ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

اکتوبر 9 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالرکے لیے پیشن گوئی

کل تک، آسٹریلوی ڈالر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے آ گیا اور 0.6727 پر سپورٹ لیول کا تجربہ کیا۔ قیمت اس لائن سے جتنی گہری دور ہوتی جائے گی، اگر دیگر اینٹی ڈالر کرنسیوں میں اضافہ ہونا شروع ہوتا ہے تو اسے واپس کرنا اتنا ہی مشکل ہوگا۔ جب تک قیمت بیلنس لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج) سے اوپر اور لکیری سپورٹ سے اوپر رہتی ہے، قیمت کے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (0.6772) سے اوپر بڑھنے اور اس کے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کا اب بھی ایک اچھا موقع ہے۔

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آج کا اوپر کا منظر نامہ پیچیدہ ہے کیونکہ ریزرو بینک آف نیوزی لینڈ (rbnz) نے اپنی شرح کو 5.25% سے کم کر کے 4.75% کر دیا، جس سے نیوزی لینڈ کے ڈالر میں کمی واقع ہوئی۔ تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے، مارلن آسیلیٹر الٹ جانے کا اشارہ بھی نہیں کر رہا ہے۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ ایک دن میں تبدیلی کا امکان زیادہ واضح ہو جائے گا۔ ہم انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر کمزور ڈائیورژن بنایا ہے۔ اس سے روزانہ کے پیمانے پر مارلن کے متوقع الٹ جانے سے پہلے قیمت کو گرنے سے روکنے میں مدد مل سکتی ہے۔ اضافی نمو کے اشارے کے لیے، ایچ -٤ پر مارلن کو مثبت زون میں داخل ہونا چاہیے، اور قیمت کو 0.6772 سے اوپر ہونا چاہیے - روزانہ پیمانے پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے اوپر۔

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تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly

Price Action Patterns: AUD/USD

Main ab AUD/USD currency pair ki real-time pricing ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Aaj main daily chart par tawajju dena chahta hoon, jahan maine pehle bataya tha ke technical factors bears ko control lene ki ijaazat de sakte hain, aur yeh waqai mein hua hai. Price 1/8 angle aur 50% resistance level 0.6918 se rebound hui hai, aur ab yeh aakhri support levels ke qareeb hai. Yeh levels bears ko neeche jaane se roknay mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Is liye, kuch waqt ke liye consolidation ke baad, mujhe thoda upar jaane ka ehsaas hai, halan ke bullish trend ka phir se shuru hona mushkil hai. Australian dollar achi performance dikha raha hai. Aik reversal aaya, magar is ke baad ka girawat sirf 140 points tak mehsoos hui, jo 0.6941 se 0.6801 tak hai. Jab ke highs thore se zyada the, pair thora recover kar gaya hai. Hum is reaction ki umeed 0.6801 se 0.6811 tak rakh sakte hain.




Pair ki taqat ko dekhte hue, jo dollar par itna asar nahi kar raha, hum lagta hai ke hum pullback ki hadeed par hain jo is hafte ke doran develop ho sakta hai. Price ab ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Is hafte, pair channel ke lower boundary 0.6797 tak gira. Is low tak pahunchne ke baad, girawat ruk gayi hai, aur ek reversal Monday se shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakta hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf badhta hai, to yeh upper boundary 0.7183 ke aas paas pahunch sakta hai. Filhal, AUD/USD instrument trend line ke neeche hai, jo sellers aksar resistance ka point samajhte hain. Is line ke aur kareeb aane par, humare paas bearish trading karne aur behtar prices par sales karne ka acha mauka hai, jab trend se potential rebound hota hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Bazaar abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai, kyunke jaise aap chart ke baayein hisse par dekh sakte hain, price kaafi zyada gira hai, aur aaj subah ki correction sirf profit-taking thi. Jab sellers ne pehle bohat saare munafa kama liye, aur bohat se khuli positions ek sath band hoti hain, to mother candles ki ginti mein bohat izafa hota hai. Price 0.6710 par thoda sa upar aayi aur 0.6750 par peak tak pahunch gayi, lekin phir ismein gehri girawat aayi jo 0.6690 tak pohanch gayi, sirf kuch ghanton pehle jab American session 0.6810 par band hua. Is tarah, currency pair ne kal ek din mein 160 pips se zyada ka movement dekha, jo pichle din ke range ke muqablay mein kaafi bada hai.



