جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Global ke latest data se pata chalta hai. July 2024 ke UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak barh gaya, jo market expectations 52.7 se kaafi zyada hai, aur June ka 52.2 se bhi ooper hai. Yeh barhti hui growth UK construction sector mein pichlay 5 mahino se dekhne ko mil rahi hai. July mein record hui growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse taiz rahi. July ke mahine mein housing projects ki wapsi hui hai, aur commercial activity bhi barh gayi hai. Civil engineering mein pichlay 2.5 saalon ki sabse bari taraqqi dekhne ko mili. Is dauran construction activity aur naye orders mein achi khasi izafa hua, jis ki wajah se purchasing activity aur employment level pichlay 3 mahino se barh rahe hain. Lekin, construction sector ki barhti hui demand ne supply chain par kaafi pressure dala hai, jisse input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya hai. In challenges ke bawajood, sector ka overall performance mazboot hai aur agle kuch mahino mein growth ka positive outlook hai. Financial side par, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua jab ye apne 6 mahinon ke lowest level par thay. British 10-year Treasury notes ki yield 3.74% se barh kar taqreeban 3.9% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh izafa U.S. services sector mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad aya, jis ne market ke pehlay loss ko thora kam kar diya. Currency market mein, GBP/JPY pair mein sell ka opportunity ho sakta hai agar price 199.50 level se neeche break kare. Is short-term bearish outlook ka target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, 194.76 par half position ko close kar dena behtar hoga taake profits secure kiye ja sakein aur downside ke liye thodi room rahe. Main ek tajurba kaar forex trader hoon aur pichlay do saalon mein kuch key strategies discover ki hain. Is forum mein apni technical analysis share karna chahta hoon, aur agar kisi ke paas koi suggestions ya improvements hoon, toh woh bhi zaroor batayein taake analysis ko aur behtar banaya ja sake.

Federal Reserve ke kuch afraad ki taraf se maali narmiyan rokne ki koshishon ke bawajood, investors ka jazba November tak ek significant rate cut ki umeed mein behtareen hai. Yeh ummeed aur global financial markets ka bullish jazba, GBP/USD pair ko full correction se bacha raha hai, jab ke US dollar recent dip se recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai. **GBP Ko Madad Dene Wale Factors** British pound (GBP) ko madad dene wala ek ahem factor yeh hai ke Bank of England (BoE) ka rate-cutting cycle apne American humsafar se slow hone ki umeed hai. Yeh monetary policy expectations ka farq GBP/USD exchange rate ki upward movement mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. Lekin, bullish investors shayad Fed ke rate cuts ke trajectory par zyada concrete evidence ka intezar kar rahe hain, is se pehle ke wo zyada aggressive upward trades mein invest karein. Aane wale dino mein, traders key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke members ki speeches par nazar rakhenge, khaaskar Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki, kyunki inka asar dollar ki taqat par ho sakta hai aur naye trading momentum create kar sakta hai. **Optimism Ke Beech Market Ka Ihtiyaat** Optimistic outlook ke bawajood, market mein ihtiyaat maujood hai, jo technical indicators se zahir hota hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward trend dikha raha hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) apni bullish momentum kho raha hai, jo pair par downward pressure ka sanket de raha hai. Agar market mein pullback hota hai, to GBP/USD 1.3265 ke support level ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur phir 20-day moving average ki taraf, jo ke 1.3170 ke aas-paas hai. Agar girawat jari rahi, to yeh 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak ke upward movement ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 1.3113 par hai, ko test kar sakta hai, aur is se bhi niche 1.3000 level tak, jo ke 50-day moving average se milta hai, girne ka potential hai. **Aage Barhne Ka Potential** Dusi taraf, agar upward pressure dobara shuru hota hai, to price 1.3400 ke area ki taraf barh sakta hai, aur lambi muddat ka target 1.3640 tak pahunchne ka ho sakta hai, jo ke February 2022 mein tay kiya gaya tha. **Nateejah** Aakhir mein, jab ke GBP/USD pair ne mazbooti aur aage barhne ka potential dikhaya hai, jo ke maali halat aur BoE ke gradual rate-cutting approach ki umeed par mabni hai

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai

Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain

GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

Click image for larger version

Filhal, GBP/USD currency pair 1.3373 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, aur is waqt ka trend bearish nazar aata hai. Market dheere dheere chal rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke traders shayad underlying uncertainties ki wajah se cautious hain. Bearish trend aksar buying interest ki kami aur selling pressure ke izafe ko dikhata hai, jo abhi GBP/USD pair mein nazar aa raha hai. Magar is dheere movement aur downward pressure ke bawajood, aise nishan hain ke kisi significant move ki sambhavna hai.
Aane wale dinon mein kuch factors is anticipated movement ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Ek main driver UK aur US se aane wale economic data releases ho sakte hain. Agar UK se positive economic reports, jaise ke GDP growth ya employment data behtar aaye, toh pound ke liye nayi umeed mil sakti hai, jo current bearish trend ka reversal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar US ke economic indicators mazboot hain, khaaskar agar yeh Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke further tightening ki taraf ishaara karein, toh dollar ko faida ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD par aur pressure daal sakta hai.Iske ilawa, economic data ke saath market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhi volatility ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Brexit, global trade relations, ya monetary policy adjustments se mutaliq anjaam dene wale ghaflati waqiyat ke natije mein pair mein tezi se movement ho sakti hai. Isliye, traders ko zyada volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaaskar agar price key technical levels ko todne lage.

Kull mila kar, jabke is waqt ka trend bearish hai aur market dheere chal rahi hai, GBP/USD pair aane wale dinon mein kisi significant shift ka samna kar sakta hai. Fundamental data aur technical signals ka monitoring traders ke liye zaroori hoga taake wo kisi bhi badi movement ka andaza laga sakein aur uska turant jawab de sakein.

of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai
GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake.

Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain

USD 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share

USD 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical anal

JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”
Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected

GBP/JPY ne haal hi mein kafi utar chadhav dekha hai, jo ke aham economic events ka nateeja hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye market mein entry ka critical point ban sakta hai

JPY ne haal hi mein kafi utar chadhav dekha hai, jo ke aham economic events ka nateeja hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori ha

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez