جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

trend ka rukh bhi bearish ho gaya hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan kai crosses hue, lekin death crossing signal successfully zahir hua. Is tarah, price movement ke neechay ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti. Iske

/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein thay, ne sterling ki position ko mazid mazbooti di.

Doosri taraf, Japanese yen ko inflation data ke nateeja mein kuch momentum mila, jahan consumer prices August mein

haftay ke akhri market mein GBP/JPY ka bullish movement ne horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ko break kar diya, jo ke ek trend reversal ka indication tha. Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance

significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve

Hamesha yaad rahein ke trading ek disciplined approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aapko patience rakhni hogi aur apne entry aur exit points par focus karna hoga. Jab tak price hamare stop-loss ya take-profit levels tak nahi pohanchti, hum market mein rahenge.
Trading ki duniya mein har waqt market ki halat ko samajhna aur indicators ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Long positions lena ek acha tareeqa hai jab indicators humein bullish trend ki taraf ishara dete hain. Is strategy ko apne trading plan mein shamil karen aur dekhain ke kaise ye aapki trading performance ko behtar banata hai.

Aakhir mein, trading ka maqsad sirf munafa kamana nahi hai, balki samajhdaari se decisions lena bhi hai. Is strategy par amal karke aap apni trading skills ko behtar bana sakte hain. Aap sab ko trading mein achi kamiyabi ki dua deta hoon!**Trading ka Tajaweez: Long Positions ki Strategy**

Salam trading doston! Aaj hum ek trading strategy par baat karenge jismein hum long positions par focus kar rahe hain. Pehle to, humein dekhna hoga ke moving average indicator price ke neeche hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke hum sirf long positions ko mad e nazar rakh rahe hain.

Ab agla signal jo humein long position lene ke liye madad de sakta hai, wo hai MACD indicator ka confirmation. Is indicator mein humein zero line ko neeche se upar ki taraf cross karte hue dekhna hai. Ye cross-over humein ye batata hai ke momentum bullish hai aur humein long position lene ka mauqa mil raha hai.

Is waqt, main samajhta hoon ke sabse behtareen entry point 190.00 hai. Ye woh level hai jahan se hum apni long position shuru kar sakte hain. Entry point ka intikhab karte waqt humein market ki current halat aur indicators ko mad e nazar rakhna hoga. Mujhe is waqt koi behtar entry point nazar nahi aata.

Ab baat karte hain risk management ki. Hum stop-loss ko 189.80 par set karenge. Iska matlab ye hai ke agar market hamari tasveer ke khilaf chale, to hum kuch nuksan ko rok sakte hain. Stop-loss ka rakhna bohot zaroori hai kyunki ye humein bade nuksan se bachata hai.

Profit ka target hum 190.60 par rakhte hain. Iska matlab ye hai ke jab price is level tak pohanchti hai, to hum apni position ko band kar lenge aur munafa hasil karenge.

Hamesha yaad rahein ke trading ek disciplined approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aapko patience rakhni hogi aur apne entry aur exit points par focus karna hoga. Jab tak price hamare stop-loss ya take-profit levels tak nahi pohanchti, hum market mein rahenge.

Trading ki duniya mein har waqt market ki halat ko samajhna aur indicators ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Long positions lena ek acha tareeqa hai jab indicators humein bullish trend ki taraf ishara dete hain. Is strategy ko apne trading plan mein shamil karen aur dekhain ke kaise ye aapki trading performance ko behtar banata hai.

Aakhir mein, trading ka maqsad sirf munafa kamana nahi hai, balki samajhdaari se decisions lena bhi hai. Is strategy par amal karke

/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected

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GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai

Yeh surge kuch ahm macroeconomic data aur events ki wajah se aaya jo dono currencies par positive asar daal rahe the. Office for National Statistics (ONS) se mila data yeh dikhata hai ke UK retail sales August mein 1.0% tak barh gayi, jo ke 0.4% ki umeed se zyada hai aur July ke 0.5% ke izafe se bhi tez hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke UK ke shoppers kharidari karte reh rahe hain, halanke borrowing costs unhein zyada mehsoos ho rahe hain. Is se prices par upward pressure ban sakta hai aur inflation barh sakta hai. Is wajah se Bank of England (BoE) ko shayad interest rates cut karne se roka ja sakta hai, jisse pound ko foreign capital inflows ke zariye support mil sakta hai.
Bank of England ne September ki meeting mein interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, jismein vote ka nateeja aath (8) se ek (1) tha, jo sterling ko mazeed support faraham karta hai. Yeh faisla baaz doosri central banks ke rate cuts ke muqablay mein hai, jahan global inflationary pressures dheere ho rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, BoE ki policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments, jo ke lambi muddat tak restrictions ko barqarar rakhne ki baat kar rahi thi, ne sterling ki position ko mazid majboot banaya.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne bhi momentum gain kiya jab inflation data yeh dikhaya ke consumer prices August mein 3.0% tak barh gayi, jo ke pehle mahine ke 2.8% se zyada hai aur yeh das mahine ka sab se uncha darja hai. Lekin, yen ko 188.00 ke key resistance level ko todne mein mushkilat ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo ab support ban chuka hai. Yeh movement 183.70 par higher highs ko confirm karta hai, jo bearish picture ko cancel kar deta hai. Halankeh price ka 193.50 ke area ke neeche hona yeh dikhata hai ke outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai.

