nzd/usd

Concurrent Asian session mein Friday ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) kamzor hua, kuch key factors ke asar mein. Decline ko largely New Zealand ke two-year inflation expectations ki fall ne drive kiya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates ko maintain karne ke liye reduced pressure ko signal karta hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ke prati dampen kiya.
Concurrently, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data ke support se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke prolonged higher interest rates ke expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye attractive bana diya, NZD ko further weaken kar diya.

Additionally, market participants China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports ne dikha ki China ki inflation subdued hai, CPI just 0.3% annually rise hui, sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karti hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure badhata hai, New Zealand ke significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dekhte hue.

NZD ki decline ko domestic factors raise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD ke asar mein attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Moreover, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko exacerbate karti hain, particularly commodity exports se tied currencies raise NZD ko impact karti hain. Market yeh developments ko continue watch karega, especially central bank policies mein shifts, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakte hain. Currency pair 0.5866 par support finding ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko breaking ke baad bullish potential dikha raha hai, jo successfully retested hua hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain, liquidity seek ki ja rahi hai, is liye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits ko avoid karne ke liye. Additionally, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, is liye conservative lot size ka use karne aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karne ka prudent hai risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye

New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.
US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga

EURGBP pair basically abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai lekin iss waqt thodi correction ho rahi hai. Kai dafa price ne upar jane ki koshish ki aur resistance (R1) 0.8611 ko cross karne ki koshish ki, lekin wahan se rejection mila. Price EMA 50 tak gir kar wapas upar jane ki koshish ki, lekin pivot point (PP) 0.8564 ke upar consistently rehne mein kamiyab nahi ho paya. Yeh downward correction tab tak jaari rahi jab tak price EMA 50 ke neeche chala gaya aur lagbhag support (S1) 0.8506 tak pahunch gaya. Aage jaane ke imkaan hai ke yeh downward correction support (S2) 0.8459 tak bhi gir sakta hai kyunki yeh rally base rally (RBR) ko paar kar gaya hai jo ab demand area 0.8531 - 0.8517 hai Price movement jo high prices 0.8623 se gir kar low prices 0.8530 tak gaya, phir wapas high prices 0.8591 tak upar gaya aur phir low prices 0.8509 tak gir gaya. Yeh dikhaata hai ke minor price pattern structure lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Agar EURGBP pair ka price jo abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai higher high prices 0.8591 ke upar banane mein nakam hota hai, to iska matlab yeh hoga ke yeh lower low support (S1) 0.8506 ke neeche banayega. Isliye, major structure ko higher high - higher low pattern ke saath banaye rakhne ke liye zaroori hai ke valid higher high prices resistance (R1) 0.8611 ke upar hon Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke side se lagta hai ke yeh EURGBP pair ke price ko neeche move karne mein support kar raha hai. Red histogram volume level 0 ya negative area ke neeche barh rahi hai jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke downtrend momentum kaafi strong hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters jo ke oversold zone level 20 - 10 ke paas cross kar chuke hain price ko wapas upar jane mein support karte hain. Lekin agar level 50 tak jaane ke raste mein yeh parameter dobara oversold zone ki taraf jata hai, to phir yeh imkaan hai ke price support (S1) 0.8506 ko cross karke SMA 200 ko as dynamic support test

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limitedly move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ho

Daily time frame par pair ne lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Kal market ne 0.6004 par open kiya tha aur trading session mein high 0.6031 aur low 0.5988 tak gaya. Is tarah kal ki trading range lagbhag 43 pips ki rahi. Market ka mood bearish lag raha hai kyun ke price daily pivot level se neeche hai aur aanay wale sessions mein daily support levels S1 aur S2 tak ja sakti hai. Indicators bhi market ki bearish strength ko support kar rahe hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko touch kiya tha. RSI 14 bhi 50 se neeche move kar raha hai overbought hone ke baad. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern bana, jis ke baad ek aur bearish candlestick ne market ki bearish strength ko confirm kiya. Market MA 200 ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke downtrend ko support kar raha hai.

