ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD H4 time frame ke baare mein baat kar rahe hain. Kal, ek chhoti southern pullback ke baad, price reverse hui aur confident bullish impulse ke saath north ko push hui, jiska nateeja ek poori northern candle tha, jo easily break through kar gayi aur resistance level ke upar confidently consolidate hui, jo mere markings ke mutabiq, 0.65591 par located tha. Maujooda situation mein, main poori tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj upward movement continue hoga aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko work out karenge. General mein, main resistance level ko dekhne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 0.66347 par located hai, aur resistance level jo 0.66677 par located hai. In resistance levels ke paas do scenarios ho sakte hain situation ke development ke liye. Pehla scenario price consolidation ke saath in levels ke upar aur further northward movement se related hai. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ka movement resistance level ki taraf dekhoonga, jo 0.67289 par located hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karoonga, jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main ye bhi maan leta hoon ke price ko further north push kiya ja sakta hai resistance level ki taraf, jo 0.68711 par located hai. Lekin agar indicated plan implement hota hai, to price ke far northern target ki taraf move karte waqt, main southern pullbacks ko fully allow karta hoon, jo main bullish signals ko search karne ke liye nearest support levels se use karne ka plan bana raha hoon, renewed growth ke anticipation mein. Price movement ka alternative option jab resistance level 0.66347 ya resistance level 0.66677 ke paas approach hota hai, turning candle formation aur price movement ke resumption downwards ka plan hoga. Agar ye plan work out hota hai, to main price ke return ka intezar karoonga support level ki taraf, jo 0.65591 par located hai
AUD/USD currency pair ne kam ke qeemat par trade karte hue peechay hat gaya hai. Is inqilab ka sabab bazar ko mutassir karne wale mukhtalif factors hain.Sab se pehle, traders haal ki mazeed faiday dene wale charhao se apni nafahat mehfooz kar rahe hain, jo ke currency ki qeemat mein aik fitri sudhar ka sabab ban raha hai. Nafa dene aam amal hai maali bazarat mein, jahan investors wo asasaat farokht karte hain jo ke izafa kar chuke hote hain taake unke faiday haasil ho sakein. Ye harkat currency par nichli dabao paida kar sakti hai jab farokht inteha pasandi ko bharta haiDusra, US dollar mazeed tarah se aam currency ke muqable mein taaqat dikhata hai, na ke sirf AUD ke sath. USD ki yeh mazbooti mukhtalif factors par mustamil hai, jese ke musbat ma’ashi nishanat aur America ki ma’ashi manzar e aam ki mustahkam tawaqqu’. Jab USD mazboot hota hai, to ye aam tor par dosri currencies ki qeemat mein girawat ka sabab banta hai, jese ke AUD, exchange rates mein ulta rishta hone ki wajah seTeesra, aaj Australia mein jari mukhtalif ma’ashi data AUD par nichle dabao ka sabab bana raha hai. Ma’ashi data mukhtalif indicators shamil hai jo ke Australia ki ma’ashi haliyat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jab yeh data mukhtalif hota hai ya market ki tawaqqu’at ko pora nahi karta, to ye investors aur traders ke darmiyan ittefaq ka khoz hota hai, jo currency ko kamzor kar deta haiJab market shirakat daikhti hai, to ab tawajjo US markets ke hone ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. America mein aane wale ahem ma’ashi data ka aik bada hissa jaari hone wala hai,

AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.
Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.
Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Greetings, guys! Umeed hai ke tamaam forum administrators, Moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins khairiyat se honge. Main aaj AUD/USD market ke baare mein baat karna chahta hoon. Mera AUD/USD trading analysis Instaforex traders aur forum ke doston ke liye madadgar hoga.
Australian economy par dabao hai, kyunki 2023 ke shuru se har quarter mein annualized real GDP ya to kam hua hai ya phir stable raha hai. Annualized figure 1.2% ke estimation ko miss karke 1.1% par aaya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barh gaya.

Household spending, jo Australian GDP ka takreeban 50% hai, thoda behtar tha aur 1.3% par raha, lekin zyada tar spending zaruri cheezon jese ke electricity aur healthcare par hui, jabke discretionary spending flat raha.

AUD/USD ko in low growth numbers se zyada asar nahi hua, lekin currency ne thoda decline register kiya hai against the Kiwi dollar (is waqt ke likhne tak). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March se May ke darmiyan prices ko cap karta tha aur pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Market ek bearish continuation ke liye ek potential tripwire hai lekin recent moves mein conviction ki kami hai. Dono central banks aakhirkar interest rates cut karna chahte hain, lekin is faisle ka waqt abhi tak clear nahi hai. Haan, US data ki kamzori Fed ko dono mulkon ke muqablay mein behtar position mein rakhti hai. Aaj US services PMI data greenback ke liye aur kamzori dikha sakta hai manufacturing sector ke contraction ke badhne ke baad.

US NFP data agla major relevant data hoga lekin ADP private payroll data intra-day volatility provide kar sakta hai lekin bade moves nahi dekhne ko milte Friday ko hone wale US jobs data ke intezar mein.

Resistance swing high 0.6714 par hai aur 0.6730 uske kareeb hai.

AUD/USD pair ki jaari barhti hui rally ko RBA ki monetary policy ne support kiya jo ke interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakhta hai. Is ke saath hi reports bhi aayi hain ke US Retail Sales economic data mein girawat ho rahi hai. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab woh unke oopar hai aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar yeh upward rally consistent rahe toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake phir 0.6700 level tak jaari rahe. Lekin price pattern structure ab bhi confirmatiyan nahi deta hai. Kyunki pehle jo prices girne aur phir uthne ki koshish ki thi, unhone dono taraf se low prices 0.6593 aur high prices 0.6701 ko paar kiya tha. Is liye is structure mein ek break hona zaroori hai taake yeh determine kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?

Trend direction basically bearish condition mein hai kyunki humein EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se death cross signal nazar aa raha hai. Lekin bearish trend ab kamzor dikh raha hai jab ke price ne support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf apni girawat jaari nahi rakhi. Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye toh yeh ishaara hai ke upward price rally jald hi overbought point tak pahunchne waali hai. Overbought zone jo ke level 90 - 80 par hoti hai, usse parameters cross ho sakte hain jisse ke prices mein girawat ho sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke paas ya do Moving Average lines ke aas paas gir sake jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha. Yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke price movements ka tendency abhi bhi upward ho sakta hai.

Position entry setup:

Trading options mein price ka development ka intezaar karein ke wo resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pahunchega phir aap SELL entry position rakh sakte hain. Confirmation ke liye yeh ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke overbought zone cross kar chuke hain, woh level 80 se neeche hon. AO indicator ke histogram red mein ho ya bhi uptrend momentum dikha raha ho. Take profit ko do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke aas paas rakhein jabki stop loss ko high price 0.6716 ke 15 - 25 pips ooper rakhein

AUD/USD currency pair ne H4 time frame par ek notable bearish correction demonstrate ki hai. Yeh downward movement itni significant rahi hai ke isne dono 50-period Moving Average (MA 50), jo aam tor par laal rang mein depict hoti hai, aur 100-period Moving Average (MA 100), jo aam tor par hara rang mein dikhayi jati hai, ko surpass kar liya hai.

Technically, MA 50 aur MA 100 ke neeche movement ek bearish trend ko signify karti hai. Moving averages ko traders wasee tor par trend direction aur potential support aur resistance levels identify karne ke liye use karte hain. MA 50, jo ke ek shorter-term average hai, price changes par zyada jaldi react karti hai, jabke MA 100 longer-term perspective deti hai. Jab price in moving averages ke neeche move karti hai, tou yeh bearish momentum ke gain hone ko indicate karti hai. Yeh crossover aksar traders ke liye signal hota hai ke wo ya to short positions enter karein ya confirm karein ke ek existing downtrend likely continue karega.
In key moving averages ke neeche decline market sentiment mein ek shift ko suggest karta hai bullish se bearish ki taraf. Yeh shift mazeed selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai jab traders aur investors apni positions accordingly adjust karte hain. Misal ke tor par, jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, wo losses limit karne ke liye exit karne ka faisla kar sakte hain, jabke jo pehle sidelines par the, wo short positions enter kar sakte hain anticipating further declines.
AUD/USD pair ke behavior ko samajhne ke liye, traders support aur resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, ya candlestick patterns dekhenge jo potential reversal points ya areas offer kar sakte hain jahan price apna agla move karne se pehle consolidate kar sakti hai. Momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi current trend ki strength gauge karne aur potential overbought ya oversold conditions identify karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain.
Iske ilawa, broader context of the forex market aur global economic conditions ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Currency pairs akela move nahi karte, aur factors jaise ke global trade dynamics, commodity prices (khaaskar Australian dollar ke liye jo ke Australia's significant exports hain), aur investor risk appetite sab mil kar currency movements ko influence karte hain.
Nateeja yeh ke, AUD/USD market mein H4 time frame par bearish correction, jo MA 50 aur MA 100 ke neeche move se mark hoti hai, market dynamics mein ek significant shift ko highlight karti hai. Yeh movement fundamental aur technical factors ke confluence ko reflect karti hai jo traders ko consider karna chahiye. In factors ko closely monitor karte hue aur technical analysis tools ka combination use karte hue, traders market ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

