نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Good afternoon, fellow Invest Social members! Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam kar rahe hain aur is platform par valuable insights ka faida utha rahe hain. Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair par kuch analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo haal hi mein interesting price action dekh raha hai.

Jabke US Dollar ki qeemat mein aam tor par izafa ho raha hai, kuch ahm asbab is par niche ki taraf dabao daal rahe hain, jo risk-sensitive currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ko asar انداز kar rahe hain. Filhal, US Dollar (USD) kuch economic aur geopolitical asbab ki wajah se niche ki taraf dabao mein hai.

Haal hi mein USD ki taqat mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke greenback ki demand barh rahi hai, lekin yeh taqat kuch challenges ke sath aayi hai. USD ki recent climb mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hui hai, jismein Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate hikes ki market expectations shamil hain. Jab rates barhte hain, to dollar ki demand barh jati hai kyunki yeh investors ke liye zyada attractive ban jata hai jo higher returns talash karte hain. Lekin, is izafe ke bawajood, kuch macroeconomic factors USD par dabao daal rahe hain.

US mein inflation ki chinta, mixed economic data, aur global trade aur geopolitics ke aas paas ongoing uncertainty ne currency mein kuch instability ki taraf ishaara kiya hai. Yeh pressures greenback ki upward trajectory ko limit kar rahe hain, aur nateeja yeh hai ke yeh apne kuch recent gains kho raha hai.

Technical standpoint se, NZD/USD pair critical resistance levels ka samna kar raha hai jabke USD pressure dal raha hai. H4 (four-hour) chart par, pair ek downward channel mein trade kar raha hai, jahan key resistance levels 0.6050 ke aas paas hain. Agar US Dollar mazid mazboot hota hai, to hum NZD/USD ko recent support levels ke neeche girte dekh sakte hain, jo shayad 0.6000 psychological level ko target karega.




Is ke muqabil, agar USD kamzor hota hai, to pair upar ki taraf retrace karne ki koshish kar sakta hai aur 0.6100 ke aas paas higher resistance ko test kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jaise RSI aur MACD mixed signals de rahe hain, jahan RSI oversold territory ki taraf ja raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bounce hone ki sambhavna ho sakti hai.

Lekin, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki market bohot volatile hai aur fundamental factors se mutasir hai. NZD/USD pair ek interesting crossroads par hai, jo US Dollar ki recent taqat se heavily influenced hai. USD ke overall rise ke bawajood, yeh economic aur geopolitical uncertainties ki wajah se niche ki taraf dabao mein hai.

Yeh risk-sensitive currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ke liye challenging environment banata hai, jo recent trading sessions mein apni position ko barhane mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai. Aage barhte hue, key technical levels par nazar rakhna aur economic developments se updated rehna is pair ko effectively trade karne ke liye bohot zaroori hoga. Stay sharp, aur happy trading, sabko!

NZD/USD D1 Chart

Chaliye NZD/USD currency pair ka D1 chart dekhte hain. Kal ki koshish girne ki kafi successful rahi, jahan price kaafi zyada giri, lekin aaj phir se thodi growth dekhne ko mili. Kal ki ghatawat bhi market mein US dollar ki aam taqat ki wajah se hui. Wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD par bearish divergence hai, jo ke strong sell signal hai.

CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ki candle ne pichhli growing candle ko puri tarah cover kar diya, jisse ek candlestick pattern ban gaya - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki confirmation hai. Iske ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai - jo ek decline figure hai. Upar ki taraf trend hone ke bawajood, mein samajhta hoon ke jald hi price ko neeche press karna shuru karenge, is ascending line ki taraf jo purani daily waves ke bottoms ke along bani hui hai.

Jo growth raat bhar shuru hui, uska sabab horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein short time frame par growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan sell formation dekhni chahiye aur niche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par main news package aata hai: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadaad, US mein durable goods ke core orders, US mein personal consumption expenditures ka core price index, US mein durable goods ke orders ka volume, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein initial applications for unemployment benefits. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech hai.




Market Update

NZD/USD pair ne Friday ko European trading session ke doran pullback experience kiya, jahan yeh 0.6300 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Bearish trend zyada tar US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se tha, jabke markets US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ke release se pehle cautious rahe.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne announce kiya ke US ka gross domestic product (GDP) dusre quarter mein 3.0% ki annual rate se barh gaya, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq hai. GDP price index dusre quarter mein 2.5% se barha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 20 September ko khatam hone wali haftay mein 218,000 tak gir gaye, jo ke pehle ke consensus 225,000 se kam hai aur pichle haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hai.

Lekin, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments dollar par niche ki taraf dabao daal sakte hain. Fed Governor Lisa Cook ne pichle haftay 50 basis points interest rate cut ki support ka izhaar kiya, jo employment ke liye "downside risks" barhne ka sabab bana.

NZD/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis

NZD/USD ka 30-minute chart bullish trend ko darshata hai, jahan key liquidity zones (DLiq) aur fair value gaps (FVG) price action ko asar انداز kar rahe hain. 24 September se price ne 0.62800 level se mazboot upar ki taraf movement shuru ki, jo 0.62600 ke nazdeek ek achhi tarah bani hui liquidity zone (DLiq) se bounce hui. Yeh liquidity zone ek ahem support ki tarah kaam kiya, jisne price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne mein madad di.

Jaise hi price upar gayi, kuch FVGs bhi bani. Ek noticeable FVG 0.63000 level par bana, jo pullback point ke tor par kaam kiya se pehle ke price ke chadhai ko jari rakha. Jab price 0.63400 ke nazdeek pahuncha, tab ek aur liquidity zone (DLiq) bana, jo zyada buying interest ko darshata hai. Market ne phir 0.63500 level ki taraf tezi se surge dekhi, jo ek higher resistance zone ko test kiya.

26 aur 27 September ko price action mazboot bullish momentum ka shikhar tha jab yeh 0.63300 ki resistance ko torne mein kamiyab raha. Yahan ek aur FVG bana jab market ne upar ke high ko test karna jari rakha. Lekin jab price 0.63600 mark ke nazdeek pahuncha, to upar liquidity zones banana shuru ho gaye, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers shayad is higher resistance level par aane lagen.




Filhal, price 0.63476 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo abhi abhi 0.63600 level se pullback hui hai. 0.63200 aur 0.63400 ke beech ka consolidation ek ahem support aur resistance range hai. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar nahi reh pata, to hum 0.63000 level ya isse bhi neeche wapas aate hue dekh sakte hain, jo agla significant support zone 0.62800-0.62600 ko test karega, jahan zyada liquidity mojood hai.

Nateeje ke tor par, jabke price ne mazboot upward momentum darshaya hai, key liquidity zones aur fair value gaps NZD/USD ke liye direction tay karne mein bohot ahem honge. Agar price 0.63400 ke upar banay rakhti hai, to yeh mazid upar ke levels ko test kar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh is level se neeche girti hai, to lower levels ka retest hona mumkin hai.

USD/NZD Ka Ghor Taluq

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kafi taqatwar nazar aa raha hai, jo kai achhe maashi factors se support hasil kar raha hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ko mazboot commodity prices ka faida mil raha hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports se, jo New Zealand ki maashi buniyad ke liye bohot zaroori hain. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo is baat ka izhaar hai ke yeh inflation ko tackle karne ke liye interest rates barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh strategy NZD ki appeal ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein barhata hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve evolving economic conditions ke response mein potential rate cuts par ghor kar raha hai.

RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye bohot ahem hai, kyunki New Zealand ki tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support karti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical elements bhi NZD ki performance ko khaaskar asar andaz karte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke sath mazboot trade ties NZD ko bazaar mein achi position dete hain. Lekin, USD ek pasandeeda safe-haven currency hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Isliye, market participants ko aane wale economic data releases, jese employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo investor sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar andaz kar sakti hain.




Technical Analysis

Technical nazariye se, NZD/USD pair bullish trend darshata hai, jo recent price actions se saaf hai. Filhal, yeh pair 0.6409 ke kareeb ek significant 15-month high par trade kar raha hai, jo aage aur upar ki movement ki sambhavna darshata hai. Halankeh yeh daily chart par overbought territory mein hai, lekin price action yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai.

Nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6293 par ek crucial support level ki tarah kaam karta hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary ke sath align hota hai, aur positive outlook ko mazid mazboot karta hai. H4 timeframe par, 50 aur 100-day moving averages clear bullish signals dete hain, jo continued upward movement ki soorat mein madadgar hain.

Pichle haftay, NZD/USD pair ne ek sharp decline dekha, jo SMA-50 par mazboot support par mila, phir rebound karte hue pichle highs ko break kar diya. Yeh upward trajectory current market context mein bullish momentum ki resilience ko highlight karta hai. Lekin, traders ko previous peaks ke aas paas potential resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo further price appreciation ko rok sakti hain.

Agar pair in resistance points ko successfully breach kar leta hai aur inke upar apni position banaye rakhta hai, to yeh lasting bullish trend ka izhaar ho sakta hai. Price action par nazar rakhna aur confirmation signals, jaise bullish candlestick patterns, dekhna long positions ke liye optimal entry points pehchanne mein madadgar hoga.

NZD/USD Ka Haal

NZD/USD pair ne haal hi mein ek aham kami dekhi hai jab 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern toot gaya, jo bearish reversal ka ishara hai. 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6190 ke aas paas girne lagi hai, jo short-term downtrend ki shuruaat darshata hai. Sath hi, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish range mein 20.00 se 40.00 ke darmiyan chala gaya hai, jo bearish momentum ki tasdeeq karta hai.

Agar yeh pair July 17 ke high 0.6100 ke neeche decisively break karta hai, to mazeed kami ki sambhavna hai, jo May 3 ke high 0.6046 aur psychological support level 0.6000 tak ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair September 6 ke high 0.6250 se upar uthta hai, to yeh September 2 ke high 0.6300 aur is saal ke high 0.6400 ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai.




Aaj subah, bulls ne U.S. session se pehle 0.6215 ka level test kiya, jisse yeh sambhavna barh gayi ke buyers price ko 0.6243 resistance level ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Lekin, market conditions challenging hain, kyunki bulls control hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jab ke bears se mazboot resistance mil raha hai. Aise mein, careful analysis aur strategic planning bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile market environment mein.

2024 ki price action ko dekhte hue, NZD/USD pair ne May aur June mein girawat dekhi, lekin yeh 0.6200 support level ke upar rehne mein kaamiyab raha, apni bullish trend ko barqarar rakha. 0.6300 ke aas paas liquidity zone dobara establish ho gaya, jo mazeed upar ki taraf movement ke liye base faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein, pair ne 0.6340 resistance zone ko break kiya, jo ab pullback ki surat mein immediate support ka kaam karega.

Filhal ka bullish momentum recent rally se support hasil kar raha hai, lekin traders ko 0.6350 zone par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh liquidity levels aur previous highs ke sath align hota hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 0.6400-0.6450 region mein agla major target khul sakta hai, jahan higher liquidity zones aur previous resistance levels maujood hain.

Nateeja

Nateeje ke tor par, NZD/USD pair bullish hai, lekin yeh bohot zaroori hai ke 0.6350 level ko support ke tor par monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to yeh 0.6400 ya us se bhi upar ja sakta hai. Agar pullback hota hai, to support 0.6200-0.6300 zone ke kareeb milne ki sambhavna hai, jo long-term bullish structure ko mazid mazboot karega.

NZD/USD D1 Chart Ka Jaiza

Chaliye NZD/USD currency pair ka D1 chart dekhte hain. Kal ke girawat ka koshish kaamiyab rahi, aur price kaafi gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch izafa hua hai. Kal ki kami ka sabab market mein US dollar ki general taqat thi. Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD par bearish divergence bhi hai, jo strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai aur uspe bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle purani growing candle ko puri tarah cover kar gaya, jis se bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana, jo sell signals ki tasdeeq karta hai.

In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge bana liya hai, jo decline figure hai. Upar ki taraf ka trend ke bawajood, main samajhta hoon ke jaldi hi price ko upar se neeche press karna shuru karenge, jo purani daily waves ke bottoms ke aas paas built ascending line tak ja sakta hai. Raat ke waqt jo izafa shuru hua, uska sabab horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein short-term par growth ka anjaam dekhna chahiye, wahan sell formation dhoondni chahiye aur neeche kaam karna chahiye. Aaj 15-30 Moscow time par kuch aham khabrein aayengi: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total ta'adad, durable goods ke core orders, personal consumption expenditures ka core price index, durable goods ke orders ka volume, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), GDP deflator, aur initial applications for unemployment benefits ki ta'adad. 16-20 baje US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka taqreer hoga.




NZD/USD Ka Haal

NZD/USD currency pair haal hi mein positive trajectory dikhata raha hai, jo zyada tar dovish Federal Reserve ki umeedon ki wajah se hai. Lekin, is pair ka upar ki taraf momentum kuch challenges se khali nahi hai, kyunki dono United States aur New Zealand mein economic uncertainties iske izafe ko thoda kam kar sakti hain. Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki umeed, jo aam tor par 25 basis points se zyada ho sakti hai, New Zealand dollar ke liye ek significant tailwind bana hai.

Yeh umeed US mein job growth ke haal ke kam hone se mazid taqat milti hai. Halankeh second quarter ke retail sales data ne thoda contraction dikhaya, lekin isne New Zealand economy ke around overall positive sentiment ko khas tor par nahi giraaya. US recession ki sambhavnayein aur China mein economic challenges ke baare mein naye concerns ne risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo New Zealand dollar ko negatively impact kar sakta hai. RBNZ ka recent rate cut aur cautious outlook yeh darshata hai ke mazeed monetary easing ho sakti hai, jo NZD/USD ke upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai

NZD/USD ka downward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, aur market sentiment bhi isi direction mein hai. Jitni ziada price giregi, utni hi ziada selling ka imkaan hoga. Lekin agar recovery hoti hai, tou pehla ahem resistance level jo price ko rasta rokega, wo 0.62000 ke qareeb hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou ye is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD recovery kar rahi hai. Agla ahem target liquidity zones ke qareeb hoga jo 0.62500 ke aas-paas hain. Ye zones traders ke liye ahem honge kyun ke ye additional buying interest attract kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Market dynamics abhi selling pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi unexpected macroeconomic factors ya geopolitical developments ka asar price action par ho sakta hai. Agar New Zealand ya US se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai jo market sentiment ko badalta hai, tou price direction bhi badal sakti hai. Nateejatan, jab tak price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai, bearish outlook barqarar rahegi. Agar price 0.61250 level se neeche break karti hai, tou mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo price ko 0.61000 ya us se neeche le ja sakti hai. Recovery ke liye pehla challenge 0.62000 resistance level ko paar karna hoga, us ke baad liquidity zones ke aas-paas 0.62500 ko target karna hoga jo traders ke liye ahem hoga. Traders ko market trends aur economic indicators par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD ko behtar tarike se trade kar sakein. Aapka plan hai ke channel ke growth ka faida uthaya jaye jab tak price upper part tak nahi pohchti, jo ke 0.60465 ke aas-paas hai. Jab bulls apni manzil tak pohchne ki koshish karenge, tou us ke baad girawat ka imkaan hai
NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

NZD/USD ka downward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, aur market sentiment bhi isi direction mein hai. Jitni ziada price giregi, utni hi ziada selling ka imkaan hoga. Lekin agar recovery hoti hai, tou pehla ahem resistance level jo price ko rasta rokega, wo 0.62000 ke qareeb hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou ye is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD recovery kar rahi hai. Agla ahem target liquidity zones ke qareeb hoga jo 0.62500 ke aas-paas hain. Ye zones traders ke liye ahem honge kyun ke ye additional buying interest attract kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Market dynamics abhi selling pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi unexpected macroeconomic factors ya geopolitical developments ka asar price action par ho sakta hai. Agar New Zealand ya US se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai jo market sentiment ko badalta hai, tou price direction bhi badal sakti hai. Nateejatan, jab tak price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai, bearish outlook barqarar rahegi. Agar price 0.61250 level se neeche break karti hai, tou mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo price ko 0.61000 ya us se neeche le ja sakti hai. Recovery ke liye pehla challenge 0.62000 resistance level ko paar karna hoga, us ke baad liquidity zones ke aas-paas 0.62500 ko target karna hoga jo traders ke liye ahem hoga. Traders ko market trends aur economic indicators par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD ko behtar tarike se trade kar sakein. Aapka plan hai ke channel ke growth ka faida uthaya jaye jab tak price upper part tak nahi pohchti, jo ke 0.60465 ke aas-paas hai. Jab bulls apni manzil tak pohchne ki koshish karenge, tou us ke baad girawat ka imkaan hai NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai

NZD/USD currency pair ka mutaala karein, to dekhne mein aata hai ke kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.
Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai,
NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.
Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai

Is ka sabab ye tha ke candle ab tak RBS area ko 0.6040 par cross nahi kar payi thi. NZD/USD ne Tuesday ko apni rise ko barqarar rakha aur ye trend Friday tak chalta raha. Kul mila kar, NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidation ho

karte aur 0.6100 zone ko cross karte dekha, isne NZD/USD ke buyers ko thodi si stability faraham ki. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf le jaane ki salahiyat rakhta hai, jo un logon ke liye umeed afza hai jo buy positions hold kar rahe hain. Haal hi ki price action yeh zahir karti hai ke market mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke mazeed fayda dila sakta hai agar haalaat mazeed behtar rahe. Magar traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki is haftay NZD/USD pair se mutaliq news events par bhi ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye. Market ko mutasir karne wali news events currency pairs ke rujhan par khasa asar daal sakti hain, aur NZD/USD ke hawalay se, aane wali economic data yaNew Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo zyadah behtari se potential gains ka faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, jab ke 0.6100 ke oopar ka bounce buyers ko stability de raha hai, broader market environment ka lagataar jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur achanak market shifts ke risks ko kam kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka raasta umeed afza lagta to mojooda bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakti hai ya usay challenge kar sakti hai. Is liye, har trader ke liye zaroori hai ke wo weekly economic calendar par barabar nazar rakhain, khaaskar wo high-impact events jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Koi bara news release ya koi achanak economic report market ke trajectory ko foran tabdeel kar sakti hai, is liye weekly calendar ka detail mein jaiza lena intehai zaroori hai. Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market iss haftay buyers ke haq mein rehne ka imkaan hai, agar external conditions mein koi drasti tabdeeli nahi hoti. Market sentiment filhal buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook barqarar reh sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US ke economic indicators mazeed upward movement ko support karte hain. Jo traders hoshiyar rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke mutabiq adjust karenge, wo

NZD/USD ka downward trend abhi bhi qaim hai, aur market sentiment bhi isi direction mein hai. Jitni ziada price giregi, utni hi ziada selling ka imkaan hoga. Lekin agar recovery hoti hai, tou pehla ahem resistance level jo price ko rasta rokega, wo 0.62000 ke qareeb hoga. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, tou ye is baat ka ishara hoga ke NZD/USD recovery kar rahi hai. Agla ahem target liquidity zones ke qareeb hoga jo 0.62500 ke aas-paas hain. Ye zones traders ke liye ahem honge kyun ke ye additional buying interest attract kar sakte hain, jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Market dynamics abhi selling pressure ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi unexpected macroeconomic factors ya geopolitical developments ka asar price action par ho sakta hai. Agar New Zealand ya US se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai jo market sentiment ko badalta hai, tou price direction bhi badal sakti hai. Nateejatan, jab tak price 0.62000 resistance level ke neeche rehti hai, bearish outlook barqarar rahegi. Agar price 0.61250 level se neeche break karti hai, tou mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai jo price ko 0.61000 ya us se neeche le ja sakti hai. Recovery ke liye pehla challenge 0.62000 resistance level ko paar karna hoga, us ke baad liquidity zones ke aas-paas 0.62500 ko target karna hoga jo traders ke liye ahem hoga. Traders ko market trends aur economic indicators par gehri nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD ko behtar tarike se trade kar sakein. Aapka plan hai ke channel ke growth ka faida uthaya jaye jab tak price upper part tak nahi pohchti, jo ke 0.60465 ke aas-paas hai. Jab bulls apni manzil tak pohchne ki koshish karenge, tou us ke baad girawat ka imkaan hai NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai.

ye tha ke candle ab tak RBS area ko 0.6040 par cross nahi kar payi thi. NZD/USD ne Tuesday ko apni rise ko barqarar rakha aur ye trend Friday tak chalta raha. Kul mila kar, NZD/USD lagbhag 95 pips ka izafa dekh chuka hai, aur is waqt is ki position 0.6142 par hai. Jab time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye to nazar aata hai ke Friday ko NZD/USD ne apne qareebi resistance ko 0.6123 par break kar diya, jo ke is ke upward movement ka natija tha. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi aur zyada upar janay ka mauqa hai. Lekin, mera khayal hai ke upar janay se pehle, is currency pair ko ek correction ka samna hoga. H1 timeframe par ek doji candle pattern ka zahoor is baat ka ishara deta hai ke jald he ek reversal aa sakta hai, jo NZD/USD ko neeche le aaye. Sath hi, candle ab tak supply area ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye ye area retracement ke liye munasib hai. Agar NZD/USD neeche jata hai, to mera target 0.6055 par hoga. Jab Ichimoku indicator ka istimaal kar ke dekha jaye, to is waqt candle ki position ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Lekin indicator ab girawat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, resistance supply area mein price ko girne se roke ga. Sath hi, dono lines is waqt ek doosre ke upar hain. NZD/USD D1 chart par dekha jaye to recent trading sessions mein kaafi dynamic market structure nazar aata hai, jahan pair abhi tak 0.62375 ke qareeb hai. 0.61400 ke lows se start karte hue, price ne September ke beech mein bounce dekhaya, jo ke double-bottom liquidity zone se support ho rahi thi. Fair value gaps (FVGs) aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zones ne market ke key reaction points ko identify karne mein madad di. Support level se rally ne price ko upar wali liquidity areas mein dhakel diya, aur 0.62000 level par ek key FVG short-term target ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Jaise hi price ne is level ko cross kiya, wo thodi consolidation ke baad liquidity zone ke qareeb 0.62400 par breach hui, jo ke strong bullish momentum ka ishara tha. Is breach ne pair ko higher distribution liquidity ka test karne par majboor kiya, jo 0.62550–0.62600 region mein key resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Is zone se ek sharp rejection aaya, jab sellers ne is level ko aggressively defend kiya, aur price ko wapas 0.62200–0.62300 region ki taraf dhakel diya, jahan is waqt consolidation ho rahi hai

USD Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aan hai