ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Price Study
Hamara ahem discussion point AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka tajziya hai. H4 timeframe par daikhne se lagta hai ke price magenta downward trend line se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price red EMA200, jo ke 200-period moving average hai, ko successfully tod deta hai, to yeh dynamic support ka kaam karega aur mazeed girawat ko roke ga. Is waqt tak market ne mukammal tor par recovery nahi ki hai, kyun ke price ko bullish rujhan par barqarar rehne ke liye pehle yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Jab ke price pehle red EMA200 ke neeche close ho chuki thi, to sellers ke liye koi rukaawat nahi thi ke wo price ko neeche le ja saken; isliye agar price iske upar close karne mein nakam hota hai to yeh ek bari girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko buy option execute karne se pehle market ke signal ka intezaar karna chahiye.

Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke 0.6800 ka resistance level baar baar break kiya gaya, lekin price iske upar close nahi kar saki. Yeh buyers ko ziada pessimistic (mayoos) kar deta hai, jiski wajah se price dobara gir jati hai. Market abhi bhi bullish state mein hai, kyun ke girawat ke bawajood, price ne daily corrective level ke upar apni position barqarar rakhi, jo ke red EMA200 ka dynamic support aur blue base area 0.6632 aur 0.66600 ke darmiyan hai. Kyun ke ab tak koi significant selling activity nahi hui, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan suratehaal barabar lagti hai, halan ke price daily supply range MA50 / MA100 High D1 mein hai. Agle hafte ke liye AUD/USD trading mein yellow resistance aur magenta downtrend line do ahem levels honge. Price ka in dono levels par response ek strong trading signal ko janam dega, khaaskar agar candle shape power ya pinbar jese wazeh ho.

Spot Price ka Tajziya:
Spot price ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke halia monetary policy elan ke baad mazahmat aur taqat dikhai hai. RBA ne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, jo ke lagataar chhatvin meeting hai jahan yeh rate badla nahi gaya. Yeh faisla central bank ke is irade ko dikhata hai ke wo musalsal maeeshi dabao ke bawajood mehengai ko control karne par mazid focus kar raha hai.

### RBA ka Policy Faisla aur AUD par Asar:

RBA ke interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla Australian Dollar ko aik halka boost faraham karta hai. OCR ko 4.35% par rakh kar, RBA yeh ishara deta hai ke wo persistent inflation ka muqabla karne ke liye monetary policy ko sakht rakhna chahta hai. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ne apne press conference mein is baat ko wazeh kiya ke inflation apne target range mein wapas anay mein waqt le sakta hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke high interest rates lambay arsay tak barqarar reh sakte hain.

### Mehngai ke Masail aur Maeeshi Tajziya:

RBA ki koshishon ke bawajood, mehngai abhi bhi barhi hui hai. Aakhri maeeshi projections yeh dikhate hain ke mehngai ko sustainable rate par wapas lana waqt le ga. Yeh data is baat ko mazid taqat deta hai ke inflationary pressures ko le kar ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai. RBA Board har policy option ke liye khula hai, jo future ke maeeshi halat ki ghair yaqiniat ko dikhata hai.

### H4 Chart par AUD/USD Pair ka Movement aur Market ka Reactions:
Pichlay kuch trading sessions mein, spot price aik muqarar range mein utar chadhav dekh raha hai. Pair ko 0.6622 par support aur 0.6570 par resistance mili hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke haaliya tor par 40 ke qareeb pohanchi, is baat ka ishara deti hai ke buying aur selling pressures mein tawazun hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment mein recovery ka imkaan
Haal hi mein spot price ne momentum hasil kiya hai, jo ke Dollar ki kamzori se mustahkam hui hai aur is wajah se pair mein bullish rujhan aya hai. Guzishta Jumay ko, pair ne 5 din ki bulandai 0.6737 ko chooa, aur tajziya karne wale umeed rakhte hain ke agar yeh 0.6771 ka key barrier level paar kar le, to exchange rate ko 0.6800 mark ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jo forex market mein positive jazbaat ka izhar karega.

Pichlay kuch trading sessions mein, spot price aik muqarar range mein utar chadhav dekh raha hai. Pair ko 0.6622 par support aur 0.6570 par resistance mili hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke haaliya tor par 40 ke qareeb pohanchi, is baat ka ishara deti hai ke buying aur selling pressures mein tawazun hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment mein recovery ka imkaan dikhata hai, halan ke mojooda market conditions abhi bhi mukhtalif hain.

AUD/USD Price Study

Humari mukhya guftagu ka nuqta AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda price behavior ka tajziya hai. Price lagta hai ke H4 timeframe par magenta downward trend line ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh red EMA200 ke upar successful tor par break karta hai, toh 200-period moving average dynamic support ka kaam karega aur price ko aur girne se rokega. Market abhi tak poori tarah se recover nahi hui hai, kyunke price ko bullish path par barqarar rehne ke liye yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Pehle price ne EMA200 ke neeche close kiya tha, jis se sellers ke liye koi rukawat nahi thi price ko neeche le jane mein. Agar price EMA200 ke upar close nahi karti, toh iska matlab ek badi girawat aa sakti hai. Is liye traders ko market ke signal ka intezaar karna chahiye pehle ke buy option execute karein.

Daily chart dikhata hai ke resistance level 0.6800 ko kai dafa torne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin price uske upar close nahi kar payi. Is wajah se buyers zyada pessimistic ho gaye, jo price ki girawat ka sabab bana. Market abhi bhi bullish state mein hai, kyunke girawat ke bawajood, price red EMA200 ke dynamic support aur blue base area 0.6632 aur 0.66600 ke darmiyan typical daily corrective level ke upar barqarar rehne mein kaamyab rahi. Ab tak koi khaas selling activity nahi hui, aur buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan surat-e-haal kaafi balanced lagti hai, halan ke price daily supply range MA50 / MA100 High D1 ke andar hai.

Agle haftay ke liye AUD/USD trading mein do key levels honge: yellow resistance aur magenta downtrend line. Price ka response in dono par ek strong trading signal generate karega, khaaskar agar candle ka shape jaise ke power ya pinbar wazeh ho.

AUD/USD: Kamiyab Trading ka Raasta
Hamari tajziya AUD/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior par focus karti hai. Main iske continued decline ke haq mein hoon, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke yeh pair 0.6644 par reverse karega ya phir 0.6478 ke support level tak gir jayega. Main kisi faislay mein jaldi nahi kar raha; weekend guzarnay ka intezar karunga taake price behavior observe kar saku. Mere paas multiple strategies hain, lekin sirf ek hi viable hogi. Mujhe lagta hai ke exchange rate agle dino mein gir sakta hai. Weekly AUD/USD chart ka tajziya chhote time frames ke liye context provide kar sakta hai. Pichle hafte, bearish signals ka convergence dekha gaya hai, jisme "Bearish Engulfing" pattern aur "Evening Star" shamil hain, jo is currency pair ke continued decline ka ishara deti hain.

AUD/USD market pair ne Monday ko ab bhi kaafi strong bearish pace mein trade kiya, jahan sellers ne resistance area 0.6692-0.6690 par dominance bana ke rakha, jis se sellers ko bullish buyer pressure ko dampen karne mein madad mili aur phir stronger selling pressure create karne mein kaamyabi mili, jis se AUD/USD pair ka price bearish move kiya. Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price dheere dheere Middle Bollinger Bands area se bearish move kar rahi hai, aur sellers ne kal ke trading ko Bearish Doji candlestick banakar close kiya, jo indicate karta hai ke AUD/USD pair market aur bhi deep bearish move karega, agla bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands area jo ke 0.6605-0.6603 par hai, aur is waqt ek strong buyer demand support area bhi hai.pressure create karne mein kaamyabi mili, jis se AUD/USD pair ka price bearish move kiya. Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price dheere dheere Middle Bollinger Bands area se bearish move kar rahi hai, aur sellers ne kal ke trading ko Bearish Doji

**AUD/USD**

Is pair ke bullish potential ko abhi tak poori tarah se maximize nahi kiya gaya hai, halanke agar daily chart par dekha jaye to resistance level 0.6800 ko baar-baar penetrate kiya gaya hai, lekin price uske upar close nahi ho paayi, jo buyers ke liye pessimism ka ehsaas paida kar raha hai, aur phir price phir se gir gayi. Girawat ke dauran, price normal daily correction level, yani dynamic support Red EMA200 ke upar rehti hai, jo ke blue base area 0.6632 - 0.6600 ke saath confluence hai, isliye market ab bhi bullish condition mein hai. Filhal, buyers aur sellers ke beech condition kaafi balanced hai, kyunki price daily supply area MA5/MA10 High D1 mein hai, lekin ab tak koi major selling action nahi dekha gaya.

H4 basis par, price magenta downward trend line se bahar nikalne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur Red EMA200 ko penetrate karne ki koshish bhi kar rahi hai, isliye yeh 200-period moving average dynamic support ke tor par kaam karega jo further falls ko rokega. Abhi tak market puri tarah se recover nahi hui hai, kyunki bullish path par rehne ke liye, price ko yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar completely close karna hoga. Agar price iske upar close nahi karti, to ek stronger decline trigger ho sakti hai, kyunki pehle price Red EMA200 ke niche completely close hui thi, isliye sellers ke liye price ko lower karne mein koi rukawat nahi hai. Toh buy option ke liye, traders ko market reaction ka intezar karna chahiye magenta downward trend line aur yellow resistance 0.6753 par.

**TRADING SETUP**

AUD/USD trading ke liye agle haftay do levels hain jo focus mein honge: magenta downtrend line aur yellow resistance. Dono par price reaction ek strong trading signal banega, khaaskar agar candle shape specific ho jaise pinbar aur power candle. Yeh hain options jo choose kiye ja sakte hain:

**Buy Option**
Yeh option tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price Red EMA200 ko break karne ki koshish kare, lekin bullish pinbar candle ke roop mein strong resistance mile, kam se kam H1 timeframe par. Stop loss ko last swing low 0.6650 ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai taake potential spikes se bacha ja sake. Pehla profit-taking area yellow resistance 0.6753 - 0.6769 par hoga. Agla buy option tab kiya ja sakta hai agar yellow resistance penetrate hota hai, kam se kam H1 basis par power candle ke saath, pehla profit target 0.6795 aur agla 0.6826 hoga.

**Sell Option**
Yeh option do situations mein execute kiya ja sakta hai: pehla, agar price yellow resistance ke paas uthane ki koshish kare, lekin bearish pinbar candle bana kar rejection mile, toh SL limit ko thoda upar spike up 0.6775 ke upar rakha ja sakta hai aur TP1 Red EMA200 line par hoga. Agla sell tab ho sakta hai agar price girti hai aur Red EMA200 ko penetrate karti hai, jo sellers pressure continue hone ka indication hai, kyunki market structure ab bhi bearish hai lower low pattern ke saath, loss limitation 0.6732 par aur TP 0.6600 par hoga.

**Silent Points of AUDUSD:**
Hum jaante hain ke pichle hafte, US dollar ke news events jaise ke CPI, PPI, aur unemployment rate ne US dollar par significant asar dala. Is ke natije mein, AUD/USD pair upar gaya aur hatta ke 0.6700 level tak pohanch gaya. Yahan se, AUD/USD buyers apni value ya to barha sakte hain ya maintain kar sakte hain. Is liye humein bullish concept ko follow karna chahiye aur buy position trading strategy ka istemal karna chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD market 0.6785 level tak bhi pohanch sakta hai.

Is liye, AUD/USD pair mein yeh upward movement Australian dollar buyers ki strong positioning ko reflect karti hai. Recent price surge ke saath, AUD/USD buyers apni value barha bhi sakte hain ya is stage par maintain kar sakte hain. Weaker US economic data aur Australian dollar ki strength ka combination ek opportunity pesh karta hai ke bullish market sentiment continue kare. Pair ka movement 0.6700 level ke upar bullish trend ko confirm kar chuka hai, jo traders ko further gains ke liye confidence deta hai. Is liye, humein bullish concept ko follow karna chahiye aur buy position trading strategy ka istemal karna chahiye. Mojooda market environment ko dekhte hue, buying opportunities par focus rakhna faidemand ho sakta hai. US dollar ke pressure mein hone aur technical factors Australian dollar ko support karne ke wajah se, ek buying strategy jo bullish outlook ke saath aligned ho, favorable risk-to-reward ratio provide kar sakti hai. Traders ko lekin ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur proper risk management tools ka istemal karna chahiye, jaise ke stop-loss orders, taake achanak reversals se bach sakein. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD market 0.6785 level tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target level ek potential resistance area ko represent karta hai jahan buyers profits lene ka irada kar sakte hain. Agar momentum barqaraar rahta hai, to market is level ko bhi breach kar sakta hai. Jab tak US dollar weak rahega aur global risk sentiment Australian dollar ko favor karega, ek acchi chance hai ke pair apni bullish trajectory ko continue karega, aur 0.6785 ko short term mein ek realistic target banata hai.US dollar ke pressure mein hone aur technical factors Australian dollar ko support karne ke wajah se, ek buying strategy jo bullish outlook ke saath aligned ho, favorable risk-to-reward ratio provide kar sakti hai. Traders ko lekin ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur proper risk management tools ka istemal karna chahiye, jaise ke stop-loss orders, taake achanak reversals se bach sakein. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke AUD/USD market 0.6785 level tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Yeh target level ek potential resistance area ko represent karta hai jahan buyers profits lene ka irada kar sakte hain. Agar momentum barqaraar

AUD/USD ke price behavior ka analysis kafi dilchasp hai. AUD/USD pair ne aaj kuch challenges paish kiye hain. Kal ye 0.6614 ke control point ko touch karne ya break karne mein nakam rahi thi. Aaj ka lower control point upar shift ho gaya hai, lekin pair abhi bhi naye level 0.6659 ke upar hai aur expected moves complete nahi huye. Pair ne 0.6739 par zigzag wave (b) mein pullback nahi kiya, jo ke wave (c) ke drop ka sabab ban sakta tha, jisme 0.6614 ka breakdown aur 0.6544 tak girawat aani thi. Magar ab tak kuch nahi hua.

Main ab bhi AUD/USD ki 0.6609 tak ki girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, magar is move ka waqt aur clarity abhi tak uncertain hai. Aaj subah maine 0.6709 tak pullback ka mashwara diya tha, lekin pair meri tawaqo se zyada waqt tak wahi par ruka raha. Shayad economic calendar mein kisi khaas khabar ki kami ki wajah se, halan ke resistance test karne ka mauqa tha aur primary trend ko dobara shuru karne ka chance bhi mila.

Jitna zyada yeh stagnation barqarar rahegi, utni hi local trend ke resumption ke chances kam ho jaenge. Aaj ka lower control point 0.6659 par hai, jab ke upper control point ab bhi 0.6739 par hai. Main ab bhi AUD/USD pair mein thodi growth ki umeed kar raha hoon, aur zigzag wave (b) ke andar ek correction ki tawaqo hai, jo ke decline kar ke 0.6544 tak ja sakti hai. Agar control point 0.6659 aaj nahi break hota, to pair waqti tor par wave (b) ki taraf 0.6739 tak ja sakti hai. Agar yeh point break nahi hota, to reversal wave (c) mein aa sakta hai jo 0.6659 ko tod dega aur 0.6544 tak gir sakta hai, zigzag formation ko mukammal karte hue, jisme ek upward reversal bhi ho sakta hai agar 0.6544 ka mark faisla karnay wala sabit na hua. Agar 0.6659 likely hua, to pair wave (a) ko 0.6599 ki taraf extend kar sakti hai. Agar 0.6739 par breakout hota hai, to downward zigzag invalid ho jaye gi aur growth ka reversal confirm ho jaye ga.

AUD/USD: Kamiyab Trading ka Roadmap

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Mera plan hai ke mai short positions ko capitalize karun is currency pair mein. Setup promising lag raha hai kyun ke 0.66519 ka price critical level 0.666611 ke neeche break hua hai, jo ke seller activity mein izafa dikha raha hai. Mai short trades enter karne ka soch raha hoon aur unhein 0.66278 tak hold karne ka irada hai. Lekin yeh mera final target nahi hai. Baray faiday ke liye, mai secondary support level 0.65945 ko dekh raha hoon, jo ke aaj ke decline ka primary objective hoga. Agar buyers market mein wapis aayein, to mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 0.65945 ke neeche hoga, jahaan mai kisi correction ya pullback ka intezar karunga aur usko capitalize karne ki koshish karunga. Hum dekhtay hain ke ek sideways wedge form ho rahi hai, aur pair 0.6666 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Ek haftay pehle mai ne is drop ko 0.6661 level tak anticipate kiya tha, aur ab yeh move materialize hoti nazar aayi hai. Daily chart bhi ek ascending price channel dikha raha hai, jahan AUD/USD 0.6666 par hover kar raha hai.


Technically, price wapis is channel ke neeche wali boundary tak revert kar sakta hai, jo resistance line ke sath align hai. Yeh setup ek sell signal suggest karta hai jo ke 0.6501 ke round price mark ko target karega. Agar hum current level se sell karein, to yeh takreeban 150 points ka profit de sakta hai. H1 chart par, hum dekhte hain ke 0.6826 ke local maximum se rebound ke baad, AUD/USD ne bearish shift kiya hai aur ek clear downward channel form hua hai. Is waqt pair 0.6667 par trade kar raha hai jab mai yeh analysis likh raha hoon. AUD/USD kuch arsay se 0.6641 aur 0.6681 ke beech flat trade kar raha hai. Yeh range jald hi neeche break karegi, aur shayad price channel ke lower edge tak drop ho jaye, jo ke 0.6601 ke qareeb hoga.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis discuss kiya ja raha hai. Hum ne nayi trading week mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jo promising lag raha hai, kyun ke mein kuch trades ko solid profit ke sath close karne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Khaaskar AUD/USD pair mein, aaj ki candle thoda bearish side par pullback dikhati hai jab ke price upar janay ke bajaye neeche gayi hai, lekin yeh koi bara concern nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls agle chand dino mein 0.6880 ke aas paas resistance level tak pahunch jayein ge. Ek door ka target 0.6721 bhi nazar mein hai, jo short positions ke liye bohot attractive hai.

Buying thodi unstable lagti hai, is liye yeh behtareen waqt hai selling ko consider karne ka. Aaj ke target ke raste mein ek aur support level 0.6756 par hai, lekin market ki reaction ko predict karna mushkil hai. Wahan ek corrective pullback ban sakta hai. Jab tak price 0.6789 ke central mark ke neeche hai, mein buy trades ko consider nahi kar raha hoon, halaan ke agar 0.6789 ke upar ek stable consolidation hota hai, toh buy ek alternative option ho sakti hai.

Aaj ke Trading Halat:

Aaj hum continued active growth dekh rahe hain, jiska potential target 0.6864 range mein ho sakta hai. Haal ki bearish correction khatam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur growth dobara shuru ho sakti hai. 0.6721 range ko test karne ke baad upward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai, shayad ek chhoti correction ke baad. Agar 0.6725 par ek false breakout hota hai aur price wahan ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar 0.6805 break hota hai aur price wahan ke upar hold karta hai, toh yeh ek buying opportunity ho gi.

AUD/USD pair ne 0.6773 level (Murray 7.8) ke upar rehne ke liye struggle kiya, lekin sellers ne usay neeche push kar diya, Kijun H4 line ki taraf. MACD indicator convergence ke qareeb hai. Agar market sideways phase mein nahi jata, toh bears ka agla task 0.6713 level (Murray 6.8) tak pahunchna hoga aur is support ko break karne ki koshish karna hogi. Iss waqt trading stage par upward movement dobara resume hona mushkil lagta hai

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai 4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

Australian dollar shuruat mein thoda kam hua tha, lekin 50-week EMA (exponential moving average) ke aas paas support milne ke baad phir se recover kar gaya. Filhal, market apni lambay muddat ki direction determine karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke 200-week EMA ko target kar sakti hai, jo ke 0.6850 ke aas paas hai. Ye area pehle bhi significant resistance ban chuka hai, isliye ye ek key level hai jise dekhna zaroori hai.

0.6850 ka zone na sirf 200-week EMA ke saath coincide karta hai, balki Australian dollar ke liye is level ko todna ek mushkil challenge raha hai. Agar market is line ko haftay ke akhir mein break kar deti hai, to ye overall trend mein ek significant shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Jab tak aisa nahi hota, market uncertainty ke state mein rahegi. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar aksar ek "commodity currency" ke tor par dekha jata hai, iska matlab hai ke iski movements global economic conditions se mutasir hoti hain, khaaskar Asia ke sath, given ke Australia ek major raw materials supplier hai China, Indonesia aur Malaysia jaise mulkon ko.

Is wajah se Australian dollar global risk sentiment ke liye sensitive hai, jahan market ka "risk-on, risk-off" nature swings ko drive karta hai. Agar currency 50-week EMA ke neeche break kar jati hai, to isse further declines trigger ho sakti hain, jo ke ise 0.6450 level tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, is waqt, market recent rally ke baad consolidate hoti nazar aa rahi hai aur shayad higher levels par resistance ko dobara test karne ki tayyari kar rahi hai.

Short mein, Aussie ki trajectory uski ability par depend karti hai key resistance ko break karne ki aur agar successful hota hai, to yeh ek significant move higher lead kar sakta hai. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye kyunki currency global risk factors aur commodity demand se closely tied hai.

AUDUSD

Is pair ne abhi tak apni bullish potential ko poori tarah se maximize nahi kiya hai. Agar hum daily chart par dekhein, toh 0.6800 ka resistance bar bar break hua hai, magar price is ke upar close karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka, jis se buyers mein pessimism paida hoti hai, aur phir price dobara girta hai. Jab price gir rahi thi, toh yeh normal daily correction level ke upar hi rehti hai, jo ke Red EMA200 ka dynamic support hai, aur yeh 0.6632 - 0.6600 ke blue base area ke saath confluence mein hai, is liye market abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai. Filhaal, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan kaafi balance hai, kyun ke price MA5 / MA10 High D1 ke daily supply area mein hai, magar koi bara selling action dekhne ko nahi mila H4 basis par dekhein toh price magenta downward trend line se bahar nikalne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur saath hi Red EMA200 ko bhi break karne ki koshish hai, is se 200-period moving average dynamic support ka kaam karega aur further girawat ko roke ga. Market abhi tak puri tarah se recover nahi hua hai, kyun ke bullish rasta banaye rakhne ke liye price ko yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Agar price is ke upar close nahi kar pati, toh yeh aur zyada girawat ko trigger kar sakti hai, kyun ke pehle price ne Red EMA200 ke neeche close kiya tha, aur sellers ke liye koi rukawat nahi thi ke woh price ko neeche le jayein. Is liye buy option ke liye traders ko market reaction ka intizar karna chahiye magenta downward trend line aur yellow resistance 0.6753 ke upar.

TRADING SETUP

Agley haftay AUDUSD trading mein do levels par focus karna zaroori hai, jo ke magenta downtrend line aur yellow resistance hain. Dono par price ka reaction ek strong trading signal ho ga, khaaskar agar candle ka shape specific ho jaise pinbar ya power candle. Yeh hain kuch options jo liye ja sakte hain
Buy Option
Yeh option us waqt liya ja sakta hai jab price Red EMA200 ko break karne ki koshish kare, magar ek bullish pinbar candle ki shakl mein strong resistance mile, kam az kam H1 timeframe par. Stop loss ko last swing low 0.6650 ke neeche rakh sakte hain taake potential spikes se bacha ja sake. Pehla profit-taking area yellow resistance 0.6753 - 0.6769 par ho ga. Dusra buy option tab liya ja sakta hai jab yellow resistance break ho jaaye kam az kam power candle ke saath H1 basis par, pehla profit target 0.6795 par ho ga aur agla 0.6826 par
Sell Option
Yeh option do moqay par execute kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla, agar price yellow resistance ke qareeb pahunchne ki koshish kare, magar ek bearish pinbar candle H1 basis par banaye, SL ko spike up 0.6775 ke thoda upar rakh sakte hain aur TP1 Red EMA200 line par ho ga. Dusra sell option tab hoga jab price girti hai aur Red EMA200 ko penetrate karti hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ka pressure continue rahega, kyun ke market structure abhi bhi bearish hai lower low pattern ke saath. Loss limitation 0.6732 par aur TP 0.6600 par ho ga

Australian dollar shuruat mein thoda gir gaya tha, magar 50-week EMA (exponential moving average) ke aas-paas support mil gaya aur baad mein sudhar gaya. Filhal, market apni lambay muddat ki direction determine karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, shayad 200-week EMA ko target kar rahi hai jo ke 0.6850 level ke aas-paas hai. Yeh area pehle significant resistance bana hua tha, isliye yeh ek key level hai dekhne ke liye agar market aage barhne wali hai.

0.6850 zone na sirf 200-week EMA ke sath milta hai, balki yeh Australian dollar ke liye ek challenge bhi raha hai. Agar market is line ko week ke end tak break kar deti hai, to yeh ek significant shift ke indication ho sakta hai. Tab tak, market uncertainty mein hai. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke Australian dollar ko "commodity currency" kaha jata hai, iska matlab hai ke iski movements global economic conditions se influence hoti hain, khaaskar Asia mein, kyunki Australia raw materials ka major supplier hai China, Indonesia, aur Malaysia ko.

Is wajah se Australian dollar global risk sentiment ke liye sensitive hai, aur market ki "risk-on, risk-off" nature ke hisaab se swings hoti hain. Agar currency 50-week EMA ke neeche girti hai, to further declines trigger ho sakti hain, shayad 0.6450 level tak. Lekin, filhal market recent rally ke baad consolidate karti nazar aa rahi hai aur shayad higher levels par resistance test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Akhir mein, Aussie ki trajectory iska ability par depend karti hai ke wo key resistance ko break kar pata hai ya nahi, aur agar successful hota hai, to yeh ek significant move higher lead kar sakta hai. Lekin traders ko cautious rehna chahiye kyunki currency global risk factors aur commodity demand se closely tied hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ka price abhi ek downward trend se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh 200-period moving average ko successfully break kar deta hai, toh yeh level support provide kar sakta hai aur mazeed girawat se rok sakta hai. Lekin, price ko bullish raaste par aage barhne ke liye 0.6753 ke resistance level ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Agar price is level ke upar close nahi karti, toh bade girawat ka khatra ho sakta hai. Traders ko buy option execute karne se pehle market ka response dekhna chahiye. Daily chart se pata chal raha hai ke 0.6800 ka resistance level bar-bar break hua hai, lekin price is level ke upar close nahi kar paayi, jis wajah se buyers pessimistic ho gaye hain aur price phir se gir gayi hai.

Standard daily support level dynamic support ke red EMA200 aur blue base area ke beech 0.6632 se 0.6660 tak hai. Kyunki significant selling nahi hui, market abhi buyers aur sellers ke beech achi tarah se balanced hai, halan ke price daily resistance range of MA50 aur MA100 ke beech hai. Yellow resistance aur magenta downtrend line next week mein AUD/USD trading ke liye do important levels hain. Price in levels par kis tarah react karti hai, especially agar candlestick pattern distinct ho, jaise ke power ya pinbar, toh yeh strong trading signal generate karega.

Current market conditions predominantly bearish outlook ko suggest kar rahi hain. Identified Displacement Liquidity Zones ne bullish attempts ko rok diya hai, kyunki price baar-baar in levels par reject ho rahi hai, jo strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price girti rahi, toh next potential support 0.66000 psychological level ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo ek previous liquidity pool ke saath align karta hai. Agar downside further continue hota hai, toh price 0.64500 region tak ja sakti hai, jahan ek significant liquidity zone pehle observe kiya gaya tha. On the other hand, agar buyers 0.67000 resistance level ko break kar lete hain, toh next target 0.67500 FVG zone ho sakta hai. Lekin, overall trend bearish hai, aur lower price levels test hone ke chances hain jab tak sentiment mein koi substantial shift nahi aata. In summary, AUD/USD pair bearish trend mein hai, critical resistance levels 0.67000 aur 0.68000 hain. Agar further downside movement hota hai, toh 0.66000 aur 0.64500 support levels test ho sakte hain, jabke 0.67000 ke upar sustained break hone se bias temporarily change ho sakta hai, lekin strong selling pressure abhi bhi evident hai.

Is pair ne abhi tak apni bullish potential ko poori tarah se maximize nahi kiya hai. Agar hum daily chart par dekhein, toh 0.6800 ka resistance bar bar break hua hai, magar price is ke upar close karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka, jis se buyers mein pessimism paida hoti hai, aur phir price dobara girta hai. Jab price gir rahi thi, toh yeh normal daily correction level ke upar hi rehti hai, jo ke Red EMA200 ka dynamic support hai, aur yeh 0.6632 - 0.6600 ke blue base area ke saath confluence mein hai, is liye market abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai. Filhaal, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan kaafi balance hai, kyun ke price MA5 / MA10 High D1 ke daily supply area mein hai, magar koi bara selling action dekhne ko nahi mila H4 basis par dekhein toh price magenta downward trend line se bahar nikalne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur saath hi Red EMA200 ko bhi break karne ki koshish hai, is se 200-period moving average dynamic support ka kaam karega aur further girawat ko roke ga. Market abhi tak puri tarah se recover nahi hua hai, kyun ke bullish rasta banaye rakhne ke liye price ko yellow resistance level 0.6753 ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Agar price is ke upar close nahi kar pati, toh yeh aur zyada girawat ko trigger kar sakti hai, kyun ke pehle price ne Red EMA200 ke neeche close kiya tha, aur sellers ke liye koi rukawat nahi thi ke woh price ko neeche le jayein. Is liye buy option ke liye traders ko market reaction ka intizar karna chahiye magenta downward trend line aur yellow resistance 0.6753 ke upar.

TRADING SETUP

Agley haftay AUDUSD trading mein do levels par focus karna zaroori hai, jo ke magenta downtrend line aur yellow resistance hain. Dono par price ka reaction ek strong trading signal ho ga, khaaskar agar candle ka shape specific ho jaise pinbar ya power candle. Yeh hain kuch options jo liye ja sakte hain
Buy Option
Yeh option us waqt liya ja sakta hai jab price Red EMA200 ko break karne ki koshish kare, magar ek bullish pinbar candle ki shakl mein strong resistance mile, kam az kam H1 timeframe par. Stop loss ko last swing low 0.6650 ke neeche rakh sakte hain taake potential spikes se bacha ja sake. Pehla profit-taking area yellow resistance 0.6753 - 0.6769 par ho ga. Dusra buy option tab liya ja sakta hai jab yellow resistance break ho jaaye kam az kam power candle ke saath H1 basis par, pehla profit target 0.6795 par ho ga aur agla 0.6826 par
Sell Option
Yeh option do moqay par execute kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla, agar price yellow resistance ke qareeb pahunchne ki koshish kare, magar ek bearish pinbar candle H1 basis par banaye, SL ko spike up 0.6775 ke thoda upar rakh sakte hain aur TP1 Red EMA200 line par ho ga. Dusra sell option tab hoga jab price girti hai aur Red EMA200 ko penetrate karti hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ka pressure continue rahega, kyun ke market structure abhi bhi bearish hai lower low pattern ke saath. Loss limitation 0.6732 paraur TP 0.6600 pair hoga