Mujhe sabhi majors mein NZD/USD sab se zyada mushkil lag raha hai. Kayi mahine ho gaye hain aur price ek specific range mein band hai. Pichle hafte ke end tak, price bilkul is range ke beech mein close hui thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, bears ka faida yeh hai ke global downtrend abhi bhi chal raha hai, jo takreeban teen mahine purana hai. Kariban ek saal pehle, price apne max 0.6245 tak gayi thi. Yeh chart 4 ghante ka hai aur Fibo correction grid ke mutabiq, 70.0 level yani 0.6515 tak correction expected hai, jo highlighted area of prices se match karta hai. Main is highlighted area mein impulse wave 3 dekh raha hoon. Agar pichle level 0.6835 ka breakdown hota hai, toh long position open karne ka socha ja sakta hai aur impulse wave seven ko calculate kiya ja sakta hai, jahan price upar jaane ki ummed hai.

Markets ke khulne ka intezaar karna aur Asian aur European sessions mein price ke girne ki predictions dekhna thoda mushkil hai. Position kholte waqt stop loss lagana zaroori hai, kyun ke NZD/USD pair ne Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq oversold zone mein entry kar li hai. Main abhi dekh raha hoon ke price last trading session ke extremes tak jaaye, taake faisla kar saku ke buy karun ya sell. Support level strong hone ki wajah se, prices ne resistance level tak pohanch kar wapas upar jana shuru kiya. Resistance level hit karne ke baad market ne wapas rise liya kyun ke support level mazboot

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.
Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

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hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh

hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh

Dollar Index (DXY medium aur long-term mein ek sideways trend mein hai, jo ek multi-year range ke andar hai. Late July se yeh steadily ek down leg unfold kar raha hai, ceiling se jo ke 105 ke aas-paas hai, range floor tak jo ke 100 level hai. Price action ab bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nahi ban rahe – na to shape ke aur na hi candlestick ke form mein. Yeh zyada downside ka risk suggest karta hai. Agar south ki continuation hoti hai, to DXY shayad agle support level 99.57 tak pahunche, jo ke July 2023 ka low hai. Yeh range ka lowest floor hai – is level ke neeche decisive break hona bohot bearish sign hoga.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart (jo ke yahan nahi dikhaya gaya) par oversold hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur pullback hone ka zyada risk hai.

Lekin, RSI ne abhi tak oversold zone se exit nahi kiya hai, jo buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Jaisa ke situation hai, RSI ka oversold hona bas bears ke liye ek warning hai ke apni short positions ko na badhayein; RSI ko fully oversold se bahar nikalna zaroori hai taake reversal signal mil sake.

100 level important hai. Key psychological level hone ke ilawa, 100 ek major historical support level bhi hai jo ke 2023 ke baad teen baar girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kar chuka hai (neeche circled hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is dafa bhi rescue karega?

NZD/USD bar-bar ek range ke ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo spring ke waqt se establish hui thi. August 20 ki high ko break karna ek higher high banaega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega. Aise move se substantial upside follow-through ki expectation hai.

NZD/USD springtime se establish hui sideways range ke ceiling ko knock kar raha hai. August 20 ki high ko break karna shayad ek upside breakout ko confirm karega aur uske baad substantial gains ki expectation hai. Pair temporarily August 20 ko range ke ceiling ko breach kar gaya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha, lekin phir jaldi neeche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo further near-term weakness ko indicate karna chahiye thi, lekin pair 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak kuch points gir gaya.

Main aap sab ko achi mood ki dua karta hoon! 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ab bhi upward position mein hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke buyers abhi active hain. Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD

ko break kar liya tha. Is resistance ke break hone ke baad lagta hai ke NZD/USD mazeed barhne ka imkaan hai. Lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka maqsad ab 0.6288 ke resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohchnay ke liye NZD/USD ko abhi kareeb 70 pips aur barhna hoga. Jab yeh level hit ho jayega, toh NZD/USD phir se niche aane ke imkaanaat hain, kyunke yeh izafa sirf ek correction hai. Agar yeh sabse barhi H1 resistance ko breach nahi kar paata, toh wapis se neeche jana mushkil ho sakta hai. Meri raaye mein, jab tak RBS area ko breach nahi kiya jata, jo ke 0.6170 par hai, NZD/USD ke barhne ka imkaan abhi bhi hai agle kuch ghanton mein.
Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho raha hai. Iss bullish trend ke sath NZD/USD ke aur bhi barhne ke imkaanaat hain. Sab se zaroori baat ye hai ke koi naye intersections na hon jo candle ki position ko change kar dein, warna phir se rate gir sakta hai. Wahi agar stochastic indicator ko dekha jaye, toh woh yeh bata raha hai ke NZD/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunke iska line level 80 ko cross kar chuka hai. Shayad is position ke sath NZD/USD neeche aa jaye, magar yeh girawat ziyaa arsay ke liye nahi hogi, kyunke jaisa ke maine pehle kaha ke NZD/USD ka maqsad resistance 0.6286 tak pohchna hai. Aaj ke analysis ka khulasa yeh hai ke NZD/USD pair ke barhne ka abhi bhi imkaan hai, kyunke candle abhi tak 0.6167 ke RBS area ko breach nahi kar saki hai. Iske ilawa candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Isi liye meri tajwez hai ke agar aap is pair mein trading kar rahe hain

NZD/USD currency pair ka H1 chart par analysis de raha hoon. Filhaal, trading instrument 0.5920 par positioned hai. Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko paar na kar paane ke baad, price niche ki taraf move hone lagi aur aakhir mein 0.5918 tak gir gayi.
Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level se niche gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish trend ke continuation ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Jaise jaise situation evolve hui hai, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level tak nahi, balki aur bhi niche gir kar 0.5876 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Ab ek reversal zone chart par ubhar kar aaya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke darmiyan confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 ke upar rise karke ek one-hour candle ke saath close hoti hai, to current decline sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf badhne ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko neeche rakhna behtar rahega. H1 chart ke muqablay mein, Four hourly timeframe par linear regression channel mein upar ki taraf movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo buyer activity ko show karta hai. Buyer ne level 0.59421 ko abandon kar diya hai sellers ke breakthrough ke baad. Yeh market mein bears ki strong interest ko dikhata hai, jo H1 channel ko niche ki taraf reverse karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Isse uptrend ke threat ka samna ho sakta hai. Jab channel niche ki taraf move karta hai, sellers ki dominance ko reflect karta hai aur trend change ko show karta hai. Strong bears 0.58630 level ko reach karne ki koshish karenge apne target ko achieve karne ke liye. Lekin, agar 4-hour chart par conditions meet hoti hain, jab market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karta hai, to bulls apni trend movement ko restore karenge, aur isse trading ke liye consider karna chahiye

US Dollar (USD) ko apne major rivals ke muqablay mein Wednesday ko kamzori ke baad rebound karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Aaj, US economic docket mein August ke liye ADP Employment Change, weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur August ISM Services PMI data shamil honge. In releases se pehle, Eurostat July ke liye Retail Sales data publish karega.

Wednesday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke zariye published data ke mutabiq, July ke aakhri business day par job openings 7.67 million the. Yeh reading market ki expectation 8.1 million se kam thi aur is wajah se USD par selling pressure barh gaya. Tuesday ko 101.91 par naya do hafton ka high touch karne ke baad, USD Index ne niche ki taraf rukh kiya aur Wednesday ko 0.5% gir gaya. European morning ke dauran, index 101.00 ke upar steady hai. Is darmiyan, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield 3.8% se neeche gir gaya aur Wall Street ke main indexes mixed closing ke saath din complete hue. Early Thursday ko, US stock index futures marginally lower trade kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Immediate support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas dikhai deta hai, jo lower boundary ke sath aligned hai.

NZD/USD Thursday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6200 ke aas-paas apni position banaye hue hai. Daily chart par, pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko support karta hai. Lower boundary ke neeche break karne se bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 14-day EMA ke upar positioned hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke short-term upward momentum ko signal karta hai aur yeh pair aage bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki ummeed hai.

Upside par, NZD/USD pair ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance mil sakta hai, uske baad August 21 ko record kiya gaya seven-month high 0.6247 aata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, toh pair upper boundary of the ascending channel ko 0.6330 par test kar sakta hai.

Support ke hawale se, NZD/USD pair ko foran support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas 0.6170 level par aligned hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ke aas-paas navigate kar sakta hai

Main abhi New Zealand Dollar aur USD pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Is pair ne 0.60638 ka resistance break kiya, aur us waqt Bank of New Zealand ne apna bayan diya. Jaisay hi pair neeche gaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye, jo market ke liye unexpected thay. Market ko umeed thi ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates 40% se 50% tak cut karega. Pair ne support 0.59681 par touch kiya, aur mujhe laga ke pair mazeed neeche jayega, kyun ke interest rate cut ki wajah se market mein selling pressure barh gaya tha. Mujhe laga ke pair jo range mein trade kar raha tha, wo thoda aur neeche jaayega, lekin surprisingly, pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kar diya aur resistance 0.62205 par pohnch gaya. Ye bilkul unexpected tha.

Main expect kar raha tha ke pair upper bounds par reversal karega, jo ke 0.61526 par resistance hai. Lekin, America mein inflation mein koi khas kami nahi hui. Sirf 0.1% decline ka matlab yeh nahi ke status quo change ho gaya hai, is liye mein ab bhi decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe koi waja nazar nahi aati ke upward trend continue rahe.

Chart ka Halat:

Is mahine ke aghaz se NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga. Uske baad, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par ek aur obstacle ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar downside move hoti hai, to pair 50.0% Fibonacci level 0.6109 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 38.2% Fibonacci level 0.6048 tak neeche ja sakta hai, jo January aur June mein strong support ka kirdar ada kar chuka hai. Agar price 38.2% se neeche girti hai, to 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.5972 additional support de sakta hai.

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Main abhi New Zealand Dollar aur USD pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Is pair ne 0.60638 ka resistance break kiya, aur us waqt Bank of New Zealand ne apna bayan diya. Jaisay hi pair neeche gaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye, jo market ke liye unexpected thay. Market ko umeed thi ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates 40% se 50% tak cut karega. Pair ne support 0.59681 par touch kiya, aur mujhe laga ke pair mazeed neeche jayega, kyun ke interest rate cut ki wajah se market mein selling pressure barh gaya tha. Mujhe laga ke pair jo range mein trade kar raha tha, wo thoda aur neeche jaayega, lekin surprisingly, pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kar diya aur resistance 0.62205 par pohnch gaya. Ye bilkul unexpected tha.

Main expect kar raha tha ke pair upper bounds par reversal karega, jo ke 0.61526 par resistance hai. Lekin, America mein inflation mein koi khas kami nahi hui. Sirf 0.1% decline ka matlab yeh nahi ke status quo change ho gaya hai, is liye mein ab bhi decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe koi waja nazar nahi aati ke upward trend continue rahe.

Chart ka Halat:

Is mahine ke aghaz se NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga. Uske baad, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par ek aur obstacle ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar downside move hoti hai, to pair 50.0% Fibonacci level 0.6109 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 38.2% Fibonacci level 0.6048 tak neeche ja sakta hai, jo January aur June mein strong support ka kirdar ada kar chuka hai. Agar price 38.2% se neeche girti hai, to 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.5972 additional support de sakta hai.

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Asian session me ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value mein decline aaya, jo kuch key factors se impact hua. Decline ko mainly New Zealand ki two-year inflation expectations mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, jo Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates maintain karne ki zaroorat ko reduced dikhata hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ki taraf se dampen kar diya. Saath hi, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve se prolonged higher interest rates ki expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya, jo NZD ko further weaken kar diya. Sath hi, market participants China ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports se pata chala ki China ki inflation subdued hai, jo CPI 0.3% annually rise kar raha hai, jo sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karta hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure ko badhata hai, jo New Zealand ki significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dikha raha hai. NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Sath hi, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko badhata hai, jo commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karta hai. Market yeh developments ko continue monitor karega, especially central bank policies mein kisi bhi shifts ko, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakta hai.
Currency pair bullish potential dikha raha hai 0.5866 par support milne ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko break karne ke baad, jo successfully retested ho chuka hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain liquidity seek ki wajah se, isliye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits se bachne ke liye. Sath hi, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, isliye prudent hai conservative lot size use karna aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karna risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye