ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Bilkul! Yahaan mukammal aur dobara likha hua maqala hai:

Mere haal filhal ke bearish outlook ke bawajood, agar 0.6766 level ke upar aik faislay kaari breach aur daily candle closure hota hai toh main aik alternative scenario consider karne ke liye tayar hoon. Yeh mumkin shift market dynamics mein aik resurgence of bullish momentum ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke quotes ko 0.6901 ke current local peak ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6751 ke upar violate karne aur sustain karne mein kamyaab ho jati hai, toh yeh traders ke liye aik wazeh buying opportunity hogi.

Tafseelat ke liye, agar 0.6731 level ke niche aik false breakdown hota hai toh iske baad upward movement barh sakti hai, jo 0.6751 mark ko breach karne ke liye stage set kar sakti hai. Agar yeh growth trajectory US trading session tak barqarar rehti hai, toh 0.6751 level ke upar break hone ka imkaan zyada ho jata hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko mazboot karega, khaaskar agar buyers 0.6761 level ko surpass karne aur uske upar trading karne mein kamyaab ho jate hain. 0.6711 level ke upar breakout further buying signals ko trigger kar sakta hai, is tarah upward trend ko extend kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar 0.6711 level ke niche aik false dip hoti hai toh yeh buying opportunity present kar sakti hai, jo ek potential reversal ka ishara de sakti hai. Agar market 0.6751 range ke upar consolidate hoti hai, toh focus bullish case ko mazboot karne par rehega. In key levels ke upar sustained hold dekhna bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke commitment to upward trajectory ka signal dega.

In levels ki ahmiyat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. 0.6766 ke upar breach aur uske upar sustained trading market sentiment ko bearish se bullish mein shift karegi. Yeh level aik critical resistance point serve karta hai, aur iske surpass hone se significant rally towards 0.6901 peak ho sakti hai. Traders ko yeh developments closely monitor karni chahiye, kyun ke yeh valuable insights provide karte hain potential market movements ke bare mein.

Agar sustained upward movement hoti hai, toh strategic entry points essential ban jate hain. Misal ke taur par, confirmed breakout ke baad 0.6751 ke upar long position enter karna aur stop-loss slightly niche rakhna risk management ko optimize kar sakta hai. Yeh approach potential losses ko minimize karne aur profit opportunities ko maximize karne mein madadgar hota hai. Additionally, take-profit target ko 0.6901 peak ke qareeb set karna ensure karta hai ke gains secure hon aur position unnecessary risk ka shikar na ho.

US session ke impact ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai. US trading session aksar increased volatility aur liquidity laata hai, jo market direction ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar price is period ke doran apni upward momentum ko maintain karti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ke case ko mazboot banata hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko real-time market developments ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Iske ilawa, broader economic context aur koi bhi fundamental factors jo currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain consider karna bhi zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies sab market sentiment ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. In factors ke bare mein informed rehna additional context aur technical analysis ke liye support provide kar sakta hai, jo zyada informed trading decisions le kar aata hai.

Akhir mein, mere current outlook ke bawajood, main flexible hoon aur alternative scenarios ko open hoon. Agar 0.6766 level ke upar faislay kaari breach aur daily candle closure hota hai toh yeh bullish momentum ki taraf shift ka signal de sakta hai, potential targets 0.6751 aur 0.6901 par honge. Key levels, market sessions, aur broader economic factors ko carefully monitor karke, traders market ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain. Ek strategic aur well-informed approach adopt karna forex trading ki dynamic duniya mein kamyabi ke liye essential hai.

### Trading Analysis Update Thursday 08 August 2024 ### AUD-USD Pair

Bunyadi taur par, AUD/USD pair ka trend direction bullish trend dikhata hai lekin lagta hai ke yeh bearish trend ki taraf wapas aane wala hai. Prices ko bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye do Moving Average lines ke upar consistently rehna zaroori hai. Agar price jo ke 0.6577 ke high prices ko chhune ke baad FR 50 - 0.6464 ya FR 61.8 - 0.6437 ki taraf correct hoti hai aur upar rally ko continue nahi kar pati, to trend direction zaroor badal jayegi aur ek death cross signal nazar aayega. Price pattern ki structure ko dekh kar jo ke higher high - higher low condition mein hai, yeh price ko upar move karne ko support karni chahiye.

Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram jo ke level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, downtrend momentum dikhata hai. Agar histogram ek saucer signal banata hai, to AUD/USD pair price decline rally ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator parameters jo level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, yeh dikhate hain ke upward rally ko continue karne ke liye room hai. Kyunki parameters abhi overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein nahi pahunche hain, iska matlab yeh hai ke price rise ka saturation point abhi nahi aaya. FR 23.6 - 0.6524 jo ke ab do Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hai, agle price movement direction ke liye ek key level hai.

#### Setup Entry Position:
Consistency ke sath price increase rally ko dekhte hue aur downward correction phase ko dekhte hue, trading option yeh ho sakti hai ke BUY position re-entry place ki jaye baghair trend direction ke dekhe. Position entry point ko FR 50 - 0.6464 aur FR 38.2 - 0.6491 ke beech retracement area ke taur par lena chahiye taake price ko wapas rise karne ko support mile. Confirmation ke liye kam se kam Stochastic indicator parameters ka level 50 se level 20 tak cross hona zaroori hai. AO indicator histogram ko level 0 ya positive area ke upar hona chahiye taake uptrend momentum indicate ho. High prices 0.6577 par take profit aur stop loss targets FR 61.8 - 0.6437 se FR 70.5 - 0.6418 ke beech place kiya jaye.

### AUD/USD Pair Forecast
**Persistent Seller Pressure**

AUD/USD currency pair ko iss waqt significant selling pressure ka samna hai. Daily timeframe par, pehle jo support levels they, wo ab resistance mein badal gaye hain. Yeh transition yellow rectangle se dikhayi gayi hai jo ke Support Becomes Resistance (SBR) area 0.6551 - 0.6572 ko mark kar raha hai. Is zone ke aas-paas bohot saari bearish candles bani hain, jo yeh indicate karti hain ke buyers ko market sentiment ko bullish trend mein badalne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Traders is price region mein sell limit orders place kar sakte hain, aur instant sell trade bhi initiate karna prudent approach ho sakta hai kyunki price aaj subah rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

**Observing Price Decline Rally**

AUD/USD pair ka decline evident hai, aur kuch indications hain ke Stochastic indicator 50 level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo potential upward rally ko reflect karta hai. Since yeh indicator abhi overbought zone (levels 90 - 80) mein nahi pahuncha, iska matlab yeh hai ke abhi upward movement ka room hai. Further, Fibonacci retracement level at 0.6524 (23.6%) do Moving Average lines ke sath align ho raha hai, jo ek essential level ko highlight karta hai jo agle directional movement ka dictation de sakta hai.

**Bearish Data in 1-Hour Movement**

1-hour timeframe ki analysis bhi bearish data reveal karti hai, especially magenta uptrend line ke breach ke baad. Iske bawajood, market higher push karne ki koshish kar raha hai due to significant buying pressure. Lekin, near term mein sustained change in trend lagbhag na mumkin lag raha hai. Australia se limited economic data release hone ke wajah se, yeh anticipate kiya ja raha hai ke AUD/USD pair apna bearish trend maintain karega. Halankeh, yeh naya lower low shayad na banaye, kyunki Monday ke market crash ke dauran observed previous low of 0.6352 ek significant profit target serve karta hai. Jo log instant sell consider kar rahe hain, unke liye stop loss (SL) ko 0.6575 ke upar set karna behtar hoga.

### AUD/USD Technical Analysis
**Short-term Outlook:**

Baazaar ka mutalea karne ke baad, aaj aap AUD/USD pair ko sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 0.6580 level ko upside mein break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is short-term bearish outlook ka projected target 0.6438 level ke aas-paas hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni trading position ko 0.6511 level par close kar sakte hain.

**Daily Outlook:**

Kal baazaar 0.6522 level par open hua. Trading session ke dauran high 0.6578 aur low 0.6512 tak pohanch gaya. Is tarah kal ka trading range takreeban 66 pips ka tha, aur baazaar ka sentiment bearish tha. Ab baazaar daily pivot level par trade kar raha hai. Yeh yahan se bearish move ko downside mein continue kar sakta hai.

**H4 Outlook:**

Pair 12 July 2024 se lower peaks aur valleys bana raha hai. Meri strategy ke tamaam indicators bhi bearish bias ko suggest karte hain. Baazaar ne weekly horizontal level 0.6570 ko hit kiya. RSI 14 is level par overbought hai. Ek pin bar candlestick pattern is level par nazar aayi. Pin bar candlestick formation ke baad bearish rejection ne din ke akhri mein bearish momentum ko confirm kiya. MACD bearish divergence is level par nazar aayi. Pair MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai.

**Hourly Outlook:**

Pair price action ke mutabiq most likely neeche move karega. Yeh rising trend-line ko downside mein break kar raha hai. Yeh EMA-30 ke neeche move kar raha hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke neeche open hua.

AUD/USD
timeframe par linear regression channel bhi upar ki taraf move kare. Main 0.65504 level se kharidari ke imkaan par gaur kar raha hoon, magar main sellers ki dynamics ko monitor karunga, jo is level ke neechay price ko lower kar sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai aur price 0.65504 ke neechay stable hoti hai, to yeh upper H4 timeframe mein selling trend ke jaari rehne ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Yahan, main kharidari ka faisla mulatvi karunga jab tak buyers ke taraf market sentiment ke tabdeel hone ka confirmation 0.65660 level ke upar price fixing se na ho jaye. Main 4-ghantay ke chart par market data analyze kar raha hoon. Filhal, main market mein ek strong bearish trend dekh raha hoon. Mera plan hai ke jab price channel ke upper border 0.65660 par pohanchay to dekhu.
Jab main yeh note karoon, to main asset ko 0.64966 level tak bechnay ka mauqa dhoondunga. Agar price profitable level ko break karti hai, to yeh downward journey jaari rehne ka signal hoga. Magar, mujhe pata hai ke uske baad ek upward correction ho sakta hai, isliye market ko monitor karna zaroori hai aur bulls se likely reaction ke liye tayar rehna. Main apna plan tabdeel karne ke liye hamesha tayar rehta hoon agar market situation badalti hai, kyun ke yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke agar 0.65660 level bulls ke zariye break hota hai, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka sign ho sakta hai, jo situation ko dubara evaluate karne aur sales cancel karne ko zaroori bana sakta hai. Main hamesha changing market situation ko follow karta hoon aur agar situation zaroori ho to plan ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayar rehta hoon. Mera goal maximum profit hasil karna hai, aur iske liye main market mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye tayar hoon.

Lalach se positions ko bohot der tak rakhne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jis se losses ho sakte hain. Disciplin rakhnay aur apne trading plan par qaim rehkar, hum in emotions ko manage kar sakte hain aur rational, informed decisions le sakte hain. Waise, AUD/USD currency pair ko trade karna kaafi profit potential rakhta hai iski popularity aur strong market dynamics ki wajah se. Filhal, AUD/USD ke buyers stable lag rahe hain, jo favorable technical aur fundamental analyses se support ho rahe hain. Australian aur United States news data yeh indicate karte hain ke Australian dollar qareebi future mein apni value ko significant tor par lose karne ke imkaanat nahi rakhta.
AUDUSD market break out kar sakti hai aur 0.6700 level tak pohanch sakti hai. Magar aaj ke liye, mein suggest karta hoon ke ek downside order place kiya jaye aur take-profit point 0.6532 par set kiya jaye. Yeh mukammal jaiza current market situation ka wazeh tasavvur pesh karta hai. 0.6554 support level AUDUSD ke liye ek ahem nuqtah hai, aur buyers ko apni position qaim rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Asian session ka performance buyers ke challenges ko mazeed numaya karta hai. Mahine ke khatam hone par ab bhi rebound ka imkaan hai. July ke aakhri ghante significant tabdeeliyan laa sakte hain, jo ke AUDUSD ke liye breakout ka sabab ban sakti hain

AUD/USD pair mein significant movement expect karne ki aik primary wajah technical indicators ka analysis hai. Pair ne key moving averages ke neeche trade kiya hai, jo continued bearish pressure ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, technical analysts aksar aise junctions par reversal ya trend continuation ke signs dhoondte hain. For instance, agar AUD/USD pair aik major support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh swift downward movement trigger ho sakti hai jab stop-loss orders activate hoti hain aur bearish momentum accelerate karta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair support dhoondta hai aur consolidate hone lagta hai, toh traders isay potential base-building phase ke tor par interpret kar sakte hain, jo reversal se pehle hota hai. Indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) further insights provide kar sakte hain. For example, agar RSI oversold levels ko approach karta hai, toh ye suggest kar sakta hai ke selling pressure overdone hai aur rebound likely hai. Similarly, MACD mein bullish crossover upward move ki shuruaat ko signal kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD market ne ek notable shift dekha, bullish se bearish trend mein. Yeh market sentiment mein ek significant change tha. Shuru mein, pair ne strength dikhayi, 100-period simple moving average ko cross kiya aur 0.6800 level ki taraf potential rise ka hint diya. Lekin, yeh optimistic movement jaldi khatam ho gayi jab mid-July mein reversal aaya. Sellers ne control sambhala, upward momentum ko rok diya aur ek sustained downtrend shuru kar diya jo ab bhi market dynamics ko influence kar raha hai.
Latest updates ke mutabiq, AUD/USD price 100-period moving average ke niche chali gayi hai, jo sellers ki prevailing dominance ko highlight karta hai. Abhi yeh 0.6640 zone ke around consolidate kar raha hai, jo recent highs se kafi lower hai, aur yeh bearish pressure ko reflect karta hai. 4-hour chart par dekha jaye toh seller dominance pichle haftay se barqarar hai, halanki kabhi kabhi price ko higher push karne ki koshish bhi ki gayi hai.
AUD/USD trading instrument ke liye. Current price 0.6559 hai, aur support 0.6525 par hai. Momentum indicator sell signal suggest karta hai. Shayad, 0.6521 level ke break karne ke baad, price 0.6441 ke towards decline kar sakti hai. Aaj subah, AUD/USD pair potential reversal upside ki taraf form kar rahi hai, halaan ke abhi koi confirmation nahi hai. Magar, pair accumulate kar rahi hai, jo ke breakout lead kar sakti hai jab markets open hongi. Aap confidently buy positions enter kar sakte hain current levels se tight stop ke sath, kyun ke aik achi chance hai ke 0.6619 ko quickly reach karein. AUD/USD pair ka potential upward movement recent downtrend ke continuation par precedence rakhta hai, kyun ke pair extended period se decline kar rahi hai bina kisi pause ke.

51.8 tha. US dollar bhi apna ground kho raha hai recent unfavorable employment data ki wajah se, jis ne Fed rate cut ke expectations ko September mein barhaya hai. Australian dollar Monday ko 0.6460 ke around trade kar raha hai Daily chart ko analyze karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke AUD/USD pair descending channel mein consolidate ho raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ka ishara hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka potential suggest karta hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary ke around reverse support level 0.6470 par mil sakta hai Dusri taraf, resistance pehli baar channel ke upper boundary ke around 0.6520 par encounter hota hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.6544. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Is level ke upar breakout AUD/USD pair ko six-month high 0.6798 tak push kar sakta hai. Main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua NZD/USD ke liye Current Market Situation Chaliye D1 timeframe par NZD/USD currency pair discuss karte hain. Ye last month ke aath tareekh se downward trend mein hai, jo poora mahina continue raha steady decline ke sath. Ye downtrend doosre major pairs se zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Third wave complete ho chuki hai, aur agar first wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karein, to hum dekhte hain ke minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain
Price ascending support line ko hit karta hai jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui hai, break through karte hue but support zone ke near horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail. Is se position closing hui sellers se aur new purchases hui, jise fourth wave mein slight rebound aya. Samajhne ki baat ye hai ke mahine ka end abhi abhi hua, monthly results lock karne ka waqt tha, jo price pullback ko lead karta hai. Technical reasons ke liye, four-hour chart par MACD par bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expected hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega
Maine ye move last Friday ko expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se bohot kinri5k1jx8jtu38thidbsjdjosbbx8zbsnxvsk5virbdijdor h2idvieheuer4!iu8rh7w6fats2v7e3yd suvsy yet wi4hu1vybcr8jd29ud

Australian dollar US dollar ke against tab strong hua jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki Governor Michelle Bullock ne hawkish comments diye. Bullock ne inflation par lagataar nazar rakhne ki zarurat par zor diya aur yeh ishara diya ke zaroorat parne par mazeed interest rate hikes ho sakti hain. Yeh stance Federal Reserve ke expected easing monetary policy ke contrast mein hai, jahan US recession ke hawalay se concerns barh rahe hain. AUD/USD pair is waqt descending channel ke upar consolidate kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment mein shift ka ishara de raha hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI, jo oversold levels se upar aa raha hai, is notion ko support karte hain. Magar, immediate resistance 0.6500 level ke qareeb hai, jo pair ki short-term direction ko determine karne mein crucial hoga. Agar 0.6500 ke upar sustain break milta hai, to AUD/USD 0.6570-0.6590 region tak ja sakta hai, jahan significant moving averages mojood hain. Aage barhne ki momentum broken uptrend line ke qareeb 0.6700 aur aakhir mein six-month high 0.6798 tak target kar sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar 0.6500 ke upar hold na kar paya to descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 0.6420 ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pehle downward trend ke resumption ka signal milega. Summary mein, AUD/USD pair potential upward move ke liye poised hai RBA ki hawkish stance aur RBA aur Federal Reserve ke contrasting monetary policies ki wajah se. Magar, 0.6500 resistance level ko overcome karna bullish momentum ko sustain karne ke liye zaroori hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 0.6500 ke neeche reh jaata hai, to 0.6400–0.6440 level par mazeed selling pressure aasakta hai. October 2023 ka 0.6285 floor agla target ho sakta hai agar bears is base ko bhi tod dete hain. Conclusion mein, buyers decide kar sakte hain ke agar price 0.6500 ke upar break nahi kar paya to intervene na karein, magar AUD/USD ne apne next recovery phase ke liye stage set kar diya hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis:
Market ko analyze karne ke baad, aaj aap AUD/USD pair bech sakte hain. Agar price 0.6580 level ko upar ki taraf break karti hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook invalidate ho jayegi. Is short-term bearish outlook ka projected target 0.6438 level ke aas-paas hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni trading position 0.6511 level par close kar sakte hain.

Daily Outlook:
Kal market 0.6522 level se open hui. Kal ke trading session mein, market ne 0.6578 ka high aur 0.6512 ka low touch kiya. To, kal ka trading range lagbhag 66 pips tha aur market ka sentiment bearish hai. Market daily pivot level par trade kar rahi hai. Yahan se bearish move continue karne ke chances hain.

H4 Outlook:
Pair July 12, 2024 se lower peaks aur valleys bana rahi hai. Mere strategy ke sabhi indicators bhi bearish bias ka signal de rahe hain. Market ne weekly horizontal level 0.6570 ko hit kiya. RSI 14 is level par overbought hai. Is level par ek pin bar candlestick pattern bhi appear hua hai. Pin bar candlestick formation ke baad bearish rejection ne end of the day par bearish momentum confirm kiya. MACD bhi bearish divergence dikh raha hai is level par. Pair MA 200 ke neeche move kar rahi hai.

Hourly Outlook:
Pair ke price action ke hisaab se, yeh niche move karne ke zyada chances hain. Yeh ek rising trend-line ko downside par break kar raha hai. Yeh EMA-30 ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke neeche open ho raha hai.

**AUD/USD Technical Analysis:**

**Daily Outlook:**
- **Market Open:** 0.6522
- **High:** 0.6578
- **Low:** 0.6512
- **Trading Range:** 66 pips
- **Market Sentiment:** Bearish

**Analysis:**
- **Current Position:** Market daily pivot level par trade kar raha hai.
- **Expectation:** Market yahan se bearish move continue kar sakti hai.

**H4 Outlook:**
-
**Trend:** 12 July 2024 se, pair lower peaks aur valleys bana raha hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai.
- **Indicators:**
- **RSI 14:** 0.6570 par overbought hai.
- **Pin Bar Candlestick Pattern:** 0.6570 level par appear hui, jo bearish rejection ke saath bearish momentum ko confirm karti hai.
- **MACD:** Bearish divergence is level par dekha gaya.
- **MA 200:** Pair is moving average ke neeche move kar raha hai.

**Hourly Outlook:**
- **Price Action:** Pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai.
- **Trend-line:** Rising trend-line ko downside ki taraf break kar raha hai.
- **EMA-30:** Pair is exponential moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai.
- **Daily Pivot Level:** Pair daily pivot level ke neeche open ho raha hai.

**Trade Setup:**
- **Sell Signal:** Aaj aap AUD/USD pair ko sell kar sakte hain.
- **Target:** Short-term bearish outlook ke liye projected target 0.6438 level ke aas-paas hai.
- **Exit Point:** Safe trading ke liye apni trading position ko 0.6511 level par close karen.
- **Invalidation Point:** Agar price 0.6580 level ko upside ki taraf break kar deti hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Agar aapke paas forex trading ka dus saal ka tajurba hai aur agar aapko lagta hai ke aapka analysis valuable hai, to naye updates aur trading ideas ke liye mere trading journal ko follow karein.

AUD/USD pair apni US counterpart ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil kar raha hai, jahan ye pair musalsal 0.6500 ke aham level ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Is upward momentum ki buniyad mukhtalif factors hain, jin mein risk-on environment, Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ki umeed, aur aik prolonged trading range se breakout shamil hain.
Global Equity Rally Ne AUD Ko Support Kia:


Global equity markets mein mojood bullish sentiment ne Australian Dollar ko mazid barhawa diya hai. Jab investors ziada risk lena pasand karte hain, toh safe-haven currencies, jaise ke US Dollar, ki demand kam ho jati hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ko support milta hai. Yeh dynamic aakhri chand trading sessions mein zyada numayan raha hai.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ne Risk Appetite Ko Barhawa Diya:


Market participants ab ziada dovish stance ki umeed kar rahe hain Federal Reserve se, jahan September tak interest rate cuts ki umeed barh rahi hai. Monetary policy expectations mein is tabdeeli ne investor risk appetite ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke Australian Dollar ke liye faida mand sabit ho raha hai, kyun ke isay aksar risk-sensitive currency samjha jata hai.
AUD/USD Ki Technical Analysis:


Jab ke AUD/USD pair ne mazid upward momentum ka izhar kiya hai, technical indicators kuch mukhtalif market dynamics ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Daily chart par rising wedge pattern ka bunnana aik bearish signal hai, jo ke mojooda uptrend mein ek mumkinah reversal ki nishandahi kar raha hai.
RSI Indicator Aur Potential Correction:


Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Yeh technical indicator price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, aur jab yeh extreme levels ko touch karta hai, toh yeh aam tor par price reversal ki nishandahi karta hai.
Geopolitical Risks Aur Trading Mein Ehtiyat:


Yeh baat zaroori hai ke global economic landscape abhi bhi mukhtalif uncertainties se bharpoor hai. Geopolitical tensions aur siyasi instability jo key regions mein barqarar hai, yeh currency market mein volatility ko barha sakti hain. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management ke liye hamesha hooshyar rehna chahiye.

AUD/USD pair apni US counterpart ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil kar raha hai, jahan ye pair musalsal 0.6500 ke aham level ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Is upward momentum ki buniyad mukhtalif factors hain, jin mein risk-on environment, Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ki umeed, aur aik prolonged trading range se breakout shamil hain.
Global Equity Rally Ne AUD Ko Support Kia:


Global equity markets mein mojood bullish sentiment ne Australian Dollar ko mazid barhawa diya hai. Jab investors ziada risk lena pasand karte hain, toh safe-haven currencies, jaise ke US Dollar, ki demand kam ho jati hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ko support milta hai. Yeh dynamic aakhri chand trading sessions mein zyada numayan raha hai.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ne Risk Appetite Ko Barhawa Diya:


Market participants ab ziada dovish stance ki umeed kar rahe hain Federal Reserve se, jahan September tak interest rate cuts ki umeed barh rahi hai. Monetary policy expectations mein is tabdeeli ne investor risk appetite ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke Australian Dollar ke liye faida mand sabit ho raha hai, kyun ke isay aksar risk-sensitive currency samjha jata hai.
AUD/USD Ki Technical Analysis:


