نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Pichlay do dinon se NZD/USD currency pair mein lagatar izafa ho raha hai. Yeh upar ki taraf harakat us waqt shuru hui jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko todne mein nakam rahi. Is se pehle pair ki movement neeche ki taraf thi, lekin support zone ko choone se pehle hi yeh reversal kar gayi. Jumeraat ke din, price mein kafi zyada izafa hua, jahan yeh 0.6190 se barh kar 0.6218 tak pohanch gayi, jo ke takreeban 50 pips ka izafa hai. Shuru mein price neeche gayi thi, magar apne kareebi support level ko nahi tod payi jis ki wajah se wahan se wapas upar chali gayi.

H1 timeframe ke analysis ke mutabiq, jab NZD/USD upar gayi toh candle 0.6202 ki resistance ko bhi break karne mein kamyaab rahi, jo ke mazeed izafa ki nishandahi karta hai. Abhi NZD/USD ka target resistance level 0.6288 hai, jis tak pohanchne ke liye mazeed 70 pips ki zaroorat hai. Us level tak pohanchne ke baad NZD/USD ko mushkilat ka samna karna par sakta hai agar woh sab se oonchi H1 resistance ko na tod saki, jo ke corrective decline ki soorat mein nicha aane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar RBS area 0.6170 par breach nahi hota, toh aglay chand ghanton mein pair ke barhne ke chances abhi bhi hain.

Ichimoku indicator se analysis karte hue, candle abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke trend mein tabdili yani bearish se bullish hone ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh bullish trend NZD/USD ko mazeed barhne ke liye support karega, bas koi nayi intersection na aaye jo is position ko badal de kyun ke woh price ko dobara girane ka sabab ban sakta hai.

0.6250 se reversal ke baad, price ne tez girawat dekhi aur wapas 0.6150 ke area tak aa gayi jahan usne support liya aur liquidity gap ko fill kiya. Market ne us ke baad is range mein consolidation kiya, FVG ko 0.6220 ke kareeb retest kiya aur phir mazeed push ki koshish ki. Abhi NZD/USD kareeb 0.6216 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai aur minor resistance 0.6220 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar pair is level ko breach karne mein kamyaab ho gayi, toh agla significant resistance 0.6250 par hai. Agar aisa na ho saka, toh mazeed consolidation ya support 0.6150 ka retest bhi ho sakta hai.

Summary yeh hai ke NZD/USD abhi range-bound market mein hai, jahan support 0.6150 par hai aur resistance 0.6250 par. Fair value gaps aur liquidity zones breakouts ya pullbacks ko dekhne ke liye important reference points hain. Traders ko 0.6220 ke upar ek decisive move dekhne ki zaroorat hai bullish continuation ke liye, ya phir bearish shift ke liye 0.6150 ke neeche break ka intizar karen.

NZD-USD MARKET ANALYSIS
SEPTEMBER 06, 2024

Do lagataar dinon mein, NZD/USD currency pair ka rate barh gaya. Ye tab hua jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko cross nahi kar saki. Is area ko touch karne se pehle NZD/USD ka movement niche ki taraf tha. Guzishta Thursday ko bhi kaafi zyada izafa hua, kyunke candle 0.6190 se 0.6218 tak chal gayi thi. Agar hisaab lagaya jaye, toh NZD/USD kareeb 50 pips barhi. Shuru mein rate niche gaya tha, lekin candle apne qareebi support ko breach karne mein nakam rahi, aur wahan pohchne se pehle hi rate dobara barh gaya.

Agar H1 timeframe pe dekha jaye, jab NZD/USD upar gaya tha, candle ne 0.6202 pe resistance ko break kar liya tha. Is resistance ke break hone ke baad lagta hai ke NZD/USD mazeed barhne ka imkaan hai. Lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka maqsad ab 0.6288 ke resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohchnay ke liye NZD/USD ko abhi kareeb 70 pips aur barhna hoga. Jab yeh level hit ho jayega, toh NZD/USD phir se niche aane ke imkaanaat hain, kyunke yeh izafa sirf ek correction hai. Agar yeh sabse barhi H1 resistance ko breach nahi kar paata, toh wapis se neeche jana mushkil ho sakta hai. Meri raaye mein, jab tak RBS area ko breach nahi kiya jata, jo ke 0.6170 par hai, NZD/USD ke barhne ka imkaan abhi bhi hai agle kuch ghanton mein.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analysis kiya jaye, toh candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho raha hai. Iss bullish trend ke sath NZD/USD ke aur bhi barhne ke imkaanaat hain. Sab se zaroori baat ye hai ke koi naye intersections na hon jo candle ki position ko change kar dein, warna phir se rate gir sakta hai.

Wahi agar stochastic indicator ko dekha jaye, toh woh yeh bata raha hai ke NZD/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunke iska line level 80 ko cross kar chuka hai. Shayad is position ke sath NZD/USD neeche aa jaye, magar yeh girawat ziada arsay ke liye nahi hogi, kyunke jaisa ke maine pehle kaha ke NZD/USD ka maqsad resistance 0.6286 tak pohchna hai.

Aaj ke analysis ka khulasa yeh hai ke NZD/USD pair ke barhne ka abhi bhi imkaan hai, kyunke candle abhi tak 0.6167 ke RBS area ko breach nahi kar saki hai. Iske ilawa candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Isi liye meri tajwez hai ke agar aap is pair mein trading kar rahe hain, toh sirf buy positions pe focus karein. Aap apna take profit target qareebi resistance pe 0.6286 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko 0.6153 ke support pe set karein.

Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

NZD-USD market analysis – 6 September, 2024

Do musalsal dino mein NZDUSD currency pair mein izafa dekhne ko mila. Yeh izafa tab hua jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko break karne mein nakam rahi. Is area ko touch karne se pehle NZDUSD ka movement aksar neeche ki taraf tha. Guzishta Jumeerate ko izafa kafi zyada tha kyun ke candle ne 0.6190 se le kar 0.6218 tak move kiya. Agar hisaab lagayein, toh NZDUSD taqreeban 50 pips barha. Pehle yeh neeche gaya tha, magar khush kismati se candle apne qareebi support ko break nahi kar saka, aur wahan pohonchnay se pehle wapas oopar chala gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye jab NZDUSD barha, toh candle ne 0.6202 par resistance ko break kar liya. Resistance break karne ke baad, meri raaye hai ke yeh NZDUSD ko mazeed oopar barhne ka moka dey sakta hai. Aisa lagta hai ke NZDUSD ka maksad 0.6288 par resistance ko test karna hai. Wahan tak pohonchnay ke liye NZDUSD ko mazeed 70 pips ka move karna hoga. Jab wahan tak pohonch jayega, toh mumkin hai ke NZDUSD dobara neeche aaye, kyun ke yeh izafa sirf ek correction hai. Jab tak highest h1 resistance break nahi hota, NZDUSD ke liye neeche jana mushkil hoga. Mera khayal hai ke jab tak 0.6170 ka RBS area break nahi hota, NZDUSD ke barhne ke mazeed chances hain.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istamal kar ke dekha jaye, toh candle ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke oopar hai. Yeh is baat ka indication hai ke trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel hone wala hai. Is bullish trend ke sath NZDUSD ko mazeed oopar barhne ka support mil sakta hai. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke koi naye intersections na hon jo candle ki position ko change karen, kyun ke us se price wapas neeche ja sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator ke mutabiq NZDUSD overbought zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, kyun ke iski line level 80 ko cross kar chuki hai. Shayad is position ke sath NZDUSD thoda neeche aaye, magar yeh girawat chand waqt ke liye hogi kyun ke, jaise ke maine upar kaha, NZDUSD ka maksad 0.6286 par resistance ko target karna hai.

Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke NZDUSD currency pair ke oopar barhne ke mazeed chances hain, kyun ke candle ab tak 0.6167 ke RBS area ko break nahi kar saka. Saath hi, candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke oopar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karen. Aap apna take profit target qareebi resistance 0.6286 par rakh sakte hain, aur stop loss support 0.6153 par set kar sakte hain.

NZD/USD

New Zealand Dollar ne pichle trading week mein apni growth continue karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir bhi yeh different directions mein move karta raha bina kisi khas tabdeeli ke. Price ne support se bounce kiya aur 0.6082 level tak ucha gaya, lekin phir ek tezi se palta aur support zone ki taraf gir gaya, jahan movement ruk sakti hai. Is waqt, yeh target area tak pohnchne aur problem ko solve karne ki bhi sambhavana hai. Saath hi, price chart super-trend red zone mein move karne lagti hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers apni activity band kar rahe hain.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ka sabse important speech is saal hone wala hai. Technical perspective se, NZD prices ab resistance levels 0.6190, 0.6240, aur 0.6290 ka saamna kar rahi hain. Support levels 0.5903, 0.5990, aur 0.5890 par hain. Oil prices ke liye overall outlook uncertain hai, jahan bullish aur bearish dono factors hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka aane wala speech market moves ke liye ek key catalyst ho sakta hai. Chart niche dekhein:

Pair filhal mixed trade kar raha hai, weekly chart pehli baar weekly high set karne ke baad flat hai. Key support areas test ho rahe hain aur selling pressure ko successfully resist kiya ja raha hai, jo potential dikhata hai ke upside maintain ho sakti hai. Move continue rakhne ke liye, price ko 0.5995 level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jahan key support area border kar raha hai. Agar is level ka retest aur confident rebound hota hai, to uptrend continue karne ka mauka milega, aur target 0.6126 aur 0.6198 areas mein ho sakta hai.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 0.5921 ke reversal level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh signal milega ke current scenario ko cancel karna padega.

NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain.
Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon
Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain

New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar ka technical analysis ke mutabiq, NZD ne growth continue ki aur last trading week ke doran 0.6126 ke level se thodi si strengthening ke baad ek naya local maximum set kiya. Price ne support se rebound kiya aur 0.6303 ke level tak pohnch gayi, jahan par wo ruk gayi. Yeh situation yeh darshati hai ke target area ko poori tarah se reach karna aur desired scenario ko successfully implement karna mumkin hai. Is waqt, price chart super trendy green zone mein hai, jo ke buyers ke control mein hone ko indicate karta hai.

Technical perspective se, 4-H chart par aaj dekhte hain ke simple moving average price ko neeche se support karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke 14-day momentum indicator ke positive signals se madad mil rahi hai. Isliye, uptrend ka continuation 0.6750 tak ka raasta khol sakta hai, aur is level ko todne se pair ko 0.6658 tak gains continue karne ka mauka mil sakta hai. Neeche dekhen to, agar hourly chart ke neeche 0.6450 ke level ke neeche close hota hai to yeh pair par negative pressure daal sakta hai, aur 0.6059 ki taraf early move bhi possible hai.

Pair filhal apne weekly highs ke upar acchi tarah se trade kar raha hai. Important support zones abhi tak test nahi hue hain aur intact hain, jo ke preferred uptrend vector ko relevant banata hai. Price ko 0.6198 ke level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke ab main support area ka border hai. Agar is level se retest aur confident rebound hota hai, to yeh 0.6380 aur 0.6467 ke areas tak upar move karne ka mauka dega.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 0.6126 ke reversal level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualized for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge

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Main abhi New Zealand Dollar aur USD pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Is pair ne 0.60638 ka resistance break kiya, aur us waqt Bank of New Zealand ne apna bayan diya. Jaisay hi pair neeche gaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye, jo market ke liye unexpected thay. Market ko umeed thi ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates 40% se 50% tak cut karega. Pair ne support 0.59681 par touch kiya, aur mujhe laga ke pair mazeed neeche jayega, kyun ke interest rate cut ki wajah se market mein selling pressure barh gaya tha. Mujhe laga ke pair jo range mein trade kar raha tha, wo thoda aur neeche jaayega, lekin surprisingly, pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kar diya aur resistance 0.62205 par pohnch gaya. Ye bilkul unexpected tha.

Main expect kar raha tha ke pair upper bounds par reversal karega, jo ke 0.61526 par resistance hai. Lekin, America mein inflation mein koi khas kami nahi hui. Sirf 0.1% decline ka matlab yeh nahi ke status quo change ho gaya hai, is liye mein ab bhi decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe koi waja nazar nahi aati ke upward trend continue rahe.

Chart ka Halat:

Is mahine ke aghaz se NZD/USD pair steadily recover kar raha tha jab usne naye 2024 ke lows 0.5848 par apna base banaya. Pair ne recently 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko break kiya aur ek nayi two-month high attain ki, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Short term mein, pair ka immediate resistance 0.6170 par expected hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hai downtrend ka, jo 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak chala. Agar bullish forces is hurdle ko break karti hain, to next target 0.6220 ka June high hoga. Uske baad, 78.6% Fibonacci level 0.6257 par ek aur obstacle ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar downside move hoti hai, to pair 50.0% Fibonacci level 0.6109 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 38.2% Fibonacci level 0.6048 tak neeche ja sakta hai, jo January aur June mein strong support ka kirdar ada kar chuka hai. Agar price 38.2% se neeche girti hai, to 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.5972 additional support de sakta hai.

NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart recent volatility ko dikhata hai, jahan pair support aur resistance zones ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke liquidity areas aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se heavily influenced hai. Chart se maloom hota hai ke price apni current range se bahar nikalne mein struggle kar rahi hai, jo ke sharp movements ke baad market ka consolidation phase reflect karta hai. August ke mid se, pair ne rally dekhi jisme price 0.5900 region se 0.6240 area tak gayi, jahan price ko ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance mila. Yeh resistance area 0.6240 ke aas-paas multiple liquidity levels se reinforced tha, jo ke upside ko cap kar raha tha, is wajah se temporary consolidation hua. Is phase ke dauran price action higher lows ki series se characterized hai, jo buying interest ko indicate karta hai, lekin resistance ko break na kar paana sellers ke active hone ka signal hai, jo shayad profits le rahe the ya short positions initiate kar rahe the. Jab price 0.6260 level ke aas-paas late August mein pohnchi, toh isne prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ke form mein additional resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko maintain na kar pana ek turning point tha, jahan NZD/USD pair apni earlier gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Retracement ke dauran price 0.6140 level ki taraf drop hui, jo liquidity gaps ko fill karti hai aur previous support levels ko test karti hai. August ke aakhri hisse mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 levels ke beech oscillate karti rahi, ek range-bound structure bana. Yeh range upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests se characterized thi, jahan price 0.6140 area par support dhoondh rahi thi—a previous DLiq zone jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya tha. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jahan sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain.

Early September tak, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche aa gaya, jo momentum shift ka potential signal hai. Price action lower highs aur lower lows ki series dikhata hai, jo bearish trend ka formation indicate karta hai. NZD/USD pair ki current position 0.6184 ke aas-paas reflect karti hai ke market consolidation ke baad direction dhoondh rahi hai. Chart par multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ke presence suggest karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai. NZD/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko depict karta hai jo tight range mein **** hua hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko dictate karne mein critical role play kar rahe hain. Pair abhi key support 0.6140 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jahan upar potential resistance 0.6240 par hai. Recent price action suggest karta hai ke is range se breakout agla significant move dictate kar sakta hai, jahan 0.6240 ke upar break hone se further gains ka rasta khul sakta hai, jabke sustained move 0.6140 ke neeche deeper pullback ko trigger kar sakta hai 0.6100 level ki taraf. Traders ko in key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye kyun ke yeh pair ke future direction ko influence kar sakte hain.
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Aaj ke din market trend ke moqay dekhne ke liye hum abhi bhi NZD/USD market se wazeh honay ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke iska position abhi bhi consolidation conditions mein lagta hai, pichle haftay ke movement ke muqablay mein. Halankeh July ke end mein price kaafi bearish nazar aayi thi, lekin phir bhi strong recovery hui. Aaj market 0.6130 se open hui hai. Is situation mein, kuch possibilities ko anticipate kiya ja sakta hai, including age ki barhawa ka moqa. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions ne price increase ke liye kafi strength nahi dikhayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone ko break nahi karte. Mein is haftay ke shuru se NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye jo NZD/USD exchange rate pe

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."

Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.
US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan currency pair ne mazboot upward trend dikhaya hai, aur ab yeh lagbhag 7-maheenay ke highs ke qareeb hai. Yeh bullish momentum positive technical indicators ki wajah se support ho raha hai, jin mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se upar hai aur 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ne 14-day EMA ko cross kar liya hai. NZD/USD pair ne ascending channel ki lower bound ko cross kar liya hai, jo bullish outlook ko mazeed mazboot banata hai. Lekin agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh reversal ka imkaan bhi ho sakta hai. Pair ke liye immediate resistance 9-day moving average ke qareeb 0.6210 pe hai, uske baad 7-maheenay ka high 0.6247 pe aata hai. 0.6250 resistance level ka cross karna bohot zaroori hai taake yeh uptrend qaim rahe. NZD/USD pair ko support 14-day EMA pe milne ka imkaan hai jo ke 0.6190 hai, jo ascending channel ki lower bound se bhi coincide karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 tak gir sakta hai. Agar sell-off hota hai toh NZD/USD pair 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level jo June-August downtrend ka 0.6141 pe hai, tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh bhi break ho gaya, toh 61.8% Fibonacci level jo ke 0.6079 pe hai, agla target ban sakta hai.
Halaat yeh hain ke NZD/USD pair abhi strong uptrend mein hai, magar zaroori hai ke key resistance levels aur momentum indicators ko closely monitor kiya jaye. Agar pair 0.6250 resistance ko cross karne mein kaamyab ho jata hai, toh yeh upward journey ko continue kar sakta hai towards 123.6% Fibonacci extension level jo ke 0.6300 ke thora upar hai aur shayad December 28, 2023 ka high jo 0.6368 pe hai, tak bhi ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current uptrend ka pause ya correction ho sakta hai. RSI bhi 70 overbought mark ke neeche hai, jo short-term selling pressure ka ishara de raha hai. Lekin agar 0.6250 resistance level overcome nahi ho saka, toh short-term pullback ho sakta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur apni investments ko protect karne ke liye risk management strategies ka zaroor istemal kar

Do musalsal dinon se NZD/USD currency pair ne izafa dikhaya hai. Yeh izafa tab hua jab candle 0.6170 ke RBS area ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Is area ko touch karne se pehle, NZD/USD ka movement kam hone laga tha. Pichle Thursday ko bhi izafa kaafi acha tha kyunke candle 0.6190 se 0.6218 tak move kar gayi. Agar hisaab lagaya jaye, toh NZD/USD mein lagbhag 50 pips ka izafa hua. Pehle yeh gir gaya tha, lekin candle ne apne qareeb ke support ko penetrate nahi kiya, isliye wahan pahunchne se pehle hi yeh upar chala gaya.
Agar H1 timeframe se analyse kiya jaye, toh jab NZD/USD upar gaya, candle ne 0.6202 ke resistance ko break kiya. Resistance ko break karke, yeh lagta hai ke NZD/USD ko upar jane ka encouragement mil sakta hai. Lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka maqsad 0.6288 pe resistance test karna hai. Wahan tak pahunchne ke liye, NZD/USD ko abhi bhi lagbhag 70 pips aur move karna padega. Wahan pahunchne ke baad, NZD/USD shayad phir se gir jaye kyunke izafa sirf correction hai, agar highest H1 resistance penetrate nahi hota, toh NZD/USD ke liye neeche jana mushkil ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se, jab tak 0.6170 ka RBS area penetrate nahi hota, NZD/USD ke upar jane ki kuch umeed hai agle kuch ghanton mein.

Ichimoku indicator se analyse karne par, candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh trend ke bearish se bullish hone ka ishara deta hai. Is bullish trend ke sath, NZD/USD ko aur upar jaane ka support mil sakta hai. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke koi naye intersections nahi hon jo iski position ko badal de, warna price phir se gir sakti hai.

Stochastic indicator bhi yeh batata hai ke NZD/USD overbought condition mein aa gaya hai kyunke uska line level 80 ko penetrate kar gaya hai. Shayad is position ke sath NZD/USD gir jaye, lekin yeh girawat sirf short-term ke liye hogi kyunke maine pehle bhi kaha tha ke NZD/USD ka maqsad resistance ko target karna hai jo 0.6286 pe hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ke upar jane ki umeed hai kyunke candle abhi bhi 0.6167 ke RBS area ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Saath hi, candle position bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, woh sirf buy positions pe focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 0.6286 pe rakh sakte hain.