جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY Ka Technical Aur Fundamental Jaiza

GBP/JPY Support Aur Resistance Levels


GBP/JPY ne Tuesday ke Asian session mein 187.40 level ke qareeb support dikhaya, magar price action abhi bhi kamzor hai. Abhi tak spot price 187.85 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo kal ke multi-month lows ke qareeb hai. Yeh downward trend pichlay teen hafton se jari hai.


Japanese Yen Ki Mazbooti Ke Asbab

1. Safe-Haven Demand: Naye US tariffs commodities par imposed huay hain, jisse Japanese Yen safe-haven currency ke tor par faida utha raha hai.
2. BOJ Ka Hawkish Stance: Bank of Japan ke officials ne inflation concerns ke mad-e-nazar further rate hikes ka ishara diya hai.
3. BoE Ka Dovish Approach: BoE ne pichlay hafte interest rate 0.25% kam kar diya, aur mazeed rate cuts ki umeed hai.

BoE Ki Policies Aur GBP Par Asar

• Economic Growth Forecast Ka Downward Revision: BoE ne 2025 ke liye economic growth forecast 1.5% se gira kar 0.75% kar diya.
• Andrew Bailey Ka Bayan: BoE Governor ne kaha ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki umeed hai.
• Pound Ki Kamzori: In dovish signals ki wajah se GBP pressure mein hai, jo GBP/JPY ke recovery attempts ko hinder kar raha hai.

Technical Analysis

• Stochastic Indicator: Overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai, jo short-term correction ka ishara de raha hai.
• RSI Indicator: Abhi bhi neutral 50 ke neechay hai, jo kamzor bullish momentum show karta hai.
• Moving Averages: 50-day aur 200-day SMAs 195.00 ke aas paas hain, jo strong resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain.
• Support Levels:
  • 188.90 (Short-term uptrend line)
  • 188.10 (Critical support)
  • 183.70 (Major support)

Market Ki Future Movement


Is hafte JPY-specific news events nahi hain, jo market ko uncertain bana sakta hai. GBP/JPY ka movement geopolitical aur UK-related developments par bhi depend karega. Price 188.42 ke aas paas hai, aur dono directions mein movement ka potential hai.

Trading Strategy

• Stop Loss Aur Take Profit Ka Khayal Rakhein: Market ki volatility ko dekhte huay risk management zaroori hai.
• Technical Indicators Ka Ghoor Se Tajziya Karein: Stochastic aur RSI ki movements ko closely monitor karein.
• Fundamental Factors Ka Jaiza Lein: BoE aur BOJ ki statements aur UK economic news par nazar rakhein.

Final Note:
Market uncertainty ke bawajood, ek strategic approach aur proper risk management se profitable trades execute kiye ja sakte hain.

GBP/JPY pair iss time ek channel ke andar sideways movement kar raha hai agar price is range ko downside break karti hai to yeh ek achi trading opportunity ho sakti hai kyunki RSI indicator bhi divergence show kar raha hai jo sell ka signal de raha hai aur yeh mere chart par bhi clear nazar aa raha hai 50 ki EMA bhi price ko break kar rahi hai jo ek bearish confirmation ho sakti hai agar price neeche break hoti hai to agla support level test ho sakta hai jo market ke momentum par depend karega lekin agar price is channel ke andar hi rahti hai to market sideways hi reh sakti hai aur kisi bhi strong move ke liye breakout ka intezar zaroori hoga agar price resistance zone ko todti hai to bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai lekin filhaal market bearish indicators show kar rahi hai is wajah se sell setups par zyada focus karna behtar hoga breakout ke saath volume bhi increase ho sakta hai jo trend continuation ka signal de sakta hai agar price neeche girti hai to Fibonacci levels aur previous support zones bhi important honge jo market ka reaction decide karenge lekin agar price is range ke andar hi consolidate karti hai to patience rakhna zaroori hoga taake ek clear trend direction mil sake overall RSI divergence aur 50 ki EMA ka break hona ek bearish indication hai lekin confirmation ka intezar karna hoga taake ek secure entry mil sake market ka price action aur support resistance levels monitor karna zaroori hai taake best possible trade setup identify kiya ja sake mujhe yakeen hai ap ko mere analysis samjh main agaye hongy jis say ap ko kafi ziada learning bhi mili hogi aur acha setup bhi mil gea ho gea jis say ap monday say acha profit gain kar sakty hain.