Jab ke AUD/USD pair ne mazid upward momentum ka izhar kiya hai, technical indicators kuch mukhtalif market dynamics ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Daily chart par rising wedge pattern ka bunnana aik bearish signal hai, jo ke mojooda uptrend mein ek mumkinah reversal ki nishandahi kar raha hai.
RSI Indicator Aur Potential Correction:


Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought territory ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Yeh technical indicator price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, aur jab yeh extreme levels ko touch karta hai, toh yeh aam tor par price reversal ki nishandahi karta hai.
Geopolitical Risks Aur Trading Mein Ehtiyat:


Yeh baat zaroori hai ke global economic landscape abhi bhi mukhtalif uncertainties se bharpoor hai. Geopolitical tensions aur siyasi instability jo key regions mein barqarar hai, yeh currency market mein volatility ko barha sakti hain. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management ke liye hamesha hooshyar rehna chahiye.

AUD/USD pair mein jo trend direction chal rahi hai, us ne bullish trend ko zahir kiya hai, lekin aisa lagta hai ke yeh wapas bearish trend ki taraf jaane wali hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye prices ko do Moving Average lines ke ooper consistent rehna zaroori hai. Agar price jo ke 0.6577 ke high levels ko choo kar niche FR 50 - 0.6464 ya FR 61.8 - 0.6437 ki taraf correct hoti hai, upward rally ko continue nahi kar pati, toh trend direction mein zaroor tabdeeli aayegi aur death cross signal zahir hoga. Price pattern ki structure ko dekh kar jo ke higher high - higher low condition mein hai, isay price ko mazid ooper jane mein support karna chahiye.

Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram jo ke ab level 0 ya negative area ke niche hai, downtrend momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Mazeed, jab histogram saucer signal banaata hai, toh AUD/USD pair ki price decline rally ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, yeh zahir karte hain ke upward rally ke liye abhi bhi jagah mojood hai. Kyun ke parameters abhi overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter nahi hue, iska matlab yeh hai ke price ka saturation point abhi tak nahi pohaunchta. FR 23.6 - 0.6524 jo ke ab do Moving Average lines ke saath confluent hai, agle price movement direction ke liye ek key level hai.
Setup Entry Position:


Jab consistent price increase rally ke baad downward correction phase aata hai, toh trading option mein trend direction ko dekhe baghair re-entry BUY position try ki ja sakti hai. Position entry point ko FR 50 - 0.6464 aur FR 38.2 - 0.6491 ke darmiyan retracement area ke tor par liya ja sakta hai taake price ko dobara ooper jane ka support mil sake. Confirmation ke liye, kam az kam Stochastic indicator parameters ka level 50 se level 20 tak cross hona zaroori hai. AO indicator histogram ko uptrend momentum zahir karne ke liye level 0 ya positive area ke ooper hona chahiye. High prices 0.6577 ko take profit target rakh kar aur stop loss targets ko FR 61.8 - 0.6437 se FR 70.5 - 0.6418 ke darmiyan rakhna chahiye.
AUD/USD pair mein jo trend direction chal rahi hai, us ne bullish trend ko zahir kiya hai, lekin aisa lagta hai ke yeh wapas bearish trend ki taraf jaane wali hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye prices ko do Moving Average lines ke ooper consistent rehna zaroori hai. Agar price jo ke 0.6577 ke high levels ko choo kar niche FR 50 - 0.6464 ya FR 61.8 - 0.6437 ki taraf correct hoti hai, upward rally ko continue nahi kar pati, toh trend direction mein zaroor tabdeeli aayegi aur death cross signal zahir hoga. Price pattern ki structure ko dekh kar jo ke higher high - higher low condition mein hai, isay price ko mazid ooper jane mein support karna chahiye.
Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram jo ke ab level 0 ya negative area ke niche hai, downtrend momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Mazeed, jab histogram saucer signal banaata hai, toh AUD/USD pair ki price decline rally ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, yeh zahir karte hain ke upward rally ke liye abhi bhi jagah mojood hai. Kyun ke parameters abhi overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter nahi hue, iska matlab yeh hai ke price ka saturation point abhi tak nahi pohaunchta. FR 23.6 - 0.6524 jo ke ab do Moving Average lines ke saath confluent hai, agle price movement direction ke liye ek key level hai.

Setup Entry Position:
Jab consistent price increase rally ke baad downward correction phase aata hai, toh trading option mein trend direction ko dekhe baghair re-entry BUY position try ki ja sakti hai. Position entry point ko FR 50 - 0.6464 aur FR 38.2 - 0.6491 ke darmiyan retracement area ke tor par liya ja sakta hai taake price ko dobara ooper jane ka support mil sake. Confirmation ke liye, kam az kam Stochastic indicator parameters ka level 50 se level 20 tak cross hona zaroori hai. AO indicator histogram ko uptrend momentum zahir karne ke liye level 0 ya positive area ke ooper hona chahiye. High prices 0.6577 ko take profit target rakh kar aur stop loss targets ko FR 61.8 - 0.6437 se FR 70.5 - 0.6418 ke darmiyan rakhna chahiye.

Thursday ke European session mein, pair 0.6571 ke aas-paas range-bound raha hai. Pair sideways trade kar raha hai kyunke investors U.S. Consumer data for June ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo aaj ke liye schedule hai. Yeh key economic indicator zaroori hai, kyunke yeh insights provide karega ke Federal Reserve (Fed) kab interest rates kam karna shuru kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

CPI data ke aas-paas ki anticipation ahem hai kyunke yeh Fed ke monetary policy ke baare mein expectations ko influence karegi. Market sentiment abhi strong hai, kai investors Fed ke September meeting mein rate cut ko ek mumkin scenario maan rahe hain, U.S. labor market ke easing conditions ke wajah se. Iske ilawa, S&P 500 futures European trading hours ke dauran kuch gains dikhaye hain, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke performance ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 105.00 ke aas-paas hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke baare mein speculation barh rahi hai ke wo global rate-cutting trend ko join karne mein der kar sakti hai. RBA ke current levels par Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko is saal ke baaki hisson ke liye maintain karne ki umeed hai, kyunke strong consumer spending ki wajah se disinflation trend ulta gaya hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ko pair ek do din ke losing streak se guzar raha hai, lekin overall market outlook optimistic hai. Yeh positive sentiment pair ki performance ko deep positive territory mein support kar raha hai, chahe wo Relative Strength Index (RSI) ho ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Daily chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko reinforce kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo ongoing bullish momentum ko underline karta hai.


Agar pair apne current level ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh support ko 0.6510 ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai. January ke baad se near-highs tak pohanchne ke bawajood, pair ki performance pichle hafte bullish outlook ko indicate karti hai, lekin kuch buyers lagta hai profits le rahe hain. Key bullish targets 0.6600 aur 0.6650 par set hain, jabke notable support levels jo monitor karne chahiye woh hain 0.6670, 0.6655, aur 0.6633.

In Thursday's European session, the pair is remaining range-bound near 0.6571. The pair is trading sideways as investors await the release of the U.S. Consumer data for June, scheduled for later today. This key economic indicator is crucial, as it will offer insights into when the Federal Reserve (Fed) might start reducing interest rates.

Fundamentals of the AUD/USD:

The anticipation surrounding the CPI data is significant because it will influence expectations about the Fed's monetary policy. Market sentiment is currently robust, with many investors considering a rate cut by the Fed in its September meeting a likely scenario, thanks to easing conditions in the U.S. labor market. Additionally, S&P 500 futures have shown some gains during European trading hours, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback's performance against six major currencies, hovers around the 105.00 mark.

There is growing speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) might delay joining the global rate-cutting trend. The RBA is expected to maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at current levels for the remainder of the year, driven by a reversed disinflation trend due to robust consumer spending.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

The pair is experiencing a two-day losing streak as of Thursday, but the overall market outlook remains optimistic. This positive sentiment is supported by the pair’s performance in deep positive territory on both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The daily chart analysis reveals that the AUD/USD pair is consolidating within an ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish bias. Furthermore, the 14-day RSI remains above the 50 level, underscoring the ongoing bullish momentum.

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If the pair breaks below its current level, it could test support around 0.6510. Despite reaching near-highs since January, the pair’s performance last week indicated a bullish outlook, though some buyers appear to be taking profits. Key bullish targets are set at 0.6600 and 0.6650, while notable support levels to monitor include 0.6670, 0.6655,