ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai.
Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone

neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly

trend jaari reh sakta hai, lekin agar bearish traders ke liye 0.6738 ka level toot jaye, to yeh price ko 0.6614 tak le ja sakta hai. Chhoti time frames par aik chhoti divergence ban rahi hai jo aaj ziada growth ko rok sakti hai, is liye ab buying munasib nahi hai kyun ke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Abhi behtar hai ke market ka progression dekha jaye. Is soorat haal mein Australian dollar focus mein nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka future direction aaj ke resistance test ke nateejon par depend karega. Agar price 0.6901 ka level paar kar leti hai, to 0.6896 ka resistance support mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, aur further declines ka imkaan kam ho jaye ga. Daily chart par AUD/USD secondary scenario ko follow kar rahi hai, jo ke 0.6838 se upar jaa chuki hai aur 0.6872 tak continue kar rahi hai. Market ab aglay buying target 0.6893 ke qareeb hai, aur resistance zone 0.6893 aur 0.6901 ke darmiyan test hona expected hai, jiska imkaan hai ke neeche ki taraf rebound ho. Australian dollar ne daily chart par barhna jaari rakha hai, analyst ke pehlay forecast ke bawajood. Price ne recent resistance aur support levels ko test kiya hai, jis ke baad analyst range trading ko behtar samajhta hai. Magar price ne Monday ko is range ko upar break kiya, aur resistance 0.6824 ko paar kar liya. Jab din ka close is level ke upar hua, to focus ab aaj ke resistance 0.6887 ki taraf growth par hai. Jab price is resistance ke qareeb hai, agar close is level ke ird gird hota hai, to focus phir se resistance 0.6949 ki taraf growth par ho jaye ga. AUD/USD chart yeh suggest karta hai ke price movements market ki typical manipulations ke mutabiq hain, jo ke institutional traders kartay hain. Yeh pattern volume ke zariye naye trading positions establish karne aur phir liquidity withdraw karne ka hota hai. Analyst is pattern se waqif hai, aur aise moments ko pehle bhi observe kiya hai. Jo ke ab upward movement ke sath persistent bullish trend dekh raha hai, analyst yeh anticipate karta hai ke aik moment aayega jab price ka rise liquidity ko top se clear out kar dega. Jab volume indicators confirm karen ke AUD/USD liquidity likely oopar se nikal chuki hai, to phir aik decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai 0.6658 ke aas paas accumulated liquidity ke level tak. AUD/USD pair signs of growth dekh rahi hai aur 0.6891 ka level test karne ki umeed hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, wahan resistance 0.6896 par hai, jo ke main idea ko nahi badalta. Magar yeh resistance 0.6896 likely strong rehne wala hai, jo ke pair ko 0.6830 ke support level tak retreat karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pehla Taqreeb

Peer ko, spot price ne DXY ke muqablay mein apni kami ko roknay mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jab ke sarmaiyakaron ne September meeting ke minutes ke baad mumkinah faidaat par tawajjoh di. In minutes ne yeh darust kiya ke cash rate kaafi waqt tak be ghair tabdeeli rahega, jo RBA ki monetary policy faislon mein aik deera aur ehtiyaati rawaya dikhata hai.

Sarmaiyakaar agle aane wale ma’ashi reports par nazar rakhte rahenge, jo Australia aur America se aayengi. Australia mein, mazdoor bazar ke data aur inflation reports bazar ki soorat-e-haal ko khaas taur par asar andaz ker sakti hai, jab ke America mein, retail sales aur consumer inflation jaise aham figures Federal Reserve ki umeedon ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Agar dono taraf ka data favorable raha, to AUD/USD jori apne upar chadhne ka silsila jaari rakh sakti hai.

Consumer Confidence Ka Positive Asar AUD Par:

Australian Dollar ki recovery ko support dete hue, August Westpac consumer confidence index ne 85.0 par izafa dikhaya, jo pehle ke 82.7 se behtar hai. Yeh consumer sentiment mein doosra musalsal behtari hai aur February ke baad sab se uncha aakhri nashaara hai. Halankeh yeh positive nishaan hai, lekin July ka NAB business confidence thoda kamzor raha, jo 1 par aaya jab ke June ka nashaara 3 tha. Halankeh bazar ab bhi saal ke aakhir tak rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, lekin mazboot ma’ashi data 2025 tak ease ki umeedon ko aage barha sakta hai.

US PPI Data aur Fed ki Comments AUD/USD ke liye faida mand:

Narm Producer Price Index (PPI) data ne US Dollar mein mazeed kamzori ko janam diya, jo is pair ko mazeed support faraham karta hai. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne udhar ki cost ko kam karne ke liye ehtiyaati approach ka kehna tha, jo gradual action ki zaroorat par zor deti hai. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne zyada waqt tak sakht monetary policy rakhnay ki warning di, jo over-tightening ke khatar ko darust karti hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Technical analysis ki roshni mein, agar yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neeche gira, to isay mushkilat ka samna karna par sakta hai. Is level ka toorna bearish shift ko janam de sakta hai, jo pair ko 0.6755 ke support level ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar pair is se bhi neeche gira, to agla aham level 0.6671 hoga, jo traders ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ka khaas point ban sakta hai.




Mukhtasir dekha jae to:

Chunanchah, chhoti muddat ke liye bullish trend ke nishaan hain. Daily chart ko ghor se dekhne par yeh pata chalta hai ke 9-day EMA ne 50-day EMA ko cross kar diya hai. Yeh crossover darust karta hai ke price momentum abhi lambi muddat ke trend se tez hai, jo aksar chhoti muddat ki taqat ka nishaan hota hai. Yeh bullish development yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair aane wale sessions mein mazeed izafa dekh sakta hai, agar ma’ashi data is trend ko support karta raha.

AUD/USD Price Movement

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing movements ko samajhne par mabni hai. Wave structure abhi bhi ooncha hai, lekin MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein qadam rakha hai aur yeh apni signal line ke neeche hai. Maine pehle hi kaha tha ke price ka ghatna qareeb hai, jo MACD par bearish divergence aur chart par reversal pattern ke zariye support hota hai—specifically, ek ascending wedge jo ab neeche ki taraf toota hai. Sell signals tab milay jab yeh 0.6909 level ke neeche mazboot consolidation hui. Behtareen selling point tab tha jab is level ko neeche se phir se test kiya gaya aur yeh resistance bana, jo growth peak par mirror image ban gaya. Yeh situation asaani se samne aayi, kyunki pichle hafte US dollar ki taqat ne major currencies ke muqablay mein izafa kiya. Agar meri andazay sahi hain, to price 0.6847 par accumulation point tak barh sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario samne aata hai, aur AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support banay rakhta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak aik dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest hai.




Price pehle to giri, lekin US employment data ke release hone tak stabilise ho gaya, jo non-agricultural sector mein khaas positive tabdeeliyaan dikhata hai. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shakk karna samajh aata hai, lekin US dollar ne is par mazboot react kiya, jo global currencies ke muqablay mein taqatwar ho gaya. Price ne oonchi daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pahuncha. Saath hi, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar uthne ke liye tayyar hai, jo slight bullish divergence ka ishara deta hai. Yeh scenario upward correction ke liye ek strong signal hai, jo shayad resistance level 0.6838 ya us se upar target kare. Chart ke baaye taraf dekhne se pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 technical support level hai, volume level nahi. Potential market movements puppeteer's strategies ko darust kar sakte hain, kyunki haal ke statistics dikhate hain ke volume levels par hit karna traditional support aur resistance levels ke muqablay mein zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ki Price Movement

Australian Dollar (AUD) ka muqabla US Dollar (USD) ke saath kuch bearish rujhanat dikhata hai, aur haaliye market halat ka jaiza lene se yeh nazar aata hai ke iski downward trajectory ka imkan hai. Aakhri close 0.6845 par hone par, yeh currency pair critical support levels ke qareeb pahuncha hai, agar yeh level tut gaya, to mazeed kami ke darwaze khul sakte hain.

Global ma’ashi mahol currency ki qeematon ko asar andaz ker sakti hai, jahan interest rates, inflation, aur geopolitical waqia aham kirdar ada karte hain. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policies AUD/USD exchange rate ko shape karne mein pivotal hain. Haal hi mein RBA se aayi nishaniyan ehtiyaat bhara approach dikhati hain, khaaskar ma’ashi uncertainties ke madde nazar. Is waqt, Federal Reserve ka focus inflation se nipatne par hai, jo aam tor par stronger USD ko support karta hai.

AUD/USD ke liye foran bearish target 0.6697 ka support level hai. Yeh level itihas mein aik significant pivot point raha hai, aur agar isay phir se test kiya jata hai, to yeh market ki bearish sentiment ko tasdeeq karega aur sellers ke liye aik trading mauqa faraham karega. Agar price is support ki taraf pahuncha, to traders kisi bhi kamzori ya is level ko barqarar na rakhne ki nishaniyon ka intezar karenge, jo aik broader sell-off ko janam de sakta hai.

0.6697 ke neeche, agla aham support level 0.6452 hai. Yeh level doosri tier ka support hai, aur agar is threshold ko toora gaya, to behtar selling pressure barh sakta hai. Agar market in dono support levels ko tor deta hai, to yeh ek musalsal downward movement ka shuruat kar sakta hai, jo price ko aur bhi neeche le ja sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, kai indicators yeh dikhate hain ke AUD/USD bearish continuation ke liye tayyar hai. Moving averages ke mutabiq, yeh death cross pattern dikha sakta hai, jahan short-term moving average long-term moving average ke neeche chala jata hai, jo mazeed downside potential ka signal hota hai. Iske ilawa, momentum indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought ya oversold conditions ka pata dete hain. RSI agar 30 ke neeche ho, to iska matlab hai ke pair oversold hai, jabke agar 70 ke upar ho, to yeh overbought conditions ka signal deta hai, jo bearish trades ko support karta hai.

Halankeh bearish outlook AUD/USD ko bechne ke liye mazboot wajah faraham karta hai, lekin risk management strategies ko samajhna behad zaroori hai. Market ki volatility kaafi zyada ho sakti hai, aur unexpected news ya ma’ashi data releases achanak reversal ka sabab ban sakti hain. Traders ko stop-loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye taake adverse price movements se bach sakein. Iske ilawa, Australia aur America se aanewale ma’ashi releases par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki yeh mazeed downward movement ki ummedon par roshni daal sakte hain.




Current price 0.6845 aur 0.6697 aur 0.6452 ke aas-paas ke support levels ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair aik naazuk position mein hai. Bearish trend ka imkan trading mauqa faraham karta hai, khaaskar agar market in support levels ko test karta hai. Lekin, traders ko hamesha chaukanna rehna chahiye, mazboot risk management practices ka istemal karna chahiye aur aise ma’ashi developments se waqif rehna chahiye jo is currency pair ko asar andaz ker sakty hn. Yeh manzar qabil-e-fikr hai, lekin jo log isay dhyan se samjhein, unhein near term mein AUD/USD mein khaas mauqe mil sakte hain.

Halankeh yeh pair kal bilkul flat raha, lekin is mein aisa kamzori dekhi gayi ke trend mein kaafi tabdeeli aa gayi. Thursday ke Asian session mein, sellers ne subah se enter karne ki koshish ki taake pichle din ke negative movement ko jaari rakhein. Aakhirkar, sellers ne price ko Thursday ke daily open 0.6887 se neeche gira diya, EMA 200 H1 ko behtar tareeqe se torte hue, phir EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi neeche ki taraf barh gayi. Yeh kamzori 0.6858 resistance ka toorna tak jari rahi. Is area ko cross karne ke baad, price consolidate hui kyunki sellers ki taqat kam hone lagi, aur market ka close 0.6842 par hua. Jumme ke trading mein, static conditions ka silsila jari raha aur price Friday ke daily open 0.6843 aur iske kareeb resistance 0.6864 ke beech upar neeche hoti rahi. EMA 200 H1 is resistance ke kareeb hai aur temporarily 0.6868 par cross ho rahi hai. Aise halat mein, price abhi bhi downward trend mein nazar aata hai.

Displacement Liquidity Zones (DLiq) jo ke September ke shuru mein shamil kiye gaye the, yeh bhi dikhate hain ke market abhi bhi zyada tar bearish hai. In zones ne bullish attempts ko rok diya hai, aur har dafa jab market in zones ko test karne ki koshish karta hai, price reject hota hai, jo strong selling interest ka ishaara deta hai. Potential downside targets ki baat karen to, agla support level 0.66000 psychological level ke kareeb hai, jo pehle liquidity pool ke sath aligned hai. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, to agla significant liquidity zone 0.64500 ke aas-paas milega, jo pehle downtrend mein price ko sambhal raha tha.




Dusri taraf, agar buyers 0.67000 resistance ko toor dete hain aur upar ki taraf push karte hain, to agla target 0.67500 FVG zone hoga. Lekin, overall trend yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi bhi bearish control mein hai, aur jab tak sentiment mein koi significant tabdeeli nahi aati, neeche ke price levels ko test kiya jata rahega.

Nateejah yeh hai ke AUD/USD abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai, jahan critical resistance 0.67000 aur 0.68000 par hai. Aage ki downside movement price ko 0.66000 aur aakhir mein 0.64500 support ko test karne tak le ja sakti hai. Agar 0.67000 ke upar koi sustained break hota hai, to yeh temporarily bias ko badal sakta hai, lekin strong selling pressure ab bhi wazeh hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Rozana time frame ki buniyad par AUD/USD chart ka jaiza lene se yeh pata chalta hai ke pichle hafte ki shuruat mein AUD/USD ki candle ka rukh neeche ki taraf tha. Lekin, kuch trading dinon ke baad, buyers ne dobara se price par qabo paaya, jis ki wajah se AUD/USD ki price har roz bullish andaaz mein band hui. Jumeraat ko AUD/USD ki trading shara’atein dekhte hue, price phir se neeche ja rahi hai, lekin girawat itni gehri nahi hai, is liye aap position khol sakte hain. RSI indicator ki laal line ki taraf se yeh dikhai deta hai ke yeh abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja rahi hai.

MACD indicator ka histogram bhi zero ke upar banana shuru ho gaya hai, lekin iska size abhi bhi chhota hai. Yeh pehle hi saaf hai ke green line (EMA 10) yellow line (EMA 21) ke saath neeche se takra rahi hai. Is darmiyan, signal line bhi upar ki taraf hai.




H1 Time Frame ka Jaiza

H1 time frame par AUD/USD chart ki aakhri halat yeh hai ke Australian dollar ka price pichle kuch dinon se upar ki taraf chal raha hai. Australian dollar ka price teen musalsal din tak kaafi barh gaya. Lekin, pichle hafta ki AUD/USD candle ne ek bearish move ke sath band hui, jo itni door nahi thi, is liye yeh behtar hoga ke hum AUD/USD pair par position kholne se bachein jab tak bearish move confirm na ho.

H4 aur H1 charts dikhate hain ke yeh pair upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke yeh jald upar ki taraf chalne ki ummeed hai. Jab yeh 0.6750 tak pohanchta hai, toh price ka rukh badal sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf aa sakta hai. Is pair mein jaldi se buy position kholna behtar hai.

AUD/USD: Waves Ka Safar

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ki real-time jaiza par hai. Lower chart par kharidari ke haq mein ek reversal formation ubhar raha hai. Agar aap 0.672 level par long position lete hain, toh pehla target intermediate level 0.675 aur shayad supply zone 0.677 hoga. Is scenario mein, stop order 0.663 par ya kareeb ke price curve par hoga. Agar price is range se neeche girti hai, toh main short positions par ghoor karunga. Neeche ki taraf movement ki surat mein, pehla target buyers' zone 0.664 hoga, jo itihas mein bullish trend ka shuruat tha. Jumeraat ko America ke mazdoor market data ne dollar ko support diya. Lekin, dollar ka post-opening trade karna bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai, aur ek acha pullback faida mand hoga. Is liye, main maujooda prices par koi transactions nahi kar raha.




Pichle Hafte Ka Jaiza

Pichle hafte, Australian dollar ke hourly chart ne peer ko thodi si barhoti dikhai. Price ne 0.6921 par resistance ko tod diya, jo 0.6982 par resistance ki taraf kharidari ka ishara tha. Lekin, yeh buy signal ghalat sabit hua. Mangal ko, support level 0.6852 par ek aur sell signal mila, jo bhi nafrat mein aaya, sath hi 0.6982 par ek aur ghalat buy signal bhi aaya. Us din ke baad, support ne 0.6852 par ek valid sell signal diya, jis se price 0.6852 support par aa gaya. Jumeraat tak yeh level tha, aur phir 0.6789 par ek sell signal mila. Price is level ke neeche settle ho gaya, aur Jumeraat ko signal ne price ko 0.6789 support par la diya. Agar yeh support tutta hai, toh agla sales target 0.6726 hoga. Humein khulne ke baad aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khas tor par jab AUD/USD pair ke liye local downward trend abhi bhi jaari hai.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Jaiza

AUD/USD currency pair abhi 0.6744 par ek aham horizontal resistance level ki taraf barh raha hai. Agar yeh resistance level tooti hai, toh yeh pair ko agle target 0.6776 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek short-term high ko darshata hai, lekin kuch nishaniyan hain ke upar ke targets bhi mumkin hain, khaaskar agar upward momentum jari rahe. Traders nazar rakh rahe hain ke jab price in critical resistance levels ke nazdeek aata hai, toh yeh kaise react karta hai, kyunki successful breakout se pair ke liye mazeed bullish potential ka pata chalega.

Jab 0.6744 ki resistance tooti hai, toh agla key level 0.6756 hoga. Yeh level pehle ki resistance ke kareeb hai, lekin yeh price ki upward journey mein chhoti si rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price 0.6756 ko paar karne mein kaamyab hota hai, toh momentum barh sakta hai aur price 0.6764 ki resistance level ka test kar sakta hai. Yeh level mazeed resistance de sakta hai, lekin agar price is par bhi tooti hai, toh yeh AUD/USD pair mein ek mazboot bullish trend ka ishara hoga.

Agar price 0.6764 ko paar kar jata hai, toh agla bada target 0.6787 hoga. Yeh level pair ke liye ek critical point hai, kyunki yeh ek higher resistance aur is waqt ke upward move ka potential peak darshata hai. 0.6787 tak pohanchna na sirf bullish momentum ki taqat ko confirm karega, balki ek broader trend shift ka bhi ishara dega, khaaskar agar price is level ke upar apni position banaye rakhti hai. Traders dekhna chahenge ke kya price barhna jari rakhta hai ya phir is higher target par pahunchne ke baad pullback hota hai.




Breakout Ki Surat Mein

Agar 0.6787 se upar breakout hota hai, toh AUD/USD aur bhi upar ke levels ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo kayi market factors par depend karega, jaise economic data, geopolitical events, aur overall market sentiment. Is point se aage ka sustained rally yeh darshata hai ke pair ek naye bullish phase mein enter kar raha hai, jahan higher highs ko hasil karna asan ho sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke failed breakout ki sambhavnayein ko bhi ghor se dekha jaye. Agar price in resistance levels ko todne mein pareshani mehsoos karta hai ya 0.6744 ke kareeb reject hota hai, toh traders pullback ya consolidation dekh sakte hain. Aise mein support levels bhi ahmiyat rakhte hain.

AUD/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

AUD/USD pair ab 0.67821 level par ek aham technical point par pohanch gaya hai, jise throwback support kaha jata hai. Yeh wo level hai jahan price ne pehle resistance ka samna kiya tha, lekin baad mein isse tod kar upar ki taraf barh gaya. Ab jab price phir se is level ki taraf aata hai, to yeh ek key support zone banne ki umeed hai. Traders is waqt market par nazar rakhenge taake yeh dekhein ke kya support bana rehta hai, jo upward trend ke jaari rehne ka ishara de sakta hai, ya agar price isse neeche girta hai, toh mazeed girawat ka signal ban sakta hai.

Throwback tab hota hai jab price pehle ke resistance level par wapas aati hai, jab usne isse tod diya hota hai, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke kya yeh support ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Is case mein, 0.67821 ka level ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh pehle price ke liye ek rukawat tha. Isse todne ke baad, yeh darshata hai ke buyers ne market par control hasil kiya, jis se price upar gaya. Lekin, market aksar retrace hota hai, is liye price ka is level ko phir se test karna aam baat hai. Agar support bana rehta hai, toh yeh is level ki taqat ko mazid barhata hai aur darshata hai ke buyers dobara control hasil kar sakte hain.

Agar AUD/USD pair 0.67821 ko phir se test karta hai aur iske upar bana rehta hai, toh yeh bullish traders ke liye market mein entry ka mauka de sakta hai, jahan woh rebound aur mazeed upward momentum ki umeed karte hain. Is support ki tasdeeq kharidari mein nayi dilchaspi paida kar sakti hai, jis se price apne agle resistance levels ki taraf barh sakta hai. Aise mein, traders bullish signals ki talash karenge, jaise reversal candlestick patterns ya positive momentum indicators, taake support ki taqat ko confirm kar sakein.

Agar Price Support Se Neeche Girti Hai

Lekin agar price 0.67821 ke upar nahi tikti aur isse neeche girti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ki kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai. Is surat mein, market mein mazeed selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Agla key support level 0.6740 hoga, jahan traders ki nazar hogi. Agar 0.6740 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh gehri girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ek lambi muddat ki bearish trend ka ishara de sakta hai.




Traders ko yeh salah di jati hai ke wo market sentiment aur technical indicators par nazar rakhein jab price 0.67821 level ke nazdeek hota hai. Yeh kehna ke support bana rehta hai ya nahi, AUD/USD pair ke short-term direction ka ek ahem faisla hoga. Har trading strategy ki tarah, risk management ka amal zaroori hai, jismein appropriate stop losses set karne se potential downside risks ko kam kiya ja sakta hai. Is support level par jo outcome hoga, wo AUD/USD pair ke agle aham move ka rukh tay karega.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai

AUD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein kaafi aham price action dikhaya hai, jisme kuch critical resistance aur support levels shamil hain jo traders ko closely dekhna chahiye. Is waqt pehli important resistance level 0.6914 par hai. Agar price is level ko break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga, jo price ko agle resistance level 0.6943 tak le ja sakta hai. Is tarah ki upward movement AUD/USD pair ke liye nayi growth ki leher bana sakti hai, jo ke positive trend ko aur zyada reinforce karegi.
Traders ko aksar bullish momentum ka confirmation lene ke liye indicators jese ke volume surges, technical patterns, ya phir economic data releases dekhna hota hai. Agar price 0.6914 ke level ko successfully break karta hai aur upar sustain karta hai, to traders apni positions barha sakte hain, aur mazeed upward movement ki umeed rakhte hain. Is se zyada market participants attract ho sakte hain, jo ke bullish trend ko aur strong karega aur price ko aur upar push karega.

Doosri taraf, agar AUD/USD ka price momentum barqarar nahi rakh pata aur reverse hota hai, to traders ko pehli support level 0.6896 ka retest dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to yeh bullish sentiment ki kamzori ki nishani hogi, aur price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Agar price 0.6896 ke neeche break karta hai, to focus doosri support level 0.6857 par shift ho jayega. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo ke ek zyada pronounced bearish trend ko janam dega.

Maujooda market environment mein Australia aur United States ke economic indicators kaafi aham role play karte hain. Australia ke mazboot economic data, jese employment figures ya GDP growth, Australian dollar ko support de sakte hain, jabke U.S. se kamzor data AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada favorable outlook bana sakta hai.

Geopolitical events aur central bank policies bhi currency movements par significant asar dalte hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ka stance interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth par Australian dollar ki value ko asar andaz karta hai. Usi tarah, U.S. Federal Reserve ki policies aur uska outlook inflation aur interest rates par USD ke liye pivotal hai. In factors mein tabdeeliyan AUD/USD pair mein zyada volatility la sakti hain.

Short term mein, AUD/USD price mein intraday gains limited ho sakte hain, jo consolidation phase ko reflect karte hain. Traders ko technical analysis ka istimaal karte hue trend reversals ya bullish aur bearish sentiment ka confirmation dekhna chahiye.
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AUD/USD ka H4 time frame chart dekhain to yeh zyada wazeh aur mukammal manzar faraham karta hai, jo ke pair ki market structure ko lower time frames ke muqable mein behtar tareeqay se dikhata hai. H4 chart traders ko key price trends aur trading ke potential moqay identify karne mein madad deta hai kyun ke yeh choti time frames ke shor ko kuch hat tak kam karta hai. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ek established downtrend mein hai, jise lower highs aur lower lows ke silsilay se pehchana ja sakta hai, jo ke bearish dominance ka mazboot indicator hai.
Iske ilawa, pair Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek mashhoor technical indicator hai jo trend direction, momentum aur reversal points identify karne mein madad karta hai. Yeh fact ke price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, yeh signal karta hai ke bearish momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai aur sellers downward pressure dalte ja rahe hain. Ichimoku cloud ek dynamic resistance zone ke taur par kaam karta hai, aur jab tak price is cloud ke neeche hai, iska matlab hai ke resistance ke muqable mein neeche ka rasta zyada aasan hai. Sath hi, bearish Kumo (cloud) mazid thik aur stable lagta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke yeh downtrend barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai.

Jab tak price cloud ke neeche rehti hai, aksar traders short positions ko pasand karte hain, kyun ke chart ka setup near-term mein bearish momentum ke continuation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, Ichimoku indicator ke doosray components jaise ke Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jo ke iss waqt ek bearish crossover mein aligned hain. Yeh crossover kuch arsa pehle hua tha, jo ke ongoing downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Tenkan-sen line, jo ke conversion line kehlati hai, Kijun-sen line, yani baseline ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend abhi bhi chal raha hai.

Aur Span, jo ke lagging span bhi kehlata hai, price action ke neeche situated hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai aur selling pressure ko barqarar rakhta hai. AUD/USD pair H4 time frame par downtrend mein majbooti se hain aur Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish momentum abhi kayam hai.

Traders ko bearish bias rakhnay ka sochna chahiye jab tak price cloud aur key Ichimoku levels ke neeche rehti hai. Doosray technical indicators ko bhi integrate karke aur price action ko dynamic resistance levels ke ird gird monitor karke, traders apni strategies ko mazeed refine kar sakte hain aur short-selling ke potential moqay dhoond sakte hain