ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Price Movement

Hamara aaj ka focus AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior par hai. H1 time frame ke mutabiq, candle abhi 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance level ko choo rahi hai. Ho sakta hai ke AUD/USD kuch aur pips upar jaye isse pehle ke yeh tezi se niche giray. Lekin agar yeh resistance area break ho jata hai, to price upar barh sakti hai. Mere khayal mein AUD/USD ka yeh rise sirf ek corrective move hai. Kyun ke ab tak candle supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar payi, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD akhri mein giray ga. Abhi tak girawat dheemi rahi hai jab se yeh price upar gayi hai. Ab AUD/USD ke pass acha moka hai ke yeh aur niche jaye.

Jab AUD/USD niche gira, to ek nayi intersection bani, jahan candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tha, jo ke Ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chala. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi thoda chance hai ke AUD/USD wapas upar ja sakta hai. AUD/USD apni qareebi resistance 0.6810 ke paas hai, jaisa ke maine kal bhi bataya tha.




AUD/USD pair hourly chart par ek clear downtrend mein hai. Aaj pair ne support zone ko test kiya aur 0.6733 par trade kar raha tha. Price ne bearish perspective dikhaya, aur Stochastic indicator bhi niche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pair recent sessions mein apne bearish trajectory par qaim raha, aur pivot level ke neeche trade karta raha. Intraday sales targets ab classic Pivot support levels ke mutabiq hain. Main yeh anticipate karta hoon ke yeh girawat ab ke levels se jaari rahe gi, aur agar price 0.6707 ke second support level ko break karti hai, to ek nayi girawat ka aghaz hoga, jo pair ko support line 0.6662 ke neeche aur bearish le jaayegi. Agar bulls wapas market mein aaye, to unka focus current chart ke resistance level 0.6807 par hoga. 0.6751 par trade karte waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6794 level ko break nahi kar paya aur tezi se 0.6732 tak gir gaya.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

Is hafte ke teesre din ki trading session mein market ne phir se ek halki si downward movement dekhi, jo zyada gehri nahi thi. Agar hum is hafte ke shuru ke trading ko dekhein, to kuch cheezein review karne layak hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra tha aur highest price zone ko chor gaya. Yeh price decline agle trading decisions par bhi asar andaz ho sakta hai, jahan isse pehle ke price bearish hoti, last week market consolidation ka aik phase tha. August mein, market ka dominant trend bullish tha aur kaafi active movement dekhi gayi thi. Mere andaze ke mutabiq agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai, lekin aaj ke trading movement mein utni fluctuations nahi hain, kyun ke pichle mahine ka bullish trend kamzor pad gaya hai. Sellers market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar hum last few days ke market conditions ko dekhein, to yeh achha waqt ho sakta hai ke fall ko consider kiya jaye, kyun ke bullish trend pehle hi fail ho chuka hai.

Candlestick ka movement abhi bhi support level 0.6700 ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke bearish trend continue ho sakta hai agar sellers is support level ko break karte hain. Is hafte AUD/USD pair ke liye main abhi bhi bearish market ke opportunity ke liye optimistic hoon, kyun ke candlestick ne bearish pattern mein move kiya hai, aur buyers ki taraf se koi khaas resistance nahi hai.




Aaj jab price neeche ki taraf gayi, to yeh 0.6723 ke lower boundary tak pahunch gayi. Halanki price is level ke neeche briefly dip hui thi, lekin girawat sustain nahi kar payi aur ab ruk gayi hai. Main reversal expect nahi karta, aur price ka movement upar ki taraf lagta hai. Growth ka target descending channel ka upper limit 0.6773 par ho sakta hai. Pair aaj aur zyada gira, initial target ko cross karte hue. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne 0.6719 ke support level ko test kiya aur ab 0.6718 par trade kar raha hai. RSI buy zone mein hai lekin thoda hesitation dikhata hai, jabke AO ek potential oversold situation ka ishara kar raha hai. Pair ki price pichle din ke trading range ke neeche hai. Signals itne strong nahi hain, lekin yeh potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain, shayad price 0.6759 ke resistance level ki taraf move kare.

Australian Dollar Analysis

Is hafte ke dauran Australian dollar mein ek tezi se girawat dekhi gayi, lekin ab yeh recovery ke signs dikhata hai. 0.6650 ka level ek important support area ke tor par samne aaya hai, jabke 0.6850 ka level ek aham resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Khaas tor par 200-week EMA bhi 0.6850 ke qareeb hai, jo technical resistance mein ek aur layer ka izafa karta hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke Australian dollar isi range ke andar move karta rahega, jo ke global risk-on sentiment aur commodities ki demand mein uthal puthal se drive ho raha hai.

Agar market is current range, yani 0.6650 aur 0.6850 ke darmiyan se breakout karta hai, to price ya to upar ya neeche ek significant move kar sakti hai. Lekin abhi global risk appetite ke hawalay se kaafi uncertainty hai, jis wajah se Aussie dollar stable momentum hasil nahi kar raha. Yeh currency range-bound rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak traders ko broader market se koi clear signals nahi miltay.




Australian dollar par ek bara asar Federal Reserve ka expected rate cut hai, jo aane walay hafton mein hone ki umeed hai. Halanki Fed se rate cut ki umeed hai, lekin abhi tak is baat par clarity nahi hai ke future cuts kitne extent tak ho sakte hain. Saath hi yeh bhi concerns hain ke Fed ke actions shayad underlying economic weakness ko signal kar rahe hain. Agar rate cut worsening conditions ki wajah se hota hai, to yeh commodities ki demand ko kam kar sakta hai, jo ke Australian economy par asar dalay ga.

Mukhtasir mein, Australian dollar is waqt ek indecision ke period mein hai aur global economic uncertainty par react karte hue ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Jab tak risk appetite aur rate cuts ke asar par zyada clarity nahi milti, yeh currency koi bara directional move nahi karegi. Traders is range ke breakout ka intezar karenge taake aglay possible trend ka taayun kar sakein.

Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gay

Mere paas kai strategies hain, lekin un mein se sirf ek hi viable hogi. Mujhe lagta hai ke exchange rate aglay kuch dinon mein gir sakta hai. Agar hum weekly AUD/USD chart ka analysis karein, to yeh chhoti time frames ke liye context de sakta hai. Pichlay haftay mein kai bearish signals milay hain, jin mein "Bearish Engulfing" pattern aur "Evening Star" shamil hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh currency pair mazeed decline kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, aglay haftay pair ke sideways move karne ka imkaan hai. Buying resistance level 0.6709 ko test kar sakti hai, jab ke sales support level 0.6629 ke qareeb aa sakti hain. Is liye, sideways movement kaafi mumkin lagta hai, jo ke aglay haftay ke liye meri trading plan ki buniyad banegi. Pichlay haftay selling pressure dominate karta raha. Weekly chart par lagataar do haftay se bearish movement dikhayi de rahi hai. Agle haftay ka ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh downward trend continue karega ya koi doosra scenario unfold hoga. Taake behtareen tasveer mil sake, is haftay ka technical analysis aur recommendations dekhte hain. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, lekin technical indicators strong buy ka ishara kar rahe hain, jabke overall outlook neutral hai. Is mix se aglay haftay pair ke sideways movement ka imkaan lagta hai. Is ke ilawa, important news bhi United States se aani hai, jisme neutral forecasts hain. Wednesday ko 15:29 par US ke significant reports release hongi, lekin projections abhi tak neutral hain. Australia bhi iss haftay mein construction permits se related crucial news release karega, jiska positive outlook hai

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.l



BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke

Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho

is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis discuss kiya ja raha hai. Hum ne nayi trading week mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo promising lag raha hai, kyun ke mein kuch trades ko solid profit ke sath close karne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Khaaskar AUD/USD pair mein, aaj ki candle thoda bearish side par pullback dikhati hai jab ke price upar janay ke bajaye neeche gayi hai, lekin yeh koi bara concern nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls agle chand dino mein 0.6880 ke aas paas resistance level tak pahunch jayein ge. Ek door ka target 0.6721 bhi nazar mein hai, jo short positions ke liye bohot attractive hai.
Buying thodi unstable lagti hai, is liye yeh behtareen waqt hai selling ko consider karne ka. Aaj ke target ke raste mein ek aur support level 0.6756 par hai, lekin market ki reaction ko predict karna mushkil hai. Wahan ek corrective pullback ban sakta hai. Jab tak price 0.6789 ke central mark ke neeche hai, mein buy trades ko consider nahi kar raha hoon, halaan ke agar 0.6789 ke upar ek stable consolidation hota hai, toh buy ek alternative option ho sakti hai.

Aaj ke Trading Halat:

Aaj hum continued active growth dekh rahe hain, jiska potential target 0.6864 range mein ho sakta hai. Haal ki bearish correction khatam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. 0.6721 range ko test karne ke baad upward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai, shayad ek chhoti correction ke baad. Agar 0.6725 par ek false breakout hota hai aur price wahan ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar 0.6805 break hota hai aur price wahan ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho gi.

AUD/USD pair ne 0.6773 level (Murray 7.8) ke upar rehne ke liye struggle kiya, lekin sellers ne usay neeche push kar diya, Kijun H4 line ki taraf. MACD indicator convergence ke qareeb hai. Agar market sideways phase mein nahi jata, toh bears ka agla task 0.6713 level (Murray 6.8) tak pahunchna hoga aur is support ko break karne ki koshish karna hogi. Iss waqt trading stage par upward movement dobara resume hona mushkil lagta hai

AUD/USD: Ek Hourly Time Frame Road Map Aur Plan

Kal ka din AUD/USD ke bulls ke liye mushkil raha. Market bulls ke haath se phisal gayi aur bears yaani sellers ne 0.6668 ka level test karke kamiyabi hasil ki. Yeh technical analysis market ke sentiment ko samajhne mein ek aham kirdar ada karta hai. Bohat se log technical indicators aur chart patterns par bharosa karte hain taake market ka mood samajh sakein aur future price movements ko predict kar sakein. Misal ke taur par, agar ek currency pair uptrend mein ho aur higher highs aur higher lows banaye, to sentiment aam tor par bullish hota hai. Agar pair downtrend mein ho aur lower highs aur lower lows banaye, to sentiment bearish hota hai.

AUD/USD ke bulls Monday ko kuch nuqsan cover kar sakte hain, lekin asal market ek bearish scenario ki taraf dekh raha hai. Doosri taraf, agar rate cut ya further stimulus measures liye gaye, to euro ke liye bhi bearish outlook ho sakta hai kyun ke currency depreciation ka imkaan hota hai. AUD/USD ke investors ko yeh bhi samajhna chahiye ke aur bhi events market sentiment par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ke political instability, jangain, trade disputes, aur diplomatic tensions. In cheezon se uncertainty barhti hai, jo sentiment mein tabdili ka sabab ban sakti hai.



Jaise Brexit ke hawalay se uncertainty ne British pound ke value mein bohat fluctuations laaye, aur jab uncertainty barhti hai to sentiment aam tor par bearish ho jata hai kyun ke economic consequences ka khauf barhta hai. AUD/USD ka market aglay dino mein resistance level 0.6682 ko test kar sakta hai. Bulls ko yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke doosray risks bhi safe-haven currencies, jaise U.S. dollar, Swiss franc, ya Japanese yen mein capital ke flow ko barhawa de sakte hain. Jab tensions barhti hain, to riskier currencies ke liye sentiment bearish hota hai, jabke safe-haven currencies ke liye sentiment bullish ban jata hai. Yeh tabdili capital ko potential losses se bachaane ki koshish ko reflect karti hai jo uncertain times mein hoti hai.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis humare discussion ka mawzu hai. Hum ne ek nayi trading week mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo promising lag rahi hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke is week mein kuch trades solid profit ke saath close karoon ga. Khaaskar AUD/USD pair mein, aaj ki candle ne thodi bearish side ki taraf pullback dikhaya hai, jabke upward move ki umeed thi, lekin yeh koi bara concern nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls kuch dinon mein 0.6880 ke aas paas resistance level tak pahunch jayenge. Main ek door ka target 0.6721 bhi dekh raha hoon, jo short positions ke liye kaafi attractive lagta hai. Buying abhi unstable lag rahi hai, isliye yeh ek acha waqt hai selling consider karne ka. Aaj ke target tak jaane ke raste mein ek aur support level 0.6756 par hai, lekin market ka reaction predict karna mushkil hai. Ho sakta hai wahan ek corrective pullback ban jaye.

Jab tak price 0.6789 ke central mark se neeche rahe gi, main buy trades consider nahi kar raha hoon, lekin agar price 0.6789 ke upar stable consolidation dikhaye, to buying ek alternative option ho sakti hai.

Aaj hum active growth ka silsila dekh rahe hain, jiska potential target 0.6864 range mein ho sakta hai. Halanki recent bearish correction lagta hai ke khatam ho gayi hai, aur growth wapas shuru ho sakti hai. Agar price 0.6721 range ko test karne ke baad wapas upar jati hai, to upward trend dobara chalu ho sakta hai, lekin ek minor correction ke baad. Agar 0.6725 par ek false breakout hota hai aur price is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar price 0.6805 ko break karti hai aur iske upar hold karti hai, to buying ka mauka ban sakta hai.




AUD/USD pair ne 0.6773 level (Murray 7.8) ke upar rehne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, aur sellers ne price ko niche Kijun H4 line ki taraf dhakel diya. MACD indicator convergence ke qareeb hai. Agar market sideways phase mein nahi jata, to bears ka agla task 0.6713 level (Murray 6.8) tak pahunchna hoga aur is support ko break karne ki koshish karni hogi. Is trading stage par, mujhe upward movement ka dobara shuru hona mushkil lagta hai.

AUD/USD Analysis

AUD/USD market pair ne Thursday ko trading mein buyer ne successfully price ko maintain kiya, jinhon ne seller ke selling pressure ko buyer support area, yani 0.6715-0.6718 par roknay mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Is ne seller ko control kho dene par majboor kiya aur buyer ne phir zyada strong buying pressure apply kiya, jisse price dobara bullish ho kar upar chali gayi.




Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka use karke dekha gaya ke buyer ne price ko Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar, yani 0.6715-0.6717 par successfully maintain kiya. Is se price ke upar move karne ka imkaan hai, aur buyer ka target Upper Bollinger Bands area tak ho sakta hai, ya phir kam az kam strong seller supply resistance area, yani 0.6793-0.6795 ke upar break karna hoga, jo ke price ke liye ek aur higher bullish path kholega.

Friday ko European market ke dauran buyers ne koshish ki ke subah ke bearish pace ko rok sakein jo sellers ne start ki thi. Buyer ne 0.6718-0.6715 ke support area ko maintain karne ki koshish ki. Agar yeh area seller ke pressure ko jhelne mein kamiyab hota hai, to price dobara bullish hokar upar chali jayegi, aur agla target nearest seller resistance area, yani 0.6750-0.6752 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area bhi break ho gaya, to price aur zyada bullish hote hue agle strong seller supply resistance area, yani 0.6780-0.6783 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Nateejah:
Agar seller nearest buyer support area, yani 0.6722-0.6720 ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to sell entry kar sakte hain, TP target area 0.6693-0.6690 hoga.

Agar buyer nearest seller resistance area, yani 0.6750-0.6753 ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to buy entry kar sakte hain, TP target area 0.6790-0.6793 hoga.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar ne pichlay week ka peak touch karke wapis support levels ki taraf move kiya hai. Price ne 0.6804 pe resistance face ki aur uske baad neeche girte hue signal zone ki lower border, 0.6701, tak aa gaya jahan pe ruk gaya. Is ne bhi price ko target zone tak pohanchne se roka hai. Sath hi price chart "super trend red zone" mai enter ho gaya hai, jo sellers ka pressure dikhata hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis mai dekha jaye to price ne trading week ka official target 0.6760 achieve kar liya hai, jo ke short-term support ke sath hai aur kuch positive strength signs dikhata hai. Agar price 0.6600 ke psychological resistance ke upar rehti hai, to phir ye uptrend resume karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aur agla target 0.6710 hoga, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is area ko cross karte hue price 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak gains extend kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf agar price 0.6676 se neeche break karti hai to upward attempt stop ho jaye ga, aur correction decline phir se start ho ga with targets at 0.6860 aur 0.6950.



Pair is waqt apni recent weekly low se kaafi neeche trade kar raha hai. Key support area ko kaafi pressure face karna para, lekin intact rehne mai kamiyab raha, jo ke uptrend ko favor karta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye price ko 0.6765 ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki boundary hai. Agar price is area ko retest karke rebound karti hai, to new upward movement ka agla target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 ho ga.

Agar price 0.6701 ke reversal level se neeche gir gaya, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal mil jaye ga.

AUD/USD Analysis

Yeh pair apne nuqsanat ko barhata ja raha hai, jab ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ne faiz ki sharah ko barabar rakha aur qarz lene ke kharche ko kam karne se guraiz kiya. Mehngai par progress ko tasleem karte hue bhi, Fed ke officials abhi tak policy ko relax karne ke liye ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke press conference ke baad, yeh pair 0.6700 aur 0.6840 ke darmiyan fluctuate karta raha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, AUD/USD kareeban 0.6719 par trade kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Australian Dollar ka asar aanay wale mahine aur Q2 ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par hoga, jo pichle hafte release hone wala tha. Q2 ke liye mehngai ke dabao mein 1% ka mustaqil izafa hone ki umeed hai. Saalana buniyad par, Q2 CPI 3.8% tak barhne ki tawaqo hai, jo pehle ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Yeh izafa Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke mazeed policy tightening ki umeedon ko barha sakta hai.

National Australia Bank (NAB) ki taja taja forecast ke mutabiq, RBA ka cash rate May 2025 tak 4.35% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. NAB Economics ka ye bhi kahna hai ke December 2025 tak yeh rate 3.6% tak kam ho sakta hai, aur 2026 tak mazeed cuts ki umeed ki ja rahi hai. Yeh projection market ki RBA se aanay wale monetary policy adjustments ki tawaqo ko wazeh karti hai.




Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ke liye pehla resistance apne trading channel ke upper boundary, yani 0.6770 par aata hai, uske baad ek aham level 0.6800 hai. Ek aur significant resistance point 0.6815 par hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance ban gaya hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya, to AUD/USD pair 0.6798 ke six-month high tak push ho sakta hai.

Spot price abhi 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek predominantly bearish outlook ko mazid barhawa de raha hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi pichle hafte se 30 aur 37 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot banata hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi flat red bars show kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ke barqarar rehne ki nishani hai.