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NZD/USD ka Technical Analysis
### **NZD/USD ka Overview**
NZD/USD ek commonly traded currency pair hai jo New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar ke beech ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Is pair ki movement ko dekh kar New Zealand aur US ki economies ke beech ke differences ko samjha ja sakta hai. Is waqt, NZD/USD kuch significant price levels ke aas paas trade kar raha hai jo iski future direction ke liye important ho sakte hain.

### **Support aur Resistance Levels**

NZD/USD ke current price action par nazar daali jaye, toh pair ne 0.5900 ke aas paas ek strong support develop kiya hai. Yeh level kafi arsay se hold kar raha hai, lekin agar price is level ke niche close hoti hai, toh downward momentum mazeed barh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 0.6100 ke qareeb hai. Agar NZD/USD is resistance level ko break karta hai, toh bullish rally ka chance hai.

### **Trend Analysis**

NZD/USD ke trend analysis se yeh nazar aata hai ke pair ne pichlay kuch hafton mein downward trend maintain kiya hai. Lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern form ho raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ka indication hai. Agar yeh trend continue hota hai, toh price mazeed lower levels par ja sakti hai. Lekin agar trend reversal hota hai, toh pehla target 0.6100 ka resistance level ho sakta hai.

### **Moving Averages**

Moving averages ka analysis karain, toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan ka gap bada ho raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term trend abhi bearish hai. Agar price 50-day moving average ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh bullish sign ho sakta hai, lekin filhal downward pressure zyada hai.

### **RSI Indicator**

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi NZD/USD ke liye kuch important information provide kar raha hai. Is waqt RSI oversold zone ke qareeb hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price mein kuch time ke liye rebound ya consolidation ho sakta hai. Lekin agar RSI mazeed oversold territory mein chala jata hai, toh yeh selling pressure ke barhny ka indication ho sakta hai.

### **Conclusion**

Overall, NZD/USD abhi ek crucial phase mein hai jahan se yeh downward trend ko continue kar sakta hai ya phir ek potential reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo in key support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur RSI indicator par close nazar rakhein taake better trading decisions le sakein. Price action ka current setup abhi bearish hai, lekin kuch bullish signals bhi develop ho sakte hain agar key resistance levels break hotay hain.

NZD/USD

Risk-off market mood ke bawajood, New Zealand dollar ne Friday ko apne kuch losses kam kiye. NZD/USD ka pair is haftay market ke close par 0.6075 par band hua. Ab traders US Nonfarm Payrolls report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo mixed thi. Analysts ka kehna tha ke US economy November mein 199K jobs add karegi, magar actual mein sirf 198K jobs add hui. Lekin unemployment rate 2020 ke levels par aa gaya hai, jab pandemic nahi aaya tha.

0.6750-60 price levels ke range mein, NZD/USD pair Friday ke low aur daily pivot ke aas-paas ghoomte rahe, phir upar break karke 95 moving average ke 0.6020 ke aas-paas stabilise ho gaya. US Treasury yields, khas kar benchmark 10-year note, daily highs tak barh gaye, jabke US dollar rival currencies ke muqablay gir gaya.

Daily time frame ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair filhal bearish hai. Moving average indicator NZD/USD price ke upar hai. NZD bulls ko 120 moving average ke 0.6050 ke khilaf attack launch karne ke liye, pichle lower high ke 0.6110 ke upar daily close karna zaroori hai. NZD/USD pair pehla support level 0.5980 ke paas face karega, iske ilawa haftay ke low 0.6733 bhi hai. Agar is level ka break ho gaya, to pair psychological 0.6040 level ko test karega aur breakdown se yearly low 0.6050 tak jaa sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair reversal zone 0.6000 ke upar wapas nahi aati, to yeh RSI box mein pullback movement ka shuruat ban sakti hai agar reversal zone ke upar wapas nahi aati.

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."

Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

Khulasay mein, jabkay NZD/USD pair ne guzishta haftay ke aakhir mein kuch bullish signals diye hain, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern aur US dollar ki majmooi kamzori, magar abhi bhi ye jo pair hai woh critical resistance level 0.6073 ke neechay hi hai. Kul milakar trend neeche ki taraf hai, aur resistance 0.6073 par ab bhi ek aham rukawat bani hui hai. Tajiron ko chahiye ke woh trading ke faislay karte waqt is wasee trend aur resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhein. Support level 0.5977 par ek mehwari tawajjo barqarar hai, aur kisi bhi mazeed taraqiyat ko qareeb se dekhna chahiye taaki yeh taaiyun kiya ja sake ke kya yeh pair koi bullish momentum barqarar rakh sakta hai ya bearish trend dobara se shuru hoga. Khatima mein, mawjooda technical indicators NZD/USD pair ke liye bullish nazar aate hain, jaisay ke TMA, MACD, aur OsMA sabhi upward momentum ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Lekin, trading ke moqe ko barhane aur risk ko munasib tor par manage karne ke liye, yeh moqol hai ke TMA indicator ke darmiyani level par price retracement ka intezar kiya jaye pehlay ke koi naye trading faislay kiye jayein. Yeh approach sirf entry points ko behter banata hai balkay munasib risk management se bhi humahangi rakhta hai Ichimoku Cloud ek mukammal indicator hai jo support aur resistance levels aur kul trend ki pehchan mein madad karta hai. Jab market price cloud se upar hoti hai, toh aam tor par yeh ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai, aur cloud ek support zone ke tor par kaam karta hai. Iss surat mein, NZD/USD ki price cloud ke upar hone se zahir hota hai ke market ek uptrend mein ho sakta hai, aur cloud ek supportive kirdar ada kar raha hai. Cloud ke bullish isharaat ke bawajood, Ichimoku system ke andar ek conflicting sell signal hai. Yeh signal Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke cross honay se aata hai. Tenkan-sen, jo abhi 0.61512 par hai, ne Kijun-sen jo ke 0.61519 par hai, ke neeche cross kiya hai. Yeh crossover aam tor par ek bearish signal maana jata hai, jo ke price mein potential decline ko zahir karta hai. Ichimoku Cloud ki support aur bearish crossover signal ke darmiyan tanazaa ko hal karne ke liye mazeed indicators ka shamil hona mufeed hota hai. Stochastic oscillator mazeed tasdeeq de sakta hai. Agar Stochastic upar wale hissay mein (80 se zyada) ho, toh yeh overbought conditions ko zahir kar sakta hai aur mumkin selling opportunity ka ishara de sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Stochastic neeche wale hissay mein (20 se kam) ho, toh yeh oversold conditions ko zahir karta hai, jo ke buying signal ko support karta hai. Lekin, kisi bhi moment mein tabdeeli ke kisi bhi nishan ke liye hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai. Agar price TMA channel ke nichlay hudood se toot jaye, toh yeh bullish trend ki kamzori aur ek mumkin bearish phase ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Jab tak aisa breakdown nahi hota, upward momentum barqarar rahega. Kul milakar, NZD/USD pair ki TMA channel analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke bullish trend ab bhi qayam hai, aur khareedaaron ka palra bhaari hai. Chotay corrections ki tawakku ki jaa rahi hai, lekin majmooi market sentiment New Zealand dollar ki mazeed izafat ke haqq mein hai US dollar ke muqablay mein. Tajiron ko TMA channel par kisi bhi trend reversal ke nishan ke liye dekhte rehna chahiye, lekin filhaal nazar positive hai

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair

Market conditions can be assessed - NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain.
Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon

Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki. Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement se shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar nazar aaya jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kamyab huay, halan ke ziada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish tha, aur abhi ke market conditions ko dekh kar lagta hai ke EUR/GBP currency pair ka trend apne major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi upward hi move kar raha hai.

Indicators ki development ko dekhte huay, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line wapas level 70 ke qareeb pahunch gayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke hafte ke aaghaz mein thoda sa increase jo hua, wo agle dinon mein bhi jaari reh sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar abhi bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, lekin pichle Monday ke downward correction ki wajah se iska size thoda chhota ho gaya hai. Is hafte mein price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ja raha hai.

NZD/USD pair ne H4 basis par bohot strong bearish engulfing signal banaya hai, aur iske saath hi ek bearish Three Drive signal bhi form ho chuka hai. In dono combinations ne mil kar ek valid aur profitable sell conclusion diya hai. Lekin EMA50 Blue, EMA100 Purple aur EMA200 Red ki arrangement jo upward direction mein hain aur open angle ke saath, is baat ka izhar karti hain ke yeh bullish increase bohot strong momentum ke saath hai. Is liye fall ka possibility sirf EMA50 Blue ke ird-gird, jo ke support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 ke qareeb hai, tak hi mehdood hai. Is liye prospective sellers ko is point par tawajju deni chahiye.

Agar M15 basis par intraday movement ko dekha jaye, to consistent breakout sell candle ab ban chuki hai, aur last position EMA100 Purple line ko cross kar chuki hai. Is liye price EMA200 Red ko jaldi touch karegi. Yahan se market response thoda upar ja sakta hai, takay next reentry sell setup create ho sake. Technical analysis aur price movement scenarios ke support ke saath, main personal level par current price par instant sell ko choose karta hoon, profit target H4 support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 mein rakhte huay. Agar M15 movement mein Red EMA200 ka penetration ho jata hai, to buy position dobara se add karni chahiye taake profit potential ko maximize kiya ja sake.

NZD/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session mein 0.5960 aur 0.5970 ke beech support area level ko penetrate karne mein struggle kiya. Lekin, August 16, 2024 ko, trading instrument ne bullish rally ka experience kiya, moving average indicators ke saath golden cross pattern successfully form kiya. Is analysis mein use kiye gaye moving averages 7-period close exponential aur 14-period close exponential hain. Yeh development Monday ko trading decisions mein significantly aid kar sakta hai.
Potential Trading Scenarios
Golden cross pattern ki formation ke baad H1 timeframe par aur 0.6010 aur 0.6020 ke beech resistance area level ko buyers ne successfully penetrate kiya, NZD/USD currency pair Monday ko substantial upside potential rakhata hai. Lekin, agar newly established resistance area 0.6050 to 0.6040 ke around se breakout nahi hota hai candlestick pattern ke through, to price correction ki possibility bhi hai. Isliye, NZD/USD currency pair mein Monday ko trading session ke during do potential scenarios surface kar sakte hain:
NZD/USD baar-baar apne range ke ceiling ko touch kar raha hai jo spring se shuru hui thi. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout confirm karega. Aise move ke baad substantial upside follow-through expected hai.
NZD/USD ne apne sideways range ke ceiling ko bar-bar test kiya hai jo spring se establish hui thi. Agar August 20 ke high ko break kiya jaye to yeh ek decisive breakout signal hoga aur upside target activate hoga, jo range ke height ka 0.618 ratio le kar calculate kiya jaye ga. Is se ek upside target 0.6448 (bold rectangle) milega. Ek aur zyada conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) hai.
Aise move se short-term trend bhi sideways se bullish change ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD market, American session market ke khulne se pehle tak, daily open aur apne sab se qareebi support ke darmiyan ooper niche hote hue nazar aa raha hai. Market ne aaj 0.6242 ke price par open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Sab se qareebi resistance 0.6262 ke level par map kiya gaya hai. Monday se iss pair ki price movement ne chote-chote candlesticks form kiye hain. Upar ki taraf trend dobara nazar aana shuru hua hai, pichle din ki thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi pehle se zyada achieve hua. Pehle yeh andaza tha ke price continue karegi correction ko, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne survive kiya aur dheere dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price opper move hui. Buyers ki push ne price ko 0.6249 tak chhuvaaya, uske baad price limited range mein move hua. Kal ki trading conditions ko dekhte hue rally ka andaza ab bhi khula hai, lekin abhi price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai. Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi nikla hai, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Is waqt RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ke liye ek warning hai ke wo apne short positions mein mazeed izafa na karein; RSI ko poori tarah se oversold zone se bahar nikalna hoga taake reversal signal provide kar sake 100 ek important level hai. Yeh sirf psychological level nahi, balki ek bara historical support level bhi hai, jisne 2023 se ab tak teeno martaba girti hui prices ko ek safety net provide kiya hai (neeche circle mein dikhaya gaya hai). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is martaba bhi rescue ke liye aaye ga? NZD/USD baar baar us range ki chhat ko push kar raha hai, jo isne spring mein shuru ki thi. August 20 ke high ke ooper ka break ek higher high form karega aur range se breakout ki tasdeeq karega. Aise move se expect kiya jaa raha hai ke substantial upside follow-through hoga

Concurrent Asian session mein Friday ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) kamzor hua, kuch key factors ke asar mein. Decline ko largely New Zealand ke two-year inflation expectations ki fall ne drive kiya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates ko maintain karne ke liye reduced pressure ko signal karta hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ke prati dampen kiya.
Concurrently, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data ke support se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke prolonged higher interest rates ke expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye attractive bana diya, NZD ko further weaken kar diya.

Additionally, market participants China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports ne dikha ki China ki inflation subdued hai, CPI just 0.3% annually rise hui, sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karti hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure badhata hai, New Zealand ke significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dekhte hue.

NZD ki decline ko domestic factors raise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD ke asar mein attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Moreover, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko exacerbate karti hain, particularly commodity exports se tied currencies raise NZD ko impact karti hain. Market yeh developments ko continue watch karega, especially central bank policies mein shifts, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakte hain. Currency pair 0.5866 par support finding ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko breaking ke baad bullish potential dikha raha hai, jo successfully retested hua hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain, liquidity seek ki ja rahi hai, is liye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits ko avoid karne ke liye. Additionally, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, is liye conservative lot size ka use karne aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karne ka prudent hai risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye

Aaj ke din market trend ke moqay dekhne ke liye hum abhi bhi NZD/USD market se wazeh honay ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke iska position abhi bhi consolidation conditions mein lagta hai, pichle haftay ke movement ke muqablay mein. Halankeh July ke end mein price kaafi bearish nazar aayi thi, lekin phir bhi strong recovery hui. Aaj market 0.6130 se open hui hai. Is situation mein, kuch possibilities ko anticipate kiya ja sakta hai, including age ki barhawa ka moqa. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke current conditions ne price increase ke liye kafi strength nahi dikhayi hai, jab tak buyers 0.6184 price zone ko break nahi karte.
Mein is haftay ke shuru se NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye jo NZD/USD exchange rate pe impact daal sakti hain

NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohanch gaya hai aur buyers ne valid bullish movement ka ek clear picture dikhaya hai jo ke abhi ho raha hai. Lekin, aane wali movement ki mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya keh rahe hain jo main ne neeche summarize kiye hain.
NZD/USD Uptrend is hafta kuch bade obstacles ka saamna kar raha hai, halan ke buyers ne apni positive strength ka izhar kiya hai price ko higher area ki taraf push kar ke. Technically dekha jaye, toh NZD/USD ke paas price mein decline ka mauqa abhi bhi hai agar is hafta ka closing price white box area ke neeche close hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ki strength dobara barh jayegi kyun ke price apne lowest zone mein dobara correction experience karega, aur agar next week mein rejection hoti hai, toh ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke sellers upward movement ko weaken kar sakeinge aur NZD/USD ko wapas RBS area 0.6060 ki taraf le aayenge, jise maine white box se mark kiya hai aur jis par humein agle hafta trading mein focus karna chahiye.
Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area mein level 0.6213 par dakhil ho gaya hai aur agar NZD/USD us area se ek bearish candlestick create karta hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf girayega, jo ke baad mein RBS area ka kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weaken hota hai, toh hum apni sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi hota aur isay hum TP2 level bana sakte hain agle hafta ke trading mein.
Aage chal ke, worst case scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein fail hota hai, toh NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation create hona shuru ho jayega aur humein apni sell position close karni hogi. Phir recover karne ke liye, humein ek buy position open karni hogi jisme target increase resistance area 0.6330 tak ho. Aap sab ka shukriya jo meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum

NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohanch gaya hai aur buyers ne valid bullish movement ka ek clear picture dikhaya hai jo ke abhi ho raha hai. Lekin, aane wali movement ki mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya keh rahe hain jo main ne neeche summarize kiye hain.
NZD/USD Uptrend is hafta kuch bade obstacles ka saamna kar raha hai, halan ke buyers ne apni positive strength ka izhar kiya hai price ko higher area ki taraf push kar ke. Technically dekha jaye, toh NZD/USD ke paas price mein decline ka mauqa abhi bhi hai agar is hafta ka closing price white box area ke neeche close hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ki strength dobara barh jayegi kyun ke price apne lowest zone mein dobara correction experience karega, aur agar next week mein rejection hoti hai, toh ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke sellers upward movement ko weaken kar sakeinge aur NZD/USD ko wapas RBS area 0.6060 ki taraf le aayenge, jise maine white box se mark kiya hai aur jis par humein agle hafta trading mein focus karna chahiye.
Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area mein level 0.6213 par dakhil ho gaya hai aur agar NZD/USD us area se ek bearish candlestick create karta hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf girayega, jo ke baad mein RBS area ka kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weaken hota hai, toh hum apni sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi hota aur isay hum TP2 level bana sakte hain agle hafta ke trading mein.
Aage chal ke, worst case scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein fail hota hai, toh NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation create hona shuru ho jayega aur humein apni sell position close karni hogi. Phir recover karne ke liye, humein ek buy position open karni hogi jisme target increase resistance area 0.6330 tak ho. Aap sab ka shukriya jo meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum

NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohanch gaya hai aur buyers ne valid bullish movement ka ek clear picture dikhaya hai jo ke abhi ho raha hai. Lekin, aane wali movement ki mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya keh rahe hain jo main ne neeche summarize kiye hain.
NZD/USD Uptrend is hafta kuch bade obstacles ka saamna kar raha hai, halan ke buyers ne apni positive strength ka izhar kiya hai price ko higher area ki taraf push kar ke. Technically dekha jaye, toh NZD/USD ke paas price mein decline ka mauqa abhi bhi hai agar is hafta ka closing price white box area ke neeche close hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ki strength dobara barh jayegi kyun ke price apne lowest zone mein dobara correction experience karega, aur agar next week mein rejection hoti hai, toh ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke sellers upward movement ko weaken kar sakeinge aur NZD/USD ko wapas RBS area 0.6060 ki taraf le aayenge, jise maine white box se mark kiya hai aur jis par humein agle hafta trading mein focus karna chahiye.
Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area mein level 0.6213 par dakhil ho gaya hai aur agar NZD/USD us area se ek bearish candlestick create karta hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf girayega, jo ke baad mein RBS area ka kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weaken hota hai, toh hum apni sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi hota aur isay hum TP2 level bana sakte hain agle hafta ke trading mein.
Aage chal ke, worst case scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein fail hota hai, toh NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation create hona shuru ho jayega aur humein apni sell position close karni hogi. Phir recover karne ke liye, humein ek buy position open karni hogi jisme target increase resistance area 0.6330 tak ho. Aap sab ka shukriya jo meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum