ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD-USD H1 TIME FRAME

AUDUSD market pair ne Tuesday ko kafi strong bearish pace mein trade kiya, jahan seller side ka dominance dekhne ko mila aur yellow resistance area 0.6678 - 0.6690 ko buyer pressure se bachaya gaya. Kayi koshishain ki gayi magar fail ho gayi, yeh sab kuch US CPI data ke release se 30 minutes pehle tak chalta raha. Is surat-e-haal mein jab tak price yellow resistance zone ko break nahi karti, sell trading option behtareen choice lag rahi hai.

USD doosray currencies ke against kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, lekin AUDUSD pair aaj tak bearish hi chal raha hai aur koi reversal ke asar nahi dikh rahe. Lekin raat ko kuch nayi developments ho sakti hain kyunke America apna latest CPI data release karega, jo forex market mein kaafi volatility la sakta hai agar data unexpected nikla.




Agar pichlay price history ko dekha jaye, to clear hai ke bearish power candle ne ab tak ki bearish movement ko drive kiya hai, aur jo choti reactions dekhne ko mili hain, wo asal mein bearish trend continuation pattern ko confirm karti hain. Agar traders instant sell option open karna chahain, to loss limit ko 0.6692 ke upar rakhna munasib rahega. Kyunke profit-taking ka position abhi kaafi door neeche 0.6600 - 0.6570 tak hai.

Agar ghor se dekha jaye to AUDUSD ne pichlay daily trading mein ek strong bearish movement show ki hai. Previous trading ka closing price kaafi neeche tha as compared to opening price, jo market ke pressure ko zahir karta hai. Is wajah se lagta hai ke sellers price ko aur neeche push kar sakte hain. Iss liye, sell transaction option is market mein abhi zaroori lagta hai.

Trading: AUD/USD Price Action

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis ab munaaqid hai. AUD/USD pair daily chart par neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ek clear downtrend show karta hai. Aaj ka movement bhi is bearish direction ko continue karta nazar aa raha hai, magar reversal ka chance bhi mumkin hai. Aayein is din ka technical analysis karein. Moving averages ek strong sell signal de rahi hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ke saath align kar rahe hain. Overall, bearish trend ko continue karne ka outlook hai, lekin hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karte rahenge. Price ne us level se decline kiya hai, aur doosri major currency pairs bhi qareebi waqt mein strong U.S. dollar ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagaya jaye, to target decline level 161.9% ke aas paas hai. Intermediate target 0.6641 ka technical level hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Lekin, thodi si growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo nearest resistance level 0.6691 tak ja sakta hai.




4-hour chart par AUD/USD ko dekha jaye, to downtrend aur ziada momentum hasil kar raha hai aur ek well-defined wave structure nazar aa raha hai. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche chal raha hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par ek triple bearish divergence dekhne ko mili thi. Is ke ilawa, ek reversal pattern — ascending wedge — neeche break hua, jis ne bearish divergence signal ko validate kiya. Is ke natijay mein, price neeche drop hui, aur temporary support 0.6701 ke qareeb dekhne ko mili. Ek lambi corrective rise ke baad, price ne 0.6756 ke mirror resistance level ko touch kiya, jo pehle support ka kaam karta tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko continue karne ka aik ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai.

AUD/USD Price Action ke Peechay Chhupi Science

Yeh guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis karti hai. Is downward movement ko samajhne ke kai tareeqay hain. Kuch log isay ek aam pullback samajh sakte hain, lekin AUD/USD par yeh movement expected se ziada lambi chal rahi hai, is liye isay sirf ek correction kehna mushkil hai. Yeh decline do haftay se ziada tak barqarar hai, jo ke aam taur par short-term trading duration ko exceed karta hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh ek proper trend ban sakta hai, halan ke abhi medium-term shift ke liye qualify karna baaqi hai. Filhal koi strong reversal ke asar upar ki taraf nazar nahi aa rahe, aur kuch bhi bullish shape mein dikhayi nahi de raha. Agar consolidation hoti hai, to yeh bhi mazeed declines ka ishara ho sakti hai, kyunke lower range par koi intense support levels nazar nahi aa rahe. Lagta hai ke price 0.6624 zone ki taraf gir sakti hai, chahe halki si bounce 0.6679 tak bhi ho jaye.




