نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Concurrent Asian session mein Friday ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) kamzor hua, kuch key factors ke asar mein. Decline ko largely New Zealand ke two-year inflation expectations ki fall ne drive kiya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates ko maintain karne ke liye reduced pressure ko signal karta hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ke prati dampen kiya.

Concurrently, U.S. Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data ke support se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke prolonged higher interest rates ke expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye attractive bana diya, NZD ko further weaken kar diya.

Additionaly, market participants China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports ne dikha ki China ki inflation subdued hai, CPI just 0.3% annually rise hui, sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karti hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure badhata hai, New Zealand ke significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dekhte hue.

NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD ke asar mein attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Moreover, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko exacerbate karti hain, particularly commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karti hain. Market yeh developments ko continue watch karega, especially central bank policies mein shifts, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakte hain.





Currency pair 0.5866 par support finding ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko breaking ke baad bullish potential dikha raha hai, jo successfully retested hua hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain, liquidity seek ki ja rahi hai, is liye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits ko avoid karne ke liye. Additionally, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, is liye conservative lot size ka use karne aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karne ka prudent hai risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye

journey kaafi bearish lag raha tha, lekin phir se mazbooti se rise hui hai. Aaj hum dekh rahe hain ke market 0.6130 position se open hui hai. Is situation mein, hum kuch possibilities anticipate kar sakte hain, including further increases. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions mein price increase continue karne ke liye zaroori strength nahi dikhayi gayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone se breakout nahi karte. Main week ke shuru se NZD/USD market ke price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish karte hue, jab tak price simple moving average line zone ke upar 100 periods ke liye barqarar rahi. Lekin, last night ke trading period mein upward trend ko abhi bhi kuch rukawat ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jis wajah se price thoda sa correction ke saath neeche aayi. Candlestick initially 0.6172 area tak rise karne mein kamiyab rahi aur dheere dheere neeche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading tak, price 0.6141 area ke aas-paas barqarar rahi. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, to yeh abhi bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar chal rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ke paas abhi bhi stable prices ko bullish trend mein le jaane ka ek mauka hai.
Agar main August ke shuru se buyers ke strong control ko dekhoon, to prices mein izafa ho sakta hai. Badi time frame ke trend ko dekhte hue jo bullish lag raha hai, yeh lagta hai ke market abhi bhi Uptrend momentum ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo aaj ya agle hafte ho sakta hai. Candlesticks ke simple moving average line period 100 ke upar chalne ki observations ke base par, main predict karta hoon ke price Uptrend journey ko continue kar sakti hai. Lekin, kyunki market conditions subah mein shant lag rahi hain, humein buy position signal dekhne ke liye shaam ya dopahar ka

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, waqai Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement ke sath shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar dekhne ko mila jo candlestick ko upar le gaye, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish trend ki taraf hi move kar raha tha, aur ab ke market conditions ke sath iska matlab yeh hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upar hi move kar raha hai.

Indicators ke istamal ka jaiza lein to, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line dobara level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai, jo is baat ko dikhati hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thoda increase dekha gaya, wo dobara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, iska size thoda chhota hua hai due to Monday ki downward correction. Is haftay ke liye price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se kafi upar hai.

NATIJAH:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kai indicators se dikhaye gaye hain, wo yeh batate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ka price ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aur agar hum H4 timeframe ka jaiza lein, to price ab bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ke liye upar move karne ki potential rakhta hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick ka movement dobara upar move kare.

Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue jo ke big trend mein ab bhi bullish hai, ek potential choice BUY trade karna ho sakti hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke range mein ho, shayad price haftay ke aakhir tak zyada move kar sake kyunki buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limitedly move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ho

chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling

Concurrent Asian session mein Friday ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) kamzor hua, kuch key factors ke asar mein. Decline ko largely New Zealand ke two-year inflation expectations ki fall ne drive kiya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates ko maintain karne ke liye reduced pressure ko signal karta hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ke prati dampen kiya.

Concurrently, U.S. Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data ke support se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke prolonged higher interest rates ke expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye attractive bana diya, NZD ko further weaken kar diya.

Additionaly, market participants China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports ne dikha ki China ki inflation subdued hai, CPI just 0.3% annually rise hui, sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karti hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure badhata hai, New Zealand ke significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dekhte hue.

NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD ke asar mein attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Moreover, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko exacerbate karti hain, particularly commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karti hain. Market yeh developments ko continue watch karega, especially central bank policies mein shifts, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakte hain.





Currency pair 0.5866 par support finding ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko breaking ke baad bullish potential dikha raha hai, jo successfully retested hua hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain, liquidity seek ki ja rahi hai, is liye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits ko avoid karne ke liye. Additionally, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, is liye conservative lot size ka use karne aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karne ka prudent hai risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price opper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

Click image for larger version

NZDUSD ek downward trend mein hai. Is bearish momentum ko chart par lower highs aur lower lows ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke market ke sellers ko favor karne ki classical indication hai. Abhi ki price movement yeh suggest karti hai ke bears control mein hain, aur price ko neeche push kar rahe hain, jab ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors ka reaction de rahe hai. Current trend ko dekhte hue, kuch potential selling opportunities hain jo traders consider kar sakte hain. Sab se pehle, agar koi retracement ya pullback resistance levels ki taraf hoti hai, toh yeh sellers ke liye trend ko join karne ka ideal entry point ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace hoti hai—jahan pe pehle ke support levels ab resistance ban gaye hain—yeh short positions mein entry ka strategic point ho sakta hai. Traders candlestick patterns, jese bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars se confirmation bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ke ek brief rally ke baad downward trend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai. Halaat bharal bearish nazar aa rahi hain, lekin trading ko approach karne ke liye ek acchi risk management strategy banana zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hai, aur chahe kitni hi achi tarah se form ki gayi trends ho, un mein sharp reversals aasakti hain. Stop-loss orders ko theek jagah par set karna zaroori hai taake aapki capital protect rahe. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high ke upar stop-loss rakhna potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market aapke position ke against chalti hai. Traders ko un key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Khabrain jo interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan related hoti hain, currency pair mein achanak se movements trigger kar sakti hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Updated rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna, successful trading ke liye bohot ahm hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame par sellers ke liye ek compelling case pesh karta hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hoti hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye further declines ka faida uthane ke multiple opportunities hain. Agar retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko dhyan se analyze kiya jaye, toh traders strategically apne aap ko is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise hamesha, risk ko effectively manage karna aur kisi bhi developments jo market dynamics ko impact kar sakti hain, un pe alert rehna zaroori hai. Agar sahi approach ke saath dekha jaye, toh current conditions NZDUSD market mein profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain un logon ke liye jo trend ke sath

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial

### NZD/USD H1 Chart

H1 chart ke mukablay mein, hourly period ka linear regression channel upar ki taraf movement dikha raha hai, jo ke buyer ki activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin, buyer ne seller ke samne surrender kar diya hai, jo ke 0.61440 ke level ke neeche break karne mein kamiyab raha hai. Yeh market mein strong bearish interest ko indicate karta hai. Agar seller apni specific goal ko achieve karta hai, to H1 channel ko neeche ki taraf mod sakta hai, jo ke bullish trend ko khatam kar dega. Iske baad seller ki superiority downward directed channel ke zariye express hogi, jo bearish trend ko indicate karega. Strong bear ka target 0.59520 ke level tak pohanchna hoga, jo apne goal ko achieve karne mein madad karega. Jab H1 ke conditions meet hongi aur market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 ke levels ke upar hoga, tab bulls apni trend movement ko restore kar sakte hain.

### Market Analysis

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha, aur yeh winning streak paanch consecutive sessions tak extend hui. Pair ki ascent ka primarily reason bullish technical outlook tha, jo ke rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se supported tha. NZD/USD pair ka ascending channel ke bullish boundary mein consolidation prevailing bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. RSI jo 70 level ke bilkul neeche hai, confirmed bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, agar gains aur barhti hain to pair overbought zone mein aa sakta hai, jo short-term correction ki taraf lead kar sakta hai.

Pair ke short-term bullish momentum ko nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trading se bhi support mil raha hai. Yeh positive technical indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke NZD/USD sustained upward trend experience kar raha hai. Upside par, pair ko immediate resistance 0.6190 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ke paas face karna padega. Agar is level ko breach kiya gaya to pair 0.6247 ke two-month high ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Downside par, nine-day EMA jo 0.6092 par hai, direct support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar is support ke neeche break hota hai to bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur ascending channel ke floor 0.6030 ki taraf push ho sakta hai. Agar channel floor ke neeche breakdown hota hai to bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo decline ki taraf lead kar sakta hai towards “rebound support” at 0.5850.

Khulasay mein, jab ke NZD/USD pair ne pichlay haftay ke akhir mein kuch bullish signals dikhaye hain, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern aur US dollar ke overall kamzori, price abhi bhi critical resistance level 0.6073 ke neeche hai. Mukammal trend abhi bhi downward hai, aur 0.6073 par resistance abhi bhi ek bara barrier bana hua hai. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur trading decisions lete waqt broader trend aur resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. 0.5977 ka support level abhi bhi aik aham nuqta hai, aur mazeed developments ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake yeh dekha ja sake ke pair kisi bullish momentum ko sustain kar sakta hai ya bearish trend dobara shuru ho jayega. Aakhri mein, technical indicators abhi ke liye NZD/USD currency pair ke liye ek bullish nazariya support karte hain, TMA, MACD, aur OsMA sab upward momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Lekin, trading mauqon ko maximize karne aur risks ko asar daar tor par manage karne ke liye, yeh mozoon hoga ke nayi trading decisions lene se pehle TMA indicator ke beech wale level tak price retracement ka intizar kiya jaye. Yeh approach sirf entry points ko enhance nahi karta balke trading mein prudent risk management practices se bhi hamahang hai. NZD/USD apne sideways range ki chhat ko knock karta raha hai, jo springtime se established hai. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break shayad upside breakout ki tasdeeq karega, jiske baad khaasa gain expect kiya jaa sakta hai. Pair ne temporarily apni range ki chhat ko August 20 ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohoncha, lekin jald hi wapis niche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick form hui. Iske baad ek red down candle bhi bani jo ke further near-term weakness indicate kar sakti thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 22 August ke 0.6109 swing low tak gaya

NZD/USD H4 chart

Aaj ke din market trend ke moqay dekhne ke liye hum abhi bhi NZD/USD market se wazeh honay ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke iska position abhi bhi consolidation conditions mein lagta hai, pichle haftay ke movement ke muqablay mein. Halankeh July ke end mein price kaafi bearish nazar aayi thi, lekin phir bhi strong recovery hui. Aaj market 0.6130 se open hui hai. Is situation mein, kuch possibilities ko anticipate kiya ja sakta hai, including aage ki barhawa ka moqa. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions ne price increase ke liye kafi strength nahi dikhayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone ko break nahi karte.

Mein is haftay ke shuru se NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke aage ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye jo NZD/USD exchange rate pe impact daal sakti hain.

NZD/USD

Risk-off market mood kay bawajood, New Zealand dollar ne Friday ko apne kuch losses recover kar liye. NZD/USD pair ne is haftay ko market band honay per 0.6075 par close kiya. Traders ka sab se ziada intezar US Nonfarm Payrolls report ka hai, jo ke itni mixed thi ke analysts ne November mein US economy mein 199K jobs add honay ka andaza lagaya tha, lekin report ne sirf 198K jobs dikhayi. Magar, unemployment rate 2020 ke levels par aa gaya hai, jo ke pandemic se pehle dekha gaya tha.

0.6750-60 ke range mein, NZD/USD pair ne Friday ke low aur daily pivot ke ird gird move kiya, phir last ke upar break karke 95 moving average ke ird gird 0.6020 par stabilize ho gaya. US Treasury yields, jo ke benchmark 10-year note se lead kar rahi thi, apne daily highs par pohnchi, jab ke US dollar rival currencies ke against gir gaya.

Daily time frame ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair abhi bhi bearish rehta hai. Moving average indicator NZD/USD price ke upar dikhayi de raha hai. NZD bulls ko 120 moving average par 0.6050 ke against attack karne ke liye, pehle 0.6110 ke qareeb peechle lower high se upar daily close ki zaroorat hogi. NZD/USD pair apni pehli support level 0.5980 par face karega aur us haftay ke low par 0.6733 bhi samnay aayega. Agar is level ka break ho jata hai, toh pair psychological level 0.6040 par expose ho sakta hai, aur breakdown se yearly low 0.6050 tak pohnch sakta hai. Wagarna, agar yeh reversal zone 0.6000 ke upar wapas nahi jata, toh yeh RSI box mein pullback movement ko push karne ke liye starting point banega jab yeh reversal zone ke upar wapas aanay mein fail hota hai.

NZD/USD H1 chart

H1 chart ke mukable mein, hourly period ka linear regression channel upward movement dikha raha hai, jo buyers ke activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin ab sellers ne 0.61440 level ke neeche break kiya hai, jo market mein strong bearish interest ko darshata hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers ka maqsad H1 channel ko downward karna ho sakta hai, jo bullish trend ko khatam kar dega. Is ke baad, sellers ka dominance ek downward channel ke zariye dikhayi dega, jo bearish trend ko indicate karega. Strong bearish trend ki wajah se price 0.59520 level tak ja sakti hai. Agar H1 conditions ke mutabiq market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 levels ke upar rehti hai, toh bulls apna trend restore kar sakte hain.

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha hai, aur paanch consecutive sessions ke liye winning streak banayi hai. Yeh pair ki ascent primarily bullish technical outlook ke wajah se thi, jo rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se supported thi. NZD/USD pair ka consolidation ascending channel ke bullish boundary mein prevailing bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. RSI, jo 70 level ke just neeche hai, confirmed bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, aage ki gains pair ko overbought zone mein push kar sakti hain, jo short-term correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Short-term bullish momentum ko nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trading karne se bhi support milta hai. Yeh positive technical indicator NZD/USD ke sustained upward trend ko suggest karta hai. Upside pe, pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 0.6190 ke aas paas immediate resistance face karna padega. Agar is level ko breach kiya jata hai, toh move towards two-month high 0.6247 open ho sakta hai. Downside pe, nine-day EMA 0.6092 ek direct support level ke taur pe kaam karti hai. Agar is support ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur phir ascending channel floor 0.6030 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Agar channel floor ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo decline ko "rebound support" 0.5850 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.