جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

GBP/USD ka jorha thora kam hui, Friday ko European session mein ye 1.3403 ke aas-paas trade kiya. US dollar ne kuch taqat hasil ki jabke bazar PCE price index data ke release se pehle ehtiyaat se kaam kar rahe the. US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne elan kiya ke dusray quarter mein US ka GDP saalana dar se 3.0% barh gaya, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq tha. GDP price index dusray quarter mein 2.5% tak barha. Iske ilawa, 20 September ko khatam hone wale haftay mein pehli dafa jobless claims 218,000 tak kam hue, jo ke pehle ke consensus 225,000 aur pichle haftay ke revised 222,000 se kam hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ke officials ke dovish comments dollar par neeche ki taraf pressure daal sakte hain. Fed Governor Lisa Cook ne pichle haftay 50 basis point ki interest rate cut ka support diya, keh kar ke rozgar ke liye GBP/USD ka jorha April se aik aham uptrend mein hai, aur sirf agar ye uptrend line aur 200-day moving average ke neeche girta hai to maujooda soorat-e-haal tabdeel ho sakti hai. Jorhay ka haal ka 1.3434 ka buland dar 2.5 saal ka buland dar hai, jo ke US dollar ke broader sell-off ki wajah se hai. Technical indicators yeh darshate hain ke bazar mein nervousness barh rahi hai. Stochastic overbought zone mein gir gaya hai, jabke RSI 70 level se bounce karne ke baad neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day SMA apni positive momentum kho raha hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf pressure ka ishara de raha hai. Agar bazar mein pullback hota hai, to jorha support level 1.3265 ki taraf seedha move khol sakta hai, phir 20-day moving average 1.3170 ki taraf. Agla girawat 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ko test karwa sakta hai jo ke 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak ke uptrend ka hai, aur ye 1.3113 par hai, pehle ke baad ye 1.3000 tak bhi ja sakta hai. "downside risks" barh gaye hain.

UK ka construction sector apne recent waqton ka sabse uncha level chho raha hai, jaisa ke Standard & Poor's Global ke latest data se pata chalta hai. July 2024 ke UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak barh gaya, jo market expectations 52.7 se kaafi zyada hai, aur June ka 52.2 se bhi ooper hai. Yeh barhti hui growth UK construction sector mein pichlay 5 mahino se dekhne ko mil rahi hai. July mein record hui growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse taiz rahi. July ke mahine mein housing projects ki wapsi hui hai, aur commercial activity bhi barh gayi hai. Civil engineering mein pichlay 2.5 saalon ki sabse bari taraqqi dekhne ko mili. Is dauran construction activity aur naye orders mein achi khasi izafa hua, jis ki wajah se purchasing activity aur employment level pichlay 3 mahino se barh rahe hain.
Lekin, construction sector ki barhti hui demand ne supply chain par kaafi pressure dala hai, jisse input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya hai. In challenges ke bawajood, sector ka overall performance mazboot hai aur agle kuch mahino mein growth ka positive outlook hai. Financial side par, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua jab ye apne 6 mahinon ke lowest level par thay. British 10-year Treasury notes ki yield 3.74% se barh kar taqreeban 3.9% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh izafa U.S. services sector mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad aya, jis ne market ke pehlay loss ko thora kam kar diya. Currency market mein, GBP/JPY pair mein sell ka opportunity ho sakta hai agar price 199.50 level se neeche break kare. Is short-term bearish outlook ka target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, 194.76 par half position ko close kar dena behtar hoga taake profits secure kiye ja sakein aur downside ke liye thodi room rahe. Main ek tajurba kaar forex trader hoon aur pichlay do saalon mein kuch key strategies discover ki hain. Is forum mein apni technical analysis share karna chahta hoon, aur agar kisi ke paas koi suggestions ya improvements hoon, toh woh bhi zaroor batayein taake analysis ko aur behtar banaya ja sake.

**GBP/JPY H4 Market Analysis**

Aaj dopahar, main British Pound aur Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair ka 4-hour (H4) time frame par jaiza loonga. Is currency pair ke liye aik dilchasp pattern hai jo humain discuss karna chahiye, kyunki market mein patterns ko pehchaan lena aur unhein samajhna humein mustaqbil ki price movements ka andaza lagane mein madad de sakta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke aik support level toot gaya hai, aur humein yeh tay karna hai ke kya yeh trend reversal ka nishan hai ya sirf aik price correction.

Main apni analysis ka aghaz hamesha current market trend ko pehchanne se karta hoon. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, main H4 time frame par 21-period aur 34-period Moving Average indicators ka istemal karunga taake trend direction ka pata lag sake. Maujooda price action jo Moving Averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, yeh darshata hai ke GBP/JPY ka trend bearish hai. Is ke ilawa, H4 time frame par Stochastic Indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price jald hi neeche ja sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair downward trend mein hai. Behtar selling opportunity talash karne ke liye, hum chhote time frames jese M30 ya M15 par patterns dekh sakte hain, ya phir 34-period Moving Average tak price ke pohanchne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Aaj dopahar, main 191.67 par sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Jab hum selling area ko pehchaan lete hain, to humein stop-loss level tay karna hoga taake apni losses ko limit kar sakein. Main 195.92 ke resistance area ko stop-loss level ke tor par istemal karunga. Take-profit target ke liye, main 185.82 ke support area ko use karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Agar aapko ab bhi shak hai, to aap attached image ko dekh sakte hain jo ke visual guide ka kaam karegi.

Yeh meri analysis hai GBP/JPY pair ke liye aaj ke liye, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh Investsocial forum ke members ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakti hai. Aap sabhi se guzarish hai ke market ko samajhne aur trade karne se pehle apne analysis ko bhi zaroor check karein.

### GBPUSD Price Action Analysis
Hello dosto, aap sab ko shaam bakhair! Aaj hum GBPUSD currency pair ka price action analyze karenge. Aaj tak dekha gaya hai ke price ne pehla uptrend dekha aur sab se kareeb resistance area tak pahuncha. Lekin aaj price action ne phir se bearish movement dekhi hai. Meri observation ke mutabiq, price action tab tak girta rahega jab tak ye nearest support area tak nahi pahuncha.

H4 time frame mein hum dekh sakte hain ke aaj dopahar ke waqt price movement ne phir se bearish hone ki taraf rukh kiya hai aur ye EMA line tak pahunchega. Jaise ke hum jante hain, agar price candlestick movement EMA line ke upar hai, to ye buyers ke liye acha signal hai.

Lekin ye bhi samajhna zaroori hai ke agar price movement mein bullish trend hota hai, to kuch aise situations bhi aa sakti hain jahan price suffer kare. Agar GU currency pair ka correction support level 1.331xx ko todta hai, to ye price action ke liye aur girawat ka signal hoga. Hum double top pattern ko bhi mad e nazar rakhte hain. Agar 1.331xx ka support toot gaya, to ye sell signal banega aur agle support area 1.324xx tak pahuncha dega. Is liye aaj behtar ye hai ke hum ek mazid accurate signal ka intezaar karein aur phir position lein.

Lekin agar price movement barh kar resistance area 1.342xx ko todta hai, to ye buy position lene ka signal hoga. Filhal price movement sab se kareeb support aur resistance ke beech hai, is liye aaj position lene mein jaldi nahi karni chahiye. Agar 1.331xx ka support toot gaya, to ye sell signal hai. Aur agar 1.342xx ka resistance toot gaya, to ye buy position ka signal banega.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye

sector apne recent waqton ka sabse uncha level chho raha hai, jaisa ke Standard & Poor's Global ke latest data se pata chalta hai. July 2024 ke UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak barh gaya, jo market expectations 52.7 se kaafi zyada hai, aur June ka 52.2 se bhi ooper hai. Yeh barhti hui growth UK construction sector mein pichlay 5 mahino se dekhne ko mil rahi hai. July mein record hui growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse taiz rahi. July ke mahine mein housing projects ki wapsi hui hai, aur commercial activity bhi barh gayi hai. Civil engineering mein pichlay 2.5 saalon ki sabse bari taraqqi dekhne ko mili. Is dauran construction activity aur naye orders mein achi khasi izafa hua, jis ki wajah se purchasing activity aur employment level pichlay 3 mahino se barh rahe hain. Lekin, construction sector ki barhti hui demand ne supply chain par kaafi pressure dala hai, jisse input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya hai. In challenges ke bawajood, sector ka overall performance mazboot hai aur agle kuch mahino mein growth ka positive outlook hai. Financial side par, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua jab ye apne 6 mahinon ke lowest level par thay. British 10-year Treasury notes ki yield 3.74% se barh kar taqreeban 3.9% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh izafa U.S. services sector mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad aya, jis ne market ke pehlay loss ko thora kam kar diya. Currency market mein, GBP/JPY pair mein sell ka opportunity ho sakta hai agar price 199.50 level se neeche break kare. Is short-term bearish outlook ka target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, 194.76 par half position ko close kar dena behtar hoga taake profits secure kiye ja sakein aur downside ke liye thodi room rahe. Main ek tajurba kaar forex trader hoon aur pichlay do saalon mein kuch key strategies discover ki hain. Is forum mein apni technical analysis share karna chahta hoon, aur agar kisi ke paas koi suggestions ya improvements hoon, toh woh bhi zaroor batayein taake analysis ko aur behtar banaya ja sake.

Aaj dopahar, main British Pound aur Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair ka 4-hour (H4) time frame par jaiza loonga. Is currency pair ke liye aik dilchasp pattern hai jo humain discuss karna chahiye, kyunki market mein patterns ko pehchaan lena aur unhein samajhna humein mustaqbil ki price movements ka andaza lagane mein madad de sakta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke aik support level toot gaya hai, aur humein yeh tay karna hai ke kya yeh trend reversal ka nishan hai ya sirf aik price correction.
Main apni analysis ka aghaz hamesha current market trend ko pehchanne se karta hoon. GBP/JPY pair ke liye, main H4 time frame par 21-period aur 34-period Moving Average indicators ka istemal karunga taake trend direction ka pata lag sake. Maujooda price action jo Moving Averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, yeh darshata hai ke GBP/JPY ka trend bearish hai. Is ke ilawa, H4 time frame par Stochastic Indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke price jald hi neeche ja sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair downward trend mein hai. Behtar selling opportunity talash karne ke liye, hum chhote time frames jese M30 ya M15 par patterns dekh sakte hain, ya phir 34-period Moving Average tak price ke pohanchne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Aaj dopahar, main 191.67 par sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Jab hum selling area ko pehchaan lete hain, to humein stop-loss level tay karna hoga taake apni losses ko limit kar sakein. Main 195.92 ke resistance area ko stop-loss level ke tor par istemal karunga. Take-profit target ke liye, main 185.82 ke support area ko use karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Agar aapko ab bhi shak hai, to aap attached image ko dekh sakte hain jo ke visual guide ka kaam karegi.

Yeh meri analysis hai GBP/JPY pair ke liye aaj ke liye, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh Investsocial forum ke members ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakti hai. Aap sabhi se guzarish hai ke market ko samajhne aur trade karne se pehle apne analysis ko bhi zaroor check karein.

value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte

ka construction sector apne recent waqton ka sabse uncha level chho raha hai, jaisa ke Standard & Poor's Global ke latest data se pata chalta hai. July 2024 ke UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 55.3 tak barh gaya, jo market expectations 52.7 se kaafi zyada hai, aur June ka 52.2 se bhi ooper hai. Yeh barhti hui growth UK construction sector mein pichlay 5 mahino se dekhne ko mil rahi hai. July mein record hui growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse taiz rahi. July ke mahine mein housing projects ki wapsi hui hai, aur commercial activity bhi barh gayi hai. Civil engineering mein pichlay 2.5 saalon ki sabse bari taraqqi dekhne ko mili. Is dauran construction activity aur naye orders mein achi khasi izafa hua, jis ki wajah se purchasing activity aur employment level pichlay 3 mahino se barh rahe hain. Lekin, construction sector ki barhti hui demand ne supply chain par kaafi pressure dala hai, jisse input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya hai. In challenges ke bawajood, sector ka overall performance mazboot hai aur agle kuch mahino mein growth ka positive outlook hai. Financial side par, British 10-year Treasury bond yields mein izafa hua jab ye apne 6 mahinon ke lowest level par thay. British 10-year Treasury notes ki yield 3.74% se barh kar taqreeban 3.9% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh izafa U.S. services sector mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad aya, jis ne market ke pehlay loss ko thora kam kar diya. Currency market mein, GBP/JPY pair mein sell ka opportunity ho sakta hai agar price 199.50 level se neeche break kare. Is short-term bearish outlook ka target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, 194.76 par half position ko close kar dena behtar hoga taake profits secure kiye ja sakein aur downside ke liye thodi room rahe. Main ek tajurba kaar forex trader hoon aur pichlay do saalon mein kuch key strategies discover ki hain. Is forum mein apni technical analysis share karna chahta hoon, aur agar kisi ke paas koi suggestions ya improvements hoon, toh woh bhi zaroor batayein taake analysis ko aur behtar banaya ja sake.

ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai

Technical Indicators aur Price Movements** Technical indicators yeh darust kartay hain ke aage chal kar price mein izafa mumkin hai. Is context mein, price action yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ya "longs" 1.3395 ke level ke around active rehne ki sambhavana rakhte hain. Yeh level un traders ke liye bohot ahem hai jo aage price ke izafe ki umeed rakhte hain. Magar, market dynamics yeh bhi darust karti hain ke trend ke agay barhne se pehle kuch waqt ke liye rollback ya pullback ka bhi samna ho sakta hai.
**Upward Engulfing Pattern ko Samajhna**

Upward engulfing pattern aksar tab banta hai jab ek choti bearish candlestick ke baad ek badi bullish candlestick aati hai, jo pehle din ki price action ko puri tarah se "engulf" karti hai. Yeh pattern aksar reversal signal ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo darust karta hai ke downward trend kamzor ho raha hai aur buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern traders ke darmiyan izafa hoti umeed ko darust karta hai ke pound dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hoga.

1.3395 ka level is liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh un points mein se hai jahan buying interest ki tasavvur hai. Traders jo GBP/USD mein long positions rakhte hain, is level ko apne positions kholne ya badhane ke liye acha samajhte hain, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh darust karta hai ke price yahan se upar ja sakti hai. Magar, broader market conditions aur kisi bhi potential resistance levels ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakti hain.

**Pullback ka Imkan**

Bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch nishan hain ke price ke agay barhne se pehle pullback ho sakta hai. Short sellers ya "shorts" 1.3310 level ke aas paas profit lene lag sakte hain, jo un logon ke liye dilchasp hoga jo currency pair mein temporary decline ki umeed rakhte hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka mauqa de sakta hai, jo aage chal kar strength banane ke liye zaroori hai.

1.3340 ya 1.3370 par rollback bhi mumkin hai, jahan short sellers price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne mein na kamyab hone par fayda uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Yeh levels support aur resistance ke areas hain, jahan price volatility barh sakti hai jab traders apne positions ke saath market ko influence karne ki koshish karte hain.

**Key Factors ka Jaiza**

Kayi buniyadi factors hain jo GBP/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko asar daal sakte hain. UK aur US se aane wale economic data yeh tay karega ke kya pound dollar ke muqablay mein apni taqat banaye rakh sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar UK GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data behtareen aaye, to pound ko mazid support mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar UK mein economic weakness ke nishan milte hain, to traders long positions rakhne mein cautious ho sakte hain.

Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi is pair ko asar daalenge. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations aur global economic stability se faida ho raha hai. Agar Federal Reserve zyada aggressive monetary tightening ka ishara de, to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke upward movement ko mushkil bana dega.

Market sentiment aur geopolitical factors bhi is pair ki performance par asar dalenge. Unexpected political developments, khaaskar Brexit ya US-UK trade relations ke aas paas, volatility introduce kar sakti hain, jo price action mein rapid changes

### GBP/USD Pair Ki Price Movement **Maujooda Price Action** Aakhri dino mein, GBP/USD pair ne nayi positive momentum dikhayi hai, khaaskar Thursday ko Asian trading session ke doran. Yeh pair 1.3430 ke aas-paas tezi se ubhar gaya, jo ke March 2022 ke baad se iski sabse unchi point hai. Federal Reserve ke kuch afraad ki taraf se maali narmiyan rokne ki koshishon ke bawajood, investors ka jazba November tak ek significant rate cut ki umeed mein behtareen hai. Yeh ummeed aur global financial markets ka bullish jazba, GBP/USD pair ko full correction se bacha raha hai, jab ke US dollar recent dip se recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai. **GBP Ko Madad Dene Wale Factors** British pound (GBP) ko madad dene wala ek ahem factor yeh hai ke Bank of England (BoE) ka rate-cutting cycle apne American humsafar se slow hone ki umeed hai. Yeh monetary policy expectations ka farq GBP/USD exchange rate ki upward movement mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. Lekin, bullish investors shayad Fed ke rate cuts ke trajectory par zyada concrete evidence ka intezar kar rahe hain, is se pehle ke wo zyada aggressive upward trades mein invest karein. Aane wale dino mein, traders key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke members ki speeches par nazar rakhenge, khaaskar Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki, kyunki inka asar dollar ki taqat par ho sakta hai aur naye trading momentum create kar sakta hai. **Optimism Ke Beech Market Ka Ihtiyaat** Optimistic outlook ke bawajood, market mein ihtiyaat maujood hai, jo technical indicators se zahir hota hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward trend dikha raha hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) apni bullish momentum kho raha hai, jo pair par downward pressure ka sanket de raha hai. Agar market mein pullback hota hai, to GBP/USD 1.3265 ke support level ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur phir 20-day moving average ki taraf, jo ke 1.3170 ke aas-paas hai. Agar girawat jari rahi, to yeh 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak ke upward movement ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 1.3113 par hai, ko test kar sakta hai, aur is se bhi niche 1.3000 level tak, jo ke 50-day moving average se milta hai, girne ka potential hai. **Aage Barhne Ka Potential** Dusi taraf, agar upward pressure dobara shuru hota hai, to price 1.3400 ke area ki taraf barh sakta hai, aur lambi muddat ka target 1.3640 tak pahunchne ka ho sakta hai, jo ke February 2022 mein tay kiya gaya tha. **Nateejah** Aakhir mein, jab ke GBP/USD pair ne mazbooti aur aage barhne ka potential dikhaya hai, jo ke maali halat aur BoE ke gradual rate-cutting approach ki umeed par mabni hai, traders ko ihtiyaat barqarar rakhni chahiye. Market signals aur key economic releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga, kyunki yeh factors kisi bhi direction mein aham price movements ka sabab ban sakte hain.

JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected

GBPJPY ka market 190.16 par khula. Ye na sirf is din ka daily open tha balkay is hafte ka weekly open bhi tha. Is area ke aas-paas EMA 633 H1 bhi cross hota nazar aaya. Pehle Asian session mein price ne daily open aur qareebi resistance 191.01 ke darmiyan upar neeche kiya, lekin ye area abhi tak buyers ke strong push ko rok raha tha. Ye resistance EMA 200 H1 ke qareebi area mein tha. Jab buyers ka push fail hua, tou price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gaya. Price ne daily open ke neeche jaakar EMA 633 H1 ko bhi cross kiya, lekin support area 189.30 ke qareeb pohanch kar wapis upar aagaya. Ab price phir se resistance 191.01 ko test kar raha hai. EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas hone ke bawajood trend abhi tak clear nahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf stretch ho rahe hain, jo ke negative trend ka izhaar karte hain. Ye seller ka dominance pichlay Friday se shuru hua hai. Jab price rally ki koshish kar raha tha, tou ek extreme reversal nazar aaya. Price 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad weak ho gaya, jo ke EMA 200 aur EMA 633 H1 ko cross karte hue neeche gir gaya. Monday ke trading session mein bhi sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Ab tak ki movement ka intizaar hai kyun ke EMA 200 H1 ke aas-paas price ka maujood hona trend ko biased kar raha hai. Agar buyer bullish candle ke zariye is area ko support karte hain, tou bullish gap khulne ka imkaan hai. Friday ke weak hone ka market par bara asar tha, jab price EMA 200 daily ke upar move kar raha tha lekin resistance 196.01 ne price ko reject kar diya aur price gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily se neeche chala gaya. Is wakat high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halanki price abhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily bhi EMA 200 daily se neeche taper ho kar flat dikhai de rahe hain. Agar price Friday ke low se neeche chalta hai tou ye confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily ke neeche hai, aur phir price 187.68 ke daily support tak gir sakta hai. Agar buyers ka push 190.18 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, tou buyers EMA 200 daily aur 192.84 area ko test karenge aur mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khul sakta hai. Abhi price EMA 200 daily ko test kar raha hai aur buyers ka zyada pressure nazar aa raha hai. Dekhte hain ke kya ye buyer's efforts kaamyab hote hain, taki buy option phir se consider ki ja sake. Is ke ilawa daily stochastic bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai