growth continue ho sakti hai. Buyers abhi bhi charge mein hain aur priority rate growth ke continuation ki hai, market mein further purchases ke sath. Mera khayal hai ke humein pair pe southward movement expect karni chahiye. Sales support level 0.6510 tak pahunch sakti hain. Mujhe resistance level 0.6530 tak purchases ki umeed hai. South ki taraf trade expect kar raha hoon. Yehi mera plan hai trading ke baaqi waqt ke liye. Sab ko good luck!

AUD/USD pair ne kuch hafton ka naya high choo liya hai, jo kai ahem asraat ki wajah se hua hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne apna hawkish stance barqarar rakha hai, jisme yeh ishara diya gaya hai ke sood ki شرah inflation ko rokne ke liye oonchi reh sakti hai. Is nazariye ko China se aayi inflation data jo expectations se zyada tha, ne mazid mazbooti di hai, jo Australia ka bara trading partner hai.

Iske ilawa, global markets mein positive risk sentiment ne bhi Aussie dollar ko support diya hai, kyun ke traders yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke U.S. Federal Reserve sood ki شرح mein 50 basis points ki cut kar sakta hai. Yeh umeed U.S. ke نرم economic data ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ko apni monetary policy mein narmi karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Iska natija yeh hai ke U.S. dollar kamzor hua hai, jo AUD ko mazeed boost kar raha hai.

In supportive factors ke bawajood, nazariya ab bhi ehtiyat se bharpur hai. RBA ne ishara diya hai ke aane wale rate faislay agle economic data, jaise ke consumer confidence aur employment figures, par depend karenge. Agar consumer confidence mein izafa hota hai, toh yeh consumer spending ke barhne ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke potentially inflation mein mazeed izafa kar sakta hai, jis se RBA additional rate hikes consider kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Australia mein labor market ki condition bhi ahem hai. Agar labor market tight rehti hai, toh yeh wage growth aur consumer spending ko barha sakti hai, jo demand-driven inflation ka sabab ban sakti hai. Is scenario mein, RBA apna tightening stance barqarar rakhne par majboor hoga. Lekin agar labor market mein kamzori ke asraat dikhayi diye, toh RBA apni rate hike cycle ko rokne ya ulta karne par bhi ghoor sakta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ko Reserve Bank of Australia ke hawkish stance, China se aayi strong inflation data, aur U.S. Federal Reserve se expected rate cut, jo U.S. dollar ko kamzor kar raha hai, se support mil raha hai.

Lekin, pair ka agla direction zyada tar Australia ke agle economic data par aur RBA ke in indicators par رد عمل par depend karega. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh assess kar sakein ke AUD/USD ka upward trend jaari reh sakta hai ya nahi.

Daily chart par, ek noticeable long candle hai jo prolonged downward swing ke baad aayi hai, jo yeh suggest kar rahi hai ke sellers ne kuch control kho diya hai aur buyers momentum gain kar rahe hain. Yeh ek valid bullish signal ki taraf ishara kar raha hai

RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish comments aur mazid strong Chinese inflation figures ki wajah se Australian Dollar (AUD) ko acha support mil raha hai. Bullock ne Thursday ko inflation risks par nazar rakhne ki zaroorat par zor diya aur ager zaroorat parhi to interest rates badhane ka bhi irada zahir kiya. Saath hi, National Bureau of Statistics ne Friday ko report kiya ke China main consumer prices July main 0.5% barhe, jo ke pehlay ke 0.3% ki expectations se zyada hain.

Mazid tafseel se pata chala ke headline CPI July main 0.5% tak barh gaya, jo ke February ke baad sabse zyada hai. Lekin Producer Price Index lagatar 22veen mahine ke liye 0.8% ke saath shrink hoti rahi. Iske bawajood, yeh data China ke deeper economic downturn ke khauf ko kam karta hai, jo ke US recession ke khatam hotay hue dar ke sath mil kar investors ki riskier assets ki taraf raghbat badhata hai. Is wajah se safe-haven US Dollar (USD) kamzor hota hai aur risk-sensitive Aussie ke taraf flows barhata hai.

US Treasury bond yields main fresh leg down, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September main bara interest rate cuts ke bets ki wajah se, Greenback ko mazid niche le jaata hai. Koi bhi relevant US economic data ke baghair, yeh fundamental backdrop AUD/USD pair ke liye mazid appreciation ki prospects ko support karta hai. Phir bhi, spot prices pehle chaar hafton main pehli martaba strong weekly gains register karne ke raaste par hain, jab ke focus next Wednesday ke US CPI report par shift ho raha hai.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook:
AUD/USD is hafte ke solid recovery move ko build kar raha hai, jo 0.6350 area se shuru hui thi, yaani ke November 2023 ke lowest level se, aur Friday ko do-and-half-week high tak pohonch gaya hai. Spot prices ne ab 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke uper acceptance pa li hai. Bulls ab 0.6600 round-figure mark ke beyond sustained strength ka intizar kar rahe hain pehle se bet lagane se pehle.

کرنسی جوڑا جمعے کی ابتدائی تجارت میں 0.6607 کی قریب دو ہفتے کی بلند سطح پر پہنچ گیا، جو کہ فیڈرل ریزرو اور ریزرو بینک آف آسٹریلیا کے درمیان سود کی شرحوں کے فرق کے کم ہونے کی بڑھتی ہوئی قیاس آرائی کی وجہ سے ہے۔ یہ اوپر کی طرف کا رجحان مارکیٹ کی توقعات کی عکاسی کرتا ہے کہ دونوں مرکزی بینکوں کے مابین مانیٹری پالیسیوں کا فرق کم ہو رہا ہے، اور فی الحال جوڑا 0.6592 کی سطح پر ہے۔

**AUD/USD کے بنیادی پہلو:**

حال ہی میں امریکی اقتصادی اعداد و شمار توقع سے کمزور ثابت ہوئے ہیں، جو لیبر مارکیٹ میں کمزوری اور معیشت کی ٹھنڈی ہونے کی علامات ظاہر کر رہے ہیں۔ فیڈرل اوپن مارکیٹ کمیٹی (FOMC) کی گزشتہ میٹنگ کی منٹس نے اشارہ دیا کہ بہت سے پالیسی سازوں کا خیال ہے کہ امریکی اقتصادی نمو سست ہو رہی ہے۔ اس نے فیڈ کے ستمبر کی میٹنگ میں شرح سود کو کم کرنے کی توقعات کو تیز کر دیا، جس کی وجہ سے امریکی ٹریژری بانڈز کی پیداوار میں تیز کمی ہوئی اور امریکی ڈالر تین ہفتے کی کم ترین سطح پر پہنچ گیا۔

FOMC کی جولائی کی میٹنگ کی منٹس نے ظاہر کیا کہ فیڈ کے عہدیدار فوری شرح سود میں کمی کے بارے میں ہچکچاہٹ کا شکار تھے۔ "کچھ شرکاء نے کمیٹی کے ڈیٹا پر مبنی نقطہ نظر پر زور دیا، جس کے مطابق مانیٹری پالیسی کے فیصلے معیشت کی ترقی کی بنیاد پر ہوں گے، نہ کہ کسی متعین راستے پر،" منٹس میں کہا گیا۔ مالیاتی مارکیٹس اب ستمبر میں 25 بیسس پوائنٹس کی شرح سود میں کمی کی 66% امکانات کی توقع کر رہی ہیں، جو کہ ہفتے کے شروع میں 63% سے زیادہ ہے، سی ایم ای فیڈ واچ ٹول کے مطابق۔

**ڈیلی ٹائم فریم تکنیکی جائزہ:**

جوڑے کے 0.6610 کی سطح کے قریب اپنے بڑھتے ہوئے ویج پیٹرن کی اوپر کی حد کو چیلنج کرنے کی توقع ہے، جس کے فوراً بعد نفسیاتی طور پر اہم 0.6600 کا نشان ہے۔ تاجروں کو جوڑے کے 50-دن کی ایکسپونینشل موونگ ایوریج (EMA) کے 0.6616 پر تعامل کا قریب سے مشاہدہ کرنا چاہئے، خاص طور پر جب اشارے اوور بوٹ حالات کی طرف اشارہ کر رہے ہیں۔ ممکنہ اوپر کی طرف کے اہداف 0.6650 اور 0.6700 کی مزاحمت کے ساتھ ہم آہنگ ہیں، جبکہ اہم سپورٹ سطحیں 0.6470، 0.6500، اور 0.6550 پر واقع ہیں۔

**تصویر پر کلک کریں بڑی ورژن کے لیے**

نام: AUDUSDDaily.png

جوڑا مضبوط رفتار کو ظاہر کرتا ہے، جس کی حمایت مثبت تکنیکی اشارے جیسے کہ رشتہ دار طاقت کا اشاریہ (RSI) اور موونگ ایوریج کنورجنس ڈائیورجنس (MACD) سے ہے۔ جوڑا جنوری کی بلند ترین سطحوں کے قریب پہنچ رہا ہے، تو بلند موقع پر نظر آتا ہے۔ تاہم، تاجروں کو محتاط رہنا چاہئے اور کسی بھی الٹ پھیر کے آثار پر نظر رکھنی چاہئے۔