Hourly chart (H1) par dekha jaye, to downtrend ahista hoti nazar aati hai aur ek flat phase mein transition ho rahi hai. Kal ho sakta hai ke pair is range se break out karay aur dobara se ek trend start ho, lekin sawal yeh hai: yeh trend upward hoga ya downward? Bias ziada decline ki taraf hai, lekin kal ki news kuch uncertainty aur added risk le kar aayegi. Technically, 0.6624 tak move karna mumkin lagta hai. Daily balance AUD/USD ka 0.6668 ke aas paas hai, jahan significant volumes price ke current value par hain. Yeh liquidity ko dono taraf se absorb karne mein madad karega, aur yeh tay karega ke price ka ziada decisive distribution kahan hoga, kyunke baraay markets liquidity ke areas mein price ko move karna zaroori hota hai taa ke baraay price moves ko trigger kiya ja sake. Agar price 0.6684 tak upar chali jati hai aur phir 0.6623 tak girti hai, to 0.6668 level ko closely dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar price 0.6668 ke upar break karne mein fail hoti hai, to price 0.6576 ke qareebi accumulation level tak gir sakti hai, jahan larger trading volumes honge.

AUD / USD

Hamari analysis AUD/USD currency pair ki current pricing behavior par focus karti hai. Main ziada decline ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin yeh abhi clear nahi hai ke pair 0.6644 ke qareeb reverse karega ya phir support level 0.6478 tak wapas jayega. Main filhal koi jaldi faisla nahi kar raha, weekend guzarnay tak intezaar karunga taake price behavior ko dekh sakoon.

Mere paas kai strategies hain, lekin un mein se sirf ek hi viable hogi. Mujhe lagta hai ke exchange rate aglay kuch dinon mein gir sakta hai. Agar hum weekly AUD/USD chart ka analysis karein, to yeh chhoti time frames ke liye context de sakta hai. Pichlay haftay mein kai bearish signals milay hain, jin mein "Bearish Engulfing" pattern aur "Evening Star" shamil hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh currency pair mazeed decline kar sakta hai.



Akhir mein, aglay haftay pair ke sideways move karne ka imkaan hai. Buying resistance level 0.6709 ko test kar sakti hai, jab ke sales support level 0.6629 ke qareeb aa sakti hain. Is liye, sideways movement kaafi mumkin lagta hai, jo ke aglay haftay ke liye meri trading plan ki buniyad banegi. Pichlay haftay selling pressure dominate karta raha. Weekly chart par lagataar do haftay se bearish movement dikhayi de rahi hai. Agle haftay ka ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh downward trend continue karega ya koi doosra scenario unfold hoga. Taake behtareen tasveer mil sake, is haftay ka technical analysis aur recommendations dekhte hain. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, lekin technical indicators strong buy ka ishara kar rahe hain, jabke overall outlook neutral hai. Is mix se aglay haftay pair ke sideways movement ka imkaan lagta hai.

Is ke ilawa, important news bhi United States se aani hai, jisme neutral forecasts hain. Wednesday ko 15:29 par US ke significant reports release hongi, lekin projections abhi tak neutral hain. Australia bhi iss haftay mein construction permits se related crucial news release karega, jiska positive outlook hai.

Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam maqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir

AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai.
Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.
AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tasarruf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho. Bilashuba hum har ek technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry signals dekh sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq move karta hai, toh profit hasil karne ke imkaanaat mein izafa hoga AUD/USD par additional purchasing ke mauqay hain aur yeh cost 0.67622 ke zone ko baad mein cross kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, yaad rahe ke yeh bohot zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye aur AUD/USD par trading karte waqt high volumes istemal karne se paraheiz kiya jaye, khaas taur par jab news data release ho raha ho. High trading volumes se volatility aur risk mein izafa hota hai, jo ke trades ko manage karna mushkil bana deta hai

AUD/USD Analysis: Australian Dollar Mazbooti Dikha Raha Hai Economic Uncertainty Kay Darmiyan

Thursday ko Australian dollar ne thori si mazbooti dikhai, jahan AUD/USD European session mein 0.16% barh kar 0.6684 par trade kar raha tha. Yeh choti si mazbooti us waqt ayi jab Australian inflation expectations September mein thori si gir kar 4.4% ho gayi, jo August ke 4.5% se kam thi, lekin market ki forecast 4.1% se zyada thi.

Inflation Concerns aur RBA Ki Soch

Inflation expectations mein yeh halka sa drop is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke inflation neeche ja rahi hai lekin ahista, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye aik challenge hai. RBA ke aggressive rate hikes kay bawajood, inflationary pressures abhi bhi majood hain, jab kay bohat se major central banks ne rates cut karna shuru kar diya hai. Australia ki inflation July mein 3.5% par thi, jo RBA ke 2-3% target se abhi bhi upar hai, is ka matlab hai ke inflation control abhi bhi aik challenging process hai. Governor Bullock ne kaha ke rate cut karnay ka abhi waqt nahi hai, lekin market ka sentiment is ke khilaf hai, aur is saal ke akhir tak cut ki umeed hai.

RBA ka agla meeting 24 September ko hai, aur umeed ki ja rahi hai ke cash rate ko 4.35% par hi rakhne ka faisla hoga. Lekin aglay week ki jobs report unexpected ayi toh rate announcement se pehle market mein tension barh sakti hai.

US Federal Reserve aur Rate Cut Ki Speculations

Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ka meeting 18 September ko hai aur market ne pehle hi rate cut ko price in kar lia hai. Fed ne apne rates 5.25-5.50% par ek saal se zyada waqt se rakhay huay hain, aur rate cut ka asar financial markets par significant ho sakta hai. Analysts ziyada tar 25 bps cut ki tawako kar rahay hain, lekin JP Morgan ne 50 bps tak ke baray cut ki bhi umeed rakhi hui hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Daily Chart Insights

Daily chart par dekha jaye to bears ne 0.6643 ke support level ko todne ki koshish ki, lekin false breakout ke baad price wapis rebound kar gai aur red moving average ke upar chali gai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi current range ke middle boundary ke qareeb 0.6680 par trade karne ka irada rakhta hai. Agar bulls ne price ko yellow moving average se upar push kar lia, toh resistance level 0.6712 ki taraf further gains ki umeed hai.

Lekin bearish scenario tab ban sakta hai agar sellers control dobara hasil karte hain aur price ko 0.6643 ke neeche le jate hain. Is level ke niche ka breakout strong bearish signal hoga, jo support level 0.6587 tak decline ka raasta khol sakta hai.

Aaj US Producer Price Index (PPI) data bhi publish hone wala hai, jiska impact market mein significant fluctuations la sakta hai, bilkul usi tarah jaisa consumer price statistics kay time hota hai. Aisi bhi afwahain hain ke September 18 ko rate cut ho sakta hai, barhane ki bajaaye, jo unexpected ho sakta hai traders kay liye aur market dynamics mein aur complexity la sakta hai.

Conclusion

AUD/USD pair abhi bhi bullish aur bearish pressures ke darmiyan balance mein hai. Aanay wala economic data aur central bank decisions short-term price action ko dictate kareinge, aur traders ko advise ki jati hai ke market-moving news ke liye alert rahain. Abhi ke liye, bullish continuation ki umeed hai, lekin downside ka risk bhi majood hai, khususan agar key support levels breach hue toh.

AUD/USD
decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai

AUD/USD ka jor neeche ki janib ja raha hai, jo ziada tar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish rawaiye aur Australia ke gheir yaqini maashi mustaqbil se mutasir hai. RBA ke inflaation ke khilaf agressive rawaiye ke bawajood, bazaar ki umeedein 2024 mein rate cut ke liye kaafi kam hain. Is wajah se AUD kamzor ho gaya hai. Agar maujooda trading level 0.6700 se neeche tooti, to agle chand dino mein mazeed nuqsan ka imkaan hai. Technical analysis bearish rujhan ka izhaar karti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) negative territory mein hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke farokht karnay walay bazaar mein ghalib hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi is bearish rawaiye ko tasdeeq karta hai. Halankeh Stochastic indicator ek potential bullish crossover ka izhaar karta hai, magar overall trend ab bhi bearish hai. Agar 0.6750 ka level tor diya jata hai, to aik arzi upar ki janib harkat ka imkaan hai, magar aik mustahkam recovery tabhi mumkin hogi jab price 0.6900 ke upar clearly band ho. mein, bazaar mein phir se neeche ki janib harkat hui magar itni gehri nahi thi. Agar hum haftay ke aghaz ki trading ko dekhein, to kuch cheezain ghor talab hain, khaaskar aakhri raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra


tha aur isne sab se uncha price zone chor diya. Price ka neeche jana aglay trading decisions par bhi asar andaz ho sakta hai, jahan pehle price bearish hone se pehle bazaar consolidation ka shikaar tha. Guzishta August mein, dominant market trend bullish tha aur kaafi actively move kar raha tha, meri estimation ke mutabiq agla trend shayad dobara bullish ho jaye. Aaj
Is haftay ke teesray din ke trading session mein, bazaar mein phir se neeche ki janib harkat hui magar itni gehri nahi thi. Agar hum haftay ke aghaz ki trading ko dekhein, to kuch cheezain ghor talab hain, khaaskar aakhri raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra tha aur isne sab se uncha price zone chor diya. Price ka neeche jana aglay trading decisions par bhi asar andaz ho sakta hai, jahan pehle price bearish hone se pehle bazaar consolidation ka shikaar tha. Guzishta August mein, dominant market trend bullish tha aur kaafi actively move kar raha tha, meri estimation ke mutabiq agla trend shayad dobara bullish ho jaye. Aaj ke trading mein koi fluctuation nahi dekhi gayi jab se pichlay mahine ka bullish trend kamzor para. Sellers ne bazaar par ghalba paane ki koshish ki hai. Ye behtareen waqt hai bazaar ki halat par ghor karte huye aglay chand din ke doran fall ka imkaan barhne ka andaza lagaya jaye, kyunki pehle bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami hui thi. Candlestick ka harkat support level 0.6700 ke qareeb rehna dikhata hai, jo ye zahir karta hai ke agar seller support level ko torne mein kamiyab hote hain to bearish trend jaari reh sakta hai. Is haftay AUD/USD pair ke liye, mein ab bhi bearish market ke imkaaniyat par optimistic hoon kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein neeche move kar raha hai baghair kisi aham resistance ke jo buyers se milay.

AUD/USD MARKET ANALYSIS
SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

Candlestick movement ke structure ko dekhte hue, jo AUD/USD currency pair mein daily timeframe chart par hota hai, yeh nazar aata hai ke kal raat tak price movement chand ghanton tak bullish rahi, bilkul waisa hi jaise guzishta kuch hafton se hota raha hai. Magar phir price neeche gir gayi, jo is baat ka andaza deta hai ke market mein ek correction phase chal raha hai. Agar hum is haftay ke market trend ke direction ko dekhein, jo ab tak ziada tar ek hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, to lagta hai ke aam tor par price ek bullish rally phase ka samna kar rahi hai, aur poora market trend ab tak upar ki janib move kar raha hai lekin ek zyada chora range nahi hai.

Bazaar ne Monday ko trading session ka aghaz 0.6670 ke level se kiya aur Thursday ke market session mein yaani kal raat tak price 0.6730 tak barh gayi, ab price abhi bhi 0.6727 ke qareeb move kar rahi hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke Thursday raat ko closing price ab bhi Monday ke market ke opening price se upar hai. Is haftay ka candlestick ab tak lagta hai ke price level 0.6750 ko torne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ziada imkaan hai ke AUD/USD currency pair ke liye ab bhi ek mouqa hai ke yeh dobara bullish trend ki taraf wapas aaye.

Indicators ke reading ke natijay ko dekhte hue jo market ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hue hain, MACD indicator (12,26,29) mein histogram bar ki position abhi bhi zero level ke upar hai, lekin size chhoti hai kyunki haftay ke aghaz mein ek correction hua tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) mein Lime Line ki position ab level, yeh nazar aata hai ke kal raat tak price movement chand ghanton tak bullish rahi, bilkul waisa hi jaise guzishta kuch hafton se hota raha hai. Magar phir price neeche gir gayi, jo is baat ka andaza deta hai ke market mein ek correction phase chal raha hai. Agar hum is haftay ke market trend ke direction ko dekhein, jo ab tak ziada tar ek hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, to lagta hai ke aam tor par price ek bullish rally phase ka samna kar rahi hai, aur poora market trend ab tak upar ki janib move kar raha hai lekin ek zyada chora range nahi hai.

Bazaar ne Monday ko trading 50 ke upar barh gayi hai. Isi tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position abhi bhi aram se red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikha rahi hai ke daily timeframe mein market trend abhi bhi bullish hai.

AUD/USD MARKET ANALYSIS SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

Candlestick movement ke structure ko dekhte hue jo AUD/USD currency pair mein daily timeframe chart par hota hai, yeh nazar aata hai ke kal raat tak price movement chand ghanton tak bullish rahi, bilkul waisa hi jaise guzishta kuch hafton se ho raha hai. Magar phir price neeche gir gayi, jo yeh andaza deti hai ke market mein correction phase ho raha hai. Agar hum is haftay ke market trend ki direction ko dekhein, jo ziada tar ek hi taraf upar ki janib chal rahi hai, to aisa lagta hai ke aam tor par price ek bullish rally phase ka samna kar rahi hai, aur poora market trend ab tak ek ziyada wide range mein nahi magar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Bazaar ne Monday ko trading session ka aghaz 0.6670 ke level se kiya aur Thursday ke market session mein, yani kal raat tak, price 0.6730 tak barh gayi. Ab price abhi bhi 0.6727 ke aas paas move kar rahi hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke Thursday raat ko closing price ab bhi Monday ke market opening price se upar hai. Is haftay ka candlestick lagta hai ke price level 0.6750 ko torne ki koshish kar raha hai. Zyada imkaan hai ke AUD/USD currency pair ke liye ab bhi ek mouqa hai ke yeh dobara bullish trend ki taraf wapas aaye.


MACD indicator (12,26,29) mein histogram bar ki position abhi bhi zero level ke upar hai, magar size ab bhi chhoti hai kyunki haftay ke aghaz mein ek correction hua tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) mein Lime Line ki position ab level 50 se upar chali gayi hai. Isi tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position abhi bhi aram se red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi
Indicators ke readings ka tajziya karte hue, MACD indicator (12,26,29) mein histogram bar ki position abhi bhi zero level ke upar hai, magar size ab bhi chhoti hai kyunki haftay ke aghaz mein ek correction hua tha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) mein Lime Line ki position ab level 50 se upar chali gayi hai. Isi tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position abhi bhi aram se red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo yeh dikha rahi hai ke daily timeframe mein market trend abhi bhi bullish hai.

AUD/USD D1 chart
AUD/USD pair neeche ki janib chal raha hai, jo ziada tar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish rawaiye aur Australia ke gheir yaqini maashi surat-e-haal se mutasir hai. RBA ke inflation ke khilaaf agressive stance ke bawajood, market mein 2024 ke liye rate cut ki umeed kam hai, jis wajah se AUD kamzor ho raha hai. Agar current trading level 0.6700 se neeche toot jaye, to agle chand dino mein aur bhi zyada nuqsan ho sakta hai. Technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke market mein bearish sentiment hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab negative territory mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke farokht karne walay market par hukoomat kar rahe hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish rujhan ko tasdeeq karta hai. Halankeh Stochastic indicator ek potential bullish crossover ka ishara de raha hai, magar overall trend ab bhi bearish hai. Agar price 0.6750 ke upar break kare, to ek temporary upward movement ho sakta hai, magar ek mustahkam recovery ke liye price ka 0.6900 ke upar clear close hona zaroori hoga.
Is haftay ke teesray din ke trading session mein, market phir se neeche gaya magar zyada gehri girawat nahi thi. Agar hum haftay ke aghaz ki trading ko dekhein, to kuch cheezain ghor talab hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra tha aur price ko sab se uncha zone chor kar neeche laaya. Price ka neeche jana agle trading decisions par bhi asar andaz hoga. Pichlay haftay price bearish hone se pehle market consolidation mein tha. Guzishta August mein dominant market trend bullish tha aur kaafi actively move kar raha tha, meri estimation ke mutabiq agla trend shayad bullish ho jaye. Aaj ke trading mein koi zyada fluctuation nahi hui jab se pichlay mahine ka bullish trend kamzor para. Sellers ne market mein hukoomat karne ki koshish ki hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai ke hum market ke halat ko dekhte hue agle chand dinon mein girawat ka imkaan lagayein, kyunki pehle bullish trend barqarar nahi reh saka. Candlestick ka movement support level 0.6700 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke agar seller support level ko todne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to bearish trend jaari reh sakta hai. Is haftay ke liye AUD/USD pair mein bearish market ka imkaan zyada lag raha hai kyunki candlestick ab tak bearish pattern mein move kar raha hai aur buyers ki taraf se koi aham resistance nahi hai.

**Technical Analysis**
AUDUSD H-1hai, jo ziada tar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish rawaiye aur Australia ke gheir yaqini maashi surat-e-haal se mutasir hai. RBA ke inflation ke khilaaf agressive stance ke bawajood, market mein 2024 ke liye rate cut ki umeed kam hai, jis wajah se AUD kamzor ho raha hai. Agar current trading level 0.6700 se neeche toot jaye, to agle chand dino mein aur bhi zyada nuqsan ho sakta hai. Technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke market mein bearish sentiment hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab negative territory mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke farokht karne walay market par hukoomat kar rahe hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence
AUDCAD currency pair mein ek positive bullish trend dekha ja raha hai. Yeh pair Nichimoku Cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai aur market price 0.91266 hai. Cloud ka border do levels par mushtamil hai: Senkou Span B 0.90382 aur Senkou Span A 0.90405 jo mazboot support ke tor par kaam kar rahe hain. Senkou Span B line cloud mein zyada taqatwar hai. Agar cloud rollback hota hai, to aap dubara add ya insert kar sakte hain. Magar rollback zaroori nahi hai, kyunki yeh nahi bhi ho sakta ya phir market signals cloud ke through break kar sakte hain. Is indicator ka asal maqsad market ke rujhan ka taayun karna aur surat-e-haal ka tajziya karna hai. Market mein dakhil hone ke liye aap koi bhi pattern use kar sakte hain jo khareedari ke baare mein maloomat faraham kare, aur chhoti time frames par transition kar sakte hain. Buying is waqt priority hai, is liye mein is asset ko khareed raha hoon. Neeche se upar Tenkai-sen 0.91196 aur Kihun-sen 0.90830 lines ka intersection buy option ko barhawa deta hai. Mein Cloud ke reverse signal par ya phir trading day ke khatam hone par apni profit close kar dunga.

Is haftay ke doran, AUD/USD currency pair mein quotes mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Four-hour timeframe par, price cloud ke upar chali gayi hai aur 0.6562 ka level break ho gaya hai, jahan filhal price thodi si pullback kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, pair Kijun-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai, Chikou span line price chart ke upar hai, aur golden cross active phase mein hai. Bollinger Bands upar ki taraf pointing kar rahe hain, Relative Strength Index 50 ke upar hai, aur Trend Oscillator green ho gaya hai, jo bullish strength mein izafa ka indikation hai. Agar price Gann line ke upar breakout aur successful consolidation karti hai, toh naye purchases par ghor karna maqsad banega. Is scenario mein, 0.6694 ka resistance level potential target ho sakta hai. Jab tak price critical Kijun-sen line ke upar rehti hai, buying priority rahegi. Is haftay ke liye, main yeh maan raha hoon ke pair move karti rahegi aur 0.6633 resistance level ko test kar sakti hai, jo initial resistance level hai. Agla target buyers ke liye 0.7121 resistance level ko break karna hoga. Uske baad, AUD/USD market 0.7654 level tak upar move kar sakta hai jo 3rd resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.6514 support ka successful test hota hai, toh market next support 0.6437 tak move kar sakti hai jo second support level hai. Agar market is level se bhi niche chali jati hai, toh 0.6352 support jo 3rd support level hai, tak pullback kar sakti hai.
Padhne ke liye shukriya aur thumbs up. Hamesha ki tarah, hoshiyar aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai, aur naye information ke mutabiq strategies adjust karni chahiye. Overall, current market environment AUD/USD buyers ke liye promising opportunity pesh karta hai, agar careful analysis aur strategic planning ke sath approach kiya jaye.

AUD-USD

Hamara aaj ka focus AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior par hai. H1 time frame ke hisaab se candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko chooney ke qareeb hai. Ho sakta hai ke AUD/USD kuch pips aur upar jaye isse pehle ke yeh achanak niche giray. Lekin agar yeh area breach ho jata hai, to price upar jaari reh sakti hai. Mere khayal mein AUD/USD ka yeh rise sirf ek corrective move hai. Kyun ke ab tak candle supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar payi hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD aakhir mein giray ga. Halanki upar ka safar dheere dheere hua hai, lekin ab AUD/USD ke pass acha moka hai ke yeh aur niche jaye.

Jab AUD/USD neeche giri, to ek naye intersection ka pata chala, jahan candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tha, jo ke Ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chala. Yeh dikhata hai ke abhi bhi thoda scope hai ke AUD/USD wapas upar ja sakta hai. AUD/USD apni qareebi resistance 0.6810 ke paas hai, jaisa ke maine kal bhi bataya tha.




Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ab overbought zone mein chala gaya hai. Line 80 level tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke market ke dobara upar jane ka saboot hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke AUD/USD jaldi se ek aur sharp girawat dekhay ga. Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD ka pair ab gir sakta hai jab candle 0.6810 ke price ko choo le ga. Main suggest karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein jab tak yeh area intact hai. Qareebi support 0.6700 par hai, jahan aap apna take-profit goal rakh sakte hain. Stop-loss 0.6750 par rakhna behtar hoga.