abhi dheere chal rahi hai, lekin aane wale dino mein kisi bade movement ki umeed hai. Kayi factors is potential shift mein shamil ho sakte hain, jaise ke ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, aur central bank ki policies. Traders aur investors in developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake market ke movement ka andaza lag sakein. AUD/USD pair ab 0.6587 par trade ho raha hai, jisme ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Market ki dheemi raftar ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed hai. Mukhtalif factors is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise ma'ashiyati indicators, sahafati waqiyat, ya market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan. Traders developments ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, taake potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, currency ke movement ka peshgoi karna fitri tor par guman aur uncertainty se bhara hai, is liye trading karte waqt hoshyari baratna zaroori hai.
Zarur! Yahan ek 600-word analysis hai:
AUD/USD currency pair 0.6582 par trade ho rahi hai, jo market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye downtrend yeh dikhata hai ke abhi sellers market sentiment ko dominate kar rahe hain, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf tabdeel hone ka dharana dete hain. Lekin, mojooda sust market activity ke bawajood, aane wale dino mein AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ki umeed hai.

Kayi factors is waqt ke bearish sentiment mein shamil hain jo AUD/USD pair ko ghera hua hai. Ek ahem factor ma'ashiyati be-tuklif jo mukhtalif global aur gharelo factors se aati hai. COVID-19 pandemic duniya bhar ki ma'ashiyaat par apna asar jamata hai, jo trade, rozgar, aur overall ma'ashi taraqqi par asar dalta hai. Australia, jo ke aham commodities ka behri hai, khaas tor par China ki taraf export karti hai, global darkhwast aur trade tensions mein izafa hone par mutasir hoti hai. Mazeed, sahafati masail jaise ke trade disputes aur siyasi tensions ke ird gird guman ka mahol bana rehta hai, jo market mein overall risk sentiment ko barhata hai, jo Australian dollar par bojh dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ma'ashiyati policies AUD/USD pair ke rukh ko shakal deti hain. RBA ne ma'ashiyati behtari ko support karne ke liye ek mushkil hal monetary policy stance qaim rakha hai, jisme interest rates ko tareekhi darajon par rakhna aur quantitative easing measures ko amal mein lana shamil hai. Mutasir currency pairs ke darmiyan yeh do central banks ke policies ka ikhtilaf US dollar ko Australian dollar ke nisbat mazboot karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish outlook mein hissa hai.

Technical analysis bhi AUD/USD pair ke potential future movements ke baray mein wazeh karta hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators, market mein trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Haal mein, AUD/USD pair kuch ahem support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jahan indicators oversold conditions ko signal dete hain. Agar ye support levels qaim rehte hain, to exchange rate mein short-term rebound ho sakta hai. Lekin, support levels ka tor phir aur downside momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair mein mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kayi factors AUD/USD pair mein bade movement ko janam dene ke liye zareya ban sakte hain. Ma'ashiyati data releases, jaise ke rozgar figures, inflation rates, aur GDP growth, market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rates mein short-term fluctuations ko barhawa de sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, sahafati developments, trade negotiations, aur central bank announcements market mein volatility ko utpann kar sakte hain, jo currency prices par asar dalta hai. Traders aur investors aane wale events ko nigrani mein rakhein ge taake AUD/USD pair ke future direction ke liye cues hasil kar sakein.

Ikhtitam mein, jabke AUD/USD pair abhi bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, to kuch isharaat hain jo aane wale dino mein bade movement ki umeed ko dikhate hain. Ma'ashiyati guman, central bank ki policies, aur technical factors sab currency pair ke outlook mein hissa hain. Traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein taake AUD/USD pair ke muasharti dynamics mein tabdiliyon ko samajh sakein aur pair ke trading opportunities

Australian dollar Monday morning ko tez se upar gaya, lekin 0.6650 ka level ek rukawat aur ahem factor hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi bhi upar ki range mein hai, jisme 0.67 ka high aur 0.66 ka low hai aur yeh limits ko define karta hai. Dono 50-day aur 200-day EMAs niche set hain, jo potential support areas provide karte hain.

Is ke bawajood, market mein itni momentum nahi hai ke upward move ko sustain kar sake. Nateeja yeh hai ke lagta hai ke Australian dollar isi direction mein oscillate karta rahega direction dhoondte huye. Decision-making mechanisms ki kami ka matlab hai ek continuous consolidation period, jisme market fluctuations generally dynamic nahi hain.

Agar yeh trend break hota hai to yeh lagbhag 100 pips ka bara move dono directions mein le sakta hai, isliye aise development ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Australian dollar commodity prices aur Australian economy ke health ke liye bohot sensitive hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar ka safe currency hona is development mein ahem role play karta hai.

Maujooda market conditions ke madde nazar, Australian dollar ke actions short-term trading strategies ke liye favorable rehne ki umeed hai. Noise aur clear guidelines ki kami ka matlab hai ke short-term traders defined space mein frequent changes se faida utha sakte hain.

Broader context mein global economic issues hain, khaaskar Chinese economy ka performance, jo Australia ka main trading partner hai. Steel aur doosri raw materials jese commodities ki prices Australian dollar ko heavily influence karti hain. Is dauraan, US dollar ki strength ya weakness, jo Federal Reserve monetary policy aur global risk perception se influenced hai, additional complexity add karti hai.

Akhir mein, Australian dollar consolidation phase mein 0.66 aur 0.67 ke darmiyan rehne ka imkaan hai. Short-term traders ke liye is scenario mein zyada opportunity hai, jabke dono directions mein divergence zyada exposure ka raasta khol sakti hai. Commodity prices, global economic indicators, aur US dollar flows par nazar rakhna market mein enter hone ke liye key rahega.

As-salamu alaykum! Umeed hai ke sab forum administrators, Moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins khairiyat se hain. Aaj main AUD/USD market ke baare mein baat karunga jo ki aaj ke waqt mein hai. Meri trading AUD/USD tajziya istemal karne walo aur forum ke doston ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.

Aussie ki growth dabaav mein hai, jahan annualized real GDP har quarter se start of 2023 se ya to gir gaya hai ya phir stable raha hai. Annualized figure 1.2% ki estimates se peechay reh gaya aur 1.1% par aaya, jabki quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barha.

Household spending, jo ki Australian GDP ka lagbhag 50% hissa hai, 1.3% taqatwar tha lekin zyada spending essential cheezon jaise bijli aur healthcare par ki gayi jabki optional spending flat reh gayi.

Is tajziye ke mutabiq, ek possible base up rally ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai annual high price limit tak jo kareeb 0.6838 hai aur phir pichle saal ke high area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai jo kareeb 0.7157 hai. Agar 0.6700 ke aas paas bullish rejection conditions ka saamna ho to consolidation phase jaari reh sakta hai. Isse selling opportunities open ho sakti hain takreeban 0.6600 area tak girne ke liye.

Sellers tab confirm ho sakte hain ke trend ki direction badalne ki koshish kar rahe hain agar price 0.6576 support area se neeche gir jaye. Agar price 200 Ma moving average ke neeche 0.6550 ke aas paas jaaye to ek bearish trend ka aghaaz confirm ho sakta hai aur jab price crucial support area 0.6516 ke neeche jaaye to downward trend validate ho sakta hai.

Yeh sab daily time frame mein dekha gaya hai AUD/USD ke movement mein.

AUD/USD ki taraf dekhte hue, growth ke lacklustre hone ke bawajood currency mein minor decline dekha gaya hai Kiwi dollar ke khilaaf (jaise ke likhne ke waqt). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March se May ke darmiyan prices ko cap karta tha aur is pair ke liye support provide karta hai.

Market bearish continuation ke liye ek potential tripwire ka kaam karta hai lekin haal hi ke moves mein conviction ki kami hai. Dono central banks interest rates ko eventually cut karne ki taraf dekh rahe hain lekin is faisley ki timing abhi bhi mushkil hai. Lekin US ke data mein kamzori ne Federal Reserve ko dono deshon mein leading position par rakha hai.

Aaj US services PMI data se greenback mein aur kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jaise ke manufacturing sector mein contraction ka extension dekhne ke baad.

As-salamu alaykum, dosto! Umeed hai ke sab forum administrators, Moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins khairiyat se hain. Aaj ke waqt mein AUD/USD market ke baare mein baat karunga. Mera AUD/USD ka tajziya Instaforex traders aur forum ke doston ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Aussie ki growth dabaav mein thi, jahan annualized real GDP har quarter mein 2023 ke shuru se gir raha tha ya phir barabar tha. Annualized figure 1.2% ki tawaqqu'at se bach kar 1.1% par aaya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barha.

Household spending jo roughly 50% Australian GDP ka hissa hai, woh 1.3% taqatwar tha lekin zyada spending electricity aur healthcare jaise zarooriyat par hoti hai jabke khudmukhtar spending flat thi.

Ek potential base up rally ke liye annual high price limit tak pohanchne ki koshish jaari hai, jo kareeb 0.6838 hai, aur pichle saal ke high area tak pohanchne ki koshish jaari hai, jo kareeb 0.7157 hai. Agar 0.6700 ke aas paas bullish rejection conditions milte hain to consolidation phase jaari rahega. Yeh selling opportunities ko kholta hai taake 0.6600 ke aas paas decline ki taraf wapis pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Sellers tab confirm ho sakte hain jab trend ke rukh ko badalne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai, jaise ke agar price 0.6576 ke aas paas support area ke neeche gir jaye.

Agar price 200 Ma ke moving limit 0.6550 ke aas paas se guzar jaye to bearish trend ki shuruaat confirm ho sakti hai aur jab price crucial support area 0.6516 ke aas paas se neeche chale jaye to downward trend validate ho sakta hai. Yeh isliye ke daily timeframe mein audusd ke movement mein

AUD/USD ki taraf se bezaari bardasht karta hai lekin currency minor decline kiya hua tha Kiwi dollar ke khilaaf (likhte waqt). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March se May ke darmiyan prices ko band karta tha aur pair ke liye support pesh karta hai.

Market ek potential tripwire ki tarah kaam karta hai bearish continuation ke liye lekin haal ki harkat mein conviction mein kami hai. Dono central banks ne interest rates ko kum karne ki tawaqqu'at rakhti hain, lekin is faislay ki waqt guzar chuka hai. Lekin, mazeed US data ki kamzori US services PMI data aaj greenback ke liye mazeed kamzori la sakti hai, manufacturing sector ke contraction ke baad.

Greetings, forum members! I hope you all are doing well. Today, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the AUD/USD market. The Australian economy has been under increasing pressure, with real GDP declining or remaining flat every quarter since the start of 2023. The latest annualized figure missed the estimates of 1.2%, coming in at 1.1%, while the quarter-on-quarter figure rose a meager 0.1%. Household spending, which accounts for roughly 50% of Australian GDP, was slightly stronger at 1.3%, but the majority of this spending was directed towards essentials like electricity and healthcare, as discretionary spending flattened out.

Despite the lackluster growth, the AUD/USD pair appears unperturbed. The currency has registered a minor decline against the New Zealand dollar (at the time of writing), and the pair is currently testing the 0.6644 level, which capped prices between March-May, and offers support for this pair.

Looking ahead, the market serves as a potential tripwire for a bearish continuation, but the conviction in recent moves lacks conviction. With both the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Federal Reserve looking to eventually cut interest rates, the timing of such decisions remains elusive. However, weakening US data places the Fed in a better position when it comes to the two nations. The upcoming US services PMI data could see further weakness for the US dollar, following the contraction in the manufacturing sector.

In terms of technical analysis, the pair has the potential to base up and rally towards the annual high price limit of around 0.6838, and potentially even reach the previous year's high area of around 0.7157. However, this consolidation phase could continue if the increase experiences bullish rejection conditions at around 0.6700. This could open up selling opportunities, with the potential to target a decline back closer to the zero area below it at around 0.6600.

Sellers can be confirmed as entering to try to change the direction of the trend if the price declines below the support area at around 0.6576. A further decline past the moving limit of the 200-day moving average at around 0.6550 can confirm the beginning of a bearish trend and validate the downward movement when the price moves below the crucial support area at around 0.6516.

In conclusion, the AUD/USD market is currently in a state of flux, with the potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios. Traders and investors should closely monitor the economic data and central bank policies to make informed decisions.

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Forum ke members ko mera salam! Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj, main AUD/USD market ka tafsili jaiza pesh karunga.

Australian ma'eeshat ziada dabhav mein hai, aur asal GDP 2023 ke aghaz se har quarter mein gir rahi hai ya barabar reh rahi hai. Aakhri saalana figure 1.2% ke andaazon se kum tha, aur 1.1% par aya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure mehaz 0.1% barha. Household kharch, jo ke Australian GDP ka taqriban 50% hai, thoda behtar tha 1.3% par, lekin is kharch ka ziada tar hissa zaroori cheezon jaise ke bijli aur healthcare par lag gaya, jabke discretionary spending barabar rahi.

Peshraft ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair par koi khas asar nahi pada. Currency ne New Zealand dollar ke muqable mein thodi girawat dekhi (is waqt likhte hue), aur pair is waqt 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai, jo March-Mayi ke darmiyan prices ko cap karta tha, aur is pair ke liye support faraham karta hai.

Ainday dekhte hue, market ek potential tripwire ki surat mein hai bearish continuation ke liye, lekin recent moves mein koi ziada iqraar nahi hai. Dono Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve aakhir kar interest rates cut karne ki soch rahe hain, lekin inke faisalon ka waqt abhi tak na-qabil-e-shanasi hai. Kamzor US data ne Fed ko behtar position mein rakha hai jabke do mulkon ka muqabla hota hai. Aanewale US services PMI data se US dollar mein aur kamzori dekhi ja sakti hai, manufacturing sector ke contraction ke baad.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, pair ke paas potential hai ke wo base banaye aur annual high price limit tak rally kare taqriban 0.6838 tak, aur mumkin hai ke pichle saal ke high area tak pohanch jaye taqriban 0.7157 tak. Magar yeh consolidation phase barqarar reh sakta hai agar increase bullish rejection conditions par ho taqriban 0.6700 par. Yeh selling opportunities khol sakta hai, potential target ke sath ke girawat zero area ke kareeb 0.6600 tak ho.

Sellers ko confirm kiya ja sakta hai ke wo trend ka rukh badalne ke liye aayenge agar price support area se neeche girti hai taqriban 0.6576 par. Aur girawat 200-day moving average ke moving limit se neeche taqriban 0.6550 par confirm kar sakti hai ke bearish trend ka aghaz ho gaya hai aur downward movement ko validate karega jab price crucial support area se neeche jati hai taqriban 0.6516 par.

Nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD market is waqt flux ki surat mein hai, bullish aur bearish scenarios ke potential ke sath. Traders aur investors ko chaahiye ke wo economic data aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karen taake behtar faislay le saken

Australia dollar ko umooman niche dabao ka samna hai, walaqah moazziz mizaaj ka report ke bawajood. RBA ka sakht stance aur barhte hue US interest rates US dollar ki demand ko barha raha hai. Jab ke kamzor US data saamne aya, lekin US dollar ab bhi mazboot hai. Australia ki maashiyat ka rukhna aur mustaqil inflation RBA ko dar ustaraab se bacha raha hai, jisse AUD ka girao mehdood hai. Investors RBA ki baithak ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme pehli rate ke hike ka tajwez May 2025 me kiya gaya hai. Technical indicators ikhtilaafat angaiz nazar aa rahe hain. RSI 50 ke nichay aur girne wala MACD manfi lehrahat ki ishaarat dete hain. 20-day moving average jispat 0.6613 tak gir raha hai wo kamzor khareedari ki roshni mehsoos karane ki nishani hai. Agar girao jaari rahe, to 0.6560 ke qarib 50 aur 100-day moving averages ka imtehaan le sakti hai. ADX 25 ke nichay ikhtitaamat market ka aiyaar hai, jabke RSI 50 se oopar iska mukhalif hai. Stochastic Index ne neeche murghi karne ka intehaam saamne aa sakti hai jisse AUD/USD joda girao sakta hai.



agar bulls ka imtihan mehal raha hai, to wo October 26, 2023 trendline ka muqabla kar sakte hain pehle July 14, 2022 ka kam hone tak 0.6681 ka kam hone tak. April 5, 2022 - October 13, 2022 ke girne ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6739 par ikhtiyaar hai jaise ke aham upar ke target ke taur par. Bears, dosri taraf, jo hai wo October 26, 2023 trendline se neeche murad sakte hain, AUD/USD ko 0.6556-0.6562 zone ki taraf le ja sakte hain (jo ke 50-day aur 100-day SMAs ke zariye mukarar kia gaya hai). Kamiyaabi ke saath murad, 0.6521-0.6532 support area ka imtehan de sakti hai, jo 23.6% Fibonacci level aur 200-day moving average ke zariye bana hai. Kul milakar, AUD/USD ke saamne chand deeno ka rukh perchar ke sath mukhtalif technical signals ke saath haath milana padega. RBA ki baithak aur aam taur par bazaar ki jazbatiyat currency pair ke rukh perchar mein asar andaz hongi agley dino mein.Ab, 0.6570 ka maqsood, MACD ki support line, paas aa raha hai. Is level ke neeche jamawar hone par rasta 0.6467 (May 1 ki kam ki low) tak khulta hai. Marlin oscillator apne neeche ke channel mein gir raha hai.Chothi ghante ke musar par, keemat balans aur MACD indicator lines ke neeche jamawar hai, aur Marlin oscillator ka signal line neeche ke ilaqe mein hai. Choti mudat ka trend kam hone ki taraf hai, jis liye hum keemat ko 0.6570 level par dekh rahe hain.Subah China se mile dastavezat mein industrial production mein girawaat dekhai gayi hai 6.7% year-over-year se 5.6% year over-year tak aur fixed asset investment growth mein kami dekhi gayi hai 4.2% year-over-year se 4.0% year over-year. Asian stock indices bohot gir rahe hain (Nikkei 225 -1.92%, China A50 -0.73%, S&P/ASX200 -0.22%), jisse Australian dollar neeche khinch raha hai.Peer ke foundation events mein sirf Fed ki representative Patrick Harker ka taqreer ko taasur kiya ja sakta hai. Magar is haftay mein, Fed ne baithak rakhi aur Jerome Powell ne market ko maaishat policy aur uske mustaqbil ke husool ke liye zaroori maaloomat faraham ki hain. Is liye, Mr. Harker ke bayan ka kuch naya tabadlan na ho. Har surat mein, unki taqreer shaam ko muntazim hai, is liye din ke movement ko koi asar nahi dalna chahiye.

AUD/USD kaise Chart Patterns istemal karain

Main AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par pichle aik mahine se 0.6618 ke aas paas sideways consolidation dikhayi hai. Pichle hafte is range ke andar indecisive movements dekhi gayi hain, jo ke jald hi ek potential breakout ko suggest karti hain. Agar horizontal support 0.6576 pe likely hai, toh yeh aik downward wave ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke 2023 se early 2024 ke lows ke previous movements par mabni 161.8 Fibonacci extension level ko target kar sakta hai. Aik strategic selling opportunity tab arise hogi jab yeh level resistance ke taur par hold karay upon retest from below, jo ke lower time frame analysis (M5-M15) se confirm ho sakta hai jahan resistance support mein tabdeel hota nazar aaye.

Iske bar'aks, agar horizontal resistance 0.6696 ke upar breakout hota hai, toh yeh aik upward wave ko initiate kar sakta hai, jo ke significant peaks se draw ki gayi descending trend line ko target karayga. Initial upward movement par Fibonacci grid apply karte hue yeh downside scenario se significantly higher target level ko suggest karta hai, jo ke upper trend line ki taraf ho sakta hai. Downside strategy ki tarah, buying confirmation tab dekha jayega jab 0.6696 support ke taur par act karayga after breakout from above. Lower time frame analysis entry confirmation ke liye bhi crucial hogi. AUD/USD pair is waqt tight trading range mein 0.6618 ke paas hai, jo ke sideways trend ko indicate karta hai jo ke likely hai ke barqarar rahay. Is range se breakout ka direction agla move determine karega, jahan ke breakout above potential growth towards 0.6770 ko signal karega, jab ke breakout below decline towards at least 0.6521 ko suggest karta hai. Ek decisive breakout solid candle closes ya consecutive movements beyond the range boundaries se likely hoga. Technical indicators is waqt bearish sentiment ko indicate karte hain, jo ke trading strategies mein ehtiyat baratne ka mashwara dete hain.

Technical Analysis of Australian Dollar/US Dollar (AUD/USD)



Hello, traders. Kiya hal hay ap logo ke? Es week hamy aik achi trade mily gi. Australian dollar pichlay week apni previous
range mai trade kar raha tha, lekin breakout nahi ho saka. Upper boundary 0.6701 se rebound karne ke baad, price 0.6573 level tak gir gaya, lekin phir resistance face karne ke baad, wapas 0.6701 level tak pohanch gaya, lekin abhi tak enough nahi hai. Is waqt price chart supertrend areas mai move kar raha hai, jo high level of uncertainty dikhata hai.

Technically, simple moving average aaj positive momentum de raha hai, sath hi 14-day momentum indicator se clear positive signal mil raha hai. Hum positive rehna prefer karte hain lekin cautious, with intraday trading above support at 0.6890, with the first target at 0.6990, aur index shayad 0.6930 tak rise ho sakta hai. Agar hourly chart pe 0.6850 se close dekhte hain toh delayed hai lekin upside negate nahi hoti, aur hum 0.6740 pe bearish bias retest dekh sakte hain.



Pair currently mixed trade kar raha hai aur weekly mostly neutral hai. Key support area heavy pressure mai aya tha lekin hold kar gaya, forcing the price higher aur upward vector ko relevant rakha. Upward intentions ko confirm karne ke liye, successful retest ke baad, price ko 0.6635 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahaan main support area remains. Area between 0.6765 aur 0.6804 se doosra upward impulse form hoga.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 0.6573 reversal level ko break kar leta hai, toh current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

AUD/USD market ki detailed

As-salamu alaykum forum members! Ummeed hai ke aap sab theek honge. Aaj mein AUD/USD market ki detailed analysis provide karunga.

Australia ki economy mein izafaat ke dabaav mein reh rahi hai, jahan real GDP har quarter se start of 2023 se ghatey ya flat rahi hai. Sab se latest annualized figure 1.2% ki estimates ko miss kar gaya, aur 1.1% par aa gaya, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure sirf 0.1% barha. Household spending, jo approximately 50% Australian GDP ka hissa hai, thoda sa strong tha 1.3% par, lekin is spending ka bara hissa electricity aur healthcare jaise zarooriyat mein gaya, jabke ikhtiyari spending flat reh gayi.

Is lackluster growth ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair ko koi farq nahi pada. Currency ne New Zealand dollar ke khilaf thora sa giravat darj ki hai (is waqt likhne ke waqt), aur pair abhi 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai, jo March-Mei ke darmiyan ke prices ko support diya tha.



Aage ki taraf dekhte hue, market bearish continuation ke liye ek potential tripwire ka kaam karta hai, lekin haal ki harkat mein conviction ki kami hai. Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve dono interest rates ko kam karne ki soch rahe hain, lekin aisi faislon ki timing abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Magar, mazboot honewale US data ne Fed ko dono mumalik ke beech achi position mein daala hai. Aane waale US services PMI data mein bhi US dollar ke liye aur kamzorayi ki sambhavna hai, manufacturing sector mein ghatnayi ke baad.

Technical analysis ki nazar mein, yeh pair base bana sakta hai aur annual high price limit tak barh sakta hai jo lagbhag 0.6838 hai, aur pehle saal ke high area tak pohanch sakta hai jo 0.7157 ke aas paas hai. Magar, agar 0.6700 ke aas paas barhne mein bullish rejection conditions aayi toh yeh consolidation phase jaari rahega. Isse selling opportunities open ho sakti hain, jahan giravat ko target kiya ja sakta hai, jo 0.6600 ke aas paas hai.

Agar price 0.6576 ke aas paas support area ke neeche gir jaye toh sellers ke pravesh hone ka confirm ho sakta hai jo trend ke direction ko badalne ki koshish karte hain. Aur jab price 0.6550 ke aas paas 200-day moving average ke neeche gir jaye toh yeh bearish trend ke shuruaat ka confirm kar sakta hai, aur jab price 0.6516 ke aas paas crucial support area ke neeche jaaye toh downward movement ko validate kar sakta hai.

Yani, AUD/USD market abhi ek halat mein hai jahan bullish aur bearish scenarios dono ke potential hai. Traders aur investors ko arzi data aur central bank policies ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye taaki unki trading strategies par soch samajh kar faislay liye ja sakein.

AUD/USD pair ki jaari barhti hui rally ko RBA ki monetary policy ne support kiya jo ke interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakhta hai. Is ke saath hi reports bhi aayi hain ke US Retail Sales economic data mein girawat ho rahi hai. Agar hum price movement ko dekhein jo pehle do Moving Average lines ke neeche tha, ab woh unke oopar hai aur pivot point (PP) 0.6643 se guzar chuka hai. Agar yeh upward rally consistent rahe toh mauqa hai ke resistance (R1) 0.6690 ko test kiya ja sake phir 0.6700 level tak jaari rahe. Lekin price pattern structure ab bhi confirmatiyan nahi deta hai. Kyunki pehle jo prices girne aur phir uthne ki koshish ki thi, unhone dono taraf se low prices 0.6593 aur high prices 0.6701 ko paar kiya tha. Is liye is structure mein ek break hona zaroori hai taake yeh determine kiya ja sake ke yeh higher high ya lower low pattern mein hai?

Trend direction basically bearish condition mein hai kyunki humein EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se death cross signal nazar aa raha hai. Lekin bearish trend ab kamzor dikh raha hai jab ke price ne support (S1) 0.6561 ki taraf apni girawat jaari nahi rakhi. Stochastic indicator ki nazar se dekha jaye toh yeh ishaara hai ke upward price rally jald hi overbought point tak pahunchne waali hai. Overbought zone jo ke level 90 - 80 par hoti hai, usse parameters cross ho sakte hain jisse ke prices mein girawat ho sakti hai. Mumkin hai ke price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke paas ya do Moving Average lines ke aas paas gir sake jo ke golden cross signal dega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum dikhaya hai jab histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha. Yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke price movements ka tendency abhi bhi upward ho sakta hai.

Position entry setup:

Trading options mein price ka development ka intezaar karein ke wo resistance (R1) 0.6690 tak pahunchega phir aap SELL entry position rakh sakte hain. Confirmation ke liye yeh ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke overbought zone cross kar chuke hain, woh level 80 se neeche hon. AO indicator ke histogram red mein ho ya bhi uptrend momentum dikha raha ho. Take profit ko do Moving Average lines ya pivot point (PP) 0.6643 ke aas paas rakhein jabki stop loss ko high price 0.6716 ke 15 - 25 pips ooper rakhein