Oscillators bhi is jazbe ko confirm karte hain, jo yeh batate hain ke bears shayad is waqt trade se nikal gaye hain. Price action ke saath, dono RSI aur MACD ne bhi higher highs banaye hain, jahan MACD breakout line ke kareeb hai, jo ke outlook mein behtri ka potential dikhata hai. Bulls ko yeh dikhana hoga ke unmein itni taqat hai ke pair ko sabhi moving averages ke upar push kar sakein, jisse yeh 197.00 ke area ki taraf barh sakta hai

GBP/JPY ka bullish movement ne horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ko break kar diya, jo ke ek trend reversal ka indication tha. Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziada significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziada significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein.

core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.
BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke qareeb kyun na ho. Agar price neeche girti hai tou August ke low 183.00 ka retest ho sakta hai, aur uske neeche 2022 aur 2024 lows ko milane wali support trend line par price 182.00 tak pohonch sakti hai

EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan kai crosses hue, lekin death crossing signal successfully zahir hua. Is tarah, price movement ke neechay ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti

GBP/JPY pair ne recent trading mein remarkable bullish trend ka muzahira kiya hai, jo ke 8 lagataar trading days tak barh gaya. Yeh 193.49 ke aham resistance level tak pohanch gaya, jo ke 2 September ko record ki gayi high ke barabar hai, us ke baad ek temporary pullback dekhne ko mila. Is chhoti si setback ke bawajood, short-term outlook ab bhi bilkul bullish hai, aur yeh upward momentum barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak koi decisive breakout nahi hota. July ke decline ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 194.03 par hai, jo ke bulls ke liye mazeed challenges peda kar sakta hai. Iske bawajood, short-term trend ab tak upward hi hai, aur yeh 11 September ki lows se rally kar raha hai.

Technical analysis ke principle "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh pair apni upward journey jari rakhne ki umeed hai. Lekin, is bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye 193.49 ke resistance line ke upar ek decisive breakout zaroori hoga. Aik decisive breakout ki pehchan ek lambi green candle se hogi jo apni high par close karegi, ya phir lagataar 3 green candles jo is level ke upar close hongi. Halanke, medium-term trend ab tak sideways hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein koi wazeh bias nahi de raha. Iske baraks, long-term trend ab tak bullish hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke upward momentum abhi bhi likely hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne recently higher trade kiya, aur aham resistance (ab support) level 188.00 ke upar successful break kiya. Yeh breakthrough ek higher high ko confirm karta hai 183.70 par, jo ke bearish scenario ko negate karta hai. Magar, ab tak price crucial 193.50 area ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke overall outlook ab tak poori tarah bullish nahi hua. Oscillators mazeed insights de rahe hain market sentiment ke baare mein. RSI aur MACD dono higher highs dikha rahe hain, jahan RSI ne 50 balance line ke upar break kiya. MACD, jo ke ab tak negative hai, trigger line ke upar chala gaya hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka ishara de raha hai.

Agar bulls price ko 193.50 handle ke upar push karne mein kaamyab hotay hain, to outlook bilkul bullish ho sakta hai. Aisi movement moving averages ke upar ek break ke liye raah bana sakti hai, jo ke ek significant upward trajectory ki taraf le jaa sakti hai. Is se pehle, yeh pair 197.00 area tak pohanch sakta hai, aur agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to bulls ka next target July 30 ka high 199.50 ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ne haal hi mein kafi utar chadhav dekha hai, jo ke aham economic events ka nateeja hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain.
Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye market mein entry ka critical point ban sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ka bullish movement ne horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ko break kar diya, jo ke ek trend reversal ka indication tha. Bullish power ne GBP/JPY pair mein bhi zyada strength dikhai, jo kay chand dino tak barh rahi thi. MA 200 ke against ek breakout moment bhi nazar aya, jo ke bullish power ki ahmiyat mein izafa ka tasdeeq kar raha tha. GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziyata significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziyata significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta Hi. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein.

ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price