جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY D1 time frame par technical analysis se humein maloom hota hai ke bulls ne ek significant pullback kiya, jisse market 195.14 ke level tak neeche aa gaya. Yeh retracement traders ki tawajjo ka markaz ban gaya hai, kyun ke yeh market ke dynamics mein ek potential shift ka izhaar kar raha hai. Jab ke guzishta waqt mein bulls ne market mein kaafi taqat dikhayi thi, yeh recent pullback yeh batata hai ke ab sellers ya bears market mein traction hasil kar rahe hain. Wo apne profits ko lock kar rahe hain aur current market levels par value dhoond rahe hain. Sellers ka momentum barh raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke short-term direction mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai.

GBP/JPY pair ka 195.14 ki taraf movement ek correction ka izhaar karta hai, jo ke ek extended bullish activity ke baad aayi hai. Yeh level ek ahem support zone sabit ho raha hai jahan traders market ke aglay move ka ghor se jaiza le rahe hain. Barhti hui selling pressure yeh batati hai ke jo bullish taqat pehle market mein dominant thi, wo ab temporary pause le rahi hai, aur sellers is daur mein apne gains ko capitalize kar rahe hain aur price ko neeche push kar rahe hain.

Lekin, yeh pullback zaroori nahi ke broader bullish trend ka ikhtitam ho. Yeh ek healthy market correction bhi ho sakta hai, jahan bulls thori dair ke liye peeche hat kar market ko reset karne ka mauqa de rahe hain, taki wo dobara apna upward momentum resume kar sakein. Jaisay hi pair 195.14 ke level ke qareeb pohanchta hai, ek possibility hai ke bullish forces wapis control hasil karein, khas kar agar buyers is level ko ek buying opportunity samjhein aur price ko dobara upar push karein.

Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages yeh zahir kar sakte hain ke market abhi temporary oversold condition mein hai, jo ke signal deta hai ke market jaldi rebound kar sakta hai. Agar price 195.14 ke qareeb support dhoondta hai aur is level ke upar hold kar leta hai, to yeh is baat ka izhaar hoga ke bullish sentiment abhi bhi mazboot hai, aur hum dobara is pair ko rally karte hue dekh sakte hain.

Fundamental factors bhi zaroori hai madde nazar rakhna. Agar UK se positive economic data aati hai, jaise ke mazboot employment figures, inflation ka control, ya central bank commentary, to yeh pound ko aur taqat de sakta hai aur bulls ko wapas control mein la sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar economic uncertainty ya negative data samnay aati hai, to bears price ko mazeed neeche push karne ki koshish karenge.

Halaanki recent pullback se yeh zahir hota hai ke sellers ka momentum barh raha hai, lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke GBP/JPY ke bullish trend ka ikhtitam ho. Market is waqt ek key level par hai, aur traders ko ghor se dekhna chahiye ke kya bulls is area ko defend kar pate hain aur wapis control hasil karte hain. Agar wo aisa kar lete hain, to hum dobara bullish dominance dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar bears price ko mazeed neeche dhakel dete hain, to yeh ek gehri correction ka ishara ho sakta hai.

**GBP/JPY Ke General Points:**

Hamein mehsoos ho raha hai ke GBP/JPY market mein buyers ki position mazboot ho rahi hai. Market mein ab bhi bullish sentiment maujood hai. Lekin, humein yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke market pehle se hi kaafi upar chuka hai, aur yeh jaldi neeche ki taraf bhi chal sakta hai. Is liye, kisi bhi trade karne se pehle market sentiment ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, humein news data par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Mere khayal mein, aaj GBP/JPY market buyers ke haq mein move kar sakta hai aur shayad 195.00 level tak pohanch sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, market sentiment ko theek se samajhna humare liye zaroori hai. Humein un external influences ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakhna chahiye jo GBP/JPY pair ko affect kar sakti hain, khaaskar UK aur Japan se aane wali economic news releases. News events market sentiment ko jaldi badal sakte hain, is liye yeh zaroori hai ke hum aane wale announcements ke bare mein informed rahein jo currency pair ko affect kar sakti hain. Is liye, technical indicators ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai jo trend mein potential changes ko signal kar sakte hain. Misaal ke tor par, key support aur resistance levels trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain. Agar GBP/JPY pair kisi significant resistance level ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to yeh selling pressure ka samna kar sakta hai, jo ek potential downturn ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar market in levels ko strong momentum ke sath cross kar leti hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai.

Mere khayal mein, aaj GBP/JPY market buyers ke haq mein move kar sakta hai aur 195.00 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh level bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh ek psychological barrier hai jise bohot log nazar rakhte hain. Agar is level ko successfully breach kiya jata hai, to yeh mazeed gains ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo aur bhi buying interest ko attract karega. Yeh zaroori hai ke risk management strategies ko implement kiya jaye aur market conditions mein kisi bhi tabdeelat par alert raha jaye. Market sentiment ki mazboot samajh ko news data aur technical indicators ki careful analysis ke sath mila kar, hum GBP/JPY market mein potential trading opportunities ke liye effectively position kar sakte hain.

### GBP/JPY General Points

Hamara mehsoos karna hai ke GBP/JPY market mein buyers ki position mazboot ho rahi hai. Market mein bullish sentiment ab bhi maujood hai. Lekin humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke market pehle hi kaafi zyada upar ja chuki hai, aur yeh jald hi neeche ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai. Isliye, kisi bhi trade ka faisla karne se pehle market sentiment ko theek se samajhna bahut zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, news data par nazar rakhna bhi ahem hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj GBP/JPY market buyers ke haq mein chal sakta hai aur shayad 195.00 ke level tak pahunch sakta hai. Yeh level isliye ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh ek psychological barrier hai jise bohot log dhyan se dekhte hain. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh mazeed gains ka sabab ban sakta hai aur additional buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment ko samajhna trading decisions ke liye zaroori hai. Humein un external influences par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo GBP/JPY pair ko asar daal sakte hain, khaas taur par UK aur Japan se aane wale economic news releases. News events jaldi se market sentiment ko badal sakte hain, isliye in announcements ke baare mein updated rehna bahut zaroori hai jo currency pair ko asar kar sakte hain.

Technical indicators bhi zaroori hain jo potential trend change ki signal de sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, key support aur resistance levels trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain. Agar GBP/JPY pair kisi significant resistance level ke kareeb pohanchta hai, toh isay selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo ke potential downturn ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar market in levels ko strong momentum ke saath break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish sentiment ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

Aaj ki din ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY market buyers ke haq mein move kar sakta hai aur shayad 195.00 ke level tak pahunch sakta hai. Yeh level un logon ke liye khas taur par dekhne wala hai jo market ko samajhna chahte hain, kyunki yeh ek significant psychological barrier hai. Is level ko successfully breach karna mazeed gains ka sabab ban sakta hai aur iske saath saath additional buying interest ko bhi attract kar sakta hai.

Risk management strategies ko implement karna bhi zaroori hai aur market conditions mein kisi bhi tabdeeliyon par alert rehna chahiye. Market sentiment ki samajh ko news data aur technical indicators ki careful analysis ke saath mila kar, hum GBP/JPY market mein potential trading opportunities ke liye apne aap ko behtar position mein rakh sakte hain.

Yeh sab kuch samajhne ke baad, trading karne se pehle hamesha market ki halat aur economic data releases par nazar rakhna chahiye. Yeh hamesha zaroori hai ke hum market ke dynamic nature ko samjhein aur har waqt update rahein taake humari trading strategies sahi aur faida mand rahein. Aakhir mein, hamesha yaad rakhein ke market mein changes aasani se aa sakte hain, isliye sab kuch samajhne ke baad hi koi bhi faisla karna chahiye.

GBP/JPY ke H4 chart ka analysis karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke yeh pair ek range-bound pattern mein trade kar raha hai. Yeh pattern 193.65 ke support aur 196.00 ke resistance ke darmiyan hai. Ab tak price is range ke andar move kar raha hai, aur koi clear trend abhi tak nahi bana. Is range-bound behavior ke baad, market mein breakout ya breakdown ka intezar kiya ja raha hai.Resistance level 196.00 ko chart par clearly identify kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price ne kai martaba upar jaane ki koshish ki, lekin har dafa wahan se reject ho gaya. Yeh dikhata hai ke is level par strong selling pressure maujood hai. Jab tak price is level ko break nahi karta, bullish momentum ka signal nahi milta. Agar price 196.00 ka resistance break karta hai, toh yeh ek bullish trend ke shuru hone ka indication hoga, aur price 197.50 ya us se upar tak bhi ja sakta hai.Support level 193.65 ko bhi identify karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh wo area hai jahan buyers market mein dobara interest dikhate hain aur price ko neeche girne se rokte hain. Agar price is level ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein bearish pressure barh sakta hai, aur price 192.00 tak neeche aa sakta hai, ya shayad us se bhi neeche. Yeh level market ke liye bohot important hai, kyun ke iske neeche break karna ek clear bearish signal hoga.Technical indicators par agar nazar daali jaaye, toh RSI (14) indicator ka value 49.15 hai, jo ke market ko ek neutral zone mein dikhata hai. Yeh value neither overbought hai aur na hi oversold, iska matlab hai ke koi strong bullish ya bearish momentum abhi tak market mein nahi aaya. RSI ke reading ko dekhte hue, hum yeh kehsakte hain ke abhi tak market consolidation phase mein hai, aur koi significant trend change ka intezar hai.Is waqt, GBP/JPY pair ek aise mode mein hai jahan technical indicators aur price action dono break ya bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain. Trading karte waqt, traders ko thoda sabr se kaam lena chahiye aur kisi strong confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Agar price 196.00 ke resistance ko break karta hai, toh ek acha buying opportunity ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 193.65 ke neeche jata hai, toh selling ka chance barh jata hai. Yeh market ka range-bound phase hai, jisme risk management aur patience bohot zaroori hai.
Is phase mein range-bound strategies jese ke sell near resistance aur buy near support kaam kar sakti hain. Lekin traders ko zaroori hai ke apni positions par close nazar rakhein aur price breakout ke liye tayar rahen. Overall, GBP/JPY ka H4 chart abhi ek consolidation mode mein hai, aur is range se break karna market ke liye ek naye trend ka signal hoga.

Is chart ko dekhte hue hum GBP/JPY pair ka daily time frame observe kar rahe hain. Is chart par kuch key levels highlight kiye gaye hain jo trading ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain.
Chart mein sabse upar ka resistance level lagbhag 200.30 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level shayad future mein important resistance ho sakta hai, jahan par price rukhne ka imkaan hai agar upward momentum barkarar rahta hai. Abhi ke liye, price 195 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek consolidation phase ko suggest kar rahi hai. Is halat mein, market ke participants future movement ka intezar kar rahe hain. Chart par moving averages ka istemal ho raha hai, jo ke market ke long-term aur short-term trend ko reflect karte hain. Price ne pehle ek sharp decline experience kiya, lekin ab wapas se bullish momentum show kar raha hai, jahan par price moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai, lekin abhi tak koi clear breakout nahi hai. Bollinger Bands bhi is chart mein dekhe ja sakte hain, jo price ke volatility ko represent karte hain. Abhi ke liye, price upper Bollinger band ke paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke price mein thoda aur rise ka imkaan ho sakta hai, magar agar price bands ke beech mein phir se return kar jaye, toh ek pullback bhi possible hai. Neeche ka support level takreeban 192.70 aur us se neeche 189.33 par hai. Agar price neeche jati hai toh yeh levels critical honge, aur buyers ke liye entry points ho sakte hain. Price ka neeche 50-day aur 200-day moving average par ana bhi ek indication hai ke strong bearish pressure wapas aa sakta hai.
Agar price 195 se upar sustain karti hai, toh 197.50 aur uske baad 200.30 key resistance zones honge. Lekin agar price neeche jati hai aur 192.70 ke level ko todti hai, toh bearish continuation ka imkaan barh jata hai.
Is time par traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur market ke movement ka intezar karna chahiye jab tak ek clear direction nazar nahi aa jati.

GBP/JPY Daily Analysis - 23rd October 2024

Aaj hum GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka analysis kar rahay hain jahan kuch important technical indicators humein future price movement ke bare mein hints de rahay hain. Sabse pehle, agar hum chart ko dekhein, toh price ne 192.880 ke support level se bounce kiya hai aur ab woh 197.891 ke resistance level par hai. Yeh ek significant move hai jo market ke bullish trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Pehle price ne kuch dinon tak consolidation phase dekha, jahan woh 192.880 se lekar 195.910 ke beech range bound thi. Lekin ab market ne is range ko break kar ke upside move dikhayi hai. Iske ilawa, moving averages ko dekh kar humein samajh aata hai ke trend mein strength hai. Yellow line (jo 50-day moving average hai) ne recent days mein upward direction li hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain. Saath hi, white line (200-day moving average) bhi neeche ki taraf stable hai, jo long-term trend ko bullish banati hai.

RSI indicator ko dekh kar lagta hai ke woh 66.58 par hai, jo overbought zone se zyada door nahi hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers bohot zyada active hain lekin kuch waqt baad market mein thodi correction aa sakti hai. Isliye, jo log yahan enter karna chahte hain unhein thoda cautious rehna chahiye.

Yeh bhi important hai ke price ne 199.358 ka resistance touch kiya aur wahan se thodi rejection hui. Agar price is resistance ko break kar ke upar close kar deti hai, toh hum GBP/JPY ko 205.659 tak bhi move karta dekh sakte hain. Wahan tak ke target ke liye pehle 200.600 par kuch resistance face karna padega. Abhi market bullish lagti hai lekin short-term traders ko RSI aur upcoming resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar aap trade lena chahte hain, toh sabse pehle 199.358 ko asani se break karne ka intezar karen aur uske baad 200.600 aur 205.659 ke targets ko aim karen. Lekin agar price niche ki taraf aati hai aur 192.880 ko phir se test karne lagti hai, toh yeh signal hoga ke trend mein weakness aa rahi hai. Risk management ko madde nazar rakhte hue, sab ko happy trading!

**GBP/JPY Technical Analysis (Roman Urdu)**

GBP/JPY ka H1 time frame pe analysis yeh dikhata hai ke currency pair ne pichle kuch dino se ek strong bullish trend follow kiya hai. Price action consistently upar move kar rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Iss waqt yeh pair 195.04 ke aaspaas trade kar raha hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein acha perform kar raha hai.

Is upward movement ko technical aur kuch fundamental factors ka support mil raha hai, jis wajah se yeh trend traders ke liye qabil-e-ghaur ban gaya hai. Ek key technical indicator jo bullish outlook ko mazid reinforce kar raha hai, wo moving average lines hain. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages price ke neeche position mein hain, jo current uptrend ki strength ko confirm karte hain. Jab price inn important moving averages ke upar rehti hai, to yeh is baat ka sign hota hai ke buyers market pe control mein hain aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai.

Price action ne har pullback pe buying pressure ka response diya hai, jo higher lows ka silsila create kar raha hai. Yeh bhi ek strong bullish trend ka indicator hai. Agar yeh upward trend barkarar rehta hai, to next important resistance level 196.00 ke aaspaas ho sakta hai. Agar price iss level ko todti hai, to yeh aur zyada gains ke liye raasta khol sakti hai, aur traders ko naye buying opportunities mil sakti hain jo iss momentum ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Lekin har currency pair ke analysis mein, external factors ka khayal rakhna bohot zaroori hota hai. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank ke decisions market ko affect kar sakte hain. Yeh factors trend ko ya to strengthen kar sakte hain ya weaken, isliye traders ko apni strategy ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.



H1 time frame pe GBP/JPY ka trend strong bullish hai, aur price 195.04 ke aaspaas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages ke neeche hone se yeh uptrend confirm hota hai. Traders ko resistance levels pe nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar 196.00 ka mark, aur saath hi fundamental developments ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye jo market ko further move karne par majboor kar sakti hain.

dinon ke gains reverse ho gaye. Pair lagbhag 190.90 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo bullish momentum mein kamzori ki nishani hai. Technical analysis se mixed outlook ka pata chalta hai. Halanki MACD indicator short-term bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai, magar overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line abhi bhi zero line ke neeche hai. 14-day RSI bhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 191.63 par ek immediate resistance level hai. Agar price is level se upar break kare to bullish sentiment mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur pair ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, 195.50 ke aas paas pohonch sakta hai. Lekin agar channel break ho gaya to bearish reversal ke asar hain, jo pair ko 7-mahine ke low, 180.09 tak le ja sakta hai. Pichlay kuch mahino mein GBP/JPY pair ne kaafi volatility dekhi hai, 16-saal ke high se August mein 180.07 ke low tak sharp sell-off hua. Jab ke pair ab recover kar chuka hai, iska advance 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Mazeed declines ko 188.22 aur 185.22 ke near-term support levels par roka ja sakta hai, aur phir shayad 8-mahine ke low tak girawat aa jaye. Upar ki taraf, agar pair recent rejection zone, 192.01, jo 200-day moving average se coincide karta hai, ko cross kar leta hai, to March ke high, 193.52, tak rasta khul sakta hai. Taake bullish trend barqarar rahe, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support, 197.18, ko target karna hoga. Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY pair ab uncertainty ke dor se guzar raha hai, jahan mixed technical signals aur economic factors iski direction ko asar kar rahe hain. Investors ko in developments par kareebi nazar rakhni chahiye taake behtareen trading decisions le sakein. Filhal, jo cheez dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo yeh hai ke market mein ek significant bearish reversal ka possibility hai, jaise pichle hafte ke akhir mein dekha gaya tha. Y

Aaj hum GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka analysis kar rahay hain jahan kuch important technical indicators humein future price movement ke bare mein hints de rahay hain. Sabse pehle, agar hum chart ko dekhein, toh price ne 192.880 ke support level se bounce kiya hai aur ab woh 197.891 ke resistance level par hai. Yeh ek significant move hai jo market ke bullish trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Pehle price ne kuch dinon tak consolidation phase dekha, jahan woh 192.880 se lekar 195.910 ke beech range bound thi. Lekin ab market ne is range ko break kar ke upside move dikhayi hai. Iske ilawa, moving averages ko dekh kar humein samajh aata hai ke trend mein strength hai. Yellow line (jo 50-day moving average hai) ne recent days mein upward direction li hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers market ko control kar rahe hain. Saath hi, white line (200-day moving average) bhi neeche ki taraf stable hai, jo long-term trend ko bullish banati hai.
RSI indicator ko dekh kar lagta hai ke woh 66.58 par hai, jo overbought zone se zyada door nahi hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers bohot zyada active hain lekin kuch waqt baad market mein thodi correction aa sakti hai. Isliye, jo log yahan enter karna chahte hain unhein thoda cautious rehna chahiye.

Yeh bhi important hai ke price ne 199.358 ka resistance touch kiya aur wahan se thodi rejection hui. Agar price is resistance ko break kar ke upar close kar deti hai, toh hum GBP/JPY ko 205.659 tak bhi move karta dekh sakte hain. Wahan tak ke target ke liye pehle 200.600 par kuch resistance face karna padega. Abhi market bullish lagti hai lekin short-term traders ko RSI aur upcoming resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar aap trade lena chahte hain, toh sabse pehle 199.358 ko asani se break karne ka intezar karen aur uske baad 200.600 aur 205.659 ke targets ko aim karen. Lekin agar price niche ki taraf aati hai aur 192.880 ko phir se test karne lagti hai, toh yeh signal hoga ke trend mein weakness aa rahi hai. Risk management ko madde nazar rakhte hue, sab ko happy trading!

GBP/JPY trading ke doran aaj sellers ki taqat zyada nazar aati hai, to yeh selling position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Sellers ke paas yeh chance hai ke woh market ko bullish se bearish trend mein shift kar sakein aur price ko support defense area tak le aayein, jo MA100 indicator ke neeche hota hai. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek ahem target ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ki aur bhi confirmation de ga.Ab tak GBP/JPY ki movement technical analysis ke mutabiq abhi bhi 100 ke price tak wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 timeframe par GBP/JPY ki movement mein ek bullish engulfing candle bani hai, jo ke BUY ka bohot strong signal hai, aur future mein 100 ke level tak wapas ja sakta hai. Lekin hamein downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator bhi downward signal de raha hai.GBP/JPY pair ki movement ko samajhne ke liye in tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank ki policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events mil kar is currency pair ki direction tay karte hain. In elements par focus karke traders apni strategies ko better kar sakte hain aur zyada profitable trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.GBP/JPY kaafi dafa mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir hota hai. Misal ke taur par, Australia ki economy zyada commodities, khaaskar iron ore aur gold, par mabni hai. Jab commodity prices barhti hain, to AUD ki value bhi barhti hai. Iske baraks, Japan ki economy consumer spending aur manufacturing output jaise indicators se shape hoti hai, jo JPY ki value ko directly impact karte hain. Agar Japan se positive economic data aaye, to JPY ki value barh sakti hai, jo GBP/JPY ke exchange rate ko neeche le aasakti hai.
GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sake, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke overbought conditions hain aur short-term correction ka chance bhi hai, bullish traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
Agar pair neeche girta hai to yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb 192.70 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke 50- aur 20-day SMAs, yani 190.60 aur 189.35 ke aage hai, agar yeh immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY ke performance ki buniyad par short term mein ek upward retracement ki umeed hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure ke upar rise karti hai

GBP/JPY trading ke doran aaj sellers ki taqat zyada nazar aati hai, to yeh selling position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Sellers ke paas yeh chance hai ke woh market ko bullish se bearish trend mein shift kar sakein aur price ko support defense area tak le aayein, jo MA100 indicator ke neeche hota hai. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek ahem target ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ki aur bhi confirmation de ga.Ab tak GBP/JPY ki movement technical analysis ke mutabiq abhi bhi 100 ke price tak wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 timeframe par GBP/JPY ki movement mein ek bullish engulfing candle bani hai, jo ke BUY ka bohot strong signal hai, aur future mein 100 ke level tak wapas ja sakta hai. Lekin hamein downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator bhi downward signal de raha hai.GBP/JPY pair ki movement ko samajhne ke liye in tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank ki policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events mil kar is currency pair ki direction tay karte hain. In elements par focus karke traders apni strategies ko better kar sakte hain aur zyada profitable trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.GBP/JPY kaafi dafa mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir hota hai. Misal ke taur par, Australia ki economy zyada commodities, khaaskar iron ore aur gold, par mabni hai. Jab commodity prices barhti hain, to AUD ki value bhi barhti hai. Iske baraks, Japan ki economy consumer spending aur manufacturing output jaise indicators se shape hoti hai, jo JPY ki value ko directly impact karte hain. Agar Japan se positive economic data aaye, to JPY ki value barh sakti hai, jo GBP/JPY ke exchange rate ko neeche le aasakti hai. GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sake, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke overbought conditions hain aur short-term correction ka chance bhi hai, bullish traders ko ehtiyat se kaa m lena chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
Agar pair neeche girta hai to yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb 192.70 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke 50- aur 20-day SMAs, yani 190.60 aur 189.35 ke aage hai, agar yeh immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY ke performance ki buniyad par short term mein ek upward retracement ki umeed hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure ke upar rise karti hai

Yeh chart GBP/JPY pair ka 4-hour timeframe par hai, jahan par kuch important support aur resistance levels nazar aa rahe hain. Pehla resistance level 196.855 par hai, jo price ko upar janay se roknay ki koshish kar raha hai. Is level ko breach karna aur wahan par sustain karna bullish momentum ko indicate karega. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, tou agli stop price 197.690 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai, jo ek aur resistance level hai. Is level par pehle bhi price ne struggle kiya hai, is liye yeh ek strong resistance ban sakta hai.

Agar hum support levels ko dekhein tou 195.953 pehla support hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jati hai, tou yeh indicate karega ke sellers market par kabza hasil kar rahe hain, aur phir price neeche 194.586 par support dhoond sakti hai. Yeh level important hai kyunki past mein yahan se buyers ne price ko upar ki taraf push kiya tha.

Chart par Moving Averages bhi dikhayi de rahi hain jo ek bullish trend ko indicate kar rahi hain, kyunki price in lines ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Agar price yeh moving averages ko cross kar ke neeche jati hai, tou yeh trend ke reverse hone ka pehla indication ho sakta hai. OsMA indicator jo neeche lagaya gaya hai, wo humein momentum ke baare mein bata raha hai. Abhi tak indicator positive side par hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Lekin agar OsMA neeche jata hai, tou momentum weak hone ke chances hain aur market mein sell pressure barh sakta hai.

Is waqt lag raha hai ke market ek tight range mein trade kar rahi hai. Agar yeh 196.855 ko breach kar kay upar chali jati hai, tou agle 24-48 ghanton mein 197.690 ko test kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price neeche jati hai aur 195.953 ke level ko cross kar jati hai, tou phir downward trend start ho sakta hai, jahan price 194.586 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh chart un traders ke liye helpful hai jo short-term trading karte hain aur range breakout strategy follow karte hain. Abhi market mein thoda sabar aur dehan dena zaroori hai, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke price kis taraf breakout kar rahi hai, taake aap apna trade ussi direction mein plan kar sakein.

sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti ha

Price action ne musalsal ooper ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke market mein strong bullish sentiment ka izhar kar raha hai. Filhal, pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein acha perform kar raha hai. Is upward movement ko technical aur shayad fundamental factors ka combination support kar raha hai, jo is waqt ke trend ko traders ke liye ahmiyat dekhne ke qabil banata hai.Ek key technical signal jo bullish outlook ko mazid reinforce kar raha hai, woh moving average lines ki position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages current price ke neeche position mein hain, jo is ongoing uptrend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Jab price in key moving averages ke ooper hota hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hota hai ke buyers ka market par control hai, aur yeh is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke near term mein market ooper jaari rahegi. Yeh ek classic indicator hota hai bullish market ka, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Is ke ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect kar raha hai, jahan har pullback ko renewed buying pressure se mil raha hai. Yeh ek series of higher lows banata hai, jo ek aur signal hai ek strong bullish trend ka. Agar pair apni upward trajectory maintain karta hai, to traders agla key resistance level dekh sakte hain, jo 196.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh GBP/JPY pair ke mazeed gains ki dalalat karega, aur un buyers ke liye zyada buying opportunities open kar sakta hai jo is momentum se faida uthana chahte hain. Magar, kisi bhi currency pair ki tarah, yeh zaroori hai ke market ko asar andaz karne wale external factors par bhi nazar rakhi jaye, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors ya to current trend ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain ya usay kamzor bana sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikha raha hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Moving averages jo price ke neeche hain, uptrend ko confirm kar rahe hain, aur traders ko market ko dekhte rehna chahiye taake resistance tests aur koi bhi fundamental factors ka asar observe kiya ja sake jo aane wali movement par asar daal sakte hain.

Chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke GBP/JPY pair ne recent hours mein kaafi volatility dekhi hai. Yahan par kuch key observations hain jo aapko trading decision lenay mein madadgar ho sakti hain:
1. Resistance Level:
Chart ke mutabiq, ek strong resistance level 197.54 par nazar aa raha hai. Price ne is level ko touch karne ke baad reversal dikhaya aur niche ki taraf gir gayi. Yeh indicate karta hai ke yeh level bohot important hai aur yahan par sellers ka pressure zyada hai.
2. Support Levels:
Filhaal price 196.72 ke aas paas move kar rahi hai jo ek temporary support nazar aata hai.
Agar yeh level break hota hai toh agla support 196.14 par hai, jo white line se indicate ho raha hai.
3. Moving Averages:
Chart par do moving averages nazar aa rahi hain - ek yellow line aur ek white line. Price filhaal yellow moving average (50 MA) se niche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish signal hai. White line (200 MA) long-term support ki taraf indicate karti hai. Agar price in dono levels ke beech consolidate hoti hai, toh ek range-bound scenario ban sakta hai.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator 43 ke aas paas hai jo neutral territory mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke price overbought ya oversold nahi hai, lekin trend thoda bearish lagta hai. Agar RSI 30 ke niche jata hai, toh yeh oversold zone consider kiya jaye ga aur buying opportunity mil sakti hai.
Trading Strategy:
Yahan do scenarios hain. Agar price resistance level 197.54 ko break karti hai aur sustain karti hai toh ek strong bullish trend ban sakta hai. Is case mein aap buy positions dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price support levels ko break karti hai toh short positions ke liye opportunity ban sakti hai. Long-term investors ko wait karna chahiye ke price 200 MA tak jaye aur wahan se koi clear trend establish kare.Yeh analysis short-term trading ke liye hai, aur aapko apni risk management strategy zaroor follow karni chahiye.