ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Aud cad
USD/CAD Ka Taaruf
USD/CAD aik currency pair hai jo US Dollar (USD) aur Canadian Dollar (CAD) ka moqabala dikhata hai. Is pair ko trade karte waqt, investors ye dekhte hain ke aik US Dollar kitne Canadian Dollar ke barabar hai. Agar USD/CAD ki value barh rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke US Dollar strong ho raha hai, aur Canadian Dollar weak ho raha hai. Agar value gir rahi hai, to ulta hota hai.

USD/CAD Par Asraat Daalne Wale Factors

USD/CAD ki movement par kayi factors asar daal sakte hain. Sab se pehle, dono mulkon ki economies ka performance bohat aham hai. Agar US economy achi chal rahi hai, to USD ki demand barh jati hai, jis se USD/CAD ki value upar ja sakti hai. Canadian economy ka bohot zyada ta’aluq oil industry se hai, is liye oil prices bhi is pair par asar andaz hote hain. Jab oil prices barhte hain, to Canadian Dollar ko support milta hai kyun ke Canada aik bara oil exporter hai. Iska matlab hai ke oil prices barhne par USD/CAD ki value niche aasakti hai.

Technical Analysis Ka Kirdar

Technical analysis ke zariye traders chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur indicators jese moving averages ko dekh kar andaza lagate hain ke market agle din ya agle kuch hafton mein kis direction mein move karegi. For example, agar USD/CAD aik strong support level pe hai aur wahan se bounce kar raha hai, to ye signal ho sakta hai ke price wapas upar ja sakti hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jese indicators bhi use hote hain taake overbought ya oversold conditions ko samjha ja sake. Agar RSI 70 ke upar hai, to market overbought ho sakti hai, jo selling ka signal de sakti hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche hai, to market oversold hai, jo buying ka signal ho sakta hai.

USD/CAD Ki Trading Strategies

USD/CAD ko trade karte waqt, traders fundamental analysis aur technical analysis ka combination use karte hain. Ek strategy ye ho sakti hai ke oil prices ko closely monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke ye Canadian Dollar ko directly asar daalti hain. Jab oil prices stable ya high hoti hain, to ye Canadian Dollar ko support karti hain, aur aise waqt pe USD/CAD me short position lena munasib ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, risk management bohot aham hai. USD/CAD ki trading mein leverage use hota hai, jo profits ko barha sakta hai, lekin losses bhi barha sakta hai. Is liye, stop loss aur take profit levels ko set karna zaroori hai taake losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

Conclusion

USD/CAD trading ke liye aik dynamic pair hai jo fundamental aur technical factors se directly asar andaz hota hai. Investors ko is pair ko samajhne ke liye dono countries ki economic conditions, oil prices, aur market sentiment ka analysis karna padta hai. Achi research aur proper risk management ke sath, USD/CAD ko trade karna profitable ho sakta hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rahe ke forex trading risky hoti hai, is liye har trade se pehle soch samajh ke faisla lena chahiye.

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Spot price stable reh raha hai, DXY ke muqablay mein Wednesday ki subah ke session mein mazeed nuqsan ke potential ko dikhate hue, 0.6751 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai. Ye resilience RBA ke September meeting minutes se support hasil kar raha hai, jismein ye bataya gaya tha ke cash rate lambi muddat ke liye unchanged reh sakta hai. Filhal, ye pair 0.6748 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

US taraf, consumer sentiment mein pehli dafa paanch mawaqay ke baad behtari dekhne ko mili. August ke liye University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index ka pehle ka figure 67.8 hai, jo ke pichle figure 66.4 aur market expectations 66.9 se upar hai. Lekin, ye positive sentiment US housing data ke sharp decline se kuch kamzor ho gaya. Housing starts 6.8% gir gaye, jo ke 1.238 million units par aagaye, jabke June mein 1.1% ka izafa tha. Building permits bhi 4.0% tak gir gaye, jo ke June ke 3.9% ke izafe ka ulta hai.

Girte hue iron ore prices ke bawajood, ye pair Reserve Bank of Australia ki persistent hawkish stance se supported hai. Central bank ke elevated interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke signals ne is pair ko mazid taqat di hai. Jabke markets RBA ke recent meeting minutes se mazeed insights ka intezar kar rahe hain, ye tafseelat pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko tay karne mein ahm kirdar ada kar sakti hain.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Ye pair 1-hour chart par lower lows aur lower highs banata raha hai, August 5 ke lows se uthane ke baad. Ye pattern short-term uptrend ko darust karta hai, jo is baat ko mazid mazboot karta hai ke ye pair upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary par 0.6674 level ke aas-paas resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Agar ye point cross hota hai, toh ye pair apne chhe maheene ke high 0.6797 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke July 11 ko dekha gaya tha.

**Hourly Indicators Analysis for AUD/USD**

Hourly indicators bhi AUD/USD pair ke liye upar ki taraf ke rukh ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo market momentum ko jaanchne ke liye ek ahm oscillator hai, mid-levels ke aas-paas ghoom raha tha lekin haal hi mein 62 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke barhti hui bullish sentiment ka darust karta hai.

Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi is bullish outlook ko support karta hai, kyunki iski barhti hui green bars kharidari pressure mein izafa ko darust karti hain. Ye indicators milkar is baat ka ishaara karte hain ke AUD/USD pair mein bullish momentum barh raha hai, jo trading decisions ke liye positive signal ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham
wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai.
Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

AUD/USD market mein bears, yaani sellers, 0.6760 level tak pahunche hain, jo ek aham point hai. Yeh level un areas ko darshata hai jahan sellers ne khaas tor par progress kiya, jo unhe pehle ke losses cover karne ka mauqa de sakta hai. Yeh movement bears ke liye achi growth ka darshak hai, lekin yeh ek temporary scenario bhi ho sakta hai. Aam trend jaldi hi shift ho sakta hai, aur aaj se ek upward climb shuru ho sakta hai.
Current price action 0.6760 par sirf ek choti si pullback ho sakti hai pehle bullish activity ke phir se shuru hone se. Jab USA ka time zone khulega, AUD/USD market real-time mein move karega, jahan liquidity aur volatility zyada hoti hai. Yeh trading ka waqt aksar market ke agle rukh ka ek clear picture deta hai. Bulls kuch ghanton mein market mein wapas aa sakte hain, jo pair ko upar le ja sakta hai.

0.6782 par critical resistance level hai, jo nazar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai, kyunki yeh bulls ke control ko wapas hasil karne ka pivotal point ban sakta hai. Agar bulls is resistance level ko successfully todne mein kaamyab hote hain, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift darshayega aur shayad ek naya upward trend establish karega.

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai.
Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

**H4 Period Chart - AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

H4 period chart par AUD/USD currency pair ka wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator ab neeche sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche chal raha hai. Jab price abhi tak itni nahi giri thi, to meine kaha tha ke qeemat mein jald hi girawat aasakti hai. Is ka indication MACD indicator par bearish divergence ki mojoodgi thi, aur chart par ek reversal figure bhi tha - ek ascending wedge jo ke neeche ki taraf break ho chuka hai. Sell signals ki tasdeeq hui jab price ne 0.6908 level ke neeche confidently consolidation kiya.

Selling ka behtareen point wohi level tha jab price ne isse neeche se resistance ke tor par test kiya, kyun ke yeh level ab mirror image ban gaya tha growth ke edge par. Sari strategy ache tarike se kaam kar gayi, jiska sabab US dollar ki overall strength thi against major currencies pichle hafte. Hum neeche aaye, phir US ki news ke intezaar mein rahe jo ke pehle aayi. Non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki tadaad mein kaafi izafa dekhne ko mila. Indicators ke mutabiq, average hourly wage mein bhi izafa hua aur unemployment rate kam ho gaya. Mujhe pata nahi ke in data par kitna bharosa kiya ja sakta hai, lekin asal baat yeh hai ke US dollar ne is news par kaafi tezi se taqat hasil ki aur major world currencies ke against mazboot ho gaya.

Ab price ne ek ascending support line ko touch kiya hai jo ke purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hui thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator neeche ki overheating zone se upar ki taraf janay ki koshish kar raha hai, aur is par ek choti bullish divergence bhi dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Purani support line ke madde nazar, yeh ek acha signal hai aur zyada imkaan hai ke yeh qeemat upar ki taraf correction karegi, kam az kam resistance level 0.6837 tak, aur shayad is se bhi zyada.

Agar hum is setup ko dekhen, to yeh ek behtareen opportunity lagti hai short-term bullish correction ke liye. Pehle se downtrend ke baad, ab ascending correction ka imkaan strong lag raha hai. Is liye, traders ko yeh signal madde nazar rakhte hue agla trade plan karna chahiye, khaaskar jab price support line ke qareeb ho aur bullish indicators tasdeeq karte hue nazar aayein.

AUD/USD Price Activity

AUD/USD currency pair ki current pricing behaviour ka analysis hamaray discussion ka mawzu hai. Chart ka jaiza lene se maloom hota hai ke selling ka acha point 0.6811 par ho sakta hai. Profits secure karne ke liye take-profit ka target 0.6751 par rakhna zaroori hai. Agar structure break hota hai, to losses ko control karne ke liye stop loss ko 0.6841 par set karna chahiye. Saath hi, broken resistance future mein support ka kaam de sakti hai, jo 0.6811 par buying ka moqa de sakti hai. Maksad yeh hai ke profit lena hai bina kisi stop loss ke activate hone ke ya positions reverse karne ke.

Main ne MACD par bearish divergence aur reversal pattern — rising wedge jo ke breakdown ho chuki hai — ko dekh kar decline ki prediction ki thi. Iska tasdeeq tab hui jab price ne 0.6909 ke neeche confidently consolidate kiya. Behtareen selling ka point us waqt tha jab price ne 0.6909 ko as resistance test kiya after breaking below, aur ek mirrored reversal bana. Guzishta hafte US dollar ki taqat ne is scenario ko smoothly unfold hone mein madad di.

Uske baad, price ne waqt guzaraya jab tak US news release nahi hui, jo ke market movement ka sabab bani. US non-farm employment numbers mein significant positive shift dekhi gayi, aur saath hi average hourly wage barhi, jab ke unemployment rate kam hui. Halan ke kuch log is data ki accuracy par shak karte hain, lekin yeh baat waazeh hai ke dollar ne sharp taqat dikhai against other major currencies. Pehle price ne daily chart ke lower waves se ek upward support line ko touch kiya. Yeh signal strong tha lekin aakhir mein fail ho gaya jab price gir gayi. Uske baad upward trend break ho gayi. Mera khayal hai ke price 0.6641 tak giray gi, lekin is se pehle ek pullback ho sakta hai broken line tak. Aaj ka zaroori news 15:31 par U.S. export volume, import volume, aur trade balance hai. Halan ke in mein moderate importance hai, lekin inka market par kaafi impact ho sakta hai.

Yeh sentiment un buyers ke clustering ki wajah se hai jo 0.6769 level par hain. Ek trading strategy ke taur par, 0.6769 se selling consider ki ja sakti hai, initial profit target 0.6689 aur stop loss 0.6814 par set karna chahiye. Short positions ka agla primary target 0.66891 ho sakta hai, jo kaafi attractive goal hai. Buying activity fragile hai, isliye abhi selling ka ideal time hai. 0.67229 par ek support level corrective pullback trigger kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price 0.67567 ke neeche rehti hai, to buying se ijtinab kiya jaye. Buying ka option tab viable ho sakta hai agar price 0.67567 ke upar stabilize ho, jahan upward targets 0.67905 ya phir 0.68243 par ho sakte hain. Market conditions evolve ho rahi hain, isliye hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai kyun ke yeh levels par asar daal sakti hain.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein girawat ka samna kiya jab Thursday ko kuch aham economic data release hua. Risk-sensitive AUD/USD pair ko Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions ke bais neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna karna pada. Israeli Broadcasting Corporation (IBA) ne report kiya ke Israeli security cabinet ne taye kiya hai ke woh Iranian hamlay ka zabardast jawab denge. August ke mahine mein Australia ka trade balance $5.644 billion ka surplus dikhata hai, jo market expectations se zyada hai aur pichlay mahine ke surplus se thoda behtar hai. Halaanke, August mein imports aur exports dono pichlay quarter ke muqable mein kam ho gaye. Mixed trade data ke bawajood, Australian dollar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish outlook se support hota raha. August mein retail sales growth ka zyada hona us ka imkaan kam karta hai ke RBA jaldi se interest rate cut karega. Markets lagbhag November rate cut ka imkaan discount kar chuki hain. China, jo Australia ka sab se bara trading partner hai, ke stimulus measures ki wajah se commodity prices mein izafa hua, jo Australian dollar ke liye mazeed support bana raha. Traders ghore se kuch aham US economic data ka intezar kar rahe thay jo Thursday ko release hone wali thi, jisme September ISM Services PMI aur guzishta haftay ke weekly jobless claims shamil hain.

AUD/USD pair Thursday ko sideways trade kar rahi thi jab ke teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad us ne apni February 2023 se sab se unchi level par pohanch gayi thi. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report expected thi ke yeh pair ke near-term direction ko tay karegi. Uptrend jo 5 August 2024 se shuru hui thi, ab tak mazboot hai, aur yeh series of higher highs aur higher lows se supported hai. Momentum indicators mixed hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne tezi se upar ki taraf move kiya, jo ek strong bullish trend ka ishara de raha hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne 50 midpoint se comfortably upar trade kar raha hai. Magar Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein hover kar raha hai, jo ke current uptrend ko khatam karne ka khatra hai. Agar bulls confident rahe, toh ho sakta hai ke woh AUD/USD pair ko February 25, 2021 ko established trend line se upar push karne ki koshish karein. Agar yeh break successful hota hai, toh pair 50% Fibonacci retracement ko test kar sakta hai jo October 13, 2022 se February 2, 2023 ke uptrend par hai, 0.6924 par. Is ke baad, 0.7000 ka level agla logical target ho sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Ka Outlook Analysis**

AUD/USD H4 time frame chart par, aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke potential price movement ka jaiza le rahe hain. Pichle kuch sessions mein, humein notable market activity nazar aayi hai. Khareedaaron ne shuru mein price ko 0.6804 tak push karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo kuch early strength ko dikhata hai. Lekin, bears ne jaldi control hasil kar liya, jis ne market mein reversal ka sabab bana. Ye shift Australian dollar par barhti hui pressure ko highlight karta hai, jo kai hafton se U.S. dollar ke muqable mein struggle kar raha hai. AUD/USD pair ne musalsal bearish momentum dikhaya hai, aur price dheere dheere neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Ye bearish sentiment Australian dollar ki kamzori ko darshata hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors se driven hai, jaise ke commodities ki global demand aur China ki economic slowdown ke concerns, jo Australia ki export-driven economy par gehra asar dalte hain. Is ke ilawa, U.S. dollar ki taqat, jo rising interest rates aur U.S. se mazboot economic data ki wajah se hai, AUD/USD pair par downward pressure ko aur barhata hai. Aage chal kar, traders ko dekhna hoga ke ye pair key support levels par kaise react karta hai, aur kya bears qareeb ke waqt control banaye rakhte hain.

**AUD/USD H1 Time Frame Analysis**

AUD/USD H1 time frame chart par, wave structure abhi bhi ascending order mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke upward trend ab bhi intact hai. Lekin, kuch weakening momentum ke nishan hain, jinke liye traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator pehle hi lower sales zone mein chala gaya hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bearish pressure barh raha hai. Ye shift MACD mein aksar potential price decline ka pehla nishan hota hai, jab selling momentum buying efforts ko overpower karne lagta hai. Pehle jab price itni neeche nahi aayi thi, maine is baat ka andaza lagaya tha ke aane wale waqt mein decline ki umeed hai. Ab, jab MACD momentum mein shift confirm kar raha hai, lagta hai ke ye prediction poori ho rahi hai. Jab ke overall wave structure upward hai, lekin short-term outlook bears ke haq mein nazar aata hai, jismein ek possible correction ya pullback ho sakta hai. Traders ko key support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur MACD ko kisi bhi further bearish signals ke liye closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price girti rahi, toh ye lower levels ko test kar sakti hai phir se upward movement shuru karne se pehle. Alternately, agar current support levels ki mazbooti se raksha ki gayi, toh ye buyers ko market mein dobara entry karne ko encourage kar sakta hai, bullish trend ko dobara shuru karne ke liye.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends** Jaisay hi naye hafte ka aghaz hota hai, AUD/USD pair daily chart par aik aham technical manzar pesh karta hai. Price ne key horizontal resistance level 0.6577 ke upar apni jagah bana li hai. Ab tak, is level ke neeche price ko wapas le jane ki koshishain nakam rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

Recent downward move par lagaye gaye Fibonacci retracement se yeh pata chalta hai ke price pehle 61.8% retracement level par ruk gayi thi. Lekin ab yeh level toot chuka hai, jo ke US dollar ke broad weakening ko darshata hai. Price ab significant technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pohanch gayi hai, jo market ki umeedon ke saath milti hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ab overbought zone ke nazdeek hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke current bullish phase shayad momentum kho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jabke price thoda upar ja sakti hai, lekin mazeed faide ki sambhavnayein seemit ho sakti hain, khaaskar CCI ke overbought conditions ki wajah se.

Is context mein, jabke price 0.6695 level ki taraf thoda upar ja sakti hai, lekin is baat ki tajaweez dena zaroori hai ke iske baad aik potential corrective pullback aane ki sambhavna hai. Agla key support level jo dekhna hai wo hai 0.6632, jo pehle ki candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Yeh level support ka aik critical point ban sakta hai, aur iski taraf correction ka hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke nazdeek ho, to behtar hoga ke M15 chart jese chhote timeframes par potential selling opportunities par nazar rakhein. Traders ko reversal patterns ki talash karni chahiye jahan support level resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo 0.6632 support level ki taraf downward move ka signal de sakta hai.

Corrective move ki umeed is baat se bhi mazid barh jaati hai ke aaj kisi aham economic news ki kami hai, jisse immediate fundamental drivers decline ko rokne ke liye na honge. Is ke ilawa, doosri major currency pairs bhi critical levels ke nazdeek hain aur downward correction ke liye tayyar dikh rahe hain, jo broader market pullback ki sambhavna ko barhata hai.

Summary ke tor par, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6577 ke key resistance level ke upar achha performance dikhaya hai aur naye technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin, CCI ke overbought conditions aur aham news events ki kami ko dekhte hue, 0.6632 support level ki taraf aik corrective pullback ki umeed hai. Traders ko 0.6695 level ke nazdeek potential selling opportunities ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar chhote timeframes par, aur mazeed bullish positions ka ghor karne se pehle possible retracement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye

waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone
Pehle price thoda dip hui lekin US employment data release hone tak stable rahi, jo non-agricultural sector mein khas taur par achi tabdeeliyan zahir kar raha tha. Khaaskar, hourly wage barh gayi thi aur unemployment rate gir gaya tha. Halanki in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne bohot taqat ke sath reaction diya, aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid barh gaya. Price ab higher daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pohanch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai ke upward correction ka imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6838 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi ooper jaye. Chart ke left side par dekhne par yeh samajh aata hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai na ke ek volume level. Potential market movements recent statistics ke basis par volume levels ko hit karne ka imkaan zahir karti hain, rather than traditional support aur resistance levels ko follow karne ke.

AUD/USD ka H4 time frame chart dekhain to yeh zyada wazeh aur mukammal manzar faraham karta hai, jo ke pair ki market structure ko lower time frames ke muqable mein behtar tareeqay se dikhata hai. H4 chart traders ko key price trends aur trading ke potential moqay identify karne mein madad deta hai kyun ke yeh choti time frames ke shor ko kuch hat tak kam karta hai. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ek established downtrend mein hai, jise lower highs aur lower lows ke silsilay se pehchana ja sakta hai, jo ke bearish dominance ka mazboot indicator hai.

Iske ilawa, pair Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek mashhoor technical indicator hai jo trend direction, momentum aur reversal points identify karne mein madad karta hai. Yeh fact ke price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, yeh signal karta hai ke bearish momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai aur sellers downward pressure dalte ja rahe hain. Ichimoku cloud ek dynamic resistance zone ke taur par kaam karta hai, aur jab tak price is cloud ke neeche hai, iska matlab hai ke resistance ke muqable mein neeche ka rasta zyada aasan hai. Sath hi, bearish Kumo (cloud) mazid thik aur stable lagta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh downtrend barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai.

Jab tak price cloud ke neeche rehti hai, aksar traders short positions ko pasand karte hain, kyun ke chart ka setup near-term mein bearish momentum ke continuation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, Ichimoku indicator ke doosray components jaise ke Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jo ke iss waqt ek bearish crossover mein aligned hain. Yeh crossover kuch arsa pehle hua tha, jo ke ongoing downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Tenkan-sen line, jo ke conversion line kehlati hai, Kijun-sen line, yani baseline ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend abhi bhi chal raha hai.

Aur Span, jo ke lagging span bhi kehlata hai, price action ke neeche situated hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai aur selling pressure ko barqarar rakhta hai. AUD/USD pair H4 time frame par downtrend mein majbooti se hain aur Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish momentum abhi kayam hai.

Traders ko bearish bias rakhnay ka sochna chahiye jab tak price cloud aur key Ichimoku levels ke neeche rehti hai. Doosray technical indicators ko bhi integrate karke aur price action ko dynamic resistance levels ke ird gird monitor karke, traders apni strategies ko mazeed refine kar sakte hain aur short-selling ke potential moqay dhoond sakte hain.

guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone Pehle price thoda dip hui lekin US employment data release hone tak stable rahi, jo non-agricultural sector mein khas taur par achi tabdeeliyan zahir kar raha tha. Khaaskar, hourly wage barh gayi thi aur unemployment rate gir gaya tha. Halanki in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne bohot taqat ke sath reaction diya, aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid barh gaya. Price ab higher daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pohanch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai ke upward correction ka imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6838 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi ooper jaye. Chart ke left side par dekhne par yeh samajh aata hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai na ke ek volume level. Potential market movements recent statistics ke basis par volume levels ko hit karne ka imkaan zahir karti hain, rather than traditional support aur resistance levels ko follow karne ke.