Lambi muddat ke liye, lagta hai ke prices wapas un higher highs par aa sakti hain jo Asian session ki shuruaat se banee thi, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Is liye, abhi open long positions rakhna sahi hai, jab European session khulega. Ek khuli position ke liye take profit point 0.6765 par rakhna hoga, jo upper Bollinger band indicator ka end hai, aur stop loss point 0.6755 par, jo ek support level bhi hai, kyunke price supply jaldi ho sakta hai. Yeh manzoor hai ke market wahi hai jo hai. Is surat mein, purchases ko cancel kar dena chahiye tha, aur ab agar price 0.6780 se bounce hota hai to bechna ka waqt hai. Hum confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain aur tab tak bechenge jab tak 0.6745 ka support na mil jaye.

Craft Winning Trades: AUD/USD Prices

Ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj yeh currency pair technically achi performance de raha hai. H4 time frame ka jaiza lene ke baad, maine bearish setup ka activation dekha, jo indicator ke zariye laal rang mein highlight kiya gaya hai. Is ke baad se, pair ne haal ke local high se 71 points se zyada girawat dekhi hai (spread ko chhod kar). Yeh movement ADR indicator ki range ke mutabiq hai, jahan high 0.6933 aur low 0.6869 hai. Scalping ka objective aasan nazar aa raha hai, lekin hum abhi 38.2 Fibonacci level tak nahi pahunche, jo thora neeche 0.6862 par hai. American session abhi aana baqi hai, isliye faisla karna abhi jaldi hai.




Budhwar ke economic calendar par, Australian dollar ke liye teen sitare category mein koi khaas khabar nahi hai. Lekin, U.S. se notable reports mein "crude oil reserves" aur "non-farm payroll employment changes" shamil hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka central topic hoga. Is pair ke liye primary trend ab bhi upward hai. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum ne 0.6900 range mein near-term targets ko achieve kar liya hai. Halankeh upward pressure hai, lekin yeh koi mazboot consolidation nahi hai. Ek zyada significant pullback zaroori lag raha hai, kyunki price aur girne ki jagah hai. Yeh kaafi kuch dollar ki trading par depend karta hai, khaaskar aaj ADP labour market data release ke sath. Is context mein, main ab bhi neeche ki taraf move hone ka soch raha hoon, aur agar price 0.6921 ke upar phir se upar jaati hai, to main selling opportunities ko nazar andaz nahi karunga. Jab market ka behavior unstable hai, upar aur neeche swing karta hai, tab trend line ke upar thodi si rise dekhne ko milti hai jo outlook ko zyada badalti nahi.

The Australian dollar initially saw a modest recovery during the trading week, but then saw a significant decline, reflecting continued volatility in the market. Currently, the currency is hovering around the 200-week EMA, which is a key technical indicator to watch closely. The 0.69 level has historically been a challenge for the market as it represents the upper end of the trading range that the Australian dollar has been in over the past few years.

Given the current market dynamics, it is clear that the Australian dollar is under pressure from multiple directions. This is understandable given the broader market sentiment, which oscillates between "risk-on" and "risk-off" stances. In global economic uncertainty, the setting of the US central bank's monetary policy plays a key role. The latest US employment report, which beat expectations, only added to the uncertainty surrounding the Fed's future decisions and complicated the outlook for the Aussie dollar.




A key area to watch is the 0.6950 level. If the Aussie can break above this point, it could signal a stronger bullish move, potentially leading to broader US dollar weakness, especially in a more "risk-on" environment. On the downside, a significant break below the 0.68 level could set the stage for a deeper pullback, with the next major support level likely to be found near 0.6650, where the 50-week EMA is also located.

In conclusion, the Aussie dollar remains in a sensitive position, with major technical levels defining its potential path. Whether the market moves towards risk appetite or further risk aversion will be decisive in deciding the next move. Traders will be watching these levels closely to gauge market sentiment and potential opportunities for both buying and selling in the near term.

AUD/USD ke Qeemat ka Jaiza

Filhal, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke qeemat ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair pichle paanch din se negative momentum ka shikaar hai, jo ke US dollar ke halke se barhne ki wajah se hai. Australian dollar par bhi pressure hai kyunki traders China ke economic stimulus program mein kami se naraaz hain. Ab tawajjoh agle FOMC minutes par hai, jo kuch short-term movement faraham kar sakte hain, khaaskar US inflation data ke release se pehle.

Pair ne 0.6769 ki taraf chhoti si intraday rise ke baad dobara bechne ki dilchaspi ka samna kiya, aur Budhwar ko ye apni paanch din ki giraawat ko jaari rakhta hai. Pehle European session ke doran, spot prices 0.6724-0.6729 ke range mein gir gaye, jo ke Mangal ko teen hafton ka low hai, aur bears 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ko challenge kar rahe hain.

Sell signals tab confirm hue jab qeemat 0.6907 level ke neeche consolidate hui. Behtareen selling point tab tha jab qeemat is level ko neeche se dobara test karti hai, jo resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai, asal mein pehle ki upar ki taraf badhawa ka mirror image ban gaya. Chhoti si baat ye hai ke ye plan bilkul theek kaam kiya, jo pichle hafte US dollar ki major currencies ke khilaf taqat se madad se tha.

Pair gira, phir stabilize hua jab tak US economic data release nahi hua. Non-agricultural sector ke employment numbers mein bohot behtari aayi, average hourly wages mein izafa hua, aur unemployment rate giri. Halankeh is data ki accuracy par sawal uthaya ja sakta hai, lekin US dollar ne tezi se jawab diya, jo zyada tar major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hua.

Pehle, qeemat ek ascending support line tak pahuncha tha jo ke higher daily waves ke base par bani thi. Saath hi, RSI indicator ne lower oversold zone se upar ki taraf harkat ka potential signal diya, jo slight bullish divergence dikhata hai. Ye aam tor par acha nishan hota, lekin is dafa qeemat neeche ki taraf chali gayi, jo upward trend ko tod diya.

### AUD/USD Price Activity

Hamari guftagu ka maudhu AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movement ka tajziya hai. AUD/USD jo pair hai, abhi tak khamosh hai. Kal, mujhe umeed thi ke yeh bearish daily trend ke break zone ki taraf jaega (pivot H1 par 0.6652 aur 0.6614), lekin aaj yeh pair pivot H1 par 0.6713 ke upar hai, jo M15, H1, aur H4 time frames par bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai. Resistance level 0.6762 ab bhi pair par pressure daal raha hai. Lekin jis direction ka hum intezaar kar rahe hain, woh abhi tak wazeh nahi hui. Agar price 0.6750 ke upar chala gaya, to M15 trend se bullish shift hoga. Agar 0.6762 tak pahuncha, to price bearish N1 trend ke break zone ki taraf (pivot H1 par 0.6774 se 0.6794) barh sakta hai, jiske baad pullback ka mumkinah hai. Isi tarah, agar H1 time frame ko break kiya gaya, to yeh further growth ki taraf le ja sakta hai bearish H4 time frame ke break zone (0.6849 se 0.6879) ki taraf, jiske baad decline ka imkaan hai.

Hum upar ki taraf movement ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki pair jaldi se 0.6770 tak barh sakta hai. AUD/USD aise move kar sakta hai, aur bullish trend mein potential hai. Lekin, mujhe ye puri tarah se yakin hai ke overall direction abhi bhi downward hai, kyunki maujooda AUD/USD uptrend ka reversal ho gaya hai.

4-hour chart par ye wazeh hai ke bears abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain, aur ye momentum agle bearish trend ki lehar ke sath barh sakta hai. Mein har bullish wave par sell karne ka mashwara deta hoon jab tak pair 0.6770 ke neeche rahe.

H1 time frame ki technical analysis ko dekhte hue, qeemat filhal 0.6729 par hai, jabke decline 0.6761 hai. Jab qeemat 0.6699 ke neeche girti hai, to ye 0.6599 tak girne ki mumkinat hai. Sirf H4 time frame ke upar break karne se bullish daily trend barqarar rahega, jo qeemat ko 0.7079 tak le ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Activity

Hamari guftagu ka maqsad AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing movement ka jaiza lena hai. AUD/USD jori abhi tak inactive hai. Kal, maine yeh umeed ki thi ke girawat jari rahegi aur bullish daily trend ke break zone tak pahunchegi (pivot H1 par 0.6652 aur 0.6614), lekin aaj, jori pivot H1 par 0.6713 ke upar barqarar hai, jo M15, H1, aur H4 time frames par bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai. Resistance level 0.6762 ab bhi jori par pressure daal raha hai. Lekin, jis direction ka hum intezar kar rahe hain, woh wazeh nahi hai.

Agar price 0.6750 ke upar break hoti hai, toh M15 bearish trend se bullish trend mein shift ho jayegi. Agar 0.6762 ka imkaan hai, toh price bearish N1 trend ke break zone ki taraf (pivot H1 par 0.6774 se 0.6794) barh sakti hai, uske baad ek pullback aane ka imkaan hai. Isi tarah, agar H1 time frame ka break hota hai, toh yeh bearish H4 time frame ke break zone (0.6849 se 0.6879) ki taraf mazeed izafe ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jiske baad girawat ka imkaan hai.

Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke upward movement ho sakti hai kyunki jori jaldi se 0.6770 tak barh sakti hai. AUD/USD aisi harkat kar sakta hai, aur bullish trend mein potential hai. Lekin, mujhe yaqeen hai ke overall direction ab bhi downward hai, kyunki maujooda AUD/USD uptrend ka reversal ho chuka hai.

H4 chart par yeh saaf hai ke bears ab bhi dominate kar rahe hain, aur yeh momentum agle bearish trend ki lehar ke sath tez hone ka imkaan hai. Main har bullish wave par bechne ki salahiyat deta hoon jab tak jori 0.6770 ke neeche rahe.

H1 time frame ki technical analysis ko dekhte hue, price is waqt 0.6729 par hai, jahan se decline 0.6761 tak ho chuki hai. Jab price 0.6699 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh yeh 0.6599 tak girne ka imkaan hai. Sirf H4 time frame ke upar ka break bullish daily trend ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo shayad price ko 0.7079 tak le ja sake.

**AUD/USD Price Action Ka Jaiza**

Hamari guftagu is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing ke current movement ka tajziya karne par markuzi hai. AUD/USD pair apne do-maheene ke trend line ke saath consolidate kar raha hai, khaaskar agar yeh apne extremes par qaim rahe. Halankeh yeh 0.679 ke neeche gir gaya hai, magar rebound ka mauqa ab bhi maujood hai. Is trend line ka todna ek mukammal ulatav ka ishara de sakta hai, jo shayad 0.651 ki taraf girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Is darmiyan, AUD/USD futures market mein open interest (OI) barh raha hai. Magar yeh wazeh nahi hai ke yeh barhawa long positions ke wajah se hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke girawat sirf ek correction hai aur barhne ki umeed hai, ya phir short positions ki taraf ishara hai bina long positions ko band kiye. Yeh uncertainty ek range-bound scenario paida karti hai, aur humein isay qareeb se dekhte rehna hoga. AUD/USD order book is waqt buyers se bhara hua hai, jo currency pair ke liye neeche ki taraf mazboot potential ka ishara de raha hai.

Aaj, main 4-hour chart par AUD/USD pair ka tajziya karna chahta hoon, jo lower time frames ke muqable mein zyada wazeh tasveer faraham karta hai. Yeh pair downtrend mein hai aur Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Short positions sambhav hain. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo bearish nazar ko mazid taqat de raha hai.

Aakhri trading session mein pair ne aur girawat ki, sellers ne control hasil kiya aur prices ko pehle support level ke neeche le jaaya. Filhal, pair 0.6727 par trading kar raha hai. Intraday focus classic Pivot points ke zariye tay kiye gaye support levels par hai. Giraawat current levels se jaari rahegi, aur agar dusra support level 0.6996 toota, toh yeh neeche ki taraf ek aur lehar ko janam de sakta hai, jo 0.6581 support region ko target karega.

Agar buyers market mein dobara shamil hote hain, toh dekhne ke liye key resistance 0.6897 par hai. Filhal, pair thoda upar 0.6701 ke, khaaskar 0.6721 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ki qeemat Thursday ko do central banks ke mukhtalif economic outlooks ki wajah se barh gayi, jisse AUD/USD ne apne haal hi ke kuch losses ko recover kiya. Aussie dollar, jo ke commodities se related hai, ko apne top trading partner China se madad mili, kyunke China ne apni economy ko behtar karne ke liye naye stimulus programs introduce kiye. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka Tuesday ka faisla ke official cash rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par qaim rakha gaya, Australian currency ko support mila aur AUD/USD ki qeemat barh gayi. RBA Governor Michelle Bullock ne ye bhi kaha ke filhaal kharchay badalne wale nahi hain, aur yeh tasalsul dekhne ko mil raha hai ke RBA nazdeek waqt mein fees kam karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta, jo ke AUD/USD ki qeemat ke neeche girne ke chances ko kam karega, chahe Australian consumer price index (CPI) ka data disappointing hi kyun na ho.

Is dauran, Federal Reserve ke Chairman Powell ka aane wala speech Thursday ko aur US personal consumption expenditures price index Friday ko qareebi nazar rakhi ja rahi hai taake central banks ke financial coverage stance ke baare mein zyada maloomat mil sakein. AUD/USD pair ne foreign exchange rates ke hawalay se fikar ki wajah se decline dikhaya, jab dollar ek safe-haven currency ban gayi. Lekin Thursday ko European trade ke waqt, AUD/USD ne apne peechlay session ke kuch losses ko recover kiya aur taqreeban 0.6860 par close kiya. Daily chart ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair ascending channel pattern ki neeche wali had par breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh channel ke andar re-enter karta hai, toh profit-takers ke support ke saath yeh optimistic assessment banay rakhay ga. 0.6860 level par, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ki descending boundary ko test kar raha hai. Agar favorable bounce milta hai, toh yeh pair upper boundary ko cross kar sakta hai, jo ke 0.6960 ke qareeb hai. Nine-day exponential moving average (EMA), jo ke 0.6815 level ke qareeb hai, AUD/USD ko foran support dene ki umeed hai. Agla important phase psychological barrier of 0.6700 hoga. Agar qeemat is level se neeche girti hai, toh pair ko six-week low tak, jo ke 0.6622 hai, phir se neeche dhakel diya ja sakta hai.

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI)

AUD/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behaviour ko abhi hum dissect kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte trading mein kai currency pairs shamil the. Weekly chart par dekha gaya ke pehle movement upward thi. Agle hafte ke liye hume yeh dekhna hai ke downward trend jari rahega ya phir buying ka resurgence dekhne ko milega. Isko assess karne ke liye hume technical analysis karna hoga aur kuch critical recommendations identify karni hongi.

Moving averages suggest karte hain ke ek active buying ka approach lena chahiye, aur technical indicators bhi is trend ko confirm karte hain. Overall outlook yeh dikhata hai ke agle hafte further upward movement ka imkaan hai. Lekin hume significant news releases ko bhi nazar mein rakhna hoga jo agle hafte ke dauran aane wali hain. US se kuch important news expected hai, jisme zyada tar negative forecast hai. Khas tor par, Thursday ko 15:30 par ek series of reports release hongi jinki outlook pessimistic hai. Is dauran, Australia se jo news aayegi wo neutral hogi, jese ke Australian business confidence index jo Tuesday ko 03:30 par release hoga, aur iska forecast bhi neutral hai.

Jese ke aap dekh rahe hain, hume AUD/USD par bearish signal mil raha hai, lekin abhi iska koi solid confirmation nahi hai. Main market opening par bold sell nahi karunga. Agar is pair ki price apni current maximum se upar foothold nahi karti, aur large volume ke sath ek bearish impulse appear hota hai, toh mai southern price movement ko implement karne par razi ho jaunga. Yeh possible decline 0.6820 ke protected zone tak ho sakta hai. Agar price 0.6750 ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh sell signal ko confirm karega.

Bahut se different scenarios hain jo depend karte hain options par, lekin yahan price ko aap apni marzi se drive kar sakte hain. Jab tak hum current price structure ko ek poori tasveer ke tor par dekhen, hume yahan south direction mein move karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Jese ke kaha jata hai, dekhte hain kya hota hai. Weekend ke dauran price same rehti hai, toh agle trading week ke liye hume sab price charts ko calmly aur baghair kisi jaldbazi ke dekhna chahiye aur apni planning karni chahiye.

pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono

zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone Pehle price thoda dip hui lekin US employment data release hone tak stable rahi, jo non-agricultural sector mein khas taur par achi tabdeeliyan zahir kar raha tha. Khaaskar, hourly wage barh gayi thi aur unemployment rate gir gaya tha. Halanki in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, lekin US dollar ne bohot taqat ke sath reaction diya, aur doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid barh gaya. Price ab higher daily waves ke neeche established ascending support line tak pohanch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, jo ek slight bullish divergence ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh scenario ek strong signal deta hai ke upward correction ka imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6838 ke resistance level ko target kar sakta hai ya shayad us se bhi ooper jaye. Chart ke left side par dekhne par yeh samajh aata hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai na ke ek volume level. Potential market movements recent statistics ke basis par volume levels ko hit karne ka imkaan zahir karti hain, rather