جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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  • #4381 Collapse

    Shuru mein, Friday ke trading ke dauran Asian session mein sellers ka zor zyada tha. Market jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level Click image for larger version

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    • #4382 Collapse

      GBP/JPY ke H1 time frame par, GBP/JPY currency pair ne guzishta chand dino mein ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai.
      Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
      GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo mazeed movement par asar daal sakte hain.
      Click image for larger version

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      • #4383 Collapse

        mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai


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ID:	13162086 jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay, ne sterling ki position ko mazid mazboo
           
        • #4384 Collapse

          retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye market mein entry ka critical point ban sakta hai


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          • #4385 Collapse

            of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se

            Click image for larger version

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            • #4386 Collapse

              ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
              GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo mazeed movement par asar daal sakte

              Click image for larger version

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              • #4387 Collapse

                ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan ha Click image for larger version

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ID:	13162162ائٹ ID: 13162086jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay, ne sterling ki position ko mazid


                   
                • #4388 Collapse

                  Weekly open par price action 191.01 ke qareeb resistance level par tha, jahan EMA 633 bhi H1 timeframe par iss area ko cross kar raha tha. Asian session ke dauran, price daily open aur 191.01 ke qareeb resistance ke darmiyan fluctuate karti rahi, lekin buyers ko yeh level break karne mein mushkil hui. Yeh resistance EMA 200 ke qareeb H1 chart par closely aligned tha. Jab buyers yeh level cross nahi kar sake, to price waapis daily open ki taraf gir gayi. Yeh thori der ke liye daily open aur EMA 633 ko H1 timeframe par cross karke neeche chali gayi, magar 189.30 ke area ke qareeb support mil gaya aur wapas upar bounce ki. Ab price dobara 191.01 resistance level ko retest kar rahi hai. EMA 200 H1 ke qareeb hone ke bawajood, trend ab tak unclear hai. H1 par EMA 12 aur EMA 36 downward slope dikhate hain, jo ke ek negative trend ka ishara hai, aur yeh trend pichle Jumme se chala aa raha hai. Jumma ke session mein ek extreme reversal dekha gaya jab price ne rally karne ki koshish ki lekin 195.94 ke high ko touch karne ke baad kamzor ho gayi. Phir price tezi se neeche gir gayi, H1 timeframe par EMA 200 aur EMA 633 ko cross karte hue. Yeh bearish momentum Monday ke trading session tak qaim raha, jahan sellers dominate karte rahe. Abhi ke liye, price ki position H1 chart par EMA 200 ke qareeb hai, jo trend mein uncertainty paida kar rahi hai. Agar buyers is area par ek strong bullish candle banane mein kamyab ho jate hain, to yeh ek bullish breakout ka potential signal de sakti hai.

                  Jumma ke significant weakness ne market par khaas asar dala, jab price EMA 200 ke upar daily timeframe par move karne ke baad 196.01 resistance level par reject ho gayi. Phir price 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 daily level ke neeche gir gayi. High aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 par bane. Halankeh price EMA 200 ke neeche daily chart par hai, trend ab tak bearish hai. Daily chart par EMA 12 aur EMA 36 dono EMA 200 ke neeche flat ho chuke hain, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce kar rahe hain.

                  Agar price pichle Jumme ke low ko break karti hai, to yeh confirm karega ke price EMA 200 daily level ke neeche reh rahi hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ka signal de sakti hai, aur price 187.68 daily support level tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar buyers 190.18 ke upar price ko qaim rakhne mein kamyab hote hain, to price ko EMA 200 daily level ki taraf push karne ka chance hai aur 192.84 area ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khol sakta hai.

                  Abhi ke liye, price EMA 200 daily level ko test kar rahi hai, aur buyers pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh dekhna baqi hai ke unki koshishain kaamyab hoti hain ya nahi, jo renewed buying opportunities ka sabab ban sakti hain. Sath hi, daily stoch Click image for larger version

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ID:	13162201 astic downward point kar raha hai, jo ke current trend ko aur complex bana raha hai.



                     
                  • #4389 Collapse

                    ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
                    GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resistance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni

                    Click image for larger version

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                    • #4390 Collapse

                      ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein accha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement technical aur shayad kuch fundamental factors ki wajah se support ho rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye dekhne layak hai. Ek ahem technical signal jo bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hain, yeh ongoing uptrend ki mazbooti ki tasdeeq karti hain. Jab price in key moving averages se upar hoti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market par control mein hain aur market kareeb waqt mein ziada upar jane ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Iske ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect karti hui nazar aa rahi hai, har pullback ke baad naya buying pressure dekha gaya hai. Is se ek series of higher lows banti hai, jo ke mazid strong bullish trend ka signal hai. Agar pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhti hai, to traders agle key resistance level par nazar rakh sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/JPY pair mein mazeed gains ka imkaan hai, aur traders ke liye mazeed buying opportunities mil sakti hain.Lekin, har currency pair ki tarah, external factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko ya to mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price ke neeche hain jo uptrend ki tasdeeq karti hain, aur traders ko resist Click image for larger version

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ID:	13162206 ance tests aur fundamental factors par nazar rakhni chahiye jo mazeed movement par asar daal

                         
                      • #4391 Collapse

                        ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imk Click image for larger version

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ID:	13162210ID: 13162086jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein
                           
                        • #4392 Collapse

                          apna trading ka tajurba aap logon ke saath share karna chahta hoon. Pehle to main apne chart par ek indicator lagata hoon jo ke Heikin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ki movement ko dikhata hai. Iska fayda yeh hai ke yeh market noise ko filter karke clear signal deta hai. Heikin Ashi candles ka ek khaas tareeqa hota hai jisse price bars ko bana kar price chart ka delay kam ho jata hai. Dusra indicator jo main use karta hoon woh TMA (Triangular Moving Average) hai, jo chart par support aur resistance lines draw karta hai. Yeh lines double smoothed moving averages ke zariye banti hain aur current channel boundaries dikhati hain jisme instrument chal raha hota hai. Aakhri indicator jo main transactions ko filter karne ke liye use karta hoon woh RSI oscillator hai, jo standard settings ke saath lagata hoon. Yeh Heikin Ashi ke saath mil kar positive trading results ko achieve karne mein madad karta hai. Chart ka analysis karne ke baad, main dekhta hoon ke candles ka rang blue ho gaya hai, jo is baat ka indication hai ke buyers is waqt sellers se zyada strong hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Price ne channel ki neeche wali boundary ko cross kiya (red dotted line) aur apne minimum point se bounce hoke wapas middle line ki taraf (yellow dotted line) chal pada. Is information se mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt pair ko buy karna profitable hoga. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ko di gayi hai. Abhi sales ke liye koi conditions nahi bani hain. Agar M15 channel neeche ki taraf dekhega to phir sales ka soch sakte hain, lekin jaisa ke aap images mein dekh rahe hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko strong bana rahe hain. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye theek yeh hoga ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 189.960 se buy kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh ek profitable entry point hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi aur purchases out ho sakti hain. Main growth ka plan kar raha hoon upper part of channel 191.813 tak. Jab market top hit karega, toh bull apna kaam pura karega, jiske baad ek decline aa sakta hai, lekin main is decline ko miss kar dunga. Aur phir rollback se main growing trend par wapas se
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                          • #4393 Collapse

                            GBP/JPY pair ne consistently Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 aur 150 ke upar trade kiya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pair mein lambi muddat ka upward momentum abhi tak barqarar hai. Yeh do moving averages trend strength aur support levels ko measure karte hain. Jab tak price in averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, yeh bullish sentiment ki tasdeeq karta hai, halaan ke beech beech mein bearish corrections bhi dekhi gayi hain. H4 chart par, GBP/JPY mein bullish aur bearish trends alternate hote dekhe gaye hain, lekin SMA 60 aur 150 ke upar position sustain karna dikhata hai ke overall bullish sentiment mazboot hai, jo traders ke liye upward trend follow karne ke liye potential opportunities paida karta hai lekin ehtiyaat ke saath.GBP/JPY ka hal recent decline investors ke behavior se influence hua hai, jo Japanese Yen ko pasand kar rahe hain amid BoJ ki tightening monetary policy expectations. Iske ilawa, mukhtalif economic indicators aur BoE ka tareeqa bhi is currency pair ki dynamics ko aage chal kar shape karte rahenge.
                            Daily timeframe par EMA 200 ne bhi aham role ada kiya hai. Price 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 ke neeche gir chuki hai. Session ka high aur low 195.94 aur 189.98 rahe. Jab tak price EMA 200 ke neeche hai, trend abhi tak bearish hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 bhi EMA 200 ke neeche flat ho chuki hain, jo bearish outlook ko aur bhi mazboot karti hain.
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                            Friday ke significant weakness ka market par notable impact tha, jab price 196.01 resistance level par reject hui thi aur uske baad EMA 200 ke neeche chali gayi thi. Ab price neeche gir kar 192.35 resistance aur EMA 200 par daily level par hai. Agar price last Friday ke low ke neeche break karti hai, toh yeh confirm hoga ke price EMA 200 ke neeche reh rahi hai, jo mazeed declines ko signal karegi aur price ko 187.68 ke daily support level tak push karegi. Lekin agar buyers price ko 190.18 ke upar hold karne mein kaamyab hotay hain, toh price mazeed bullish movement ke liye EMA 200 ko test kar sakti hai aur 192.84 area tak push kar sakti hai.Filhaal price EMA 200 ko test kar rahi hai aur buyers market par pressure dal rahe hain. Yeh dekhna baqi hai ke kya unki koshishain kaamyab hoti hain jo renewed buying opportunities ko janam de sakti hain. Lekin daily stochastic downward point kar raha hai, jo current trend mein complexity dalta hai.
                               
                            • #4394 Collapse

                              **GBP/JPY Technical Analysis**

                              GBP/JPY H1 time frame par dekha jae toh GBP/JPY currency pair ne pichlay kuch dino mein mazboot upward trend dikhaya hai. Price action lagataar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair lagbhag 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein achi performance kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement kuch technical aur shaayad fundamental factors ki wajah se supported hai, jo is waqt ke trend ko traders ke liye kaafi ahmiyat ka bana raha hai.

                              Ek key technical signal jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai, wo moving average lines ka position hai. In mein se khaas tor par 50-period aur 100-period moving averages price ke neeche hain, jo ongoing uptrend ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Jab price in key moving averages ke ooper hota hai, toh yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers market par control mein hain, aur near term mein market ke aur upar jane ke chances ziada hain. Yeh ek classic indicator hota hai bullish market ka, jo traders ko upward momentum mein confidence deta hai.

                              Iske ilawa, price support levels ka respect karte hue bhi nazar aa raha hai, har pullback ke baad renewed buying pressure dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is wajah se higher lows ka silsila ban raha hai, jo ek aur signal hai strong bullish trend ka. Agar yeh pair upward trajectory ko maintain karta hai, toh traders next key resistance level ka intezaar kar rahe honge, jo lagbhag 196.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh further gains ka indication dega GBP/JPY pair mein, aur is momentum se faida uthane ka moqa mil sakta hai.

                              Lekin, kisi bhi currency pair ki tarah, zaroori hai ke traders external factors par bhi nazar rakhein jo market ko affect kar sakte hain, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko mazid mazboot ya kamzor kar sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, aur price 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Moving averages jo price ke neeche hain, uptrend ko confirm kar rahe hain, aur traders ko market ko potential resistance tests aur koi bhi fundamental factors ke liye monitor karna chahiye jo aage ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain.
                                 
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                              • #4395 Collapse

                                GBP/JPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

                                GBP/JPY H1 time frame par GBP/JPY currency pair ne pichle kuch dino mein ek mazboot upward trend dikhaya hai. Price action musalsal upar ki taraf badh raha hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Filhal, yeh pair 195.04 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke pound yen ke muqablay mein achha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upward movement kai factors ka natija hai, jo ke technical aur mumkin hai ke fundamental bhi hon, jo is waqt ke trend ko traders ke liye dekhne ka mauqa bana rahe hain.

                                Ek key technical signal jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karta hai, wo hai moving average lines ki position. Yeh lines, khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages, abhi current price ke neeche hain, jo ongoing uptrend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Jab price in key moving averages ke upar rehta hai, to yeh darshata hai ke buyers control mein hain, aur market ki umeed hai ke yeh qareeb mustaqbil mein aur upar ki taraf badhegi. Yeh bullish market ka ek classic indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.

                                Price bhi support levels ka izhar kar raha hai, jahan har pullback ko naye buying pressure ka samna hota hai. Yeh series of higher lows banata hai, jo strong bullish trend ka ek aur signal hai. Agar yeh pair is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhta hai, to traders agle key resistance level ki talash kar sakte hain, jo ke 196.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh GBP/JPY pair ke liye mazeed gains ka darshan kar sakta hai, jo unke liye buying opportunities kholta hai jo is momentum ka faida uthana chahte hain.

                                Magar, kisi bhi currency pair ke sath, yeh zaroori hai ke kisi bhi external factors se aware rahein jo market ko asar daal sakte hain, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors current trend ko mazid strong ya weak kar sakte hain, isliye traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par strong bullish trend dikha raha hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai. Moving averages jo price ke neeche hain, uptrend ko confirm kar rahe hain, aur traders ko market ko potential resistance tests aur kisi bhi fundamental factors ke liye monitor karna chahiye jo mazeed movement ko asar daal sakte hain.
                                   

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