جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj Tuesday ke liye zyada macroeconomic events schedule nahi hain, magar kuch reports aayengi. Masla yeh hai ke market ko abhi kisi reports ki zarurat nahi hai trading decisions lene ke liye. Monday ko koi reports nahi thi, phir bhi dono currency pairs mein khaas growth dekhi gayi. Is liye, hum samajhte hain ke aaj ki reports ka market par zyada asar nahi hoga aur sirf choti local reactions ko trigger kar sakti hain.

Eurozone se ZEW Institute ki taraf se economic sentiment indices release honge. US mein industrial production aur retail sales ki reports aayengi. UK mein kuch nahi hai. US reports kuch had tak important hain, lekin market participants ki zyada dilchaspi US central bank ke rate decisions mein hai, jo Federal Reserve meeting se pehle hai.

Tuesday ke liye kuch fundamental events mein European Central Bank ke representatives, Buch, Elderson, aur McCaul ke speeches ko highlight kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, pichle Friday ko ECB ke monetary committee ke aadhe members pehle hi key rates ko dobarah kam karne ke faisle par comments de chuke hain. Is liye, ECB se kuch nayi maloomat milne ki umeed nahi hai. US mein Fed representative Lorie Logan ka speech scheduled hai, lekin yeh saaf hai ke wo meeting se ek din pehle monetary policy par koi comments nahi karengi.

**General Conclusions:**
Tuesday ko dono currency pairs thodi si neeche ki taraf correction karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, lekin overall, technical picture aisa lagta hai ke yeh recent mahino mein dekhne mein aayi upward trend ke dobara shuru hone ki tayyari hai. Macroeconomic background currency pairs ke movement par sirf chhota asar daal sakta hai, jabke fundamental background ka koi asar nahi hoga.

GBP/JPY cross currency pair ke 4-hour chart par dekha jaye to yeh lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ki price movement aur Awesome Oscillator indicator ke beech mein deviation hai. Is fact ke aadhar par, GBP/JPY mein nazdeek mustaqbil mein correction aur taqat milne ki sambhavana hai, jab tak yeh 183.76 level ke neeche nahi girta. Phir GBP/JPY 186.70 level ko todne ki koshish karega. Agar yeh level successfully toda gaya aur momentum aur volatility bhi isay support kare, to yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/JPY 188.07 level tak pahunche.

GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

**GBP/JPY M30 Time Frame Chart Analysis**

GBP/JPY currency pair ke M30 chart ka jaiza lete hue, aisa lagta hai ke price upar ki taraf jaari rahegi. Kal humne 184.90 par daily support ka level hit kiya aur wahan se momentum ke sath upar barh gaye. Jab price barh rahi thi, to do daily resistances ke saath ek mushkil level 187.36 ko tod diya gaya, aur ab price is level ke upar mazid majbooti se barh sakti hai, is resistance ko support mein tabdeel karte hue. Level ko todne ke baad, price isko ulta test karti hai aur consolidation mein chali jati hai. Yeh level ko hit karti hai aur bounce karti hai, jabke positions accumulate ho rahi hain aur log buy karne ke liye tayyar hain. Mera khayal hai ke ab niche ka level buy karne ke liye acha mauka hai, candle tails ke peechay chhoti si stop ke sath, aur targets 190.00 par hain. Is mark par daily resistance hai aur daily moving average ke liye advance yahi par khatam hota hai. Wahan se mujhe ek downward retirement ki umeed hai.

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GBP/JPY pair abhi ek downward trend par hai, jisne recently ek flattening price range ko tod diya hai, aur yeh 208 level se 20 figures se zyada gir chuki hai. Mera khayal hai ke hum ek aur girawat dekh sakte hain, khaas taur par kyun ke 187.32 level ko do baar defend kiya gaya hai, aur hum 195.94 ke aas-paas wapas aane ki umeed kar sakte hain. Yeh movement sirf ek mazboot resistance ko test nahi karega balki Ichimoku Cloud indicator ki lower border ke nazdeek bhi le jayega. Agar rebound hota hai, toh main phir se GBP bechne ki sochunga 187 level ke nazdeek ya phir isse bhi niche. Agar 195.94 level tooti, toh price Ichimoku Cloud mein chale jayegi aur upper border ko 199.02 par test kar sakti hai. Agar price 199.02 ko par kar leti hai aur uspe stabilize ho jati hai, toh upward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko ek mazboot buying zone mein wapas la sakta hai, aur 208 figure ko dubara test karne ka mauka de sakta hai.

H4 timeframe par CCI indicator yeh darshata hai ke pair neutral position mein hai, kyun ke indicator line abhi selling zone mein hai lekin horizontal move kar rahi hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke chart par oversold condition khatam ho jayegi, jo ek potential rollback ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak koi buy signal nahi mila, isliye main ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka intezar karunga. Price ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko tod diya hai, highest point se rebound kiya hai, aur ab middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas ja rahi hai. Di gayi maloomat ki roshni mein, maine yeh nateeja nikala hai ke currency pair bechna munafa dila sakta hai. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ki tasdiq karta hai, kyun ke iski curve neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai.

weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

rahegi. Kal humne 184.90 par daily support ka level hit kiya aur wahan se momentum ke sath upar barh gaye. Jab price barh rahi thi, to do daily resistances ke saath ek mushkil level 187.36 ko tod diya gaya, aur ab price is level ke upar mazid majbooti se barh sakti hai, is resistance ko support mein tabdeel karte hue. Level ko todne ke baad, price isko ulta test karti hai aur consolidation mein chali jati hai. Yeh level ko hit karti hai aur bounce karti hai, jabke positions accumulate ho rahi hain aur log buy karne ke liye tayyar hain. Mera khayal hai ke ab niche ka level buy karne ke liye acha mauka hai, candle tails ke peechay chhoti si stop ke sath, aur targets 190.00 par hain. Is mark par daily resistance hai aur daily moving average ke liye advance yahi par khatam hota hai. Wahan se mujhe ek downward retirement ki umeed hai.
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GBP/JPY pair abhi ek downward trend par hai, jisne recently ek flattening price range ko tod diya hai, aur yeh 208 level se 20 figures se zyada gir chuki hai. Mera khayal hai ke hum ek aur girawat dekh sakte hain, khaas taur par kyun ke 187.32 level ko do baar defend kiya gaya hai, aur hum 195.94 ke aas-paas wapas aane ki umeed kar sakte hain. Yeh movement sirf ek mazboot resistance ko test nahi karega balki Ichimoku Cloud indicator ki lower border ke nazdeek bhi le jayega. Agar rebound hota hai, toh main phir se GBP bechne ki sochunga 187 level ke nazdeek ya phir isse bhi niche. Agar 195.94 level tooti, toh price Ichimoku Cloud mein chale jayegi aur upper border ko 199.02 par test kar sakti hai. Agar price 199.02 ko par kar leti hai aur uspe stabilize ho jati hai, toh upward trend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko ek mazboot buying zone mein wapas la sakta hai, aur 208 figure ko dubara test karne ka mauka de sakta hai.

H4 timeframe par CCI indicator yeh darshata hai ke pair neutral position mein hai, kyun ke indicator line abhi selling zone mein hai lekin horizontal move kar rahi hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke chart par oversold condition khatam ho jayegi, jo ek potential rollback ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin abhi tak koi buy signal nahi mila, isliye main ek strong rebound aur bullish absorption ka intezar karunga. Price ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko tod diya hai, highest point se rebound kiya hai, aur ab middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas ja rahi hai. Di gayi maloomat ki roshni mein, maine yeh nateeja nikala hai ke currency pair bechna munafa dila sakta hai. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ki tasdiq karta hai, kyun ke iski curve neeche ki taraf ja

jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do

ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neech e ki taraf point kar raha hai

Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions

GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

### H4 Time Frame ki Jaiza

GBP/JPY ka trend is hafte pehle ke hafte ke trend ke sath itna mutabiqat nahi rakhta, kyunki candles ki history ka direction aur maqsad bullish side ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh sach hai ke pehle hafte mein request conditions ne neeche ki taraf movement dikhayi, lekin price 183.74 ke area se neeche nahi girayi. Lekin, buyers ke taraf se ab bhi koshishen hain jo is increase ko jari rakhna chahti hain, halankeh dealers ki taraf se kaafi attempts hain jo ise dabana chahte hain. Agar aap price ka movement din ba din dekhte hain, toh Monday se Saturday tak bullish trend conditions price ko steadily uptrend ki taraf push kar sakti hain. Is hafte price 191.96 position tak pahuncha. Daily trading 184.78 position se shuru hui aur aakhir mein daily bullish candlestick ke sath close hui. Upar di gayi surat-e-haal se yeh saaf hai ke request buyers ke control mein hai.

Pichli raat price 191.67 par ruk gaya kyunki request weekend ke liye band thi. Meri rai mein, is hafte ke liye Buy position lena trading ka focus hai, kyunki GBP/JPY par buyers ka asar ab bhi kafi dominant hai. Andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke aane wale bullish trip mein candlestick shayad 192.47 ke price range ko test karne ke liye phir se upar ja sakti hai. Aakhri kai dino ka bullish trip is hafte ke aane wale dinon mein continue hone ka acha mauqa rakhta hai. Shayad hafte ki shuruaat par candlestick neeche ki taraf correction karne ka sujhav de rahi hai, jo Monday se Tuesday tak ho sakta hai. Candlestick ke beech mein pahunchne ke baad bullish trend ki taraf movement ki sambhavna hai.

Main andaza lagata hoon ke price trip ab bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye upar ja raha hai taake aakhir mein price buyers ke target ki taraf move kare. Mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale hafte mein price ke upward trend ko continue karne ke kaafi mauqe hain aur yeh asal mein upar ki position ko test karna chahta hai. Halankeh GBP/JPY pair ko aane wale bullish target ki taraf upar jaane ka mauqa hai, agar yeh nahi hota toh agar yeh mushkil hal ho jati hai.

Buy Options: 191.79 ke area mein, Take Profit: 192.46, Stop Loss: 191.31.

of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye

jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do

ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai

Kal GBP/JPY mein, previous day ke high ko update karne ke baad, price reverse ho gayi aur south ki taraf push hui, jisse ek bearish candle form hui. Candle ki southern shadow ne previous day ke range ke low ko bhi update kiya, usko completely engulf karte hue aur support level ke neeche settle hui, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 192.247 par located tha. Given the current scenario, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke aaj southern movement continue kar sakti hai, aur is case mein, main support level jo 190.036 par located hai, us par nazar rakhoonga. Iss support level ke qareeb, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario involve karta hai reversal candle ka formation aur upward price movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price wapas resistance level jo 192.949 par located hai, ya phir resistance level jo 193.535 par located hai, wapas aaye. Jab price in resistance levels ke upar settle ho jayegi, toh main expect karunga further northward movement, jo 195.883 ke resistance level tak ja sakta hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Ek possibility yeh bhi hai ke aur zyada northward targets achieve hon, lekin filhal main isko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki mujhe iska quick realization perspective nazar nahi aa raha.

Dusra scenario price movement ke liye jab price support level jo 190.036 par located hai, ke qareeb aaye ga, toh yeh plan hai ke price is level ke neeche settle ho aur south ki taraf move continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price 187.974 ke support level ki taraf move kare. Iss support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karunga, expecting ke upward price movement ka resumption hoga. Of course, ek possibility yeh bhi hai ke aur zyada southern target achieve ho sakta hai, lekin agar yeh plan implement hota hai, tab bhi main bullish signals search karta rahunga in anticipation ke price movement upwards resume hogi.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke price correction ke andar south ki taraf move continue kar sakti hai. Nearest support levels ke qareeb, existing global northern trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bullish signals ke intezar mein rahunga, expecting ke growth ka recovery hoga.