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NZD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Pichlay do din, yaani Thursday aur Friday, NZD/USD ka movement neeche ki taraf dikhayi diya. NZD/USD ke girnay ka aghaz tab hua jab candle ne 0.6298 ke area ko touch kiya. Jab meine dobara check kiya, to yeh wahi area tha jahan supply form hui thi. Jab se supply area ko touch kiya, price mein izafa nahi hua. Jab tak yeh supply area break nahi hota, mujhe lagta hai ke price ke dobara girnay ka chance bohot zyada hai. Sabse important baat yeh hai ke 0.6298 ka price break na ho, warna yeh price ko aur bhi zyada upar le ja sakta hai.

Agar aap picture dekhein, to EMA 21 aur EMA 36 lines ek doosray ko cross kar chuki hain, jo yeh signal de rahi hain ke NZD/USD aur zyada gir sakta hai. Aur price ko aur zyada neeche le janay ka ek tareeqa yeh hai ke candle ko 0.6227 ke support ko break karna hoga. Masla yeh hai ke kal, yaani Friday ko, price is area ko neeche se break nahi kar saka. Is liye, meri recommendation hai ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, to sirf sell positions par focus karein. Take profit ka target nearest support 0.6145 par rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss resistance 0.6298 par.

Market Outlook

Hafte ke aghaz mein US dollar ki weakness ki wajah se price mein izafa hua. Buyers aaj market mein dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain. Market conditions ke hawalay se, pichlay haftay ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke trend bullish rahe ga. Meri monitoring ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai kyunke buyers ka power abhi tak mazboot hai, jo ke kal raat ko hafte ka aghaz tha.

Agar price 0.6200 zone mein defense line ko cross kar leti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko aur bhi mazboot kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi expect kiya ja raha hai ke market ka trend larger time frame mein bullish rahe ga. Agar Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ko dekha jaye, to yeh zone 20 tak gir chuka hai, jo ke trading ke aghaz mein downward correction ko dikhata hai. Is situation ko weekly price movement ke hawalay se bhi dekha ja sakta hai.



Market ke trend ko dekhte hue, bullish trend ko continue karne ka chance zyada hai. Agle trades mein buying flow ka izafa ho sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye. Aaj ke current situation mein lagta hai ke market ke paas bullish side ki taraf jane ka moka hai. Agar market upward journey ko support karta hai, to is haftay ke trading period ke liye mein market conditions ka intizaar karoon ga jo ke abhi bhi upar jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is liye, buy option ko select karna behtar lagta hai.

NZD/USD H1 Chart Analysis

H1 chart par NZD/USD ka linear regression channel upward move dikhata hai, jo ke buyers ki activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin, buyer ne seller ko raasta diya, jisne price ko 0.61440 ke level se neeche break kar liya, jo ke market mein strong bearish interest ko dikhata hai. Seller ka specific goal yeh ho sakta hai ke H1 channel ko downward turn kare, jo ke bullish trend ka end kare ga. Agar seller is mein successful hota hai, to market ka channel neeche ki taraf ho ga, jo bearish trend ko indicate kare ga. Strong seller ka next target 0.59520 ka level ho sakta hai, jo usay apna goal achieve karne mein madad de ga.

Agar market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 ke level ke upar hota hai, to bulls apna trend movement wapas hasil kar sakte hain.

Market Outlook:

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke against apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha hai, aur pichlay paanch sessions se winning streak ko extend kiya hai. Pair ka ye ascent bullish technical outlook ki wajah se hua, jo ek rising ascending channel aur positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support hota hai. NZD/USD pair ka consolidation ascending channel ke bullish boundary ke andar hi raha, jo ke bullish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta hai. RSI, jo 70 level ke neeche hai, confirmed bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Lekin agar aur gains hote hain, to pair overbought zone mein chala ja sakta hai, jo short-term correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Pair ka short-term bullish momentum bhi nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 50-day EMA ke upar trade karne se support hota hai. Yeh positive technical indicator dikhata hai ke NZD/USD sustained upward trend ko experience kar raha hai.




Upside par, pair ka immediate resistance ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6190 par hai. Agar yeh level successfully breach hota hai, to pair 0.6247 ka two-month high touch kar sakta hai. Downside par, nine-day EMA 0.6092 par direct support provide karta hai. Agar price is support ke neeche break hota hai, to bullish bias weak ho sakta hai aur pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 aur phir ascending channel floor 0.6030 tak gir sakta hai. Agar channel floor break hota hai, to bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo price ko "rebound support" 0.5850 tak le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka H4 chart base kar ke analytical review provide kar raha hoon. Filhaal trading instrument 0.5920 par positioned hai. Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka saamna kiya. Is level ko paar karne mein naakam hone ke baad, price neeche ki taraf chalni shuru ho gayi aur 0.5918 tak gir gayi. Current market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level ke neeche bhi ja sakti hai, jo ke bearish trend ka continuation indicate karta hai. Jaise hi situation evolve hui, NZD/USD pair ne 0.5900 level ko hi nahi, balki aur bhi neeche gir kar 0.5876 par trade karna shuru kar diya. Filhaal, chart par ek reversal zone ban gaya hai jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke beech mein confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 ke upar rise kar sake aur ek ghante ke candle ko is level ke upar close kar sake, to current decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Isse rebound aur 0.5978 tak rise ka potential indicate hota hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders place karna behtar hoga.




H4 Chart Analysis:

High time H4 dekhte hue, linear regression channel upward move dikhata hai. Mere liye, yeh D1 se zyada important hai, jo ke bulls ki strength ko indicate karta hai. D1 channel par signal purchases ka hai, jo mere buying interest ko badhata hai. Bas price ka sahi level pe hona intezaar karein aur wahan se buys dekhain. Current situation mein, main lower channel 0.61481 ko buying ke liye dekh raha hoon. Wahan se main 0.62291 par buy karne ki koshish karunga. Yeh target subsequent growth ko indicate karta hai aur upward movement ko support karta hai. Agar entry mark 0.61481 neeche ki taraf break hota hai, to yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is halat mein trading plan ko revise karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hai.

NZD/USD H4 Chart

Pichle Wednesday ko, RBNZ ne apni interest rates announce ki. Yeh pata chala ke New Zealand ki interest rate kam ho gayi, jis se NZD/USD currency kamzor ho gayi. Interest rate cut ke asar se NZD/USD pair bohot gehra gir gaya, kyun ke iski movement lagbhag 80 pips thi. Ab NZD/USD position 0.5989 par trade ho rahi hai. Agar aap apne analysis ko dekhein, to agar candle MA 200 ko pass kar leti hai to movement girti rahegi, lekin agar MA 200 ko nahi todti to wahan se rebound ho sakta hai. H1 timeframe se dekha jaye to candle filhaal demand area mein 0.5989 par atki hui hai. Jab tak yeh area todha nahi jata, NZD/USD ke phir se upar jane ke chances hain. Lekin agar yeh area turant tod diya jaye to movement girti rahegi. Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ke aur girne ki ummeed hai kyunki candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche chal rahi hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke sirf sell positions par focus karein. Take profit target ko nearest support 0.5919 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest resistance 0.6036 par place kar sakte hain.




Is Hafte Ki Trading Session:

Is hafte ki trading session mein, NZD/USD currency pair bullish path par trade ho rahi hai aur prices 0.6172 ke range tak upar ja rahi hain. Market observations ke mutabiq, market conditions ab bhi buyers ke haath mein hain jo teen hafton se dominant hain. July mein bearish direction mein movement koshish hui thi, lekin ab yeh bullish trend ko continue kar rahi hai aur kal raat ko phir se upar chali gayi hai, halanki ab bhi sideways phase mein hai. Ab market conditions thoda increase dikhane lagi hain. Aaj subah market ke open hone ke baad buyers ke attempts dekhne ko mile hain jo price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) par Lime Line jo level 70 tak uthi hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke market trend ab bhi bullish phase mein hai. Buyers ab bhi prices ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur choti timeframe, specifically H4 timeframe mein, price Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar uthi hai, jo bullish potential ko indicate karta hai. Mera khayal hai ke kuch ghanton mein price ke upar jane ke chances hain aur main sirf BUY trading ke potential ko market mein dekhunga. Aage chal kar, buyers ke chances hain ke price ko 0.6200 level tak le jane ki koshish karenge.

nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair support level 0.65209 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hong

NZD/USD H1
Assalam o Alaikum, forum ke azeez members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review de raha hoon H1 chart ke hisaab se. Filhal, yeh trading instrument 0.5920 par hai. Aaj Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko paar karne mein nakam rahne ke baad, price neeche girne lagi aur 0.5918 tak pohonch gayi.

Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke trading instrument ka price 0.5900 ke level se neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh agle girawat ke liye ishara de raha hai aur bearish trend ke jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Abhi ke halat ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair ne na sirf 0.5900 ka level pohonch liya hai balki us se neeche gir kar 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Iss waqt chart par ek reversal zone form ho gaya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh baat ahm hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 ko paar karke ek one-hour candle ko iss level ke upar close kar de, to yeh girawat sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke rebound ka imkaan hai aur price dobara barh kar 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf ja sakti hai. Iss surat mein stop-loss orders 0.5886 ke neeche lagana acha hoga.

Iske baraks H1 chart par, four-hourly timeframe mein linear regression channel mein ek upward movement dikhai de rahi hai, jo buyers ki activity ko show karti hai. Buyer kamzori dikhata hai jab usne 0.59421 ke level ko chhod diya, jab sellers ne isko breach kar diya. Yeh market mein bears ka strong interest show karta hai, jo H1 channel ko neeche reverse karne ki koshish karenge specific target ke sath. Iss tarah, uptrend khatrey mein aa sakti hai. Jab channel neeche move karta hai, to yeh dominant sellers ko reflect karta hai aur trend mein tabdeeli ka izhar karta hai. Strong bears 0.58630 level tak pohonchne ki koshish karenge apna target hasil karne ke liye. Lekin agar 4-hour chart par conditions puri ho jati hain, aur market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko breach karta hai, to bulls apna trend wapas bahal kar lenge, aur yeh baat trading ke dauran zaroor madde nazar rakhni chahiye.

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karne ki koshish ki, waqai Monday ke trading session mein market ne downward correction movement ke sath shuruat ki, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar dekhne ko mila jo candlestick ko upar le gaye, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein market ka trend bullish trend ki taraf hi move kar raha tha, aur ab ke market conditions ke sath iska matlab yeh hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upar hi move kar raha hai.

Indicators ke istamal ka jaiza lein to, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line dobara level 70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai, jo is baat ko dikhati hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thoda increase dekha gaya, wo dobara ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, iska size thoda chhota hua hai due to Monday ki downward correction. Is haftay ke liye price upar move hui hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se kafi upar hai.

NATIJAH:

Market analysis ke results jo ke kai indicators se dikhaye gaye hain, wo yeh batate hain ke NZDUSD currency pair ka price ab bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aur agar hum H4 timeframe ka jaiza lein, to price ab bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ke liye upar move karne ki potential rakhta hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke agle dinon mein candlestick ka movement dobara upar move kare.

Market ke conditions ko dekhte hue jo ke big trend mein ab bhi bullish hai, ek potential choice BUY trade karna ho sakti hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke range mein ho, shayad price haftay ke aakhir tak zyada move kar sake kyunki buyers ka asar ab bhi dominant hai

NZD/USD H1

Hello, esteemed forum members! Aaj, main NZD/USD currency pair ka H1 chart par analysis de raha hoon. Filhaal, trading instrument 0.5920 par positioned hai. Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko paar na kar paane ke baad, price niche ki taraf move hone lagi aur aakhir mein 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level se niche gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish trend ke continuation ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Jaise jaise situation evolve hui hai, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level tak nahi, balki aur bhi niche gir kar 0.5876 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Ab ek reversal zone chart par ubhar kar aaya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke darmiyan confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 ke upar rise karke ek one-hour candle ke saath close hoti hai, to current decline sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf badhne ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko neeche rakhna behtar rahega.

H1 chart ke muqablay mein, Four hourly timeframe par linear regression channel mein upar ki taraf movement dikhayi de rahi hai, jo buyer activity ko show karta hai. Buyer ne level 0.59421 ko abandon kar diya hai sellers ke breakthrough ke baad. Yeh market mein bears ki strong interest ko dikhata hai, jo H1 channel ko niche ki taraf reverse karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Isse uptrend ke threat ka samna ho sakta hai. Jab channel niche ki taraf move karta hai, sellers ki dominance ko reflect karta hai aur trend change ko show karta hai. Strong bears 0.58630 level ko reach karne ki koshish karenge apne target ko achieve karne ke liye. Lekin, agar 4-hour chart par conditions meet hoti hain, jab market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karta hai, to bulls apni trend movement ko restore karenge, aur isse trading ke liye consider karna chahiye.

Agar hum current trading conditions ko dekhein, toh yeh potential dikh raha hai ke developments smoothly move kar rahi hain aur mukhtalif opportunities paida ho rahi hain jo aaj ki trading mein strategy ke tor par istemal ki ja sakti hain. Lekin, humein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye kyun ke halat yeh zahir kar rahe hain ke hum ek correction phase mein daakhil ho rahe hain, jahan market ek important area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum pehle ke moments ko review karein, toh lagta hai ke price 5/10 low moving average marking area mein, jo ke 0.59812 se 0.59932 ki price range hai, ek downward signal bana sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price abhi bhi sellers ke pressure mein rahe, jo ke price ko aur neeche dhakel sakte hain. Lekin agar price is area ko paar karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh mumkin hai ke price middle Bollinger band line ko dobara test kare.

Iske ilawa, humein Relative Strength Index indicator ki condition par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye jo is waqt downward correction ki potential dikhata hai, jo ke neutral area ke qareeb pohanchne se pehle, agay chalkar overbought level ki taraf badhne ke liye ho sakta hai. Market ki current resistance level 0.6357 hai. Agar price 0.6357 par resistance ko break karta hai, toh hum agay ki movement mein apne next target objective 0.6843 tak dekhenge. Iske baad, mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.7232 level par pohanchne ke baad, jo ek strong resistance level hai, upar ki taraf move karega. Dusri taraf, agar plan ke mutabiq price wapas local support 0.5880 par aa jata hai, aur us zone se neeche hi rehta hai, toh long-term bearish movement ki tawakku ki ja sakti hai jo ke 0.5319 tak jaayegi. Iske baad, price aglay support level 0.4749 tak neeche move kar sakta hai, jo ke ek strong support level hai. Upar diye gaye chart mein support aur resistance ka istemal kiya gaya hai kyun ke is se market structure ko samajhne mein madad milti hai.

NZD/USD kuch arse se bearish trend mein hai, jo ke New Zealand Dollar ke US Dollar ke muqable mein musalsal girawat ko zahir karta hai. Yeh trend mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jin mein economic performance, interest rate differentials, aur geopolitical events shamil hain jo investor sentiment ko asar karte hain.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, NZD/USD pair broader bearish trend ke andar consolidation ki signs dikhata raha hai. Key support aur resistance levels mumkin reversal ya continuation points ki pehchan mein zaroori hain. Is waqt, pair 0.5997 level ke qareeb hai, jahan significant support 0.5950 aur resistance 0.6050 par dekha ja raha hai. Agar support level ke neeche break hota hai toh further downside ho sakti hai, jabke resistance ke upar break reversal ko signal kar sakta hai. Trade balances bhi significant asar rakhte hain. New Zealand ki economy exports par heavily reliant hai, khaas kar dairy products, meat, aur agricultural goods par. In products ki global demand mein koi bhi tabdeeli NZD ko asar kar sakti hai. Misal ke tor par, global dairy prices mein girawat New Zealand ke trade balance ko negatively asar kar sakti hai, jisse NZD kamzor ho sakta hai.

### M-1 Chart Technical Outlook NZD/USD

NZD/USD apne bullish momentum ko sustain nahi kar paya aur 0.6235 ka high touch karne ke baad, prices aaj European trading session mein US Dollar ke khilaf decline kar gayi.

**Bearish Trend Reversal**

- **15-Minute Time Frame**: 20 moving average bearish trend reversal dikha raha hai.
- **MACD Indicator**: 15-minute time frame mein MACD apne moving average ko lower kar raha hai.
- **30-Minute Time Frame**: Adaptive Moving Average 20 bearish trend reversal dikha raha hai.
- **1-Hour Time Frame**: Channel ka support break ho gaya hai aur Parabolic SAR indicator bhi bearish reversal show kar raha hai.
- **Daily Time Frame**: Moving Average MA50 aur MA100 ka bearish crossover dekhne ko mila hai.

NZD/USD ab weekly time frame mein horizontal resistance ke kareeb hai aur hourly time frame mein 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

### Key Observations

- **Kiwi**: 0.6235 mark ke neeche bearish reversal dekha gaya hai.
- **Short-Term Range**: Lagbhag bearish nazar aa raha hai.
- **Support Level**: NZD/USD 0.6180 level ke upar hai.
- **Average True Range (ATR)**: Market ki high volatility ko indicate kar raha hai.

Agle support levels:

- **0.6184**: Pivot point 3rd support point hai.
- **Pivot Level**: NZD/USD ab 0.6200 ke pivot level ke neeche hai aur bearish channel mein move kar raha hai.
- **Classic Support Level**: NZD/USD ab bhi 0.6182 ke classic support level ke upar hai aur agla target 0.6157 ki taraf move kar raha hai, jahan price 9-day moving average ko cross karti hai.

**Disclaimer**: Yeh analysis sirf meri opinion hai. ****** brand ke under operate karne wali companies ko yeh opinion, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice nahi samajhna chahiye.

**Additional Note**: OPEC+ ka oil production increase karne ka plan bearish sentiment ko fuel de raha hai, jo prices ko high rakhne ke liye production cuts se hatne ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

**NZD/USD H1 Analysis**

**Mukhbil Soorat-e-Haal:**

Aaj ki tahlil NZD/USD currency pair ke H1 chart par adharit hai. Filhal, trading instrument 0.5920 par moqaam rakhta hai. Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko paar nahi karne ke baad, price ne niche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya, aur 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

**Maujooda Market Conditions:**

Maujooda market conditions aur dekhe gaye movement ke madde nazar, aisa lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level se niche gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish trend ki continuation ki taraf ishaara hai.

**Current Movement:**

Jab se situation evolve hui hai, NZD/USD pair ne 0.5900 level ko hi nahi balkay usse aur bhi niche gir kar 0.5876 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Filhal, chart par ek reversal zone dekhne ko mil raha hai jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech me confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level se upar chadh jaye aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close ho, to yeh current decline sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Is surat me, rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf agla movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is situation me, stop-loss orders ko 0.5859 ke neeche rakhna munasib hoga.

**Four-Hourly Timeframe Analysis:**

H1 chart ke muqabil, Four-Hourly timeframe par linear regression channel me upar ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo buyer activity ko darshata hai. Lekin, buyer ki kamzori nazar aa rahi hai, jo 0.59421 level ko sellers ke breakthrough ke baad chhod chuka hai. Yeh bears ke market me strong interest ko dikhata hai jo H1 channel ko niche ki taraf reverse karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jiska specific target 0.58630 level ho sakta hai.

**Future Outlook:**

Agar 4-hour chart par market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karti hai, to bulls apni trend movement ko restore kar sakte hain. Is scenario ko trading me madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Asian session me ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value mein decline aaya, jo kuch key factors se impact hua. Decline ko mainly New Zealand ki two-year inflation expectations mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, jo Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates maintain karne ki zaroorat ko reduced dikhata hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ki taraf se dampen kar diya. Saath hi, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve se prolonged higher interest rates ki expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya, jo NZD ko further weaken kar diya. Sath hi, market participants China ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports se pata chala ki China ki inflation subdued hai, jo CPI 0.3% annually rise kar raha hai, jo sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karta hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure ko badhata hai, jo New Zealand ki significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dikha raha hai. NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Sath hi, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko badhata hai, jo commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karta hai. Market yeh developments ko continue monitor karega, especially central bank policies mein kisi bhi shifts ko, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakta hai.

Currency pair bullish potential dikha raha hai 0.5866 par support milne ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko break karne ke baad, jo successfully retested ho chuka hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain liquidity seek ki wajah se, isliye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits se bachne ke liye. Sath hi, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, isliye prudent hai conservative lot size use karna aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karna risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye

US Dollar (USD) ko apne major rivals ke muqablay mein Wednesday ko kamzori ke baad rebound karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Aaj, US economic docket mein August ke liye ADP Employment Change, weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur August ISM Services PMI data shamil honge. In releases se pehle, Eurostat July ke liye Retail Sales data publish karega.

Wednesday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke zariye published data ke mutabiq, July ke aakhri business day par job openings 7.67 million the. Yeh reading market ki expectation 8.1 million se kam thi aur is wajah se USD par selling pressure barh gaya. Tuesday ko 101.91 par naya do hafton ka high touch karne ke baad, USD Index ne niche ki taraf rukh kiya aur Wednesday ko 0.5% gir gaya. European morning ke dauran, index 101.00 ke upar steady hai. Is darmiyan, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield 3.8% se neeche gir gaya aur Wall Street ke main indexes mixed closing ke saath din complete hue. Early Thursday ko, US stock index futures marginally lower trade kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Immediate support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas dikhai deta hai, jo lower boundary ke sath aligned hai.

NZD/USD Thursday ko European hours ke dauran 0.6200 ke aas-paas apni position banaye hue hai. Daily chart par, pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko support karta hai. Lower boundary ke neeche break karne se bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar hai, jo overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 14-day EMA ke upar positioned hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke short-term upward momentum ko signal karta hai aur yeh pair aage bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki ummeed hai.

Upside par, NZD/USD pair ko 0.6203 level par nine-day EMA ke aas-paas foran resistance mil sakta hai, uske baad August 21 ko record kiya gaya seven-month high 0.6247 aata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, toh pair upper boundary of the ascending channel ko 0.6330 par test kar sakta hai.

Support ke hawale se, NZD/USD pair ko foran support 14-day EMA par 0.6180 level ke aas-paas mil sakta hai, jo ascending channel ke lower boundary ke aas-paas 0.6170 level par aligned hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ke aas-paas navigate kar sakta hai.

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pai mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."
Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga

Daily time frame par pair ne lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Kal market ne 0.6004 par open kiya tha aur trading session mein high 0.6031 aur low 0.5988 tak gaya. Is tarah kal ki trading range lagbhag 43 pips ki rahi. Market ka mood bearish lag raha hai kyun ke price daily pivot level se neeche hai aur aanay wale sessions mein daily support levels S1 aur S2 tak ja sakti hai. Indicators bhi market ki bearish strength ko support kar rahe hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko touch kiya tha. RSI 14 bhi 50 se neeche move kar raha hai overbought hone ke baad. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern bana, jis ke baad ek aur bearish candlestick ne market ki bearish strength ko confirm kiya. Market MA 200 ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke downtrend ko support kar raha hai.
Mujhe sabhi majors mein NZD/USD sab se zyada mushkil lag raha hai. Kayi mahine ho gaye hain aur price ek specific range mein band hai. Pichle hafte ke end tak, price bilkul is range ke beech mein close hui thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, bears ka faida yeh hai ke global downtrend abhi bhi chal raha hai, jo takreeban teen mahine purana hai. Kariban ek saal pehle, price apne max 0.6245 tak gayi thi. Yeh chart 4 ghante ka hai aur Fibo correction grid ke mutabiq, 70.0 level yani 0.6515 tak correction expected hai, jo highlighted area of prices se match karta hai. Main is highlighted area mein impulse wave 3 dekh raha hoon. Agar pichle level 0.6835 ka breakdown hota hai, toh long position open karne ka socha ja sakta hai aur impulse wave seven ko calculate kiya ja sakta hai, jahan price upar jaane ki ummed hai.

Markets ke khulne ka intezaar karna aur Asian aur European sessions mein price ke girne ki predictions dekhna thoda mushkil hai. Position kholte waqt stop loss lagana zaroori hai, kyun ke NZD/USD pair ne Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq oversold zone mein entry kar li hai. Main abhi dekh raha hoon ke price last trading session ke extremes tak jaaye, taake faisla kar saku ke buy karun ya sell. Support level strong hone ki wajah se, prices ne resistance level tak pohanch kar wapas upar jana shuru kiya. Resistance level hit karne ke baad market ne wapas rise liya kyun ke support level mazboot tha.