aud/usd

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis

Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga

Aussie dollar ke liye aane walay dinon mein trading volatile aur unpredictable hone ki umeed hai kyun ke global growth ke concerns aur economic uncertainty, khaas tor par Asia se, market par asar daal rahe hain. Yeh masail jab tak qaim rahte hain, Australian dollar mein volatility barhne ki sambhavna hai.
Monday ke trading session ke dauraan, Australian dollar fluctuate karta raha, aur 0.6650 level ek aham point tha. Yeh level maazi mein support aur resistance dono ke tor par kaam karta raha hai, is liye traders ke liye bohat crucial hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day EMA resistance ke taur par upar hai, jabke 200-day EMA support niche faraham kar raha hai. Market jab in do technical levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, to uski harakat mein bohat indecisiveness hone ki umeed hai.

Agar market recover karta hai aur Monday ki high se upar nikalta hai, to Aussie 0.6750 level ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh 200-day EMA se niche toot jata hai, to yeh 0.6550 level tak gir sakta hai. Currency ki movements commodity market par depend karti hain, jo Australian economy mein aham kirdar ada karti hai, aur global risk sentiment par, jo aam tor par riskier assets, jaisay ke Australian dollar, ki demand ko dictate karta hai.

Kul mila kar, market uncertainty ki halaat mein hai, jo ke ek neutral long-term outlook ko reflect karta hai. 0.6850 level ek major resistance ya "ceiling" ke taur par kaam karta hai, jabke 0.6450 level ek mazboot support ya "floor" ke taur par. Jab tak global economic tasweer wazeh nahi hoti, traders se tawakku ki jaa sakti hai ke Australian dollar range-bound rahe aur in levels ke darmiyan move kare ga, jab yeh broader market conditions ko respond karega. Iss maujooda mahol mein, trading strategies mein ehtiyaat aur sabr ki zaroora

Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain

ستمبر 13 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جمعرات کو، آسٹریلوی ڈالر، متعلقہ مارکیٹوں کے تعاون سے، 0.6691 پر مضبوط مزاحمت پر قابو پا گیا، جسے روزانہ چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملی۔ ترقی 0.6727 کے ہدف کی سطح تک جاری رہی۔ مہلت کے بعد، قیمت 0.6801 تک بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر، جو مثبت علاقے میں چلا گیا ہے، اس سلسلے میں اس کی مدد کر رہا ہے۔



آنے والی فیڈرل ریزرو میٹنگ پر غور کرتے ہوئے، کوئی بھی قیمت کی ایک طرف حرکت کو فرض کر سکتا ہے، اگرچہ 0.6640–0.6727 کی وسیع رینج کے اندر، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور 0.6691 کی سطح کے گرد سمیٹنے والی قیمت کی نمائندگی کرتا ہے۔ دوسرے لفظوں میں، قیمت کا ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے استحکام کے ساتھ، جو 9th-11th کو ہوا، اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر بریک آؤٹ غلط سگنل ہیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی زیرو لائن سے نیچے لوٹنے کے آثار دکھا رہا ہے۔

چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر اور 0.6727 کی سطح کے اوپر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے اور فعال آسیلیٹر نمو کے درمیان۔ یہ نشانیاں قیمتوں میں اضافے کو برقرار رکھنے کے امکانات کو بڑھاتی ہیں۔ تاہم، ہمیں اس بارے میں شکوک و شبہات ہیں کہ آیا اس چھوٹے فرق کو کھولنے کے لیے استعمال کیا جائے۔ ہم فیڈ میٹنگ کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huay, wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend qaim hai. MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein position le li hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur secondary CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence samne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—bhi successfully breakdown hua tha, aur bearish divergence ka signal confirm hua. 0.6697 par horizontal support level dabbaw mein hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega aur break hoga. Best selling entry point tab hoga jab price pehle upward retrace kare aur phir is support ko break kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halanki CCI indicator lower overheating zone se ek possible upward move ka ishara de raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega.
H1 period ka candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi der ke liye aur barh jaye usse pehle ke woh kaafi neeche giray. Agar is area ko cross kiya ja sakay, to yeh rise continue bhi ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek corrective move hai, kyunki candle abhi tak supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar saka. AUD/USD aakhirkaar neeche jaye ga. Pehle ki tarah, jab AUD/USD neeche gira, ek naya intersection bana, jo candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar le aaya tha, jo ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai. Is se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai. Magar, abhi tak resistance 0.6810 par qaim hai, aur EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Isi wajah se main thodi consolidation ke baad bearish movement expect karta hoon. Jab US dollar strong hota hai, to Australian dollar weak hota hai. H4 chart par main ek developing downtrend dekh raha hoon, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hawale se corrective wave C ki formation ho rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ko profit ke liye use karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai

AUD/USD pair ne recent mein ek downward trend experience kiya hai, jo ziada tar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish stance aur Australia ki uncertain economic outlook ki wajah se hai. RBA ke aggressive stance ke bawajood rising inflation ke khilaf, market expectations for a rate cut in 2024 abhi bhi kaafi low hain. Is wajah se AUD ki weakness barh gayi hai. Agar current trading level 0.6700 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh aane wale dinon mein further losses ka khatra ho sakta hai. Technical analysis bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi negative territory mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bearish bias ko confirm karta hai. Halankeh Stochastic indicator bullish crossover ka ishara de raha hai, overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar price 0.6750 ke upar break karti hai, toh temporary upward movement ho sakti hai, lekin sustained recovery ke liye 0.6900 level ke upar clear close hona zaroori hai.

Is hafte ke teesray din ke trading session mein, market conditions ne phir downward movement experience kiya, jo zyada gehra nahi tha. Agar hum early week's trading ka review karein, toh kuch cheezen dekhne layak hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra tha aur highest price zone ko chhor diya. Price decline ka asar aglay trading decisions par zaroor hoga, jahan bearish move se pehle last week market consolidation ki condition thi. August mein, dominant market trend bullish tha aur kaafi actively move kar raha tha, mere estimation ke mutabiq agla trend wapas bullish ho sakta hai. Aaj ke trading mein koi zyada fluctuations nahi hui hain kyun ke pichlay mahine ke bullish trend ne kamzor ho kar sellers ko market mein dominate karne diya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum market conditions ko aakhri kuch dinon mein follow karein jahan ek girawat ka chance hai kyun ke pehle bullish trend continue nahi ho saka. Candlestick ka movement jo abhi bhi support level 0.6700 ke qareeb hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke bearish trend continue ho sakta hai agar sellers is support level ko break kar lein. Is hafte AUD/USD pair ke liye, main abhi bhi bearish market opportunity ke liye optimistic hoon kyun ke candlestick ne bearish pattern mein move kiya hai bina kisi significant buyer resistance ke.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apna upward trend teesri musalsal session tak barqarar rakha, jo ke positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se market expectations mein tabdeeli ke sabab hai. US economic data ka release, jisme initial jobless claims aur factory inflation figures shamil hain, ne Fed ke aanay wale meeting mein aggressive rate cut ke imkaan ko mazid reinforce kiya. CME FedWatch tool ab 50 basis point rate cut ka khaasa zyada imkaan dikha raha hai. Australian dollar ne positive market sentiment se faida uthaya, jo ke Fed ke expected rate cut ke chakkar mein tha, jabke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne apni hawkish stance ko barqarar rakha, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke filhaal interest rate cuts ka imkaan nahi hai.

**Technical Perspective** se dekha jaye toh, AUD/USD pair ne descending channel se breakout kiya, jo bearish bias ke kamzor hone ko zahir karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar chala gaya, jo ke momentum mein bearish se bullish shift ko indicate karta hai. Upar ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ka imkaan hai ke 0.6798 ke seven-month high ke aas paas explore kare, jo ke psychological level 0.6800 ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, immediate support descending channel ke ceiling ke qareeb 0.6720 par hai, jiske baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6707 par hai. Agar price wapas descending channel mein chala jata hai, toh downside bias mazid mazboot hoga, jo pair ko channel ke lower bound ke qareeb 0.6600 aur phir retracement support area ke aas paas 0.6575 tak le ja sakta hai.

Natije mein, AUD/USD pair filhal ek positive trend dekh raha hai, jo ke favorable market sentiment aur Fed rate cut ke expectations se drive ho raha hai. Lekin, RBA ki hawkish stance aur potential technical resistance levels upar ki taraf ke imkaanat ko limit kar sakte hain. Traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur evolving economic landscape ko dekhte hue mazid gains ya corrections ke imkaanat ka andaza lagana chahiye.

**Thursday ko**, Australian dollar, related markets se support hasil karte hue, strong resistance 0.6691 ko paar kar gaya, jise daily chart par MACD line se reinforce kiya gaya. Yeh growth target level 0.6727 tak barqarar rahi. Thodi si break ke baad, price mazeed barhne ka imkaan rakhti hai aur 0.6801 tak ja sakti hai. Marlin oscillator, jo ab positive territory mein chala gaya hai, is growth mein madad kar raha hai. Federal Reserve meeting ke peesh e nazar, ek sideways price movement ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh ek wide range mein 0.6640–0.6727 ke darmiyan reh sakta hai, jo ke MACD line aur 0.6691 level ke gird price ko move karta dekh raha hai. Dusri taraf, four-hour chart par price ne MACD line aur 0.6727 level ke upar consolidation kar liya hai, jabke oscillator mein active growth nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh signs price ke mazeed rise hone ke imkaanaat ko barhate hain, lekin abhi bhi yeh faisla karna mushkil hai ke is chhoti difference ka faida utha kar positions open ki jaye ya nahi. Hum Fed meeting ka intezar karenge.

yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar

AUD/USD Analysis

AUDUSD market pair ki Wednesday ko trading sellers ke control mein thi, jinhon ne seller's resistance area ko 0.6673-0.6675 par maintain kiya, jiski wajah se price phir se sellers ke dwara neeche push ki gayi. Lekin, sellers apne advantage ko maintain nahi kar paye aur buyer's support area ko 0.6637-0.6635 ke price par penetrate nahi kar paye. Buyers ne is area ko maintain karke sellers ke bearish pressure ko dampen kiya aur prices ko bullishly upar le aaya, jo market close hone tak upar chali gayi.

Bollinger Bands indicator ka Daily timeframe par monitor karne se yeh dekha gaya ke price ab bhi buyer ke control mein hai, jo ke candle ya price ko Lower Bollinger Bands area 0.6635-0.6637 ke upar maintain karke price ko bullishly upar le aaya hai. Khaaskar, buyer ne ek bullish Pin Bar candle bhi form kiya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke AUDUSD market pair ab bhi bullishly upar chadh sakta hai, aur target kam se kam Middle Bollinger Bands area 0.6733-0.6735 ko retest karna hai.

Thursday ko European market session ke doran, price ab bhi bullishly move kar rahi hai aur buyers ki market mein entry sellers ke mukable mein zyada hai, is wajah se price bullishly aur upar ja rahi hai. Nearest target seller's resistance area 0.6692-0.6695 ko test karna hai. Agar ye successfully penetrate hota hai to upar aur higher bullish opportunity milti hai, aur agla target seller's supply resistance area 0.6747-0.6750 ki taraf hoga.

Conclusion:

Sell Entry: Agar seller nearest buyer support area 0.6640-0.6638 ko successfully penetrate kar leta hai to sell entry ki ja sakti hai, aur TP target area 0.6603-0.6600 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Buy Entry: Agar buyer nearest seller resistance area 0.6692-0.6695 ko successfully penetrate kar leta hai to buy entry ki ja sakti hai, aur TP target area 0.6747-0.6750 par rakha ja sakta hai.